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Thread: Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/5

  1. #1
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    Default Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/5

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, March 5

    Good Luck on day # 64 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    — Virginia 79, Syracuse 53— Cavaliers went into a dome, made 18-25 on the arc. Wow.

    — NJIT 83, Florida Gulf Coast 78— Minor upset in Atlantic Sun tourney.

    — Heat 114, Hawks 113— Dwyane Wade scored 23 points off the bench.

    — Spurs 104, Nuggets 103— San Antonio leads #9 seed Sacramento by three games.

    — Grad transfer QB Nick Starkel jumps from Texas A&M to Arkansas.

    — Looks like Rams, Cowboys are playing a preseason game in Hawai’i this summer.


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

    13) Stephen Zimmerman is 6-foot-11 and 22 years old; he plays an average of 19.8 mpg for the Knicks’ G-League team and scores 8.2 ppg. He’s played in 85 G-League games over three years.

    Here’s the thing; Mr Zimmerman was the 41st player taken in the 2016 NBA Draft; if he had stayed in college, he would be a senior at UNLV right now. Would he be better off had he stayed in school? I don’t know the answer to this question, but he is playing only 19.8 mpg now, it doesn’t seem like he is that close to getting a call back to the NBA.

    You stay in college, you work harder on your game in practices, plus you can get a college degree that could prove useful if the basketball thing doesn’t work out.

    12) I look at his free throw percentage and it has been right around 62% for all three of his years in the G-League, so in three years as a pro, he hasn’t improved that part of his game. He is grabbing 8.9 rebounds a game, so that number has improved, but he’s also played for three teams in three years. If the lowly Knicks don’t bring him up, then what?

    Kids have to decide between staying in college and practicing more, as opposed to going pro, getting paid and playing more games while practicing less, but it is a cruel world out there, and if you’re not ready, teams move on pretty quickly. Hopefully Zimmerman will keep improving and find his way back to the NBA.

    11) Was pretty sad listening to a 2:16 clip of NBA commish Adam Silver talking about so many NBA players being genuinely unhappy, because they’re isolated in the world.

    Sounds like your basic first-world problem, but if you’re in your 20’s and banking a 7 or 8-figure income and you ain’t happy, I’m not sure how you fix that. I’m approaching 60 years old and am a retired government employee, but I’m pretty damn happy despite not being rich.

    Maybe part of the solution for future kids is that staying in college longer would give you friendships that could propel you into adulthood with a support system, I’m not really sure, but I am pretty adamant that more kids would be better off staying in school longer, to grow up more.

    10) Paul Goldschmidt doesn’t look right wearing a Cardinals’ uniform.

    9) Sounds like Nick Foles is headed to the Jacksonville Jaguars next season.

    8) ESPN found an excellent new basketball analyst when it hired former NBA player Caron Butler, who is at ease behind the mike- he is fun to listen to.

    7) ESPN.com ran an article that is highly critical of Phoenix Suns’ owner Robert Sarver. Since the departure of coach Mike D’Antoni from the Suns in 2008, Phoenix has had four general managers and seven head coaches, not exactly a blueprint for success.

    6) An 85-year old guy in Texas ran a mile this weekend in 7 minutes, 47 seconds. At age 85.

    Seriously, if I drive 10 miles in my car, I’m looking for the drive-thru window at a Wendy’s. Running is no longer an option, not that it ever was. Kudos to this gentleman, who ran college track for Texas before I was born, back in the 50’s.

    5) In the AAF over the weekend, on its first drive of the game, San Antonio ran 21 plays for 78 yards on a drive that took 9:34, but they kicked a FG, didn’t score a TD. Not sure I’ve ever seen that before, a 21-play drive, and for it not to end in a TD or a turnover, thats weird, especially since it was a 38-yard FG, they weren’t even that close to the goal line.

    4) Announced attendance at the four AAF games this past weekend:
    — San Diego @ Memphis: 13,621
    — Orlando @ Salt Lake City: 9,302 (was snowing there)
    — San Antonio @ Birmingham: 6,539
    — Atlanta @ Arizona: 8,865

    No idea what their attendance goals are, or if these numbers are good or bad, but they get 90,000 in Tuscaloosa for Alabama’s spring game. 6,539 in Birmingham can’t be good.

    3) Generally speaking, an agent’s take is 3% of the athlete’s salary, so Scott Boras’ take from the Bryce Harper bonanza figures to be $9.9M.

    2) Phillies, by the way, sold 200,000 game tickets the day they announced the Harper signing.

    1) The ruckus after the Nevada-Utah State game Saturday apparently was related to students storming the court after the game ended. Court storming needs to be stopped, before something really bad happens, with a player slugging someone or a huge brawl breaking out.

  3. #3
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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, March 5



    Illinois-Chicago @ Green Bay

    Game 649-650
    March 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Illinois-Chicago
    51.399
    Green Bay
    49.966
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Illinois-Chicago
    by 1 1/2
    156
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Green Bay
    by 3
    154
    Dunkel Pick:
    Illinois-Chicago
    (+3); Over

    IUPUI @ Wright State

    Game 647-648
    March 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    IUPUI
    49.383
    Wright State
    58.826
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Wright State
    by 9 1/2
    138
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Wright State
    by 8
    141
    Dunkel Pick:
    Wright State
    (-8); Under

    Nevada @ Air Force

    Game 645-646
    March 5, 2019 @ 11:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Nevada
    65.897
    Air Force
    45.912
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Nevada
    by 20
    154
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Nevada
    by 12 1/2
    144
    Dunkel Pick:
    Nevada
    (-12 1/2); Over

    Auburn @ Alabama

    Game 643-644
    March 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Auburn
    67.475
    Alabama
    68.474
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Alabama
    by 1
    139
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Auburn
    by 2 1/2
    145
    Dunkel Pick:
    Alabama
    (+2 1/2); Under

    Mississippi State @ Tennessee

    Game 641-642
    March 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Mississippi State
    71.311
    Tennessee
    76.395
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tennessee
    by 5
    151
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tennessee
    by 8
    148
    Dunkel Pick:
    Mississippi State
    (+8); Over

    Kentucky @ Ole Miss

    Game 639-640
    March 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Kentucky
    70.032
    Ole Miss
    70.266
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ole Miss
    Even
    136
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kentucky
    by 5 1/2
    141
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ole Miss
    (+5 1/2); Under

    East Carolina @ Wichita State

    Game 637-638
    March 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    East Carolina
    49.972
    Wichita State
    61.446
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Wichita State
    by 11 1/2
    157
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Wichita State
    by 14 1/2
    141 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    East Carolina
    (+14 1/2); Over

    Utah State @ Colorado State

    Game 635-636
    March 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Utah State
    65.849
    Colorado State
    56.373
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah State
    by 9 1/2
    143
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah State
    by 6 1/2
    145
    Dunkel Pick:
    Utah State
    (-6 1/2); Under

    Kansas @ Oklahoma

    Game 633-634
    March 5, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Kansas
    71.638
    Oklahoma
    66.937
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kansas
    by 4 1/2
    146
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kansas
    by 1
    142
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kansas
    (-1); Over

    North Carolina @ Boston College

    Game 631-632
    March 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    North Carolina
    81.111
    Boston College
    62.201
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    North Carolina
    by 19
    166
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    North Carolina
    by 10 1/2
    157
    Dunkel Pick:
    North Carolina
    (-10 1/2); Over

    Purdue @ Minnesota

    Game 629-630
    March 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Purdue
    75.868
    Minnesota
    65.246
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Purdue
    by 10 1/2
    131
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Purdue
    by 5
    140
    Dunkel Pick:
    Purdue
    (-5); Under

    Pittsburgh @ Miami-FL

    Game 627-628
    March 5, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pittsburgh
    57.842
    Miami-FL
    61.464
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami-FL
    by 3 1/2
    133
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami-FL
    by 6 1/2
    136
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (+6 1/2); Under

    VA-Commonwealth @ George Mason

    Game 625-626
    March 5, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    VA-Commonwealth
    56.992
    George Mason
    56.222
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    VA-Commonwealth
    by 1
    145
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    VA-Commonwealth
    by 5
    138
    Dunkel Pick:
    George Mason
    (+5); Over

    South Carolina @ Texas A&M

    Game 623-624
    March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    South Carolina
    58.119
    Texas A&M
    64.993
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Texas A&M
    by 7
    153
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Texas A&M
    by 4 1/2
    145
    Dunkel Pick:
    Texas A&M
    (-4 1/2); Over

    Bowling Green @ Akron

    Game 621-622
    March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Bowling Green
    51.131
    Akron
    63.119
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Akron
    by 12
    128
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Akron
    by 3
    137
    Dunkel Pick:
    Akron
    (-3); Under

    Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan

    Game 619-620
    March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Northern Illinois
    51.764
    Central Michigan
    50.319
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Northern Illinois
    by 1 1/2
    149
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Central Michigan
    by 4 1/2
    150 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Northern Illinois
    (+4 1/2); Under

    Ball State @ Eastern Michigan

    Game 617-618
    March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ball State
    53.579
    Eastern Michigan
    48.070
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ball State
    by 5 1/2
    141
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Eastern Michigan
    by 1 1/2
    135
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ball State
    (+1 1/2); Over

    Western Michigan @ Toledo

    Game 615-616
    March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Western Michigan
    44.257
    Toledo
    62.622
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toledo
    by 18 1/2
    140
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toledo
    by 15 1/2
    143
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toledo
    (-15 1/2); Under

    Buffalo @ Ohio

    Game 613-614
    March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Buffalo
    70.246
    Ohio
    56.256
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Buffalo
    by 14
    157
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Buffalo
    by 11 1/2
    154
    Dunkel Pick:
    Buffalo
    (-11 1/2); Over

    Kent State @ Miami-OH

    Game 611-612
    March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Kent State
    56.888
    Miami-OH
    55.083
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kent State
    by 2
    141
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami-OH
    by 4
    140
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kent State
    (+4); Over

    Virginia Tech @ Florida State

    Game 609-610
    March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Virginia Tech
    71.984
    Florida State
    72.517
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Florida State
    by 1
    130
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Florida State
    by 4 1/2
    136
    Dunkel Pick:
    Virginia Tech
    (+4 1/2); Under

    Nebraska @ Michigan State

    Game 607-608
    March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Nebraska
    60.209
    Michigan State
    76.419
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Michigan State
    by 16
    131
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Michigan State
    by 13 1/2
    139
    Dunkel Pick:
    Michigan State
    (-13 1/2); Under

    Wake Forest @ Duke

    Game 605-606
    March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Wake Forest
    52.441
    Duke
    80.802
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Duke
    by 28 1/2
    162
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Duke
    by 26 1/2
    154
    Dunkel Pick:
    Duke
    (-26 1/2); Over

    Rhode Island @ St Joseph's

    Game 603-604
    March 5, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Rhode Island
    55.382
    St Joseph's
    54.560
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Rhode Island
    by 1
    140
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    St Joseph's
    by 1 1/2
    139
    Dunkel Pick:
    Rhode Island
    (+1 1/2); Over

    Xavier @ Butler

    Game 601-602
    March 5, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Xavier
    67.666
    Butler
    62.357
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Xavier
    by 5 1/2
    136
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Butler
    by 4
    138
    Dunkel Pick:
    Xavier
    (+4); Under

  4. #4
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    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, March 5


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    XAVIER (16 - 13) at BUTLER (15 - 14) - 3/5/2019, 6:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BUTLER is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
    XAVIER is 252-201 ATS (+30.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    XAVIER is 4-2 against the spread versus BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
    XAVIER is 4-2 straight up against BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    RHODE ISLAND (14 - 14) at ST JOSEPHS (13 - 16) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    RHODE ISLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    ST JOSEPHS is 2-2 against the spread versus RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
    RHODE ISLAND is 3-1 straight up against ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    WAKE FOREST (11 - 17) at DUKE (25 - 4) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WAKE FOREST is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    WAKE FOREST is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    WAKE FOREST is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    WAKE FOREST is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    WAKE FOREST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    WAKE FOREST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    WAKE FOREST is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    WAKE FOREST is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
    WAKE FOREST is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    WAKE FOREST is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
    WAKE FOREST is 12-30 ATS (-21.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    WAKE FOREST is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
    DUKE is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    DUKE is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    DUKE is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    DUKE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 2 seasons.
    DUKE is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
    DUKE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
    DUKE is 227-168 ATS (+42.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
    DUKE is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    DUKE is 3-2 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
    DUKE is 5-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    NEBRASKA (15 - 14) at MICHIGAN ST (23 - 6) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEBRASKA is 99-139 ATS (-53.9 Units) in road games since 1997.
    NEBRASKA is 99-139 ATS (-53.9 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
    NEBRASKA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    NEBRASKA is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
    NEBRASKA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
    NEBRASKA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
    NEBRASKA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 106-144 ATS (-52.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    NEBRASKA is 62-89 ATS (-35.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    MICHIGAN ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
    MICHIGAN ST is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    MICHIGAN ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    NEBRASKA is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEBRASKA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    MICHIGAN ST is 4-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
    MICHIGAN ST is 4-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    VIRGINIA TECH (22 - 6) at FLORIDA ST (23 - 6) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FLORIDA ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    FLORIDA ST is 2-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
    FLORIDA ST is 3-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    KENT ST (20 - 9) at MIAMI OHIO (15 - 14) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI OHIO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI OHIO is 3-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
    KENT ST is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    BUFFALO (26 - 3) at OHIO U (13 - 15) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OHIO U is 153-118 ATS (+23.2 Units) in all home games since 1997.
    OHIO U is 153-118 ATS (+23.2 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
    OHIO U is 89-59 ATS (+24.1 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
    OHIO U is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
    OHIO U is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
    OHIO U is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    OHIO U is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    BUFFALO is 3-2 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
    BUFFALO is 4-1 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    W MICHIGAN (8 - 21) at TOLEDO (23 - 6) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    W MICHIGAN is 41-62 ATS (-27.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    W MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
    TOLEDO is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    TOLEDO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    TOLEDO is 3-2 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    TOLEDO is 3-2 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    BALL ST (15 - 14) at E MICHIGAN (14 - 15) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BALL ST is 38-61 ATS (-29.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
    BALL ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    BALL ST is 26-47 ATS (-25.7 Units) in March games since 1997.
    BALL ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a conference game this season.
    BALL ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 125-166 ATS (-57.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    BALL ST is 3-2 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    BALL ST is 3-2 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    N ILLINOIS (13 - 16) at C MICHIGAN (20 - 9) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    C MICHIGAN is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    C MICHIGAN is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    C MICHIGAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    C MICHIGAN is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    C MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
    N ILLINOIS is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
    N ILLINOIS is 96-64 ATS (+25.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    N ILLINOIS is 53-28 ATS (+22.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    C MICHIGAN is 3-2 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
    C MICHIGAN is 3-2 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    BOWLING GREEN (20 - 9) at AKRON (15 - 14) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOWLING GREEN is 23-48 ATS (-29.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
    BOWLING GREEN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOWLING GREEN is 3-2 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
    AKRON is 3-2 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    S CAROLINA (14 - 15) at TEXAS A&M (13 - 15) - 3/5/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TEXAS A&M is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEXAS A&M is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEXAS A&M is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    S CAROLINA is 2-1 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
    S CAROLINA is 2-1 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    VA COMMONWEALTH (23 - 6) at GEORGE MASON (16 - 13) - 3/5/2019, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GEORGE MASON is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
    VA COMMONWEALTH is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
    VA COMMONWEALTH is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
    VA COMMONWEALTH is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    GEORGE MASON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
    GEORGE MASON is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    VA COMMONWEALTH is 4-2 against the spread versus GEORGE MASON over the last 3 seasons
    VA COMMONWEALTH is 5-1 straight up against GEORGE MASON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    PITTSBURGH (12 - 17) at MIAMI (12 - 16) - 3/5/2019, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PITTSBURGH is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road games this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
    MIAMI is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 20-33 ATS (-16.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    MIAMI is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 2-1 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    PURDUE (22 - 7) at MINNESOTA (18 - 11) - 3/5/2019, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PURDUE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
    PURDUE is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    N CAROLINA (24 - 5) at BOSTON COLLEGE (14 - 14) - 3/5/2019, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON COLLEGE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    N CAROLINA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    N CAROLINA is 323-261 ATS (+35.9 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
    N CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 155 to 159.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    N CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents this season.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    KANSAS (22 - 7) at OKLAHOMA (18 - 11) - 3/5/2019, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    KANSAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games this season.
    KANSAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
    OKLAHOMA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games this season.
    OKLAHOMA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
    OKLAHOMA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
    OKLAHOMA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    OKLAHOMA is 4-1 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
    KANSAS is 4-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    UTAH ST (24 - 6) at COLORADO ST (12 - 17) - 3/5/2019, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTAH ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more this season.
    COLORADO ST is 135-173 ATS (-55.3 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
    COLORADO ST is 174-217 ATS (-64.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLORADO ST is 4-1 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
    COLORADO ST is 3-2 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    E CAROLINA (10 - 18) at WICHITA ST (15 - 13) - 3/5/2019, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    E CAROLINA is 164-211 ATS (-68.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
    E CAROLINA is 156-199 ATS (-62.9 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
    E CAROLINA is 104-138 ATS (-47.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
    E CAROLINA is 83-111 ATS (-39.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    WICHITA ST is 228-185 ATS (+24.5 Units) as a favorite since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    WICHITA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    WICHITA ST is 2-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    KENTUCKY (24 - 5) at OLE MISS (19 - 10) - 3/5/2019, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OLE MISS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games this season.
    OLE MISS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
    OLE MISS is 95-66 ATS (+22.4 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
    OLE MISS is 69-43 ATS (+21.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
    OLE MISS is 62-35 ATS (+23.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
    KENTUCKY is 91-62 ATS (+22.8 Units) in March games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    KENTUCKY is 2-0 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
    KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    MISSISSIPPI ST (21 - 8) at TENNESSEE (26 - 3) - 3/5/2019, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TENNESSEE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
    TENNESSEE is 129-89 ATS (+31.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    TENNESSEE is 2-2 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
    TENNESSEE is 3-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    AUBURN (20 - 9) at ALABAMA (17 - 12) - 3/5/2019, 9:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    AUBURN is 4-2 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
    AUBURN is 4-2 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    NEVADA (26 - 3) at AIR FORCE (13 - 15) - 3/5/2019, 11:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    AIR FORCE is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    NEVADA is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEVADA is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEVADA is 50-32 ATS (+14.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    NEVADA is 141-106 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road games since 1997.
    NEVADA is 141-106 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
    NEVADA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    AIR FORCE is 3-1 against the spread versus NEVADA over the last 3 seasons
    NEVADA is 4-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    IUPUI (16 - 15) at WRIGHT ST (19 - 12) - 3/5/2019, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    IUPUI is 72-98 ATS (-35.8 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
    WRIGHT ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all home games this season.
    WRIGHT ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in home lined games this season.
    WRIGHT ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games in all tournament games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    IUPUI is 2-1 against the spread versus WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
    WRIGHT ST is 3-1 straight up against IUPUI over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    IL-CHICAGO (16 - 15) at WI-GREEN BAY (16 - 15) - 3/5/2019, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    IL-CHICAGO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
    IL-CHICAGO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    IL-CHICAGO is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
    IL-CHICAGO is 51-29 ATS (+19.1 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    IL-CHICAGO is 4-3 against the spread versus WI-GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
    WI-GREEN BAY is 4-3 straight up against IL-CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
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    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, March 5


    Xavier won its last five games, is 8-8 in Big East- they won their last three road games. Musketeers beat Butler 70-69 at home Jan 13, after trailing by 10 with 4:03 left in game. Butler lost four of its last five games; they’re 6-10 in big East, losing three of last five home games. Big East teams are shooting 53.4% inside arc vs Butler this year. Musketeers are 10-3 vs Butler in Big East meetings, splitting last four visits to Hinkle. Xavier is 7-4 in its last 11 games as a road underdog, 4-3 this year; Butler is 17-15 in its last 32 games as a home favorite, 3-5 this year.

    Florida State won 10 of its last 11 games, including six in row at home; they’re 11-5 in ACC, 7-1 at home, with a loss to Duke. Virginia Tech won four of its last five games, is 11-5 in ACC, winning four of last five road games. FSU won its last three games with Tech, by 15-6-9 points; Hokies lost their last four visits to FSU, by 1-11-20-18 points. Tech is 12-13-1 in its last 26 games as a road underdog, 1-3 this year; Seminoles are 15-8-1 in last 24 games as a home favorite, 3-4 this year. Tech PG Robinson missed the last eight games; they need him back for NCAA’s.

    VCU won its last ten games; they’re 14-2 in A-14, winning their last five road games. Rams are forcing turnovers 23.3% of time in A-14 games. George Mason is 3-5 in its last eight games, but they’ve won five of last six home games. Mason was 2-19 on arc in 79-63 loss at VCU Feb 2, game that was tied with 10:40 left; Rams won 11 of last 13 series games- they won last two visits to Fairfax, by 9-13 points. Under Rhoades, VCU is 6-4 vs spread as a road favorite, 2-2 this year; 11-18 in its last 29 games as a home dog, 0-0 this year.

    Purdue won five in row, 13 of last 14 games; they’re 15-3 in big 14, winning five of last six road games. Minnesota lost six of its last eight games; they’re 8-10 in Big 14, splitting last four home games. Purdue beat Minnesota 73-63 at home Feb 3, in brickfest where teams combined to go 7-40 on arc; Boilermakers won six of last eight series games, winning last two visits here, by 4-34 points. Purdue is 8-13 in its last 21 games as a road favorite, 3-2 this year; Gophers are 6-8 in last 14 games as a home underdog, 1-1 this year.

    North Carolina won five in row, 12 of last 13 games; they’re 14-2 in ACC, winning all eight road games. Tar Heels are shooting 38.2% on arc in league games. Boston College is 5-11 in ACC but they won last three home games, with win over Louisville. Two of Eagles’ last three losses came in OT. UNC won its last 11 games with BC (2-3-1 vs spread in last six), winning last five visits to Boston by 32-12-11-3-8 points. UNC is 18-13 in its last 31 games as a road favorite, 4-1 this year; Eagles are 7-3 in last 10 games as a home underdog, 3-2 this year.

    Kansas won five of last six games overall but lost five of last seven road games. Jayhawks are 11-5 in Big X; they’re turning ball over 20.3% of time in league games. Oklahoma won three of last four games as they struggle to stay on bubble- they’re 6-10 in Big X, splitting their eight home games. Kansas beat Oklahoma 70-63 at home Jan 2; they won six of last seven series games. Teams split last six meetings in Norman. Jayhawks are 2-6 vs spread on road in Big X this year; Oklahoma is 13-12-1 in last 26 home games, 3-5 this year.

    Utah State made 12-25 on arc, beat Colorado State 87-72 at home Jan 19; Aggies are 7-4 in last 11 series games, winning two of last three visits to Moby Arena. USU won six in row, 13 of last 14 games; they’re 14-3 in MW, winning six of last seven road games. CSU won three of last four games but lost three of last four home games; Aggie win clinches at least tie for first in Mountain West. Aggies are 4-3 vs spread this year as a Mountain West road favorite; Rams 3-8-1 in last dozen games as a home underdog, 2-3 this year.

    Kentucky is 4-2 in its last six games after starting out 21-3; Wildcats are 13-3 in SEC, 6-2 on road, losing at Alabama/Tennessee. Ole Miss lost three of its last four games; their last three games were all decided by either 1 or 2 points. Rebels are 9-7 in SEC; they split their last six home games. Kentucky won its last nine games with Ole Miss, winning last three visits to Oxford, 13-14-23 points. Wildcats are 7-8-1 in last 16 games as a road favorite, 3-2-1 this year; Ole Miss is 5-4 in last nine games as a home underdog, 2-0 this year.

    Mississippi State won five of its last six games; they’re 9-7 in SEC, winning three of last four road games (lost by 5 at Auburn). Tennessee is 3-2 in last five games after starting 11-2; they won all eight SEC home games. Vols are shooting 55.9% inside arc in conference games. Tennessee won four of last five games with MSU; teams split last four meetings here. Under Howland, Bulldogs are 13-15-2 as an SEC road underdog, 1-2-1 this year; under Barnes, Tennessee is 13-12-1 as a home favorite, 4-4 this year.

    Auburn made 13-22 on arc, forced 21 turnovers (+8), waxed Alabama 84-63 at home Feb 2; Tigers are 5-3 in last eight series games, but they’ve lost 10 of last 11 games in Tuscaloosa. Auburn won four of its last five games; they’re 9-7 in SEC, 3-5 on road- they’re shooting 40.1% on arc in SEC games. Bama lost four of its last six games; they’re 8-8 in SEC, 5-3 at home. Auburn is 7-5 in its last dozen games as a road favorite, 2-3 this year; under Johnson, Crimson Tide is 5-5 vs spread as a home underdog, 1-1 this year.

    Nevada star Caroline (hand) is ?able here. Wolf Pack lost at Utah State Saturday, will probably be #2 seed in MW tourney. Air Force won its last three games, is 8-8 in MW, 5-3 at home. Nevada forced 21 turnovers (+8), beat Air Force 67-52 at home Jan 19- Falcons led 24-20 at half- teams combined to go 11-49 on arc. Nevada won six in row, 10 of last 12 series games, winning last three visits here, by 23-19-11 points. Wolf Pack is 13-9 in its last 22 games as a road favorite, 4-4 this year; Air Force is 8-3 in last 11 games as a home underdog, 3-2- this year.

    Horizon Conference tourney
    Wright State won seven of last eight games, tied for 1st in Horizon; they won their last eight home games- they force turnovers 20.5% of time in Horizon tilts. IUPUI lost six of its last eight games; they lost their last four road games, but by 2-3-2-11 points. Wright beat IUPUI twice this year, by 8-5 points; Jaguars were 10-44 on arc in those two games. Raiders are 7-2 in this event last three years, winning it LY. Wright is 3-1 vs IUPUI in Horizon play. Last seven years, Jaguars are 1-7 in whatever conference tournament they were in.

    Green Bay beat Ill-Chicago twice this year, by 1-5 points; UIC led both games by double digits but lost both- they led last meeting by 19 early in second half, lost by point, shooting 3-21 on arc. Flames lost three of last five games; they’re 10-8 in Horizon- they’re 3-2 in last five road games. Green Bay won six of last nine games; they’re 10-8 in Horizon, winning five of their last six home games. Phoenix won 12 of last 15 series games, are 4-2 in last six first round games in this event. Flames are 3-3 in first round in last six Horizon tourneys.

  6. #6
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    NCAAB

    Tuesday, March 5


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Xavier @ Butler
    Xavier
    Xavier is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Xavier is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Butler
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Butler's last 6 games when playing Xavier
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Butler's last 5 games

    Rhode Island @ Saint Joseph's
    Rhode Island
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Rhode Island's last 6 games when playing on the road against Saint Joseph's
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Rhode Island's last 8 games
    Saint Joseph's
    Saint Joseph's is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saint Joseph's's last 6 games when playing at home against Rhode Island

    Bowling Green @ Akron
    Bowling Green
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 6 games when playing Akron
    Bowling Green is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games
    Akron
    Akron is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Bowling Green
    Akron is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing Bowling Green

    Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan
    Northern Illinois
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Northern Illinois's last 14 games
    Central Michigan
    Central Michigan is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games
    Central Michigan is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home

    Buffalo @ Ohio
    Buffalo
    Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ohio
    Ohio
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio's last 5 games
    Ohio is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home

    South Carolina @ Texas A&M
    South Carolina
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of South Carolina's last 8 games when playing Texas A&M
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Carolina's last 7 games on the road
    Texas A&M
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Texas A&M's last 8 games when playing South Carolina
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas A&M's last 7 games at home

    Nebraska @ Michigan State
    Nebraska
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 5 games when playing on the road against Michigan State
    Michigan State
    Michigan State is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Michigan State's last 8 games at home

    Wake Forest @ Duke
    Wake Forest
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 6 games when playing on the road against Duke
    Duke
    Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
    Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wake Forest

    Ball State @ Eastern Michigan
    Ball State
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ball State's last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ball State's last 6 games on the road
    Eastern Michigan
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games
    Eastern Michigan is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home

    Kent State @ Miami-Ohio
    Kent State
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games on the road
    Kent State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami-Ohio
    Miami-Ohio
    Miami-Ohio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-Ohio's last 6 games at home

    Western Michigan @ Toledo
    Western Michigan
    Western Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toledo
    Toledo
    Toledo is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toledo's last 8 games at home

    Virginia Tech @ Florida State
    Virginia Tech
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Virginia Tech's last 7 games when playing Florida State
    Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Florida State
    Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech

    VCU @ George Mason
    VCU
    VCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    VCU is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing George Mason
    George Mason
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of George Mason's last 8 games
    George Mason is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

    Purdue @ Minnesota
    Purdue
    Purdue is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Purdue's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
    Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Purdue

    North Carolina @ Boston College
    North Carolina
    North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston College
    Boston College
    Boston College is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing at home against North Carolina

    Pittsburgh @ Miami
    Pittsburgh
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Miami
    Pittsburgh is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Miami
    Miami
    Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

    IUPUI @ Wright State
    IUPUI
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of IUPUI's last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of IUPUI's last 6 games
    Wright State
    Wright State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Wright State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

    UIC @ Wisconsin-Green Bay
    UIC
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of UIC's last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of UIC's last 7 games when playing Wisconsin-Green Bay
    Wisconsin-Green Bay
    Wisconsin-Green Bay is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against UIC
    Wisconsin-Green Bay is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

    Mississippi State @ Tennessee
    Mississippi State
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Mississippi State's last 7 games
    Mississippi State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Tennessee
    Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Tennessee is 22-2 SU in its last 24 games

    Auburn @ Alabama
    Auburn
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Auburn's last 9 games when playing on the road against Alabama
    Auburn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Alabama
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama's last 5 games
    Alabama is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Auburn

    Kentucky @ Mississippi
    Kentucky
    Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kentucky's last 9 games
    Mississippi
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Mississippi's last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games when playing Kentucky

    Kansas @ Oklahoma
    Kansas
    Kansas is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games when playing Oklahoma
    Kansas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Oklahoma
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma's last 6 games when playing Kansas
    Oklahoma is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas

    East Carolina @ Wichita State
    East Carolina
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of East Carolina's last 6 games
    Wichita State
    Wichita State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Wichita State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

    Utah State @ Colorado State
    Utah State
    Utah State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Utah State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Colorado State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 5 games at home

    Nevada @ Air Force
    Nevada
    Nevada is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Air Force
    Nevada is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
    Air Force
    Air Force is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Air Force is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  7. #7
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    Duke has been money with this trend and this week's NCAA basketball odds and best bets
    Monty Andrews

    Big Spread, Strong Trend

    The Blue Devils have been nearly automatic when facing a gigantic point spread – but not in the way you might think. Duke hosts Wake Forest in its final regular-season home game of the year, and will hope to put on a rousing show for the local fans before traveling to North Carolina to face the Tar Heels on Saturday. While the Blue Devils (-26.5) have gone a decent 9-6 ATS in their past 15 games as favorites of 25 points or more, there's an even stronger trend at work in those games, with Duke finishing below the total seven straight times and 12 of the past 14 when giving away at least 25 points.

    Take the Tigers/Total Tandem

    Teams that fare well on the road are the ones to truly be reckoned with at this time of the year – and road warriors don't come much more fierce than the LSU Tigers, who travel to Florida for a Wednesday night encounter with the Gators. Not only are the Tigers a sizzling 8-1 SU on the road this season, they're 7-2 ATS – and that's not the only trend bettors should consider in this one. LSU is 7-2 ATS and 6-3 O/U in its previous nine games overall, with the win/Over combo connecting four times in that span. Bettors should take a long look at the win/Over vs. a Gators side that is just 9-5 SU and 3-11 ATS at home.

    Golden Opportunity

    Marquette would love nothing more than to strengthen their record heading into the postseason – and they're in good position to do that as the Golden Eagles take on the host Seton Hall Pirates on Wednesday night. The Golden Eagles have been a tough opponent away from Fiserv Forum, having gone 6-1 ATS in their previous seven road games; that's part of a longer stretch of cover success that has seen them go 14-6 ATS in their past 20. And this series has seen the road team dominate against the spread, boasting a 19-5-1 ATS mark over the previous 25 encounters.

    Their Name is Rio (Grande)

    There are plenty of big-name schools among the top cover options in the country – Virginia, Michigan State and Oklahoma among them. But a handful of smaller programs have also made their mark as terrific ATS plays – and few stand out more than Texas Rio Grande Valley, who enter Thursday's home date with California Baptist with a scintillating 21-8-1 ATS mark that ranks third best in all of Division I. The Vaqueros have been particularly strong of late, going 9-2 ATS in their previous 11 lined games; they covered by a half-point in an 81-74 victory the last time they met California Baptist back on Jan. 5.

    Mid-Major to Watch: Belmont Bruins (25-4 ATS, 18-9-1 ATS, 16-12 O/U)

    Few teams have been as pleasant a surprise as the Bruins, who open the Ohio Valley Conference tournament Wednesday as the top-seeded team. The Bruins take on Southeast Missouri State in the opening round, and aren't expected to have much trouble after beating the Redhawks by a combined 44 points in their two regular-season meetings while covering in both. And given how potent the Belmont offense is, it's safe to say they have much bigger aspirations.

    Few teams can hope to keep up with Belmont, which averages 88.3 points per game – behind only Gonzaga among Division I programs. And a trio of stars are responsible for the bulk of the scoring, with Dylan Windler (21.1 ppg), Kevin McClain (16.2) and Nick Muszynski (15.0) leading the way. It doesn't hurt, either, that five of the Bruins' top six options in terms of minutes played are shooting better than 37 percent from 3-point range, with three also shooting above 50 percent from the field.

    Betting Trends

    Late-season dedication to defense has resulted in even more Under conversions, with more than 53 percent of all games falling below the total over the previous seven days. That falls right in line with totals trends over the previous 30 days (52.5 percent), while the season trend sees the Under finishing with a dominant 52.0-percent edge.

    Oddsmakers will be cracking open the bubbly before long, having kept bettors from gaining any discernible season-long edge when it comes to spreads. Favorites are at 50.03 percent for the season, while road teams have an ever-so-slight 50.17-percent advantage ATS. And road faves and home underdogs are split right down the middle (649-649-24).

    Congratulations are in order for the Loyola-Maryland Greyhounds, who enter Tuesday with a Division I-high 21 Over conversions – an incredible feat considering the league has trended toward the Under. The Greyhounds are one of only three teams with 20 or more Overs to date, a list that includes VMI (20-7 O/U) and Purdue Fort Wayne (20-8 O/U).

  8. #8
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    Kentucky at Ole Miss
    Brian Edwards

    Kentucky (24-5 straight up, 16-13 against the spread) will be in bounce-back mode tonight when it invades Oxford to take on an Ole Miss team that can bolster in its resume with a notable win over the Wildcats, who were listed as 5.5-point road favorites early this morning. The total for ‘over/under’ wagers was 140.5 points, only to drop all the way down to 138 in only about an hour this a.m. The Rebels were +190 on the money line (risk $100 to win $190).

    John Calipari’s team owns a 7-2 SU record and a 6-3 ATS mark in nine road assignments this season. On the flip side, Ole Miss (19-10 SU, 21-8 ATS) is 11-4 SU and 10-5 ATS at home.

    After getting trounced 71-52 on Saturday afternoon at Tennessee, UK is 13-3 in SEC play and one game back of the league’s co-leaders, LSU and UT, who are both 14-2 in conference action. Since the Wildcats split with the Volunteers and lost their only head-to-head meeting with the Tigers, they need to sweep their last two games at Ole Miss and vs. Florida. Also, the Wildcats need LSU to lose Wednesday at Florida and at home vs. Vandy this weekend. UT hosts Mississippi St. tonight (more on this game below in Bonus Nuggets) and closes Saturday at Auburn.

    The chances of those three scenarios coming through are slim, especially considering how the Commodores remain winless in SEC play. Therefore, there’s a good chance that UK will be a No. 3 seed at the SEC Tournament in Nashville next week (which isn’t necessarily a bad thing). What’s more important (or costly depending on your mind set) is that a potential showdown with UT in Nashville could determine a No. 1 or No. 2 seed in the NCAA Tournament (unless that potential meeting comes in the SEC semifinals and the winner falls in the finals).

    In Joe Lunardi’s latest edition of ‘Bracketology’ filed this morning to ESPN.com, Kentucky is still on the one line in the Midwest Region facing Sam Houston St. in its NCAA opener in Columbus. OH., for the right to square off against the Texas-UCF survivor of an 8/9 matchup. Kermit Davis’s squad was listed as a No. 10 seed set to take on seventh-seeded Cincinnati in Columbia, S.C., with the winner advancing to most likely face second-seeded North Carolina. In other words, Ole Miss will be in precarious position going into Nashville for the SEC Tournament if it loses to UK tonight and takes another defeat in Saturday’s regular-season finale at Missouri.

    Kentucky jumped out to a 6-0 lead at UT on Saturday, but it was all Vols the rest of the way. UT led 37-24 at halftime and the ‘Cats never got closer that 13 in the second half. P.J. Washington was UK’s only double-figure scorer with 13 points thanks to 9-of-13 shooting at the free-throw line. He was only 2-of-6 from the field and had twice as many turnovers (four) as assists (two). Nick Richards had eight points, seven rebounds and three blocked shots, but Tyler Herro was 1-of-11 on FGAs, 0-for-5 on launches from 3-point land and committed five turnovers.

    Tennessee had a 15/5 assist-to-turnover ratio, but UK had 11 assists compared to 16 turnovers. The ‘Cats got to the FT line more often, making 19-of-29 FTAs compared to 9-of-14 for UT, and held a 37-34 rebounding advantage. But terrible shooting (31.8% from the field and 26.3 percent from downtown) and too many turnovers were way too much to recover from.

    Although UK has struggled to 2-4 spread record in its past six outings, it has still won 17 of its last 20 games while compiling a 13-7 ATS mark. UK is No. 5 in the NCAA’s new NET metrics and No. 9 at KenPom.com. The Wildcats are 9-3 against K-Pom Top-50 opponents and 14-5 against the Top 100. They have Top-30 scalps at Louisville, at Florida, at Auburn and at Mississippi St. in addition to a neutral-court triumph over UNC. The ‘Cats have home victories over Auburn, MSU, Kansas and UT.

    Washington has emerged as a first-team All-SEC candidate as a sophomore. He is averaging 14.9 points and 7.7 rebounds per game, in addition to draining 43.5 percent of his treys and blocking 33 shots. Herro (13.9 PPG) is hitting 36.7 percent of his 3-balls and 93.4 percent of his FTAs. Keldon Johnson averages 13.4 points and 5.8 RPG.

    Ole Miss has the nation’s third-best ATS record. The Rebels have lost back-to-back games, but they’ve covered the number in both defeats that were by four combined points. They dropped a 73-71 decision to Tennessee last Wednesday as 4.5-point home underdogs before losing 74-73 at Arkansas as 2.5-point ‘dogs on a day in which the Razorbacks celebrated the 25th anniversary of their 1994 national-title team led by Scotty Thurman, Corey Beck, Clint McDaniel, Al Dillard (best range in college hoops history) and Corliss ‘Big Nasty’ Williamson.

    In the loss to the Hogs at Bud Walton Arena on Saturday, Arkansas snapped a six-game losing streak thanks to Jalen Harris’s game-winning layup with 5.9 seconds remaining. Ole Miss had led by eight several different times in the first half, but the game would feature 21 lead changes. Breein Tyree, who paced the Rebels with a team-best 20 points, buried a 3-pointer to put his team up 73-70 with 1:07 left.

    Bruce Stevens, Devontae Shuler and Terence Davis scored 12 points apiece for Ole Miss in the losing effort. Shuler had six rebounds and four assists, while Davis pulled down five boards and handed out three helpers. The Rebels have lost three of their past four games, sneaking in a 72-71 non-covering win over Georgia as 10-point home ‘chalk.’

    Ole Miss is ranked No. 37 in the NET metrics and No. 44 at K-Pom. Davis’s squad has a 4-6 record against K-Pom Top-50 foes and a 7-10 mark versus the Top 100. The Rebels’ best wins are a season sweep of Auburn, at Mississippi St. and a neutral-court scalp of Baylor. The only bad loss is at South Carolina (K-Pom #94).

    Tyree averages a team-high 18.3 PPG thanks to 40.3 percent shooting from 3-point territory and an 83.2 percent rate of marksmanship from the charity stripe. Davis (15.5 PPG) paces the Rebels in assists (3.4 APG) and rebounding (5.7 RPG), while Shuler (9.8 PPG) has 89 assists and 52 steals.

    Ole Miss has been a home underdog three times, going 2-1 ATS with one outright win over Auburn.

    Kentucky has won nine consecutive games in this rivalry while going 6-3 ATS. The ‘Cats have covered in three straight wins that have come by margins of 18, 23 and 22 points. The ‘over’ is on a 6-2 roll in the past eight head-to-head encounters.

    UK senior power forward Reid Travis, a grad transfer from Stanford, has missed three straight games with a knee injury and is ‘questionable’ tonight. Travis averages 11.3 points and 6.9 RPG.

    The ‘under’ is 18-11 overall for the Rebels, 9-6 in their home games. They’ve watched the ‘under’ connect in four consecutive games and seven of their past eight.

    The ‘under’ has cashed in four straight UK games and is on an 8-1 run to improve to 19-10 overall and 6-3 in its road contests.

    Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

    **B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

    -- As of this morning, most spots had Tennessee listed as an eight-point home favorite vs. Mississippi State. The Bulldogs, who are 21-8 SU and 15-14 ATS, have posted a 5-4 record both SU and ATS in nine road assignments. They’ve lost by more than five points only once all season in a 76-55 defeat at Kentucky, but that was a three-point game with 12 minutes left. UT is unbeaten in 17 home games with a 7-8-1 spread ledger. The Volunteers fall into a bit of flat spot after trouncing UK at home on Saturday afternoon. This game will tip at 9:00 p.m. Eastern on the SEC Network.

    -- Speaking of potential letdown scenarios, Utah State (24-6 SU, 16-13 ATS) is off a monster home win over Nevada that provided an enormous boost to its profile that more than likely ensures the Aggies of an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament if they can avoid a bad loss moving forward. However, a defeat at Colorado State tonight could put Craig Smith’s team back in danger in terms of its at-large hopes (Lunardi currently has Utah St. as a No 11 seed facing sixth-seeded Villanova in Salt Lake City). This non-televised tilt in Ft. Collins will come off the board at 9:00 p.m. Eastern. Utah St. was favored by eight points at most books this morning and the total was 144.5. The Aggies are 8-4 SU and 5-7 ATS on the road, while CSU is 8-7 SU and 6-8 ATS at home.

    -- Alabama, a team that’s right there with Utah State as a No. 11 seed in Lunardi’s latest projection with a first-round with No. 6 Nevada, plays host to Auburn tonight as a 2.5-point home underdog that’s +125 to win outright. Bruce Pearl’s squad is an abysmal 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS in nine road assignments this year. The Tigers are slated as a seventh seed by Lunardi that would face North Carolina St., with the survivor most likely getting No. 2 Michigan in a Round-of-32 showdown. The SEC Network will provide television coverage at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

    -- ICYMI last week: South Carolina’s A.J. Lawson is ‘out’ indefinitely with an ankle injury. Lawson was averaging 13.9 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.0 APG for the Gamecocks, who are 3-8 SU and 5-6 ATS on the road going into tonight’s game at Texas A&M. The Aggies were favored by 4.5 points with a total of 142 this morning. Frank Martin’s club has lost three games in a row both SU and ATS, while the Aggies are 6-2 both SU and ATS in their past eight games. This game will tip at 7:00 p.m. Eastern on the SEC Network.

    -- Duke star Zion Williamson (knee) is ‘doubtful’ for tonight’s home game vs. Wake Forest on ESPN at 7:00 p.m. Eastern. The Blue Devils are 26-point ‘chalk.’
    Last edited by Udog; 03-05-2019 at 03:06 PM.

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