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Thread: Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/10

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/10

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, March 10

    Good Luck on day # 69 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Over/under win totals for pitchers this season:

    — Chris Sale, Bos 15.5

    — Jacob deGrom, NYM 13.5

    — Corey Kluber, Clev 16.5

    — Blake Snell, TB 13.5

    — Patrick Corbin, Wash 12.5

    — Stephen Strasburg, Wash 12.5


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

    13) 12pm-2:00
    — Auburn 87, Tennessee 83— Tigers were +8 in turnovers (13-5).
    — Seton Hall 79, Villanova 75— Pirates’ bench outscored Villanova’s 17-0.
    — Clemson 67, Syracuse 55— Tigers won four of their last five games.

    12) 2-4:00
    — Texas Tech 80, Iowa State 73— Cyclones lost six of their last eight games.
    — Mississippi State 92, Texas A&M 81— Kid on Aggies hit a 3-pointer at the buzzer for the backdoor cover.
    — Kentucky 66, Florida 57— Gators lose last three games, finish 9-9 in SEC.

    11) 4-6:00
    — Georgetown 86, Marquette 84— Golden Eagles head to NYC on a 4-game skid.
    — Virginia 73, Louisville 68— Cavaliers are the #1 seed in ACC tournament.
    — Oregon State 85, Washington State 77— Beavers finish 10-8 in Pac-12, their best record in conference play since 1990.

    10) 6-8:00
    — North Carolina 79, Duke 70— Where do you seed Duke if Zion doesn’t come back?
    — Arizona State 72, Arizona 64— Sun Devils swept Arizona, won five of last six overall.
    — NC-Greensboro 77, Samford 70— Favored Spartans were down 12 at the half.

    9) 8-10:00
    — Michigan State 75, Michigan 63— Spartans sweep season series with their rival.
    — Murray State 77, Belmont 65— Racers win OVC title; will both teams get in NCAA’s?
    — Western Illinois 79, South Dakota State 76— #1-seed goes down in Summit League. Jackrabbits won their two regular season games with WIU by total of 62 points.

    8) 10pm-midnight
    — Nevada 81, San Diego State 53— Big Senior Night for team with five 5th-year senior starters. Not the guttiest of efforts by the Aztecs.
    — Pepperdine 89, San Francisco 72— Dons were 17-3 at one point, then went 4-7 in their last 11 games, losing last four in a row.
    — San Diego 80, BYU 57— Toreros jumped out to a 13-0 lead, led 46-19 to halftime. It is difficult to look worse than BYU did in this game.

    7) Upsets of the Day:
    — Western Illinois (+15) 79, South Dakota State 76
    — Northern Arizona (+13) 89, Northern Colorado 78 OT
    — Troy State (+11) 74, Coastal Carolina 67
    — Georgetown (+10) 86, Marquette 84
    — Cal-Riverside (+9) 71, Cal-Davis 70
    — TCU (+6) 69, Texas 56
    — Pepperdine (+6) 89, San Francisco 72

    6) Belmont star Dylan Windler fell thru the cracks of the recruiting system and wound up at Belmont mainly because he only played AAU ball for a little while.

    Windler is a 1-handicapper on the golf course, so he was teeing it up in the summer instead of running around the AAU circuit, and he went largely unnoticed, because that is how recruiting works, for better or worse.

    5) Lakers’ Brandon Ingram has a blood clot in his shoulder, is expected to miss the rest of this season. Lonzo Ball is also supposed to miss the rest of the season.

    4) Not sure why all the Antonio Brown news breaks after midnight, but looks like the unhappy WR is being dealt to the Raiders, for 3rd-round and 5th round draft picks.

    3) Oklahoma City Thunder’s last two opponents:
    — Clippers 31-46 on foul line (OKC 17-26)
    — Trailblazers 38-47 on foul line (OKC 25-32)

    2) The last time a pitcher made his major league debut by starting on Opening Day was in 1943; San Diego’s Chris Paddack has a chance to do that later this month.

    1) Steve Wojciechowski’s five years as head coach at Marquette:
    — 96-67 overall, 43-47 in Big East games.
    — This will his 2nd trip to NCAA’s (lost by 20 in first round in ’17)
    — Big East tournament record: 3-4
    — Record in March: 10-11
    — His team this year starts three juniors; time to put up or shut up.

  3. #3
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    Sunday's Tip Sheet
    David Schwab

    The final day of the college basketball regular season gets things started with a big showdown in the AAC between No. 12 Houston and the No. 20 Cincinnati Bearcats at Fifth Third Arena.

    In the first of two season-ending tilts in the Big Ten, Iowa goes on the road to face the Nebraska Cornhuskers. Later on Sunday afternoon, the No. 21 Wisconsin Badgers close things out in a road game against Ohio State.

    No. 12 Houston Cougars at No. 20 Cincinnati Bearcats (CBS, 12 p.m. ET)

    Opening Odds: Cincinnati -1 ½, Total 127 ½

    Betting Matchup

    The Cougars beat Cincinnati 65-58 on Feb. 10 as 4 ½-point home favorites and they currently hold a one-game lead over their AAC rivals in the conference standings at 15-2 straight-up. They come into this rematch at 28-2 SU overall with an 18-10-2 record against the spread. After failing to cover as a 12 ½-point home favorite in Thursday’s 90-79 win against SMU, Houston slipped to 2-3-1 ATS over its last six games. Corey Davis Jr. scored 17 points in Thursday’s win. The senior guard is averaging a team-high 16.2 points per game.

    Thursday’s 58-55 loss to Central Florida as 2 ½-point road underdogs snapped the Bearcats’ recent five-game SU winning streak. They have failed to cover the closing number in their last seven games as part of a costly 6-12 record ATS in AAC play. Cincinnati is 25-5 SU overall with a 12-18 mark ATS. The total stayed UNDER 126 ½ points in Thursday’s loss and it has stayed UNDER in seven of its last eight contests. Junior guard Jarron Cumberland is averaging a team-high 18.3 PPG, but he has failed to score more than 12 points in four of his last five starts.

    Betting Trends

    -- The Cougars are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road with the total staying UNDER in six of those 10 contests.

    -- The Bearcats have failed to cover in 10 of their last 17 home games, including their last four. The total has gone OVER in six of their last nine games played at home.

    -- Cincinnati has won seven of the last 10 meetings SU, but the series is tied 5-5 ATS over that same span. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of those 10 games.

    Iowa Hawkeyes at Nebraska Cornhuskers (Big Ten Network, 2 p.m. ET)

    Opening Odds: Nebraska -2 ½, Total 148 ½

    Betting Matchup

    The Hawkeyes currently hold the No. 6 seed for next week’s Big Ten Tournament at 10-9 SU in conference play. They have lost their last three games SU while failing to cover in their last seven outings. Earlier in the season, Iowa did beat Nebraska 93-84 closing as a two-point home underdog. It is 4-5 SU on the road this season with a 3-6 record ATS. Going back to their last three losses, the Hawkeyes have been outscored by a combined 54 points against Ohio State, Rutgers and Wisconsin.

    With just two SU wins in their last 13 games, the Cornhuskers have sunk to 5-14 SU in conference play. In their current four-game slide, they have lost three of those games by double figures. The total went OVER in all four contests. Nebraska is an even 15-15 SU (13-15-1 ATS) on the year with a SU 11-5 (8-6-1 ATS) record at home. One bright spot has been the steady play of senior guard James Palmer Jr. with 18.9 PPG. He posted 30 points in Tuesday’s 91-76 loss to Michigan State.

    Betting Trends

    -- The Hawkeyes have a 1-4 record ATS in their last five road games and the total has gone OVER in four of their last six games played on the road.

    -- The Cornhuskers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games with the total staying UNDER in 10 of their last 14 games at home.

    -- The home team has won the last five meetings SU with Nebraska holding the slight 3-2 edge ATS. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in all five of those games.

    No. 21 Wisconsin Badgers at Ohio State Buckeyes (Big Ten Network, 4:30 p.m. ET)

    Opening Odds: Wisconsin -3, Total 122

    Betting Matchup

    The Badgers are holding onto fourth place in the Big Ten at 13-6 SU with a one game lead over Maryland. They are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games as part of an 8-11 record ATS in conference play. The total stayed UNDER 140 points in Thursday’s 65-45 victory at home against Iowa as a six-point favorite and it has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 12 of Wisconsin’s last 14 games. Senior forward Ethan Happ scored 21 points against the Hawkeyes and he averaging a team-high 17.9 points a game.

    Ohio State slipped to 8-11 both SU and ATS in conference play with back-to-back losses to Purdue and Northwestern. Going back to a 63-56 loss to Illinois on Feb. 14 as eight-point home favorites, the Buckeyes are 2-5 (SU and ATS) in their last seven games. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last eight outings. Ohio State is averaging 69.4 PPG, but it has failed to score more than 63 points in seven of its last eight games.

    Betting Trends

    -- The Badgers are 0-2-1 ATS in their last three road games as part of an overall road record of 6-5-1 ATS this season. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight road games.

    -- The Buckeyes have covered in three of their last five home games, but they are 6-11 ATS at home this season. The total has gone OVER in four of their last six games played at home.

    -- This will be the first meeting between the two this season. Ohio State won the last two meetings both SU and ATS with the total going OVER in the last four meetings.

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    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, March 10


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    ILLINOIS (11 - 19) at PENN ST (13 - 17) - 3/10/2019, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PENN ST is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    PENN ST is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    PENN ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
    PENN ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
    PENN ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    PENN ST is 4-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
    PENN ST is 4-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    RUTGERS (14 - 15) at INDIANA (16 - 14) - 3/10/2019, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 61-39 ATS (+18.1 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 2-2 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 2-2 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    HOUSTON (28 - 2) at CINCINNATI (25 - 5) - 3/10/2019, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games this season.
    HOUSTON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
    HOUSTON is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    CINCINNATI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 this season.
    CINCINNATI is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    CINCINNATI is 47-69 ATS (-28.9 Units) in March games since 1997.
    CINCINNATI is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
    CINCINNATI is 123-171 ATS (-65.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    CINCINNATI is 50-79 ATS (-36.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    CINCINNATI is 3-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    CINCINNATI is 4-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    IOWA (21 - 9) at NEBRASKA (15 - 15) - 3/10/2019, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    IOWA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    IOWA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    IOWA is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    IOWA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
    NEBRASKA is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    NEBRASKA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
    NEBRASKA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
    NEBRASKA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
    NEBRASKA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    IOWA is 2-1 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
    NEBRASKA is 2-2 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CONNECTICUT (14 - 16) at E CAROLINA (10 - 19) - 3/10/2019, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    E CAROLINA is 164-212 ATS (-69.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
    E CAROLINA is 156-200 ATS (-64.0 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
    E CAROLINA is 104-139 ATS (-48.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    E CAROLINA is 4-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
    CONNECTICUT is 4-1 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SMU (13 - 16) at S FLORIDA (18 - 11) - 3/10/2019, 4:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SMU is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
    SMU is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    S FLORIDA is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
    S FLORIDA is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
    S FLORIDA is 76-103 ATS (-37.3 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    S FLORIDA is 3-1 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
    S FLORIDA is 2-2 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    WISCONSIN (21 - 9) at OHIO ST (18 - 12) - 3/10/2019, 4:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OHIO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    OHIO ST is 2-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
    OHIO ST is 2-1 straight up against WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    JAMES MADISON (14 - 18) vs. HOFSTRA (25 - 6) - 3/10/2019, 12:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOFSTRA is 3-3 against the spread versus JAMES MADISON over the last 3 seasons
    HOFSTRA is 4-2 straight up against JAMES MADISON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DELAWARE (16 - 15) vs. WM & MARY (14 - 16) - 3/10/2019, 2:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DELAWARE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more since 1997.
    DELAWARE is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    DELAWARE is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    WM & MARY is 5-1 against the spread versus DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
    WM & MARY is 5-1 straight up against DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    UNC-WILMINGTON (10 - 22) vs. NORTHEASTERN (20 - 10) - 3/10/2019, 6:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    NORTHEASTERN is 4-3 against the spread versus UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    NORTHEASTERN is 5-2 straight up against UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DREXEL (13 - 18) vs. COLL OF CHARLESTON (23 - 8) - 3/10/2019, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DREXEL is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
    DREXEL is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    DREXEL is 4-3 against the spread versus COLL OF CHARLESTON over the last 3 seasons
    COLL OF CHARLESTON is 5-2 straight up against DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    N IOWA (16 - 17) vs. BRADLEY (19 - 14) - 3/10/2019, 2:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    BRADLEY is 4-2 against the spread versus N IOWA over the last 3 seasons
    BRADLEY is 3-3 straight up against N IOWA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    E TENN ST (24 - 8) vs. WOFFORD (27 - 4) - 3/10/2019, 4:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    WOFFORD is 5-1 against the spread versus E TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
    WOFFORD is 4-2 straight up against E TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    FURMAN (25 - 6) vs. UNC-GREENSBORO (27 - 5) - 3/10/2019, 6:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    UNC-GREENSBORO is 4-2 against the spread versus FURMAN over the last 3 seasons
    UNC-GREENSBORO is 4-2 straight up against FURMAN over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SIENA (17 - 15) vs. IONA (15 - 15) - 3/10/2019, 6:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    SIENA is 5-2 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
    IONA is 4-3 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MONMOUTH (13 - 20) vs. CANISIUS (15 - 16) - 3/10/2019, 8:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    CANISIUS is 5-1 against the spread versus MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
    CANISIUS is 4-2 straight up against MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    ORAL ROBERTS (11 - 20) vs. N DAKOTA ST (15 - 15) - 3/10/2019, 6:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ORAL ROBERTS is 111-144 ATS (-47.4 Units) in all games since 1997.
    ORAL ROBERTS is 111-144 ATS (-47.4 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
    ORAL ROBERTS is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    ORAL ROBERTS is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
    ORAL ROBERTS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games after a conference game this season.
    N DAKOTA ST is 31-47 ATS (-20.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    N DAKOTA ST is 31-47 ATS (-20.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    N DAKOTA ST is 4-1 against the spread versus ORAL ROBERTS over the last 3 seasons
    N DAKOTA ST is 5-1 straight up against ORAL ROBERTS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    S DAKOTA (13 - 16) vs. IUPU-FT WAYNE (17 - 14) - 3/10/2019, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    S DAKOTA is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    S DAKOTA is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    S DAKOTA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    S DAKOTA is 5-1 against the spread versus IUPU-FT WAYNE over the last 3 seasons
    S DAKOTA is 5-1 straight up against IUPU-FT WAYNE over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    NCAAB

    Sunday, March 10


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    Trend Report
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    Rutgers @ Indiana
    Rutgers
    Rutgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Rutgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Indiana
    Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games at home

    Illinois @ Penn State
    Illinois
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games when playing on the road against Penn State
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Illinois's last 12 games when playing Penn State
    Penn State
    Penn State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Illinois
    Penn State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Illinois

    Houston @ Cincinnati
    Houston
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Houston is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
    Cincinnati
    Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

    James Madison @ Hofstra
    James Madison
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of James Madison's last 8 games
    James Madison is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games
    Hofstra
    Hofstra is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Hofstra's last 8 games

    Iowa @ Nebraska
    Iowa
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa's last 5 games when playing Nebraska
    Iowa is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Nebraska
    Nebraska
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nebraska's last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games when playing Iowa

    Connecticut @ East Carolina
    Connecticut
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Connecticut's last 9 games
    Connecticut is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing East Carolina
    East Carolina
    East Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina's last 5 games

    Northern Iowa @ Bradley
    Northern Iowa
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northern Iowa's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northern Iowa's last 6 games when playing Bradley
    Bradley
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bradley's last 6 games when playing Northern Iowa
    Bradley is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

    Delaware @ William & Mary
    Delaware
    Delaware is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    Delaware is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing William & Mary
    William & Mary
    William & Mary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    William & Mary is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Delaware

    Southern Methodist @ South Florida
    Southern Methodist
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games on the road
    Southern Methodist is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing South Florida
    South Florida
    South Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Southern Methodist
    South Florida is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

    East Tennessee State @ Wofford
    East Tennessee State
    No trends to report
    Wofford
    Wofford is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Wofford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    Wisconsin @ Ohio State
    Wisconsin
    Wisconsin is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin's last 5 games when playing Ohio State
    Ohio State
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State's last 5 games when playing Wisconsin
    Ohio State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

    UNC Wilmington @ Northeastern
    UNC Wilmington
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of UNC Wilmington's last 5 games when playing Northeastern
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of UNC Wilmington's last 16 games
    Northeastern
    Northeastern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing UNC Wilmington
    Northeastern is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

    Siena @ Iona
    Siena
    Siena is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Iona
    Siena is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Iona
    Iona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Iona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

    Furman @ UNC Greensboro
    Furman
    Furman is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
    Furman is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    UNC Greensboro
    UNC Greensboro is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    UNC Greensboro is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Furman

    Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State
    Oral Roberts
    No trends to report
    North Dakota State
    North Dakota State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oral Roberts
    North Dakota State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oral Roberts

    Drexel @ College of Charleston
    Drexel
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Drexel's last 7 games when playing College of Charleston
    Drexel is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing College of Charleston
    College of Charleston
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of College of Charleston's last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of College of Charleston's last 7 games when playing Drexel

    Monmouth @ Canisius
    Monmouth
    Monmouth is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Canisius
    Monmouth is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Canisius
    Canisius
    Canisius is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Monmouth
    Canisius is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Monmouth

    South Dakota @ IPFW
    South Dakota
    South Dakota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    South Dakota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing IPFW
    IPFW
    IPFW is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
    IPFW is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  6. #6
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    Nov 2004
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    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, March 10


    Penn State was 26-32 on foul line in its 83-76 win at Illinois Feb 23; Nittany Lions won last five series games. Illini lost four of last five visits here, losing last two, by 7-4 points. Illinois lost four of its last five games, is 4-5 vs spread as a road underdog this year. Illini force turnovers 20.3% of time in conference games, but they’re 52.6% defensive eFG% is 2nd-worst in league. PSU won six of its last nine games after starting out 0-10 in conference; Lions won their last three home games, by 6-24-17 points- they’re 1-3 vs spread as a home favorite in Big 14 games.

    Rutgers lost six of its last nine games; they’re 7-12 in conference, splitting last six road games. Scarlet Knights covered their last four road games, are 6-3 as a road underdog in Big 14 games. Indiana won its last three games after a 1-12 skid; three of their last four wins were by one point, or in OT. Hoosiers are 0-5 vs spread as a Big 14 home favorite this season; they’re shooting 27.7% on arc in conference, which is really bad. Indiana lost 66-58 at Rutgers Jan 30; Scarlet Knights won last two series games, but lost both visits to Bloomington, by 8-19 points.

    Houston shot 59% inside arc in its 65-58 home win over Cincinnati Feb 10; Bearcats won four of last six series games. Houston is 0-5 in AAC visits to Cincy, with all five losses by 10+ points. Cougars are 28-2 overall, 15-2 in AAC, with only road loss at Temple; they won their last seven road games. Houston won at BYU/Oklahoma State, in only two games this season when they were an underdog. Cincinnati won five of last six games, is 14-3 in AAC, winning all eight home games, but covering only two of them. Bearcats are shooting only 44.3% inside arc in AAC.

    Iowa gets its coach back from suspension; they’ve lost four of last five games after starting 9-5 in Big 14 play- they lost last three games, by 20-14-20 points. Hawkeyes are 3-5 vs spread as road underdogs this year. Nebraska lost 11 of last 13 games after starting 3-3 in league; Cornhuskers are 2-5 vs spread as a home favorite, but they’re shooting only 44.6% inside arc in Big 14 tilts. Iowa outscored Nebraska 93-84 at home Jan 6; Hawkeyes won seven of last nine series games, but lost last two visits to Lincoln, by 3-14 points. Home side won last five series games.

    South Florida made 11-25 on arc in its 67-66 win at SMU Feb 7; Bulls won last two series games, after losing seven of first eight AAC meetings with the Mustangs. Teams split four meetings in Tampa. SMU lost nine of their last ten games, is 5-12 in AAC, losing their last seven road games- they’re 2-4-1 as a road underdog this season. Mustangs scored 55 or fewer points in three of its last four games. USF lost five of its last six D-I gamester starting out 7-4 in AAC; Bulls lost two of their last three home games- they’re turning ball over 23.2% of time, in bottom 10 in nation.

    Wisconsin/Ohio State split their last ten meetings; Badgers lost four of their last six visits to Columbus. Wisconsin won four of its last five games, is 4-1-1 vs spread as a road favorite; they lost two of last three road games, losing last one in double OT at Indiana. Badgers are 0-3 in overtime games this year. Buckeyes lost five of its last seven games, is 8-11 in conference, 0-2 vs spread as a home underdog- they did win last two home games, over Northwestern/Iowa. OSU is experience team #262, starting two freshmen and a sophomore.

    Missouri Valley tournament, St Louis
    This is #5-seed vs #6-seed for MVC title; winner is likely headed to Dayton for a play-in game. Road team won both Bradley-Northern Iowa games this season; teams split last six series tilts. Bradley won four in row, eight of last 10 games; they’ve won two games in same MVC tourney for first time since losing final to SIU in ’06- Braves won last two days by total of five points. Bradley played four kids 30:00+ yesterday. UNI won six of its last eight games after starting 5-7 in Valley; they’ve won this event four times in last 10 years, last winning it 2016.

    Southern Conference tournament, Asheville, NC
    Wofford is 19-0 in SoCon games this year; one of their two OT games was 78-76 at East Tennessee Feb 7th, when Bucs were only 8-15 on foul line. Both teams shot 40%+ on arc in that game. Terriers won three of last four series games. Wofford hasn’t lost since Dec 19 at Miss State; they crushed VMI yesterday, are looking for first SoCon title since 2105- they’ve won SoCon tourneys in last decade. Under Forbes, ETSU is 9-2 in SoCon tournament, winning it two years ago; Buccaneers play lot of kids- they used three subs for 24:00+ yesterday.

    Furman/NC-Greensboro split pair of 10-point decisions this year; Spartans won four of last five series games. Furman won nine of its last ten games, is 14-5 in SoCon- they used three starters 33:00+ yesterday. Paladins won at Villanova in November- they start a freshman and couple of sophomores. Greensboro was down 12 at half yesterday but survived; they played only one guy more than 31:00. Spartans won their last five games, are 16-3 in SoCon; they start two juniors, two seniors. UNCG won this event last year; Furman hasn’t won it since at least 2003.

    MAAC tournament, Albany
    Monmouth lost twice to Canisius this year, by 1-14 points; Griffins took 34 3’s (10-34), 23 2’s (7-23) in last meeting. Canisius won last four series games, but they’re 0-2 vs Monmouth in MAAC tourney games over last few years. Hawks beat Quinnipiac 98-92 last night, after they were down six with 10:53 left. Monmouth played eight guys 10+ minutes; no one played more than 27:00- they’re 12-8 in MAAC after being 1-12 in pre-conference. Canisius won four of its last five games away from home; they start three sophomores, and had last night off.

    Iona coach Cluess is 18-4 coaching in the Times-Union Center in Albany, which is Siena’s home court; Iona won this tourney the last three years. This season, Siena won by a hoop at Iona, then lost by 5 at home to the Gaels; teams split last six series games. Iona won its last eight games, after starting season 7-15; they start four juniors, one senior- they didn’t play last night, while Siena did. Saints won four of last five games, are 12-7 in MAAC, winning last three home games. Fisher/Pickett both played 38:00 last night. Both teams play six guys, for most part.

    Big South tournament, Radford, VA
    Radford made 13-26 on arc in its 75-58 home win over Gardner-Webb Jan 17, teams’ only meeting this year. Highlanders are 14-4 in Big South games, only 4-3 in last seven; they’re #38 experience team in country that beat Notre Dame/Texas in November, and that was when Irish were healthier. Gardner-Webb won 10 of its last 12 games after starting 2-4 in conference; they start a freshman and two sophomores. Radford won Big South final by 3 LY, then won a play-in game before losing by 26 to Villanova- they start two seniors, two juniors.

    Atlantic Sun tournament, Nashville
    Liberty’s win at UCLA in late December got Steve Alford fired; Flames are 16-2 in A-Sun games, winning last four. Liberty lost to Georgetown by 10, Vandy by 9, before Vandy’s PG got hurt. Liberty forces turnovers 20.5% of times they start three juniors, one senior. Lipscomb won at TCU, lost at Louisville by 4; they start three seniors, two juniors. Bisons are shooting 40.7% on arc in conference games this season. Road team won both Liberty-Lipscomb games this year; Lipscomb won this final on road LY; Liberty last made NCAA’s in 2013.

  7. #7
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    831 ILLINOIS -832 PENN ST
    PENN ST is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the current season.

    833 RUTGERS -834 INDIANA
    INDIANA is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in home games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

    835 HOUSTON -836 CINCINNATI
    HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game in the current season.

    837 IOWA -838 NEBRASKA
    IOWA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.

    839 CONNECTICUT -840 E CAROLINA
    CONNECTICUT is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the current season.

    841 SMU -842 S FLORIDA
    S FLORIDA is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins in the current season.

    843 WISCONSIN -844 OHIO ST
    WISCONSIN is 8-2 ATS (5.8 Units) off a home win in the current season.

    845 JAMES MADISON -846 HOFSTRA
    JAMES MADISON is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

    847 DELAWARE -848 WM & MARY
    DELAWARE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games in the current season.

    849 UNC-WILMINGTON -850 NORTHEASTERN
    UNC-WILMINGTON is 47-26 ATS (18.4 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

    857 E TENN ST -858 WOFFORD
    WOFFORD is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games in the current season.

    859 FURMAN -860 UNC-GREENSBORO
    FURMAN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after a conference game in the current season.

    861 SIENA -862 IONA
    IONA is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.

    863 MONMOUTH -864 CANISIUS
    MONMOUTH is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the current season.

    865 ORAL ROBERTS -866 N DAKOTA ST
    ORAL ROBERTS are 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
    865 ORAL ROBERTS -866 N DAKOTA ST
    Mills Paul is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls (Coach of ORAL ROBERTS)

    867 S DAKOTA -868 IUPU-FT WAYNE
    IUPU-FT WAYNE is 26-9 ATS (16.1 Units) in road games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season since 1997.
    Common sense is not so common.
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  8. #8
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    Nov 2004
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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Sunday, March 10



    South Dakota @ IPFW

    Game 867-868
    March 10, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    South Dakota
    48.101
    IPFW
    53.075
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    IPFW
    by 5
    155
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    IPFW
    Pick
    152
    Dunkel Pick:
    IPFW
    Over

    Monmouth @ Canisius

    Game 863-864
    March 10, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Monmouth
    50.621
    Canisius
    46.383
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Monmouth
    by 4
    132
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Monmouth
    Pick
    137 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Monmouth
    Under

    Drexel @ Coll of Charleston

    Game 851-852
    March 10, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Drexel
    43.253
    Coll of Charlesto
    56.730
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Coll of Charlesto
    by 13 1/2
    152
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Coll of Charlesto
    by 9
    149 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Coll of Charlesto
    (-9); Over

    Oral Roberts @ North Dakota St

    Game 865-866
    March 10, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oral Roberts
    41.754
    North Dakota St
    46.917
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    North Dakota St
    by 5
    137
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    North Dakota St
    by 3
    143
    Dunkel Pick:
    North Dakota St
    (-3); Under

    Furman @ NC-Greensboro

    Game 859-860
    March 10, 2019 @ 6:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Furman
    56.599
    NC-Greensboro
    60.131
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NC-Greensboro
    by 3 1/2
    131
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Furman
    by 3 1/2
    135
    Dunkel Pick:
    NC-Greensboro
    (+3 1/2); Under

    Siena @ Iona

    Game 861-862
    March 10, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Siena
    51.538
    Iona
    49.392
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Siena
    by 2
    138
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Iona
    by 2
    142 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Siena
    (+2); Under

    NC-Wilmington @ Northeastern

    Game 849-850
    March 10, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NC-Wilmington
    46.477
    Northeastern
    59.534
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Northeastern
    by 13
    147
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Northeastern
    by 10
    152 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Northeastern
    (-10); Under

    Wisconsin @ Ohio State

    Game 843-844
    March 10, 2019 @ 4:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Wisconsin
    65.120
    Ohio State
    67.009
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ohio State
    by 2
    122
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Wisconsin
    by 3
    124
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ohio State
    (+3); Under

    E Tenn State @ Wofford

    Game 857-858
    March 10, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    E Tenn State
    60.610
    Wofford
    65.291
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Wofford
    by 4 1/2
    135
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Wofford
    by 7 1/2
    141
    Dunkel Pick:
    E Tenn State
    (+7 1/2); Under

    SMU @ South Florida

    Game 841-842
    March 10, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    SMU
    53.168
    South Florida
    59.118
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    South Florida
    by 6
    135
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    South Florida
    by 2
    134 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    South Florida
    (-2); Over

    Delaware @ William & Mary

    Game 847-848
    March 10, 2019 @ 2:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Delaware
    46.892
    William & Mary
    49.402
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    William & Mary
    by 2 1/2
    145
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    William & Mary
    by 5
    140
    Dunkel Pick:
    Delaware
    (+5); Over

    Northern Iowa @ Bradley

    Game 855-856
    March 10, 2019 @ 2:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Northern Iowa
    52.412
    Bradley
    60.265
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Bradley
    by 8
    115
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Bradley
    by 2
    120 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Bradley
    (-2); Under

    Connecticut @ East Carolina

    Game 839-840
    March 10, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Connecticut
    57.665
    East Carolina
    46.583
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Connecticut
    by 11
    150
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Connecticut
    by 5 1/2
    141 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Connecticut
    (-5 1/2); Over

    Iowa @ Nebraska

    Game 837-838
    March 10, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Iowa
    65.609
    Nebraska
    61.656
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Iowa
    by 4
    146
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Iowa
    Pick
    150
    Dunkel Pick:
    Iowa
    Under

    James Madison @ Hofstra

    Game 845-846
    March 10, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    James Madison
    45.814
    Hofstra
    54.316
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Hofstra
    by 8 1/2
    144
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Hofstra
    by 11 1/2
    150
    Dunkel Pick:
    James Madison
    (+11 1/2); Under

    Houston @ Cincinnati

    Game 835-836
    March 10, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    66.564
    Cincinnati
    71.072
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cincinnati
    by 4 1/2
    123
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cincinnati
    by 2
    128 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cincinnati
    (-2); Under

    Rutgers @ Indiana

    Game 833-834
    March 10, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Rutgers
    66.672
    Indiana
    67.594
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 1
    137
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    by 7 1/2
    132 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Rutgers
    (+7 1/2); Over

    Illinois @ Penn State

    Game 831-832
    March 10, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Illinois
    63.961
    Penn State
    68.769
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Penn State
    by 5
    149
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Penn State
    by 7
    149 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Illinois
    (+7); Under

  9. #9
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    Nov 2004
    Posts
    77,184
    Credits
    231,094

    Default

    Guys,

    I've got an early doctor appointment 60 miles away for Monday morning. I'll be leaving before any of the stuff is up. It will be a late start for Monday, March 11. I could be as late as midday getting started. There are no early starts scheduled for Monday, though. I'll get you caught up in all sports well before any play begins. Thanks for your understanding and good luck Monday night!

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