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Thread: Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/2

  1. #1
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    Default Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 4/2

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, April 2

    Good Luck on day # 92 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    — If you bet $100 on the Orioles in their first four games, you’d already be up $635.

    — Tampa Bay (4-1) leads the Orioles (3-1) by a half-game atop the AL East.

    — South Florida 63, DePaul 61— Bulls lead best-of-3 series, 1-0.

    — Of the 17 NFL referees in 2014, only six of them still work in the NFL.

    — Knicks 113, Bulls 105— Knicks cover as home favorite for 1st time since Nov. 7.

    — Wonder how much it costs to open/close the roof at Marlins’ Park?


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

    13) Being involved in fantasy baseball and handicapping baseball teaches you patience; it is a very long season. There is a tendency to overreact to stuff that happens in the first week of the season, but as the cliche goes, it is a marathon, not a sprint.

    12) Go through this every year; baseball players get hurt.
    — Giancarlo Stanton (biceps strain) goes on the IL.
    — 3B Miguel Andujar (labrum tear in shoulder) also went on the IL.
    — Rays put 3B Joey Wendle (hamstring) on IL.
    — Toronto put P Clayton Richard (knee) on IL.

    11) Cardinals 6, Pirates 5 (11)— Chris Archer threw five shutout innings, bullpen blew a 4-0 lead. Archer threw 99 pitches in those five innings. Pirates wound up using eight relievers over the last six innings.

    10) Orioles 6, Blue Jays 5— David Hess threw 6.1 hitless innings (82 pitches), then was taken out of the game. Toronto quickly scored two runs; Orioles hung on for dear life.

    9) Braves 8, Cubs 0— Chicago made five errors in first five innings of this game; they’ve lost the last three days, giving up 26 runs. Rough start to the season.

    8) Mets 7, Marlins 3— Pete Alonso hit his first major league homer, a 440-foot blast, in front of 6,489 fans, most of whom were rooting for the visitors from New York.

    7) Belmont basketball coach Rick Byrd is retiring after coaching the Bruins for 33 years. Byrd won 805 games and made NCAA tournament eight times.

    Belmont led the country in 2-point FG% in five of the last seven seasons.

    6) If you bet on AAF games, some info thru eight weeks:
    — Favorites are 22-10 SU, 16-16 vs spread
    — Home teams are 18-14 SU, 16-16 vs spread.
    — Under is 18-13-1.

    5) Red Sox signed SS Xander Bogaerts to a 7-year, $132M contract extension.

    4) There is a new minor league team this year, the Amarillo Sod Poodles, AA affiliate of the San Diego Padres. Minor league nicknames are getting weirder and weirder.

    3) Phillies had four sellouts all of last year; after three home games this season, they’ve already had three sellouts. Curious to see what kind of reaction Bryce Harper gets in Washington when the Phillies play there tonight.

    2) Cleveland Plain Dealer newspaper has laid off one-third of its staff. 20 years ago, the paper had 340 journalists; now it’s down to 33.

    1. Normal field for a PGA Tour event is 144 golfers, but The Masters has a different set of requirements. Right now, only 86 players have qualified for next week’s tournament, which would be the smallest field at Augusta since 1997.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-02-2019 at 12:51 PM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, April 2


    LA Lakers @ Oklahoma City

    Game 579-580
    April 2, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Lakers
    120.168
    Oklahoma City
    115.112
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 5
    227
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 12 1/2
    224 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Lakers
    (+12 1/2); Over

    Atlanta @ San Antonio


    Game 581-582
    April 2, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    118.777
    San Antonio
    118.917
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Atlanta
    Even
    220
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Antonio
    by 11 1/2
    227 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+11 1/2); Under

    Houston @ Sacramento


    Game 583-584
    April 2, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    124.907
    Sacramento
    110.351
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 14 1/2
    214
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 5
    227
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-5); Over

    Denver @ Golden State


    Game 585-586
    April 2, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Denver
    113.471
    Golden State
    127.924
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 14 1/2
    228
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 8
    220 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Golden State
    (-8); Over




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, April 2


    Lakers won four of their last five games (5-0 vs spread); six of their last nine games stayed under. LA is 3-9 vs spread in its last dozen road games. Oklahoma City lost seven of its last nine games; they covered once in last six home games. Under is 10-2 in their last 12 games. Lakers won three of last four games with the Thunder; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six visit to OKC. Four of last five series games stayed under.

    Hawks won four of their last five games; they’re 7-1 vs spread in last eight road games. Four of their last five games went over. San Antonio lost four of its last six games; they’re 0-3 vs spread in last three home games. Under is 12-4 in their last 16 games. Spurs won eight of their last ten games with Atlanta; under is 4-2 in last six series games. Hawks have four players who weren’t alive the last time the Hawks won in San Antonio. Atlanta covered once in their last four trips to the Alamo.

    Houston won seven of its last nine games; under is 14-2 in their last 16 games. Rockets covered six of their last nine road games. Sacramento split its last ten games; they’re 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven home games. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Rockets won nine of their last ten games with the Kings; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Sacramento. Five of last six series games stayed under.

    Nuggets lost three of their last five games; they’re 5-8 vs spread in last 13 road games. Under is 19-2-1 in their last 22 games. Warriors won seven of last ten games; they’re 3-8 vs spread in last 11 home games. Three of their last four games went over. Denver/Golden State split their last eight games; Nuggets are 2-1-1 vs spread in their last four visits to Oakland. Three of last four series games stayed under.




    NBA

    Tuesday, April 2


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Los Angeles Lakers
    LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    LA Lakers is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
    LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    LA Lakers is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 7 games
    LA Lakers is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
    LA Lakers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 6 games on the road
    LA Lakers is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Oklahoma City
    LA Lakers is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
    LA Lakers is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
    LA Lakers is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
    Oklahoma City is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
    Oklahoma City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Oklahoma City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games at home
    Oklahoma City is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing LA Lakers
    Oklahoma City is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
    Oklahoma City is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
    Oklahoma City is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
    Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
    Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Antonio
    Atlanta is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing San Antonio
    Atlanta is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    San Antonio is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
    San Antonio is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of San Antonio's last 16 games
    San Antonio is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Antonio's last 11 games at home
    San Antonio is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
    San Antonio is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
    San Antonio is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 games when playing at home against Atlanta
    San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

    Houston Rockets
    Houston is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
    Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
    Houston is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Sacramento
    Houston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
    Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games
    Sacramento is 13-5-1 ATS in its last 19 games at home
    Sacramento is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Sacramento is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Sacramento's last 11 games at home
    Sacramento is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Houston
    Sacramento is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Houston
    Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
    Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

    Denver Nuggets
    Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Denver is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Denver's last 19 games
    Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Denver's last 11 games on the road
    Denver is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Denver's last 16 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Golden State
    Denver is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Denver is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
    Golden State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Golden State's last 15 games
    Golden State is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home
    Golden State is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games at home
    Golden State is 4-10-2 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Denver
    Golden State is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Golden State's last 16 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Denver
    Golden State is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
    Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    579La Lakers -580 Oklahoma City
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 55-77 ATS (-29.7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

    581Atlanta -582 San Antonio
    SAN ANTONIO is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

    583Houston -584 Sacramento
    HOUSTON is 72-43 ATS (24.7 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    585Denver -586 Golden State
    GOLDEN STATE is 3-19 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights in the last 3 seasons.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-02-2019 at 12:52 PM.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, April 2


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA LAKERS (35 - 42) at OKLAHOMA CITY (44 - 33) - 4/2/2019, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (28 - 49) at SAN ANTONIO (44 - 33) - 4/2/2019, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1088-953 ATS (+39.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 858-733 ATS (+51.7 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 160-117 ATS (+31.3 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 96-59 ATS (+31.1 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 363-298 ATS (+35.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 439-360 ATS (+43.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    ATLANTA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    HOUSTON (49 - 28) at SACRAMENTO (38 - 39) - 4/2/2019, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    HOUSTON is 25-34 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 44-32 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 41-29 ATS (+9.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    HOUSTON is 126-95 ATS (+21.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
    SACRAMENTO is 63-89 ATS (-34.9 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 9-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DENVER (51 - 25) at GOLDEN STATE (52 - 24) - 4/2/2019, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GOLDEN STATE is 133-97 ATS (+26.3 Units) in April games since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 83-57 ATS (+20.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 32-43 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 28-40 ATS (-16.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 24-38 ATS (-17.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 25-34 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 5-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 6-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-02-2019 at 12:53 PM.

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    Inside the Paint - Tuesday
    April 2, 2019
    By Chris David


    Game of the Night (TNT, 10:35 p.m. ET)
    Denver (51-25 SU, 39-37 ATS) at Golden State (52-24 SU, 32-43-1 ATS)


    The NBA has two weeks left in the regular season and the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference is still up for grab as the Nuggets and Warriors continue to battle for the top spot.

    Golden State owns a one-game lead over Denver and a win at home on Tuesday would give Steve Kerr’s club the head-to-head tie-breaker in the season series. The Warriors have certainly cruised a lot this season and they’ve burned bettors along the way at times but the head coach appears to be focused on tonight's nationally televised contest.

    "It’s a big game," Kerr said. "Nothing is as big as a playoff game, but it’s a big game in terms of the No. 1 seed and protecting our home court. We take care of our business and win tomorrow, we’re obviously in great shape down the stretch with the last 10 days of the season."

    The Warriors opened as 7 ½-point home favorites at BookMaker.eu on Monday and the line has been pushed up to -8 at most betting shops. VegasInsider.com NBA expert Tony Mejia weighs in on the possible preview of this year’s Western Conference Finals.

    He said, “The Warriors’ killer instinct will be on trial tonight. Although Andre Iguodala rested instead of practicing on Monday and Kevin Durant and Quinn Cook flew back to Washington D.C. for a funeral, Steve Kerr will have everyone on the roster available to him besides backup Damian Jones so he’s going to be able to get a great look at what he can throw out there to best match up with the Nuggets in a potential conference finals. These teams won’t see each other before then, so Kerr should theoretically empty the barrel in an effort to lock in on homecourt advantage by going up two games and picking up a head-to-head tiebreaker with just five left to play. The Warriors lost the first meeting between these teams but have run right past them in both 2019 games, scoring 51 first-quarter points on Jan. 15 in Denver, shooting 60 percent while exposing how out of place Nikola Jokic can look against teams that can efficiently push pace.”

    “The 142-11 rout came pre-DeMarcus Cousins, who was in the mix on March 8, starting and contributing as the Dubs used a 28-11 start to again pick up a wire-to-wire win. Cousins had six blocks in the 122-105 rout while Jokic slipped to a minus-50 over the last two games against Golden State. Denver hasn’t led for a single second in either game, so we’ll get to see if Mike Malone has figured anything out about how to better help Jokic get his bearings. Coming off a game where he was so frustrated with the officiating that he got himself ejected, this will be a great opportunity to see how resilient he and the Nuggets can be. If the Warriors come out looking to step on their throat, it will be much easier to justify them being a 4-to-9 favorite to win it all. If the Dubs come out flat for a game where they actually could lose something as significant as homecourt, I’d begin to consider them being vulnerable. Their 137-90 rout of Charlotte on Sunday was a good sign they’re locked in,” added Mejia.

    Prior to those double-digit wins and covers by Golden State, the Nuggets have hung around in this series and they’re surprisingly very good versus the number but a lot of those lines have been inflated. Including the aforementioned 17-point loss recently on Mar. 19 from Oracle Arena, Denver is 1-7 in its last eight trips to Oakland. However, they’ve gone 5-2-1 ATS but the club was getting 10-plus points in six of those games and as high as 17 ½-points.

    Denver’s 95-90 loss as a 10 ½-point home favorite to Washington on Sunday certainly looks alarming and only scoring 28 points in the second-half against a shoddy defensive club doesn’t look good. While that effort could be an anomaly, the Nuggets have now been held under 100 points in four of their last five games and that’s resulted in a 2-3 record. If you can’t break the century mark on Golden State, you shouldn’t even get off the bus.

    Despite its solid overall record, Denver has been installed as an underdog 21 times this season and the team has gone 10-11 SU and 11-10 ATS in that role. Delving into those numbers further, the ‘under’ has gone 14-7 in those games and that includes a 6-1 run to the low side in the last seven.

    The total for Tuesday opened 220 ½ and has dropped to 219 ½, the lowest number posted in this year’s matchups. The drop-off makes sense as these two teams have been great ‘under’ bets in the second-half of the season. The Warriors have gone 14-5 to the low side while Denver is 16-3 to the ‘under.’

    Elsewhere…

    Tuesday’s card has three other games on tap and all of them feature playoff teams versus non-playoff teams. As expected, the clubs headed to the postseason are healthy favorites.

    L.A. Lakers at Oklahoma City: The Thunder are laying a big price (-13) and you could be scratching your head why the number is so high. OKC got tripped up in this role against the Lakers at home on Jan. 17 as Los Angeles captured a 138-128 upset as a 10-point road underdog. When you look at current form, backing L.A. looks even more tempting. The club has gone 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in its last five games, the best ATS run of the season for the Lakers. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City has dropped two straight and seven of its last nine games. And backing the Thunder as double-digit home favorites this season hasn’t been profitable (7-4 SU, 4-7 ATS).

    Atlanta at San Antonio: The Spurs (-10 ½) are also listed as double-digit home favorites tonight and they’ve gone 5-1 SU and 2-4 ATS in that role. The lone loss just occurred Sunday as they dropped a 113-106 decision to Sacramento as a 10 ½-point home favorite. Including that setback, the Spurs are 2-4 SU and 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games. While San Antonio has struggled lately, Atlanta continues to turn heads and Sunday’s 136-135 home win over Milwaukee was impressive. The Hawks have gone 4-1 both SU and ATS in their last five games. Since the All-Star break, Atlanta has gone 14-5 ATS and that includes a 5-1 mark for bettors away from home. San Antonio defeated the Hawks 111-104 as a 5 ½-point home favorite on Mar. 6. Fun historical fact - the Hawks haven’t won at San Antonio since 1997 when the Spurs had former Atlanta great Dominique Wilkins playing for them.

    Houston at Sacramento: Quick rematch here as the pair just met on Saturday from the Toyota Center and the Rockets (-10) rallied past the Kings 119-108 as home favorites. For Tuesday, Houston opened as a five-point read favorite and it will be looking to complete a 4-0 season sweep of the Kings both SU and ATS. In the second-half, Houston has gone 7-3 on the road (5-4-1 ATS) while the Kings have gone 4-4 at home since the All-Star break but all four losses came to playoff teams while the wins were against teams with losing records.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

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    Hoop Trends - Tuesday
    April 2, 2019
    By Vince Akins


    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Nuggets are 14-0 ATS (+6.29 ppg) as a dog off a home loss in which the number of free throws they missed was greater than the losing margin.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Warriors are 0-12 ATS (-17.00 ppg) with less than two days rest off a home win when they are facing a team that has taken more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Hawks are 10-0 OU (+16.70 ppg) on the road off a home win in which they had at least ten more three point attempts than their season-to-date average.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Rockets are 0-13 OU (-10.23 ppg) with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 16 percent of points from free throws.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  7. #7
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    NBA's Top ATS Teams (based on cover %):

    1. Bucks 46-28-4 ATS
    2. Clippers 45-32-1 ATS
    3. Kings 44-32-1 ATS
    4. Mavs 42-32-3 ATS
    5. Blazers 43-33-1 ATS
    t6. Heat 42-34-1 ATS
    t6. Spurs 42-34-2 ATS


    NBA's Worst ATS Teams (based on cover %):

    30. Knicks 30-46-1 ATS
    t28. Warriors 32-43-1 ATS
    t28. Lakers 32-43-2 ATS
    27. Bulls 34-43-1 ATS
    t25. Suns 35-43 ATS
    t25. Raptors 35-43 ATS
    24. Pelicans 35-42-1 ATS


    NBA's Top OVER Teams (based on Over %):

    1. Wizards 47-31
    2. Hawks 44-33
    3. Raptors 43-33-2
    4. Celtics 44-34
    t5. Spurs 42-34-1
    t5. Hornets 42-34-1


    NBA's Top UNDER Teams (based on Under %):

    1. Lakers 46-30-1
    2. Nuggets 44-31-1
    t3. Pacers 44-34
    t3. Magic 44-34
    5. Suns 43-35
    t6. Mavs 42-34-1
    t6. Grizzlies 42-34-1

  8. #8
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    By: Monique Vág


    It’s a big night in the Western Conference in the NBA this evening, with seven of the eight teams playing tonight hailing from the West. Nikola Jokic and DeMarcus Cousins battle inside in Oakland as we bring you the must-read betting notes from around the Association to help you beat the odds.

    Weak Inside

    The Thunder have won 14 of the most recent 16 at home in the head-to-head versus the Lakers. Today, Oklahoma City find themselves as 13-point favorites.

    OKC’s Steven Adams is shooting just shy of 60 percent from the field this year and has scored at least 16 points in three straight games while attempting double digit field goals. Look for Adams to find success against a Lakers team allowing 25.7 points on 54.2 percent shooting to opposing centers. Back Over his points total of 13.5.

    Asserting his dominance

    LaMarcus Aldridge has been exceptionally efficient against the Hawks scoring 22, 25, and 32 points over the most recent three games. He has been logging big minutes down the stretch for San Antonio, and as long as the game is close, Aldridge should see his minutes total comfortably above 30.

    Look for similar scoring numbers today as the Spurs host Atlanta as 11-point favorites, and back Over Aldridge’s points total of 23.5.

    Still successful in a losing effort

    Sacramento’s Buddy Hield has shot the ball well versus Houston, going 10 of 17 for 23 points in the first meeting, 8 of 17 the second time for 20, and most recently 8 of 18 for 21. Hield has also been very effective from beyond the arc over the most recent 10 games, connecting on three or more 3-pointers in six of those contests.

    Although the Rockets should come away with a win today, Hield looks like a good play. For better odds, look into the “player odds/team win” option and bet “Rockets WIN and Hield over 20.5 points” for +175 odds.

    Hoping for a good look to start things off

    The two top teams in the Western Conference square off with the Warriors taking on the Nuggets. The Warriors are the most efficient shooting team averaging 48.9 percent from the field. They’re coming off a game where they shot just above 60 percent versus the Hornets in a blowout victory. The Nuggets have also shot well, averaging 46.6 percent from the floor.

    With the Warriors efficient from everywhere, and the Nuggets ranking as the fourth highest scoring team in the paint averaging 52.4 points a game, look for the first shot of the game to be an easier one, especially if the Nuggets can get penetration inside. Bet the first attempted field goal to be successfully made and choose “yes” as the +105 underdog option.

    Taking the safe route

    Head-to-head options are fun wagers especially when comparing two players of the same position going against one another. PointsBet has that option this evening between Nikola Jokic and DeMarcus Cousins.

    Jokic has been shooting the ball exceptionally accurately over the last two games going 10 of 16, and 11 of 15 from the floor and averaging 32 minutes played throughout that stretch.

    DeMarcus Cousins is coming off a game where he was ejected with a flagrant two, but has logged inconsistent minutes all season, playing more than 30 minutes in only two of the Warriors most recent 10 games. Back Jokic to outscore Cousins, as the extra minutes and higher field goal percentage make Jokic a much more likely candidate for a big game.

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