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Thread: Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/11

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    Default Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 5/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, May 11

    Good Luck on day # 131 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    — Warriors 118, Rockets 113— Curry had 0 points in first half, 33 in the second.

    — Since 1999-00, James Harden has been fouled shooting a 3-pointer 429 times; next highest during that time is Jamal Crawford, with 249.

    — Jose Altuve (hamstring) left the Astros’ game in first inning Friday.

    — Tampa Bay P Tyler Glasnow (forearm) left Friday’s game in 6th inning.

    — Mets 11, Marlins 2— Mets scored eight runs in 1st inning, their most runs in any first inning since June 16, 1989 at Philadelphia.

    — Travis d’Arnaud batted once for the Dodgers after they acquired him from the Mets Sunday; now d’Arnaud has been traded to Tampa Bay for cash, probably not a lot of cash.


    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random Lists of 3……

    13) Three favorite dinners:
    — Pizza, just a plain cheese thin pizza. Excellent.
    — Spaghetti and meatballs
    — Scrambled eggs with sausage

    12) Three underrated things:
    — NHL playoffs
    — Taking the train from Albany to NYC (as opposed to driving)
    — Pinball Museum in Las Vegas; 250 vintage pinball machines under one roof

    11) Favorite TV shows:
    — CSI
    — Law and Order
    — Odd Couple

    10) Favorite Bob Seger songs:
    — Turn the Page
    — Travelin’ Man
    — Against the Wind

    9) I watch a ton of baseball every day, thanks to the Extra Innings package on DirecTV. These are my favorite announce crews to listen to, if there are no games on that I have rooting interest in:

    — Milwaukee Brewers: Brian Anderson/Matt Lepay with analyst Bill Schroeder
    — Texas Rangers: Dave Raymond with CJ Nitkowski or Tom Grieve.
    — Colorado Rockies: Drew Goodman, moreso when Jeff Huson is the analyst, but Ryan Spilborghs is getting better.

    8) Three movies I’ve never seen:
    — Star Wars
    — Rocky V, or any of the Rocky movies after that
    — Godfather II or Godfather III

    7) Three favorite sporting events I’ve been to:
    — 2000 NFC title game, Rams-Bucs in St Louis
    — 2008 World Series game, Rays-Phillies
    — AHL playoff game in Glens Falls that went triple OT, sometime in mid-80’s. Game ended around 12:50am; the concession stand ran out of food.

    6) Favorite three non-sports movies:
    — Rounders
    — The Bodyguard
    — Begin Again

    5) Three favorite Billy Joel songs:
    — Piano Man
    — Vienna
    — She’s Got a Way

    4) Three favorite basketball movies:
    — Blue Chips
    — One on One
    — Fast Break

    3) Favorite Kevin Costner movies:
    — For Love of the Game
    — The Bodyguard
    — Bull Durham

    2) Three best Oakland A’s managers:
    — Dick Williams
    — Bob Melvin
    — Tony LaRussa

    1) Three best head coaches for the Rams:
    — Dick Vermeil
    — Sean McVay
    — Chuck Knox

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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-11-2019 at 10:34 AM.

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    NHL Western Conference Finals: Blues vs Sharks series preview, odds and best bets
    Rohit Ponnaiya

    Jordan Binnington and the St. Louis Blues are underdogs for their Western Conference Finals series against the San Jose Sharks.

    The San Jose Sharks and St. Louis Blues have seen their share of struggles this season but will face each other in the Western Conference Finals with the winner advancing to play for the Stanley Cup.

    The Sharks open as the series favorite thanks to a deep lineup filled with playmakers but the Blues are riding red-hot rookie netminder Jordan Binnington. We break down the series odds and give you in-depth trends and notes so you can make the best bets on the road to the Stanley Cup.

    St. Louis Blues vs San Jose Sharks

    Series Winner Odds: San Jose -175/St. Louis +120 @ Sports Interaction
    Stanley Cup Winner Odds: San Jose +225/St. Louis +330 @ Sports Interaction
    Regular Season Head to Head: San Jose 2-1

    SCHEDULE

    Game 1: SAP Center, San Jose, CA - Saturday, May 11, 8:00 p.m. ET
    Game 2: SAP Center, San Jose, CA - Monday, May 13, 9:00 p.m. ET
    Game 3: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, MO - Wednesday, May 15, 8:00 p.m. ET
    Game 4: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, MO - Friday, May 17, 8:00 p.m. ET
    *Game 5: SAP Center, San Jose, CA - Sunday, May 19, 3:00 p.m. ET
    *Game 6: Enterprise Center, St. Louis, MO - Tuesday, May 21, 8:00 p.m. ET
    *Game 7: SAP Center, San Jose, CA - Thursday, May 23, 8:00 p.m. ET

    * If necessary

    BACKGROUND

    Both teams are coming off a grueling seven-game series, with the Blues coming off a 2-1 double overtime win against the Stars while the Sharks held off the Avalanche 3-2 in Game 7.

    The Sharks were on the ropes to Vegas in Round 1, down three games to one after three straight losses where they allowed at least five goals. Since then their defense and goalie Martin Jones have played much better.

    The Blues have been led by backstopper Binnington. The Calder Trophy candidate went 24-5-1 with a 1.89 GAA and .927 save percentage during the regular season, and saved 51 of 53 shots in the last two games against Dallas.

    The regular season matchups between these two sides don't tell us much. Each team won 4-0 at home back in November (well before Binnington got his first start) and then the Sharks squeezed out a 3-2 overtime victory at home in March.

    SWEATING BETTORS

    The Blues have played a ton of close games, with eight of their last 10 games being decided by a single goal. The Sharks have played three consecutive games that were decided by just one goal. Taking the puckline on the underdog could prove to be a profitable play.

    VULNERABLE BETWEEN THE PIPES?

    I mentioned that Jones has played much better in the net lately, but that uneven play earlier in the playoffs has to worry Sharks backers. San Jose has easily allowed the most even strength and overall goals during the playoffs and their goals allowed per game of 3.07 is the highest of any team to make it past the first round.

    FURIOUS FINISHES

    St. Louis has scored more goals in the third period (18) than in the first two periods combined (15). The Sharks have allowed 16 goals in the final period, compared to 11 in the opening period and 15 in the second. Taking the third period to be the highest scoring might be a sharp bet.

    ANOTHER PERIOD TREND

    The Blues have scored just six postseason goals in the second period, while allowing only nine. The second has also been the Sharks lowest scoring period with 11 goals. Lean towards the second period Under.

    PLAYER TO WATCH: JADEN SCHWARTZ, ST. LOUIS BLUES

    In a series featuring plenty of big-name forwards inluding Logan Couture, Joe Pavelski, and Vladimir Tarasenko, Schwartz might be the hottest one entering Game 1. Schwartz has scored eight goals in his last nine games, and has found the back of the net in four of the last six contests against Dallas. Taking Schwartz to score the most goals in the series pays out at +1850.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-11-2019 at 10:35 AM.

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    Blues vs Sharks NHL betting picks and predictions: San Jose a good bet to take big bite out of Blues in Game 1
    Monty Andrews

    Sharks have scored double-digit goals in all three periods this postseason and are averaging a whopping 3.88 goals at home in the playoffs.

    It wasn't easy for either team, but you won't hear the St. Louis Blues or San Jose Sharks complain as they prepare for Game 1 of the Western Conference final Saturday night at HP Center. The host Sharks needed seven games to dispatch the Colorado Avalanche, prevailing 3-2 in a thrilling Game 7 at home. The St. Louis Blues had an even more dramatic time of it, with Patrick Maroon's goal in double-overtime lifting the Blues past the Dallas Stars.

    San Jose comes in as a -125 favorite to advance to the Stanley Cup final, but it won't be easy against a Blues side (+105) that has routinely saved its best for last.We break the best ways to wager Game 1 of the Western Conference Final.

    ST. LOUIS BLUES AT SAN JOSE SHARKS (-130, 5.5)

    Series Price: Blues +120/Sharks -175

    QUICK-HITTER

    It was true in the regular season, and it remains a fact in the Stanley Cup playoffs: The San Jose Sharks are one dangerous team in the opening period. The Sharks scored a league-best 102 first-period goals during the season, and their 14 goals in the first 20 minutes of their 14 playoff games sits tied with the Stars for the most in the league. And while San Jose's defense hasn't been nearly as successful, the team is still plus-3 for the postseason while the Blues, who allowed just 58 first-period goals during the season, are a minus-4. Give us the home team to own a lead after the opening stanza of Game 1.

    PREDICTION: Sharks -0.5 first-period line (+170)

    PERIOD BET

    Here are some numbers for you: 23, 17, 34. It's not the combination to our gym locker (though it's probably the combination to someone's gym locker), but rather, the total goals scored by these two teams by period. Notice the outlier? The Blues and Sharks rank 1-2 in third-period goals through the first two rounds of the postseason, while the Sharks have been equally porous on the defensive end with a league-high 16 third-period goals allowed. Once they get past the nerves, expect both teams to bring the scoring chances as the game goes on; we like the third as the highest-scoring period.

    PREDICTION: Highest scoring period - Period 3 (+225)

    TEAM/PLAYER BET

    It's no surprise that Tomas Hertl and Logan Couture have identical odds to score in Game 1; after all, they've had a nearly dead-even postseason so far in terms of offensive production. Both players have nine goals and five assists, and both skaters scored six goals against Vegas in the opening round and three more against Colorado in Round 2. So why are we leaning toward Hertl over Couture? Hertl scored eight more regular-season goals in four fewer games, has eight more shots than Couture in the playoffs, and has scored eight of his nine goals at home. We're leaning toward the Czech dynamo to convert Saturday.

    PREDICTION: Tomas Hertl anytime goal (+135)

    FULL-GAME TOTAL

    After opening their postseason run against two teams who liked to play an up-tempo game, the Sharks will face a very different opponent in the Blues, who have seen five or fewer goals scored in eight of their 13 postseason contests. The teams have also trended toward the under, with each of their previous five games producing five or fewer total goals. We expect things to tighten up as this series moves along, but with the Sharks looking to make a statement and the Blues averaging an impressive 3.17 goals on the road, there could be a little money to be made with the O5.5.

    PREDICTION: Over 5.5 (+110)

    FULL-GAME SIDE

    The Blues were able to overcome early- and mid-game offensive shortcomings in the first two rounds of the postseason by being so prolific in the final period – but that strategy likely won't work against the host Sharks, who have scored double-digit goals in all three periods and are averaging a whopping 3.88 goals at home in the playoffs. It's also notable that the home team has won each of the past five head-to-head meetings between the teams, with three of those contests decided by multiple goals. Neither team has a rest edge, so we're rolling with home-ice advantage here; take the Sharks -1.5 for a nicer payout.

    PREDICTION: Sharks -1.5 (+210)
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 05-11-2019 at 10:36 AM.

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    3St Louis -4 San Jose
    ST LOUIS are 19-4 ATS (15.3 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.




    NHL
    Dunkel

    Saturday, May 11



    St. Louis @ San Jose

    Game 3-4
    May 11, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    St. Louis
    10.967
    San Jose
    12.390
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Jose
    by 1 1/2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Jose
    -125
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Jose
    (-125); Over





    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, May 11


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    ST LOUIS (53-32-0-10, 116 pts.) at SAN JOSE (54-32-0-10, 118 pts.) - 5/11/2019, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ST LOUIS is 38-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
    ST LOUIS is 16-10 ATS (+26.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    ST LOUIS is 32-21 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    ST LOUIS is 20-9 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ST LOUIS is 5-4 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
    ST LOUIS is 5-4-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.2 Units)

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    NHL

    Saturday, May 11


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    Trend Report
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    St. Louis Blues
    St. Louis is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
    St. Louis is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
    St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
    St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing San Jose
    St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Jose
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
    San Jose Sharks
    San Jose is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games
    San Jose is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
    San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Jose's last 12 games at home
    San Jose is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
    San Jose is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
    San Jose is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis


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