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Thread: Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/12

  1. #1
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    Default Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/12

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, April 12

    Good Luck on day # 102 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Odds for first round NBA playoff series:

    — Clippers +$10,000 vs Golden State -$50,000

    — San Antonio +$170 vs Denver -$200

    — Oklahoma City -$150 vs Portland +$130

    — Utah +$300 vs Houston -$400

    — Detroit +$2,000 vs Milwaukee -$10,000

    — Orlando +$800 vs Toronto -$1,400

    — Brooklyn +$550 vs Philadelphia -$800

    — Indiana +$500 vs Boston -$700


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……

    13) Baseball season is only 15 days old, and San Diego Padres have already had three starting pitchers (Paddack, Margevicius, Avila) make their major league debuts. None of the three ever pitched at the AAA level, which is very unusual- the three combined to make only eight starts at the AA level, which is revolutionary thinking.

    12) Teams/players have exit interviews after each season; if HBO wants to do a good reality show along the lines of Hard Knocks, these interviews would be fun to watch.

    No matter what team it is, there are always unhappy players at the end of a season; some of these teams don’t have many happy players. Must be some interesting conversation going on, moreso in basketball/baseball, teams with smaller rosters.

    11) I mean, Sacramento Kings just finished a 39-43 season, their best season in 13 years, yet they fired their coach. How do you think that exit interview went?

    Lot of politics in NBA coaching circles; the coach tried to win games, people in the front office wanted him to play the younger players more, which would’ve resulted in fewer wins, but maybe more longterm success if the younger players developed faster.

    Maybe there’s a reason Sacramento hasn’t had a winning season in over a decade.

    10) Southern Miss recently hired a new athletic director, and Thursday basketball coach Doc Sadler quit, probably to become an assistant to Fred Hoiberg at Nebraska.

    Sadler was at USM for five years, re-buillding a program that was ravaged by NCAA sanctions. Golden Eagles went 20-13 this year, their best season under Sadler- they started three seniors, so the new coach will have some recruiting to do.

    Whats slightly odd is that Sadler was Nebraska’s head coach from 2006-12, when the Huskers moved from the Big X to the Big 14. He was making $360,000 at Southern Miss, will take a pay cut to become an assistant, but probably not a big one.

    Just catches your attention when a pretty good head coach quits to become an assistant.

    9) If I ran major league baseball, I’d end all blackout policies, would let people use all the highlights from major/minor league games. In short, I’d give the game maximum exposure so that the casual fan/non-fans can see how excellent it is and they’ll develop an interest.

    Baseball does the opposite, and I’m guessing there is a financial reason why, but over the long haul, getting younger people invested in the game seems like a smarter business plan.

    8) Not really sure why, but ESPN doesn’t have Baseball Tonight anymore, but they have an hour-long NBA show during the day year-round. Baseball needs more exposure.

    7) Coaching contract:
    — Nevada signed Steve Alford to replace Eric Musselman as coach.

    6) Every returning Nevada player has entered the transfer portal, except for two guys who transferred there last year, and aren’t eligible until 2nd semester next season. Alford is going to have to do quick work re-recruiting the returnees, or he’ll have to recruit a whole new team.

    Similar thing at LSU, where five players have declared for the NBA Draft; if they fire Will Wade, and it seems likely they will, the new coach is going to be handed a depleted roster.

    5) In the bottom of the 5th inning Wednesday night, Mets had seven consecutive batters reach base against Minnesota, without ever hitting a fair ball- six walks and a hit batter, against three different pitchers. All in all, Mets scored six runs in the inning, with two singles.

    4) Cubs’ pitcher Jon Lester started his big league career 0-66 at the plate, but since then he’s hit .130 (27-207) to raise his career batting average to .099.

    3) Patrick Reed shot a 73 at The Masters Thursday; each of the last eight rounds at The Masters by that year’s defending champ have been over par.

    2) Red Sox 7, Blue Jays 6— Last season, Nathan Eovaldi allowed 14 homers in 111 IP. He’s allowed six homers this season in 15 IP. Boston scored twice in 9th for the comeback win; both teams are now 4-9 this season.

    1) On February 12, 2016, Milwaukee traded Khris Davis to the A’s, for Jacob Nottingham and Bubba Derby.

    Since that trade, Davis has homered 142 times for Oakland. Nottingham is 4-20 in nine major league games, Derby has a 4.16 ERA in 103 minor league games. Pretty good trade for the A’s.

  3. #3
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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Friday, April 12


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    COLUMBUS (48-31-0-4, 100 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (62-17-0-4, 128 pts.) - 4/12/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TAMPA BAY is 62-21 ATS (+40.0 Units) in all games this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 25-11 ATS (+12.2 Units) when trailing in a playoff series since 1996.
    TAMPA BAY is 22-3 ATS (+16.6 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 32-14 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 251-247 ATS (+565.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
    COLUMBUS is 21-13 ATS (+7.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
    COLUMBUS is 32-13 ATS (+14.1 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TAMPA BAY is 6-4 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
    TAMPA BAY is 6-4-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.8 Units)

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    PITTSBURGH (44-26-0-13, 101 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (49-27-0-7, 105 pts.) - 4/12/2019, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PITTSBURGH is 44-39 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 33-35 ATS (-17.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    NY ISLANDERS are 49-34 ATS (+83.1 Units) in all games this season.
    NY ISLANDERS are 35-17 ATS (+52.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    NY ISLANDERS are 11-1 ATS (+9.8 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
    NY ISLANDERS are 19-10 ATS (+30.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
    NY ISLANDERS are 19-9 ATS (+28.6 Units) after a division game this season.
    NY ISLANDERS are 51-86 ATS (+151.4 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY ISLANDERS is 6-7 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 7-6-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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    ST LOUIS (46-28-0-9, 101 pts.) at WINNIPEG (47-31-0-5, 99 pts.) - 4/12/2019, 9:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WINNIPEG is 28-8 ATS (+18.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 28-15 ATS (+7.6 Units) in April games since 1996.
    ST LOUIS is 31-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
    ST LOUIS is 25-16 ATS (+41.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    ST LOUIS is 13-4 ATS (+17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WINNIPEG is 10-4 (+5.3 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    WINNIPEG is 10-4-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.3 Units)

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    VEGAS (43-33-0-7, 93 pts.) at SAN JOSE (47-27-0-9, 103 pts.) - 4/12/2019, 10:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VEGAS is 43-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) in all games this season.
    VEGAS is 20-21 ATS (-15.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
    SAN JOSE is 133-86 ATS (-14.7 Units) in April games since 1996.
    VEGAS is 46-23 ATS (+12.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN JOSE is 188-158 ATS (-86.1 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VEGAS is 9-6 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
    VEGAS is 9-6-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
    10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.5 Units)

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    51Columbus -52 Tampa Bay
    TAMPA BAY is 59-19 ATS (29 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

    53Pittsburgh -54 Ny Islanders
    NY ISLANDERS are 42-24 ATS (20.5 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the current season.

    55St Louis -56 Winnipeg
    ST LOUIS are 16-2 ATS (15.3 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

    57Vegas -58 San Jose
    VEGAS are 3-15 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game in the current season.




    NHL

    Friday, April 12


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    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Columbus Blue Jackets
    Columbus is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
    Columbus is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Columbus's last 18 games
    Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Columbus is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Columbus's last 14 games on the road
    Columbus is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Columbus is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Columbus's last 24 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Columbus is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    Columbus is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games
    Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
    Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Columbus
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Tampa Bay's last 24 games when playing Columbus
    Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Columbus
    Tampa Bay is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Columbus
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Columbus

    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
    Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Pittsburgh's last 19 games
    Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games on the road
    Pittsburgh is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing NY Islanders
    Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
    Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
    Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
    New York Islanders
    NY Islanders is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    NY Islanders is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Islanders's last 15 games
    NY Islanders is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 7 games at home
    NY Islanders is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Pittsburgh
    NY Islanders is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
    NY Islanders is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
    NY Islanders is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

    St. Louis Blues
    St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
    St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    St. Louis is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Winnipeg
    St. Louis is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Winnipeg
    St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
    Winnipeg Jets
    Winnipeg is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
    Winnipeg is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    Winnipeg is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games at home
    Winnipeg is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing St. Louis
    Winnipeg is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing St. Louis
    Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis

    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
    Vegas is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
    Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Vegas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games on the road
    Vegas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Jose
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing San Jose
    Vegas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Jose
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Jose
    San Jose Sharks
    San Jose is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games
    San Jose is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    San Jose is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 7 games
    San Jose is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    San Jose is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home
    San Jose is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games at home
    San Jose is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Vegas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing Vegas
    San Jose is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Vegas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing at home against Vegas


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-12-2019 at 12:14 PM.

  4. #4
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Friday, April 12



    Columbus @ Tampa Bay

    Game 51-52
    April 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Columbus
    11.783
    Tampa Bay
    12.874
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -250
    6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tampa Bay
    (-250); Over

    Pittsburgh @ NY Islanders


    Game 53-54
    April 12, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pittsburgh
    12.603
    NY Islanders
    11.069
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    -130
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (-130); Under

    St. Louis @ Winnipeg


    Game 55-56
    April 12, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    St. Louis
    10.010
    Winnipeg
    11.181
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Winnipeg
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Winnipeg
    -120
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Winnipeg
    (-120); Under

    Vegas @ San Jose


    Game 57-58
    April 12, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Vegas
    10.366
    San Jose
    9.498
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Vegas
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Jose
    -125
    6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Vegas
    (+105); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-12-2019 at 12:15 PM.

  5. #5
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    Today's biggest bets and line moves: Bettors hammer Lightning odds vs. Blue Jackets
    Patrick Everson

    Tampa Bay was the NHL's No. 1 regular-season team by far, yet blew a 3-0 Game 1 lead against Columbus. However, the Lightning are drawing plenty of Game 2 money as huge -270 favorites tonight.

    The NHL’s best team by a mile in the regular season somehow came unglued in its playoff opener and looks to rebound Friday night. Covers checks in on the action and odds movement for three of this evening’s Stanley Cup playoff games, with insights from Will Bernanke, lead analyst for CG Analytics in Las Vegas.

    Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning – Open: -260; Move: -250; Move: -260; Move: -270

    Tampa Bay posted 62 wins and 128 points in the regular season, and looked every bit the part of a Stanley Cup favorite through the first period of Wednesday’s Game 1 against Columbus. The top-seeded Lightning (62-17-3-1) had a 3-0 lead at first intermission, then gave up four answered goals and lost 4-3 as hefty -250 favorites.

    Columbus needed a strong late-season push to nab the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference, and appeared overmatched while allowing those three first-period goals. But the Blue Jackets (48-31-3-1) got a goal in the second, then scored three goals in a six-minute stretch of the third to nab a stunning road upset as +200 underdogs.

    Bettors fully expect the best team in the NHL to rebound in this 7 p.m. ET faceoff.

    “Ticket count is 64 percent Tampa Bay and money 81 percent Tampa Bay,” Bernanke said of moneyline action at CG books, including at The Cosmopolitan and Venetian on the Vegas Strip. “Puck line (Tampa Bay -1.5 goals) is also 98 percent Tampa Bay, and we also took a $10,000 bet this morning on Tampa to win the series at the adjusted price of -200.

    “It looks like we will need Columbus to win and/or cover the puck line. Bettors feel there is no way on earth that Tampa falls behind 2-0 to the eighth-seeded Blue Jackets.”


    Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Islanders – Open: +110; Move: +115; Move: +110; Move: +105; Move: +110

    Pittsburgh has the Stanley Cup pedigree, but came up short in Wednesday’s best-of-7 series opener. The Penguins (44-26-10-3) traded goals throughout Game 1, tying it at 3 late in the third period, but losing 4-3 in overtime in a pick ‘em game.

    New York failed to reach the postseason the past two years, but put up a solid 103 points to make the eight-team East field this year. The Islanders (49-27-2-5) then held up on home ice against Sidney Crosby and Co., and now have a shot at a 2-0 series lead in this 7:30 p.m. ET puck drop.

    “Ticket count is 2/1 on Pittsburgh, and 92 percent of the money is on the Penguins,” Bernanke said, noting a similarity to the Columbus-Tampa game. “It looks like bettors feel there is no way Pittsburgh falls down 2-0.”


    Vegas Golden Knights at San Jose Sharks – Open: -135; Move: -132; Move: -135; Move: -130; Move: -135; Move: -130

    Vegas was the darling newcomer to the NHL last year, streaking all the way to the Stanley Cup Final before losing to Washington. This year’s playoffs got off to a much bumpier start, as the Golden Knights (43-33-5-2) had no answer in Wednesday’s Game 1, falling behind 3-0 on the way to a 5-2 loss as even-money road underdogs.

    San Jose got out of the gate quickly as it began work to avenge a second-round loss to Vegas in the 2017-18 playoffs. The Sharks (47-27-6-3) led 3-0 less than eight minutes into the second period and salted away the game with an empty-netter late in the third period to win as -120 home favorites.

    “Ticket count is 3/1 Knights and money is 2/1 Knights. Bettors feel Vegas will even the series up,” Bernanke said of a 10:30 p.m. ET clash. “It looks like bettors are trying their luck with the zig-zag theory, that the team down 1-0 in the series will win Game 2. So we need the Sharks, Columbus and New York.”

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