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Thread: Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/25

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    Default Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/25

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, March 25

    Good Luck on day # 84 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Conference record in first two rounds of NCAA tournament:

    — ACC: 10-2 SU, 5-7 vs spread.

    — Big 14: 10-5 SU, 10-5 vs spread

    — Big X, 5-5 SU, 7-3 vs spread

    — Big East: 1-3 SU, 0-3-1 vs spread (also lost play-in game)

    — Pac-12: 3-2 SU, 3-2 vs spread (also won play-in game)

    — SEC: 9-3 SU, 4-8 vs spread


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Sunday……

    13) Duke 77, Central Florida 76— When you lose a game like this and your season or career end, you will remember that game for the rest of your life. UCF played its hearts out, the game was there for them to take but it slipped away. Their effort was exceptional.

    Duke was 309th in country in 3-point %age before this game; they made 10-25 Sunday, and scored off a missed free throw with 0:09 left to win this interesting game.

    Aubrey Dawkins scored 32 points for UCF; this game had to be personal for him, living in Durham until he was 11 years old when his father was an assistant coach at Duke. He played at Michigan, then UCF; he was excellent in this game.

    12) This is the first time since the NCAA tournament went to 64 teams that every betting favorite won in the round of 32. Favorites were 12-4 vs spread Saturday/Sunday.

    Tennessee 83, Iowa 77 OT— Volunteers led this game 44-19, so if you laid eight points, this was a sad ending. If you had the under, this was a sad ending. If you had Iowa and the over, then be thankful. Tennessee survived and it advances, and that is all that matters this time of year.

    For the first time since 1996 the SEC has four teams in the Sweet 16. Tennessee has zero points this season from freshmen, which in modern times is really unusual.

    CBS had the father of one of the Iowa players miked during this game; this is a bad idea. Parents should be seen and not heard during these games. Let the kids be the show.

    11) North Carolina 81, Washington 59— Tar Heels are in Sweet 16 for 4th time in five years; this wasn’t a good game. Huskies shot 36.7% from the floor.

    Washington is 48-21 in Mike Hopkins’ first two years as coach, so things are looking up for them, though they graduate three starters this spring.

    10) Texas Tech 78, Buffalo 58— Bulls hadn’t lost since February 1st; over last six years, they’re 138-62, 75-31 in MAC games. Five of their top seven players graduate; will coach Nate Oats leave for green$r pa$ture$? Now would be a good time.

    Texas Tech moves on to Anaheim, will play Michigan in the next round.

    9) Virginia Tech 67, Liberty 58— Hokies beat Duke 77-72 at home Feb 26; now they get another shot at the Blue Devils Friday night in Washington. Justin Robinson played 29:00 Sunday, so his foot must be OK. He looked a little gimpy late in Friday’s game.

    Liberty has a 5-9 freshman named Darius McGhee who played 27:00, and was 5-11 from floor, all 3-pointers, with no assists. Sounds like a good gig, take a 3-pointer every 2:00 or so.

    8) Virginia 63, Oklahoma 51—Starting center Jack Salt isn’t playing much; he has back/ankle issues. Cavaliers are basically playing six guys; Kyle Guy was 0-10 on the arc in this game but Virginia still covered a double digit spread.

    Oklahoma finished 20-14 this year, after going 18-14 LY, when they had Trae Young. Go figure.

    7) Houston 74, Ohio State 59— Cougars move on and play Kentucky Friday in Kansas City. Indiana fans who might be watching will be conflicted; they didn’t like Kelvin Sampson much when he was coach of the Hoosiers, but they really dislike Kentucky.

    6) Oregon 73, Cal-Irvine 54— Ducks are in Sweet 16 for third time in last four years; they missed their first ten shots of 2nd half as Irvine came back from down 12 at the half to the game, but Oregon pulled away late. Kenny Wooten had seven blocks; he is a force in the paint.

    5) Coaching carousel:
    — Ron Hunter bolts Georgia State for Tulane. Interesting decision; his Georgia State team would’ve clobbered Tulane this year, but AAC is a step up from the Sun Belt.
    — California fires Wyking Jones; Cal alum Jason Kidd is a possible replacement.

    4) Bryce Harper is from Las Vegas and goes to some UNLV basketball games in the winter; he has posted stuff on social media imploring UNLV to hire Memphis assistant coach Mike Miller as its new basketball coach.

    3) Two baseball players have had ten seasons with 20+ homers and 20+ stolen bases; they are father/son, Bobby and Barry Bonds. Bobby Abreu is next, with nine.

    2) They had 38,031 fans in Anaheim Stadium Sunday night for Dodgers-Angels exhibition game; they drew 23,967 in Oakland for a Giants-A’s game. Baseball season starts Thursday; we’ll have information every day from then until October.

    Russell Martin caught all eight innings for the Dodgers, which is really unusual for a spring training game.

    1) Cubs-Colorado exhibition game drew 14,022 fans Saturday night in Arizona. These games are more affordable and to lot of people, their best chance to see big league baseball.

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    Monday's Tip Sheet
    David Schwab

    The remaining 16 teams in this year’s NCAA Tournament will be back in action later this week. However, Monday night’s college basketball betting board is highlighted by a trio of matchups in two other postseason tournaments.

    Starting in the NIT, the Norfolk State Spartans will be on the road against the Colorado Buffaloes. Over in the CBI, the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers head to West Virginia to face the Mountaineers and the Brown Bears will be on the West Coast against Loyola Marymount Lions.

    NIT

    No. 8 Norfolk State Spartans at No. 4 Colorado Buffaloes (9 p.m. ET)


    Opening Odds: Colorado -14 ½, 147

    Betting Matchup

    The Spartans stunned top-seeded Alabama 80-79 in overtime in the opening round of their NIT bracket. They closed as 16-point underdogs, but this was just the second time they covered against the spread in their last six games. The total has gone OVER in four of those six contests. Norfolk State plays out of the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference where it went 14-2 straight-up to win the regular season title. It lost to North Carolina Central 50-47 as a 4 ½-point favorite in the conference tournament.

    Colorado went 22-12 SU this season with a 10-8 record in Pac-12 play. It came up short against Washington 66-61 as a three-point underdog in the conference tournament after knocking off Oregon State 73-58 as a 2 ½-point underdog. The Buffaloes opened play in the NIT by beating Dayton 78-73 to cover as 4 ½-point favorites. They are 5-2 ATS over their past seven games with the total staying UNDER in five of those outing. Colorado’s Tyler Bey scored 14 points with 12 rebounds to pace the win in the opening round.

    Betting Trends

    -- The Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played on Monday with the total going OVER in 15 of their last 20 games following a SU win.

    -- The Buffaloes have a 7-1 record ATS in their last eight home games and the total has stayed UNDER in six of their last seven nonconference games.


    CBI

    Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at West Virginia Mountaineers (7 p.m. ET)


    Opening Odds: West Virginia -9, 157 ½

    Betting Matchup

    As members of the Sun Belt Conference, the Chanticleers made their way to the quarterfinals of the CBI with an 81-72 victory against Howard last Wednesday as 11-point favorites. They have failed to cover the closing number in four of their last six games with the total staying UNDER in four of those games. They are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. Coastal Carolina got a strong effort from Tyrell Gumbs-Frater in Wednesday’s win with 22 points. The team averaged 76.4 points a game in the regular season while allowing 73.0 points on defense.

    West Virginia went 15-20 SU this season with a 4-14 record in Big 12 play. As the No. 10 seed in a ten-team tournament, the Mountaineers made some early noise by beating Oklahoma 72-71 as 6 ½-point underdogs ahead of their stunning 79-74 shocker over No. 1 seed Texas Tech as 13-point underdogs. The ride came to an end with a 88-74 loss to Kansas as 9 ½-point underdogs. West Virginia beat Grand Canyon 77-63 in the CBI opener as a 5 ½-point favorite. Jermaine Haley scored 24 points in last Wednesday’s win.

    Betting Trends

    -- The Chanticleers have gone 5-0-1 ATS in their last six Monday games and the total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven games on the road.

    -- The Mountaineers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven nonconference games. The total has gone OVER in their last four games following a SU win.


    Brown Bears at Loyola Marymount Lions (10 p.m. ET)

    Opening Odds: Loyola Marymount -4 ½, 137 ½

    Betting Matchup

    The Bears failed to qualify for the four-team Ivy League Tournament with a 58-51 loss to Penn in their regular season finale as six-point road underdogs. They were 7-7 SU in league play as part of a 19-11 record overall. In their opening effort in this tournament, they beat UAB 83-78 as slight one-point home favorites. Brown is 3-1 ATS in its last four games with the total staying UNDER in three of those games. Obi Okolie came away with a career-high 26 points to help the Bears advance to this game.

    Playing out of the West Coast Conference, Loyola Marymount made an early exit in the conference tournament with a 68-65 loss to Pepperdine as a 4 ½-point favorite. The Lions drew Cal Baptist in the opening round of the CBI and squeezed out a 56-55 win on the road as two-point favorites. They are 2-4 ATS in their last six games and the total has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven games. Mattias Markusson converted a three-point attempt in the closing seconds of Wednesday’s win as part of his 13 points on the night.

    Betting Trends

    -- The Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a SU win and the total has stayed UNDER in 20 of their last 27 road games.

    -- The Lions have failed to cover in 11 of their last 15 games coming off a SU win with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in 10 of their last 13 nonconference games.

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    Early bettors hit Michigan odds for March Madness clash vs. Texas Tech
    Patrick Everson

    Michigan coach John Beilein will have a worthy adversary in Texas Tech's Chris Beard for a Sweet 16 battle Thursday night. The Wolverines opened -1 Sunday evening and were quickly bet up to -2.

    Forty-eight teams packed their bags over the past four days of March Madness, leaving only sixteen to play on. Covers checks in on the opening lines, early action and odds movement for a quartet of the Sweet 16’s eight games, with insights from John Murray, director of the SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

    No. 3 Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. No. 2 Michigan Wolverines (-1)

    Michigan easily advanced in the Big Dance with a pair of double-digit victories in the West Region. After rolling over No. 15 seed Montana on Thursday, the Wolverines (30-6 SU, 21-15 ATS) dispatched No. 10 seed Florida 65-49 as 5.5-point favorites Saturday.

    Likewise, Texas Tech had little trouble reaching the Round of 16, winning and covering in the first and second rounds. The Red Raiders (28-6 SU, 17-16-1 ATS) coasted past No. 14 Northern Kentucky, then punched out No. 6 seed Buffalo 78-58 as 3.5-point faves Sunday.

    “I think the best game of (next) weekend is Texas Tech-Michigan,” Murray said of this 9:35 p.m. ET clash on Thursday. “It’s a pick ‘em game to me. Two of the very best coaches in all of college basketball.”

    The SuperBook opened the Wolverines at -1 Sunday evening and got to -2 within about an hour.

    No. 4 Virginia Tech Hokies vs. No. 1 Duke Blue Devils (-8)

    Duke is extremely fortunate to be playing in this 9:35 p.m. ET Friday tipoff in the East Region. On Sunday, the Blue Devils (31-5 SU, 18-17-1 ATS) trailed late against No. 9 seed Central Florida, regained the lead in the waning seconds and survived a jumper and tip-in attempt by UCF to snare a 77-76 win laying 13 points.

    Virginia Tech already owns a win over Duke, winning and cashing as a 3.5-point home pup a month ago, though the Blue Devils didn't have Zion Williamson and will have him this time. The Hokies (26-8 SU, 17-15-1 ATS) got a stern test from No. 12 seed Liberty on Sunday, pulling away in the second half for a 67-58 victory giving 9.5 points.

    “This will be a heavily bet game for sure. A lot of moneyline parlays with Duke in them next week,” Murray said. “We opened it a little high at -8, because we know Duke money will come. Duke was very lucky to escape (Sunday), and I definitely give the coaching edge to Virginia Tech and Buzz Williams.”

    No. 12 Oregon Ducks vs. No. 1 Virginia Cavaliers (-7.5)

    Oregon came from the No. 6 seed to win the Pac-12 tournament and now finds itself in the Sweet 16 as a 12 seed in the South Region. The Ducks (24-12 SU, 21-15 ATS) blew all of a 12-point halftime lead plus two Sunday against No. 13 seed UC Irvine, then went nuts over the last 12 minutes to win easily 73-54 as 4.5-point favorites.

    Virginia, which as a No. 1 seed last year shockingly got knocked out by No. 16 seed Maryland-Baltimore County, got through the first weekend this time around, though not without incident. The Cavaliers (31-3 SU, 24-10 ATS) trailed No. 16 seed Gardner-Webb 36-30 at half, then clamped down for a 71-56 win as hefty 22.5-point faves Friday.

    On Sunday against No. 9 seed Oklahoma, Virginia was up nine at the half and notched a relatively uneventful 63-51 win as 10.5-point chalk.

    “Oregon-Virginia is a terrific coaching matchup,” Murray said of Thursday’s 9:55 p.m. ET meeting. “Two great defensive teams. We opened 7.5 and total of 119. I love Dana Altman, and Payton Pritchard is a steady point man, but this should be the end of the road for the Ducks.”

    No. 5 Auburn Tigers vs. No. 1 North Carolina Tar Heels (-5.5)

    North Carolina got a surprisingly stern test in its Midwest Region opener, then had much less trouble in the second round. The Tar Heels (29-6 SU, 22-11-2 ATS) trailed No. 16 seed Iona 38-33 at recess, then put up 55 second-half points to win 88-73 as healthy 24.5-point favorites Friday. Roy Williams’ troops then blasted No. 9 seed Washington 81-59 giving 11 points Sunday.

    Auburn built on its run to the Southeastern Conference tournament title with two more wins, running its win streak to 10 (6-4 ATS). After squeaking past No. 12 seed New Mexico State 78-77 as 5.5-point faves Thursday, the Tigers (28-9 SU, 19-16-1 ATS) rumbled over No. 4 seed Kansas 89-75 laying 2 points Saturday.

    “Auburn-North Carolina is the complete opposite of Oregon-Virginia – all offense,” Murray said of this 7:25 p.m. ET Friday matchup. “Two coaches I don’t think much of, to say the least. But that should be a fun watch. We will likely need the Under. The total is sitting at 161 now.”

    That’s up a point from the opener of 160, while the line dipped from Tar Heels -5.5 to -5 Sunday evening.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-25-2019 at 01:29 PM.

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    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Monday, March 25


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    NORFOLK ST (22 - 13) at COLORADO (22 - 12) - 3/25/2019, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLORADO is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all home games this season.
    COLORADO is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in home lined games this season.
    COLORADO is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    COLORADO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    COASTAL CAROLINA (16 - 16) at W VIRGINIA (15 - 20) - 3/25/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COASTAL CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
    COASTAL CAROLINA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    UTAH VALLEY ST (25 - 9) at S FLORIDA (19 - 13) - 3/25/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTAH VALLEY ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
    S FLORIDA is 124-159 ATS (-50.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
    S FLORIDA is 124-159 ATS (-50.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
    S FLORIDA is 78-111 ATS (-44.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    LONGWOOD (16 - 17) at DEPAUL (16 - 15) - 3/25/2019, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DEPAUL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a home game where the total is 155 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    DEPAUL is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    LONGWOOD is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    LONGWOOD is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    LONGWOOD is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    DEPAUL is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    BROWN (20 - 11) at LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT (21 - 11) - 3/25/2019, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 49-74 ATS (-32.4 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
    LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 66-97 ATS (-40.7 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
    LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 110-147 ATS (-51.7 Units) in all home games since 1997.
    LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 110-147 ATS (-51.7 Units) in home lined games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    TEXAS SOUTHERN (22 - 13) at UTRGV (20 - 16) - 3/25/2019, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTRGV is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
    UTRGV is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
    TEXAS SOUTHERN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    CS-BAKERSFIELD (17 - 15) at SOUTHERN UTAH (17 - 16) - 3/25/2019, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SOUTHERN UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    CS-BAKERSFIELD is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in March games since 1997.
    CS-BAKERSFIELD is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-25-2019 at 01:29 PM.

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    601Norfolk St -602 Colorado
    COLORADO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

    607Utah Valley St -608 S Florida
    S FLORIDA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

    609Longwood -610 Depaul
    DEPAUL is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games in the current season.

    611Brown -612 Loyola Marymount
    LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

    613Texas Southern -614 Utrgv
    UTRGV is 16-6 ATS (9.4 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins since 1997.

    615Cs Bakersfield -616 Southern Utah
    SOUTHERN UTAH is 6-20 ATS (-16 Units) in home games versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game since 1997.

    615Cs Bakersfield -616 Southern Utah
    CS-BAKERSFIELD is 20-6 ATS (13.4 Units) versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season since 1997.

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    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, March 25


    Monday’s other tournament games
    Norfolk State won 17 of its last 20 games; they won in OT at Alabama last game, after being down 10 in first half. Spartans played only six guys more than 9:00, which could be an issue playing in high altitude here. Norfolk lost by 19 at Michigan, by 17 at South Carolina in its other high profile games. Colorado won 11 of its last 14 games, winning last seven home games; they are experience team #318 that is 10-3 outside Pac-12.

    West Virginia is still playing despite its 15-20 record; they’re 5-3 in last eight games, beating Grand Canyon by 14 last game. WVU played eight guys 15:00+ that game; four freshmen, four juniors as they prep for next year. Coastal Carolina is 4-7 in its last 11 games; they lost four of last five road games. Chanticleers are experience team #197 that turns ball over 20% of time; they were down 14 with 13:01 left vs Howard last game, but rallied for the win.

    Long road trip for Utah Valley team that won 11 of its last 13 games; they were 29-37 on foul line in their win over CSUN last week. Wolverines start two juniors, two seniors, are experience team #89 that is 12-4 outside the WAC. UVSU won five of its last six road games. South Florida lost seven of its last nine D-I games; they’re experience team #328 that turns ball over 22.7% of time. Bulls start two freshmen and a sophomore- they needed OT to beat Stony Brook last game.

    Longwood made 18-34 on arc in its 90-68 upset win over Southern Miss last week; that win broke a 4-game losing streak. Lancers are 4-10 in their last 14 games. Longwood is 7-5 outside the Big South, but they also played #345 NC schedule. DePaul won three of its last five games; they’re #81 experience team that starts three seniors. Blue Demons are 9-3 outside Big East; they’re 6-0 vs teams ranked outside the top 200.

    Brown is 20-11; they won by 21 at San Diego State in December, now they get a second trip west; Bruins won six of their last eight games, are #11 in MC- they’re experience team #177, #11 in MC. Brown forces turnovers 21.1% of the time. Loyola Marymount is having its first winning season in seven years; they’re experience team #165 that won four of last five games- they start couple sophs and a freshman. Lions lost three of their last four home games.

    Texas Southern is 4-8 outside the SWAC, playing the toughest NC schedule in country; Tigers won 14 of their last 16 games- they were 27-42 on foul line in an OT win at New Orleans last week. TSU is experience team #5 whose bench plays minutes #22- they start four seniors. Rio Grande Valley split its last eight D-I games; Vaqueros have #328 eFG% in country, which is bad. RGV beat SWAC champ Prairie View by 13 back in November.

    Bakersfield is 3-0 vs Big Sky teams this season, winning by 1-6-5 points. Roadrunners lost nine of last 11 games, but won at Fullerton LW, grabbing 19 offensive boards, which is good because they shot 32.4% from floor. Bakersfield is the #2 offensive rebounding team in country. Southern Utah is 3-4 outside Big Sky; they beat Seattle by 3 in only WAC game. Thunderbirds beat Drake in OT last game; they’re experience team #266 that plays pace #34.

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    NCAAB

    Monday, March 25


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    West Virginia @ Coastal Carolina
    West Virginia
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of West Virginia's last 9 games
    Coastal Carolina
    No trends to report


    Utah Valley @ South Florida
    Utah Valley
    Utah Valley is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    Utah Valley is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    South Florida
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of South Florida's last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Florida's last 6 games


    Longwood @ DePaul
    Longwood
    No trends to report
    DePaul
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of DePaul's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of DePaul's last 5 games at home


    Texas Southern @ UTRGV
    Texas Southern
    No trends to report
    UTRGV
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of UTRGV's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of UTRGV's last 5 games at home


    Cal State-Bakersfield @ Southern Utah
    Cal State-Bakersfield
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cal State-Bakersfield's last 6 games
    Cal State-Bakersfield is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Southern Utah
    Southern Utah is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
    Southern Utah is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home


    Norfolk State @ Colorado
    Norfolk State
    No trends to report
    Colorado
    Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Colorado is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home


    Brown @ Loyola Marymount
    Brown
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brown's last 5 games on the road
    Brown is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    Loyola Marymount
    Loyola Marymount is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Loyola Marymount is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-25-2019 at 01:31 PM.

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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Monday, March 25



    Coastal Carolina @ West Virginia

    Game 605-606
    March 25, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Coastal Carolina
    48.656
    West Virginia
    65.273
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    West Virginia
    by 16 1/2
    160
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    West Virginia
    by 9
    157 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    West Virginia
    (-9); Over

    Utah Valley @ South Florida

    Game 607-608
    March 25, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Utah Valley
    58.090
    South Florida
    63.021
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    South Florida
    by 5
    137
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    South Florida
    by 2 1/2
    146 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    South Florida
    (-2 1/2); Under

    Longwood @ DePaul

    Game 609-610
    March 25, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Longwood
    52.248
    DePaul
    64.892
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    DePaul
    by 12 1/2
    149
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    DePaul
    by 15
    156
    Dunkel Pick:
    Longwood
    (+15); Under

    Texas Southern @ TX-Rio Grande

    Game 613-614
    March 25, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Texas Southern
    47.806
    TX-Rio Grande
    51.225
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    TX-Rio Grande
    by 3 1/2
    166
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    TX-Rio Grande
    by 5 1/2
    160
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas Southern
    (+5 1/2); Over

    CS-Bakersfield @ Southern Utah

    Game 615-616
    March 25, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    CS-Bakersfield
    51.002
    Southern Utah
    49.628
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    CS-Bakersfield
    by 1 1/2
    142
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Southern Utah
    by 1 1/2
    145
    Dunkel Pick:
    CS-Bakersfield
    (+1 1/2); Under

    Norfolk State @ Colorado

    Game 601-602
    March 25, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Norfolk State
    48.590
    Colorado
    65.644
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado
    by 17
    154
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado
    by 14
    147
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado
    (-14); Over

    Brown @ Loyola Marymount

    Game 611-612
    March 25, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Brown
    55.522
    Loyola Marymount
    57.162
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Loyola Marymount
    by 1 1/2
    142
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Loyola Marymount
    by 5
    137 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brown
    (+5); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-25-2019 at 01:32 PM.

  12. #12
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    79,848
    Credits
    266,517

    Default

    Betting favorites won every single game straight up in the Round of 32 (11-5 ATS).

    Updated NCAA Tournament betting stats through Day 4:
    Favorites: 37-11 Straight Up & 23-25 Against The Spread
    Over/Under: 24-23-1

  13. #13
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    79,848
    Credits
    266,517

    Default

    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, March 28


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PURDUE (25 - 9) vs. TENNESSEE (31 - 5) - 3/28/2019, 7:29 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TENNESSEE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    PURDUE is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    PURDUE is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    PURDUE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
    TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    OREGON (25 - 12) vs. VIRGINIA (31 - 3) - 3/28/2019, 9:59 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VIRGINIA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games this season.
    VIRGINIA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
    VIRGINIA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
    VIRGINIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    VIRGINIA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    VIRGINIA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
    VIRGINIA is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    VIRGINIA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
    OREGON is 62-45 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    OREGON is 62-45 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    OREGON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
    OREGON is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in March games this season.
    OREGON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
    OREGON is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
    OREGON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
    OREGON is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    FLORIDA ST (29 - 7) at GONZAGA (32 - 3) - 3/28/2019, 7:09 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GONZAGA is 21-13 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
    GONZAGA is 21-13 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
    GONZAGA is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
    GONZAGA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all home games this season.
    GONZAGA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home lined games this season.
    GONZAGA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game this season.
    GONZAGA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.
    GONZAGA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    FLORIDA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus GONZAGA over the last 3 seasons
    FLORIDA ST is 1-0 straight up against GONZAGA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    TEXAS TECH (28 - 6) at MICHIGAN (30 - 6) - 3/28/2019, 9:39 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TEXAS TECH is 138-185 ATS (-65.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
    TEXAS TECH is 99-131 ATS (-45.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
    TEXAS TECH is 99-131 ATS (-45.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
    TEXAS TECH is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
    MICHIGAN is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MICHIGAN is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    MICHIGAN is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    MICHIGAN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
    MICHIGAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
    MICHIGAN is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    MICHIGAN is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
    MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
    MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Friday, March 29

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    LSU (28 - 6) vs. MICHIGAN ST (30 - 6) - 3/29/2019, 7:09 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MICHIGAN ST is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 100-65 ATS (+28.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
    MICHIGAN ST is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    VIRGINIA TECH (26 - 8) vs. DUKE (31 - 5) - 3/29/2019, 9:39 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DUKE is 136-104 ATS (+21.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    DUKE is 66-93 ATS (-36.3 Units) in March games since 1997.
    DUKE is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    VIRGINIA TECH is 3-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
    VIRGINIA TECH is 3-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    HOUSTON (33 - 3) vs. KENTUCKY (29 - 6) - 3/29/2019, 9:59 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    KENTUCKY is 94-65 ATS (+22.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
    KENTUCKY is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
    KENTUCKY is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
    HOUSTON is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
    HOUSTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
    HOUSTON is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    AUBURN (28 - 9) vs. N CAROLINA (29 - 6) - 3/29/2019, 7:29 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    N CAROLINA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
    N CAROLINA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
    N CAROLINA is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
    N CAROLINA is 182-142 ATS (+25.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
    N CAROLINA is 181-142 ATS (+24.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
    N CAROLINA is 88-56 ATS (+26.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
    N CAROLINA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    N CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
    N CAROLINA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    651Purdue -652 Tennessee
    TENNESSEE is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

    653Oregon -654 Virginia
    OREGON is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in March games in the current season.

    655Florida St -656 Gonzaga
    GONZAGA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

    657Texas Tech -658 Michigan
    TEXAS TECH is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.

    667Lsu -668 Michigan St
    MICHIGAN ST is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) vs. excellent teams (Win Pct: 80%+) in the current season.

    669Virginia Tech -670 Duke
    VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

    671Houston -672 Kentucky
    KENTUCKY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons.

    673Auburn -674 N Carolina
    N CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-25-2019 at 01:33 PM.

  14. #14
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    79,848
    Credits
    266,517

    Default

    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Thursday, March 28



    Florida State @ Gonzaga

    Game 655-656
    March 28, 2019 @ 7:09 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Florida State
    76.117
    Gonzaga
    79.312
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Gonzaga
    by 3
    152
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Gonzaga
    by 7
    147 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Florida State
    (+7); Over

    Purdue @ Tennessee

    Game 651-652
    March 28, 2019 @ 7:29 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Purdue
    71.274
    Tennessee
    75.941
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tennessee
    by 4 1/2
    141
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tennessee
    by 1
    146 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tennessee
    (-1); Under

    Texas Tech @ Michigan

    Game 657-658
    March 28, 2019 @ 9:39 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Texas Tech
    76.752
    Michigan
    75.978
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Texas Tech
    by 1
    131
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Michigan
    by 2
    126 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas Tech
    (+2); Over

    Oregon @ Virginia

    Game 653-654
    March 28, 2019 @ 9:59 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oregon
    69.640
    Virginia
    79.881
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Virginia
    by 10
    115
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Virginia
    by 7 1/2
    119
    Dunkel Pick:
    Virginia
    (-7 1/2); Under



    Friday, March 29


    LSU @ Michigan State

    Game 667-668
    March 29, 2019 @ 7:09 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LSU
    72.251
    Michigan State
    75.090
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Michigan State
    by 3
    151
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Michigan State
    by 6
    149
    Dunkel Pick:
    LSU
    (+6); Over

    Auburn @ North Carolina

    Game 673-674
    March 29, 2019 @ 7:29 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Auburn
    74.595
    North Carolina
    81.929
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    North Carolina
    by 7 1/2
    169
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    North Carolina
    by 5
    162
    Dunkel Pick:
    North Carolina
    (-5); Over

    Virginia Tech @ Duke

    Game 669-670
    March 29, 2019 @ 9:39 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Virginia Tech
    72.326
    Duke
    76.077
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Duke
    by 4
    153
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Duke
    by 8
    144 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Virginia Tech
    (+8); Over

    Houston @ Kentucky

    Game 671-672
    March 29, 2019 @ 9:59 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    71247
    Kentucky
    77.184
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kentucky
    by 6
    140
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kentucky
    by 2 1/2
    135
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kentucky
    (-2 1/2); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-25-2019 at 01:33 PM.

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