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Thread: Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/14

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    Default Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/14

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, April 14

    Good Luck on day # 104 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Something I found this week contained these suggestions for being happy:

    — Return everything you borrow.

    — Admit it when you a mistake.

    — Stop blaming other people.

    — Listen more, talk less.

    — Realize and accept that life isn’t always fair.

    — Don’t sweat the small stuff; its all small stuff.


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

    13) Someone at the Westgate SuperBook placed a $3,000 bet on the Clippers to beat Golden State in their first round series at 100-1 odds. Yikes.

    12) Nets 111, 76ers 102— Far be it from me to question the Sixers’ focus, but Amir Johnson had a cellphone on the bench during the game; at one point, he and Joel Embiid were looking at something on it, while sitting on the bench. Didn’t look like a video of the Brooklyn offense. Or defense.

    Apparently Johnson’s daughter was ill and he was checking in on her during the game.

    Then there is this: “Use of a cell phone on the bench is a violation of the NBA Operations Manual. Violation will result in a substantial fine and/or suspension.”

    11) Giants 5, Rockies 2— These two teams are only ones in major leagues this season that haven’t scored a run yet in the first inning. Colorado hasn’t scored in first two innings yet this year.

    10) Rockies-Giants game lasted so long Friday night (18-inning game ended at 3:50am here in NY) that the seagulls that usually hover over the Giants’ ballpark late in games took off about an hour before the game ended.

    9) Still don’t understand why some teams bat their pitcher 8th. Tony LaRussa did it, and Joe Maddon has done it, but neither one of them ever did it in a playoff game, and until that happens, then it is just a gimmick.

    8) Sacramento Kings hired Luke Walton as their next head coach.

    7) Baseball injuries:
    — Texas 2B Rougned Odor (knee) heads to the IL.

    6) Orioles 9, Red Sox 5— Chris Davis had three hits in five plate appearances in this game. Coming into Saturday, Davis had three hits in his previous 83 PA’s.

    5) Tampa Bay’s Tommy Pham has now reached base in 47 consecutive games; the record is 84, held by Ted Williams.

    4) Duke played 26 basketball games on ESPN this season. 26 out of 38, and their four games in NCAA’s were all on CBS/Turner.

    3) There are 60 international players from 29 countries on NBA playoff rosters; every playoff team has at least two international players, with Utah (6) having the most.

    2) Going to be cruddy weather in Georgia Sunday; The Masters moved up tee times in the final round to 7:30am, with CBS coming on the air at 9am. Mets-Braves is the Sunday night ESPN game; doesn’t sound too promising for that game to be played.

    1) AAA Rochester Red Wings scored 18 runs Saturday….and lost, 20-18 in 10 innings.

    There is a sign on the scoreboard at Rochester’s stadium, sponsored by baldness.com. Having a sign on a scoreboard can’t be cheap. Must be good money in baldness.

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    21Ny Islanders -22 Pittsburgh
    NY ISLANDERS are 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games off a win against a division rival over the last 2 seasons.

    23Tampa Bay -24 Columbus
    TAMPA BAY is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.

    25Winnipeg -26 St Louis
    ST LOUIS are 17-2 ATS (16.4 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

    27San Jose -28 Vegas
    VEGAS are 1-7 ATS (-8.5 Units) against poor starting goalies - saving <= 89.5% of shots against in the current season.




    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, April 14


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    NY ISLANDERS (50-27-0-7, 107 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (44-27-0-13, 101 pts.) - 4/14/2019, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY ISLANDERS are 52-86 ATS (-36.0 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
    NY ISLANDERS are 50-34 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games this season.
    NY ISLANDERS are 7-1 ATS (+6.0 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
    NY ISLANDERS are 29-17 ATS (+6.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
    NY ISLANDERS are 20-10 ATS (+30.6 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
    NY ISLANDERS are 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a division game this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 44-40 ATS (+89.2 Units) in all games this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 33-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY ISLANDERS is 7-7 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 7-7-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-1.2 Units)

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    TAMPA BAY (62-18-0-4, 128 pts.) at COLUMBUS (49-31-0-4, 102 pts.) - 4/14/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLUMBUS is 33-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 62-22 ATS (+20.9 Units) in all games this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 29-10 ATS (+14.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 25-12 ATS (+12.0 Units) when trailing in a playoff series since 1996.
    TAMPA BAY is 21-8 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 22-4 ATS (+14.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 27-8 ATS (+15.0 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 32-15 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 251-248 ATS (+520.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
    COLUMBUS is 2-8 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLUMBUS is 5-6 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    TAMPA BAY is 6-5-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.2 Units)

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    WINNIPEG (47-32-0-5, 99 pts.) at ST LOUIS (47-28-0-9, 103 pts.) - 4/14/2019, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WINNIPEG is 0-6 ATS (-7.5 Units) when trailing in a playoff series since 1996.
    WINNIPEG is 11-15 ATS (-9.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    ST LOUIS is 32-15 ATS (+6.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
    ST LOUIS is 6-1 ATS (+4.8 Units) in the first round of the playoffs over the last 3 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 10-3 ATS (+6.1 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak this season.
    ST LOUIS is 26-16 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    ST LOUIS is 14-4 ATS (+18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
    WINNIPEG is 17-8 ATS (+26.4 Units) in road games in April games since 1996.
    WINNIPEG is 19-6 ATS (+11.1 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 20-14 ATS (+38.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 25-39 ATS (-36.9 Units) in home games on Sunday games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WINNIPEG is 10-5 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    WINNIPEG is 10-5-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-1.0 Units)

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    SAN JOSE (47-28-0-9, 103 pts.) at VEGAS (44-33-0-7, 95 pts.) - 4/14/2019, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VEGAS is 21-4 ATS (+15.0 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
    VEGAS is 47-23 ATS (+13.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    VEGAS is 54-40 ATS (+1.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN JOSE is 62-45 ATS (+112.6 Units) in road games in April games since 1996.
    SAN JOSE is 22-12 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN JOSE is 29-22 ATS (+57.6 Units) in road games in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
    SAN JOSE is 225-239 ATS (+505.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
    VEGAS is 44-40 ATS (-5.4 Units) in all games this season.
    VEGAS is 21-21 ATS (-13.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
    VEGAS is 12-16 ATS (-15.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VEGAS is 10-6 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
    VEGAS is 10-6-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
    11 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.6 Units)

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    NHL

    Sunday, April 14


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    Trend Report
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    New York Islanders
    NY Islanders is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    NY Islanders is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games
    NY Islanders is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 8 games on the road
    NY Islanders is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Pittsburgh
    NY Islanders is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Islanders's last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh
    NY Islanders is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    NY Islanders is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games
    Pittsburgh is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing NY Islanders
    Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Islanders
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games when playing NY Islanders
    Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
    Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 15 games
    Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Tampa Bay is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games on the road
    Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
    Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Columbus
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Tampa Bay's last 25 games when playing Columbus
    Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
    Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Columbus
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus
    Columbus Blue Jackets
    Columbus is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
    Columbus is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Columbus's last 19 games
    Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Columbus is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Columbus is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Columbus is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Columbus's last 25 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Columbus is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
    Columbus is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

    Winnipeg Jets
    Winnipeg is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
    Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
    Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
    Winnipeg is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing St. Louis
    Winnipeg is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
    Winnipeg is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
    St. Louis Blues
    St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of St. Louis's last 17 games at home
    St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
    St. Louis is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Winnipeg
    St. Louis is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
    St. Louis is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

    San Jose Sharks
    San Jose is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games
    San Jose is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose's last 8 games
    San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    San Jose is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games on the road
    San Jose is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Vegas
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing Vegas
    San Jose is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Vegas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing on the road against Vegas
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
    Vegas is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games
    Vegas is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games at home
    Vegas is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 5 games at home
    Vegas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Jose
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing San Jose
    Vegas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Jose
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-14-2019 at 11:39 AM.

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    NHL Stanley Cup playoffs best bets and prop predictions: Stunned Lightning looking for road reprieve
    Monty Andrews

    Three teams are on the verge of taking insurmountable 3-0 lead in their respective first-round Stanley Cup playoff series as the quest for the NHL championship continues Sunday. Both the Columbus Blue Jackets and St. Louis Blues pulled off major coups by taking 2-0 leads on the road against favored opponents, while the New York Islanders head to Pittsburgh up 2-0 in their best-of-seven set. Here are the top betting trends and tips to monitor for Sunday's four-game slate:

    NEW YORK ISLANDERS AT PITTSBURGH PENGUINS

    Moneyline Odds: New York +170/Pittsburgh -200
    Over/Under: 5.5 goals
    Start Time: 12 p.m. ET, PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, Penn.

    While the Penguins are considered a great bet to make good on home ice in Game 3, there are plenty of reasons why bettors might want to go with the under in this one. Pittsburgh comes in having gone 8-2-1 to the under in its past 11 home games, while the Islanders are 12-3-2 to the under in their last 17 as a road underdog. And for those of you looking for reason to go with New York, consider that Pittsburgh had the worst home penalty kill rate in the NHL during the regular season (73.6 percent).

    TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING AT COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS

    Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay -135/Columbus +115
    Over/Under: 6 goals
    Start Time: 7 p.m. ET, Nationwide Arena, Columbus, Ohio

    This series has stunned fans and bettors alike, with the Blue Jackets having outscored the 62-win Lightning by a 9-1 margin since the end of the first period of Game 1. But despite getting punched in the mouth by Columbus in Game 2 – and losing Nikita Kucherov to a Game 3 suspension – Tampa Bay has plenty going for it from a trends perspective. It has won eight straight games following a loss of three or more goals, and has prevailed in six of its previous seven visits to Nationwide Arena.

    WINNIPEG JETS AT ST. LOUIS BLUES

    Moneyline Odds: Winnipeg +140/St. Louis -155
    Over/Under: 5.5 goals
    Start Time: 7:30 p.m. ET, Enterprise Center, St. Louis, Mo.

    If the Jets are going to get back into this series, they'll need to extend a trend that has seen them win seven of their previous eight visits to St. Louis. And getting the first goal will be critical to their success; the only problem is, they've struggled to do that of late against the Blues, who have opened the scoring in four of the previous five meetings. And with St. Louis boasting a +25 first-period goal differential during the regular season, we like their chances of breaking out to a 1-0 lead Sunday.

    SAN JOSE SHARKS AT VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS

    Moneyline Odds: San Jose +130/Vegas -150
    Over/Under: 6.5 goals
    Start Time: 10 p.m. ET, T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nev.

    Look for more early fireworks on the Strip this Sunday as the Golden Knights and Sharks do battle to see which team can seize a 2-1 lead in their best-of-seven set. The Golden Knights evened the series with a 5-3 victory in an entertaining Game 2 that saw six total first-period goals. Early scoring has been a trademark of these teams in recent encounters, as they're averaging three first-period goals in their last six games. Bettors should take a long look at the over on the first-period total in Game 3.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-14-2019 at 11:40 AM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Sunday, April 14



    NY Islanders @ Pittsburgh

    Game 21-22
    April 14, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Islanders
    10.843
    Pittsburgh
    12.637
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 2
    4
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    -190
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (-190); Under

    Tampa Bay @ Columbus


    Game 23-24
    April 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tampa Bay
    11.409
    Columbus
    13.019
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Columbus
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -140
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Columbus
    (+120); Over

    Winnipeg @ St. Louis


    Game 25-26
    April 14, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Winnipeg
    10.512
    St. Louis
    11.364
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    St. Louis
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    St. Louis
    -155
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    St. Louis
    (-155); Under

    San Jose @ Vegas


    Game 27-28
    April 14, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Jose
    11.290
    Vegas
    9.710
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Jose
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vegas
    -150
    6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Jose
    (+130); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-14-2019 at 11:41 AM.

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    Playoffs Betting Stats -Sunday, April 14, 2019

    Favorites Moneyline: 6-9 SU
    Favorites Puckline: 4-11 ATS
    Home Teams: 8-8 SU

    Over/Under: 7-8-1

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