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Thread: Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/14

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    Default Tuesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/14

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, May 14

    Good Luck on day # 134 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Commencement speakers at colleges around the country this month:

    — Cornell— Bill Nye, the science guy

    — Florida— James Patterson, author

    — Maryland, MIT, Washington U— Michael Bloomberg

    — NC-Greensboro— Ken Jeong, actor

    — Stanford, Tulane— Tim Cook, Apple CEO

    — Wisconsin— JJ Watt


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

    13) John Beilein signed a 5-year deal to coach the Cleveland Cavaliers:
    — Beilein is 66, so worst case scenario for him, he fattens his retirement fund.
    — Beilein is one of 28 coaches in NCAA history (all divisions) with 750+ career wins (754-425); he will be the first of those 28 to coach in the NBA.
    — Beilein’s last losing season was 2009-10 (15-17) at Michigan. He is a very good coach, but the NBA is more about players than coaches.
    — This figures to set off a domino effect of other coaching changes.
    — What %age of college coaches have the itch to try the NBA?

    12) Kawhi Leonard took 39 of Toronto’s 89 shots in Game 7 Sunday; rest of the team was 18-50 (36%) from the floor, and they still won.

    Don’t see lot of NBA games where one team used only two subs, the other one three subs. 76ers’ subs played total of only 27:00 Sunday.

    11) Brett Brown will return as the 76ers’ coach next year; not even sure why this would be an issue, but apparently it was. Who could they hire that would be better?

    10) Justin Thomas (wrist) withdrew from this week’s PGA Championship Monday.

    9) Former Seattle Seahawks punter Jon Ryan is returning to his hometown of Regina, Saskatchewan to punt for the CFL’s Roughriders this summer.

    8) PG recruit Boogie Ellis switched his commitment from Duke to Memphis, as Penny Hardaway establishes himself as one of the best recruiters in the country.

    7) Baseball stuff:
    — A’s activated Mark Canha, DFA’d 1B/DH Kendrys Morales
    — Bronx put P Jonathan Loaisiga (shoulder), 3B Miguel Andujar on IL
    — Detroit put P Tyson Ross on IL.
    — White Sox P Carlos Rodon needs Tommy John surgery, is out for the year.

    6) First-round matchups for the Paradise Jam tournament in November:
    — Valparaiso-Grand Canyon
    — Fordham-Nevada
    — Illinois State-Cincinnati
    — Bowling Green-Western Kentucky

    5) On Sept. 28, 1974, Nolan Ryan threw a no-hitter against the Twins, walking eight and striking out 15- he threw 158 pitches that night. Safe to say you won’t see that happen anytime in the next 10-20 years, at least.

    4) David Letterman is going to be a guest on the Sunday Today show this week; he has this thick gray beard now and looks like he should be on Duck Dynasty instead of the Today Show.

    3) College basketball transfer portal:
    — Pitt grad transfer Malik Ellison bolts to Hartford.

    2) St Louis 4, San Jose 2— Western Conference finals are tied 1-1.

    1) Get well to former President Jimmy Carter, who had surgery for a broken hip today after he fell while leaving his house to go turkey hunting. Mr Carter is 94 years old.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-14-2019 at 12:54 PM.

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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-14-2019 at 12:55 PM.

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    Preview: Bruins (49-24) at Hurricanes (46-29)

    RALEIGH, N.C. -- The Boston Bruins see no reason for significant changes with the way the Eastern Conference finals are going against the Carolina Hurricanes.

    At the very least, the venue will be different for Game 3 as the Bruins look to put a stranglehold on the series Tuesday night at PNC Arena. Boston won each of the first two games at home.

    "We know that they play well there (in Raleigh)," Bruins defenseman Charlie McAvoy said. "Refocusing, resetting and getting ready to play in a hostile environment, and we just plan to play to our standards and our culture."

    The Hurricanes returned home for the second time in this postseason facing a 2-0 deficit. They overcame that in the first round against the defending Stanley Cup champion Washington Capitals.

    "We've done it before," Hurricanes captain Justin Williams said. "Experience, that's what we lean on right now."

    Yet they didn't like the way they played in the two games at Boson. The six-game winning streak that Carolina put together vanished as the Bruins won twice by a combined 11-4 score.

    One of the priorities for the Hurricanes is to put the Bruins through some adversity.

    "We're certainly going to make it as tough as we can on them, and it won't be easy," Williams said. "Our identity hasn't been established in this series, so far."

    The Bruins are aware that the Hurricanes haven't come this far just to fade away. So that's the part that's a bit of the unknown for Boston.

    "Teams don't make it to this round if they don't have their tough group of guys," Bruins goalie Tuukka Rask said. "It's 2-0, that's good. We took care of business at home, which is what we wanted to do, now try to transfer that on the road."

    Carolina goalie Petr Mrazek has a similar outlook.

    "It's 2-0. We've been in this situation before," Mrazek said. "We know what we can do at home."

    Hurricanes coach Rod Brind'Amour has been vague about his goalie situation for Game 3, though he has pointed out multiple times that the core of the problems in Boston weren't related to goaltending.

    Mrazek was injured in the second-round series against the New York Islanders, and Curtis McElhinney played in Carolina nets in the final two-plus games as the Hurricanes produced a four-game sweep.

    Now the Hurricanes must deal with Boston's onslaught of offense. The Bruins have secured contributions up and down the lineup in the postseason.

    "Depth scoring is so crucial for playoffs," Bruins defenseman Torey Krug said. "Most of the time when you see a matchup, the two big lines are going head to head, that kind of washes each other out typically over a series, and then you have the depth scoring that comes into play, and that's what wins you games. ... We want to bottle that up and continue to use it to our advantage."

    The Bruins have had 21 players post at least one point in this spring's playoffs.

    "I think this year because we've scored a lot more up and down the line," Boston coach Bruce Cassidy said. "It's just a little easier to roll lines and look for your matchup but roll lines and not have to overextend skill guys."

    The Bruins are expecting to see an improved Hurricanes team.

    "You don't get here by accident, so we know that they are going to be better next game," McAvoy said.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-14-2019 at 12:56 PM.

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    11Boston -12 Carolina
    CAROLINA is 31-15 ATS (13.3 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.




    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, May 14


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    BOSTON (59-29-0-9, 127 pts.) at CAROLINA (54-33-0-8, 116 pts.) - 5/14/2019, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAROLINA is 10-1 ATS (+8.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
    CAROLINA is 38-19 ATS (+6.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
    BOSTON is 214-169 ATS (+44.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
    BOSTON is 21-7 ATS (+10.8 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 13-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 117-131 ATS (-67.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 8-3 (+4.9 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 8-3-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.3 Units)

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    NHL

    Tuesday, May 14


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    Trend Report
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    Boston Bruins
    Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games on the road
    Boston is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Carolina
    Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing Carolina
    Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    Carolina is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
    Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Carolina is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Boston
    Carolina is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Carolina's last 9 games when playing Boston
    Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-14-2019 at 12:57 PM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, May 14



    Boston @ Carolina

    Game 11-12
    May 14, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    14.566
    Carolina
    12.121
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 2 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Carolina
    -120
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (+100); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-14-2019 at 12:59 PM.

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    Bruins vs Hurricanes NHL betting picks and predictions: Carolina rallies behind home crowd
    Monty Andrews

    Petr Mrazek and the Carolina Hurricanes will look to bounce back at home as -120 favorites against the Boston Bruins in the Stanley Cup playoffs.

    The Boston Bruins thoroughly outclassed the Carolina Hurricanes in the opening two games of their Eastern Conference final showdown – but things won't be nearly as easy as the series shifts to Raleigh for Game 3.

    The Hurricanes were walloped by a combined 11-4 score in back-to-back losses at TD Garden, and will need a victory Tuesday night to avoid falling into a virtually inescapable 3-0 hole. Fortunately for the hosts, they have been truly dominant at home during the Stanley Cup playoffs, and will look to penetrate a stout Bruins defense and goaltending combo that has been quite stingy on the road.

    We break down the odds and give you the best betting notes and leans so you can make a profit on the playoff action on the ice.
    Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes (-120, 5.5)

    QUICK-HITTER

    PNC Arena will be hopping for this one, as it welcomes back a Hurricanes team that looked out of sync at both ends of the ice on the way to allowing 10 consecutive goals to the Bruins between Games 1 and 2. And getting off to a fast start will be critical for a Carolina team that has just seven first-period goals in the postseason; by comparison, Boston has 16. We like both sides to see plenty of scoring chances in the early going, making the O1.5 on the first-period play a great way to get things started.

    PREDICTION: Over 1.5 first-period goals (-105)

    PERIOD BET

    You'll no doubt notice a theme for Game 3, which is that bettors and fans alike should expect plenty of scoring. The Hurricanes will aim to clean things up defensively, but are almost certain to come out swinging against a Boston team that has been unstoppable over the first two games. And these teams love their third-period scoring: Five of Carolina's last nine games have featured three or more third-period goals, while Boston has seen an average of 3.6 third-period tallies in its last five. Think big with this one.

    PREDICTION: 3+ third-period goals (+195)

    TEAM/PLAYER BET

    Going all-in on a high-scoring game allows for access to extra props; in this case, since we believe at least one of these teams will produce three or more goals, it's just a matter of determining which team gets there first. Carolina has won four consecutive playoff games at home, each of the last three by identical 5-2 scores. And while this one might a more closely-contested affair given how well the Bruins are playing, we like the team averaging 4.4 goals per game at home to win a race to three.

    PREDICTION: Race to 3 goals: Carolina (+135)

    FULL-GAME TOTAL

    Do we really need a full write-up here? Perhaps not – but it's certainly worth sharing a few other tidbits that could make the Over a great option for Game 3. Carolina has now finished above the total in seven of its previous nine playoff games, averaging 7.25 total goals in its past four. And the teams have been on an incredible run of high-scoring affairs, producing seven or more goals in eight of their past nine meetings. This could very well be a totals trap – but we don't think so.

    PREDICTION: Over 5.5 (+100)

    FULL-GAME SIDE

    If there is one positive to be taken from that Game 2 shellacking, it's that the Hurricanes limited Boston to 25 shots. And while it didn't matter in terms of the final outcome, it suggests that better goaltending will go a long way in helping Carolina get back into the series. Boston is allowing just two goals per game on the road in the postseason, but PNC Arena has been fantastically hostile for opposing teams – and we don't see the Hurricanes rolling over just yet. We like the home side to prevail.

    PREDICTION: Carolina -120
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-14-2019 at 01:00 PM.

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