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Thread: Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/6

  1. #1
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    Default Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/6

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, March 6

    Good Luck on day # 65 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Odds to win the MVC tournament in St Louis this weekend:

    — Loyola 8-5

    — Drake 4-1

    — Southern Illinois 9-2

    — Missouri State 11-2

    — Bradley 8-1

    — Northern Iowa 12-1

    — Illinois State 16-1

    — Indiana State 20-1

    — Valparaiso, Evansville 50-1


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……

    13) Last year, five NFL teams drafted a QB in the first round; four of those teams traded up to get their guy, which leads me to believe that there will be trading near the top of the draft again this year, especially if Arizona doesn’t draft Kyler Murray with the #1 pick.

    If Arizona doesn’t take Murray, you have to think they’re trading the #1 pick, because there has to be SOMEONE out there who is enamored with Murray, and Arizona could net a couple extra picks to replenish other parts of their team.

    12) Good move by Major League Baseball; looks like starting next year, rosters will increase to 26 players per team, while September rosters will be capped at 28, instead of 40, the way it is now. Now if they can just get the DH in both leagues as soon as possible.

    11) Minnesota 73, Purdue 69— Carsen Edwards was 7-31 in this game, 3-15 on the arc- he had one assist. Purdue only took 68 shots; rest of the team was 17-37. Big win for Golden Gophers’ NCAA hopes.

    If you go 7-31, do you have to soak your arm after the game?

    10) Kentucky 80, Ole Miss 76— Rebels lost four of their last five games.

    9) Duke 71, Wake Forest 70— Blue Devils were favored by 26.5 points; this score will have seeding repercussions if Zion Williamson doesn’t come back.

    8) Florida State 73, Virginia Tech 64 OT— Hokies tied game on 3-pointer with 0:13 left, but FSU won/covered in OT. Bad beat for Tech backers. Seminoles clinch a double-bye in ACC tourney.

    7) Oklahoma 81, Kansas 68— Jayhawks lost six of their last eight road games, and for first time in over a decade, they won’t win/share Big X regular season title.

    6) Auburn 66, Alabama 60— Tigers trailed this game by 13, rallied for a win, but they haven’t been playing very well.

    5) Bronx pitching ace Luis Severino was scratched from his spring training start with shoulder issue, and may not be ready for Opening Day.

    Twins’ 3B Miguel Sano has undergone two debridement procedures on his lower right Achilles since injured the heel during a team celebration in winter league back in January. His foot is in a boot and Sano isn’t likely to play ball for the Twins until May.

    4) Texas Rangers’ OF Nomar Mazara is the son of a high-ranking official in the Dominican Navy. He played against the Dodgers Sunday; LA broadcaster Nomar Garciaparra said that both his dad and Mazara’s dad are named Ramon, and Nomar, obviously, is Ramon spelled backwards.

    3) Clemson football coach Dabo Swinney took batting practice with the St Louis Cardinals over the weekend; in the clips I saw, he was making a lot of contact.

    2) New England Patriots had to replace five assistant coaches from last year, after five of last year’s assistants moved on to other NFL jobs. Lot of turnover for a winning team, as Tom Brady continues to make people he works with wealthier.

    1) Santa Anita racetrack in southern California suspended racing indefinitely after the 21st horse death there since the winter meet began December 26.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, March 6


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    MIAMI (29 - 34) at CHARLOTTE (29 - 34) - 3/6/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
    CHARLOTTE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
    MIAMI is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
    MIAMI is 232-185 ATS (+28.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    MIAMI is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
    MIAMI is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 62-77 ATS (-22.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 6-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 6-4 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DALLAS (27 - 36) at WASHINGTON (26 - 37) - 3/6/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    WASHINGTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    WASHINGTON is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    DALLAS is 36-27 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
    DALLAS is 56-42 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 518-440 ATS (+34.0 Units) in road games since 1996.
    DALLAS is 193-144 ATS (+34.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
    DALLAS is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    DALLAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    DALLAS is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    DALLAS is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    WASHINGTON is 26-35 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 32-49 ATS (-21.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    WASHINGTON is 137-175 ATS (-55.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    WASHINGTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    WASHINGTON is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 5-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 5-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MINNESOTA (30 - 34) at DETROIT (31 - 31) - 3/6/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 381-445 ATS (-108.5 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
    MINNESOTA is 70-100 ATS (-40.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
    MINNESOTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
    MINNESOTA is 51-37 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 5-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 5-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SAN ANTONIO (36 - 29) at ATLANTA (22 - 43) - 3/6/2019, 7:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 2-2 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CLEVELAND (16 - 48) at BROOKLYN (33 - 33) - 3/6/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 70-95 ATS (-34.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    BROOKLYN is 82-65 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after allowing 90 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 7-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 7-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    UTAH (36 - 27) at NEW ORLEANS (30 - 36) - 3/6/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 86-69 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 52-35 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 6-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 7-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    PHILADELPHIA (41 - 23) at CHICAGO (18 - 47) - 3/6/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 133-104 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 59-41 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 66-48 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 5-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 4-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NEW YORK (13 - 51) at PHOENIX (14 - 51) - 3/6/2019, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW YORK is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    NEW YORK is 20-29 ATS (-11.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    NEW YORK is 239-186 ATS (+34.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
    PHOENIX is 28-37 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season.
    PHOENIX is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    PHOENIX is 29-43 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 21-31 ATS (-13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    PHOENIX is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHOENIX is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    BOSTON (39 - 26) at SACRAMENTO (32 - 31) - 3/6/2019, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SACRAMENTO is 37-26 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    BOSTON is 92-69 ATS (+16.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 48-35 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 64-45 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SACRAMENTO is 2-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DENVER (42 - 21) at LA LAKERS (30 - 34) - 3/6/2019, 10:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 5-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, March 6


    Heat won three of their last four games; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five road games. Four of their last five games went over. Charlotte lost four of its last five games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Hornets won last two games with Miami after losing the previous six meetings; Heat is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits to Charlotte. Three of last four series games went over.

    Mavericks lost seven of their last eight games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six road games. Under is 20-7-3 in their last 30 games. Washington lost five of its last seven games; they covered three of last four home games. 11 of their last 12 games went over. Dallas won nine of last ten games with the Wizards; last three series games stayed under. Mavericks covered their last five visits to Washington.

    Timberwolves lost three of their last four games; they’re 4-5 vs spread in last nine road tilts, 3-4 vs spread on road if they played night before. Five of their last six games went over. Pistons won nine of their last 11 games; they covered their last five home games. Six of their last nine games went over. Detroit won/covered its last seven games with Minnesota; five of last six series games went over the total. Wolves covered once in their last four trips to the Motor City.

    San Antonio won/covered its last three games; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine road games. Last four Spur games stayed under. Atlanta lost 8 of last 12 games but is 7-0 vs spread since the All-Star break; Hawks covered five of their last six home games. Last four Atlanta games all went over. Spurs won eight of last ten games with the Hawks; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Atlanta. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

    Cavaliers are 5-3 in last eight games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight road games. Four of their last five games went over. Brooklyn lost three of its last four games; they’re 3-7-1 vs spread in last 11 home games. Over is 7-4 in their last eleven games. Cleveland won seven of its last ten games with the Nets; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Brooklyn. Over is 5-3-1 in last nine series games.

    Utah won four of last five games; hey covered six of last seven road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. New Orleans won/covered its last three games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six home games. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Road side won last five Jazz-Pelican games; Utah covered their last four visits to Bourbon Street. Seven of last ten series games went over.

    Philly won three of last four games; they covered five of last six road games, are 3-6 on road, if they played night before. Five of their last six games stayed under. Chicago lost its last two games; they’re 2-4-1 in last seven home games, 4-4 vs spread if they played night before. Over is 10-3 in their last 13 games. 76ers won last three games with the Bulls, by 14-1-19 points; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five trips to Chicago. Five of last seven series games went over.

    New York lost 22 of its last 25 games; they’re 2-3-1 vs spread in last six road games. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Phoenix won three of its last four games after an 0-17 skid; they covered three of last four one games. Under is 9-3 in their last dozen games. Knicks/Suns split their last eight meetings; New York is 2-3 vs spread in its last five visits to the desert. Four of last six series games went over the total.

    Celtics won by 33 in Oakland last nite; they’re 1-8 vs spread if they played night before. Boston is 2-5 since All-Star break; they’re 3-7-1 vs spread in last 11 road games. Last five Boston games stayed under. Kings lost three of last four games; they’re 11-3 vs spread in last 14 home games. Under is 4-1 in their last five games. Boston won five of its last six games with the Kings; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Sacramento. Three of last four series games stayed under.

    Denver lost its last three games; they’re 1-8-1 vs spread in last ten road games. Under is 8-0-1 in their last nine games. Lakers lost five of their last six games, are 4-5 vs spread in their last nine games at Staples. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Home side won last eight Nugget-Laker games; Denver is 0-4 vs spread in last four series games played here. Under is 3-1-1 in last five series games.

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    NBA

    Wednesday, March 6


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Miami Heat
    Miami is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
    Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 15 games when playing Charlotte
    Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 12 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games
    Charlotte is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games at home
    Charlotte is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Miami
    Charlotte is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Charlotte's last 15 games when playing Miami
    Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
    Charlotte is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 12 games when playing at home against Miami

    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
    Dallas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
    Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 13 games on the road
    Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
    Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
    Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Wizards
    Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 12 games
    Washington is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games at home
    Washington is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
    Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
    Washington is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
    Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas

    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
    Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
    Minnesota is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games on the road
    Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games
    Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
    Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    Cleveland is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
    Cleveland is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Cleveland is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
    Cleveland is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Brooklyn
    Cleveland is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing Brooklyn
    Cleveland is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Brooklyn is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
    Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
    Brooklyn is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing Cleveland
    Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Antonio's last 17 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
    San Antonio is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    San Antonio is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Antonio's last 11 games on the road
    San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
    San Antonio is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing Atlanta
    San Antonio is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    San Antonio is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Atlanta is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
    Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Atlanta is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games at home
    Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
    Atlanta is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games when playing San Antonio
    Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio
    Atlanta is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio

    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
    Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Chicago
    Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
    Philadelphia is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 15 games when playing Chicago
    Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Philadelphia is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago Bulls
    Chicago is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Chicago's last 13 games
    Chicago is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games at home
    Chicago is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games at home
    Chicago is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
    Chicago is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing Philadelphia
    Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Chicago's last 15 games when playing Philadelphia
    Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    Chicago is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

    Utah Jazz
    Utah is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
    Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Utah's last 10 games on the road
    Utah is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
    Utah is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of Utah's last 20 games when playing New Orleans
    Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    New Orleans is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
    New Orleans is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Utah
    New Orleans is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of New Orleans's last 20 games when playing Utah
    New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
    New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

    New York Knicks
    New York is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games
    New York is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New York's last 19 games
    New York is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 10 games on the road
    New York is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
    New York is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 10 games
    Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Phoenix is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 10 games at home
    Phoenix is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing New York
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing New York
    Phoenix is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against New York

    Boston Celtics
    Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
    Boston is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 10 games on the road
    Boston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Sacramento
    Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
    Boston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    Boston is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
    Sacramento is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
    Sacramento is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games at home
    Sacramento is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home
    Sacramento is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Boston
    Sacramento is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Boston
    Sacramento is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
    Sacramento is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Boston

    Denver Nuggets
    Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
    Denver is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
    Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games on the road
    Denver is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games when playing LA Lakers
    Denver is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 14 games when playing LA Lakers
    Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    LA Lakers is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
    LA Lakers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    LA Lakers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 18 of LA Lakers's last 24 games at home
    LA Lakers is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Denver
    LA Lakers is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 14 games when playing Denver
    LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
    LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, March 6



    Denver @ LA Lakers

    Game 545-546
    March 6, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Denver
    114.956
    LA Lakers
    122.577
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 7 1/2
    233
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 5 1/2
    222 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Lakers
    (+5 1/2); Over

    Boston @ Sacramento


    Game 543-544
    March 6, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    114.601
    Sacramento
    122.187
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Sacramento
    by 7 1/2
    224
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 1 1/2
    228 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Sacramento
    (+1 1/2); Under

    New York @ Phoenix


    Game 541-542
    March 6, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New York
    111.106
    Phoenix
    110.942
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New York
    Even
    224
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Phoenix
    by 4
    225 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    (+4); Under

    Philadelphia @ Chicago


    Game 539-540
    March 6, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    115.623
    Chicago
    113.189
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 2 1/2
    230
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 5 1/2
    225
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago
    (+5 1/2); Over

    Utah @ New Orleans


    Game 537-538
    March 6, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Utah
    116.964
    New Orleans
    109.274
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 7 1/2
    233
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 4
    231
    Dunkel Pick:
    Utah
    (-4); Over

    Cleveland @ Brooklyn


    Game 535-536
    March 6, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    107.642
    Brooklyn
    118.863
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Brooklyn
    by 11
    220
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Brooklyn
    by 8 1/2
    225 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (-8 1/2); Under

    San Antonio @ Atlanta


    Game 533-534
    March 6, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    127.371
    Atlanta
    118.706
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio
    by 8 1/2
    231
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Antonio
    by 6
    235 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (-6); Under

    Minnesota @ Detroit


    Game 531-532
    March 6, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    116.032
    Detroit
    124.097
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 8
    228
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    by 5 1/2
    223
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (-5 1/2); Over

    Dallas @ Washington


    Game 529-530
    March 6, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    109.812
    Washington
    113.171
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 3 1/2
    227
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 6
    231
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (+6); Under

    Miami @ Charlotte


    Game 527-528
    March 6, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    116.486
    Charlotte
    115.540
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami
    by 1
    223
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Charlotte
    by 3 1/2
    218
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (+3 1/2); Over

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    Wednesday's Tip Sheet
    Kevin Rogers

    Game of the Night: Nuggets (-5 ½, 227) at Lakers – 10:35 PM EST

    LeBron James has led his teams to the NBA Finals in each of the past eight seasons, which is one of the most impressive individual streaks in American professional sports. However, his Lakers (30-34 SU, 26-36-2 ATS) may not even qualify for the playoffs in his first season with the Purple and Gold. The Lakers suffered their third consecutive loss on Monday as they fell to the rival Clippers, 113-105 as 3 ½-point favorites.

    Since shocking the Celtics at the buzzer on February 7, Los Angeles owns a dreadful 2-7 SU/ATS mark, including five outright losses in the favorite role. The Lakers squandered an eight-point advantage after one quarter in Monday’s setback to the Clippers, while allowing 49% shooting from the floor. James led the Lakers with 27 points, while Rajon Rondo registered a triple-double with 24 points, 10 rebounds, and 12 assists as L.A. fell to 4-8 since James returned the lineup from his groin injury on January 31.

    The Nuggets (42-21 SU, 34-29 ATS) rode a five-game winning streak in mid-February, but Denver has gone backwards of late by dropping three straight contests. After melting down in Saturday’s 120-112 home loss to an unrested New Orleans squad as 13 ½-point favorites, the Nuggets fell behind by 19 points to the Spurs following 12 minutes of play on Monday.

    Denver rallied back in the fourth quarter, but were squeezed by San Antonio, 104-103. The Nuggets managed a cover as 1 ½-point underdogs, but Denver suffered its second losing streak of three games since the start of February in spite of 25 points from Jamal Murray. Denver attempted (and made) only four free throws, while cashing the UNDER for the sixth consecutive game.

    The Lakers will be without second-leading scorer Kyle Kuzma on Wednesday, as the second-year forward sprained his right ankle in Monday’s defeat. The home team has captured each of the first two matchups this season, as the Nuggets crushed the Lakers in the previous meeting in Denver, 117-85 in late November. Denver limited Los Angeles to 5-of-35 shooting from three-point range, while James was 0-of-4 from downtown. However, the Nuggets have lost in their last four trips to Staples Center since 2017.

    NoCal Sweep?

    For all the problems the Celtics (39-26 SU, 33-32 ATS) have endured on and off the court this season, Boston finally was able to show the country that it isn’t dead yet. The Celtics crushed the Warriors in the opener of their four-game road trip on Tuesday, 128-95 to easily cash as 6 ½-point underdogs. Boston dropped 73 points on the two-time defending champions in the first half, as Gordon Hayward came off the bench to score 30 points in its first road win since the All-Star break.

    The Celtics head from Oakland to Sacramento tonight to face the Kings (32-31 SU, 37-26 ATS) for the first time this season. Sacramento snapped a three-game skid on Monday as the Kings slipped past the awful Knicks, 115-108 as 11-point favorites. Although the Kings didn’t cover, they improved to 15-2 overall this season in the favorite role, but they are flipped to an underdog at Golden 1 Center.

    Since the start of December, the Kings have covered in seven of 11 opportunities as a home ‘dog, but have lost two of the past three home matchups with the Celtics. Boston has had its issues with no rest this season by compiling a 4-6 SU and 3-7 ATS record, including a 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS mark on the road.

    Beasts of the South-least

    The Southeast division race is the closest one in basketball, although not one team owns a winning record. The Magic fell out of a three-way tie for first alongside the Hornets and Heat after losing at Philadelphia on Tuesday. Charlotte (29-34 SU, 30-32-1 ATS) has lost four consecutive home games, while Miami (29-34 SU, 33-30 ATS) is fresh off a pair of home victories to pull into the top spot of the Southeast.

    Since winning five straight home games from mid-January through the start of February, the Hornets own a 1-5 record the last five contests at Spectrum Center. Four of the losses came to the Clippers, Warriors, Rockets, and Blazers, as the latest setback came in Saturday’s 118-108 defeat to Portland. Charlotte has allowed 117 points or more in four straight home contests, while the OVER has cashed in six of its past seven games overall.

    The Heat finally figured out the Hawks in Monday’s 114-113 home triumph to beat Atlanta for the first time in four tries this season. However, Miami failed to cash as 10-point favorites to end a three-game ATS hot streak. The Heat have dropped five of their past six road games since February 8, while losing the first two meetings with the Hornets back in October after sweeping the four-game series last season.

    Back to the Big Easy

    Things aren’t going on script for the Pelicans (30-36 SU, 33-32-1 ATS), who were supposed to fall apart after Anthony Davis demanded a trade out of New Orleans. Things have gone well for the Pelicans lately, who have covered five of six games, while capturing the final three games on their road trip, including outright underdog victories at Denver and Utah.

    New Orleans erased a nine-point halftime deficit on Monday to shock Utah, 115-112 to cash as 9 ½-point road ‘dogs, led by 30-point efforts from Jrue Holiday and Julius Randle. Davis played only 22 minutes and scored 15 points, but the Pelicans picked up three consecutive wins for only the second time since Thanksgiving.

    Now, the two teams flip venues and head to Smoothie King Center as the Jazz (36-27 SU, 32-29-2 ATS) try to bounce back after having their four-game winning streak snapped. Utah’s offense continues to score points, as they eclipsed the 111-point mark for the sixth consecutive game in Monday’s setback. However, Utah fell to 1-3 ATS the last four games since putting together a 5-0 ATS run earlier in February.

    The Jazz have seen plenty of success in their former home of New Orleans by winning in five straight visits since 2016, including a 132-111 blowout in late October as six-point favorites. However, Davis didn’t suit up in that contest, as the Jazz shot 52% from the floor led by Ricky Rubio’s 28 points as the OVER is 5-0 in the past five matchups in the Big Easy.

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    Hoop Trends - Wednesday
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Kings are 14-0 ATS (+7.89 ppg) at home with less than two days rest after they had assists on at least 70 percent of their field goals

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Heat are 0-11 ATS (-13.18 ppg) with rest after a win as a home favorite that was tied at the end of the third quarter.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Nets are 13-0 OU (+12.92 ppg) as a favorite off a double-digit win as a favorite when they are facing a team that is averaging less than six refereed turnovers per game.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Pistons are 0-15 OU (-12.03 ppg) at home with more than one day of rest off a home game in which they rebounded less than 20% of their own misses.

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    Wednesday's Top Action
    Tom Wilkinson

    NBA Game Preview - 76ers at Bulls

    The Philadelphia 76ers are road favorites on Wednesday night, as they visit the Chicago Bulls in a game that can be seen on ESPN. The 76ers are battling for third place in the Eastern Conference with Indiana, while the Bulls are out of playoff contention.

    Even though Chicago is not going to make the playoffs they have been playing pretty well. Both teams will be playing with no rest on Wednesday, as the 76ers were home against Orlando on Tuesday, while the Bulls were at Indiana. Let’s look at Wednesday’s game on ESPN and NBA picks.

    Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls
    Date and Time: Wednesday, March 6, 2019, 8:00 p.m. ET
    Location: United Center, Chicago, IL
    NBA Odds: 76ers -5, O/U 227
    76ers vs. Bulls TV Coverage: ESPN

    The 76ers played pretty well last week without Joel Embiid and they will not have him for this game on Wednesday night. Embiid missed Tuesday’s game against Orlando, but he did practice on Monday. Head coach Brett Brown didn’t give an indication on whether Embiid would play, but Embiid said on Saturday that he expects to return this week. Embiid leads the 76ers at 27.3 points per game, so his presence is critical. The most likely scenario is that the 76ers hold Embiid out until Friday’s game against Houston, but noting is set in stone.

    One player who has stepped up with Embiid out of the lineup is Ben Simmons. He was names Eastern Conference Player of the Week. In the last five games, Simmons is averaging 20 points, 10.8 rebounds and 7.6 assists. He had back-to-back triple-doubles against the Pelicans and Warriors.

    Philadelphia is 13-17 ATS on the road, with 15 games going over and 15 going under. They are averaging about 115 points per game and giving up about 112 per contest.

    The Bulls have not been a good home team this season, as they are just 12-20 ATS, with 13 games going over, 18 going under, with one push. They are averaging 105 points per game and giving up just over 112 per contest.

    Chicago has actually played pretty well of late, as they had won six of their last ten before Tuesday’s game at Indiana. The Bulls have been much better with Otto Porter Jr. in the lineup. They were 6-2 in the first eight games he played. Keep in mind that before the All-Star break the Bulls had the worst offensive rating in the league. Since getting Porter they have been greatly improved.

    Chicago is not going to make the playoffs, but they will have an impact, as 11 of their last 17 games are against teams either in the playoffs or contending for the playoffs.

    Key Stats

    The 76ers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. The 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Central. The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Atlantic. The Bulls are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games. The Over is 11-2 in the 76ers last 13 games playing with no rest. The Over is 4-0 in the Bulls last 4 vs. the Atlantic. The Over is 5-2 in the Bulls last 7 home games. The Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.

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    NBA Game Preview - Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers
    Kyle Markus

    The Los Angeles Lakers’ playoff chances are slip-sliding away. Everyone expected this team to turn it on after the All-Star Break, but the struggles have continued even with a healthy LeBron James leading the way. Los Angeles will need to be nearly perfect down the stretch to have a shot at the postseason, which will begin with a must-win game at home next time out against the Denver Nuggets.

    Denver has been much better than expected this season and currently sits as the No. 2 seed in the West. The Nuggets may not have the same star power as Los Angeles but it has consistently been the better team this season.

    This could be a competitive showdown as Denver is the superior team while the Lakers have the home court advantage in NBA betting lines.

    This NBA basketball game between the Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers will be held at the Staples Center in Los Angeles, California at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 6th, 2019. The game will be nationally televised on ESPN.

    Odds Analysis

    The Nuggets are 42-21 on the season. They have lost three in a row, and while catching the Warriors won’t be easy, Denver is in good shape to finish with the second-best record in the conference.

    The Lakers are 30-34 on the season. They have now dropped three straight games and seven of their past 10 to sink out of playoff contention. Los Angeles is 18-14 at home this year and badly needs to break out of its funk and capture the win.

    Injury Report

    Brandon Ingram -- The Lakers forward missed Monday’s game against the Clippers with a shoulder injury. The 21-year-old plays a big role for this Los Angeles team so any time away is costly, especially as the Lakers try to make an unlikely push for the playoffs.

    Ingram is coming off a really strong performance in February where he averaged 21.3 points and 5.8 rebounds. The severity of the injury is not yet known, but keep an eye on his availability for this one. James remains one of the most dominant players in the NBA but the supporting cast is lacking, especially with Lonzo Ball and now Ingram battling injuries. Kyle Kuzma left the team’s game on Monday with an ankle injury, so his status is also one to watch.

    Key Stat

    3. That’s the number of games the Nuggets are ahead of the Thunder and Blazers in the Western Conference standings. Few expected this team to be in contention in the West this year but Denver has completely surpassed expectations.

    Denver doesn’t have the players with the same cachet as some of the others near the top of the heap, and in a star-driven league, it will be interesting to see how this team performs in the postseason. For now, everything is going well, and the Nuggets would like to pick up this key road win to hold off some of the other West powers aiming to track them down in the standings.

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    NBA's Top ATS Teams:

    1. Bucks 37-24-3 ATS
    2. Kings 37-26 ATS
    3. Blazers 37-27 ATS
    4. Clippers 38-28 ATS
    5. Mavs 35-27-1 ATS
    6. Nets 36-30 ATS
    7. Nuggets 34-29 ATS
    8. Magic 35-30-1 ATS


    NBA's Worst ATS Teams:

    30. Warriors 25-38-1 ATS
    29. Lakers 26-36-2 ATS
    28. Raptors 27-38 ATS
    27. Knicks 27-36-1 ATS
    26. Suns 28-37 ATS
    25. Wizards 28-35 ATS
    24. Bulls 29-35-1 ATS
    23. Grizzlies 30-36 ATS

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    NBA's Top OVER Teams (sorted by Over %):

    1. Wizards 40-23
    2. Spurs 38-26-1
    3. Hawks 37-28
    4. Timberwolves 36-28
    5. Hornets30 35-27-1
    t6. Raptors 35-30
    t6. Celtics 35-30
    t8. Nets 35-31
    t8. Pelicans 35-31


    NBA's Top UNDER Teams (based on Under %):

    1. Lakers 38-25-1
    2. Grizzlies 39-26-1
    3. Magic 37-29
    4. Mavs 35-27-1
    t5. Suns 36-29
    t5. Pacers 36-29
    7. Bulls 34-29-2
    8. Nuggets 34-28-1

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    By: Monique Vág



    Forcing perimeter shots

    The Heat have been one of the best teams at defending opposing centers allowing only 19.8 points, 14.1 rebounds, and 3.1 assists per game. The Heat also rank third in the Association in opponent points in the paint, surrendering only 42.8 a game, and are coming off a three-game stretch allowing only 38.

    That could mean trouble for the Hornets’ center Cody Zeller in tonight’s matchup. Look for him to be held in check and take Under his points, rebounds, assists total of 21.5.


    Lighting up the scoreboard

    The Mavericks have lost eight of their last 10 games, and head out on the road to Washington to take on a Wizards team who have also been struggling, losing seven of their most recent 10. The Mavs have owned the head-to-head meetings, winning nine of the most recent 10 matchups, and five straight on the road.

    The Wizards are tied for third in points per game at home averaging 118.2 and give up almost as many defensively with the Wizards ranking 29th in opponent points per game. Look for a high scoring shootout today and take the game total Over 233.5.


    Clipping wings

    After last night’s big win versus the Thunder, the Timberwolves travel to Detroit to take on a Pistons team who are winners of eight of their last 10.

    The Pistons have allowed the lowest points per game to opposing small forwards allowing 17.6 points on 43 percent shooting. Although Minnesota’s Andrew Wiggins is averaging right around that number in the regular season, his field goal percentage is way down from his career numbers, and almost four percent lower than last year. Back Under his point total today of 17.5.


    Getting a much-needed road “W”

    The Spurs have struggled on the road this season and have lost six of the most recent eight away from home. Today, they take on a Hawks team who own a 3-20 record over their most recent 23 versus the Spurs.

    The Hawks will once again be short handed with Omari Spellman and Miles Plumlee out, and Dewayne Dedmon listed as doubtful. Look for San Antonio to take care of business and improve on their playoff positioning today as only three wins separate eighth from third in the Western Conference. Back San Antonio to cover as 6-point road favorites.


    Bouncing back in a big way

    Utah get a quick opportunity at redemption against the Pelicans after losing at home Monday night 115-112. Utah have won eight of the last 10 versus New Orleans and five straight road contests.

    Last time these two teams met, the Jazz gave up 62 points in the paint, which is very uncharacteristic as they only surrender an average of 47.2. Look for the Jazz to guard the painted area better this time around, and force tough perimeter shots, as the Pelicans are not a good team from beyond the arc. Take Utah to cover the spread as 4-point road favorites.

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