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Thread: Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/3

  1. #1
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    Default Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 4/3

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, April 3

    Good Luck on day # 93 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Some very early NFL over/under win totals:

    — Arizona 5, under -$130

    — Atlanta 8.5, over -$125

    — Baltimore 8.5

    — Buffalo 6, under -$120

    — Carolina 8, under -$120

    — Chicago 9.5


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

    13) After eight weeks of games, the AAF has suspended operations, which is sad for the people who worked there. Players only got paid for the first seven weeks of the season.

    Takes lots of money to fund a start-up league like this; there are rumors that the guy from the NHL’s Carolina Hurricanes who invested in the AAF only wanted access to the technology for the league’s betting app, and once he had that, he pulled the plug on spending more money. Supposedly, he dropped $70M on this fiasco. Must be a good betting app.

    Not sure what this means, if anything, for the XFL, which starts up next spring.

    12) So it is April 2 and here in upstate New York, spring is slowly emerging. It was 46 degrees when I left my house today; in the bank, a guy in line behind me was wearing shorts. Oy.

    11) Ronald Acuña signed a $100M extension with the Braves that keeps his contract under team control until 2028. Team-friendly deal.

    10) Seattle TV analyst Mike Blowers told an interesting story Monday night:

    Blowers was playing for the Mariners in the mid-90’s; Lou Piniella (a noted hothead) was the manager. Blowers made two errors in the 9th inning that cost Seattle the last game of a road trip. Blowers: “Lou was sitting towards the front of the plane; he wasn’t real happy with me.”

    Next game for Seattle is a home game; Blowers comes to the plate for the first time, and is booed when his name is announced. He hits a grand slam.

    Second time up, Blowers is still booed a little; he hits a 3-run homer.

    Third time up, Blowers gets a standing ovation.

    Lessons: Baseball is a tough game; people are fickle.

    9) Washington Wizards fired team president Ernie Grunfeld after 16 seasons; Wizards are having their first losing season in six years. Washington hasn’t been to a conference final since 1979, so the franchise’s issues go way back before Grunfeld was around.

    8) Last Thursday, Michael Reed started in RF on Opening Day for the Giants; he went 0-8 with six strikeouts in four games and Tuesday, he was designated for assignment. Produce or else.

    7) Nationals’ SS Trea Turner tried to bunt last night; the ball hit his finger and he left the game, with what looked a lot like a broken finger.

    6) Former tennis star Billie Jean King is a minority owner of the LA Dodgers.

    5) Few years ago, I’m driving thru New Jersey and stop for gas. I get out of the car and start pumping the gas, and this little Asian guy comes running out of the store, yelling at me, waving his arms. Apparently it is illegal in New Jersey to pump your own gas. Who knew?

    Funny thing, they pump it for you but the gas is still cheaper than it is in New York.

    4) From Christopher Kamka: Last time Cubs, White Sox, Bulls, Blackhawks all won on the same day was April 21, 2012, the day Philip Humber threw a perfect game for the White Sox.

    3) Puerto Rico has a larger population than 21 of the 50 states.

    2) Lipscomb 71, Wichita State 64— Shockers led by 11 in second half, but veteran Lipscomb team rallied back, scored last 14 points of the game and will play for the NIT title Thursday night.

    Texas 58, TCU 44— If you had Texas-Lipscomb in your NIT brackets, you’re about to get paid. TCU beat the Longhorns twice during the regular season, but came up empty here.

    1) Arizona 8, San Diego 5— Zack Greinke hit two home runs, struck out 10 Padres.

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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-03-2019 at 11:55 AM.

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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, April 3



    South Florida @ DePaul

    Game 717-718
    April 3, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    South Florida
    56.970
    DePaul
    65.563
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    DePaul
    by 8 1/2
    142
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    DePaul
    by 5 1/2
    146 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    DePaul
    (-5 1/2); Under





    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, April 3


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    S FLORIDA (22 - 13) at DEPAUL (18 - 16) - 4/3/2019, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    S FLORIDA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 3 seasons.
    S FLORIDA is 21-13 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
    S FLORIDA is 21-13 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
    S FLORIDA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    S FLORIDA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    S FLORIDA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
    DEPAUL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    DEPAUL is 62-96 ATS (-43.6 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    S FLORIDA is 1-0 against the spread versus DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
    S FLORIDA is 1-0 straight up against DEPAUL over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, April 3


    (South Florida leads best-of-3 series, 1-0)
    South Florida blew an 11-point 2nd half lead, beat DePaul 63-61 Monday, despite shooting 9-17 on foul line (they were 10-22 on arc). USF is #328 experience team that is 14-2 outside AAC, losing to Georgetown/Citadel. Bulls turn ball over 22.6% of time (#335)- they gave up only 55 ppg in their last three games. USF lost three of its last four true road games. DePaul played three guys 35:00+ Monday; Blue Demons won their last five home games, had scored 96.3 ppg in first three tourney games before Monday. DePaul is experience team #77 that plays pace #74.




    NCAAB

    Wednesday, April 3


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    South Florida Bulls
    South Florida is 3-8-2 ATS in its last 13 games
    South Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    South Florida is 10-2-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
    South Florida is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 6 games on the road
    South Florida is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing DePaul
    South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing DePaul
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Florida's last 7 games when playing DePaul
    South Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against DePaul
    South Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against DePaul
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of South Florida's last 6 games when playing on the road against DePaul
    DePaul Blue Demons
    DePaul is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of DePaul's last 8 games
    DePaul is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of DePaul's last 5 games at home
    DePaul is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing South Florida
    DePaul is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Florida
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of DePaul's last 7 games when playing South Florida
    DePaul is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against South Florida
    DePaul is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against South Florida
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of DePaul's last 6 games when playing at home against South Florida


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    717S Florida -718 Depaul
    DEPAUL is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) at home when the total is 145-149.5 in the last 3 seasons.

    717S Florida -718 Depaul
    DEPAUL is 45-74 ATS (-36.4 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-03-2019 at 11:56 AM.

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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Saturday, April 6



    Auburn @ Virginia

    Game 803-804
    April 6, 2019 @ 6:09 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Auburn
    79.723
    Virginia
    78.204
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Auburn
    by 1 1/2
    138
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Virginia
    by 5 1/2
    130 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Auburn
    (+1 1/2); Over


    Texas Tech @ Michigan State

    Game 801-802
    April 6, 2019 @ 8:49 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Texas Tech
    79.887
    Michigan State
    77.985
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Texas Tech
    by 2
    124
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Michigan State
    by 3
    133
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas Tech
    (+3); Under





    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Saturday, April 6


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TEXAS TECH (30 - 6) vs. MICHIGAN ST (32 - 6) - 4/6/2019, 8:49 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TEXAS TECH is 140-185 ATS (-63.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
    MICHIGAN ST is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all games this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    MICHIGAN ST is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
    TEXAS TECH is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    AUBURN (30 - 9) vs. VIRGINIA (33 - 3) - 4/6/2019, 6:09 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VIRGINIA is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games this season.
    VIRGINIA is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
    VIRGINIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
    VIRGINIA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
    VIRGINIA is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
    VIRGINIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    VIRGINIA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    VIRGINIA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    VIRGINIA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
    VIRGINIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    AUBURN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    801Texas Tech -802 Michigan St
    MICHIGAN ST is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) vs. excellent teams (Win Pct: 80%+) in the current season.

    803Auburn -804 Virginia
    VIRGINIA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better in the current season.
    Last edited by Udog; 04-04-2019 at 09:52 PM.

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