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Thread: Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/5

  1. #1
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    Default Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/5

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, April 5

    Good Luck on day # 95 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Some more very early NFL over/under win totals:

    — Houston 8.5, over -$120

    — Indianapolis 9.5, under -$120

    — Jacksonville 8, under -$120

    — Kansas City 10.5, over -$120

    — Chargers 10, under -$115

    — LA Rams 10.5, over -$115


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…..

    13) Interesting article Thursday on bleacherreport.com about Aaron Rodgers and how his relationship with coach Mike McCarthy disintegrated over the years. If you’re a Packer fan, it has to be disturbing. As a football fan, not sure what word I’ll use to describe it.

    “Disappointing” I guess. Rodgers comes off as kind of a creep.

    McCarthy was the 49ers’ OC when San Francisco took QB Alex Smith instead of Rodgers in the ’05 draft. Rodgers never forgave McCarthy for saying that Smith was the better QB. Maybe that chip on his shoulder is what made Rodgers a great player. Will be curious to see how Green Bay does this year with a new coach and an aging QB who doesn’t resent him. Yet.

    12) Think my biggest takeaway from the article is how long this disconnect was allowed to go on. Former Packer players say that the team should’ve won multiple Super Bowls, but that chances were squandered, and there was lot of blame to go around. An interesting read.

    11) Two guys from the AAF have already signed with NFL teams:
    — Keith Reaser, a CB from Orlando, signed with Kansas City
    — Rashad Ross, a WR from Arizona, signed with Carolina.

    10) When an umpire tells a manager “I can do anything I want!!” that doesn’t look good for baseball, but thats what happened in Arlington Wednesday night, with Ron Kulpa tossing Astros’ manager AJ Hinch and also Houston’s hitting coach, in the 2nd inning.

    Houston starts season with a 2-5 road trip; they’ve scored 10 runs in their last six games.

    As for Kulpa, over last seven years, under is 112-73 when he’s been behind the plate, so he is a pitcher’s friend. Last year, he worked only eight games behind the plate.

    9) A’s 7, Red Sox 3— Oakland takes three of four from Boston; Ramon Laureano threw out another baserunner from CF; he threw three guys out in this series, all at 3rd or home.

    8) Blue Jays’ manager Charlie Montoyo went 2-5 in four games for the 1993 Montreal Expos, his only playing experience in the major leagues. Hard as hell to make it to the majors, so hats off to him, but Montoyo played in 1,028 minor league games, 534 of them at the AAA level.

    Imagine how frustrating it must’ve been to be that close to the majors, yet only get the call one time? I’m guessing that experience will make him a pretty good big league skipper.

    7) In the last 18 months, Texas A&M has committed $99.3M to its football/basketball coaches when they hired Jimbo Fisher, Buzz Williams away from ACC schools.

    6) Top five cities in country, with regard to adults still living at home with their parents:
    — Riverside, CA 28.1%
    — Miami 27% (26.5% of whom are unemployed)
    — Los Angeles 26.9%
    — New York 24.7%
    — San Antonio 23.2%

    5) Indians 4, Blue Jays 1— Trevor Bauer threw 117 pitches in seven no-hit innings in his second start of the season. Last pitcher to throw 120+ pitches in an April start? Tyson Ross threw 127 in a start last April 30.

    4) From NFL Hall of Famer Gil Brandt:
    “Here’s a prediction: 4 quarterbacks will be drafted in the first 25 picks this year.”

    3) Thursday was Opening Day in the minor leagues; part of being in a fantasy baseball league is checking thru boxscores and gaining knowledge. Not relevant for fantasy owners: Tim Tebow is in AAA for the Mets and went 0-4 with two strikeouts Thursday.

    2) Maybe Lebron James should coach the Lakers next year.

    1) Since 2015, Homer Bailey is 9-27 with a 6.24 ERA; he is making $23M this season.

    Chris Davis is 0 for his last 37 with 21 strikeouts. He makes $23M also.

    What a country.

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    Friday's Essentials
    Tony Mejia

    Game of the Night - Portland at Denver (-6.5, 216), 10:35 ET, ESPN

    Denver is closing in on its first Northwest Division title since 2010 and hasn’t won a series since ’09, so this has the makings of a special season if this group can finish strong. Of course, Game 79 is still early enough to become the beginning of the end.

    The Nuggets have beaten the Blazers twice already this season, so all they need to clinch the Northwest is to pick up a victory here or on Sunday in Portland to wrap things up since that would give them a head-to-head tiebreaker if the teams wound up even. They’re closing in on at least the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference, guaranteeing they wouldn’t run into a Warriors team they’ve led for just seven minutes the last three times the teams have faced one another. Getting past the Rockets wouldn’t be easy, but that’s what makes getting homecourt advantage in that potential series so vital.

    Everything could still fall apart if Denver continues to falter down the stretch, particularly if the new-look Blazers can successfully sweep this weekend home-and-home. It’s looking increasingly likely that Golden State will recapture the No.1 seed after losing it to Houston last season, while the Rockets enter Friday’s action ahead in the Southwest and up a half-game on Portland for the No. 3 seed. Things have played out this way in part due to the Nuggets’ disappointing finishing kick, which has seen them lose four of their last seven to hand conference supremacy back to the Warriors.

    Despite getting healthier with Will Barton and Gary Harris returning to action after lengthy absences, Denver is just 15-11 since Feb. 4. Holding leads have been a problem, which has required Nikola Jokic to play hero late in games to help the team avoid choking away even more games than it has. The Nuggets are 11-15 ATS over the past two months and have had trouble getting baskets when they most need them. They were held to just 28 points in a 95-90 win over Washington before losing in Oakland and have scored 102 or fewer points in five of their last seven.

    With back-to-back games against Portland followed by a trip to Utah, Denver has an opportunity to pick up some confidence by registering a quality win or two, but that’s where it really has to be careful here. Unlike the Warriors, Rockets, Jazz or Blazers, this team has very little postseason experience. Only Paul Millsap has played in truly significant games, so the Nuggets’ late-season slippage is troublesome as the playoffs approach.

    A rough stretch over the next few days could foil the Nuggets’ entire season.

    Denver does come off an impressive 113-85 rout of the Spurs to bounce back from their latest disappointing duel with Golden State, so that’s certainly a good sign going forward since it played one of its sharpest contests of 2018-19. The defense held San Antonio to 38 percent shooting in surrendering a season-low in points while the offense registered a season-best 41 assists.

    The Trail Blazers are going to look much different than they did when they last came through town on Jan. 13. Denver got big plays in the final two minutes from Jokic and point guard Jamal Murray to win 116-113, overcoming 26 points from Damian Lillard. Shooting guard C.J. McCollum and center Jusuf Nurkic combined for 40 points in the loss, but neither will be a part of Friday’s matchup due to injuries. McCollum is still working his way back from a knee injury suffered a few weeks ago and will make the trip to Denver but won’t suit up. Nurkic suffered a horrific season-ending injury against Brooklyn on March 25, but Portland has managed to survive without two starters and has won 11 of its last 13.

    Rodney Hood has filled in for McCollum and Enes Kanter is filling the center vacancy, so both newcomers have gained valuable reps with their new teammates that should serve them well in the playoffs. McCollum is getting closer to a return, but he won’t be rushed back. He’s led the Blazers in scoring against Denver, averaging 25.5 points over the two losses, while Lillard has struggled with his shot, coming in 14-for-37, including 5-for-18 from 3-point range. Jokic got the better of Nurkic in the most recent game, landing him in foul trouble while making 15 of 23 shots to finish with 40 points. Kanter isn’t known as a great defender, so he should have another big game as the team’s primary facilitator regardless of how Terry Stotts approaches coverage.

    The Blazers will have Zach Collins in place behind Kanter to try and slow Jokic down and may have to dust off Meyers Leonard, who has been stuck in Stotts’ doghouse. Evan Turner has come up with consecutive triple-doubles off the bench and will be the x-factor here since a second unit’s ability to help the visitors hang in there in Denver’s altitude is so vital to winning there. At 32-7, Denver’s home record is second-best in the NBA behind Milwaukee (32-6). The Trail Blazers are 20-19 on the road.

    Denver has won five straight against Portland, last losing in Nov. 2017. It has won four consecutive games at Pepsi Center against the Blazers, last losing in October of ’16. While the Nuggets have a tough game at the Jazz following this home-and-home, Portland closes with the Lakers and Kings, so running the table and finishing as high as No. 2 is certainly possible despite its injury woes.

    The ‘under’ is 18-3 over Denver’s last 21 games since action resumed after the All-Star break. The number here (216) is in the neighborhood of where it resided in the first two encounters (214, 217) between these teams.

    Best of the Rest

    Boston at Indiana, 8:05 p.m. ET, ESPN:
    The Celtics may have ruined the Heat’s hopes of making the playoffs by sweeping a home-and-home from them and put themselves in position to claim homecourt advantage in a 4-5 series between these two that will start up in roughly 8-9 days. Indiana can still finish ahead of Boston by winning here and gaining a split of the four matchups this season but are hoping to have point guard Darren Collison and shooting guard Wes Matthews back in the starting backcourt after both returned to practice on Thursday. Both will be game-time decisions here and would be replaced by Cory Joseph and Tyreke Evans if they can’t go. Al Horford should continue to play through knee soreness and comes off his second career triple-double in Boston’s 110-105 win in Miami on Wednesday. Neither Marcus Morris (knee) and Jaylen Brown (back) participated in South Florida and aren’t expected to play here, leaving more touches for Jayson Tatum and Gordon Hayward. Kyrie Irving won the most recent meeting between the teams on March 29, clinching a 114-112 victory on a layup with 0.5 left to close out a 30-point night. Bojan Bogdanovic led Indy with 27 points. The Pacers had lost four straight home games against the Celtics before winning 102-101 back on Nov. 3. They last won consecutive home games against Boston back in ’15-’16.

    Detroit at Oklahoma City, 8:05 p.m. ET:
    The availability of Blake Griffin will decide just how competitive the Pistons can be in Oklahoma City. Considering how much Detroit’s All-Star loves playing in his home state, we’ll know this sore knee is a bigger issue than Detroit is letting on if he doesn’t suit up. The Pistons have been lost without him this week, dropping a pair of games against Indiana while looking atrocious on the offensive end without their primary catalyst to play through. They’re 1-5 without him this season. Expect word of his availability to come prior to warm-ups, making this a late call, handicapping-wise. One angle to potentially jump on is a low score considering the ‘under’ is 13-6-1 over OKC’s last 20 games due to its inconsistent shooting, although the 119 points it managed in Tuesday’s rout of the Lakers was its largest output since March 7. The Thunder are seventh in the West and may be satisfied with slotting in against a likely matchup with Denver by finishing seventh, but still must finish ahead of the Spurs so they’ll be all in here. Despite this week’s struggles, Detroit’s grasp on the No. 6 seed has been strengthened by other results. Oklahoma City won in Detroit 110-83 on Dec. 3.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-05-2019 at 11:04 AM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Friday, April 5



    Toronto @ Charlotte

    Game 533-534
    April 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    123.984
    Charlotte
    113.189
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 11
    218
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 5 1/2
    223
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-5 1/2); Under

    Atlanta @ Orlando


    Game 535-536
    April 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    118.964
    Orlando
    120.186
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Orlando
    by 1
    221
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Orlando
    by 8 1/2
    225 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+8 1/2); Under

    San Antonio @ Washington


    Game 531-532
    April 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    119.087
    Washington
    109.276
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio
    by 10
    233
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Antonio
    by 6
    227
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (-6); Over

    Boston @ Indiana


    Game 539-540
    April 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    118.382
    Indiana
    121.867
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 3 1/2
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    by 1
    214 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Indiana
    (-1); Under

    New York @ Houston


    Game 537-538
    April 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New York
    111.719
    Houston
    125.856
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 14
    224
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 16 1/2
    220 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    (+16 1/2); Over

    Miami @ Minnesota


    Game 541-542
    April 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    118.736
    Minnesota
    112.622
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami
    by 6
    222
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami
    by 2 1/2
    217 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (-2 1/2); Over

    Detroit @ Oklahoma City


    Game 543-544
    April 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    116.899
    Oklahoma City
    117.919
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 1
    219
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 10 1/2
    215 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (+10 1/2); Over

    Memphis @ Dallas


    Game 545-546
    April 5, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    116.523
    Dallas
    115.061
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Memphis
    by 1 1/2
    217
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Dallas
    by 4
    220
    Dunkel Pick:
    Memphis
    (+4); Under

    Sacramento @ Utah


    Game 547-548
    April 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Sacramento
    117.713
    Utah
    125.627
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 8
    221
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 10 1/2
    224
    Dunkel Pick:
    Sacramento
    (+10 1/2); Under

    New Orleans @ Phoenix


    Game 549-550
    April 5, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    108.649
    Phoenix
    110.040
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Phoenix
    by 1 1/2
    236
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 1
    233 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (+1); Over

    Portland @ Denver


    Game 555-556
    April 5, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Portland
    124.922
    Denver
    118.779
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Portland
    by 6
    214
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 6 1/2
    216
    Dunkel Pick:
    Portland
    (+6 1/2); Under

    Cleveland @ Golden State


    Game 551-552
    April 5, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    107.580
    Golden State
    125.798
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 18
    230
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 16
    225 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Golden State
    (-16); Over

    LA Lakers @ LA Clippers


    Game 553-554
    April 5, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Lakers
    110.952
    LA Clippers
    124.975
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 14
    221
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 9 1/2
    230
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Clippers
    (-9 1/2); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-05-2019 at 11:05 AM.

  5. #5
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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, April 5


    San Antonio is 3-5 in its last eight games (1-7 vs spread); they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 13-4 in their last 17 games. Washington lost seven of its last nine games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six home games. Three of their last four games went over. Home side won eight of last nine Spur-Wizard games; San Antonio is 2-3 vs spread in its last five visits to Washington. Five of last six series games went over.

    Toronto won its last five games, covered last four; they’re 6-2 vs spread in last eight road games. Five of their last seven road games went over. Charlotte lost three of its last four games; they covered their last three home games. Last three Hornet games stayed under. Raptors won five of their last six games with the Hornets; they covered three of their last four visits to Charlotte. Six of last seven series games went over.

    Hawks won five of their last seven games; since All-Star break, they’re 16-5 vs spread. Five of their last seven games went over. Orlando won eight of its last ten games; they covered four of their last five home games. Over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Magic won six of last eight games with Atlanta; four of last five series games played here went under the total. Hawks are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Orlando.

    Knicks lost 15 of their last 17 games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six road games. Under is 10-5 in their last 15 games. Houston won six of its last seven games; they’re 3-0-1 vs spread in last four home games. Under is 14-3 in their last 17 games. Rockets won their last six games with New York, but Knicks covered three of last four. NY covered its last five visits to Houston. Six of last eight series games went over.

    Boston won four of its last five games; they’re 2-3-1 vs spread in last six road games. Over is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Indiana won its last two games after a 1-7 skid; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six home games. Three of their last four games went over. Celtics won seven of last ten games with the Pacers; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Indiana. Six of last nine series games went over.

    Miami is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 9-1 vs spread in last 10 road games. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Timberwolves lost eight of last 11 games, are 1-6 vs spread in last seven home games. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Road team won six of last seven Miami-Minnesota games; Heat covered their last four games in the Twin Cities. Four of last five series games went over.

    Pistons lost five of their last seven games; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five road games. Four of their last six road games went over. Oklahoma City lost seven of its last ten games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Last six OKC games stayed under. Thunder won three of last four games with Detroit; eight of last nine series games stayed under the total. Pistons are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Oklahoma.

    Grizzlies lost seven of their last ten games, are 2-4 vs spread in last six road games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Mavericks lost six of their last nine games, are 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Six of their last seven games stayed under the total. Memphis/Dallas split their last ten games; last five series games stayed under. Grizzlies are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Dallas.

    Kings are 9-9 in their last 18 gams; they’re 3-4-1 vs spread in last eight road games. Six of their last nine games stayed under. Utah won six in row, 11 of last 12 games; they’re 3-7 vs spread in last ten home games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Jazz won seven of last eight games with Sacramento; five of last six series games went over total. Kings covered their last three visits to Salt Lake City.

    New Orleans lost 11 of its last 13 games; they covered four of last five road games. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Suns lost seven of their last eight games; they’re 1-6 vs spread in last seven home games. Three of their last four games went over. Pelicans won eight of their last nine games with Phoenix; they covered their last five trips to the desert. Four of last five series games went over.

    Cavaliers lost six of their last seven games, are 3-4 vs spread in last seven road games. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Warriors won seven of their last nine games, are 4-3 vs spread in last seven home games. Under is 14-3 in their last 17 games. Golden State won its last eight games with Cleveland, covering six of last seven; Cavaliers are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Oakland. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games.

    Lakers lost their last two games by 16-18 points; they covered three of last four games at Staples. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. Clippers won eight of their last ten games, are 3-1 vs spread in last four games at Staples. Eight of their last ten games went over. Clippers won eight of last ten games with the Lakers, covering seven of the 10 games. Under is 5-4-1 in last ten series games.

    Portland won eight of its last nine games; they’re 11-3 vs spread in last 14 road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Denver split its last eight games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 20-2-2 in their last 24 games. Nuggets won their last five games with Portland; four of last six series games stayed under. Blazers are 2-2-1 vs spread in last five visits to Denver.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-05-2019 at 11:06 AM.

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    533Toronto -534 Charlotte
    CHARLOTTE is 65-91 ATS (-35.1 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.

    535Atlanta -536 Orlando
    ATLANTA is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games off a home win in the current season.

    539Boston -540 Indiana
    BOSTON is 25-9 ATS (15.1 Units) in road games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

    541Miami -542 Minnesota
    MIAMI is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    543Detroit -544 Oklahoma City
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games in the current season.

    545Memphis -546 Dallas
    MEMPHIS are 15-32 ATS (-20.2 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

    547Sacramento -548 Utah
    SACRAMENTO is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    549New Orleans -550 Phoenix
    PHOENIX is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    551Cleveland -552 Golden State
    CLEVELAND is 34-59 ATS (-30.9 Units) in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

    553La Lakers -554 La Clippers
    LA CLIPPERS are 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) vs. division opponents in the current season.

    555Portland -556 Denver
    PORTLAND is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game in the current season.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-05-2019 at 11:06 AM.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Friday, April 5


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN ANTONIO (45 - 34) at WASHINGTON (32 - 47) - 4/5/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    WASHINGTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    WASHINGTON is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    WASHINGTON is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1088-955 ATS (+37.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 858-734 ATS (+50.6 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 96-60 ATS (+30.0 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 363-299 ATS (+34.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 158-123 ATS (+22.7 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 439-361 ATS (+41.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 32-23 ATS (+6.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    WASHINGTON is 74-89 ATS (-23.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (56 - 23) at CHARLOTTE (36 - 42) - 4/5/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 44-30 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 69-85 ATS (-24.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 16-36 ATS (-23.6 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHARLOTTE is 5-5 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 7-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (29 - 50) at ORLANDO (39 - 40) - 4/5/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    ATLANTA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    ATLANTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog this season.
    ATLANTA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    ATLANTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    ATLANTA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    ATLANTA is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    ATLANTA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    ORLANDO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) on Friday nights this season.
    ORLANDO is 47-65 ATS (-24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ORLANDO is 6-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    ORLANDO is 7-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW YORK (15 - 63) at HOUSTON (51 - 28) - 4/5/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW YORK is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) in all games this season.
    NEW YORK is 27-39 ATS (-15.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
    NEW YORK is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    NEW YORK is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
    NEW YORK is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW YORK is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW YORK is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    NEW YORK is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    NEW YORK is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    NEW YORK is 241-190 ATS (+32.0 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 21-43 ATS (-26.3 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 5-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (47 - 32) at INDIANA (47 - 32) - 4/5/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 91-75 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 48-34 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
    INDIANA is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 231-170 ATS (+44.0 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
    INDIANA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 63-49 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 96-78 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 5-5 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 7-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (38 - 40) at MINNESOTA (35 - 43) - 4/5/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 132-109 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games this season.
    MIAMI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games in the second half of the season this season.
    MIAMI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
    MIAMI is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    MIAMI is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    MIAMI is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 41-68 ATS (-33.8 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
    MINNESOTA is 385-455 ATS (-115.5 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
    MINNESOTA is 57-85 ATS (-36.5 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (39 - 39) at OKLAHOMA CITY (45 - 33) - 4/5/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games this season.
    DETROIT is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    DETROIT is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 75-89 ATS (-22.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 54-74 ATS (-27.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-46 ATS (-20.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MEMPHIS (31 - 47) at DALLAS (31 - 47) - 4/5/2019, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MEMPHIS is 71-85 ATS (-22.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 32-45 ATS (-17.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 43-33 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
    DALLAS is 258-211 ATS (+25.9 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
    DALLAS is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 6-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 5-5 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SACRAMENTO (39 - 40) at UTAH (48 - 30) - 4/5/2019, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTAH is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    UTAH is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    UTAH is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    SACRAMENTO is 45-33 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 42-30 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SACRAMENTO is 6-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 8-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ORLEANS (32 - 47) at PHOENIX (18 - 61) - 4/5/2019, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) on Friday nights this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 26-36 ATS (-13.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 28-37 ATS (-12.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 49-35 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 46-33 ATS (+9.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 35-44 ATS (-13.4 Units) in all games this season.
    PHOENIX is 34-49 ATS (-19.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 32-40 ATS (-12.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
    PHOENIX is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    PHOENIX is 28-37 ATS (-12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    PHOENIX is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 27-38 ATS (-14.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    PHOENIX is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 7-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 8-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (19 - 60) at GOLDEN STATE (54 - 24) - 4/5/2019, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 77-102 ATS (-35.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 32-49 ATS (-21.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 42-61 ATS (-25.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 26-36 ATS (-13.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 135-97 ATS (+28.3 Units) in April games since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 34-43 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 30-40 ATS (-14.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 36-52 ATS (-21.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 26-38 ATS (-15.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 10-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 12-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA LAKERS (35 - 44) at LA CLIPPERS (47 - 32) - 4/5/2019, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA LAKERS are 31-46 ATS (-19.6 Units) in all games this season.
    LA LAKERS are 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    LA LAKERS are 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    LA LAKERS are 212-258 ATS (-71.8 Units) after a division game since 1996.
    LA LAKERS are 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    LA LAKERS are 26-36 ATS (-13.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    LA LAKERS are 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 45-33 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 38-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 29-12 ATS (+15.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 36-27 ATS (+6.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 176-218 ATS (-63.8 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
    LA CLIPPERS are 234-286 ATS (-80.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 7-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 8-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PORTLAND (50 - 28) at DENVER (52 - 26) - 4/5/2019, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games this season.
    PORTLAND is 44-34 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
    PORTLAND is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after allowing 90 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
    PORTLAND is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 5-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 6-4 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-05-2019 at 11:07 AM.

  8. #8
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    By: Monique Vág



    Scoring against a terrible defense

    The Spurs are 6-point road favorites as they travel to Washington to take on the Wizards. San Antonio have won 22 of the last 25 in the head-to-head.

    The Spurs are fresh off a blowout loss to the Nuggets on Wednesday, scoring only 85 points. Look for San Antonio to light up the scoreboard versus a Wizards team surrendering 116.8 points per game on 47.8 percent shooting. Back the Spurs Over their team total of 115.


    Emphasis on a quick start

    The Magic have won five straight home games, and five of the last six at home versus the Hawks. Today Orlando are 8.5-point favorites as they take on Atlanta who will be without Kent Bazemore, Dewayne Dedmon, Kevin Huerter, and Omari Spellman.

    The Hawks, surprisingly, have been one of the Association’s highest scoring first quarter teams averaging 33 points over their most recent three games, and are coming off a game where they put up 42 versus the 76ers.

    Orlando have not been known to get out to fast starts, but with playoff urgency they have been averaging 31.3 over their most recent three. Look for both teams to find success early and back Over the first quarter total of 58.5.


    Trending towards the Under

    When the Celtics and Pacers meet up, it is usually Boston who come away victorious, winning seven of the last 10 games. Those games tend to be low scoring with the Under cashing in 10 of the last 14 at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.

    Both teams rank first and fifth in opponent points per game, and fourth and fifth in opponent shooting percentage. The Under has hit in 12 of Boston’s last 18 on the road, and 10 of Indiana’s most recent 14 overall. With both teams placing an emphasis on defense, look for another low scoring game and back Under the total of 214.5.


    Limping into the postseason

    The Pistons have struggled away from Detroit, winning only one of their last eight road games, and four of their previous 19 in Oklahoma City. Today the Pistons are 10.5-point underdogs against the Thunder.

    The Under has cashed in eight of the last nine games in the head-to-head, and eight of the Thunder’s most recent 11 at home. Offensively Detroit has struggled, putting up less than 100 points in three of the last five overall. and might still be without Blake Griffin who is questionable with a knee injury. Take Under the game total of 215.5.


    Shutting down the point

    Despite the Blazers winning eight of their most recent nine games, they are still 6.5-point underdogs as they travel to Denver to take on the Nuggets. C.J. McCollum remains out for an extended period while the Blazers will also miss center Jusuf Nurkic who will the rest of the season after a gruesome leg injury.

    The Nuggets have been one of the best in the Association at limiting opposing point guards holding them to 19.6 points on 41.9 percent shooting. This is a tricky matchup for Portland’s Damian Lillard who has not been shooting the ball well lately, making no more than eight field goals over his most recent three games. Look for his struggles to continue and bet Under his point total of 24.5.

  9. #9
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    Hoop Trends - Friday
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Nuggets are 14-0 ATS (+10.21 ppg) as a favorite with less than two days rest off a win in which their opponent made at least ten more free throws.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Kings are 0-16 ATS (-8.50 ppg) on the road with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 24 assists per game.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Trail Blazers are 12-0 OU (+10.29 ppg) as a dog off a win in which they trailed by double digits

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Raptors are 0-16 OU (-16.41 ppg) as a favorite off a road game in which they had at least 15 more shots than their opponent

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