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Thread: Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/13

  1. #1
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    Default Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 3/13

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, March 13

    Good Luck on day # 72 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Odds to win the Mountain West tournament this week:

    8-5: Nevada

    2-1: Utah State

    8-1: Fresno State

    15-1: San Diego State, UNLV

    25-1: Boise State

    100-1: New Mexico, Air Force, Colorado State

    500-1: Wyoming, San Jose State


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

    13) Giants traded Odell Beckham Jr to Cleveland last night; I’m guessing Odell might not enjoy December by Lake Erie, but while the Ravens/Steelers lose players this month and the Bengals pretty much stand still. are the Browns a playoff contender now?

    Giants got Jabril Peppers, plus draft picks in 1st and 3rd rounds.

    12) Are there any other honest people left? Parents paying off people so their kids can go to fancy colleges. Oy. Just send the kid to a damn state college and tell him/her to study.

    Jerome Allen is an assistant coach with the Celtics; he used to work at Penn, and admitted to taking $300K to designate a kid as a basketball recruit at Penn, so the kid could get into an Ivy League school.

    The three smartest (whether book smart or street smart) people I know went to these colleges, and I’m posting the colleges in alphabetical order, not in order of how smart those people are:

    Albany, Northeastern, St Francis NY

    Not a lot of “elite” colleges on that list. Smart people come from all kinds of schools.

    USC’s senior associate athletic director, Donna Heinel, apparently received more than $1.3M in bribe payments to fabricate athletic credentials for prospective students.

    Tremendous. Just awesome. Ms Heinel has already been fired, by the way.

    11) Monday at the MGM in Las Vegas, a courageous soul made a $310,000 money-line bet on the Raptors (-$420) to win in Cleveland; they lost by 25. Had Toronto won, the bettor would’ve banked a little over $73,800. Tough way to start the week.

    10) At the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas, Detroit Lions dropped from 100-1 to 60-1 to win the Super Bowl, after their four free agent signings.

    9) Teddy Bridgewater is taking less money to be the Saints’ backup QB, instead of being the starter with the Dolphins? What does that say about Miami?

    8) Monday night in LA, Lou Williams of the Clippers set the NBA’s all-time record for most points scored off the bench, passing Dell Curry. Williams has scored 13,037 points in the NBA, but has started only 11.8% of his 923 career games.

    Remember seeing Williams play in an AAU tournament in Orlando back when he was in high school; if I remember right, he played for the Atlanta Celtics’ AAU team- they were excellent.

    7) Bradley’s path to winning the MVC tournament:
    — beat Missouri State by 3; trailed by 7 early in 2nd half.
    — beat Loyola, Chi by 2; trailed by 4 with 12:11 left.
    — beat Northern Iowa by 3; trailed by 18 with 17:07 left.

    6) Texas PG Kerwin Roach will play for the Longhorns in the Big 12 tournament this week, so whatever offense he committed to get suspended for the last five games is forgiven.

    Ohio State’s Kaleb Wesson will also be back for the Big 14 tournament; he was suspended for the last three games.

    Funny how conference tournaments make suspensions go away.

    5) Five years ago, Mercer won the Atlantic Sun tourney, then beat Duke in the first round of the NCAA’s, before losing to Tennessee in the 2nd round. Mercer beat Duke as a 14-seed. In the last 20 years, #14-seeds are 8-72 in the first round of the NCAA tournament- Mercer’s win was a very big deal.

    The next year, Mercer moved up to the Southern Conference and in five years since then, Bears went 83-83, 46-46 in conference games. Thats a .500 record in a better league, but Monday, they fired coach Bob Hoffman, the same guy who coached the team when they beat Duke.

    Who made this decision? This isn’t UCLA or some other big-money school that expects to make the tournament every year to appease its big-money boosters. It is freakin’ Mercer. If you’re Mercer and the guy beats Duke, you give him a 10-year contract and pray he doesn’t bolt your school for green$r pa$ture$.

    4) If you care about such things, you can wager on next year’s Super Bowl right now; AFC is favored by 2.5 points, with a total of 57.

    3) Oakland Grizzlies basketball coach Greg Kampe played football in college at Bowling Green, graduating in 1978— one of his coaches was Don Nehlen, who went on to an excellent career coaching West Virginia. Kampe was a cornerback, who also kicked/punted.

    2) Chris Woodward is the new manager of the Texas Rangers; he went on live TV for a half-inning with the Rangers’ TV guys during an exhibition game the other night and he was great. Best one of those interviews I’ve seen. He talked about how a lot of players don’t know all the rules, and how the bench coach for the Dodgers (Bob Geren) “….is obsessed with rules.” Was interesting to listen to.

    1) A’s play Seattle over in Japan in games that count, starting at 5:30am here in New York on both March 20th and 21st; the NCAA tournament starts at noon on the 21st. When the hell am I supposed to sleep?
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-13-2019 at 01:36 PM.

  3. #3
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    NHL

    Wednesday, March 13


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    Trend Report
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    Chicago Blackhawks
    Chicago is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
    Chicago is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games
    The total has gone OVER in 16 of Chicago's last 18 games
    Chicago is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
    Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Chicago is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chicago's last 12 games on the road
    Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
    Chicago is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Toronto
    Chicago is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Toronto Maple Leafs
    Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Toronto is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Toronto's last 9 games
    Toronto is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
    Toronto is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Chicago
    Toronto is 4-8-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Chicago

    New Jersey Devils
    New Jersey is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    New Jersey is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    New Jersey is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    New Jersey is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
    New Jersey is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
    New Jersey is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
    Edmonton Oilers
    Edmonton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games
    Edmonton is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games at home
    Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Edmonton is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games at home
    Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
    Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
    Edmonton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey

    New York Rangers
    NY Rangers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    NY Rangers is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games
    NY Rangers is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    NY Rangers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games on the road
    NY Rangers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Vancouver
    NY Rangers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games when playing Vancouver
    NY Rangers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Rangers's last 9 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
    Vancouver Canucks
    Vancouver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vancouver's last 10 games
    Vancouver is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
    Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games at home
    Vancouver is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
    Vancouver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing NY Rangers
    Vancouver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 9 games when playing at home against NY Rangers


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-13-2019 at 01:37 PM.

  4. #4
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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, March 13


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHICAGO (30-30-0-9, 69 pts.) at TORONTO (42-22-0-5, 89 pts.) - 3/13/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 24-51 ATS (+83.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 16-4 ATS (+9.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
    CHICAGO is 22-17 ATS (+43.6 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 10-3 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 405-412 ATS (-16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    TORONTO is 196-214 ATS (-105.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 3-2 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 3-2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.5 Units)

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    NEW JERSEY (25-36-0-9, 59 pts.) at EDMONTON (31-31-0-7, 69 pts.) - 3/13/2019, 9:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW JERSEY is 25-45 ATS (+81.1 Units) in all games this season.
    EDMONTON is 16-24 ATS (-11.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
    EDMONTON is 14-18 ATS (-12.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    EDMONTON is 4-1 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
    EDMONTON is 4-1-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.2 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY RANGERS (28-28-0-13, 69 pts.) at VANCOUVER (28-32-0-9, 65 pts.) - 3/13/2019, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY RANGERS are 5-18 ATS (+25.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    VANCOUVER is 247-254 ATS (-128.2 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
    VANCOUVER is 14-38 ATS (+64.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    VANCOUVER is 392-379 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    VANCOUVER is 102-94 ATS (-69.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY RANGERS is 4-1 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
    NY RANGERS is 4-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.3 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-13-2019 at 01:39 PM.

  5. #5
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, March 13



    NY Rangers @ Vancouver

    Game 69-70
    March 13, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Rangers
    11.151
    Vancouver
    10.083
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Rangers
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vancouver
    -125
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Rangers
    (+105); Over

    New Jersey @ Edmonton


    Game 67-68
    March 13, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Jersey
    8.897
    Edmonton
    11.250
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Edmonton
    by 2 1/2
    4
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Edmonton
    -240
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Edmonton
    (-240); Under

    Chicago @ Toronto


    Game 65-66
    March 13, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    9.997
    Toronto
    12.190
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    -240
    7
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-240); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-13-2019 at 01:40 PM.

  6. #6
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    65Chicago -66 Toronto
    CHICAGO is 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

    67New Jersey -68 Edmonton
    NEW JERSEY is 14-34 ATS (-20 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

    69Ny Rangers -70 Vancouver
    NY RANGERS are 8-3 ATS (4.7 Units) in road games after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game in the current season.

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