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Thread: Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/17

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/17

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, March 17

    Good Luck on day # 76 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Some trends to consider when filling out your brackets:

    — Six of last nine Final Fours had only one #1 seed in it.

    — That said, last four national games had six #1 seeds, a 2-seed and a 3-seed.

    — Last time a #4-seed made the Final Four; 2013.

    — Five of last six years, a team seeded #7 or worse made the Final Four.

    — Since 2002, #2-seeds are 64-4 SU in first round; last six years, #3-seeds are 19-5.

    — Last two years, Big East teams are only 7-6 in the first round.


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

    13) I’m watching the Seton Hall-Marquette game Friday night, and it dawned on me; half the league has to travel halfway cross the country for the conference tournament every year, while the other half of the league? Their fans can drive or take the train to Madison Square Garden.

    This is the sixth year of the “new” Big East; during that time, the midwestern part of the league is 8-19 SU against the eastern part in the conference tournament.

    Creighton lost in finals of the tournament twice, Xavier once, but no midwestern team has won it, and this year is no different. Something to think about going forward.

    12) Houston 61, Memphis 58— This is going to be the last year in the foreseeable future where Memphis won’t go to the NCAA’s; Penny Hardaway did a good job in his first season, and he is crushing it on the recruiting trail. Memphis has a lot of high school talent.

    11) Tennessee 82, Kentucky 78— This is Wildcats’ first loss in SEC tourney since a 61-60 loss to Florida in the finals of the 2014 tournament. Tennessee plays Sunday for its first tournament title since 1979.

    Both of these teams are really good and either could win the NCAA title.

    Sometimes it is better to lose in the semi-final of the tourneys that play their final on Sunday; one thing you do NOT want is to play on Sunday, then draw a Thursday game in the NCAA’s, especially if it is Thursday afternoon— not lot of prep time.

    10) Michigan 76, Minnesota 49— Wolverines got swept by rival Michigan State this season; now the teams meet a third time, for the Big 14 title.

    9) Utah State 64, San Diego State 57— You could make a legit argument for Chris Smith to be national Coach of the Year. Last three years, Aggies were 22-32 in Big West games; this year, in his first season in Logan, Utah State is 27-6, 18-3 in conference.

    8) Iowa State 78, Kansas 66— Cyclones won Big X tournament for 4th time in last six years; this year, they came into the tournament on a 2-6 skid, but they seem to like Kansas City.

    7) Villanova 74, Seton Hall 72— Wildcats win Big East tournament for fourth time in last five years. For the season, 54% of Villanova’s shots were 3-pointers; thats unusual for a good team.

    6) Oregon 68, Washington 48— Huskies laid an egg here; they scored two points in first 9:30 of second half. Washington is 5-4 in its last nine games, after starting season 19-4.

    5) Chargers signed QB Tyrod Taylor this week, an excellent signing by a team in desperate need of a backup for aging Philip Rivers, who will be 38 in December. Last year’s Chargers’ backup QB’s were Geno Smith and Cardale Jones; Taylor is a huge upgrade from those two.

    4) Cleveland Browns’ QB Baker Mayfield took batting practice and then coached first base for the Milwaukee Brewers Saturday. Apparently Mayfield is buddies with Christian Yelich; he hit a foul ball into the stands that broke a woman’s watch.

    3) Pittsburgh Pirates honored TV analyst Steve Blass this weekend in Florida, naming the press box in Bradenton after him. Blass has been on TV for the Pirates for the last 34 years- he also pitched for the Pirates for a decade, helping them win the 1971 World Series.

    in 2009, Blass recorded two hole-in-ones in the same round of golf, a pretty cool feat.

    2) During that same game, Pirates’ TV guys were insisting that Starling Marte has as much talent as Bryce Harper or Manny Machado, an interesting claim.

    1) Way back in 1963, the San Francisco Giants had three Alou brothers on their team: Matty, Felipe and Jesus. All three could hit;
    — Matty wound up with a .307 career batting average over 15 years,
    — Felipe wound up being a manager, winning more games than he lost over 14 years.
    — Jesus hit .280 in 15 major league seasons, winning two World Series rings with the A’s.

    This year, Vermont has three brothers on its team this year; the Duncans- Ernie, Robin and Everett. Never heard of three brothers on the same basketball team before. Now they’re all going to March Madness together, which is pretty cool.

  3. #3
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    NHL

    Sunday, March 17


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
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    New Jersey Devils
    New Jersey is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
    New Jersey is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
    New Jersey is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    New Jersey is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
    New Jersey is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Colorado
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New Jersey's last 16 games when playing Colorado
    New Jersey is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    Colorado Avalanche
    Colorado is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Colorado is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games
    Colorado is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Jersey
    Colorado is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing New Jersey
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Colorado's last 16 games when playing New Jersey
    Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Jersey
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey

    St. Louis Blues
    St. Louis is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
    St. Louis is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
    St. Louis is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games on the road
    St. Louis is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Buffalo
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
    St. Louis is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
    Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games at home
    Buffalo is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing St. Louis
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
    Buffalo is 2-11-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against St. Louis
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis

    New York Islanders
    NY Islanders is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
    NY Islanders is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    NY Islanders is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Islanders's last 11 games on the road
    NY Islanders is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    NY Islanders is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Minnesota Wild
    Minnesota is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
    Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    Minnesota is 2-18 ATS in its last 20 games at home
    Minnesota is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home
    Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
    Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders

    Vancouver Canucks
    Vancouver is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vancouver's last 6 games
    Vancouver is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
    Vancouver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games on the road
    Vancouver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
    Vancouver is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 6 games when playing Dallas
    Vancouver is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Dallas Stars
    Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
    Dallas is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
    Dallas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Vancouver
    Dallas is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing Vancouver
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Vancouver
    Dallas is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Vancouver

    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
    Philadelphia is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 14 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games
    Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
    Pittsburgh is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Philadelphia
    Pittsburgh is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 14 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

    Florida Panthers
    Florida is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games
    Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games
    Florida is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Anaheim
    Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
    Anaheim Ducks
    Anaheim is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    Anaheim is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games
    Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Anaheim is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing Florida
    Anaheim is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Florida

    Edmonton Oilers
    Edmonton is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games
    Edmonton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Edmonton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
    Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games
    Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games
    Vegas is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
    Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games at home
    Vegas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
    Vegas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  4. #4
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    57New Jersey -58 Colorado
    COLORADO is 1-16 ATS (-16.6 Units) off 2 or more consecutive home losses in the last 3 seasons.

    59St Louis -60 Buffalo
    BUFFALO is 4-17 ATS (-13.3 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

    61Ny Islanders -62 Minnesota
    MINNESOTA is 3-12 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games against good starting goalies - saving >= 91.5% of shots against in the current season.

    63Vancouver -64 Dallas
    DALLAS are 2-6 ATS (-10.8 Units) in home games against poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    65Philadelphia -66 Pittsburgh
    PHILADELPHIA is 17-6 ATS (13 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

    67Florida -68 Anaheim
    FLORIDA is 33-12 ATS (18.5 Units) against poor defensive teams - allowing 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    69Edmonton -70 Vegas
    VEGAS are 17-4 ATS (11 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) in the current season.

  5. #5
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Sunday, March 17



    Edmonton @ Vegas

    Game 69-70
    March 17, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Edmonton
    10.426
    Vegas
    11.310
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Vegas
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vegas
    -230
    6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Vegas
    (-230); Under

    Florida @ Anaheim


    Game 67-68
    March 17, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Florida
    10.720
    Anaheim
    12.321
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Anaheim
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Florida
    -115
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Anaheim
    (-105); Over

    Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh


    Game 65-66
    March 17, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    11.578
    Pittsburgh
    10.370
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    -165
    6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (+145); Under

    Vancouver @ Dallas


    Game 63-64
    March 17, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Vancouver
    10.425
    Dallas
    11.815
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dallas
    by 1 1/2
    3
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Dallas
    -220
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (-220); Under

    NY Islanders @ Minnesota


    Game 61-62
    March 17, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Islanders
    10.237
    Minnesota
    11.887
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    -120
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-120); Over

    St. Louis @ Buffalo


    Game 59-60
    March 17, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    St. Louis
    11.851
    Buffalo
    8.783
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    St. Louis
    by 3
    3
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    St. Louis
    -150
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    St. Louis
    (-150); Under

    New Jersey @ Colorado


    Game 57-58
    March 17, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Jersey
    11.001
    Colorado
    9.069
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Jersey
    by 2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado
    -250
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Jersey
    (+200); Over

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