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Thread: Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/4

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/4

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, March 4

    Good Luck on day # 63 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Baseball prop bets for this season: who will have more wins?

    — Cubs (-0.5 games) vs Cardinals

    — Cubs (-12.5 games) vs White Sox

    — Mets (even) vs Braves

    — Dodgers (-19.5 games) vs Giants

    — Astros (-24.5 games) vs Rangers

    — Bronx (-2.5 games) vs Boston


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend……

    13) I don’t understand why an NFL prospect would go to the Combine but not work out; what do you have to lose? Letting teams see what you can do should only help your standing. Only thing could be if you’re got a minor injury, but lot of these kids skip working out for no reason at all.

    12) Portland Trailblazers’ star Damian Lillard once bought undrafted rookie Luis Montero $5,000 worth of dress clothes so that in games where Montero was inactive, he’d look professional while sitting on the bench.

    Thats what a team leader does.

    11) Did Bryce Harper really turn down a 4-year, $45M a year deal from the Dodgers?

    Say he took it, then four years from now, he’d need a 9-year, $200M deal to wind up with the same money he is making now (not accounting for higher California taxes).

    Could you imagine how salty football players would be if a baseball player got $45M a year, with every penny guaranteed?

    10) With news that Todd Gurley may have arthritis in his left knee that was operated on in 2014, former NFL safety Will Blackmon was on Twitter this weekend explaining how guys get arthritis in their knees after they’ve had surgery, and it bothers them thru the rest of their careers, even though those players won’t be listed on injury reports. Was interesting to listen to.

    9) Clippers 128, Knicks 107— This game was 82-46. At HALFTIME.

    8) Creighton 66, Marquette 60— Little different than the 108-104 OT game in first meeting, but apparently the Bluejays match up well with Marquette, seeing how Creighton is 2-0 against the Golden Eagles, but only 5-9 against the rest of the Big East.

    7) Iona won its last seven games to claim the MAAC regular season title; four teams tied for 2nd place a game behind- 10-8 Monmouth finished 6th. Hawks were 1-12 in their pre-conference schedule, then went 10-8 in the league, which tells us the league isn’t very good.

    6) Washington 62, Stanford 61— Huskies survived Stanford’s upset bid, but shaky weekend for them, with a loss to lowly Cal, then this. Washington’s resume isn’t great, even though they’re 23-6 (1-4 vs top 100 teams out of conference)

    5) There is a high school gym in New Castle, Indiana that seats 9,325 people; I’m not sure my high school gym back in the day could’ve seated 932 people, though they have a nicer gym here now.

    4) Golfer Keith Mitchell won the Honda Classic for his first PGA Tour win in his 40th career start. Thats life-changing stuff for the 27-year old; a two-year exemption, plus lot of FedEx points and invites to more prestigious events.

    3) Rockets 115, Celtics 104- Boston lost five of its last six games and plays Golden State next.

    2) There is an old saying “When one door closes, another one opens”; sometimes that second door is the better one. Take the case of Bucks’ coach Mike Budenholzer.

    Budenholzer coached the Atlanta Hawks for the last five years, going 213-197, but after a dismal season LY, the Hawks let him go, and Milwaukee hired him.

    Coaching Giannis Antetokounmpo has turned out to be a good gig; Budenholzer’s Bucks are 48-14, the first team to clinch a playoff spot this year, and five years of obscurity in Atlanta seems like a long time ago.

    1) Speaking of the Hawks…….

    Bulls 168, Hawks 161, 4OT— When Trae Young scored 49 points and handed out 16 assists in the Hawks’ 4-OT marathon loss Friday night, he became the first rookie since Earl Monroe in 1968 to score 49+ points and have 10+ assists in the same game.

  3. #3
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    NBA

    Monday, March 4


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    Trend Report
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    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
    Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
    Dallas is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games on the road
    Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
    Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Brooklyn is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 10 games
    Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Brooklyn is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home
    Brooklyn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games at home
    Brooklyn is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Dallas
    Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
    Brooklyn is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
    Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games on the road
    Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
    Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Atlanta's last 17 games when playing Miami
    Atlanta is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
    Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Atlanta's last 24 games when playing on the road against Miami
    Miami Heat
    Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    Miami is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
    Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games at home
    Miami is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
    Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Miami's last 17 games when playing Atlanta
    Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 19 of Miami's last 24 games when playing at home against Atlanta

    Denver Nuggets
    Denver is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
    Denver is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games on the road
    Denver is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Antonio
    Denver is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games when playing San Antonio
    Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Denver's last 25 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games
    San Antonio is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Antonio's last 16 games
    San Antonio is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games at home
    San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    San Antonio is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Denver
    San Antonio is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games when playing Denver
    San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
    San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of San Antonio's last 25 games when playing at home against Denver

    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games
    New Orleans is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    New Orleans is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
    New Orleans is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Utah
    New Orleans is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Utah
    New Orleans is 3-5-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Utah
    New Orleans is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Utah
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
    Utah Jazz
    Utah is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Utah's last 12 games
    Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games at home
    Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
    Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
    Utah is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans

    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
    Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
    Milwaukee is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing Phoenix
    Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Milwaukee is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 15 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Phoenix is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 9 games
    Phoenix is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 9 games at home
    Phoenix is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
    Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    Phoenix is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    Phoenix is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Phoenix's last 15 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

    New York Knicks
    New York is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games
    New York is 3-21 SU in its last 24 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of New York's last 18 games
    New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    New York is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 9 games on the road
    New York is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
    New York is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of New York's last 15 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    Sacramento is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Sacramento's last 23 games
    Sacramento is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games at home
    Sacramento is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home
    Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New York
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing New York
    Sacramento is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
    Sacramento is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against New York
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Sacramento's last 15 games when playing at home against New York

    Los Angeles Clippers
    LA Clippers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    LA Clippers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 9 games
    LA Clippers is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of LA Clippers's last 17 games on the road
    LA Clippers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
    LA Clippers is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LA Clippers's last 17 games when playing LA Lakers
    LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    LA Clippers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    LA Lakers is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
    LA Lakers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    LA Lakers is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of LA Lakers's last 23 games at home
    LA Lakers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
    LA Lakers is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games when playing LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LA Lakers's last 17 games when playing LA Clippers
    LA Lakers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    LA Lakers is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 8 games when playing at home against LA Clippers


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  4. #4
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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Monday, March 4


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    DALLAS (27 - 35) at BROOKLYN (32 - 33) - 3/4/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BROOKLYN is 81-65 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    BROOKLYN is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    DALLAS is 36-26 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
    DALLAS is 56-41 ATS (+10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 518-439 ATS (+35.1 Units) in road games since 1996.
    DALLAS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    DALLAS is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    DALLAS is 31-21 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    BROOKLYN is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    ATLANTA (22 - 42) at MIAMI (28 - 34) - 3/4/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 5-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    ATLANTA is 6-5 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DENVER (42 - 20) at SAN ANTONIO (35 - 29) - 3/4/2019, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1081-948 ATS (+38.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 853-728 ATS (+52.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 195-149 ATS (+31.1 Units) in March games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 21-4 ATS (+16.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 223-167 ATS (+39.3 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 193-144 ATS (+34.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 7-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 6-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MILWAUKEE (48 - 15) at PHOENIX (13 - 51) - 3/4/2019, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 280-334 ATS (-87.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 31-21 ATS (+7.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in the second half of the season this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    PHOENIX is 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
    PHOENIX is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    PHOENIX is 28-43 ATS (-19.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a division game this season.
    PHOENIX is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 34-49 ATS (-19.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 20-31 ATS (-14.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    PHOENIX is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    PHOENIX is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHOENIX is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 4-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NEW ORLEANS (29 - 36) at UTAH (36 - 26) - 3/4/2019, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.
    UTAH is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    UTAH is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 85-69 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 47-33 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 6-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 7-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NEW YORK (13 - 50) at SACRAMENTO (31 - 31) - 3/4/2019, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW YORK is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW YORK is 19-29 ATS (-12.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    NEW YORK is 3-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    LA CLIPPERS (36 - 29) at LA LAKERS (30 - 33) - 3/4/2019, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA LAKERS are 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 37-28 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 54-36 ATS (+14.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    LA LAKERS are 25-36 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all games this season.
    LA LAKERS are 22-31 ATS (-12.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    LA LAKERS are 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
    LA LAKERS are 145-188 ATS (-61.8 Units) in March games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 7-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  5. #5
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    Dunkel

    Monday, March 4



    Dallas @ Brooklyn

    Game 501-502
    March 4, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    109.681
    Brooklyn
    109.994
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dallas
    Even
    230
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Brooklyn
    by 5
    224 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (+5); Over

    Atlanta @ Miami


    Game 503-504
    March 4, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    114.826
    Miami
    116.474
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami
    by 1 1/2
    220
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami
    by 9
    223 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+9); Under

    Denver @ San Antonio


    Game 505-506
    March 4, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Denver
    122.236
    San Antonio
    128.945
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio
    by 6 1/2
    226
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Antonio
    by 1
    227 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (-1); Under

    Milwaukee @ Phoenix


    Game 507-508
    March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    124.758
    Phoenix
    107.432
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 17 1/2
    238
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 12 1/2
    230
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (-12 1/2); Over

    New Orleans @ Utah


    Game 509-510
    March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    117.851
    Utah
    123.496
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 5 1/2
    228
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 9 1/2
    230
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (+9 1/2); Under

    New York @ Sacramento


    Game 511-512
    March 4, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New York
    111.187
    Sacramento
    117.375
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Sacramento
    by 6
    238
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Sacramento
    by 11 1/2
    231
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    (+11 1/2); Over

    LA Clippers @ LA Lakers


    Game 513-514
    March 4, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Clippers
    110.722
    LA Lakers
    119.277
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 8 1/2
    238
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 4
    236 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Lakers
    (-4); Over

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    Monday's Essentials
    Tony Mejia

    Game of the Night - L.A. Clippers at L.A. Lakers (-4, 237), 10:35 ET, NBATV

    Mathematically, the Lakers still have a chance to make the playoffs. Realistically, they are done.

    After coming up empty in a weekend back-to-back that saw it lose at home to the Bucks and on the road to the horrible Suns, Los Angeles opens the first full week of March behind San Antonio by 4.5 games for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. The Spurs hold the head-to-head tiebreaker too.

    Their Staples Center roommates, the Clippers, are five games up on them, currently running seventh. If the Lakers beat them tonight, you’ll hear all about how they had to have the victory and hopefully it’s the beginning of a huge, season-salvaging run, but their team has already blown multiple “must-win” games and shouldn’t be counted on.

    Since the All-Star break ended, the Lakers have lost “must-win” games in New Orleans, Memphis and Phoenix, teams already looking forward to next season. L.A. has surrendered 118.7 points per game in those losses and has been atrocious defensively, missing rotations and allowing teams to find a rhythm with their poor execution on that side of the ball night after night. The Lakers have dropped eight of 11 and are 9-17 since Jan. 1 and just blew a game that, at least on paper, looked like the only gimme on a difficult schedule the rest of the way.

    Following tonight’s matchup with the Clips, the Nuggets and Celtics will come through town. Next week will see the Lakers leave town for their second-longest road trip of the season, a five-gamer that includes stops in Toronto, Detroit and Milwaukee in which they’ll be underdogs. Their April schedule features five games against teams that would all make the playoffs if they started today, including a home date with the Warriors that comes early enough that they’re unlikely to be resting players.

    At the All-Star break, Las Vegas’ Westgate Superbook had ‘no’ at -140 on whether the Lakers would be able to reach the postseason in LeBron James’ first season, offering a modest return of +120 if you were still a believer. Last Tuesday morning, ‘no’ went off at -400 and ‘yes’ went off at a return rate of 3-to-1 following their upset loss in Memphis. After Saturday’s ridiculous setback against the Suns, ‘no’ went off at -900 and anyone that still has blind faith in the Lakers can now get +600 if they correctly back an unlikely resurgence.

    When the Lakers ultimately miss the playoffs, you’ll be able to point to setbacks against the Hawks, Knicks, Cavs, Wizards and Pelicans as to why. They’ve lost to the Grizzlies and Magic twice. They’ve dug their own grave by simply not respecting teams.

    After wrapping up a 127-101 win over the Warriors despite losing James to a groin strain in the third quarter of its Christmas day blowout victory, L.A. was a healthy 20-14, on track to surpass its projected win total set at 48 by the Westgate Superbook that now looks destined to be won by naysayers who bet the ‘under.’ The Lakers went 6-12 without James as he missed 17 games between Dec. 27 and Jan. 29 and an additional game against the Warriors on Feb. 2.

    Although a lot has been made over much of the team's young core being rubbed the wrong way by the Lakers making them available to New Orleans via trade, Brandon Ingram has averaged nearly 28 points and 7.5 rebounds since the All-Star break and Kyle Kuzma has averaged over 17 points per game. L.A.'s problems lie much deeper than hurt feelings. Its pieces simply haven't fit together well.

    They’ve missed point guard Lonzo Ball, who has been out with an ankle injury since Jan. 21 and is hoping to join the team for the start of next week’s road trip. Despite the unfortunate attrition, no one is feeling sorry for the Lakers. Outside of their fans, no one is shedding tears over the misfortune the same franchise that tried to strong-arm the Pelicans into trading them Anthony Davis has had to deal with. Know who else has had a few rough patches? The Clippers.

    Jerry West traded leading scorer Tobias Harris to the 76ers and elite perimeter defender Avery Bradley to the Grizzlies in order to free up a pair of maximum-salary slots in an effort to try and recruit Kawhi Leonard and another elite free agent this offseason, essentially pulling the plug on realistically contending for a postseason berth. The Clips are 6-4 since making those deals. Owner Steve Ballmer is now rooting on a playoff push, and his young team is responding.

    Landry Shamet, a rookie shooter who was part of the Harris deal that also landed multiple future first-round picks, nailed seven 3-pointers in Sunday’s 128-107 win over the Knicks. Fellow rookie Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is shooting 60 percent over the last three games, averaging 14.3 points per game. A second unit featuring scoring guard Lou Williams and big man Montrezl Harrell continues to dominate fourth quarters. Although they’re in an underdog role against the Lakers tonight, the Clippers began an eight-game run at Staples Center yesterday that has them in town until March 22, further strengthening their position as a likely playoff team.

    The Clippers lost 123-120 in their last game against the Lakers on Jan. 30, falling despite the presence of Harris as LeBron returned to the Lakers’ lineup with 24 points, 14 rebounds and nine assists. They won the first meeting between the teams on Dec. 28, taking advantage of James’ absence. The Clippers have covered the spread in six of their past seven games. Conversely, the Lakers are on a 1-7 ATS run. Due in part to their porous defense, the ‘over’ has prevailed in four of their last five games.

    Best of the Rest

    Miami at Atlanta, 7:35 p.m. ET:
    With the Hornets and Magic losing on Sunday, the Heat can pull into a three-way first-place tie in the Southeast Division if they avoid a season sweep at the hands of the last-place Hawks. Despite its place in the standings, Atlanta has become increasingly dangerous due to the play of point guard Trae Young, who was named the Eastern Conference’s Rookie of the Month for February after averaging 23.3 points and 9.3 assists. Over his last six games, he’s averaged 30.3 points and 9.5 assists, numbers that would be even higher if he hadn’t been ejected for taunting Kris Dunn in the third quarter of Sunday’s 123-118 win in Chicago. He’s made 26 of his 51 3-point attempts since the break. Young has shot 44 percent from 3-point range against Miami, averaging 20 points and nine assists in their three wins. Second-year forward John Collins, one of the East’s most productive forwards, has missed the past few games with the flu and is listed as questionable. Starting small forward Taurean Prince is away from the Hawks on paternity leave and Omari Spellman is out for weeks after suffering an ankle injury on Friday, so the frontcourt will again be shorthanded. Alex Len, Dewayne Dedmon and DeAndre Bembry will play major roles if Collins remains out. Miami lists center Hassan Whiteside (hip) and point guard Goran Dragic (calf) as questionable. The ‘over’ is on a 4-1 run over the past five Heat games and has prevailed in the last three involving Atlanta.

    Denver at San Antonio, 8:35 p.m. ET:
    The Nuggets have dropped consecutive games and are beginning a three-game road trip that also features games against the Lakers and Warriors, so a lot of eyes will be on them this week. They had won five straight prior to this lull, which featured upset home losses to the Jazz and Pelicans, the latter coming despite not having to deal with Anthony Davis. Denver got off to a fast start and then squandered a 19-point lead against New Orleans. All-Star center Nikola Jokic has wrestled with foul trouble in consecutive games, so expect him to be less aggressive to ensure he stays out on the floor here. San Antonio is wrapping up a three-game homestand after a dreadful Rodeo road trip and is looking for its third straight win after handily taking down the Pistons and Thunder. The Spurs have won six straight at home and are favored in the third meeting of the season against Denver. Both teams have won on their home floor. San Antonio has dominated the Nuggets at the AT&T Center, winning 12 consecutive matchups. The ‘under’ has cashed in five straight Denver games.

    New Orleans at Utah, 9:05 p.m. ET:
    Anthony Davis may or may not play in tonight’s visit to Salt Lake City as it appears the Pelicans are far more engaged as a unit when he doesn’t play. Davis didn’t participate in the first meeting between these teams, a 132-111 Jazz win way back on Oct. 27. Donovan Mitchell comes off a career-high 46-point night in Saturday’s 115-111 win over the Bucks and has averaged 33 points over his past five games. Utah is on a four-game winning streak and has won five straight at home, part of an 8-1 run in Salt Lake City. They’ll play the Pelicans again in New Orleans on Wednesday. The ‘over’ is on a 5-2 run in Pels’ games.

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    Hoop Trends - Monday
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Bucks are 13-0 ATS (+6.27 ppg) as a road favorite off a loss.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Heat are 0-11 ATS (-11.05 ppg) at home off a win as a favorite in which they scored fewer than ten fast break points.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Nets are 11-0 OU (+12.73 ppg) at home off a game as a dog in which they had less than 40% of the total rebounds.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Kings are 0-14 OU (-14.11 ppg) as a rested favorite when they are facing a team with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.50.

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    By: Monique Vág



    Not giving the Pels much of a chance

    The Pelicans are 10.5-point underdogs as they travel to Utah to take on a Jazz team who have won 21 of 31 at home this season, and eight of the last nine versus the Pelicans.

    Utah is holding opponents to 105.2 ppg and 44 percent shooting on their home court this season. Over their most recent 10 games in the head-to-head, the Jazz have limited the Pelicans to 100 ppg. Look for another strong defensive effort from Utah and back Under New Orleans’ team total of 109.5.


    Nugget’s road woes to continue

    It has been 12 straight road losses in San Antonio for the Nuggets who will try to win for the first time at AT&T Center since 2012.

    The Spurs have played much better basketball at home, holding opponents to 106.4 points per game, on 45 percent shooting, ranking defensively in the top-10 of the league in both categories. They’ve had the Nuggets number over the years and returning home has been a recipe for success for San Antonio as they have won two straight after an extended road trip. Back them on the money line today.


    Another likely blowout

    Milwaukee are the largest favorites on Monday’s card (12.5-points), as they travel to Phoenix to take on a Suns team currently sitting at 13-51.

    The Bucks have been one of the best all around teams this season, and defensively they are holding opponents to 108.1 points per game on a league best 43.3 percent shooting. With the Suns averaging only 106.5 points per game, they look to be in for a long night.

    Milwaukee have done a great job defending opposing small forward’ allowing only 19.1 points on 42 percent shooting. Look for them to make things difficult on Suns SF Kelly Oubre Jr. and back Under his points, rebounds, assists total of 23.5.


    Tanking for Zion

    The Knicks have won only three of their most recent 24 games, including just one of their most recent eight on the road. Today the Knicks take on a Kings team who have not disappointed as favorites this year posting a 14-2 record, and covering the spread in 22 of their 32 home games. The Knicks will be without Frank Ntilikina, and most likely DeAndre Jordan.

    Despite the huge spread, look for Sacramento to take care of business at home versus a Knicks squad looking for the best chance to draft first overall. Take the Kings to cover as 11-point favorites.


    Lackluster in La-La Land

    The Lakers have lost four of their most recent five games and have really struggled since the All-Star Break. Today the Lakers play a Clippers team who have historically done well versus the Lakers winning 18 of the most recent 21 contests, and nine of the last 10 on the road.

    The Under has been a profitable play when these two teams meet up, with it cashing in 12 of the most recent 17 in the head-to-head, and six of the last eight at Staples Center. With the Lakers in desperation mode, but only averaging 111.8 points per game, take the game total Under 235.

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