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Thread: Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/12

  1. #1
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    Default Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/12

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, March 12

    Good Luck on day # 71 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    You can bet on almost anything; conference tournament win matchups:

    — Villanova -$150 vs Washington +$130

    — Texas Tech -$120 vs Michigan State (even)

    — Kentucky -$120 vs Michigan (even)

    — North Carolina -$130 vs Purdue +$110

    — Tennessee vs Duke, -$110

    — Houston vs Virginia, -$110


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…..

    13) ESPN News started a new show Monday, from 6-7pm: Daily Wager. It looks pretty good, an information-driven program that follows gambling-related and daily fantasy stuff.

    12) Phoenix Suns closed as a 17-point underdog against Warriors Sunday night, then won. It is the largest upset in an NBA game since March 6, 2016 when the Lakers upset Golden State as a 17.5-point underdog.

    11) Detroit Tigers’ 1B Miguel Cabrera pulled the hidden ball trick on a runner Monday. What do you say to a major leaguer who falls for that?

    10) Since 2009, when one team beats another twice during the regular season and then meets them again in a conference tournament, they complete the 3-game sweep 72% of the time.

    9) Toronto Blue Jays used a 4-man outfield against Bryce Harper over the weekend, with no third baseman; will that be a trend this season? Turns out it didn’t matter where the fielders were, since they walked Harper both times he came to bat.

    Tampa Bay used the 4-man outfield against Harper on Monday, too.

    8) After trading Antonio Brown over the weekend, Steelers have a cap hit of $21M for his contract this year, which isn’t good.

    Over the last seven years, of the 14 NFL teams that had a WR with a cap hit of $15M+, only one of those 14 teams made the playoffs, the 2016 Falcons, and they at least had Julio Jones on their team that year. Brown is a huge cap hit, and he’s playing for Oakland.

    7) Detroit Lions signed four players Monday, three of whom are ex-Patriots. Problem is, none of them is Tom Brady, so not sure how much they’ll help.

    6) OT Trent Brown bolted New England and will sign a four-year, $66M contract that includes $36.75M in guarantees with the Raiders, making him highest paid OL in NFL history.

    5) Landon Collins signs with the Redskins, gets $84M for six years, $45M of it guaranteed.

    4) Nick Foles get $88M to QB the Jaguars for four years.

    3) College basketball teams that have fired their coach:
    — Fairfield, Niagara in the MAAC
    — Southern Illinois
    — SIU-Edwardsville, Tennessee Tech in the OVC
    — Mercer
    — Troy State
    — Kennesaw State, Stetson in the A-Sun
    — Cal Poly
    — UCLA
    — Temple (technically he is retiring, but they forced him out)

    Bottom line on coaches getting fired is this: Bracket Week and the NCAA tournament are great fun for us, but if you’re a coach and you don’t make the NCAA’s, your job is in real jeopardy.

    2) Duke’s Marques Bolden, averaging 19.5 mpg, is out for the ACC tournament.

    1) FOX is making a big deal about signing Urban Meyer to its college football coverage, but Meyer has been on TV before, and he wasn’t good. Meyer was humorless doing games on ESPN, I almost felt bad for the guy. Not sure how coaching at Ohio State changed any of that.

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, March 12


    New York lost its last six games; they’re 3-4 vs spread in last seven road games. Knciks’ last four games all stayed under. Indiana lost five of its last seven games, but covered six of last seven tries as a home favorite. Pacers’ last three games stayed under. Knicks lost their last five games with the Pacers (1-4 vs spread); they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Indiana. Four of last five series games went over.

    Cavaliers are 5-4 SU in last nine games, but are 2-4-1 vs spread on road if they played night before; Cleveland is 3-7 vs spread in last 10 games as a road dog. Over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Philly is 2-3 in its last five games but they’ve got Embiid back; Sixers covered their last three home games- their last seven games stayed under. 76ers won three of last four games with Cleveland; last three series games went over. Cavaliers covered their last three visits to Philly.

    Bucks are 2-3 in their last five games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four games as a road favorite. Five of their last seven games went over. New Orleans lost its last three games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight home games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Pelicans won seven of last ten games with Milwaukee, eight of which went over. Bucks are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to New Orleans.

    Lakers lost five in row, seven of last eight games; they’re 0-5 vs spread in last five road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Chicago lost four of its last five games; 6-12 vs spread in last 18 games as a home underdog. Three of their last four games stayed under. Lakers won their last four games with the Bulls, with all four games staying under total. LA is 2-2 vs spread in its last four visits to Chicago.

    San Antonio won/covered its last five games; they’re 5-6 vs spread as a road favorite. Five of their last six games stayed under total. Dallas lost five in row, 10 of last 11 games; they’re 13-3 as a home underdog this season. Four of their last six games stayed under. Spurs won six of last seven games with the Mavericks; they’re 2-3 vs spread in their last five trips to Dallas. Three of last four series games stayed under.

    Timberwolves won three of their last four games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven games as a road underdog. Six of their last seven games went over. Denver lost four of its last five games; they’re 10-4 vs spread in last 14 games as a home favorite. Under is 10-0-1 in their last 11 games. Nuggets won three of last four games with Minnesota; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Wolves covered their last four visits to Denver.

    Trailblazers lost three of last five games; they covered five of last seven tries as a road favorite. Six of their last eight games went over. Clippers won five of last six games (6-0 vs spread); they’re 7-5 vs spread if they played night before- they’re 1-4 in last five tries as a home dog. Under is 3-1 in their last four games. Clippers lost five of their last six games with Portland; under is 5-2 in last seven series games.Blazers covered last four series games played in Staples.

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    NBA

    Tuesday, March 12


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    Trend Report
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    New York Knicks
    New York is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games
    New York is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    New York is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games on the road
    New York is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
    New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New York's last 18 games when playing Indiana
    New York is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    New York is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Indiana is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
    Indiana is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Indiana is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Indiana's last 24 games at home
    Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Indiana's last 18 games when playing New York
    Indiana is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against New York
    Indiana is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against New York

    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Cleveland is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games
    Cleveland is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Cleveland is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games on the road
    Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
    Cleveland is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Cleveland's last 24 games when playing Philadelphia
    Cleveland is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 12 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home
    Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
    Philadelphia is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Philadelphia's last 24 games when playing Cleveland
    Philadelphia is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 12 games when playing at home against Cleveland

    Los Angeles Lakers
    LA Lakers is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
    LA Lakers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    LA Lakers is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    LA Lakers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Chicago
    LA Lakers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 14 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago Bulls
    Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    Chicago is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games at home
    Chicago is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games at home
    Chicago is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
    Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
    Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Chicago's last 14 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games
    Milwaukee is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games
    Milwaukee is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    Milwaukee is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    Milwaukee is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    Milwaukee is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
    New Orleans is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
    New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
    New Orleans is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
    New Orleans is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    San Antonio is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
    San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of San Antonio's last 19 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
    San Antonio is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    San Antonio is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Antonio's last 12 games on the road
    San Antonio is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
    San Antonio is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Dallas
    San Antonio is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
    Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
    Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games at home
    Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
    Dallas is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing San Antonio
    Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against San Antonio

    Portland Trail Blazers
    Portland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
    Portland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games
    Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Portland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
    Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
    Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
    Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    Portland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    Portland is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games
    LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games at home
    LA Clippers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland
    LA Clippers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games when playing Portland
    LA Clippers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
    LA Clippers is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Portland
    LA Clippers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing at home against Portland

    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
    Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games when playing Denver
    Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
    Minnesota is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
    Denver is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
    Denver is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 11 games when playing Minnesota
    Denver is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    Denver is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota


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  5. #5
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    533 NEW YORK -534 INDIANA
    INDIANA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

    535 CLEVELAND -536 PHILADELPHIA
    CLEVELAND is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.

    537 MILWAUKEE -538 NEW ORLEANS
    MILWAUKEE is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    539 LA LAKERS -540 CHICAGO
    LA LAKERS are 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game in the current season.

    541 SAN ANTONIO -542 DALLAS
    SAN ANTONIO is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after 5 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.

    543 MINNESOTA -544 DENVER
    MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.
    Common sense is not so common.
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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, March 12


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    NEW YORK (13 - 54) at INDIANA (42 - 25) - 3/12/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW YORK is 28-37 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season.
    NEW YORK is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 85-69 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 47-32 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    INDIANA is 57-43 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW YORK is 239-188 ATS (+32.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 6-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CLEVELAND (17 - 50) at PHILADELPHIA (42 - 25) - 3/12/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 72-96 ATS (-33.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 37-55 ATS (-23.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 21-31 ATS (-13.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 134-106 ATS (+17.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 6-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MILWAUKEE (50 - 17) at NEW ORLEANS (30 - 39) - 3/12/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 389-467 ATS (-124.7 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 280-336 ATS (-89.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    NEW ORLEANS is 86-72 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 45-28 ATS (+14.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 33-23 ATS (+7.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 33-24 ATS (+6.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 78-52 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 30-21 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 30-20 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA LAKERS (30 - 36) at CHICAGO (19 - 49) - 3/12/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA LAKERS are 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) in all games this season.
    LA LAKERS are 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    LA LAKERS are 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
    LA LAKERS are 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    LA LAKERS are 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
    LA LAKERS are 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    LA LAKERS are 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    LA LAKERS are 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    CHICAGO is 47-70 ATS (-30.0 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 136-182 ATS (-64.2 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    CHICAGO is 20-29 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA LAKERS is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    LA LAKERS is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN ANTONIO (38 - 29) at DALLAS (27 - 39) - 3/12/2019, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 8-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 8-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (32 - 35) at DENVER (43 - 22) - 3/12/2019, 10:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 5-5 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 5-5 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PORTLAND (40 - 26) at LA CLIPPERS (39 - 29) - 3/12/2019, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA CLIPPERS are 40-28 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 33-23 ATS (+7.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    PORTLAND is 82-63 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 52-36 ATS (+12.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    PORTLAND is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 53-40 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 228-285 ATS (-85.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 6-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 5-5 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, March 12



    Portland @ LA Clippers

    Game 545-546
    March 12, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Portland
    120.271
    LA Clippers
    123.696
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 3 1/2
    231
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Portland
    by 2 1/2
    233
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Clippers
    (+2 1/2); Under

    Minnesota @ Denver


    Game 543-544
    March 12, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    109.956
    Denver
    124.591
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 14 1/2
    232
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 10
    227 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Denver
    (-10); Over

    San Antonio @ Dallas


    Game 541-542
    March 12, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    119.358
    Dallas
    108.901
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio
    by 10 1/2
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Antonio
    by 5
    218
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (-5); Under

    LA Lakers @ Chicago


    Game 539-540
    March 12, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Lakers
    120.316
    Chicago
    113.938
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 6 1/2
    229
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 1
    226
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Lakers
    (-1); Over

    Milwaukee @ New Orleans


    Game 537-538
    March 12, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    124.189
    New Orleans
    112.159
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 12
    243
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 9
    236 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (-9); Over

    Cleveland @ Philadelphia


    Game 535-536
    March 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    116.277
    Philadelphia
    121.075
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 5
    214
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 14
    222 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (+14); Under

    New York @ Indiana


    Game 533-534
    March 12, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New York
    109.248
    Indiana
    116.938
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 7 1/2
    208
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    by 12
    212
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    (+12); Under

  8. #8
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    Inside the Paint - Tuesday
    Chris David

    The NBA has seven games on tap for Tuesday, which includes a double-header on TNT. Favorites went 4-2 both straight up and against the spread last night but for the second straight day, we saw a big underdog connect. Cleveland cashed a 7/2 money-line ticket (Bet $100 to win $350) with a 126-101 outright win over Toronto at home. One night earlier, bettors saw the Suns stun the Warriors 115-111 as 17-point underdogs and some lucky bettors hit money-line tickets as high as 13/1 odds. More upsets are possible tonight as four of the games have point-spreads listed at nine points or higher.

    Let’s break down the card.

    New York (13-54 SU, 28-37-2 ATS) at Indiana (42-25 SU, 33-33-1 ATS)

    The first game on the board looks like a mismatch on paper and the oddsmakers agree, opening Indiana as an 11 ½-point home favorite over New York. The Pacers have won five straight (3-1-1 ATS) against the Knicks, which includes a 3-0 mark (1-1-1 ATS) this season. Bettors could be hesitant to back the ‘chalk’ knowing the Pacers are 4-5 both SU and ATS in the second-half of the season and they’ve dropped three of their last four. After winning back-to-back games against the Spurs and Magic at home in late February, New York has dropped six straight (1-5 ATS) games and four of the setbacks came on the road. This is certainly a ‘get-right’ game for Indiana, who has racked up a 30-9 record against losing teams. As a double-digit home favorite, the Pacers have gone 6-1 SU and 3-3 ATS while the ‘under’ has gone 5-2 in those games.

    Cleveland (17-50 SU, 31-35-1 ATS) at Philadelphia (42-25 SU, 32-35 ATS)

    Another chalky matchup here as the 76ers are laying double digits (-15) to the Cavaliers, who are coming off a surprising 126-101 victory over Toronto last night as 8 ½-point home underdogs. Cleveland has only won back-to-back games three times this season and it’s struggled to a 3-9 mark on no rest but they’ve turned a profit for bettors with a 7-5 ATS mark. Cleveland did win its last game in a back-to-back spot, which was a 107-93 win over Orlando on Mar. 3 as a six-point home ‘dog. Make a note that all three wins in these situations came at home. The Cavaliers did surprise the 76ers on Nov. 23 as they captured a 121-112 win as 13-point road underdogs. Philadelphia avenged that loss less than a month later with a 128-106 blowout win at Cleveland.

    Milwaukee (50-17 SU, 39-26-2 ATS) at New Orleans (30-39 SU, 34-34-1 ATS)

    Tough game to handicap here as Jrue Holiday (abdominal) and E’Twaun Moore (quad) remain ‘out’ for the Pelicans while Anthony Davis continues to play limited minutes. The Bucks won the first matchup between the pair on Dec. 19, taking a 123-115 decision at home. Shootouts have been a common theme in this series and the ‘over’ has cashed in five straight and eight of the last 10. The total on this game opened 237 ½. Milwaukee is off a loss and just lost two games in a row for the first time last week, falling to the Jazz and Suns. The Pelicans started off the second-half with a 4-3 SU and 6-1 ATS record but they’ve dropped three straight entering this game.

    L.A. Lakers (30-36 SU, 25-39-2 ATS) at Chicago (19-49 SU, 30-36-2 ATS)

    If there was a ‘pass’ game on the board Tuesday, then this is it. The Lakers have gone 2-7 SU and 1-8 ATS since the All-Star break and they enter this game on a five-game losing streak. Meanwhile, Chicago has gone 1-4 both SU and ATS its last five games. The Bulls won’t have their top player Zach Lavine (knee) and the Lakers have been playing short-handed for a while now, with Brandon Ingram (shoulder) becoming the latest to join the injured list. Kyle Kuzma (ankle) is ‘questionable’ for Los Angeles tonight. The pair met on Jan. 15 from Los Angeles and the Lakers captured a 107-100 win over the Bulls as seven-point home favorites.

    San Antonio (38-29 SU, 36-30-1 ATS) at Dallas (27-39 SU, 37-28-1 ATS)

    The Spurs (-5) will look to improve to 3-0 versus the Mavericks this season when they tip off the TNT double-header tonight at 8:05 p.m. ET. San Antonio is starting to roll again, winners in five straight games and that run was much-needed as they began the All-Star break with three consecutive losses. Dallas was competitive in a 94-93 loss to Houston on Sunday as an 8 ½-point underdog but that was the fifth straight setback for the club. The Mavericks certainly don’t have the same talent as the Spurs but it’s hard to dismiss their record as home underdogs (9-6 SU, 12-3 ATS) this season. The total on this game is listed at 218 and the Spurs have been a solid ‘over’ bet this season (39-27-1) especially on the road (23-10-1).

    Minnesota (32-25 SU, 34-33 ATS) at Denver (43-22 SU, 35-30 ATS)

    The Nuggets (-10) are laying a big price and the line will likely go up if Minnesota doesn’t have Karl-Anthony Towns (knee) or Andrew Wiggins (quad) in the lineup, both listed as ‘questionable’ as of this morning. Bettors could be hesitant to lay the wood knowing Denver has dropped four of its last five games, which includes a humbling 122-105 loss at Golden State last Friday. Even though Denver has been one of the best home teams this season (27-6 SU, 22-11 ATS), it’s suffered two straight at the Pepsi Center and they were laying big prices (-7.5, -13.5). The T-Wolves have won three of their last four games, but all of those wins came at the Target Center. Make a note that Minnesota has been terrible on the road, dropping nine of its last 10 away games. The defense (122.1 PPG) has been a mess during this span and that’s helped the ‘over’ go 8-2. While that could have you running to back the ‘over’ tonight, make a note that Denver is on an 8-0 ‘under’ run heading into this matchup. TNT will provide coverage of this game at 10:35 p.m. ET.

    Portland (40-26 SU, 37-29 ATS) at L.A. Clippers (39-29 SU, 39-28-1 ATS)

    The other late-night game on Tuesday has Portland listed as a short road favorite over the L.A. Clippers. Head coach Doc Rivers has done a great job with this Los Angeles squad and many pundits thought they were throwing away the season after trading Tobias Harris to the 76ers on Feb. 5. Since that move, the Clippers have gone 9-4 SU and 10-3 ATS the spread. They’re clearly the best basketball team in Los Angeles this season and based on its young core and upcoming cap space, it could be a for a while.

    For this matchup, my lean would be to the visitor. The Clippers are coming off a big 140-115 win over Boston last night and they couldn’t miss a shot, connecting on 61 percent from the field. On no rest this season, Los Angeles has been hit or miss (6-7 SU, 7-5 ATS). However, they’ve struggled to a 1-3 record at home in these spots and the ‘over’ is 4-0 in those games as the Clippers have surrendered 120 PPG.

    After dropping two straight games, Portland got back on track last Saturday with a 127-120 win over Phoenix but it failed to cover as a heavy favorite (-12). The Trail Blazers have failed to cover in three straight games after starting the second-half with six straight covers and all of those wins came on the road. Total players should note that Portland has watched the ‘over’ cash in five straight and the high side is 7-2 since the All-Star break.

    Portland has won five of its last six encounters against Los Angeles and that includes three straight wins at the Staples Center. The Trail Blazers were listed as road underdogs in their first trip to L.A. on Dec. 17 as they captured a 131-127 win. For this matchup, Portland is laying two points as of this morning and while Los Angeles defeated Boston last night at a similar price (+1 ½), bettors should note that the Clippers are 2-6 in their previous eight games this season as home ‘dogs.

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    Hoop Trends - Tuesday
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Pelicans are 13-0 ATS (+10.38 ppg) when they are off two double digit ATS losses, with the last of which coming as a road dog.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Knicks are 0-13 ATS (-8.31 ppg) as an eight-plus underdog with less than two days rest off a loss as a road dog in which they scored less than 15% of their points from free throws.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Timberwolves are 12-0 OU (+18.62 ppg) as a road 8+ dog with less than two days rest after outscoring their opponent in the paint by double digits.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Bulls are 0-14 OU (-12.93 ppg) when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a road game in which their opponent shot over 50% from the field.

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