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Thread: Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/28

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    Default Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/28

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, March 28

    Good Luck on day # 87 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Odds to win the college basketball national title:

    2-1— Duke

    7-2— Gonzaga, Virginia

    4-1— North Carolina

    10-1— Michigan

    12-1— Michigan State

    18-1— Kentucky, Tennessee


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Happy Opening Day, everyone!!!!

    13) So far this spring. UNLV fired Marvin Menzies and Vanderbilt fired Bryce Drew, both after their third season at that school, after seasons where their best player didn’t play after Christmas. Here are the details:

    — Menzies was 48-52 in three years at UNLV, 23-31 in Mountain West.
    — Drew was 40-59 in three years at Vanderbilt, 16-38 in SEC.

    By way of comparison, here is how another coach did in his first three years at his current job:

    — Unnamed coach: 38-47 at School A, 13-29 in conference games.

    In other words, if Duke had hired Mike Krzyzewski three years ago, he’d be fired by now.

    12) A person who has money to burn bet $500 on the Baltimore Orioles to win the World Series this year at 1,000-1 odds. Orioles were 47-115 last year, so good luck with that.

    11) How is it Opening Day and Dallas Keuchel and Craig Kimbrel are still free agents?

    10) Coaching carousel:
    — Alabama hired hoop coach Nate Oats, who 13 days ago signed an extension with Buffalo.
    — Stetson hired former UCF head coach Donnie Jones.
    — UNLV hired South Dakota State coach TJ Otzenberger.
    — Jackrabbits then replaced Otzenberger with assistant coach Eric Henderson
    — San Francisco promoted assistant Todd Golden to replace Kyle Smith as HC.

    9) Alabama guards John Petty, Kira Lewis, Jr. and Dazon Ingram all announced that they’re transferring out of Alabama’s program; this was before the Crimson Tide hired Oats.

    8) Eight different major league teams used a 4-man outfield at least once LY, all against left-handed hitters. Hitters that saw it the most? Lucas Duda and Joey Gallo (7 games). Overall, hitters were 10-37 (.270) when the defense had four OF’s.

    7) Last year, 42 different major league players played 5+ different positions.

    6) Random golf stat: 2018 European Ryder Cup golf team went 11-1 Thursday in the Match Play tournament in Texas. The guys on the American team went 4-5-2 (Rickie Fowler isn’t playing this week).

    5) Teams with best win %age in Sweet 16 games (minimum 12 games):
    — Michigan 13-3, last in 2018
    — Oklahoma State 11-3, last in 2005
    — North Carolina 27-8, last in 2017

    — Kentucky 36-12, last in 2-18

    4) Charlotte Hornets were 2-0 against the Spurs this season, first time they swept the season series with San Antonio since 1996-97.

    3) Oakland A’s traded minor league IF Jesus Lopez, international signing bonus pool space to Toronto for 1B/DH Kendrys Morales.

    2) Fernando Tatis Jr. will be 20 years, 85 days old on Opening Day; if he plays, he will be the youngest player to play on Opening Day since Adrian Beltre in 1999.

    1) Today is Opening Day in baseball, always a day full of optimism- if you can’t be optimistic when you’re 0-0, when can you be? Not every team has realistic hopes of making the playoffs this year, but you never know. At this time last year, I had zero hope of the A’s making the playoffs, but they wound up winning 97 games!!! Enjoy the season.

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    Thursday's Essentials
    Tony Mejia

    Game of the Night - Denver at Houston (-5, 218), 8:05 ET, NBA TV

    The Rockets’ loss in Milwaukee was disappointing for much more than the perception it might cost James Harden the MVP trophy. He likely wasn’t going to get enough first-place votes as it is, but shooting 1-for-9 from 3-point range as Giannis Antetokounmpo’s Bucks wrapped up a season sweep probably swung anyone on the fence. Houston matched its second-lowest point total of 2019 in a 108-94 loss that helped knock it down to fourth in the Western Conference when combined with Portland’s easy win in Chicago on Wednesday.

    Denver is running second in the West despite nearly blowing a 27-point lead against Detroit, holding on for a 95-92 result that clinched its first 50-win season since 2013. The Nuggets are in the midst of a stretch that has them playing six of seven on the road, wrapping it up with another tough test in Oklahoma City on Friday. Of the nine games they’ve got left, seven will be against playoff teams, which makes surpassing Golden State for the West’s top record and homecourt advantage throughout the playoffs unlikely.

    These teams would love nothing more than to see one another in the Western Conference semifinals, the earliest they’re likely to meet, because it means they would be avoiding the Warriors until a potential conference finals. The Nuggets are 3.5 games up on the Trail Blazers but considering their tough remaining schedule and the fact they still have to go through Portland on April 7, nothing is a given.

    Denver has won seven of eight but has failed to top the 100-point mark in consecutive games for the first time this season. Worse yet, nearly blowing a huge lead against Detroit was another example of the Nuggets coasting home and failing to display killer instinct. They’ve covered in only two of their last six wins and are just 3-8 in their last 11 games as an underdog, which they’ll be tonight at the Toyota Center. Although they share the NBA’s top home record with Milwaukee, the Nuggets are a rather ordinary 19-17 outside of Colorado. Following Tuesday’s win, head coach Mike Malone said “I never know which team is going to be out there from quarter to quarter.”

    The Rockets have to capitalize on Denver’s erratic form if they’re going to have any chance to pass them down the line since a victory here would be worth two games considering it would clinch a 3-1 season series edge. James Harden is averaging 28 points per game through their first three meetings but hasn’t shot over 44 percent in any of the three games. The Nuggets won the most recent meeting between these teams 136-122 on Feb. 1 despite Harden hitting half of his 14 3-point attempts. After falling behind 43-35 following a fast-paced first quarter, the Nuggets outscored the Rockets 48-28 in the second quarter to take control.

    Malik Beasley led the Nuggets with 35 points, hitting five 3-pointers in a start with both Jamal Murray and Gary Harris sidelined. Nikola Jokic had 31 points, 13 rebounds and nine assists and has averaged 23.0 points, 12.7 rebounds and 5.7 assists against Houston, so any thoughts of an upset will have to start with him being more aggressive. Paul Millsap grabbed just one rebound in Denver’s most recent win over the Rockets and has racked up just four boards in the three games. He’s been playing his best basketball of late, averaging 14.0 points and 8.3 boards this month.

    Houston scored 70 first-half points in its most recent win in this series, which has seen the last two meetings surpass the posted total after high-scoring opening halves. The ‘under’ is 11-2 in Rockets’ games this month and has prevailed in 14 of the last 16 games involving Denver since action resumed after the All-Star break.

    Beasley was away from the team for the birth of his first child and is questionable to return for this contest. The Rockets will be without Kenneth Faried (knee) and Gerald Green (groin), which means Danuel House should play major minutes and Iman Shumpert will continue to get time on the wing.

    Best of the Rest

    Brooklyn at Philadelphia, 7:05 p.m. ET:
    The Nets finally got back to the east coast after losing their 148-144 double-OT thriller in Portland on Monday and will conclude their seven-game road trip up the road in Philly in a potential playoff preview against the 76ers. The teams would meet as the 3-6 matchup in the Eastern Conference if the playoffs were to begin based on the current standings. Brooklyn snapped a three-game losing streak with its epic D’Angelo Russell-led comeback from 25 down in Sacramento and then went out and beat the Lakers, so a 2-4 run on this roadie has been respectable when you consider it lost at the buzzer to Lou Williams’ Clippers and fell to the Blazers in another game where they displayed an ability to rally.

    Kenny Atkinson’s team goes hard and won the most recent matchup between these teams at Wells Fargo Center 127-124 back on Dec. 12 behind Spencer Dinwiddie’s 39 points. Joel Embiid led the Sixers with 33 points and 17 rebounds. Ben Simmons is set to return from a stomach issue that kept him out against Orlando in a loss in which his team missed his play-making skills, failing to produce a field goal for nearly a quarter’s worth of action. Mike Scott (back) and James Ennis III (quad) might miss this contest, which would bump up Jonathon Simmons and Jonah Bolden in Brett Brown’s rotation. Brooklyn is going in search of a 3-1 series victory over Philly that would certainly fuel its confidence if the teams were to meet in the playoffs. Allen Crabbe (knee) is out again. The 76ers had a streak of five consecutive ‘overs’ snapped by Orlando and have seen their last two encounters with the Nets top the posted total.

    Orlando at Detroit, 7:05 p.m. ET:
    The Magic’s six-game winning streak is the team’s longest since 2011 and has them atop the Southeast Division and just one game behind the sixth-seeded Nets, who would do hold the tiebreaker if the teams wind up even. Orlando would leapfrog the Pistons with a win here and would tie the season series up, so it’s a huge game for both teams. Detroit has dropped three straight, closing their longest road trip of the season with four consecutive covers but just a 1-4 mark overall to fall back to .500 for the first time since March 3. This is the wrong time of year to be going backward and with the schedule over the next week featuring a home game against Portland a home-and-home with Indiana and a visit to Oklahoma City, the need to get back on track tonight makes this a must-win.

    The Pistons have won nine consecutive games at Little Caesar’s Arena, last losing on Feb. 2. Andre Drummond is averaging 17 points and 18.7 rebounds against the Magic, while Orlando’s Nikola Vucevic is averaging 20 points and 11 rebounds against Detroit. Vooch made the All-Star team over Drummond and these two haven’t seen each other since, so the matchup in the middle figures to be serious. Orlando has been among the NBA’s stingiest teams since the All-Star break and have dominated on the boards, leading to a 12-3 run for the ‘under’ in their games.

    Dallas at Miami, 7:35 p.m. ET:
    The Heat lost to Orlando at home on Tuesday to slide out of the eighth spot in the East and only have home games against the Celtics and 76ers left after tonight, so losing again would really dampen hopes of a Dwyane Wade farewell ending in the postseason. Miami has won nine of 13 and hasn’t dropped consecutive games since just after the All-Star break, so it has been reliable over the past few weeks as Erik Spoelstra has found the right blend to make the most of a suddenly healthy roster. The Mavericks have scored 118 or more points in five of the last six games and followed up a huge blowout win at Golden State with a 125-121 loss in Sacramento. Luka Doncic’s knee looks like less of an issue than it did last week, so the Mavs are quite capable of playing spoiler.

    The Heat could be without Josh Richardson (heel), who is listed as questionable, and won’t have Justise Winslow or Rodney McGruder. It’s ironic that Dirk Nowitzki will be in town for a game that Dwyane Wade badly needs in order to avoid an early retirement. He scored a game-high 22 points in Miami’s 112-101 win in Dallas on Feb. 13. The Heat have already clinched a losing home record by falling to 17-21 in the loss to the Magic, but the Mavs are the league’s second-worst road team, coming in 7-30.

    L.A. Clippers at Milwaukee, 8:05 p.m. ET:
    The Clippers celebrated making the playoffs by breaking out the champagne, so we’ll see how hard they partied after beating Minnesota on Tuesday night. This will be the first-ever visit to Fiserv Forum for all the Clippers except Landry Shamet, who saw a handful of minutes back on Oct. 24 when the 76ers lost in Milwaukee. He’s questionable with an ankle injury that kept him out of the win over the Timberwolves. Fellow starting guard Patrick Beverley is dealing with a hip pointer but intends to play, which means L.A. will have a healthier roster than their hosts, who won their third in a row on this current homestand against the Rockets on Tuesday.

    Milwaukee will look to sweep the four-game stretch despite being without Malcolm Brogdon (heel), Nikola Mirotic (hand) and Tony Snell (ankle), all key members of Mike Budenholzer’s usual rotation. Pau Gasol (ankle) and rookie Donte DiVincenzo (foot) are also out, so Sterling Brown has joined the starting lineup, Pat Connaughton has taken over the sixth man role and Ersan Ilyasova, George Hill and D.J. Wilson round out the bench. Considering they’re facing the team with the NBA’s most productive bench, averaging a league-high 53 points per game, this could be a dangerous game for the team with the NBA’s best home record (31-6).
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-28-2019 at 12:50 PM.

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, March 28


    Nets are 6-4 in their last 10 games, covering their last four; they’re 7-4 vs spread in last 11 road games. Three of their last four games went over. Philly lost its last two games after a 6-0 run; Sixers are 3-1-2 vs spread in last six home games. Five of their last six games went over. 76ers won four of last six games with Brooklyn; over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Nets are 3-1 vs spread in their last five visits to Philly.

    Orlando won its last six games (5-1 vs spread); they’re 10-5 vs spread in last 15 road games. Under is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Detroit lost its last three games but is 13-4 vs spread in its last 17 games. Four of their last six games went over. Pistons covered their last nine home games. Magic won six of last nine games with the Pistons; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to the Motor City. Five of last seven series games went over.

    Raptors are 6-4 in their last ten games; they’re 5-4 vs spread in last nine road games. Six of their last nine games went over. New York lost 12 of its last 13 games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Knicks lost nine of last ten games with Toronto; three of last four series games went over total. Raptors are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Manhattan.

    Mavericks lost 11 of their last 13 games; they covered four of their last five road games. Four of their last six games went over. Heat are 5-3 in their last eight games; they’re 5-6 vs spread in last 11 home games. Six of their last eight games stayed under. Miami won eight of its last ten games with Dallas; seven of last nine series games stayed under. Mavericks covered once in their last four visits to South Beach.

    Sacramento won four of its last six games; they’re 6-3-1 vs spread in last ten road games. Four of their last six games stayed under. New Orleans lost nine of its last ten games; they’re 0-9 vs spread in last nine home games. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Kings/Pelicans split their last ten meetings; five of last six series games went over the total. Sacramento is 2-2 vs spread in its last four visits to Bourbon Street.

    Clippers won 11 of their last 12 games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven road games. Five of their last six games went over. Milwaukee won six of its last eight games; they’re 6-1 vs spread in last seven home games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Clippers won six of last eight games with the Bucks; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Milwaukee, with all four of those games going over total.

    Nuggets won seven of their last eight games; they’re 4-7 vs spread in last 11 road games. Under is 17-2-1 in their last 20 games. Houston won five of its last seven games; they’re 3-2-1 vs spread in last six home games. 11 of their last 12 games stayed under. Rockets won nine of their last ten games with Denver; four of last five series games went over. Nuggets are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Houston.

    Cavaliers lost six of their last eight games; they’re 4-3 vs spread in last seven road games. Five of their last six games went over. San Antonio lost three of its last four games; they’re 7-1 vs spread in last eight home games. Under is 11-3 in their last 14 games. Spurs won/covered their last four games with Cleveland; over is 6-4 in last ten series games. Cavaliers are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to the Alamo.

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    501Brooklyn -502 Philadelphia
    PHILADELPHIA is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

    503Orlando -504 Detroit
    DETROIT is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons.

    505Toronto -506 New York
    TORONTO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season in the current season.

    507Dallas -508 Miami
    MIAMI is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) against Southwest division opponents in the current season.

    509Sacramento -510 New Orleans
    NEW ORLEANS are 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

    511La Clippers -512 Milwaukee
    MILWAUKEE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less in the current season.

    513Denver -514 Houston
    HOUSTON is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

    515Cleveland -516 San Antonio
    SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons.

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    NBA

    Thursday, March 28


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Orlando Magic
    Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 8 games
    Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
    Orlando is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
    Orlando is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing Detroit
    Orlando is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Orlando is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Detroit is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
    Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
    Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games at home
    Detroit is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Orlando
    Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Orlando
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Orlando
    Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando
    Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing at home against Orlando

    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Brooklyn's last 11 games
    Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    Brooklyn is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Philadelphia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Philadelphia's last 24 games
    Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home
    Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
    Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
    Philadelphia is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
    Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
    Dallas is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
    Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Dallas is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
    Dallas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
    Dallas is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Miami
    Dallas is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Miami
    Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
    Miami Heat
    Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Miami is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
    Miami is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games at home
    Miami is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
    Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
    Miami is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games when playing Dallas
    Miami is 6-14-1 ATS in its last 21 games when playing at home against Dallas
    Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
    Toronto is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games
    Toronto is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
    Toronto is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
    Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
    Toronto is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New York
    Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
    New York Knicks
    New York is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    New York is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games
    New York is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    New York is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games at home
    New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
    New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
    New York is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto
    New York is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

    Los Angeles Clippers
    LA Clippers is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
    LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games
    LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games on the road
    LA Clippers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
    LA Clippers is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Milwaukee
    LA Clippers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    LA Clippers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
    Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 15 games at home
    Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
    Milwaukee is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing LA Clippers
    Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    Milwaukee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

    Denver Nuggets
    Denver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Denver's last 16 games
    Denver is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
    Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games on the road
    Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
    Denver is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Houston
    Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston Rockets
    Houston is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games
    Houston is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
    Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home
    Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
    Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Denver
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    Sacramento is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Sacramento is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
    Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    Sacramento is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games
    New Orleans is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games
    New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
    New Orleans is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
    New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Sacramento
    New Orleans is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Sacramento
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against Sacramento

    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
    Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
    Cleveland is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games when playing San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Cleveland's last 17 games when playing San Antonio
    Cleveland is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    Cleveland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 10 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games
    San Antonio is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Antonio's last 14 games
    San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    San Antonio is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Antonio's last 9 games at home
    San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    San Antonio is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Antonio's last 17 games when playing Cleveland
    San Antonio is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    San Antonio is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-28-2019 at 12:51 PM.

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    79,848
    Credits
    266,517

    Default

    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, March 28


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BROOKLYN (38 - 37) at PHILADELPHIA (47 - 27) - 3/28/2019, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 6-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 7-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ORLANDO (37 - 38) at DETROIT (37 - 37) - 3/28/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    DETROIT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in March games this season.
    DETROIT is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
    DETROIT is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ORLANDO is 7-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    ORLANDO is 6-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (52 - 23) at NEW YORK (14 - 60) - 3/28/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 32-41 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games this season.
    TORONTO is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
    TORONTO is 153-193 ATS (-59.3 Units) in March games since 1996.
    TORONTO is 24-34 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    TORONTO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW YORK is 30-42 ATS (-16.2 Units) in all games this season.
    NEW YORK is 27-36 ATS (-12.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
    NEW YORK is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games this season.
    NEW YORK is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    NEW YORK is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
    NEW YORK is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW YORK is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    NEW YORK is 23-33 ATS (-13.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 8-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 10-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DALLAS (29 - 45) at MIAMI (36 - 38) - 3/28/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents this season.
    MIAMI is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    DALLAS is 41-32 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
    DALLAS is 61-46 ATS (+10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 522-442 ATS (+35.8 Units) in road games since 1996.
    DALLAS is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    DALLAS is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    DALLAS is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    MIAMI is 32-46 ATS (-18.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SACRAMENTO (37 - 37) at NEW ORLEANS (31 - 45) - 3/28/2019, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SACRAMENTO is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    SACRAMENTO is 5-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA CLIPPERS (45 - 30) at MILWAUKEE (56 - 19) - 3/28/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA CLIPPERS are 229-287 ATS (-86.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 45-28 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 43-32 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 36-27 ATS (+6.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 47-32 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 35-26 ATS (+6.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 47-74 ATS (-34.4 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 137-174 ATS (-54.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 73-103 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 66-110 ATS (-55.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 209-257 ATS (-73.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DENVER (50 - 23) at HOUSTON (47 - 28) - 3/28/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 23-34 ATS (-14.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 7-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 9-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (19 - 56) at SAN ANTONIO (43 - 32) - 3/28/2019, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 76-99 ATS (-32.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 31-48 ATS (-21.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 41-58 ATS (-22.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 43-58 ATS (-20.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 41-32 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 858-731 ATS (+53.9 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 202-152 ATS (+34.8 Units) in March games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after a non-conference game this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 363-297 ATS (+36.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 439-358 ATS (+45.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 34-25 ATS (+6.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-28-2019 at 12:52 PM.

  8. #8
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    79,848
    Credits
    266,517

    Default

    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, March 28



    Brooklyn @ Philadelphia

    Game 501-502
    March 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Brooklyn
    117.737
    Philadelphia
    119.625
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 2
    240
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 7 1/2
    230 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+7 1/2); Over

    Orlando @ Detroit


    Game 503-504
    March 28, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Orlando
    124.318
    Detroit
    115.825
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Orlando
    by 8 1/2
    205
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    by 3 1/2
    207 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Orlando
    (+3 1/2); Under

    Toronto @ New York


    Game 505-506
    March 28, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    125.993
    New York
    111.769
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 14
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 11
    216
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-11); Under

    Dallas @ Miami


    Game 507-508
    March 28, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    101.665
    Miami
    127.872
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami
    by 26
    218
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami
    by 7
    208
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (-7); Over

    Sacramento @ New Orleans


    Game 509-510
    March 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Sacramento
    117.919
    New Orleans
    109.986
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Sacramento
    by 8
    245
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Sacramento
    by 3 1/2
    236 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Sacramento
    (-3 1/2); Over

    Denver @ Houston


    Game 513-514
    March 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Denver
    119.094
    Houston
    120.541
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 1 1/2
    224
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 5 1/2
    216 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Denver
    (+5 1/2); Over

    LA Clippers @ Milwaukee


    Game 511-512
    March 28, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Clippers
    117.606
    Milwaukee
    127.520
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 10
    239
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 8 1/2
    232 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (-8 1/2); Over

    Cleveland @ San Antonio


    Game 515-516
    March 28, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    114.004
    San Antonio
    120.964
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio
    by 7
    209
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Antonio
    by 12 1/2
    218
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (+12 1/2); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-28-2019 at 12:52 PM.

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