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Thread: Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/13

  1. #1
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    Default Saturday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/13

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, April 13

    Good Luck on day # 103 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Some of the better matchups for the Big East-Big X challenge next season:

    — Kansas @ Villanova

    — Seton Hall @ Iowa State

    — Oklahoma @ Creighton

    — West Virginia @ St John’s

    — Butler @ Baylor

    — Xavier @ TCU


    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

    13) Marquette guard Markus Howard will play his senior year at Marquette instead of testing the waters in the NBA, which is surprising.

    Howard is from Arizona, but transferred to Findlay Prep in Las Vegas after his sophomore season in HS, then skipped his senior year altogether to go to Marquette, at age 17. When you do that, you’re pretty much accelerating the clock for when you can play in the NBA.

    For a player like this to stay four years in college is very unusual.

    12) Then there is Kevin Porter Jr, who declared for the draft after scoring 9.5 ppg in 21 games (4 starts) as a freshman at USC. He played 22.1 mpg, missed 11 of the Trojans’ 33 games, shot 41.2% on the arc, 52.2% on foul line. This is a player who is listed as a top 15 talent in the draft, but what about this past season indicates that? He started four games for a 16-17 USC team.

    11) Louisville poached St. Joseph’s G Lamarr Kimble as a grad transfer, a big pickup.

    10) Lakers fired Luke Walton Friday; can’t be lot of fun hanging around there these days. Walton is expected to land in Sacramento as the Kings’ new coach.

    Tyronn Lue is expected to get the Lakers’ job; no shock considering he coached Lebron James in Cleveland.

    9) Toronto Raptors’ forward OG Anunoby had an emergency appendectomy, is expected to miss at least two weeks.

    8) Random stat: Raptors have played in 15 NBA playoff series; they lost the first game of those series 13 times, going 3-12 vs spread overall.

    7) July 31, 2018, the Pirates traded Tyler Glasnow, Austin Meadows and a minor leaguer to Tampa Bay, for Chris Archer.

    Archer is a good pitcher, but Glasnow allowed one run in 17 IP in his first three starts, and now Meadows has knocked in 15 runs in Tampa Bay’s first 13 games.

    Rays have played seven games on this road trip; they’ve scored in top of the first inning in every game.

    6) Interesting fact from Anthony Castrovince: 154 position players retired with only one career plate appearance in the major leagues; 16 of them got a hit. Only five of them are still alive.

    5) Baseball season is 16 days old; Bronx Bombers already have 12 players on the IL.

    4) Cardinals’ OF Harrison Bader was hit by a pitch with bases loaded twice Wednesday, first time that happened since 2005 (Reed Johnson, Toronto).

    3) NFL Draft is two weeks away; some notes:
    — Most picks: Giants, Patriots, 12 each
    — Fewest picks; Seattle (4).
    — Multiple 1st round picks: Oakland 3, Packers/Giants (2).
    — No 1st round pick: Dallas-Browns-Saints-Bears.

    2) Kid who scored 15.8 ppg LY for Bucknell will go to Kentucky next year as a grad transfer. Stuff like this is why there were fewer first round upsets in NCAA’s this year. The better players in the low major conference have big eyes, hoping to play a season getting on national TV a lot.

    1) Not that the NBA playoffs are boring, but since 1988, there have been 136 playoff series where the underdog was +$500 or higher; of those 136 series, the favorite won 129 of them.

    Does anyone think there is a team that can beat the Warriors best-of-7, unless Golden State gets at least two starters hurt? Nah, me either.

  3. #3
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    61Carolina -62 Washington
    CAROLINA is 14-6 ATS (8.1 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

    63Dallas -64 Nashville
    DALLAS are 31-25 ATS (6.5 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game in the current season.

    65Toronto -66 Boston
    TORONTO is 18-19 ATS (-16.2 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

    67Colorado -68 Calgary
    CALGARY is 10-17 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.




    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, April 13


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    CAROLINA (46-30-0-7, 99 pts.) at WASHINGTON (49-26-0-8, 106 pts.) - 4/13/2019, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAROLINA is 23-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 32-48 ATS (+83.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 115-75 ATS (+195.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 67-45 ATS (+0.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 45-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 45-23 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 62-42 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 38-26 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 30-15 ATS (+9.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
    CAROLINA is 19-10 ATS (+30.6 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 9-15 ATS (-17.6 Units) in home games when leading in a playoff series since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 10-3 (+5.4 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 10-3-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

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    DALLAS (44-32-0-7, 95 pts.) at NASHVILLE (47-30-0-6, 100 pts.) - 4/13/2019, 6:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NASHVILLE is 286-222 ATS (+514.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
    NASHVILLE is 59-34 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 219-240 ATS (+509.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NASHVILLE is 9-6 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    NASHVILLE is 9-6-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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    TORONTO (47-28-0-8, 102 pts.) at BOSTON (49-25-0-9, 107 pts.) - 4/13/2019, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 21-23 ATS (-19.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
    TORONTO is 10-20 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 14-7 ATS (+21.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BOSTON is 290-245 ATS (-156.2 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
    BOSTON is 36-43 ATS (-31.8 Units) in home games revenging a home loss versus opponent since 1996.
    BOSTON is 35-36 ATS (-14.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 12-8 (+5.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 12-8-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

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    COLORADO (38-31-0-14, 90 pts.) at CALGARY (51-25-0-7, 109 pts.) - 4/13/2019, 10:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLORADO is 38-45 ATS (-15.6 Units) in all games this season.
    COLORADO is 16-53 ATS (+102.1 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    COLORADO is 11-17 ATS (-9.3 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CALGARY is 9-1 (+8.0 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    CALGARY is 9-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-13-2019 at 11:19 AM.

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    NHL

    Saturday, April 13


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 9 games
    Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Carolina is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road
    Carolina is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games on the road
    Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
    Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Washington
    Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Carolina is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Capitals
    Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games
    Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Carolina
    Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Carolina
    Washington is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Carolina
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina

    Dallas Stars
    Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Dallas's last 19 games
    Dallas is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Dallas is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Dallas's last 23 games on the road
    Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
    Dallas is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Nashville
    Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Nashville
    Nashville Predators
    Nashville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Nashville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Nashville's last 13 games
    Nashville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
    Nashville is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Dallas
    Nashville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

    Toronto Maple Leafs
    Toronto is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games
    Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
    Toronto is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games on the road
    Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
    Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
    Toronto is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Boston Bruins
    Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games
    Boston is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Boston is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games at home
    Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
    Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
    Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
    Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

    Colorado Avalanche
    Colorado is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
    Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Colorado is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 12 games
    Colorado is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
    Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games on the road
    Colorado is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Calgary
    Colorado is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Calgary
    Colorado is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    Calgary Flames
    Calgary is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
    Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Calgary's last 12 games
    Calgary is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    Calgary is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games at home
    Calgary is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Colorado
    Calgary is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Colorado
    Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado
    Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-13-2019 at 11:20 AM.

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    NHL Stanley Cup playoffs best bets and prop predictions: Flames to keep up third period dominance
    Monty Andrews

    Calgary was virtually unbeatable in the third period during the regular season, boasting an unimaginable +54 goal differential in the frame.

    Two home teams look to seize 2-0 leads in their respective best-of-seven Stanley Cup series, while two others look to avoid going down 2-0 before hitting the road.

    It's Day 4 of the NHL postseason, and the Boston Bruins and Nashville Predators already find themselves in must-win mode in their respective series against the Toronto Maple Leafs and Dallas Stars. Here are the top betting trends and tips to monitor as the first-round action continues:

    CAROLINA HURRICANES AT WASHINGTON CAPITALS

    Moneyline Odds: Carolina +140/Washington -160
    Over/Under: 5.5 goals
    Start Time: 3 p.m. ET, Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.

    The Capitals' 4-2 triumph over the Hurricanes in Game 1 extended their recent home dominance over Carolina, a stretch in which Washington has won nine of 11 games while holding the Hurricanes to two or fewer goals on eight occasions. And each of the Capitals' previous five wins over Carolina have come by multiple goals – so if you're leaning toward the defending Stanley Cup champions to extend that trend, you should consider taking the hosts on the puckline at +160.

    DALLAS STARS AT NASHVILLE PREDATORS

    Moneyline Odds: Dallas +135/Nashville -155
    Over/Under: 5 goals
    Start Time: 6 p.m. ET, Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tenn.

    A first-period goal is a rarity for both the Dallas Stars and Nashville Predators – but bettors shouldn't let the Game 1 result sour them on what could be a profitable early prop. Both teams ranked at the bottom of the league in first-period goals in the regular season, and will be looking to continue their strong defensive play having ranked second and third in the NHL in fewest goals against. Look for the teams to go under the first-period goal total in what could be a low-scoring Game 2.

    TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS AT BOSTON BRUINS

    Moneyline Odds: Toronto +125/Boston -145
    Over/Under: 6 goals
    Start Time: 8 p.m. ET, TD Garden, Boston, Mass.

    The Toronto Maple Leafs had no trouble with a three-goal lead in their latest game encounter with the Boston Bruins, cruising to a 4-1 victory to seize control of their best-of-seven series. And while it's too early to push the panic button, it is noteworthy that the Bruins have now lost four consecutive games as a favorite. But with the Leafs having dropped six in a row following a victory and six of their past eight games in Boston, we like the Bruins to bounce back in a big way in Game 2.

    COLORADO AVALANCHE AT CALGARY FLAMES

    Moneyline Odds: Colorado +190/Calgary -230
    Over/Under: 6 goals
    Start Time: 10:30 p.m. ET, Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, Alta.

    The Flames were their usual dominant selves in the final 20 minutes of their series-opening 4-0 win over Colorado, scoring twice to bolster the lead they built with a pair of second-period tallies. Calgary was virtually unbeatable in the third period during the regular season, boasting an unimaginable +54 goal differential in the frame. And with Colorado ranking fourth in the NHL with 103 third-period goals, it's no stretch to go with the third as the highest-scoring period in this game.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-13-2019 at 11:20 AM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Saturday, April 13



    Carolina @ Washington

    Game 61-62
    April 13, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Carolina
    10.686
    Washington
    11.485
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -155
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-155); Under

    Dallas @ Nashville


    Game 63-64
    April 13, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    12.686
    Nashville
    11.424
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dallas
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Nashville
    -150
    5
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (+130); Over

    Toronto @ Boston


    Game 65-66
    April 13, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    11.382
    Boston
    9.915
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    -145
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (+125); Over

    Colorado @ Calgary


    Game 67-68
    April 13, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    9.474
    Calgary
    10.845
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Calgary
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Calgary
    -240
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Calgary
    (-240); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-13-2019 at 11:21 AM.

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