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Thread: Wednesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/10

  1. #1
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    Default Wednesday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/10

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, July 10

    Good Luck on day #191 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Props for NFL teams making the playoffs:

    — Miami Dolphins No -$2,500, Yes +$1,100

    — Minnesota Vikings No -$130, Yes +$110

    — New Orleans Saints Yes -$330, No +$260

    — New Jersey Giants No -$700, Yes +$500

    — New Jersey Jets No -$425, Yes +$325

    — Oakland Raiders No -$800, Yes +$55


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

    13) I’d rather watch NBA Summer League games than Home Run Derby; just would rather watch actual games with guys competing for jobs.

    Overall I’m a much bigger baseball fan than an NBA fan, but I like games, not batting practice.

    12) Been listening to Sam Mitchell do analysis on NBA Summer League games; he’s great, he tells stories, just sits there and talks about ball, which is all I’m asking for.

    11) Tip of the cap to my friend Phil, who nailed a $50 bet on Pete Alonso at 5-1 to win the Home Run Derby.

    This makes up for the summer night in 1983 when we were at jai-alai in Hartford, CT and Phil didn’t do so well; he unleashed a torrent of epithets at a player named Gurney who cost Phil a quinella with a bad blunder. To this day it is the hardest I’ve ever laughed in my entire life; had tears running down my face, I was laughing so hard.

    Phil….he wasn’t laughing; hope this makes up for it.

    10) Cincinnati Reds used five different left fielders in Sunday’s game, the first time that has happened since 1908; they also used four 2B Sunday, first time they’ve done that since 1958.

    In that 1958 game, Gus Bell went 1-5 for the Reds with a run scored and an RBI; his grandson David is the Reds’ manager now.

    9) Jay Bruce is the first player in MLB history to hit 10+ home runs for two different teams before the All-Star break; he hit 14 for Seattle, has 10 for the Phillies.

    8) Astros, Twins, Braves and Brewers are supposedly the teams most interested in Madison Bumgarner; Minnesota is the only one of those teams that can acquire Bumgarner without his permission.

    7) Jaxson Hayes is running amok for the New Orleans Pelicans in summer league; this is a kid who never started a high school game until his senior year, which means that only 20 months ago, he had never started a game, and now he looks like an NBA star in the making.

    6) Seth Greenberg is really good on TV and he was a good college hoop coach, but he said something the other day, that was odd…….odd as in, people who work for ESPN aren’t allowed to criticize guys who played for Duke.

    He was talking about Cam Reddish on the Hawks: “He was regarded as a good shooter coming out of high school, but he didn’t make many shots last year.”

    It is pretty easy to decide who the good shooters are: they make the most shots. Reddish shot 39.4% inside the arc, 33.3% outside the arc at Duke last season. Not good.

    5) Thanasis Antetokounmpo is signing a fully guaranteed two-year, $3M veteran’s minimum deal with the Bucks. Milwaukee is getting creative with ways to keep his brother Giannis, one of the best players in the league, but as a lifelong Oakland A’s fan who had to live thru the Jeremy Giambi era, it likely won’t work.

    4) Rams’ QB Jared Goff got his first hole-in-one a few weeks ago. I got a hole-in-one once, but it came on a windmill hole, so I’m told that doesn’t count.

    3) Chinese Nationals 84, Hornets 80— I know it is only summer league, but Michael Jordan owns the Hornets and he couldn’t have been too happy after this game Monday night.

    2) Has the Home Run Derby hurt the All-Star Game’s popularity? Sometimes it seems like the home run contest has surpassed the game as a fun event for fans.

    1) Commercial on the Mets’ game Sunday: “Cremation starting for as little as $895!!!”

    Who knew cremation was such a good deal?

  3. #3
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    WNBA

    Wednesday, July 10


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Connecticut Sun
    Connecticut is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
    Connecticut is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
    Connecticut is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games
    Connecticut is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 7 games on the road
    Connecticut is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    Connecticut is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    Connecticut is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    Connecticut is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    Atlanta Dream
    Atlanta is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
    Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Connecticut
    Atlanta is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Connecticut
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Connecticut
    Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
    Atlanta is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Connecticut
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut

    Phoenix Mercury
    Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games
    Phoenix is 17-7-1 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
    Phoenix is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Phoenix is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games on the road
    Phoenix is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Washington
    Phoenix is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Phoenix is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Phoenix's last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Mystics
    Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games
    Washington is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
    Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix
    Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games when playing at home against Phoenix

    Las Vegas Aces
    Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Las Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 7 games
    Las Vegas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Las Vegas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Las Vegas's last 5 games on the road
    Las Vegas is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Indiana
    Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
    Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    Las Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Las Vegas's last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    Indiana Fever
    Indiana is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    Indiana is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Las Vegas
    Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
    Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
    Indiana is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing at home against Las Vegas

    Minnesota Lynx
    Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
    Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Minnesota's last 19 games on the road
    Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
    Minnesota is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Chicago
    Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago Sky
    Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
    Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games at home
    Chicago is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
    Chicago is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Minnesota
    Chicago is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by Udog; 07-10-2019 at 07:32 AM.

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    WNBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, July 10



    Connecticut @ Atlanta

    Game 655-656
    July 10, 2019 @ 11:00 am

    Dunkel Rating:
    Connecticut
    108.114
    Atlanta
    105.610
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Connecticut
    by 2 1/2
    154
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Connecticut
    by 5 1/2
    151 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+5 1/2); Over

    Phoenix @ Washington


    Game 657-658
    July 10, 2019 @ 11:30 am

    Dunkel Rating:
    Phoenix
    112.217
    Washington
    118.301
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 6
    145
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 8
    155 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (+8); Under

    Las Vegas @ Indiana


    Game 659-660
    July 10, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Las Vegas
    116.103
    Indiana
    107.232
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Las Vegas
    by 9
    166
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Las Vegas
    by 7 1/2
    162 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Las Vegas
    (-7 1/2); Over

    Minnesota @ Chicago


    Game 661-662
    July 10, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    112.241
    Chicago
    107.857
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 4 1/2
    156
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 1
    160 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-1); Under

  5. #5
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    WNBA
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, July 10


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CONNECTICUT (9 - 5) at ATLANTA (3 - 10) - 7/10/2019, 11:00 AM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 6-2 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
    ATLANTA is 4-4 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHOENIX (6 - 6) at WASHINGTON (9 - 4) - 7/10/2019, 11:30 AM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 3-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 3-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LAS VEGAS (9 - 5) at INDIANA (6 - 9) - 7/10/2019, 12:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LAS VEGAS is 6-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    LAS VEGAS is 7-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (8 - 6) at CHICAGO (7 - 7) - 7/10/2019, 9:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 4-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 4-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    CONNECTICUT SUN AT ATLANTA DREAM (+5, 152)

    The Sun are a desperate team heading into Wednesday’s 11 a.m. ET tipoff in Atlanta. Connecticut, which was among the WNBA’s elite, has lost four in a row and has failed to cover the WNBA pointspreads in five straight, going back to its previous meeting with the Dream.

    Offensively, the Sun are out of sync during this skid. After averaging 81 points on 41.5-percent shooting through the first 10 games of the season (9-1 SU, 6-4 ATS), Connecticut has posted just 69.5 points on 38.8 percent shooting from the field – including 28.8 percent from 3-point range – during this four-game skid.

    Even before this losing slump, the Sun struggled to score on the road, putting up just 75 points on 35 percent shooting in their first four contests away from home – a 10-point dive from their home average of 85 points per outing.

    Atlanta enters Wednesday as the second-worst scoring team in the league, managing just under 70 points per game in 2019. The Dream are equally weak on defense, ranked among the bottom of the WNBA, but have tightened up on that end of the floor in their past two games, holding Phoenix and Seattle to 35.3 percent shooting, including just 24 percent from the perimeter.

    The teams share a 2-5 Over/Under mark in home/away splits and with two struggling offenses and an early 11 a.m. ET start, there’s solid value in the Under.

    PREDICTION: Under 152


    MINNESOTA LYNX AT CHICAGO SKY (+1, 157.5)

    The Lynx make the middle stop of their three-game road trip in the Windy City Wednesday. Minnesota has won back-to-back games and four of its last five heading into this matchup with the Chicago Sky, and offense is fueling this surge.

    The Lynx are averaging 83 points during that five-game span – a sharp uptick from their scoring production of 75 points per game over the first seven contests of the season. Minnesota is coming out of the blocks much quicker, putting up 22.6 points per first quarter compared to only 18.2 in the first 10 minutes to start the schedule.

    Chicago is one of the fastest starters in the league, posting 23 points in opening quarters so far in 2019. The Sky score almost 30 percent of their total points in those first 10 minutes, while allowing opponents to light up the scoreboard as well, giving up a WNBA-high 23.5 first-quarter points heading into Wednesday. Over its last five games – in which Chicago is just 1-4 – it’s leaked 26.6 points in the first frame.

    These rivals haven’t met since the season opener back in late May, when they combined for 46 first-quarter points. We’re predicting even more production in the opening 10 minutes Wednesday.

    PREDICTION: Over first quarter 39

    Tuesday’s picks: 1-0
    Season to date: 34-22

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