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Thread: Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/17

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/17

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, March 17

    Good Luck on day # 76 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Some trends to consider when filling out your brackets:

    — Six of last nine Final Fours had only one #1 seed in it.

    — That said, last four national games had six #1 seeds, a 2-seed and a 3-seed.

    — Last time a #4-seed made the Final Four; 2013.

    — Five of last six years, a team seeded #7 or worse made the Final Four.

    — Since 2002, #2-seeds are 64-4 SU in first round; last six years, #3-seeds are 19-5.

    — Last two years, Big East teams are only 7-6 in the first round.


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

    13) I’m watching the Seton Hall-Marquette game Friday night, and it dawned on me; half the league has to travel halfway cross the country for the conference tournament every year, while the other half of the league? Their fans can drive or take the train to Madison Square Garden.

    This is the sixth year of the “new” Big East; during that time, the midwestern part of the league is 8-19 SU against the eastern part in the conference tournament.

    Creighton lost in finals of the tournament twice, Xavier once, but no midwestern team has won it, and this year is no different. Something to think about going forward.

    12) Houston 61, Memphis 58— This is going to be the last year in the foreseeable future where Memphis won’t go to the NCAA’s; Penny Hardaway did a good job in his first season, and he is crushing it on the recruiting trail. Memphis has a lot of high school talent.

    11) Tennessee 82, Kentucky 78— This is Wildcats’ first loss in SEC tourney since a 61-60 loss to Florida in the finals of the 2014 tournament. Tennessee plays Sunday for its first tournament title since 1979.

    Both of these teams are really good and either could win the NCAA title.

    Sometimes it is better to lose in the semi-final of the tourneys that play their final on Sunday; one thing you do NOT want is to play on Sunday, then draw a Thursday game in the NCAA’s, especially if it is Thursday afternoon— not lot of prep time.

    10) Michigan 76, Minnesota 49— Wolverines got swept by rival Michigan State this season; now the teams meet a third time, for the Big 14 title.

    9) Utah State 64, San Diego State 57— You could make a legit argument for Chris Smith to be national Coach of the Year. Last three years, Aggies were 22-32 in Big West games; this year, in his first season in Logan, Utah State is 27-6, 18-3 in conference.

    8) Iowa State 78, Kansas 66— Cyclones won Big X tournament for 4th time in last six years; this year, they came into the tournament on a 2-6 skid, but they seem to like Kansas City.

    7) Villanova 74, Seton Hall 72— Wildcats win Big East tournament for fourth time in last five years. For the season, 54% of Villanova’s shots were 3-pointers; thats unusual for a good team.

    6) Oregon 68, Washington 48— Huskies laid an egg here; they scored two points in first 9:30 of second half. Washington is 5-4 in its last nine games, after starting season 19-4.

    5) Chargers signed QB Tyrod Taylor this week, an excellent signing by a team in desperate need of a backup for aging Philip Rivers, who will be 38 in December. Last year’s Chargers’ backup QB’s were Geno Smith and Cardale Jones; Taylor is a huge upgrade from those two.

    4) Cleveland Browns’ QB Baker Mayfield took batting practice and then coached first base for the Milwaukee Brewers Saturday. Apparently Mayfield is buddies with Christian Yelich; he hit a foul ball into the stands that broke a woman’s watch.

    3) Pittsburgh Pirates honored TV analyst Steve Blass this weekend in Florida, naming the press box in Bradenton after him. Blass has been on TV for the Pirates for the last 34 years- he also pitched for the Pirates for a decade, helping them win the 1971 World Series.

    in 2009, Blass recorded two hole-in-ones in the same round of golf, a pretty cool feat.

    2) During that same game, Pirates’ TV guys were insisting that Starling Marte has as much talent as Bryce Harper or Manny Machado, an interesting claim.

    1) Way back in 1963, the San Francisco Giants had three Alou brothers on their team: Matty, Felipe and Jesus. All three could hit;
    — Matty wound up with a .307 career batting average over 15 years,
    — Felipe wound up being a manager, winning more games than he lost over 14 years.
    — Jesus hit .280 in 15 major league seasons, winning two World Series rings with the A’s.

    This year, Vermont has three brothers on its team this year; the Duncans- Ernie, Robin and Everett. Never heard of three brothers on the same basketball team before. Now they’re all going to March Madness together, which is pretty cool.

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    517La Lakers -518 New York
    NEW YORK is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games vs. losing teams in the current season.

    519Charlotte -520 Miami
    CHARLOTTE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    521Philadelphia -522 Milwaukee
    PHILADELPHIA is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.

    523Toronto -524 Detroit
    TORONTO is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season in the current season.

    525Atlanta -526 Orlando
    ATLANTA is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after allowing 110 points or more 4 straight games in the current season.

    529Minnesota -530 Houston
    HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

    531Brooklyn -532 La Clippers
    LA CLIPPERS are 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Sunday, March 17



    Brooklyn @ LA Clippers

    Game 531-532
    March 17, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Brooklyn
    117.336
    LA Clippers
    120.794
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 3 1/2
    237
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 6
    231
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+6); Over

    Minnesota @ Houston


    Game 529-530
    March 17, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    115.281
    Houston
    118.823
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 3 1/2
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 6
    225 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (+6); Under

    Chicago @ Sacramento


    Game 527-528
    March 17, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    109.185
    Sacramento
    119.043
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Sacramento
    by 10
    237
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Sacramento
    by 6 1/2
    231 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Sacramento
    (-6 1/2); Over

    Atlanta @ Orlando


    Game 525-526
    March 17, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    109.362
    Orlando
    121.770
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Orlando
    by 12 1/2
    228
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Orlando
    by 7 1/2
    225 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Orlando
    (-7 1/2); Over

    Toronto @ Detroit


    Game 523-524
    March 17, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    120.583
    Detroit
    116.683
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 4
    208
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 2
    217
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-2); Under

    Philadelphia @ Milwaukee


    Game 521-522
    March 17, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    117.737
    Milwaukee
    126.828
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 9
    226
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 6 1/2
    231
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (-6 1/2); Under

    Charlotte @ Miami


    Game 519-520
    March 17, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Charlotte
    118.770
    Miami
    116.946
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Charlotte
    by 2
    211
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami
    by 3 1/2
    213 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Charlotte
    (+3 1/2); Under

    LA Lakers @ New York


    Game 517-518
    March 17, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Lakers
    102.554
    New York
    107.168
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New York
    by 4 1/2
    205
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 5
    219
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    (+5); Under

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, March 17


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    LA LAKERS (31 - 38) at NEW YORK (13 - 56) - 3/17/2019, 12:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA LAKERS are 26-41 ATS (-19.1 Units) in all games this season.
    LA LAKERS are 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
    LA LAKERS are 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    LA LAKERS are 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
    LA LAKERS are 55-81 ATS (-34.1 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1996.
    LA LAKERS are 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    LA LAKERS are 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    LA LAKERS are 22-32 ATS (-13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    LA LAKERS are 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    NEW YORK is 29-38 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
    NEW YORK is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW YORK is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    NEW YORK is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW YORK is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    NEW YORK is 3-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CHARLOTTE (31 - 37) at MIAMI (32 - 36) - 3/17/2019, 1:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 63-81 ATS (-26.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 33-47 ATS (-18.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 22-31 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    MIAMI is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 7-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 7-4 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    PHILADELPHIA (44 - 25) at MILWAUKEE (52 - 17) - 3/17/2019, 3:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 134-108 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 72-53 ATS (+13.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 75-54 ATS (+15.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 38-18 ATS (+18.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 422-490 ATS (-117.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 391-467 ATS (-122.7 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 71-102 ATS (-41.2 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 208-256 ATS (-73.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 5-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    TORONTO (49 - 20) at DETROIT (35 - 33) - 3/17/2019, 4:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 5-5 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 7-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (24 - 46) at ORLANDO (32 - 38) - 3/17/2019, 6:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    ATLANTA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    ORLANDO is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 46-66 ATS (-26.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.
    ORLANDO is 24-38 ATS (-17.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ORLANDO is 5-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    ORLANDO is 6-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CHICAGO (19 - 51) at SACRAMENTO (33 - 35) - 3/17/2019, 6:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    CHICAGO is 176-139 ATS (+23.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SACRAMENTO is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    SACRAMENTO is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (32 - 37) at HOUSTON (43 - 26) - 3/17/2019, 9:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 8-7 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 11-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BROOKLYN (36 - 35) at LA CLIPPERS (40 - 30) - 3/17/2019, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BROOKLYN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 40-30 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 50-37 ATS (+9.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 33-24 ATS (+6.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    BROOKLYN is 83-69 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    BROOKLYN is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 173-216 ATS (-64.6 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
    LA CLIPPERS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 228-286 ATS (-86.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, March 17


    Lakers lost nine of last 11 games; they’re 1-7 vs spread in last eight road games. Five of their last seven games stayed under. New York lost its last eight games; they’re 3-8 vs spread in last 11 home games. Knicks’ last six games all stayed under. Knicks won seven of last nine games with the Lakers; last five series games went over total. Lakers are 2-2 vs spread in their last four visits to Manhattan.

    Hornets lost seven of their last ten games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Heat won five of its last seven games; they’re 4-3 vs spread in last seven home games. Over is 6-4 in their last ten games. Miami won seven of last nine games with Charlotte; over is 5-5 in last ten series games. Hornets are 1-2-1 vs spread in last four visits to South Beach.

    76ers won their last three games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Eight of their last nine games stayed under. Milwaukee won four of its last five games; they’re 9-5 vs spread in last 14 home games. Three of their last four games went over. Bucks won five of last seven games with Philly; over is 7-3 in last ten series games. 76ers are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Milwaukee.

    Raptors won three of their last four games; they’re 4-3 vs spread in last seven road games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Pistons won 13 of their last 17 games; they’re 8-0 vs spread in last eight home games. Four of last five games stayed under. Detroit is 2-0 vs Toronto this season, winning by 2-5 points; Pistons’ coach Casey coached the Raptors the last few years. Under is 5-3-1 in last nine series games.

    Hawks lost four of last six games, but are 11-1 vs spread since All-Star Game. Seven of their last nine games went over. Orlando lost four of its last six games; they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine home games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Magic won five of last seven games with Atlanta; four of last six series games went over. Hawks are 2-2 vs spread in their last four visits to Orlando.

    Bulls lost six of their last seven games; they’re 8-4 vs spread in last dozen road games. Six of their last nine games went over. Sacramento lost four of its last five games; they’re 11-3-1 vs spread in their last 15 home games. Under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games. Kings won last three games with Chicago by 1-20-6 points; Bulls are 2-2 vs spread in their last four visits to Sacramento. Eight of last ten series games stayed under.

    Timberwolves lost six of their last nine games; they’re 0-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Seven of their last nine games went over. Rockets won 10 of their last 11 games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight home games. Last seven Houston games stayed under. Home side won six of last seven Minnesota-Houston games; Wolves covered once in their last four visits to Houston. Four of last five series games went over.

    Nets are 4-5 in their last nine games; they’re 0-4 vs spread in last four road games. Brooklyn’s last seven games stayed under. Clippers won six of their last seven games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Clippers won six of last seven games with Brooklyn; four of last five series games went over total. Nets are 2-2 vs spread in last four series games played here.

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    NBA

    Sunday, March 17


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Los Angeles Lakers
    LA Lakers is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games
    LA Lakers is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 7 games
    LA Lakers is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    LA Lakers is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games on the road
    LA Lakers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York
    LA Lakers is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing New York
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing New York
    LA Lakers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
    LA Lakers is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New York
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
    New York Knicks
    New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
    New York is 5-16-1 ATS in its last 22 games at home
    New York is 2-20 SU in its last 22 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New York's last 13 games at home
    New York is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
    New York is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
    New York is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
    New York is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Charlotte is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Charlotte's last 12 games
    Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Charlotte is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
    Charlotte is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Miami
    Charlotte is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Charlotte's last 16 games when playing Miami
    Charlotte is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
    Charlotte is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Miami
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Charlotte's last 17 games when playing on the road against Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
    Miami Heat
    Miami is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
    Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    Miami is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
    Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games at home
    Miami is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Charlotte
    Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami's last 16 games when playing Charlotte
    Miami is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Charlotte
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Miami's last 17 games when playing at home against Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing at home against Charlotte

    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
    Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
    Philadelphia is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
    Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Philadelphia is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Milwaukee is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 9 games
    Milwaukee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games at home
    Milwaukee is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
    Milwaukee is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    Milwaukee is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
    Toronto is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games
    Toronto is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
    Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
    Toronto is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
    Toronto is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
    Toronto is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    Detroit is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 15 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
    Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games at home
    Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
    Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
    Detroit is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Toronto
    Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto

    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games
    Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
    Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Orlando
    Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
    Orlando Magic
    Orlando is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Orlando is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
    Orlando is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Orlando is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games at home
    Orlando is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
    Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

    Chicago Bulls
    Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Chicago's last 18 games
    Chicago is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games on the road
    Chicago is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
    Chicago is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chicago's last 11 games when playing Sacramento
    Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    Chicago is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento is 12-5-1 ATS in its last 18 games
    Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games
    Sacramento is 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home
    Sacramento is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games at home
    Sacramento is 10-3-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Chicago
    Sacramento is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Sacramento's last 11 games when playing Chicago
    Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
    Sacramento is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Brooklyn is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
    Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Brooklyn is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
    Brooklyn is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing LA Clippers
    Brooklyn is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    Brooklyn is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    LA Clippers is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
    LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    LA Clippers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 9 games at home
    LA Clippers is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games when playing Brooklyn
    LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
    LA Clippers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
    LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Minnesota is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games
    Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
    Minnesota is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Houston
    Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 12 games when playing on the road against Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston Rockets
    Houston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
    Houston is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games at home
    Houston is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 12 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  8. #8
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    Sunday's Essentials
    Tony Mejia

    Game of the Night - Brooklyn at L.A. Clippers (-6, 232), 9:05 ET, Prime Ticket

    A pair of Eastern Conference powers square off in the afternoon, but since we’re seeking out a “Game of the Night” here, the lone matchup featuring teams that should both make the playoffs will have to suffice.

    There are notes on 76ers-Bucks below, but we’ve got you owls covered on Nets-Clips, which pits teams looking at undesirable playoff matchups at the moment. Considering neither was expected to make the postseason back in October, its not so bad that they’re currently slated to open on the road against the Raptors and Warriors. It’s also not ideal and potentially preventable.

    Brooklyn is currently only ahead Southeast Division-leading Miami among likely playoff teams, but will be vying with Detroit for the No. 6 seed and has a difficult schedule to navigate considering this is the third of a seven-game road trip that opened with double-digit losses to the Thunder and Jazz and continues with games against the Kings, Lakers and Trail Blazers after this one before finishing up in Philadelphia. It has just four home games left. All will come against teams currently expected to make the playoffs.

    The Nets will need to pull off a few upsets if they’re going to finish above .500 for the first time since 2013-14. It’s unlikely that two Southeast teams will be able to play well enough to surpass their record and prevent them from ending a playoff drought that dates back to ’15, but that possibility does exist given their grueling remaining slate.

    The Clippers have pulled away from Sacramento in the race for the West’s No. 8 seed and will reach the playoffs unless they collapse and lose 10 of their final 12 while the Kings win 75 percent of their remaining games. Mathematically, it’s possible, but highly unlikely.

    Doc Rivers’ team will almost certainly be playing on in mid-April and would love to open anywhere but Oakland, so they’ll have to catch one of the teams in front of them unless Golden State falls behind Denver again in the race for the top seed. L.A. is 9-3 over its last 12 games as it heads into its final dozen contests, so another stretch of success like the one it is currently enjoying could result in potentially landing homecourt advantage for the first round since it has pulled just 2.5 games behind the Trail Blazers, who currently hold residence in that spot. Portland is anxiously anticipating hearing what guard C.J. McCollum’s MRI results say about the knee injury he suffered in the third quarter of Saturday night’s costly loss in San Antonio.

    A win tonight would guarantee a .500 record for the Clippers, who have surprised since seemingly giving up their pursuit of a postseason appearance when they traded Tobias Harris to Philadelphia in January in order to open up a second max-salary slot for this summer while adding multiple first-round picks and impressive rookie shooter Landry Shamet. L.A. is 10-5 since the deal.

    The Clippers have won seven of their last eight games in a favorite’s role (5-2-1 ATS) and come off a 128-121 win over the Bulls on Friday night that saw them fall victim to a backdoor cover. They struggled some but ultimately pulled away despite a big night from Chicago’s Zach LaVine. L.A. got big nights from small forward Danilo Gallinari and big man Montrezl Harrell. Lou Williams became the NBA’s all-time leading scorer off the bench earlier this week and is also in excellent form, while defensive standout Patrick Beverley continues to set the tone by doing all the little things on offense while attempting to make life miserable for whoever he’s assigned to guard.

    The Nets sat Allen Crabbe in Saturday night’s blowout loss in Utah due to a knee issue and don’t have backup guard Shabazz Napier available due to a hamstring strain. It remains to be seen if either participates. The Jazz clamped down and dominated the paint in a 114-98 loss, their second straight double-digit loss on this trip following Wednesday’s 12-point loss in Oklahoma City.

    L.A. won the first meeting with the Nets in Brooklyn 127-119 on Nov. 17, getting 28 points from Gallinari to rally from a 15-point deficit. Center Jarrett Allen led Brooklyn with a career-high 24 points in addition to 11 rebounds, but he’s gotten off to a rough start against Steven Adams and Rudy Gobert, wrestling with foul trouble while averaging just six points and five boards in 25.5 minutes. He’s got a more favorable matchup here at the onset against L.A.’s Ivica Zubac and will need to get off to a strong start to help Brooklyn attempt to rebound. The Nets are 3-9 on the second night of a back-to-back this season, covering only twice. They’ve had a number of no-shows and weren’t exactly competitive in Salt Lake City, shooting just under 35 percent while being outrebounded 65-44. Brooklyn is just 1-12 when held 100 points.

    The Nets haven’t beaten the Clippers at Staples center since 2010. They’ll be back in the building to face the Lakers on Friday night. The ‘under’ has prevailed in seven consecutive games involving Brooklyn.

    Best of the Rest

    Charlotte at Miami, 1:05 p.m. ET:
    The Heat open Sunday's action a-game up on the Magic and these Hornets, so taking care of business at home is essential. We'll see if they can get an assist from Saturday night in South Florida since the Hornets came into town after beating the Wizards in D.C. on Friday. They should be fresh given time off earlier this week but were held to just 84 points the last time they saw Miami back on March 6.

    Philadelphia at Milwaukee, 3:35 p.m. ET, ABC:
    The 76ers saw all five of their starters score in double-figures last time out, which is especially important since there haven't been many games where they've been able to put Joel Embiid, Ben Simmons, Jimmy Butler, Tobias Harris and J.J. Redick in the lineup. The Bucks rallied from 20 points down at the break and wound up crushing the Heat by 15 points, but the win proved costly since guard Malcolm Brogdon suffered a torn plantar fascia and will miss at least six weeks, likely keeping him out of at least the frist round of the playoffs. These teams played way back on Oct. 24 at Fiserv Forum. Milwaukee posted a dominant 123-108 win despite 30 points and 19 rebounds from Joel Embiid as Giannis Antetokounmpo put together a 32-point, 18-rebound, 10-assist performance.

  9. #9
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    Hoop Trends - Sunday
    Vince Akins

    PLAY-ON TREND OF THE DAY:

    -- The Nets are 10-0 ATS (+14.85 ppg) on the road off a double-digit loss in which they were outscored in the paint by double digits.

    PLAY-AGAINST TREND OF THE DAY:

    -- The Clippers are 0-19 ATS (-7.63 ppg) since St. Patrick's Day 2015 as a home favorite with less than two days rest when they are off a home game and they won two straight vs their opponent, which is at least 250 on the season.

    TOTAL TREND OF THE DAY - OVER:

    -- The Raptors are 19-0 OU (+13.42 ppg) with 1-6 days rest off a win in which they shot under 40% from the field.

    TOTAL TREND OF THE DAY - UNDER:

    -- The Kings are 0-16 OU (-14.53 ppg) as a favorite with rest when they are facing a team with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.50.

    PLAYER-BASED TRENDS:

    -- The 76ers are 0-15 ATS (-10.80 ppg) on the road off a win when Joel Embiid had a double-double in two straight games.

    -- The Timberwolves are 11-0 OU (+15.18 ppg) on the road after a game in which Andrew Wiggins had a negative plus/minus

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