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Thread: Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/20

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    Default Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/20

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, April 20

    Good Luck on day # 110 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Some early point spreads for NFL games this fall:

    — Week 2: Browns (-2.5) @ Jets

    — Week 4: Cowboys @ Saints (-.5.5)

    — Week 7: Patriots (-6) @ Jets

    — Week 8: Packers @ Chiefs (-6)

    — Week 14: Chiefs @ Patriots (-2.5)

    — Week 15: Colts @ Saints (-3.5)


    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

    13) Oakland Raiders sent their scouts home for the weekend; they’re not expected to be back before the draft next weekend. Supposedly, Raiders’ hierarchy (Gruden) doesn’t trust all his people, but doesn’t know exactly who he doesn’t trust. ��

    Apparently this isn’t all that unusual; Gil Brandt told a story this week from 1987, where they told one scout about this LB they want to draft (they didn’t really want to). Two days later, a writer in Dallas posts this article about how the Cowboys are going to take the LB, which outed the scout as a leaker. He then became an ex-scout.

    12) Other former front office guys have been saying on Twitter this week that the last 8-10 years, teams have been limiting access to a team’s draft board to only the top 3-4 football people.

    11) Blue Jays are calling up top prospect Vladimir Guerrero Jr; he is expected to make his big league debut on Tuesday against the Giants.

    10) College basketball is getting to the point where any returning player who scored double figures for a low-to-mid major is getting poached by bigger schools. Norfolk State’s leading scorer entered the transfer portal the week; it makes handicapping during the season that much harder. Will the new player fit in? How much does his departure hurt his former team?

    Can’t be much fun for guys who coach in low/mid-majors.

    9) Was reading something this week about how they’re using major league baseballs at the AAA level for the first time this year, and home runs have spiked early in the season. Homers in the International League are up 39%; in the Pacific Coast League, 32%.

    Same thing hasn’t happened in AA or A ball, so it makes you wonder……

    8) San Antonio Spurs’ Derrick White played three years of D-II ball at Colorado–Colorado Springs, transferred and played his senior year for the Colorado Buffaloes; he had zero D-I scholarship offers out of high school. None.

    This year, he played 25.8 mpg for the Spurs, scored 9.9 ppg. He scored 36 points in the Spurs’ Game 3 win over Denver Thursday. Good for him.

    7) Baseball transactions:
    — Red Sox put IF Eduardo Núñez (back) on IL.
    — Padres put OF Manuel Margot on the paternity list, called up Jose Pirela.
    — Mets put Jacob deGrom (elbow) on the IL.

    6) NCAA relaxed some transfer rules for freshmen: Incoming freshmen who enroll in summer school and receive financial aid can transfer and play immediately without a waiver if their coach leaves prior to the first day of fall classes.

    This involves situations where a coach gets fired late in the spring or in summer, like couple years ago when Ohio State fired Thad Matta. It does not include football players who are early enrollees.

    5) Not sure what the wisdom of the four outfielder shift is; seems like having four infielders would be a better idea. Lot of the guys you use the four OF shift with, if they hit it in the air to the outfield, it is going over the fence anyway.

    4) Former UNLV coach Marvin Menzies signed on to be an assistant coach for Dan Majerle at Grand Canyon University in the WAC.

    3) Mets’ ace Jacob deGrom will have an MRI on his elbow Monday, which is bad news for the Mets and worse news for my fantasy team.

    I mentioned a few days ago how deGrom had trouble putting hitters away in his last two starts, and this is probably a big reason why.

    2) Draft trivia; Kyler Murray’s father Kevin was the 11th player taken in the 1982 baseball draft, one spot after Bill Ripken (Cal’s brother).

    1) Nick Saban will have hip replacement surgery on Monday; can’t imagine he’d be much fun to have as a patient in the hospital. Good luck to all the nurses……..

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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-20-2019 at 11:42 AM.

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    71Carolina -72 Washington
    WASHINGTON is 14-2 ATS (11.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

    75Winnipeg -76 St Louis
    ST LOUIS are 18-4 ATS (14.3 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

    77Dallas -78 Nashville
    DALLAS are 8-3 ATS (4.7 Units) in road games after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game in the current season.




    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, April 20


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    CAROLINA (48-30-0-8, 104 pts.) at WASHINGTON (50-28-0-8, 108 pts.) - 4/20/2019, 8:08 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAROLINA is 25-35 ATS (-14.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 16-46 ATS (+76.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 116-77 ATS (+197.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 25-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 46-26 ATS (+8.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 46-25 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 24-9 ATS (+11.8 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 63-44 ATS (+1.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 39-28 ATS (+6.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 32-16 ATS (+10.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
    CAROLINA is 21-10 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a division game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 11-5 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 11-5-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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    WINNIPEG (49-33-0-5, 103 pts.) at ST LOUIS (48-29-0-10, 106 pts.) - 4/20/2019, 7:08 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ST LOUIS is 33-17 ATS (+6.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
    ST LOUIS is 27-18 ATS (+3.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    ST LOUIS is 15-6 ATS (+21.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
    WINNIPEG is 19-8 ATS (+28.5 Units) in road games in April games since 1996.
    WINNIPEG is 17-11 ATS (+31.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WINNIPEG is 12-6 (+5.5 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    WINNIPEG is 12-6-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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    DALLAS (45-33-0-8, 98 pts.) at NASHVILLE (49-31-0-6, 104 pts.) - 4/20/2019, 3:08 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 26-42 ATS (-25.3 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
    DALLAS is 31-45 ATS (-23.4 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
    NASHVILLE is 287-222 ATS (+576.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
    NASHVILLE is 217-182 ATS (+400.3 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
    NASHVILLE is 61-35 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NASHVILLE is 11-7 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    NASHVILLE is 11-7-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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    NHL

    Saturday, April 20


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    Trend Report
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    Dallas Stars
    Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Dallas is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Dallas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
    Dallas is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Nashville
    Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
    Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
    Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Nashville
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Nashville
    Nashville Predators
    Nashville is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
    Nashville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Nashville's last 16 games
    Nashville is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
    Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
    Nashville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
    Nashville is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nashville's last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

    Winnipeg Jets
    Winnipeg is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games
    Winnipeg is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
    Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games on the road
    Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
    Winnipeg is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing St. Louis
    Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
    Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
    Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
    St. Louis Blues
    St. Louis is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
    St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    St. Louis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of St. Louis's last 19 games at home
    St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
    St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
    St. Louis is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Winnipeg
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
    St. Louis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
    St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Carolina's last 12 games
    Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Carolina is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
    Carolina is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing Washington
    Carolina is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Capitals
    Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Washington is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
    Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games at home
    Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
    Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Carolina
    Washington is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Carolina
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-20-2019 at 11:43 AM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Saturday, April 20



    Dallas @ Nashville

    Game 77-78
    April 20, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    10.711
    Nashville
    12.400
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Nashville
    by 1 1/2
    3
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Nashville
    -145
    5
    Dunkel Pick:
    Nashville
    (-145); Under

    Winnipeg @ St. Louis


    Game 75-76
    April 20, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Winnipeg
    12.025
    St. Louis
    10.851
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Winnipeg
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    St. Louis
    -150
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Winnipeg
    (+130); Under

    Carolina @ Washington


    Game 71-72
    April 20, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Carolina
    11.906
    Washington
    10.265
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Carolina
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -140
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Carolina
    (+120); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-20-2019 at 11:43 AM.

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    NHL Stanley Cup playoffs best bets and prop predictions: Jets, Blues take flight in third
    Monty Andrews

    Will another higher seed bite the dust Saturday? The Winnipeg Jets are on the brink of elimination as they visit the St. Louis Blues in Game 6 of their Western Conference first-round series – and if they lose, they'll be the third higher-seeded team to be knocked out of the Stanley Cup playoffs, joining the Tampa Bay Lightning and Calgary Flames. Here are the top betting trends to monitor as the second-round playoff field slowly begins to take shape:

    DALLAS STARS AT NASHVILLE PREDATORS

    Moneyline Odds: Dallas +125/Nashville -145
    Over/Under: 5 goals
    Series Price: Dallas +125/Nashville -175
    Start Time: 3 p.m. ET, Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tenn.

    Dallas and Nashville are staring at a typically low total for the fifth game of their Western Conference quarterfinal series – but Saturday might be a good day to consider the over, even ignoring the Stars' 5-1 victory in Game 4. Nashville have seen six or more goals scored in six of their nine afternoon games this season, with the other three coming in at exactly five goals; Dallas has gone over the five-goal threshold in five of eight afternoon contests in 2018-19. We like the O5 in this one (+105).


    WINNIPEG JETS AT ST. LOUIS BLUES

    Moneyline Odds: Winnipeg +125/St. Louis -145
    Over/Under: 5.5 goals
    Series Price: St. Louis -400/Winnipeg +280
    Start Time: 7 p.m. ET, Enterprise Center, St. Louis, Mo.

    Every Stanley Cup playoff season, there's one series that bucks the home-ice trend – and it's clear that this Jets-Blues series fits the bill in 2019. The road team has prevailed in all five games so far, which bodes well for the Jets as they look to stay alive in St. Louis. But the more intriguing trend from a betting perspective is the fact that the third period has been the highest-scoring frame in four of five games, producing 13 of the 27 goals in the series. We like that trend to continue Saturday (+230).

    If you're looking for a player goal prop, it might be best to ignore the Blues' side of the ice; no St. Louis player has more than two goals in the series, while nine different skaters have converted at least one. But on the Winnipeg side, bettors should consider Kyle Connor, who scored three goals in the two games in St. Louis while firing nine shots on goal in those victories. Connor had 34 goals during the regular season, and might be the Jets' best bet of hitting the scoresheet in Game 5.


    CAROLINA HURRICANES AT WASHINGTON CAPITALS

    Moneyline Odds: Carolina +115/Washington -135
    Over/Under: 5.5 goals
    Series Price: Carolina +125/Washington -175
    Start Time: 8 p.m. ET, Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.

    Home team dominance has been the order of the series between the Hurricanes and Capitals, with the hosts winning each of the first four games. And the visitors have had a particularly hard time making headway in the opening period, with the home team leading after 20 minutes in every game while outscoring the opposition 7-1 along the way. Taking the host Capitals -0.5 at +175 looks like a strong play given how this series has progressed so far.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-20-2019 at 11:44 AM.

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