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Thread: Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/11

  1. #1
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    Default Thursday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 4/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, April 11

    Good Luck on day # 101 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Odds to win The Masters:

    — Rory McIlroy 8-1

    — Dustin Johnson 11-1

    — Justin Rose 14-1

    — Rickie Fowler 15-1

    — Jordan Spieth, Eldrick Woods 16-1

    — Koepka, Molinari, Rahm, Thomas 20-1


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

    13) Tampa Bay 9, White Sox 1- Rays are off to a 10-3 start; they scored in top of the first inning in all six games on this road trip. Wondering if they prepare differently than other teams, which allows them to score early in games?

    12) A gambler wagered $85,000 at a William Hill sportsbook on Eldrick Woods to win The Masters; if Woods wins, the gambler banks $1.19M.

    11) Thinking about the Virginia-Texas Tech game Monday night, and how the total opened at 120 and was quickly bet down to 117. Books cleaned up on that, after the 85-77 final.

    10) Next fall St John’s will have their 6th hoop coach in 18 years; located in Queens, you’d think the Red Storm would be good at basketball, but over the last 17 years. St John’s is 106-190 in Big East games. Of their last five coaches, Steve Lavin was by far the best.

    Why wouldn’t the people who run the school take a deep breath, count to 10, think of all the money they’re about to make and hire Rick Pitino?

    9) Baseball wagering advice; next time Freddy Peralta pitches for the Brewers, check the lineup to see who Milwaukee’s catcher is.

    When Manny Pina catches Peralta, as he has 75% of the time, batters hit .165 vs Peralta.

    When someone else catches Peralta, teams hit around .300 against him.

    This isn’t difficult; I mean, I was lucky to graduate from a state college, but even I know that Peralta is a way better pitcher when Pina is his catcher.

    8) Twins’ OF Max Kepler was born in Germany; both his parents were ballet dancers.

    Twins were scheduled to fly home after their game at Citi Field last night, but they might not have made it; they were expecting 15 inches of snow in the Twin Cities, so the plane may have had to land in Milwaukee instead.

    7) Coaching carousel:
    — BYU hired former Utah Valley coach Mark Pope as its new coach.
    — Belmont hired Lipscomb coach Casey Alexander, a Belmont alum.

    6) I get this phone call Tuesday afternoon, from some company supposedly trying to get me a job, a job I haven’t asked for, nor one that I want.

    Politely tell the woman that I’m not interested, but she rattles on and I listen. She asks if I’m an American citizen, I say yes. Then she asks what year I graduated high school. When I tell her, she abruptly ends the call and hangs up. Alrighty then.

    Thanks for nothing, lady.

    5) Orlando Magic made the NBA playoffs this year for first time in seven years under coach Steve Clifford, who is in his first year with the Magic.

    Coaches often lead a nomadic existence; way back in 1994-95, Clifford spent a season as an assistant coach at Siena College, which is four miles from Armadillo World HQ here in beautiful Colonie, NY.

    Siena is a small school; they have a good mid-major basketball program, but its a hell of a long way from the NBA. Credit to coach Clifford for making it to and succeeding in the bigtime.

    4) Celtics’ Marcus Smart has suffered a torn oblique on his left side and could be sidelined for the first two rounds of the NBA playoffs.

    3) Kansas City’s Billy Hamilton scored from second on a long fly ball to centerfield Tuesday night. Hamilton ain’t much of a hitter, but he is a good fielder and is very, very fast.

    2) Magic Johnson must’ve been pretty disgusted if he quit without telling Jeannie Buss or Rob Pelinka first; common wisdom seems to be that Johnson didn’t work that hard at the job- he has business interests he deals with, too. Being a team president is a pretty serious job.

    He actually said, “Now I can tweet whenever I like” kind of a stunning thing to say.

    1) Just because a guy was a great ballplayer doesn’t mean he will be great at other stuff.

    Playing.
    Coaching.
    Being an executive. Three different skill sets.

    Great players can be arrogant about thinking they know more about everything than a guy who didn’t play, or didn’t play as well. That simply isn’t true, and it gets proven every year.

  3. #3
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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, April 11


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    TORONTO (46-28-0-8, 100 pts.) at BOSTON (49-24-0-9, 107 pts.) - 4/11/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 20-23 ATS (-21.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
    BOSTON is 13-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
    TORONTO is 13-7 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    BOSTON is 290-244 ATS (-155.4 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 11-8 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 11-8-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.4 Units)

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    CAROLINA (46-29-0-7, 99 pts.) at WASHINGTON (48-26-0-8, 104 pts.) - 4/11/2019, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAROLINA is 67-101 ATS (-44.1 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
    CAROLINA is 23-33 ATS (-14.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 26-54 ATS (+86.2 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
    CAROLINA is 16-44 ATS (+74.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 114-75 ATS (+193.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 66-45 ATS (-0.6 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 44-24 ATS (+9.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 44-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 23-8 ATS (+12.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 61-42 ATS (+2.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 37-26 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 30-14 ATS (+10.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
    CAROLINA is 19-8 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a division game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 9-3 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 9-3-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

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    COLORADO (38-30-0-14, 90 pts.) at CALGARY (50-25-0-7, 107 pts.) - 4/11/2019, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLORADO is 38-44 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games this season.
    COLORADO is 16-52 ATS (+100.3 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    COLORADO is 0-6 ATS (-7.3 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CALGARY is 8-1 (+7.0 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    CALGARY is 8-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.1 Units)

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    NHL

    Thursday, April 11


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    Trend Report
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    Toronto Maple Leafs
    Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
    Toronto is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
    Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
    Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
    Toronto is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Toronto is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Boston Bruins
    Boston is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
    Boston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games
    Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
    Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
    Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
    Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto


    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games
    Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Carolina is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games on the road
    Carolina is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Washington
    Carolina is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Washington
    Carolina is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Carolina is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Capitals
    Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games
    Washington is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Washington is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
    Washington is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Carolina
    Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Carolina
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Carolina
    Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina
    Washington is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Carolina
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina


    Colorado Avalanche
    Colorado is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
    Colorado is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Colorado's last 15 games
    Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Colorado is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games on the road
    Colorado is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
    Colorado is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
    Colorado is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    Calgary Flames
    Calgary is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 11 games
    Calgary is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Calgary is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games at home
    Calgary is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
    Calgary is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
    Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
    Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-11-2019 at 11:08 AM.

  4. #4
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Thursday, April 11



    Toronto @ Boston

    Game 11-12
    April 11, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    11.448
    Boston
    9.849
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    -145
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (+125); Over

    Carolina @ Washington


    Game 13-14
    April 11, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Carolina
    10.987
    Washington
    12.184
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -145
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-145); Under

    Colorado @ Calgary


    Game 15-16
    April 11, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    11.195
    Calgary
    10.094
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Calgary
    -190
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado
    (+165); Over





    11Toronto -12 Boston
    TORONTO is 5-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) in road games against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

    13Carolina -14 Washington
    CAROLINA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after 2 consecutive division games in the current season.

    15Colorado -16 Calgary
    CALGARY is 9-17 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-11-2019 at 11:09 AM.

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