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Thread: Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/31

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/31

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, March 31

    Good Luck on day # 90 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    NCAA betting props and how they’re making out:

    — OVC 1.5 wins: Murray State/Belmont both won a game. OVER

    — Pac-12 1.5 wins: Oregon won twice, ASU/Washington one each. OVER

    — SEC 10.5 wins: Sitting at 11 wins, OVER

    — WCC 3.5 wins: Gonzaga won three, Saint Mary’s lost in 1st round. UNDER

    — #1 seeds 13 wins: Sitting at 12, with Duke/Virginia still alive.

    — #2 seeds 10 wins: Sitting at 10, with Kentucky, Michigan State alive.


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……

    13) Texas Tech 75, Gonzaga 69— Red Raiders make their first-ever trip to the Final Four. Gonzaga was in Elite 8 for third time in five years; they’re 1-2 in Elite 8 games.

    It is easy to sit here and say that Texas Tech was toughened up by playing in a better league than Gonzaga plays in— Zags thrash everyone in their league every year. Not sure thats why Tech won this game, but they’re athletic as hell and they play very good defense.

    Red Raiders also lost five of their top seven players from last year’s team; to make the Final Four with that much turnover on your roster is very impressive.

    12) This trend has legs, but I’m not sure why. Over the last 22 years, underdogs are now 18-4 vs spread in the final of the West Region, 13-9 SU.

    11) Virginia 80, Purdue 75 OT— Tremendous game. Damn shame someone had to lose.

    Purdue’s Carsen Edwards scored 42 points, with no assists; not sure why he passed the ball on their last possession, but he threw the ball away. Amazing shooting performance.

    Over the last 40 years, Purdue has had only two basketball coaches, Gene Keady, Matt Painter; Drake and Siena have had three coaches the last three years.

    Solid lookalike submitted by The Professor: Matt Painter and WWE’s Shane McMahon.

    10) Auburn F Chuma Okeke tore his ACL, is having surgery Tuesday, very bad news for Auburn’s hopes of going to the Final Four.

    9) When the 3-point shot became a thing in the NBA for the 1979-80 season, there were players in the NBA who believed that 3-pointers should only be allowed in the 4th quarter, and kind of a come-from-behind gimmick.

    Was funny reading that this week, seeing how prominent 3-pointers have become in both pro and college basketball.

    8) Regional finals with teams from same league, last 10 years:2017: South Carolina (+3) 77, Florida 70
    2016: North Carolina (-6.5) 88, Notre Dame 74
    Syracuse (+6.5) 68, Virginia 62
    2013: Syracuse (-2.5) 55, Providence 39

    Auburn-Kentucky play in a regional final today.

    7) Nebraska hired Fred Hoiberg as basketball coach, will pay him $3.57M a year, thats 3rd-highest salary in Big 14, 11th-highest in country.

    6) Lakers will sit Lebron James down for the last six games of what has been a forgettable 34-42 season.

    LA Clippers are 12-2 in March, the NBA’s best record this month.

    5) Detroit Tigers lost 3-0 Saturday; they’ve lost two of their first three games, with only runs they’ve scored so far this week in 10th inning Thursday. So in three games, Detroit hasn’t scored yet in innings 1-9. Oy.

    4) There is a gambling thing in Las Vegas that is a little weird; in NCAA tourney games, you can bet on which team will get to 15 points first. Random wager to create more action.

    I was at the MGM Grand for the 2010 NCAA’s, and I’m watching Northern Iowa, and some kid makes a basket- the three young guys next to me start jumping up and down and hugging each other. I actually asked them if the kid that scored was their brother.

    They explained that they won their “first to 15” bet. Had never heard of it before. If you had a lot of extra time, you could research all that, but not even I would enjoy researching all that.

    3) When Jacob deGrom/Max Scherzer both struck out 10+ guys Thursday, it was only the second time EVER that both starters struck out 10+ on Opening Day.

    Back in 1970 in an Orioles-Indians opener, Dave McNally and Sam McDowell both struck out 10+, and McNally wasn’t a big strikeout guy.

    2) Crowds at Rockies-Marlins in Miami? 6,503 Friday, 7,642 Saturday.

    Colorado’s Daniel Murphy broke a finger on his left hand Friday, is going on the DL.

    1) Diamondbacks 5, Dodgers 4 (13)— This Friday night game lasted until 4:13am Saturday morning; at one point, the home plate ump got drilled in the mask by a pitch that totally crossed up the catcher- he left the game couple innings later, after the 11th inning.

    This was longest regular season game, in terms of time, in Dodger Stadium history.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, March 31


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    MILWAUKEE (57 - 19) at ATLANTA (27 - 49) - 3/31/2019, 12:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 6-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 6-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DALLAS (29 - 46) at OKLAHOMA CITY (44 - 32) - 3/31/2019, 3:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 41-32 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
    DALLAS is 61-46 ATS (+10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 522-442 ATS (+35.8 Units) in road games since 1996.
    DALLAS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
    DALLAS is 194-145 ATS (+34.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
    DALLAS is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    DALLAS is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 74-88 ATS (-22.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 53-73 ATS (-27.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a division game this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 7-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    LA LAKERS (34 - 42) at NEW ORLEANS (32 - 45) - 3/31/2019, 6:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 6-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SACRAMENTO (37 - 39) at SAN ANTONIO (44 - 32) - 3/31/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 41-33 ATS (+4.7 Units) in all games this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 858-732 ATS (+52.8 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 202-153 ATS (+33.7 Units) in March games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 26-7 ATS (+18.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 439-359 ATS (+44.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 43-32 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 40-29 ATS (+8.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 34-24 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 8-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    WASHINGTON (31 - 46) at DENVER (51 - 24) - 3/31/2019, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 4-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CHARLOTTE (35 - 40) at GOLDEN STATE (51 - 24) - 3/31/2019, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 67-84 ATS (-25.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 27-43 ATS (-20.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 36-50 ATS (-19.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 82-57 ATS (+19.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 31-43 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 27-36 ATS (-12.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 24-36 ATS (-15.6 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) on Sunday games this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 24-34 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 4-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MEMPHIS (31 - 45) at LA CLIPPERS (46 - 31) - 3/31/2019, 10:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 7-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 7-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-31-2019 at 12:21 PM.

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, March 31



    Milwaukee won/covered seven of last nine games; they’re 4-3 vs spread in last seven road tilts. Four of their last six games stayed under. Atlanta won three of its last four games; over is 10-5 in their last 15 games. Hawks covered five of their last seven home games. Bucks won their last six games to the Hawks (3-3 vs spread); they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Atlanta. Six of last eight series games went over the total.

    Mavericks lost five of their last six games; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Oklahoma City lost six of its last eight games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Thunder lost four of last six games with Dallas; last four series games played here went over the total. Mavericks covered once in their last four visits to Oklahoma.

    Lebron James is done for this season. Lakers won three of their last four games, are 1-4 vs spread in last five road games. Five of their last six games stayed under. New Orleans lost nine of its last 11 games; they’re 1-9 vs spread in last ten home games. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games. Home side won last five Laker-Pelican games; LA is 0-4 vs spread in its last four visits to New Orleans. Five of last six series games went over.

    Sacramento lost three of its last four games; they’re 3-5-1 vs spread in last nine road games. Four of their last six games stayed under. San Antonio lost three of its last five games; they’re 7-2 vs spread in last nine home games. Under is 11-4 in their last 15 games. Kings won last two games with the Spurs, after losing previous eight; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to San Antonio. Seven of last nine series games went over.

    Wizards lost six of their last seven games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Nuggets won eight of their last ten games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 18-2-1 in their last 21 games. Washington/Denver split their last ten games; Wizards are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Denver. Four of last five series games stayed under.

    Hornets won four of their last five games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Five of their last six games went over. Golden State won six of its last nine games; they’re 2-8 vs spread in last ten home games. Warriors’ last three games went over the total. Warriors won eight of last nine games with Charlotte; five of last six series games went under. Hornets are 2-1-1 vs spread in last four visits to Oakland.

    Grizzlies split their last six games; they covered four of their last six road games. Six of their last eight games went over. Clippers won seven of their last eight games; they’re 7-3 vs spread in last 10 home games. Over is 7-1 in their last eight games. Clippers won four of last five games with Memphis; eight of last ten series games went over the total. Grizzlies are 2-3 vs spread in last five series games played here.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-31-2019 at 12:21 PM.

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    NBA

    Sunday, March 31


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    Trend Report
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    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
    Milwaukee is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    Milwaukee is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games
    Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
    Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
    Atlanta is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Dallas is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
    Dallas is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Dallas is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
    Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Dallas is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Dallas is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
    Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
    Oklahoma City is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
    Oklahoma City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
    Oklahoma City is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Dallas
    Oklahoma City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
    Oklahoma City is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games when playing at home against Dallas
    Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

    Los Angeles Lakers
    LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    LA Lakers is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games
    LA Lakers is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games
    LA Lakers is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
    LA Lakers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games on the road
    LA Lakers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
    LA Lakers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
    LA Lakers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    LA Lakers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games
    New Orleans is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games
    New Orleans is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    New Orleans is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games at home
    New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
    New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
    New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
    New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games
    Sacramento is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
    Sacramento is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games when playing San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing San Antonio
    Sacramento is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Sacramento's last 16 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    San Antonio is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Antonio's last 15 games
    San Antonio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    San Antonio is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Antonio's last 10 games at home
    San Antonio is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing Sacramento
    San Antonio is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Sacramento
    San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of San Antonio's last 16 games when playing at home against Sacramento

    Washington Wizards
    Washington is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
    Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 17 of Washington's last 25 games
    Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Washington is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
    Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
    Washington is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Denver
    Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
    Washington is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 14 games when playing on the road against Denver
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Denver is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Denver's last 18 games
    Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Denver is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games at home
    Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
    Denver is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Washington
    Denver is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Washington
    Denver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 14 games when playing at home against Washington

    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Charlotte is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games
    Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
    Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Charlotte is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games on the road
    Charlotte is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
    Charlotte is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Golden State
    Charlotte is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Charlotte is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Charlotte's last 12 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games
    Golden State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Golden State's last 14 games
    Golden State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    Golden State is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games at home
    Golden State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
    Golden State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
    Golden State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State's last 12 games when playing at home against Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte

    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games
    Memphis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Memphis is 8-15-1 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
    Memphis is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
    Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Memphis's last 10 games when playing LA Clippers
    Memphis is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    Memphis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    Memphis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    LA Clippers is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games
    LA Clippers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 8 games
    LA Clippers is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    LA Clippers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games at home
    LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
    LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Clippers's last 10 games when playing Memphis
    LA Clippers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
    LA Clippers is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Memphis
    LA Clippers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Memphis
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-31-2019 at 12:22 PM.

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    547Milwaukee -548 Atlanta
    ATLANTA is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) in home games off a home loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

    553Sacramento -554 San Antonio
    SAN ANTONIO is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the current season.

    555Washington -556 Denver
    DENVER is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games off a road win in the current season.

    557Charlotte -558 Golden State
    CHARLOTTE is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.

    559Memphis -560 La Clippers
    MEMPHIS are 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the last 3 seasons.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-31-2019 at 12:23 PM.

  7. #7
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    Sunday's Essentials
    Tony Mejia

    Game of the Night - Charlotte at Golden State (-12, 229.5), 8:35 ET, NBA TV

    The Hornets won’t be the only team to be find themselves in a must-win in situation in Oakland over the next few months, but that shouldn’t make them feel any better. You know things haven’t worked out the way the Hornets were hoping they would when they entered 2019 as a .500 team with a world of possibilities ahead of them. Charlotte led the Southeast Division coming out of the All-Star weekend it successfully hosted, but lost nine of 13 and dug itself a hole it only has one way out of.

    Realistically, Charlotte can’t lose again and hope to make the playoffs. As it is, running the table only gets them to 42-40, which means they’ll need the Heat, Magic or Nets to stumble ahead of them. They’ll need two of the three to struggle down the stretch. Their outlook is bleak.

    Facing a summer where Kemba Walker will entertain multiple offers to leave the Queen City, there was supposed to be one last playoff push to convince Walker that he can indeed win with the team that drafted him, providing an opportunity to be the face of the all-time face of the franchise the way Dwayne Wade is for Miami and Reggie Miller was in Indiana. Barring a remarkable run down the stretch, Walker’s season will end after Game 82, and there’s no way that can be spun as a plus for Michael Jordan and the organization.

    Those forecasting a late resurgence on this four-game road trip got a nasty surprise on Friday night when the Hornets came up short against the Lakers as a two-point road favorite in what will wind up as LeBron James’ final game of his inaugural season in L.A. That game was a must-win too. Charlotte lost 129-115 as the Lakers shot 56 percent and drained 18 3-pointers. That defensive effort certainly doesn’t bode well for the Bugs as they enter Oracle Arena, which only has three regular-season games to host after this one.

    The Hornets were in the +650 range on the moneyline as the sun came up on Sunday, so if you’re willing to go down with the ship, the return is attractive on an outright upset. Walker scored 24 points in the loss to the Lakers and managed just 23 in a 121-110 loss to the Warriors back in Charlotte on Feb. 25 as his shooting woes continued. He shot 9-for-24 from the field and 3-for-12 from 3-point range in the loss and has definitely been less accurate as the season has worn on, a sign that he’s worn down trying to lift the rest of the group.

    Walker is in a 16-for-58 (27.6 pct.) stretch from 3-point range after making just one of seven attempts against the Lakers, so he’ll need to have a big night in order to spark one last push. The Hornets play at the Jazz on Monday night and visit New Orleans on Wednesday to wrap up the trip, so simply getting to Game 80 in Detroit without being mathematically eliminated would be a huge victory.

    The Hornets have only beaten Golden State once in the last nine meetings between the teams dating back to the 2014-15 season, but the victory did come on their last visit to Oakland. Charlotte beat the Warriors 111-100 on Dec. 29, 2017, taking advantage of the absence of Stephen Curry. Walker scored just 16 points and shot 5-for-16 from the field but then-Hornet Dwight Howard dominated with 29 points, 13 rebounds and seven assists.

    Cody Zeller led Charlotte with 28 points and nine rebounds in the first meeting but he’s unlikely to participate due top a knee issue that has kept him out the past few games. Bismack Biyombo has been in the starting lineup, joined by shooting guard Dwayne Bacon and rookie forward Miles Bridges as new additions that head coach James Borrego has turned to in order to key a resurgence. If nothing else, the Hornets have gotten key young pieces some valuable experience during March’s rollercoaster ride.

    Golden State has talked about how it doesn’t need homecourt advantage and will likely employ some “load maintenance” for key players down the stretch, but it has certainly gone all out to try and finish ahead of Denver and will see them come into Oracle on Tuesday for one of April’s most important remaining regular-season games. The Nuggets enter Sunday with an identical 51-24 record and will host Washington in a game that will tip a half-hour prior to this one.

    The Warriors fumbled away their Western Conference lead in Minnesota on Friday night in a 131-130 OT loss that had them baiting fines after voicing their displeasure with referee Marat Kogut after a controversial final few minutes. Kevin Durant felt he should’ve been at the line to complete a four-point play before Steph Curry looked like he’d sent the game into a second overtime with a 3-ball with 0.1 remaining, which led to him openly ridiculing the refs. A foul was then whistled on Durant on the inbounds pass that sent Karl-Anthony Towns to the line for the game-winning free-throw. It was a weak call.

    The fraternity of officials certainly won’t take kindly Golden State’s post-game comments, which included Draymond Green getting on Twitter and appearing to compare Kogut to Tim Donaghy, lumping their initials together. We’ll see if the whistle plays a role tonight.

    Golden State blew a 14-point halftime lead and saw its bench outscored 49-25, wasting a 37-point night from Curry, who buried 11 3-pointers. The Warriors fell to 0-5 in overtime games this season, which probably means nothing but is certainly surprising. The ‘over’ connected for the third straight game involving Golden State, which had seen the ‘under’ prevail in 13 of 14 between Feb. 28-March 23. Charlotte’s last four games have surpassed the posted total. It has averaged 117.7 points over its last six games but has surrendered 116.7 over that same span.

    Best of the Rest

    Sacramento at San Antonio, 7:05 p.m. ET:
    The Spurs need to run the table to get to 50 wins. Failing to do so will mark the first time since 1992-93 that they failed to reach 50 victories in consecutive seasons. Unless the team headed to the postseason for a record-tying 22nd straight year can find one last surge, it’s looking increasingly likely that San Antonio will open the playoffs as the No. 7 or No. 8 seed after finishing seventh last year. The Spurs want nothing to do with another playoff rematch against the Warriors and are but need to be nearly perfect to move up past the surging Jazz and Clippers for the No. 6 seed. San Antonio does only have one team currently above .500 on its remaining schedule, so a strong finish is certainly possible for a team that has already won 11 of its past 14. The Kings fell 119-108 in Houston on Saturday, victimized by a 50-point, 11-rebound, 10-assist night from James Harden. Sacramento led to open the fourth quarter and hung around until shots stopped falling and Harden effectively played closer. Harry Giles missed his fifth straight game with a thigh bruise and Nemanja Bjelica was too ill to play, leading to Marvin Bagley III getting the start. The Kings have won both-regular meetings against the Spurs, taking advantage of their edge in athleticism at home. Sacramento hasn’t won in San Antonio since 2012, losing 11 consecutive games at AT&T Center.

    Washington at Denver, 8:05 p.m. ET:
    There was talk of shelving Bradley Beal against the Jazz the other night after Washington’s playoff pursuit officially ended, but the All-Star shooting guard convinced the team to let him continue playing. He’ll extend his streak of consecutive starts to 160 barring something unforeseen here and will look to continue his steady production in a go-to role to give the Nuggets another tough test in the Wizards’ lone trip to Denver this season. The Nuggets won in D.C. 113-108 on March 21, riding a balanced effort past Beal’s 25-point night. At 9-30, Washington has the fifth-worst road record in the NBA and will be facing a Denver squad that can tie Milwaukee for the league’s top home mark at 32-6 by taking care of business here. Forward Trevor Ariza has been ruled out for the Wizards, so expect rookie Troy Brown to continue starting in his place. This is the last game of Washington’s four-game Western swing on which it has gone 1-2. It’s the team’s next-to-last road game of the season. The ‘under’ is on a 17-4 run in Denver games.

    Memphis at L.A. Clippers, 10:35 p.m. ET:
    The Grizzlies posted their biggest comeback win of the season in rallying past host Phoenix 120-115 after falling behind by as many as 18 points. Devin Booker scored 48 points but was held down in the closing stages as center Jonas Valanciunas imposed his will after Deandre Ayton exited with an ankle injury, finishing with a career-high 34 points and 20 rebounds and scoring 10 of Memphis final 16 points in a game-clinching run over the final five minutes. Although he’s been nicked up, there’s no talk of the big center missing this contest. The Grizzlies may rest Mike Conley, who played a team-high 37:49 in the victory and may skip the second of a back-to-back. The Clippers rolled past the Cavs at home 132-108 early on Saturday to win for the 12th time in 14 tries. Definitely monitor the availability of multiple players in this one since Montrezl Harrell suffered a scare with his ankle in the win over Cleveland and Danilo Gallinari is also dealing with a bum wheel. L.A. won the most recent meeting between these teams 112-106 on Feb. 22, getting 30 points from Harrell. The ‘over’ is on a 7-1 run in Clippers games and has prevailed in nine of 11 involving Memphis.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-31-2019 at 12:24 PM.

  8. #8
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Sunday, March 31



    Milwaukee @ Atlanta

    Game 547-548
    March 31, 2019 @ 12:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    124.206
    Atlanta
    121.173
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 3
    236
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 7 1/2
    233
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+7 1/2); Over

    Dallas @ Oklahoma City


    Game 549-550
    March 31, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    117.106
    Oklahoma City
    115.246
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dallas
    by 2
    218
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 12
    221
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (+12); Under

    LA Lakers @ New Orleans


    Game 551-552
    March 31, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Lakers
    111.444
    New Orleans
    117.598
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 6
    239
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 4
    235
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (-4); Over

    Sacramento @ San Antonio


    Game 553-554
    March 31, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Sacramento
    114.416
    San Antonio
    127.004
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio
    by 12 1/2
    221
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Antonio
    by 9 1/2
    227
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (-9 1/2); Under

    Washington @ Denver


    Game 555-556
    March 31, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    112.982
    Denver
    125.821
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 13
    236
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 10 1/2
    226 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Denver
    (-10 1/2); Over

    Charlotte @ Golden State


    Game 557-558
    March 31, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Charlotte
    115.175
    Golden State
    128.321
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 13
    226
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 11 1/2
    229
    Dunkel Pick:
    Golden State
    (-11 1/2); Under

    Memphis @ LA Clippers


    Game 559-560
    March 31, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    115.099
    LA Clippers
    121.249
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 6
    227
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 9
    221
    Dunkel Pick:
    Memphis
    (+9); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-31-2019 at 12:24 PM.

  9. #9
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    Hoop Trends - Sunday
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Kings are 12-0 ATS (+10.75 ppg) with no rest off a double-digit road loss in which they had at least twice as many assists as turnovers.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Hawks are 0-17 ATS (-7.12 ppg) in database history as a 8+ dog with less than two days rest off a game as a dog after scoring 14.5+ points less than Vegas projected.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Pelicans are 12-0 OU (17.50 ppg) as a favorite off a win when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Grizzlies are 0-13 OU (-11.81 ppg) with no rest off a win in which they had at least twice as many assists as turnovers.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-31-2019 at 12:25 PM.

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