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Thread: Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/2

  1. #1
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    Default Tuesday's MLB Trends and Indexes - 4/2

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, April 2

    Good Luck on day #92 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    — If you bet $100 on the Orioles in their first four games, you’d already be up $635.

    — Tampa Bay (4-1) leads the Orioles (3-1) by a half-game atop the AL East.

    — South Florida 63, DePaul 61— Bulls lead best-of-3 series, 1-0.

    — Of the 17 NFL referees in 2014, only six of them still work in the NFL.

    — Knicks 113, Bulls 105— Knicks cover as home favorite for 1st time since Nov. 7.

    — Wonder how much it costs to open/close the roof at Marlins’ Park?


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

    13) Being involved in fantasy baseball and handicapping baseball teaches you patience; it is a very long season. There is a tendency to overreact to stuff that happens in the first week of the season, but as the cliche goes, it is a marathon, not a sprint.

    12) Go through this every year; baseball players get hurt.
    — Giancarlo Stanton (biceps strain) goes on the IL.
    — 3B Miguel Andujar (labrum tear in shoulder) also went on the IL.
    — Rays put 3B Joey Wendle (hamstring) on IL.
    — Toronto put P Clayton Richard (knee) on IL.

    11) Cardinals 6, Pirates 5 (11)— Chris Archer threw five shutout innings, bullpen blew a 4-0 lead. Archer threw 99 pitches in those five innings. Pirates wound up using eight relievers over the last six innings.

    10) Orioles 6, Blue Jays 5— David Hess threw 6.1 hitless innings (82 pitches), then was taken out of the game. Toronto quickly scored two runs; Orioles hung on for dear life.

    9) Braves 8, Cubs 0— Chicago made five errors in first five innings of this game; they’ve lost the last three days, giving up 26 runs. Rough start to the season.

    8) Mets 7, Marlins 3— Pete Alonso hit his first major league homer, a 440-foot blast, in front of 6,489 fans, most of whom were rooting for the visitors from New York.

    7) Belmont basketball coach Rick Byrd is retiring after coaching the Bruins for 33 years. Byrd won 805 games and made NCAA tournament eight times.

    Belmont led the country in 2-point FG% in five of the last seven seasons.

    6) If you bet on AAF games, some info thru eight weeks:
    — Favorites are 22-10 SU, 16-16 vs spread
    — Home teams are 18-14 SU, 16-16 vs spread.
    — Under is 18-13-1.

    5) Red Sox signed SS Xander Bogaerts to a 7-year, $132M contract extension.

    4) There is a new minor league team this year, the Amarillo Sod Poodles, AA affiliate of the San Diego Padres. Minor league nicknames are getting weirder and weirder.

    3) Phillies had four sellouts all of last year; after three home games this season, they’ve already had three sellouts. Curious to see what kind of reaction Bryce Harper gets in Washington when the Phillies play there tonight.

    2) Cleveland Plain Dealer newspaper has laid off one-third of its staff. 20 years ago, the paper had 340 journalists; now it’s down to 33.

    1. Normal field for a PGA Tour event is 144 golfers, but The Masters has a different set of requirements. Right now, only 86 players have qualified for next week’s tournament, which would be the smallest field at Augusta since 1997.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-02-2019 at 12:09 PM.

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    Good Month/Bad Month Pitchers
    Marc Lawrence

    Major League Baseball trades places with March Madness as the sports flavor of the month in April. As we usher in America's favorite pastime, let's open the season with one of our favorite handicapping angles – good month pitchers.

    Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of April. On the flip side, we've also listed pitchers that struggle in April team starts, winning 33% percent or less of their efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each April over the last three years.

    Note: * designates a categorical repeat appearance by this pitcher, maintaining status quo from last season’s April list (none this season). In addition also designated are the best and/or worst site results – home (H) or away (A) – within each pitcher’s April results.

    I'll be back next month with May's Good Month Pitchers. Until then, it’s time to play ball!

    GOOD MONTH PITCHERS

    Hellickson, Jeremy • Washington Nationals • 9-4 / 5-2 A


    In the offseason, Hellickson signed a deal to continue to pitch with Washington and is regarded as their fifth starter to begin the season. That means with off days he will probably miss a few early starts and that might be too bad for both him and the Nationals given his history of getting off to fast starts. Lacking overpowering stuff, Hellickson relies on command and getting ahead of hitters and last year threw 67 percent of first-pitch strikes to opposing hitters, to place the odds in his favor.
    Lester, Jon • Chicago Cubs • 10-5 / 6-2 H

    No longer having a mid-90's heater, Lester still knows how to pitch. The Cubs left-hander is now more reliant on his variety of curves and change-ups to keep hitters off balance and will still bust the fastball up and in with two strikes to further keep hitters guessing. Granted, Lester has pitched for a team that has won a lot of games in recent years, but his 50-19 record with a 3.33 ERA is still impressive the last three seasons as he reaches his mid-30's.

    Morton, Charlie • Tampa Bay Rays • 10-5 / 8-2 H

    Morton was given a second chance to revive his career in Houston and did he ever! Known as No.4 starter who was perpetually injured or ineffective in Pittsburgh, the Astros showed they know how to make pitchers better and healthier. Morton was 29-10 the last two years, with an ERA just over 3.30 and career-lows in WHIP of 1.19 and 1.16. At 35 and with World Series ring in hand, the right-hander took the money and moved to pitcher-starved Tampa Bay. There is little reason he won't be effective having the third-best fastball in the bigs last year at 96.6 MPH.

    Porcello, Rick • Boston Red Sox • 11-4 / 7-2 H

    Porcello won the Cy Young in 2016 and followed that up by trying to prove he was a different pitcher, getting away from what he does best. He finished 11-17 with a WHIP of 1.40, his highest in four years. With Chris Sale and a healthy David Price, Porcello returned to a middle of the rotation pitcher, of which he is ideally suited. Last offseason, Porcello was convinced to throw his slider more as hitters were sitting on his fastball and sinker and that gave him another pitch to return to being effective.

    Wacha, Michael • St. Louis Cardinals • 9-4 / 7-1 H

    After a breakout 2015 season in which Wacha was 17-7, he lost his way a bit. Last season, the Redbirds righty was having a super season after 15 starts with an 8-2 record, with an ERA of 3.20 and WHIP of 1.23, when disaster struck with an oblique strain, which ended his year. At 27 and having gone through an assortment of ailments the last three years, Wacha is probably no longer ace material but an excellent No. 2 or No. 3 starter in St. Louis with electric stuff that he just needs to stay within himself to be outstanding.

    Cueto, Johnny • San Francisco Giants • 11-3 / 6-1 H

    The San Francisco right-hander is still recovering from Tommy John surgery.

    Martinez, Carlos • St. Louis Cardinals • 11-3 / 7-1 H


    Coming off an injury-plagued 2018, Martinez was shut down to start spring training with shoulder weakness. The two-time All-Star and former St. Louis ace received a platelet-rich plasma injection which reportedly helped, but there is still no timetable for his return.

    BAD MONTH PITCHERS

    Wood, Alex • Cincinnati Reds • 4-9 / 2-7 A


    Wood starts his new career in Cincinnati on the injured list with a back issue that flared up halfway thru spring training. The latest news on a return is later this month if not early May. In spite of having talent, he never made the Braves or Dodgers feel comfortable, other than when he was 16-3 in 2017, and even then, he was a not factor in the postseason that year. Playing for a far worse team in Cincinnati, expect him to struggle in the Reds bandbox compared to pitching in L.A.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-02-2019 at 12:25 PM.

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    MLB
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, April 2



    Detroit @ NY Yankees

    Game 961-962
    April 2, 2019 @ 6:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    (Zmmrmnn) 13.341
    NY Yankees
    (Tanaka) 14.744
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Yankees
    by 1 1/2
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NY Yankees
    -250
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Yankees
    (-250); Over

    Milwaukee @ Cincinnati


    Game 951-952
    April 2, 2019 @ 6:40 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    (Chacin) 16.697
    Cincinnati
    (DeSclfni) 13.592
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 3
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cincinnati
    -110
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (-110); Under

    Philadelphia @ Washington


    Game 953-954
    April 2, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    (Eflin) 14.960
    Washington
    (Scherzer) 16.463
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 1 1/2
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -200
    7
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-200); Over

    Baltimore @ Toronto


    Game 963-964
    April 2, 2019 @ 7:07 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Baltimore
    (Cashner) 14.201
    Toronto
    (Stroman) 15.275
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    -200
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-200); Under

    Colorado @ Tampa Bay


    Game 973-974
    April 2, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    (Freeland) 15.117
    Tampa Bay
    (Snell) 16.578
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -150
    7
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tampa Bay
    (-150); Under

    NY Mets @ Miami


    Game 955-956
    April 2, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Mets
    (Vargas) 15.122
    Miami
    (Urena) 16.517
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NY Mets
    -125
    8
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (+105); Under

    Houston @ Texas


    Game 965-966
    April 2, 2019 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    (Verlnder) 14.132
    Texas
    (Miller) 15.656
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Texas
    by 1 1/2
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    -210
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas
    (+180); Over

    Minnesota @ Kansas City


    Game 967-968
    April 2, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    (Berrios) 14.358
    Kansas City
    (Keller) 16.665
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kansas City
    by 2 1/2
    10
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    -145
    7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kansas City
    (+125); Over

    Boston @ Oakland


    Game 969-970
    April 2, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    (Sale) 17.287
    Oakland
    (Fiers) 16.128
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    -175
    7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-175); Under

    Arizona @ San Diego


    Game 957-958
    April 2, 2019 @ 10:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Arizona
    (Greinke) 13.785
    San Diego
    (Lauer) 15.657
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Diego
    by 2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Diego
    -115
    7
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Diego
    (-115); Over

    San Francisco @ LA Dodgers


    Game 959-960
    April 2, 2019 @ 10:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Francisco
    (Bmgrner) 14.147
    LA Dodgers
    (Ryu) 17.050
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Dodgers
    by 3
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Dodgers
    -175
    7
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Dodgers
    (-175); Under

    LA Angels @ Seattle


    Game 971-972
    April 2, 2019 @ 10:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Angels
    (Cahill) 14.676
    Seattle
    (Gonzales) 17.782
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Seattle
    by 3
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Angels
    -115
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Seattle
    (-105); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-02-2019 at 12:25 PM.

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    MLB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, April 2


    National League
    Brewers (4-1) @ Reds (1-2)

    Chacin allowed three runs in 5.1 IP in his first ‘19 start. He is 2-3, 3.86 in 10 games (8 starts) vs Cincinnati. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

    DeSclafani was 7-8, 4.93 in 21 starts LY; he is 3-3, 4.91 in 8 games (7 starts) vs Milwaukee. Team in his starts: 0-0
    5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0

    Brewers won their last three games, allowing nine runs (over 3-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 5-0

    Cincinnati lost two of its first three games (under 3-0). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 1-2

    Phillies (3-0) @ Nationals (1-2)
    Eflin was 11-8, 4.36 in 24 starts LY; he is 1-1, 5.93 in three starts vs Washington. Team in his starts: 0-0
    5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0

    Scherzer allowed two runs in 7.2 IP in losing his first ’19 start; he is 9-2, 2.62 in 17 starts vs Philly. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Phillies won their first three games, scoring 23 runs (over 2-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 1-2

    Washington lost two of its first three games (over 2-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 2-1

    Mets (3-1) @ Marlins (2-3)
    Vargas was 7-9, 5.77 in 20 starts LY; he is 2-1, 3.18 in three starts vs Miami. Team in his starts: 0-0
    5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0

    Urena gave up six runs in 4.2 IP in his first ’19 start; he is 5-5, 3.38 in 14 games (10 starts) vs the Mets. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

    Mets won three of their first four games (over 3-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 2-1-1

    Miami lost three of its first five games (over 3-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 2-2-1

    Giants (2-3) @ Dodgers (3-2)
    Bumgarner allowed two runs in seven IP in his first ’19 start; he is 15-11, 2.66 in 31 starts against the Dodgers, 9-7, 2.45 in 19 starts in LA. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Ryu allowed one run in six IP in his first ’19 start; he is 5-6, 2.98 in 15 starts against the Giants. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

    Giants lost three of their first five games (under 5-0), scoring nine runs. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 0-4-1

    Los Angeles won three of its first five games (over 4-1), scoring 42 runs. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 3-2

    Diamondbacks (2-3) @ Padres (3-2)
    Greinke allowed seven runs in 3.2 IP in his first ’19 start; he is 11-2, 2.20 in 22 starts vs San Diego. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 1-0

    Lauer blanked the Giants for six innings in his first ’19 start; he is 1-0, 0.79 in two starts vs Arizona. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Diamondbacks lost three of their first five games (over 5-0), allowing 43 runs. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 4-1

    San Diego won three of its first five games (under 4-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 1-3-1

    American League
    Tigers (2-3) @ Bronx (2-2)

    Zimmerman threw seven shutout innings in his first ’19 start; he is 3-1, 2.84 in six starts vs NY. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Tanaka allowed two runs in 5.2 IP in his first ’19 start; he is 2-3, 3.82 in six starts vs Detroit. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-0-1

    Tigers lost three of their first five games (under 5-0) scoring seven runs. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 0-5

    New York split its first four games (under 2-1-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 2-2

    Orioles (3-1) @ Blue Jays (2-3)
    Cashner allowed six runs in four IP in his first ’19 start; he is 1-2, 3.11 in six starts vs Toronto. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 0-0-1

    Stroman blanked Detroit for seven innings in his first ’19 start; he is 4-4, 3.55 in 11 games (10 starts) vs Baltimore. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Orioles won three of their first four games (over 2-1-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 3-1

    Toronto lost three of its first five games (under 4-1), scoring 17 runs. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1

    Astros (2-3) @ Rangers (2-2)
    Verlander allowed one run in seven IP in his first ’19 start; he is 13-8, 2.82 in 25 starts vs Texas. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Miller was 2-6, 7.34 in eight MLB starts the last two years; he’s started 124 MLB games. He’s allowed three runs in six IP in two games vs Houston. Team in his starts: 0-0
    5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0

    Astros lost three of their first five games (under 5-0). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1

    Texas split its first four games (over 3-1), scoring 24 runs. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 3-1

    Twins (2-1) @ Royals (2-1)
    Berrios blanked the Indians for 7.2 IP in his first ’19 start; he is 2-2, 4.35 in nine starts against the Royals. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Keller blanked White Sox for seven innings in his first ’19 start; he is 1-0, 3.60 in two starts vs Minnesota. Team in his starts: 1-0
    5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Twins won two of their first three games (under 2-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 1-2

    Kansas City won two of their first three games (under 3-0). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 2-1

    Red Sox (1-4) @ A’s (4-3)
    Sale allowed seven runs in three IP in his first ’19 start; he is 6-3, 2.78 in 15 games (10 starts) vs Oakland. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

    Fiers 1-1, 5.00 in his first two ’19 starts; he is 2-0, 1.99 in four games (3 starts) vs Boston. Team in his starts: 1-1
    5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 1-1

    Red Sox lost four of their first five games this week (over 4-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 4-1

    Oakland won four of its last five games (under 5-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: last six under

    Angels (1-4) @ Mariners (6-1)
    Cahill allowed four runs in six IP in his first ’19 start; he is 5-4, 3.40 in 14 starts vs Seattle. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Gonzales is 2-0, 6.35 in his first two starts; he is 3-0, 3.32 in eight starts against the Angels. Team in his starts: 2-0
    5-inning record: 2-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-2 Over/under: 2-0

    Angels lost four of their first five games (under 4-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1

    Seattle won six of its first seven games this season (over 6-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-1

    Interleague
    Rockies (2-3) @ Rays (4-1)

    Freeland allowed one run in seven IP in his first ’19 start; he has never pitched against the Rays. Team in his starts: 0-0
    5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under:

    Snell allowed five runs in six IP in his first ’19 start; he pitched six shutout innings in his only start vs Colorado. Team in his starts: 0-1
    5-inning record: 0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

    Colorado lost its last three games, scoring four runs; their last four games stayed under the total. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 3-1 in last four

    Rays won four of their first five games (under 5-0). Over/under 1st 5 innings: last four under

    Umpires
    Mil-Cin: Home side won seven of last eight Diaz games.
    NY-Mia: Under is 8-3-1 in last dozen Iassogna games.
    Az-SD: Last seven BWelke games stayed under.
    SF-LA: Five of last six Marquez games went over.

    Det-NY: Five of last seven Knight games stayed under.
    Blt-Tor: Five of last six Miller games stayed under.
    Hst-Tex: Three of last four Meals games stayed under.
    Bos-A’s: Six of last eight GGibson games stayed under.
    LA-Sea: Under is 16-4-1 in last 21 Reynolds games.

    Col-TB: Last five Little games went over the total.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-02-2019 at 12:26 PM.

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    MLB

    Tuesday, April 2


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Detroit @ NY Yankees
    Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
    NY Yankees
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of NY Yankees's last 15 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 11 games when playing Detroit

    Milwaukee @ Cincinnati
    Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games on the road
    Cincinnati
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
    Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

    Philadelphia @ Washington
    Philadelphia
    Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home
    Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

    Baltimore @ Toronto
    Baltimore
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games on the road
    Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Toronto
    Toronto is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Baltimore
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 10 games at home

    Colorado @ Tampa Bay
    Colorado
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Colorado's last 23 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado's last 9 games
    Tampa Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games

    NY Mets @ Miami
    NY Mets
    NY Mets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    NY Mets is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
    Miami
    Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Mets
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing NY Mets

    Houston @ Texas
    Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
    Texas
    Texas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
    Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

    Minnesota @ Kansas City
    Minnesota
    Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Minnesota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    Kansas City
    Kansas City is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    Kansas City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota

    Boston @ Oakland
    Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
    Oakland
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games at home

    San Francisco @ LA Dodgers
    San Francisco
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
    LA Dodgers
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of LA Dodgers's last 16 games when playing at home against San Francisco
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games

    Arizona @ San Diego
    Arizona
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
    San Diego
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games at home

    LA Angels @ Seattle
    LA Angels
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games on the road
    Seattle
    Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-02-2019 at 12:27 PM.

  7. #7
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    MLB
    Weather Report

    Tuesday, April 2


    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 04-02-2019 at 12:27 PM.

  8. #8
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    Diamond Trends - Tuesday
    April 2, 2019
    By Vince Akins


    SU Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Rays are 19-0 SU in the second game of a series as a home 135+ favorite off a home game in which they used 5+ pitchers and it is before the All-Star break.

    SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Tigers are 0-16 SU as a 140+ dog after a game as a road dog in which their bullpen did not allow a run and it is before the All-Star break.

    Hitter-Based Trend of the Day:

    -- The Nationals are 9-0 OU (7.56 ppg) at home after Juan Soto was hitless in at least three at bats. The

    Starter-Based Trend of the Day:

    -- The Yankees are 15-0 SU in franchise history when Masahiro Tanaka starts at home and their starters went fewer than six innings in each of their last two games.
    Remember the 3 G's Gambling, Golf, Girls not in any particular order.....

  9. #9
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    STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTERS
    Andrew Caley

    STREAKING

    Kyle Freeland, Colorado Rockies:
    (1-0, 1.29 ERA, $100): Freeland picked up right where he left off in 2018, holding the Marlins to one run on two hits over seven innings in the Rockies Opener. It was Freelandís 12th consecutive quality start (including the postseason) for the Rockies.

    Freeland and the Rockies will be in tough today when they visit the Rays as defending Cy Young award winner Blake Snell takes the bump. Colorado is a +145 road dog with a total of 7.

    SLUMPING

    Chris Sale, Boston Red Sox (0-1, 21.00 ERA, $-203):
    The defending World Series champion Red Sox didnít get much of a ceremony on Opening Day. Sale was roughed up for six hits (including three dingers!) for seven earned runs in just 3 innings pitched.

    In fact, over Saleís last eight starts (including he postseason) he has pitched to a pedestrian (by his standards) 4.26 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. What is a little more concerning is the drop in velocity in the Opener. Now, that is something that is not unusual when it comes to Sale in April, but this year is different after spending two different stints on the IL for shoulder issues.

    Sale and the Red Sox are big -172 road favorites with a total of 7.5 for their game in Oakland.

    A RUDE HOMECOMING

    Well that didnít take long. Bryce Harper makes his return to Washington tonight as the Phillies face the Nationals. The Harper era in Philly has gotten off to a great start, sweeping the Braves with a +12 run differential. But things get a little tougher tonight. Harper will face a hostile crowd and maybe an even more hostile Max Scherzer. We said there arenít many people more competitive than Bumgarner, but Scherzer is one of them. Heís going to want to hand Harper and all the Phillies a golden sombrero in this one. Scherzer and the Nats are big -180 favorites with a total of 7.

    OVERREACTING

    People are jumping on the Padres bandwagon faster than people are snapping up Avengers Endgame tickets. But only one of those statements is a little bewildering. The Padres got off to a decent 3-1 start, but that was against what could be a pitiful Giants offense. They promptly got thumped by the Diamondbacks 10-3 last night.

    Oddsmakers seem to be overreacting a bit as well. Making the D-backs +104 dogs in tonightís matchup despite the fact Zack Greinke is starting. Greinke did get roughed up in his first outing by a hot Dodgers team, but heís better than this line. The veteran right-hander owns an 11-2 record with a 2.20 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP in 22 career starts against the Padres. Arizona has a lot of value here.

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