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Thread: Friday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/5

  1. #1
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    Default Friday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/5

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, April 5

    Good Luck on day #95 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Some more very early NFL over/under win totals:

    — Houston 8.5, over -$120

    — Indianapolis 9.5, under -$120

    — Jacksonville 8, under -$120

    — Kansas City 10.5, over -$120

    — Chargers 10, under -$115

    — LA Rams 10.5, over -$115


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…..

    13) Interesting article Thursday on bleacherreport.com about Aaron Rodgers and how his relationship with coach Mike McCarthy disintegrated over the years. If you’re a Packer fan, it has to be disturbing. As a football fan, not sure what word I’ll use to describe it.

    “Disappointing” I guess. Rodgers comes off as kind of a creep.

    McCarthy was the 49ers’ OC when San Francisco took QB Alex Smith instead of Rodgers in the ’05 draft. Rodgers never forgave McCarthy for saying that Smith was the better QB. Maybe that chip on his shoulder is what made Rodgers a great player. Will be curious to see how Green Bay does this year with a new coach and an aging QB who doesn’t resent him. Yet.

    12) Think my biggest takeaway from the article is how long this disconnect was allowed to go on. Former Packer players say that the team should’ve won multiple Super Bowls, but that chances were squandered, and there was lot of blame to go around. An interesting read.

    11) Two guys from the AAF have already signed with NFL teams:
    — Keith Reaser, a CB from Orlando, signed with Kansas City
    — Rashad Ross, a WR from Arizona, signed with Carolina.

    10) When an umpire tells a manager “I can do anything I want!!” that doesn’t look good for baseball, but thats what happened in Arlington Wednesday night, with Ron Kulpa tossing Astros’ manager AJ Hinch and also Houston’s hitting coach, in the 2nd inning.

    Houston starts season with a 2-5 road trip; they’ve scored 10 runs in their last six games.

    As for Kulpa, over last seven years, under is 112-73 when he’s been behind the plate, so he is a pitcher’s friend. Last year, he worked only eight games behind the plate.

    9) A’s 7, Red Sox 3— Oakland takes three of four from Boston; Ramon Laureano threw out another baserunner from CF; he threw three guys out in this series, all at 3rd or home.

    8) Blue Jays’ manager Charlie Montoyo went 2-5 in four games for the 1993 Montreal Expos, his only playing experience in the major leagues. Hard as hell to make it to the majors, so hats off to him, but Montoyo played in 1,028 minor league games, 534 of them at the AAA level.

    Imagine how frustrating it must’ve been to be that close to the majors, yet only get the call one time? I’m guessing that experience will make him a pretty good big league skipper.

    7) In the last 18 months, Texas A&M has committed $99.3M to its football/basketball coaches when they hired Jimbo Fisher, Buzz Williams away from ACC schools.

    6) Top five cities in country, with regard to adults still living at home with their parents:
    — Riverside, CA 28.1%
    — Miami 27% (26.5% of whom are unemployed)
    — Los Angeles 26.9%
    — New York 24.7%
    — San Antonio 23.2%

    5) Indians 4, Blue Jays 1— Trevor Bauer threw 117 pitches in seven no-hit innings in his second start of the season. Last pitcher to throw 120+ pitches in an April start? Tyson Ross threw 127 in a start last April 30.

    4) From NFL Hall of Famer Gil Brandt:
    “Here’s a prediction: 4 quarterbacks will be drafted in the first 25 picks this year.”

    3) Thursday was Opening Day in the minor leagues; part of being in a fantasy baseball league is checking thru boxscores and gaining knowledge. Not relevant for fantasy owners: Tim Tebow is in AAA for the Mets and went 0-4 with two strikeouts Thursday.

    2) Maybe Lebron James should coach the Lakers next year.

    1) Since 2015, Homer Bailey is 9-27 with a 6.24 ERA; he is making $23M this season.

    Chris Davis is 0 for his last 37 with 21 strikeouts. He makes $23M also.

    What a country.

  3. #3
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    Default

    MLB
    Weather Report

    Friday, April 5


    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-05-2019 at 10:51 AM.

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    MLB
    Dunkel

    Friday, April 5



    Seattle @ Chicago White Sox

    Game 921-922
    April 5, 2019 @ 2:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Seattle
    (Kikuchi) 14.864
    Chicago White Sox
    (Lopez) 17.348
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Chicago White Sox
    by 2 1/2
    10
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Seattle
    -130
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago White Sox
    (+110); Over

    LA Dodgers @ Colorado


    Game 901-902
    April 5, 2019 @ 4:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Dodgers
    (Maeda) 15.358
    Colorado
    (Andrson) 16.785
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado
    by 1 1/2
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Dodgers
    -130
    10 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado
    (+110); Over

    San Diego @ St. Louis


    Game 923-924
    April 5, 2019 @ 4:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Diego
    (Mrgevicius) 14.343
    St. Louis
    (Flaherty) 16.107
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    St. Louis
    by 2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    St. Louis
    -165
    7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    St. Louis
    (-165); Under

    Tampa Bay @ San Francisco


    Game 915-916
    April 5, 2019 @ 4:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tampa Bay
    (Glasnow) 16.337
    San Francisco
    (Rdriguez) 14.412
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 2
    4
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -125
    7
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tampa Bay
    (-125); Under

    Minnesota @ Philadelphia


    Game 917-918
    April 5, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    (Odorizzi) 15.689
    Philadelphia
    (Pivetta) 16.622
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 1
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    -150
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (-150); Over

    Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh


    Game 903-904
    April 5, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cincinnati
    (Gray) 13.878
    Pittsburgh
    (Musgrve) 14.984
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    -120
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (-120); Under

    Toronto @ Cleveland


    Game 909-910
    April 5, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    (Thornton) 14.081
    Cleveland
    (Bieber) 15.140
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 1
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    -155
    7
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (-155); Over

    Boston @ Arizona


    Game 919-920
    April 5, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    (Porcello) 15.100
    Arizona
    (Godley) 15.961
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Arizona
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    -125
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arizona
    (+105); Under

    Miami @ Atlanta


    Game 905-906
    April 5, 2019 @ 7:20 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    (Lopez) 15.514
    Atlanta
    (Gausman) 14.067
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami
    by 1 1/2
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Atlanta
    -155
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (+135); Over

    Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee


    Game 907-908
    April 5, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago Cubs
    (Quntana) 13.598
    Milwaukee
    (Woodruff) 16.200
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 2 1/2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    -115
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (-115); Under

    Oakland @ Houston


    Game 911-912
    April 5, 2019 @ 8:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oakland
    (Montas) 16.454
    Houston
    (McHugh) 14.575
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oakland
    by 2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    -165
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oakland
    (+145); Under

    Texas @ LA Angels


    Game 913-914
    April 5, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Texas
    (Lynn) 15.957
    LA Angels
    (Pena) 14.166
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Texas
    by 2
    10
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Angels
    -120
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas
    (+100); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-05-2019 at 10:52 AM.

  5. #5
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    MLB
    Long Sheet

    Friday, April 5


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    LA DODGERS (5 - 2) at COLORADO (3 - 4) - 4:10 PM
    KENTA MAEDA (R) vs. TYLER ANDERSON (L)
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA DODGERS are 105-81 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    COLORADO is 95-79 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    COLORADO is 56-38 (+21.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
    COLORADO is 55-44 (+16.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    ANDERSON is 5-12 (-10.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    KENTA MAEDA vs. COLORADO since 1997
    MAEDA is 4-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.64 and a WHIP of 0.986.
    His team's record is 4-4 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-7. (-6.9 units)

    TYLER ANDERSON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
    ANDERSON is 3-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.00 and a WHIP of 1.378.
    His team's record is 3-9 (-5.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-1.6 units)

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    CINCINNATI (1 - 5) at PITTSBURGH (2 - 3) - 7:05 PM
    SONNY GRAY (R) vs. JOE MUSGROVE (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    CINCINNATI is 17-36 (-18.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
    CINCINNATI is 7-24 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
    CINCINNATI is 27-55 (-23.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    GRAY is 24-29 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    GRAY is 6-15 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    GRAY is 1-10 (-10.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    GRAY is 7-16 (-16.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    GRAY is 12-21 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    PITTSBURGH is 45-36 (+13.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    PITTSBURGH is 665-589 (+67.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PITTSBURGH is 2-1 (+1.3 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
    3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

    SONNY GRAY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
    GRAY is 0-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 9.34 and a WHIP of 1.961.
    His team's record is 0-2 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

    JOE MUSGROVE vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
    MUSGROVE is 1-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.313.
    His team's record is 1-1 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (2 - 5) at ATLANTA (3 - 3) - 7:20 PM
    PABLO LOPEZ (R) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 94-77 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 17-10 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 49-29 (+22.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 72-49 (+25.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 17-22 (-13.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    PABLO LOPEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
    LOPEZ is 0-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.727.
    His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

    KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. MIAMI since 1997
    GAUSMAN is 2-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.16 and a WHIP of 0.960.
    His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.3 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHICAGO CUBS (1 - 5) at MILWAUKEE (6 - 1) - 8:10 PM
    JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. BRANDON WOODRUFF (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 1791-1836 (-271.9 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
    CHICAGO CUBS are 1323-1367 (-210.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
    MILWAUKEE is 108-72 (+32.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 58-36 (+20.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 58-33 (+18.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 22-9 (+14.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 73-39 (+33.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    QUINTANA is 8-0 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    JOSE QUINTANA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
    QUINTANA is 6-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.62 and a WHIP of 0.843.
    His team's record is 8-3 (+4.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-9. (-7.9 units)

    BRANDON WOODRUFF vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
    WOODRUFF is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.23 and a WHIP of 1.615.
    His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (3 - 5) at CLEVELAND (3 - 3) - 7:10 PM
    TRENT THORNTON (R) vs. SHANE BIEBER (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 18-10 (+12.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 94-77 (-28.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 126-123 (-35.8 Units) against the money line in home games in April games since 1997.
    CLEVELAND is 11-16 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 56-48 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 72-54 (-17.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 48-45 (-23.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against TORONTO this season
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

    TRENT THORNTON vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
    No recent starts.

    SHANE BIEBER vs. TORONTO since 1997
    BIEBER is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.264.
    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OAKLAND (6 - 4) at HOUSTON (2 - 5) - 8:10 PM
    FRANKIE MONTAS (R) vs. COLLIN MCHUGH (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    MCHUGH is 36-17 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
    MCHUGH is 23-7 (+14.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
    MCHUGH is 35-14 (+22.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
    OAKLAND is 103-70 (+37.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 47-35 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 63-48 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 67-43 (+27.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 57-19 (+33.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTAS is 8-1 (+8.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    HOUSTON is 48-38 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 23-23 (-26.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 135-140 (-44.6 Units) against the money line in home games in April games since 1997.
    HOUSTON is 4-10 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 16-22 (-30.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 30-31 (-33.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 44-41 (-19.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    FRANKIE MONTAS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
    MONTAS is 1-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.765.
    His team's record is 1-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

    COLLIN MCHUGH vs. OAKLAND since 1997
    MCHUGH is 7-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.02 and a WHIP of 1.157.
    His team's record is 9-2 (+6.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.3 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TEXAS (5 - 2) at LA ANGELS (1 - 6) - 10:07 PM
    LANCE LYNN (R) vs. FELIX PENA (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    TEXAS is 38-36 (+17.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    TEXAS is 31-31 (+16.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    LA ANGELS are 35-47 (-18.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    LA ANGELS are 26-55 (-25.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TEXAS is 1-0 (+1.4 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

    LANCE LYNN vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
    LYNN is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.560.
    His team's record is 1-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

    FELIX PENA vs. TEXAS since 1997
    PENA is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.000.
    His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TAMPA BAY (5 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 5) - 4:35 PM
    TYLER GLASNOW (R) vs. DERECK RODRIGUEZ (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    TAMPA BAY is 95-74 (+27.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 21-9 (+15.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 37-28 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 66-54 (+15.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    TYLER GLASNOW vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
    No recent starts.

    DERECK RODRIGUEZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (4 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 1) - 7:05 PM
    JAKE ODORIZZI (R) vs. NICK PIVETTA (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 53-31 (+20.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 857-903 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    JAKE ODORIZZI vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
    ODORIZZI is 0-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.400.
    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

    NICK PIVETTA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (2 - 6) at ARIZONA (3 - 4) - 7:10 PM
    RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. ZACK GODLEY (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARIZONA is 20-8 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 121-63 (+35.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 20-5 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 92-44 (+30.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
    PORCELLO is 94-50 (+27.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
    ARIZONA is 906-813 (-109.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
    ARIZONA is 638-586 (-84.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    RICK PORCELLO vs. ARIZONA since 1997
    PORCELLO is 1-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 0.879.
    His team's record is 1-2 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.4 units)

    ZACK GODLEY vs. BOSTON since 1997
    No recent starts.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SEATTLE (7 - 1) at CHI WHITE SOX (2 - 3) - 2:10 PM
    YUSEI KIKUCHI (L) vs. REYNALDO LOPEZ (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    SEATTLE is 7-1 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    SEATTLE is 57-41 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    SEATTLE is 44-37 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    SEATTLE is 22-14 (+11.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    YUSEI KIKUCHI vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
    No recent starts.

    REYNALDO LOPEZ vs. SEATTLE since 1997
    LOPEZ is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.800.
    His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN DIEGO (4 - 3) at ST LOUIS (3 - 3) - 4:15 PM
    NICK MARGEVICIUS (L) vs. JACK FLAHERTY (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN DIEGO is 27-27 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    NICK MARGEVICIUS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
    No recent starts.

    JACK FLAHERTY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
    FLAHERTY is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 0.971.
    His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-05-2019 at 10:52 AM.

  6. #6
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    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, April 5


    National League
    Dodgers (5-2) @ Rockies (3-4)

    Maeda allowed three runs in 6.2 IP in his first ’19 start; he is 5-3, 2.30 in 15 games (8 starts) vs Colorado, 4-1, 3.19 in 8 games (5 starts) here. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 1-0

    Anderson allowed five runs in five IP in his first ’19 start; he is 3-4, 3.99 in 12 starts vs LA. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

    Dodgers won four of their last five games (over 6-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 5-2

    Colorado is home after a 3-4 road trip (under 5-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 2-5

    Reds (1-5) @ Pirates (2-3)
    Gray allowed three runs in 2.2 IP in his Reds’ debut; he is 0-2, 7.59 in three games (2 starts) vs Pittsburgh. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Musgrove was 6-9, 4.06 in 19 starts LY; he is 1-1, 5.68 in 3 starts (2 starts) vs Cincinnati. Team in his starts: 0-0
    5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

    Reds lost their last five games, scoring six runs (under 5-0). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 1-5

    Pittsburgh lost three of its first five games (under 3-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 1-4

    Marlins (2-5) @ Braves (3-3)
    Lopez allowed three runs in 5.1 IP in his first ’19 start; he’s never pitched vs Pittsburgh. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

    Gausman was 10-11, 3.92 in 31 starts LY; he’s never pitched against the Marlins. Team in his starts: 0-0
    5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

    Marlins lost five of their first seven games (over 5-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 3-3-1

    Atlanta won its last three games after an 0-3 start (over 4-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 3-3

    Cubs (1-5) @ Brewers (6-1)
    Quintana is making his first ’19 start; he allowed two runs in four IP in a relief stint. Quintana is 2-1, 8.68 in four starts vs Atlanta. Team in his starts: 0-0
    5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

    Woodruff allowed two runs in five IP (100 PT) in his first ’19 start; he is 0-0, 5.91 in four games (2 starts) vs Chicago. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Cubs lost five of their first six games (over 5-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 5-1

    Milwaukee won its last five games; four of their last five games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 5-2

    Padres (4-3) @ Cardinals (3-3)
    Margevicius allowed one run in five IP (72 PT) in his first MLB start. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Flaherty allowed four runs in 4.2 IP in his first ’19 start; he is 1-0, 1.59 in two starts vs San Diego. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 1-0

    Padres are off a 4-3 homestand (under 5-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 2-4-1

    St Louis is off a 3-3 road trip (over 5-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 4-2

    American League
    Blue Jays (3-5) @ Indians (3-3)

    Thornton blanked Detroit for five IP in his first ’19 start. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Bieber was 11-5, 4.55 in 19 starts LY; he is 1-0, 4.26 vs Toronto. Team in his starts: 0-0
    5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0

    Blue Jays lost four of their last five games (under 7-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 1-7

    Cleveland split its first six games (over 3-3). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 3-3

    A’s (6-4) @ Astros (2-5)
    Montas allowed one run in six IP in his first ’19 start; he 1-1, 6.75 in four games (2 starts) vs Houston. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

    McHugh allowed two runs in five IP (81 PT) in his first ’19 start. He is 8-1, 2.84 in 17 games (11 starts) vs Oakland. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Oakland are of a 6-2 homestand (under 6-4). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 2-8

    Astros are off a 2-5 road trip (over 5-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 4-3

    Rangers (5-2) @ Angels (1-6)
    Lynn allowed seven runs in 5.2 IP in his first ’19 start; he is 0-1, 5.40 in three starts against the Angels. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

    Pena allowed four runs in 3.2 IP in his first ’19 start. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Rangers won five of their last six games (over 5-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 5-2

    Angels lost their last five games, scoring ten runs (under 5-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 2-5

    Mariners (7-1) @ White Sox (2-3)
    Kikuchi is 0-0, 4.22 in his first two MLB starts. Team in his starts: 1-1
    5-inning record: 2-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 1-1

    Lopez allowed four runs in four IP in his first ’19 start; he gave up five runs in five IP in his only start vs Seattle. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

    Mariners are off a 5-1 homestand (over 6-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 6-2

    White Sox are off a 2-3 road trip (over 4-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1

    Interleague
    Rays (5-2) @ Giants (2-5)

    Glasnow allowed one run in five IP (77 PT) in his first ’19 start; he threw two scoreless innings in relief in his only action against the Giants. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Rodriguez allowed two runs in five IP (71 PT) in his first ’19 start. He’s never pitched against the Rays. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Rays are off a 5-2 homestand; their last six games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 1-6

    San Francisco is off a 2-5 road trip (under 5-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 2-4-1

    Twins (4-1) @ Phillies (4-1)
    Odorizzi allowed one run in six IP in his first ’19 start; he allowed two runs in five IP in his only start vs Philly. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Pivetta allowed four runs in 4.2 IP in his first ’19 start; he’s never pitched against the Twins. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 1-0

    Twins won four of their first five games (over 3-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 3-2

    Philly won four of its first five games (over 4-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 2-3

    Red Sox (2-6) @ Diamondbacks (3-4)
    Porcello allowed nine runs in 2.2 IP in his first ’19 start; he is 1-1, 3.72 in three starts vs Arizona. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

    Godley allowed eight runs in 5.1 IP in his first ’19 start; he allowed one run in 5.1 IP in his only start vs Boston. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 1-0

    Red Sox lost six of their first eight games (over 6-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 5-3

    Arizona is off a 3-4 road trip (over 6-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 5-2

    ______________________________

    %age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
    Team (road-home-total)- thru 4/3
    Ariz 2-7……0-0………2-7
    Atl 1-3……1-2………2-5
    Cubs 0-0……1-5………1-5
    Reds 0-0……0-5……..0-5
    Colo 0-7……0-0……..0-7
    LA 0-0……4-7……..4-7
    Mia 0-0……2-7……..2-7
    Milw 1-3…….2-4……..3-7
    Mets 3-6……0-0……..3-6
    Philly 1-2…….1-3……..2-5
    Pitt 1-2…….1-2……..2-4
    StL 1-6…….0-0……..1-6
    SD 0-0…….1-7……..1-7
    SF 0-7…….0-0…….1-7
    Wash 0-0…….2-5……..2-5

    Orioles 2-6…….0-0……..2-6
    Boston 1-7…….0-0……..1-7
    W Sox 1-5…….0-0………1-5
    Clev 0-3…….1-2………1-5
    Det 0-7…….0-0……..0-7
    Astros 3-7…….0-0……..3-7
    KC 0-0…….2-5……..2-5
    Angels 0-6……0-0……..0-6
    Twins 0-2……0-3………0-5
    NYY 0-0……1-6……….1-6
    A’s 1-2…….1-7……….2-9
    Sea 0-2…….3-6……..3-8
    TB 0-0…….3-7………3-7
    Texas 0-0…….1-6………1-6
    Toronto 0-0…….1-7………1-7

  7. #7
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    Diamond Trends - Friday
    Vince Akins

    SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Pirates are 19-0 SU as a favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they shut out their opponent.

    SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Giants are 0-12 SU after a game in which they struck out their opponent at least ten times.

    Hitter-Based Trend of the Day:

    -- The Twins are 10-0 SU in franchise history off a game as a favorite in which Jorge Polanco struck out at least twice and did not draw a walk.

    Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

    -- The Astros are 12-0 SU in franchise history when Collin McHugh starts as a home favorite of more than 135 when they scored first in his last start.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-05-2019 at 10:53 AM.

  8. #8
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    By: Andrew Caley



    STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTERS

    STREAKING

    Kevin Gausman, Atlanta Braves (2018: 10-11, 3.92 ERA): Boy did you ever see a guy want to leave Baltimore more? Gausman went from a 4.43 ERA with the Orioles to a 2.87 one after getting traded to the Braves. Not only did he love not pitching for Baltimore, he loved pitching at Sun Trust Park.

    The Braves won his five starts there with Gausman pitching to a 2.81 ERA with a 1.03 WHIP. The right-hander makes his season debut when the Braves host the Marlins tonight. Atlanta is a -160 favorite with a total of 8.

    SLUMPING

    Lance Lynn, Texas Rangers (0-0, 11.12 ERA, $121): Lynn’s 2019 did not get off to the start he would have hoped. The Cubs touched him up to the tune of seven runs on 10 hits in 5.2 innings pitched which continued the trend of his struggled at the end of 2018.

    After a hot start with the Yankees, Lynn pitched to a 6.23 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP in his final seven starts for them. He’s hoping to turn things around when the Rangers visit the Angels tonight. Texas is a slight +105 road dog with a total of 8.5.


    ROCKY MOUNTAIN LOW

    And finally, one of favorite trends from last season makes an appearance in Line Drive. The Rocky Mountain Low. Coors Field is known for having elevated totals thanks to the thin Rocky Mountain air. But the funny thing is, the Rockies starters have begun to figure out to pitch at home. Well, maybe they finally just have some good young pitchers. Those pitchers allowed just 3.6 runs per game over their last 44 games at Coors Field with the Under going 29-14-1 (67.4 percent) in those games. There is another high total of 10.5 today as the Rockies host the Dodgers in their home opener. With the Rockies bats in a slump and the now home field advantage of Coors Field we like this trend to start the year on the right foot.


    EARLY GAMES BLUES (JAYS)

    The Blue Jays’ trend of slow starts continued Thursday, as Trevor Bauer and Cleveland’s bullpen carried a no-hitter into the ninth inning of last night’s game. The Jays are 5-for-68 with four walks the first time through the order this season and got another solid performance from a starter. The result? The Under first five innings is a perfect 8-0 in Blue Jays games this season. The First five inning total for tonight’s Game 2 in Cleveland is set at 4.0 (-110) with Trent Thornton facing off against Shane Bieber. It doesn’t hurt the Tribe’s lineup is as thin as paper right now. We like the trend to continue tonight.

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