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Thread: Alan Cashman MLB Thread: Guaranteed Picks For Less than $20/Month

  1. #1
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    Default Alan Cashman MLB Thread: Guaranteed Picks For Less than $20/Month

    Sunday 8/4

    Subscribe https://thecashmanwins.com/subscribe

    White Sox at Phillies
    Pick: White Sox +0.5/ First 5/+100/Small

    This has been a competitive series.

    Lopez has allowed 2 or fewer runs in his last 4 starts. He has a 3.77 ERA in his last 7 starts.

    WhiteSox hitters are batting .429 (15-35) vs Smyly. WhiteSox are hitting .275 in their last 10 vs LHP.

    Smyly has been good over his last 2 starts but he has been released by 2 teams already this season. He is 30 years old and had not pitched in MLB since 2016 prior to this season. He had an ERA of 8.42 with Texas this season in 51 IP. I feel like we know who Smyly is as a pitcher right now.

    WhiteSox bats will need to wake up as they have scored 3 or fewer runs in 8 of their last 10 games.

    Both bullpens have ERA under 3 over the last 10 games so this is a play on these 2 starting pitchers

  2. #2
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    Default Monday 8/5

    Braves at Twins

    Soroka vs Odorizzi

    Pick: ATL -105/Lean


    Soroka 2.87 ERA last 7 starts
    Soroka 6-0, 1.20 ERA on the road

    Odorizzi has allowed 3 or more runs in 5 of last 6 home starts
    Odorizzi 7.98 ERA last 3 starts
    ATL hitters are batting .353 (30 for 85), .765 SLG vs Odorizzi

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    Limited time discount on guaranteed #picks on #NFL #CFB #CBB #NBA + rest of #MLB season .
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  3. #3
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    Default Tue 8/6 MLB

    Rangers at Indians
    Jurado vs Plesac

    Pick: CLE -0.5/-120 First 5 Innings/Small

    Both teams are playing well and both bullpens have ERA under 3.00 over the last 10 games.
    This is a play on the starting pitchers here.

    Jurado 5.20 ERA in night games
    Plesac 4-0, 2.10 ERA in night games

    Jurado 6.19 ERA last 3 starts
    Plesac 3.00 ERA last 3 starts

    Rangers 5-8 in Jurado’s starts
    Indians 9-3 in Plesac’s starts

    Plesac allowed 2 hits over 7 innings in only start this season vs Rangers in Texas

    Jurado has allowed 3 or more runs in 9 of his last 10 starts

    Right hand batters are batting .308 vs Jurado this season
    Jurdado is 1-2, 7.80 ERA since All-Star break

    Jurado ERA By Innings First 5
    1st 6.23
    2nd 7.42
    3rd 7.07
    4th 1.88
    5th 5.56

    Opponents are batting .205 vs Plesac in home starts
    Plesac is 3-0, 2.57 ERA since All-Star break


    MLB

    Braves at Twins
    Foltynewicz vs Berrios
    Pick Options (Pick 1)
    MIN -1.5/+104/Small
    Or
    Min -0.5/-120 First 5 Innings/Small

    Berrios is 23-12 with a 3.28 ERA in his career at home. Foltynewicz is 2-5 this season with an ERA of 6.37. Foltynewicz allowed 7 runs in 5.1 IP in his only career start at Minnesota. That along with Atlanta’s bullpen ERA of 6.47 over the last 10 games could line up nicely for -1.5. Run lines are always dicey.

    Foltynewicz 5.45 ERA last 7 starts
    Berrios 2.66 ERA last 7 starts

    Foltynewicz 1-2, 6.55 ERA in road starts
    Berrios 5-2, 2.10 ERA in home starts

    Foltynewicz 1-3, 8.35 ERA in night games
    Berrios 5-3, 2.53 ERA in night games

    Braves are 4-7 in Foltynewicz’s starts
    Twins are 14-8 in Berrios’ starts

    Braves 4-11 last 15 TUE games
    Twins 25-9 in last 34 home starts by Berrios

    Twins starting pitchers have a 2.35 ERA over the last 10 games

  4. #4
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    Default Sat 8/10 MLB

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    MLB

    Diamondbacks +155 at Dodgers -175
    Young vs Maeda


    I believe Arizona could be a live dog here today.

    ARI is 30-21 over the last 3 seasons vs LA
    ARI is 8-3 last 11 Saturday games
    LA is batting .209 vs LHP last 10 games
    Maeda has not had a win since May 31

    Maeda has allowed 3 or more runs in 5 of his last 6 starts. He is 0-4, 6.16 ERA in his last 7 starts. August has been his worst month over his career with ERA of 5.00. Maeda has a 4.54 career ERA vs ARI and 5.24 ERA against them over his last 5 starts. The most glaring stat is that LA has lost 6 of the last 7 games Maeda has started vs ARI.

    Alex Young in his first season has gone 4-1, 2.60 ERA for ARI. He has only allowed more than 2 runs once in his 6 starts. He is 3-0, 1.93 ERA in road starts. Opponents are batting .167 vs Young this season.

    I like the Dbacks in some fashion here. Their bullpen has an ERA of 5.19 over the last 10 games so that is worrisome. Still going to be value on a first 5 Inning play. A couple of options, Just choose 1 that you like the best here. ARI is +149 for the first 5 innings.

    Pick Options
    ARI Over 1.5/-132 First 5 Innings/Small
    Or
    ARI +0.5/-105 First 5 Innings/Small

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