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Thread: Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/18

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/18

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, March 18

    Good Luck on day # 77 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Odds to win the national championship (odds via Bets Online):

    +$225— Duke

    +$600— Gonzaga

    +$800— Virginia

    +$1000— Michigan

    +$1200— Kentucky, Michigan State, North Carolina

    +$1400— Tennessee


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Quick thoughts on the field of 68……

    13) If you look at the last 13 national champs, those teams went 12-1 against the spread in their first round tournament game. Only exception was Kentucky in 2012, who won 81-66 (-26). UConn won its first round game in OT in 2014, but covered 89-81 (-5).

    12) Bobby Hurley coached Buffalo for two years (42-20), then bolted western NY for Arizona State; his Sun Devils have to beat St John’s in Dayton, and if they do, Hurley and Buffalo will be re-united Friday in Tulsa. Buffalo spanked ASU’s rival Arizona by 21 in first round last year.

    Since replacing Hurley, Nate Oats is 95-42 in four years at Buffalo, but before the Bulls get to play Arizona State, the Sun Devils still have to beat St John’s.

    11) Richard Pitino’s Minnesota Gophers playing Louisville, the school that ran his father out of town two years ago, is classic sidebar material. Rick Pitino won the national title with Louisville six short years ago. Lot of stuff has happened since then.

    Rick Pitino is coaching pro ball in Greece now; UCLA, UNLV have jobs open, which lends itself to speculation, but for now Richard’s Gophers vs Louisville is the main event.

    10) Tennessee Volunteers are a #2-seed in the South Region, but they can’t be very happy about the prospects of a second round game against Cincinnati………in Columbus, OHIO.

    9) Montana-Michigan play in the first round for the second year in a row; I’m thinking that could’ve been avoided.

    8) Clemson, NC State and Texas are the highest-rated teams that didn’t get in the NCAA’s; Lipscomb, Furman and NC-Greensboro also have to be pretty disappointed.

    7) No team has ever lost its first conference tournament game, and then gone on to win the national championship. Texas Tech, LSU, Purdue, Maryland fall into that category.

    6) Virginia Tech’s star PG Justin Robinson missed the last 12 games with a foot injury, but he’ll be back for the NCAA tournament. Hokies play Saint Louis in the first round Friday.

    5) If you care about such things, over the last five years, the underdog is 12-8 vs spread in first round 4-13 games. Over last six years, underdogs are 14-10 vs spread in 3-14 games.

    4) Last four years, the 11-seed is 7-5 SU in the first round against the 6-seed; the 11-seed was the underdog in all seven of their wins.

    3) Over the last 23 years, in the West Region final, the underdog is 17-6 against the spread. During that time, when the #1-seed in the West got to the regional final, they’re 4-8 SU in that regional final.

    2) Over the last 16 years, in the Midwest Region final, the underdog is 12-4 against the spread. #1-seeds have fared better in this regional final, going 10-7 SU in their last 17 tries.

    1) My pick for the national title? I’ll take Virginia.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-18-2019 at 03:45 PM.

  3. #3
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    71Arizona -72 Tampa Bay
    TAMPA BAY is 52-15 ATS (28.1 Units) against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the current season.

    73Vancouver -74 Chicago
    CHICAGO is 13-5 ATS (10.8 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

    75Winnipeg -76 Los Angeles
    LOS ANGELES are 28-36 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

    77Vegas -78 San Jose
    GERARD GALLANT is 17-3 ATS (13.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite (Coach of VEGAS)

    77Vegas -78 San Jose
    VEGAS are 17-3 ATS (13.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.

  4. #4
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    NHL

    Monday, March 18


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
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    Arizona Coyotes
    Arizona is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
    Arizona is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
    Arizona is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
    Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
    Arizona is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona's last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona's last 12 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
    Tampa Bay is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
    Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
    Tampa Bay is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Arizona
    Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games when playing Arizona
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 12 games when playing at home against Arizona

    Vancouver Canucks
    Vancouver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Vancouver is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games
    Vancouver is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
    Vancouver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games on the road
    Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Vancouver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago Blackhawks
    Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 17 of Chicago's last 20 games
    Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Chicago is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
    Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
    Chicago is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Vancouver
    Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Vancouver
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Vancouver

    Winnipeg Jets
    Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 11 games on the road
    Winnipeg is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
    Winnipeg is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    Los Angeles Kings
    Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Los Angeles is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games
    The total has gone OVER in 16 of Los Angeles's last 23 games
    Los Angeles is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home
    Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
    Los Angeles is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games
    Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games
    Vegas is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
    Vegas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
    Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
    Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
    San Jose Sharks
    San Jose is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games
    San Jose is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    San Jose is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home
    San Jose is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
    San Jose is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
    San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vegas


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-18-2019 at 04:02 PM.

  5. #5
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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Monday, March 18


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    ARIZONA (36-30-0-6, 78 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (55-13-0-4, 114 pts.) - 3/18/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TAMPA BAY is 55-17 ATS (+83.0 Units) in all games this season.
    TAMPA BAY is 33-11 ATS (+11.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
    ARIZONA is 36-36 ATS (+78.0 Units) in all games this season.
    ARIZONA is 19-14 ATS (+35.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
    ARIZONA is 18-18 ATS (+43.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARIZONA is 4-1 (+6.0 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    ARIZONA is 4-1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

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    VANCOUVER (30-32-0-10, 70 pts.) at CHICAGO (32-30-0-9, 73 pts.) - 3/18/2019, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VANCOUVER is 393-380 ATS (-123.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 17-13 ATS (+3.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
    CHICAGO is 23-10 ATS (+11.9 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 372-373 ATS (-97.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 162-183 ATS (-99.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VANCOUVER is 5-3 (+4.1 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    VANCOUVER is 5-3-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+8.1 Units)

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    WINNIPEG (42-25-0-4, 88 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (25-38-0-8, 58 pts.) - 3/18/2019, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WINNIPEG is 4-8 ATS (-9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
    WINNIPEG is 103-68 ATS (+18.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 25-46 ATS (-53.4 Units) in all games this season.
    LOS ANGELES is 16-23 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    LOS ANGELES is 210-265 ATS (-103.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
    LOS ANGELES is 6-23 ATS (+34.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    LOS ANGELES is 1-12 ATS (+20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LOS ANGELES is 4-4 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    LOS ANGELES is 4-4-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.6 Units)

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    VEGAS (40-27-0-5, 85 pts.) at SAN JOSE (43-21-0-8, 94 pts.) - 3/18/2019, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VEGAS is 10-15 ATS (-11.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
    SAN JOSE is 42-19 ATS (+13.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    VEGAS is 105-70 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    VEGAS is 44-19 ATS (+16.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    VEGAS is 41-21 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    VEGAS is 10-2 ATS (+7.3 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VEGAS is 8-4 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
    VEGAS is 8-4-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.5 Units)

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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-18-2019 at 04:02 PM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Monday, March 18



    Vegas @ San Jose

    Game 77-78
    March 18, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Vegas
    10.867
    San Jose
    11.696
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Jose
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Jose
    -170
    6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Jose
    (-170); Under

    Winnipeg @ Los Angeles


    Game 75-76
    March 18, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Winnipeg
    12.269
    Los Angeles
    9.876
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Winnipeg
    by 2 1/2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Winnipeg
    -175
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Winnipeg
    (-175); Over

    Vancouver @ Chicago


    Game 73-74
    March 18, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Vancouver
    11.958
    Chicago
    10.425
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Vancouver
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago
    -230
    6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Vancouver
    (+190); Under

    Arizona @ Tampa Bay


    Game 71-72
    March 18, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Arizona
    10.484
    Tampa Bay
    12.845
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 2 1/2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -270
    6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tampa Bay
    (-270); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-18-2019 at 04:03 PM.

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