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Thread: Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/15

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    Default Monday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/15

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, April 15

    Good Luck on day #105 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    — Celtics 84, Pacers 74— Indiana scored 8 points in third quarter.

    — Blazers 104, Thunder 99— OKC was 5-33 behind the arc.

    — Rockies 4, Giants 0— Marquez had a no-hiiter into 8th inning.

    — Cardinals 9, Reds 5— NL Central rivals split pair of games in Mexico.

    — Astros 3, Mariners 2— Houston goes to Seattle and sweeps the Mariners.

    — Dodgers 7, Brewers 1— LA snaps its 6-game losing streak.


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sport weekend……

    13) I’m listening to Hubie Brown analyze the Spurs-Nuggets game Saturday, and he talks about when he coached games in Denver in the old ABA, when he coached the Kentucky Colonels, who were a really good team. He was talking about the high altitude in Denver.

    Then it dawned on me; the ABA folded in 1976, WHEN I WAS IN HIGH SCHOOL.

    Hubie is so awesome, so sharp, a pleasure to listen to. Absolutely no nonsense; he was coaching pro ball when I had a full head of curly hair, and thats a damn long time ago.

    12) The 1974-75 Kentucky Colonels were really good; they went 58-26, won the second-to-last ABA title, with a roster that included Artis Gilmore, Dan Issel, Louie Dampier, Will Jones, really good players.

    Had the Colonels’ owner not sold out to the ABA’s other owners and folded the Colonels (he was later allowed to buy the Celtics as a reward for screwing the Kentucky fans), Hubie Brown would have had a hell of a ballclub to go into the NBA with.

    Instead, the Nets, Pacers, Nuggets, Spurs joined the NBA for the 1976-77 season.

    11) One thing that disappointed me about Showtime’s 4-part Action series about sports betting is that they never showed the Westgate Theater on an NFL Sunday, which is my favorite place to be on any football Sunday. Just a perfect setup. Food to the left, betting in back, people are respectful of each other. I’ve had some excellent conversations in there with total strangers while watching football.

    On a college football Saturday, the Westgate SuperBook is great fun. The SuperBook is a cool place to hang out and the SouthPoint is awesome for baseball/basketball nights, but for an NFL Sunday, a 1,500-seat theater with food/betting is pretty much ideal.

    10) Last episode of the Action series last night focused on the Super Bowl, which was a very sad few hours at Armadillo World HQ (I’ve been a Ram fan since 1966). This isn’t an episode I’ll watch more than once. Too soon.

    9) FOX should have a much better #1 baseball analyst than John Smoltz, who doesn’t seem to like baseball that much. Listen to him for a few innings and it is obvious he’d much rather be out on the golf course. He should work for the Golf Channel.

    8) Congrats to the person who wagered $85,000 on Eldrick Woods this week at 14-1 odds; his payday is $1.19M, about half of what Woods won at Augusta.

    7) Baseball injuries:
    — Seattle put P Wade LeBlanc (oblique) on the IL
    — Braves put P Aroyds Vizcaino (shoulder) on IL
    — Boston OF Andrew Benitendi left Sunday’s game after fouling a ball off his foot.

    6) First two days of NBA playoffs, favorites were 4-4 vs spread; under was 8-0.

    5) Coaching carousel:
    — Cincinnati hired Northern Kentucky’s John Brannen as its new coach.
    — Utah Valley hired Lakers’ assistant Mark Madsen as its new coach.
    — Wofford promoted associate coach Jay McAuley as head coach.

    4) James Harden won the NBA scoring title this season by 8.09 points/game, the biggest margin of victory since Wilt Chamberlain won it by 16+ points in 1962-63.

    3) It is April 15; Dallas Keuchel and Craig Kimbrel are still free agents. Weird.

    2) Former Clemson QB Kelly Bryant is playing at Missouri now; when Mizzou had its spring game this weekend, 7 or 8 of his Clemson teammates went to Columbia to watch Bryant play- thats something NFL scouts will take note of down the road. A quarterback being liked/respected by teammates is a big deal to NFL scouts.

    1) NFL schedule comes out Thursday; seems like last season just ended.

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    Ballpark Figures - Week 4
    Joe Williams



    Wild Cards
    The St. Louis Cardinals meet the Milwaukee Brewers in a key early season matchup in the National League Central. The Cards enter play with six victories over the past seven outings, and they're a perfect 5-0 in the past five games against teams with a winning overall record. In addition, they're 4-1 in the past five games against a right-handed starting pitcher, while going 17-8 in the past 25 on the road vs. RHP. While all of that is well and good, they're 1-7 in the past eight matchups against the Brewers.

    The Brewers have emerged as a contender in the National League Central over the past two seasons, and they're have dominated against division foes lately. They're 23-8 in the past 31 games against NL Central teams. The Brewers are also 19-7 in the past 26 games against teams with a winning record, and they're 36-17 in the past 53 games at Miller Park, too. The Brewers have also handled themselves agaisnt winning teams, winning 19 of the past 26 against opponents over .500.

    Looking Ahead

    Monday, April 15

    The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies do battle at Citizens Bank Park in what should be a solid pitching matchup. RHP Noah Syndergaard will go up against RHP Aaron Nola in what could be a low-scoring affair. The Mets roll into this one with an 8-3 record across the past 11 road games, while going 7-1 in their past eight games on the road against a right-handed starting pitcher. In addition, they're 9-4 in the past 13 overall vs. RHP. All of that is great, but the Mets are actually 2-5 in the past seven starts on the road by Syndergaard against teams with a winning record.

    For the Phillies, they're 11-5 in the past 16 games overall, and they're 8-3 in the past 11 at 'The Vault'. In addition, they are 9-4 in the past 13 games inside the division, while going 4-1 in the past five against teams with a winning overall mark. They're 21-6 in the past 27 home outings by Nola, and they're 22-10 in his past 32 starts overall, too. The Phillies have also won 13 of his past 19 starts against NL East opponents. The Mets have made themselves at home in Philly, going 36-17 in their past 53 trips to the City of Brotherly Love. However, the Phillies are 5-0 in Nola's past five starts against the Mets, and 4-0 in his past four at home against the Amazins. The under is also 4-0 in his past four home starts against New York, and 6-0-1 in the past seven meetings overall against the Mets with Nola on the bump.

    The Indians and Mariners hook up at T-Mobile Park (formerly Safeco Field) on Monday night, and it's a great pitching matchup with RHP Trevor Bauer and rookie LHP Yusei Kikuchi hooking up. Bauer has posted a 1-1 record with a 2.29 ERA through 19 2/3 innings across three outings. Kikuchi has yet to factor into a decision yet through 21 2/3 innings with just three walks and 15 strikeouts.

    The Indians have won just once in the past five games, and they're 1-4 in the past five on the road, too. That includes a three-game sweep at the hand of the lowly Kansas City Royals. Bauer should be the stopper, as the Indians are 8-3 in the past 11 starts overall by Bauer, and 5-2 in the past seven road outings weith Bauer on the hill. They're also 11-5 in the past 16 starts by Bauer against teams with a winning record. The M's have won 16 of the past 21 games overall, and they're 13-4 in the past 17 vs. RHP. However, they're just 0-4 in the past four against teams with a winning record.

    Weather Report
    In Philadelphia, the Mets and Phillies will be facing winds blowing left to right at 19-23 mph, potentially favoring left-handed hitters. At Target Field, the Blue Jays and Twins will be facing a stiff wind of 10-13 mph blowing in from right field to home plate. The Angels and Rangers will also see a strong wing blowing from the right-field foul pole into the face of batters, and the winds will be gusting from 15-18 mph.

    Tuesday, April 16
    The Red Sox and Yankees renew their rivalry for a quickie two-game set in the Bronx on Tuesday night. Neither team has gotten off to the kind of start they were hoping for, as the Red Sox enter the week at 6-10, while the Yankees are just 6-9. Boston tries to get LHP Chris Sale on track. They're just 1-4 in his past five starts, and he enters the game with a dismal 0-3 record, 9.00 ERA and .361 OBP by opponents, while managing just eight strikeouts over 13 innings. That's definitely not what we've come to expect from Sale over the years. The Yankees counter with LHP James Paxton, who isn't that much better at 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA and .388 OBP.

    Boston heads into this one 9-3 in the past 12 vs. LHP, and they'e 2-7 over the past nine games on the road, too. For the Yankees, they're just 1-4 in their past five home outings, and 1-5 in the past six games overall. They're also just 1-5 in the past six games at home vs. LHP. In the past five meetings, the Red Sox have won four of them, with the 'over' cashing in seven of the past nine games overall. The over is also 5-2 in the past seven tangles in the Bronx, while going 4-0 in Sale's past four against the Yankees.

    The Astros and Athletics kick off a set in Oakland with RHP Collin McHugh and RHP Marco Estrada squaring off. Oakland looks to cool off Houston, as they enter on a nine-game winning streak. The Astros have won six in a row against winning teams, and they're 6-0 in the past six against RHP, too. They're also 20-7 in the past 27 games against AL West foes. In addition, the Astros are an impressive 33-6 in the past 39 starts by McHugh against AL West opponents. On the flip side, the A's have dropped each of Estrada's past four outings, and they're 1-4 in the past five starts against AL West foes, and 2-5 in the past seven vs. RHP.

    Weather Report
    The winds will be gusting at 10-13 mph from home plate to Pesky's Pole in right field, so it could be a high-scoring affair. It will be the opposite conditions in Arlington, as the Angels and Rangers will have a strong 15-18 mph wind blowing in from right field to home plate. In San Diego, the Rockies and Padres will be battling winds blowing in from left-center field to home plate at an 11-14 mph clip.

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    MLB
    Weather Report

    Monday, April 15



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    MLB
    Dunkel

    Monday, April 15



    Baltimore @ Boston

    Game 911-912
    April 15, 2019 @ 11:05 am

    Dunkel Rating:
    Baltimore
    (Straily) 12.717
    Boston
    (Velasquez) 13.859
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 1
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    -240
    11 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-240); Under

    NY Mets @ Philadelphia


    Game 901-902
    April 15, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Mets
    (Syndrgrd) 15.181
    Philadelphia
    (Nola) 13.700
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Mets
    by 1 1/2
    13
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    -125
    7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Mets
    (+105); Over

    Chicago Cubs @ Miami


    Game 903-904
    April 15, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago Cubs
    (Darvish) 15.780
    Miami
    (Richards) 13.234
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago Cubs
    by 2 1/2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago Cubs
    -125
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago Cubs
    (-125); Under

    Toronto @ Minnesota


    Game 913-914
    April 15, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    (Shmaker) 14.439
    Minnesota
    (Perez) 15.956
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 1 1/2
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    -125
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-125); Over

    St. Louis @ Milwaukee


    Game 905-906
    April 15, 2019 @ 7:40 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    St. Louis
    (Hudson) 14.759
    Milwaukee
    (Peralta) 17.202
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 2 1/2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    -135
    9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (-135); Under

    LA Angels @ Texas


    Game 915-916
    April 15, 2019 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Angels
    (Cahill) 15.247
    Texas
    (Miller) 16.831
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Texas
    by 1 1/2
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Angels
    -130
    10 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas
    (+110); Under

    Kansas City @ Chicago White Sox


    Game 917-918
    April 15, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Kansas City
    (Fillmyer) 15.544
    Chicago White Sox
    (Santana) 14.506
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kansas City
    by 1
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago White Sox
    -125
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kansas City
    (+105); Over

    Cincinnati @ LA Dodgers


    Game 907-908
    April 15, 2019 @ 10:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cincinnati
    (Castillo) 17.101
    LA Dodgers
    (Kershaw) 15.739
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cincinnati
    by 1 1/2
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Dodgers
    -165
    7
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cincinnati
    (+145); Over

    Colorado @ San Diego


    Game 909-910
    April 15, 2019 @ 10:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    (Snzatela) 15.549
    San Diego
    (Lucchesi) 14.440
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado
    by 1
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Diego
    -165
    7
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado
    (+145); Over

    Cleveland @ Seattle


    Game 919-920
    April 15, 2019 @ 10:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    (Bauer) 16.605
    Seattle
    (Kikuchi) 14.254
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 2 1/2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    -115
    7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (-115); Under
    Last edited by Udog; 04-15-2019 at 11:14 AM.

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    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, April 15



    National League
    Mets (9-6) @ Phillies (9-5)

    Syndegaard is 1-1, 4.74 in his first three starts; he is 2-2, 3.80 in five starts here. Team in his starts: 2-1
    5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 2-1

    Nola is is 0-0, 10.61 in his last two starts; he is 6-1, 3.35 in nine starts vs New York. Team in his starts: 1-2
    5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-3 Over/under: 3-0

    Mets are 7-3 in first ten road games; seven of their last eight games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-1-1 in last seven.

    Philly split its first eight games; four of their last five games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-1 last five

    Cubs (5-9) @ Marlins (4-12)
    Darvish is 0-2, 9.00 in his first three starts; he is 1-1, 7.94 in three starts vs Miami. Team in his starts: 0-3
    5-inning record: 1-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 2-1

    Richards is 0-1, 2.00 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 0-3
    5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 1-2

    Cubs lost nine of their first 14 games (over 9-5). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 9-5

    Miami lost six of its last seven games; six of their last nine games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-3-2 in last ten

    Cardinals (9-6) @ Brewers (8-6)
    Hudson is 0-1, 4.00 in his first two starts. Team in his starts: 1-1
    5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 0-2

    Peralta is 1-0, 6.91 in his first three starts; he is 0-1, 5.68 in 3 games (2 starts) vs St Louis. Team in his starts: 1-2
    5-inning record: 1-0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-3 Over/under: 2-1

    Cardinals won six of their last seven games; three of their last four went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-4 in last 11 games

    Milwaukee lost four of its last six games; they’re 5-2 at home. Over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-2 in last nine

    Reds (5-9) vs Dodgers (9-8)
    Castillo is 1-1, 0.92 in his first three starts; he is 2-0, 2.19 in two starts vs LA. Team in his starts: 2-1
    5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 1-2

    Kershaw was 9-5, 2.73 in 26 starts LY; he is 3-2, 2.54 in 10 starts vs Cincinnati. Team in his starts: 0-0
    5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

    Cincinnati won four of its last five games (under 10-4). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-3-1 in last 11.

    Dodgers lost six of their last seven games; over is 7-3 in their home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2 in last eight

    Rockies (4-12) @ Padres (11-6)
    Hoffman is 6-9, 5.88 in 37 MLB games (23 starts). Team in his starts: 0-0
    5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

    Lucchesi is 2-1, 4.40 in his first three starts; he is 1-0, 2.05 in four starts vs Colorado. Team in his starts: 2-1
    5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 1-2

    Colorado lost eight of its last nine games; under is 4-0-1 in his last five. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-1 in last four

    Padres won eight of their last 11 games; nine of their last 13 games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 7-9-1

    American League
    Orioles (6-10) @ Red Sox (6-10)

    Straily allowed five runs in 3.2 IP in his first ’19 start; he is 0-1, 6.00 in two starts at Fenway. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

    Velasquez threw three shutout innings in his first ’19 start. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Orioles lost nine of their last 11 games; nine of their last ten games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 7-7-2

    Boston lost 10 of its first 16 games (over 12-4). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 9-7

    Blue Jays (5-11) @ Twins (8-4)
    Shoemaker is is 3-0, 1.83 in his first three starts; he is 2-1, 4.05 in four starts vs Minnesota. Team in his starts: 3-0
    5-inning record: 3-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 1-2

    Perez was 2-7, 6.22 in 22 games (15 starts) LY; he is 1-2, 3.38 in four starts vs Toronto. Team in his starts: 0-0
    5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

    Blue Jays lost 10 of their last 13 games; four of their last five games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-10-1

    Minnesota won three of its last four games (over 3-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-1-1 last ten

    Angels (8-7) @ Rangers (7-7)
    Cahill is 1-1, 3.50 in his last three starts; he is 11-4, 3.22 in 20 starts vs Texas, 5-1, 3.22 in 8 starts here. Team in his starts: 1-2
    5-inning record: 2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 0-3

    Miller is 0-1, 9.53 in his two starts this year; he is 1-1, 6.75 in two starts against the Angels. Team in his starts: 1-1
    5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 1-0-1

    Angels won seven of their last eight games (under 9-5-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-2 last nine

    Texas lost five of its last seven games; over is 6-1-1 in their home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 10-4

    Royals (5-10) @ White Sox (5-9)
    Fillmyer allowed five runs in three IP in his first ’19 start. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 1-0

    Santana allowed seven runs in 3.2 IP in his first ’19 start; he is 7-10, 4.75 in 26 starts vs KC. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 1-0

    Royals won their last three games (over 10-3-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-2 in last seven games.

    Chicago lost six of its last eight games (over 10-4). Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 9-1 last ten

    Indians (8-7) @ Mariners (13-5)
    Bauer is 1-1, 2.29 in his first three starts; he is 1-4, 4.60 in 8 games (7 starts) vs Cleveland. Team in his starts: 2-1
    5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-3 Over/under: 0-3

    Kikuchi is 0-0, 5.82 in his first four starts. Team in his starts: 2-2
    5-inning record: 3-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-4 Over/under: 3-1

    Indians lost four of their last five games; under is 6-4 in their last 10 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-4 in last ten.

    Seattle just got swept by the Astros after a 13-2 start; over is 11-3-1 in their last 15 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 12-5

    __________________________________

    %age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
    Team (road-home-total)- thru 4/14
    Ariz 2-7……2-9………4
    Atl 1-5……6-10………7
    Cubs 1-9……1-5………2
    Reds 0-6……1-8……..1
    Colo 0-11……0-5……0
    LA 1-6……6-10…….7
    Mia 1-7……2-10……..3
    Milw 2-9…….5-7……..7
    Mets 3-10……0-5……..3
    Philly 1-5…….2-9……..3
    Pitt 3-8…….3-6…….6
    StL 2-8…….2-7……..4
    SD 4-10…….1-7…….5
    SF 0-7…….0-10…..0
    Wash 2-6…….3-8……..5

    Orioles 3-9…….4-7………7
    Boston 2-11…..1-5……….3
    W Sox 2-8…….1-6……….3
    Clev 3-9…….3-6………6
    Det 0-8…….3-7………3
    Astros 3-10…….2-6……..5
    KC 2-3…….6-12…….8
    Angels 0-8……1-6………1
    Twins 1-7……1-5………..2
    NYY 3-6……3-9……….6
    A’s 3-11…….1-8……..4
    Sea 4-9…….5-9………9
    TB 7-9…….3-7………10
    Texas 1-5…….3-8………4
    Toronto 0-6…….2-10……2

    Interleague play- 2019
    NL @ AL– 7-2 AL, favorites -$490 under 5-4
    AL @ NL– 5-4 NL, favorites -$167 over 5-4
    Total: 11-7 AL, favorites -$ 657 Under 9-9

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    MLB

    Monday, April 15


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Baltimore @ Boston
    Baltimore
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Baltimore's last 10 games
    Boston
    Boston is 21-4 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Baltimore
    Boston is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing Baltimore

    NY Mets @ Philadelphia
    NY Mets
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of NY Mets's last 14 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 9 games on the road
    Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home

    Chi Cubs @ Miami
    Chi Cubs
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games on the road
    Chi Cubs is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
    Miami
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

    St. Louis @ Milwaukee
    St. Louis
    St. Louis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    Milwaukee
    Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis
    Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Toronto @ Minnesota
    Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
    Minnesota
    Minnesota is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
    Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

    LA Angels @ Texas
    LA Angels
    LA Angels is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Texas
    LA Angels is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    Texas
    Texas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games when playing LA Angels

    Kansas City @ Chi White Sox
    Kansas City
    Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
    Chi White Sox
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

    Cincinnati @ LA Dodgers
    Cincinnati
    Cincinnati is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cincinnati's last 15 games on the road
    LA Dodgers
    LA Dodgers is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 10 games at home

    Colorado @ San Diego
    Colorado
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games when playing San Diego
    San Diego
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing Colorado
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado

    Cleveland @ Seattle
    Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Seattle
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Cleveland's last 22 games when playing on the road against Seattle
    Seattle
    Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Cleveland


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  8. #8
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    Nov 2004
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    MLB
    Long Sheet

    Monday, April 15


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY METS (9 - 6) at PHILADELPHIA (9 - 5) - 7:05 PM
    NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R) vs. AARON NOLA (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY METS are 56-96 (-35.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 859-904 (+19.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    NY METS are 457-473 (+39.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
    PHILADELPHIA is 41-46 (-13.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    NOAH SYNDERGAARD vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
    SYNDERGAARD is 5-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.23 and a WHIP of 1.275.
    His team's record is 6-4 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.3 units)

    AARON NOLA vs. NY METS since 1997
    NOLA is 6-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 3.35 and a WHIP of 1.137.
    His team's record is 7-2 (+5.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.6 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHICAGO CUBS (5 - 9) at MIAMI (4 - 12) - 7:10 PM
    YU DARVISH (R) vs. TREVOR RICHARDS (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 1795-1841 (-274.3 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 11-17 (-13.5 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 1326-1372 (-214.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 870-801 (-156.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
    DARVISH is 21-25 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    DARVISH is 33-30 (-21.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
    MIAMI is 34-34 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 25-21 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    YU DARVISH vs. MIAMI since 1997
    DARVISH is 1-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 7.94 and a WHIP of 1.588.
    His team's record is 2-1 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

    TREVOR RICHARDS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ST LOUIS (9 - 6) at MILWAUKEE (10 - 6) - 7:40 PM
    DAKOTA HUDSON (R) vs. FREDDY PERALTA (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 112-77 (+30.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 25-8 (+13.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 60-34 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 16-6 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 76-43 (+31.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 82-54 (+25.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 47-28 (+20.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 52-38 (+18.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 61-44 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

    DAKOTA HUDSON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
    HUDSON is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 6.24 and a WHIP of 2.079.
    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

    FREDDY PERALTA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
    PERALTA is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.00 and a WHIP of 1.667.
    His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CINCINNATI (5 - 9) at LA DODGERS (9 - 8) - 10:10 PM
    LUIS CASTILLO (R) vs. CLAYTON KERSHAW (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    CINCINNATI is 11-28 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 109-87 (-26.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 25-29 (-20.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 56-44 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 17-21 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 75-67 (-27.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA DODGERS are 63-53 (-18.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    LUIS CASTILLO vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
    CASTILLO is 2-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 0.730.
    His team's record is 2-0 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

    CLAYTON KERSHAW vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
    KERSHAW is 3-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.54 and a WHIP of 1.014.
    His team's record is 6-4 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-2. (+4.7 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    COLORADO (4 - 12) at SAN DIEGO (11 - 6) - 10:10 PM
    ANTONIO SENZATELA (R) vs. JOEY LUCCHESI (L)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    ANTONIO SENZATELA vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
    SENZATELA is 3-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.042.
    His team's record is 3-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

    JOEY LUCCHESI vs. COLORADO since 1997
    LUCCHESI is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.05 and a WHIP of 1.000.
    His team's record is 1-3 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.5 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BALTIMORE (6 - 10) at BOSTON (6 - 10) - 11:05 AM
    DANIEL STRAILY (R) vs. HECTOR VELAZQUEZ (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    BALTIMORE is 53-125 (-50.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 24-66 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 30-87 (-47.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 36-88 (-36.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
    BALTIMORE is 25-48 (-21.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 95-48 (+26.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 6-10 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 428-360 (-88.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
    BOSTON is 603-450 (-62.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BALTIMORE is 1-2 (+0.4 Units) against BOSTON this season
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

    DANIEL STRAILY vs. BOSTON since 1997
    STRAILY is 0-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.778.
    His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

    HECTOR VELAZQUEZ vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
    VELAZQUEZ is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.304.
    His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (5 - 11) at MINNESOTA (8 - 4) - 7:40 PM
    MATT SHOEMAKER (R) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 18-39 (-17.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    SHOEMAKER is 18-6 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    SHOEMAKER is 13-2 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    MATT SHOEMAKER vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
    SHOEMAKER is 2-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.500.
    His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

    MARTIN PEREZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
    PEREZ is 1-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.10 and a WHIP of 1.671.
    His team's record is 1-4 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA ANGELS (8 - 7) at TEXAS (7 - 7) - 8:05 PM
    TREVOR CAHILL (R) vs. SHELBY MILLER (R)
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA ANGELS is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against TEXAS this season
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

    TREVOR CAHILL vs. TEXAS since 1997
    CAHILL is 11-4 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.22 and a WHIP of 1.252.
    His team's record is 16-4 (+14.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-8. (+3.5 units)

    SHELBY MILLER vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
    MILLER is 1-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.750.
    His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    KANSAS CITY (5 - 10) at CHI WHITE SOX (5 - 9) - 8:10 PM
    HEATH FILLMYER (R) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    KANSAS CITY is 10-28 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHI WHITE SOX are 31-56 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHI WHITE SOX are 3-15 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games in April games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    KANSAS CITY is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

    HEATH FILLMYER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
    FILLMYER is 0-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 2.667.
    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

    ERVIN SANTANA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
    SANTANA is 7-10 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.81 and a WHIP of 1.348.
    His team's record is 9-17 (-13.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-12. (-0.4 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (8 - 7) at SEATTLE (13 - 5) - 10:10 PM
    TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. YUSEI KIKUCHI (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 99-81 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 44-46 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 57-50 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 23-24 (-11.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 27-38 (-24.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    SEATTLE is 13-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    SEATTLE is 23-14 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
    SEATTLE is 23-10 (+14.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
    SEATTLE is 72-48 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    SEATTLE is 11-4 (+7.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    SEATTLE is 46-30 (+13.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 115-84 (+44.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    TREVOR BAUER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
    BAUER is 1-4 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.39 and a WHIP of 1.463.
    His team's record is 1-6 (-6.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.7 units)

    YUSEI KIKUCHI vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  9. #9
    Join Date
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    STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTERS

    STREAKING

    Matt Shoemaker, Toronto Blue Jays (3-0, 0.92 ERA, $429)


    The new digs in Toronto seem to really suit Shoemaker who is having a career year with the Jays. The 32-year-old has struck out 19 batters and allowed just nine hits in 19.2 innings, with a WHIP of 0.71. His early season performance has paid off handsomely for a Blue Jays squad that signed him to a one-year $3.5 million contract in December, and for bettors who've backed him their investment will have paid off as well.

    Today, Shoemaker and the Blue Jays visit Minnesota as +115 underdogs. He could be in for a tough challenge against the Twins who are third in the majors in batting average and ninth in runs scored per game.

    SLUMPING

    Yu Darvish, Chicago Cubs (0-2, 7.50 ERA, $-426)


    Darvish is another 32-year-old righty but he is off to a terrible start this season, allowing 12 hits and walking 11 batters through 12 innings with a WHIP of 1.92. He has struggled with his control, especially of his fastball.

    Darvish will be looking to bounce back tonight against the Miami Marlins who are 28th in the league in runs scored per game with 2.88 and 23rd in BA hitting .222. The Cubbies are -125 faves for this road matchup with the 4-12 Marlins.


    THREE STRIKES

    STRIKELESS IN SEATTLE


    Cleveland generally plays well with Trevor Bauer starting, going 8-3 in his last 11 starts but there's a couple trends to beware of before backing them today. The Indians are 1-6 in Bauer's last seven starts against the Mariners and 1-4 in his last five starts in Seattle. Bauer has also historically struggled in April, with Cleveland 1-6 in his last seven starts on the road during this month.

    THE CLAW MAKES HIS RETURN

    Clayton Kershaw makes his season debut against the Cincinnati Reds Monday night, with the Dodgers -160 home faves. Arguably the greatest pitcher of this decade (along with Max Scherzer), Kershaw had problems with his shoulder during Spring Training causing L.A. to shut him down and start his season on the injured list. He went 9-5 with a 2.73 ERA in 2018.

    The Dodgers are 42-12 in Kershaw's last 54 home starts, and with Cincinnati starting Luis Castillo who is off to a great year with an ERA of 0.92 and a WHIP of 0.66 through three starts, the first five innings Under might be a good play.

    COMING DOWN TO EARTH

    Colorado heads to San Diego as +135 underdogs. The Rockies are 21-5-3 to the Under in their last 29 games away from Coors Field while the Padres have cashed in on the Under in six of their previous eight contests at home. The O/U for this one is set at a low 7 (especially considering the mediocrity of starting pitchers Joey Luchessi and Antonio Senzatela) but might be worth looking at given how poor both teams have batted so far this year.

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