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Thread: Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/1

  1. #1
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    Default Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/1

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, March 1

    Good Luck on day # 60 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    — Magic 103, Warriors 96— Golden State lost four of its last six games.

    — Green Bay 70, Wright State 67— Raiders fall into a tie for first atop the Horizon.

    — Stanford 98, Washington State 50— Cardinal led 52-15 at halftime. Oy.

    — Wichita State 65, UConn 63— Shockers hit corner jumper at the buzzer.

    — 76ers 108, Thunder 104— Philly had lost 19 in a row to the Thunder.

    — UCLA 93, USC 88 OT— In their last two games, Trojans are 1-13 on the foul line. They made 19-49 on the arc on this game; those two stats do not go together.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…..

    13) Bryce Harper signs with the Phillies for 13 years, $330M, which works out to $156,695.16 per game, for every game the Phillies play thru 2031. All guaranteed money.

    Keep in mind the National League will probably have the DH starting in 2022, so as Harper gets older, he can take “days off” but still have his bat in the lineup.

    California’s state income tax, at its highest level is over 12%, Pennsylvania has a flat 3% income tax, which may help explain this decision. Giants made a 12-year, $310 million offer, which was actually a decent amount less than the Phillies’ offer, after taxes.

    12) MLB Network was showing spring training games Thursday afternoon, but the games quickly got the hook once Harper’s signing was announced. Not sure I needed to hear four hours of people discussing Harper signing his contract. I don’t give a rat’s ass about anything Bob Costas says.

    If you play fantasy baseball, not the best day to have Nick Williams on your team, like I do. The 25-year old OF loses his starting job now that Harper is in Philly.

    Funny thing, Phillies played split squad games Thursday, and Williams wasn’t in either game, which at 1pm struck me as odd. At 3:00, it made a lot more sense.

    Please trade Nick Williams!!!!! (Baltimore, Miami, Arizona???)

    11) Jason Witten came out of retirement and will play for the Cowboys again next season, which opens up a spot in ESPN’s Monday Night Football booth.

    10) Tommy John missed the 1975 season after he had the original “Tommy John surgery” on his elbow. Here are his career stats, before and after the surgery:

    Before: 12 years, 124-106. 318 starts, one All-Star Game
    After: 14 years, 164-125, 382 starts, three All-Star Games

    He pitched in the major leagues until he was 46 years old.

    9) Kyler Murray made a lot of money at the NFL Combine Thursday, when he was measured at just over 5-10, and weighed in at 207 pounds. Pretty much the same size as Russell Wilson. he is going to be a top-10 draft pick in April.

    8) Raiders are now expected to play home games in Oakland next season, with the plan being to move into their new dome in Las Vegas in 2020.

    7) Upsets of the night in college basketball:
    — California (+13.5) 76, Washington 73
    — North Dakota (+9.5) 88, Fort Wayne 82
    — Florida Atlantic (+9) 60, North Texas
    — Elon (+7.5) 73, James Madison 58
    — Marshall (+7) 90, Louisiana Tech 79
    — Xavier (+5) 84, St John’s 73

    6) If you live in the Albany area, the 3rd-oldest coin/jewelry store in America is on Wolf Road in Colonie, kind of near Ted’s Fish Fry. Ferris Coin & Jewelry is a pretty cool place; they’ve been in business since 1930. I have some old $2 bills that I thought might be valuable (they’re not), but the people in there were very nice and they answered all my questions.

    5) Actor Mahershala Ali, who won an Academy Award for the movie Green Book last weekend, played basketball in college at Saint Mary’s; he averaged 7 points a game as a senior, back when he was known as Ali Gilmore.

    4) Something to think about two weeks from now: over last four years, Kentucky is 12-0 in the SEC basketball tournament, with nine wins by 10+ points.

    In the four tournament finals, Wildcats started 19 different players. Isaiah Briscoe was only guy to start in two of them.

    3) Johnny Manziel got kicked out of the CFL; they didn’t say why. Manziel had been playing for the Montreal Alouettes, who are coached by former Packers’ coach Mike Sherman. Sherman’s son-in-law is Zac Taylor, the Cincinnati Bengals’ new coach.

    2) Kid on Xavier made a foul line jumper against St John’s last night, and it dawned on me; you almost never see that shot taken anymore. Everything is layups and 3’s; mid-range jumpers are frowned upon by the analytics people.

    1) Indiana University (PA) started the last week of the regular season ranked No. 2 in the country in Division II, but when they showed up at Edinboro State for their game Wednesday, they realized they had made the 100+-mile trip without an important thing- their uniforms.

    I put myself thru college as student manager of a D-III basketball team; I shudder to think of the grief their manager(s) took for this mistake. IUP won 87-59, much to the manager’(s) relief, but guaranteed they’ll be obsessive about not forgetting things the rest of the season.

    Indiana, PA by the way, is the Christmas Tree Capital of the World; when I was in college, we played in their Christmas tournament, the Christmas Tree Classic. Next town over from Indiana is Punxatawney, where the ground hog sees (or doesn’t see) his shadow every February 2.

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    Friday's Tip Sheet
    Kevin Rogers

    Kent State at Bowling Green (-5 ½, 149 ½) – 6:00 PM EST - CBSSN

    The top three teams in the East division of the Mid-American Conference take the court on Friday night. East (and MAC leader) Buffalo visits Miami, while the two clubs behind the Bulls fight for second place in the division with three games remaining. Bowling Green (19-9 SU, 15-10-1 ATS) started MAC play at 11-2, but the Falcons have gone backwards of late by losing to Ohio and Miami, both in the favorite role. BGSU was stymied by Miami for the second time this season in Tuesday’s 82-69 home setback as seven-point favorites, as the Falcons try to avoid their first three-game losing skid.

    Kent State (20-8 SU, 12-13-1 ATS) snapped a two-game losing streak in Tuesday’s 78-73 home triumph over Ohio, but the Golden Flashes failed to cash as 7 ½-point favorites. The Flashes pulled off the season sweep of the Bobcats, who sit at the bottom of the East division with a 4-11 record. Kent State reached the 20-win mark for the seventh time in the last 10 seasons, while trying to win 10 MAC games for the fourth time in the past five seasons.

    Bowling Green crushed Kent State in the first matchup as five-point road underdogs on January 5 in an 86-64 rout. It marked the sixth time in the last nine regular season matchups that the away team has come up victorious, as the Golden Flashes have covered only once in the past six meetings with the Falcons.


    Rhode Island at Dayton (-8, 135 ½) – 7:00 PM EST - ESPN2

    The Flyers (19-9 SU, 13-15 ATS) enter the weekend tied for second place in the Atlantic 10 conference a 11-4 alongside Davidson. Dayton reached the NCAA tournament four consecutive seasons from 2014-17 before finishing below .500 in Anthony Grant’s first season as head coach in 2018. However, the Flyers are currently on the tournament bubble as the conference may receive only one invite (VCU is the leader).

    Dayton is riding a three-game winning streak after dropping a 69-68 heartbreaker to VCU in mid-February. The most recent victory for the Flyers came in blowout fashion as Dayton crushed UMass on Tuesday, 72-48 to easily cover as six-point road favorites. Dayton built a 40-18 halftime lead and never looked back as the Flyers shot a scorching 55% from the field. The Flyers improved to 6-2 on the road in A-10 action, while pulling off the season sweep of UMass.

    Rhode Island (13-14 SU, 10-17 ATS) ended a five-game slide in Tuesday’s 80-53 home rout of George Washington as 10 ½-point favorites. The Rams had lost to VCU, Davidson, and Dayton – the top three teams in the league during this stretch, while failing to cover in all five losses. One thing you can count on with URI in conference play is when they win, they cover (6-0 SU/ATS), and when they lose, they don’t cash (0-9 SU/ATS).

    In the previous meeting between these two squads in Kingston on February 9, Dayton rolled past URI, 77-48. The Rams closed as a two-point home favorite, but the Flyers jumped out to a 14-point halftime lead and torched Rhode Island by shooting 63% from the floor. Dayton has cashed the UNDER in five of seven home conference games, while not allowing more than 69 points in any of those contests.


    Buffalo (-8 ½, 152 ½) at Miami (OH) – 8:00 PM EST - CBSSN

    The Bulls (25-3 SU, 16-10-1 ATS) aren’t going to sneak up on anybody in the NCAA tournament this season after shocking Arizona in the opening round last March. Buffalo sits atop the MAC at 13-2 as the Bulls are in the midst of a six-game winning streak after rallying past Akron, 77-64 on Tuesday. The Bulls closed out February with a less than stellar 3-4 ATS mark, while the last loss came to Bowling Green to start the month in a 92-88 setback.

    The Red Hawks (15-13 SU, 14-11-1 ATS) have been the epitome of consistent inconsistency by alternating wins and losses in the last nine games. Miami is coming off a solid road victory at Bowling Green as seven-point underdogs on Tuesday, 82-69, but the Red Hawks have not won consecutive games since late January. After starting MAC home play at 0-2, Miami has picked up victories in four of its past five games in Oxford.

    Miami is playing with revenge after getting blown out by Buffalo, 88-64 as 16-point underdogs in mid-January. This series has been dominated by the home team, who has won the last five meetings, including an 84-81 triumph by Miami last February as six-point ‘dogs.


    Ivy League Nuggets

    -- In a 5:00 start, Brown (17-9 SU, 10-11-3 ATS) seeks a season sweep of Columbia (7-17 SU, 10-11-1 ATS). The Bears edged the Lions, 65-63 as one-point road underdogs on February 16 to improve to 3-1 in the last four matchups. Brown has overcome a 1-4 start in Ivy League play by winning four of its past five games, including a 68-65 victory over Dartmouth last Saturday. Columbia sits at the bottom of the Ivy alongside Dartmouth at 2-8, while coming off an 18-point setback at Princeton last Saturday. However, the Lions have covered in each of their past three Friday contests.

    -- Both Yale (18-5 SU, 13-9 ATS) and Cornell (13-13 SU, 11-13 ATS) are coming off losses last Saturday as the two squads hook up in New Haven. The Bulldogs had their six-game winning streak come to a close in a two-point setback to rival Harvard, while the Big Red dropped their third consecutive game in a 68-50 defeat to Penn. Yale barely cashed as 5 ½-point road favorites at Cornell in mid-February, 98-92, but the Bulldogs own a perfect 10-0 SU/ATS record in the past 10 matchups.

    -- Two teams going in different directions hook up in New Hampshire as Princeton (15-8 SU, 11-10 ATS) looks to stay on fire against Dartmouth (11-15 SU, 12-9-3 ATS). The Tigers own a 7-3 conference record after beating Cornell and Columbia at home last weekend, while covering each time as a 6 ½-point favorite. The Big Green returns home following four consecutive losses, all on the road, but Dartmouth managed a 3-1 ATS mark in this stretch. One of those covers came at Princeton in a 69-68 defeat as 6 ½-point underdogs on February 16, as the Big Green attempt to beat the Tigers at home for the second straight season.

    -- Harvard (14-9 SU, 11-11 ATS) hopes to avoid a look-ahead spot as the Crimson host Princeton on Saturday. The Crimson welcome in Penn (16-10 SU, 13-12 ATS) on Friday as the Quakers are fresh off an 18-point blowout of Cornell. That was the first game decided in regulation in the last four for Penn, who fell to Harvard in overtime on February 16 in a 75-68 setback as a one-point favorite. The Crimson are riding a four-game OVER streak, but Harvard is 0-3 ATS in their last three attempts in the favorite role.

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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Friday, March 1



    Siena @ Canisius

    Game 863-864
    March 1, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Siena
    48.831
    Canisius
    44.230
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Siena
    by 4 1/2
    151
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Canisius
    by 2
    131 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Siena
    (+2); Over

    Buffalo @ Miami-OH


    Game 873-874
    March 1, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Buffalo
    70.915
    Miami-OH
    56.219
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Buffalo
    by 14 1/2
    139
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Buffalo
    by 8 1/2
    152 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Buffalo
    (-8 1/2); Under

    Monmouth @ Manhattan


    Game 869-870
    March 1, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Monmouth
    44.536
    Manhattan
    43.767
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Monmouth
    by 1
    125
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Manhattan
    by 1 1/2
    116
    Dunkel Pick:
    Monmouth
    (+1 1/2); Over

    Quinnipiac @ St Peter's


    Game 867-868
    March 1, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Quinnipiac
    43.440
    St Peter's
    43.361
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    St Peter's
    Even
    132
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Quinnipiac
    by 2 1/2
    131 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    St Peter's
    (+2 1/2); Over

    Marist @ Fairfield


    Game 865-866
    March 1, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Marist
    46.437
    Fairfield
    45.347
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Marist
    by 1
    141
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Fairfield
    by 2
    134 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Marist
    (+2); Over

    Iona @ Rider


    Game 861-862
    March 1, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Iona
    46.925
    Rider
    55.000
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Rider
    by 8
    153
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Rider
    by 5
    160 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Rider
    (-5); Under

    Rhode Island @ Dayton


    Game 859-860
    March 1, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Rhode Island
    53.090
    Dayton
    63.549
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dayton
    by 10 1/2
    137
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Dayton
    by 7 1/2
    135 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dayton
    (-7 1/2); Over

    Princeton @ Dartmouth


    Game 857-858
    March 1, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Princeton
    55.482
    Dartmouth
    50.062
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Princeton
    by 5 1/2
    133
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Princeton
    by 1
    138
    Dunkel Pick:
    Princeton
    (-1); Under

    Pennsylvania @ Harvard


    Game 855-856
    March 1, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pennsylvania
    53.654
    Harvard
    61.421
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Harvard
    by 8
    147
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Harvard
    by 5
    140
    Dunkel Pick:
    Harvard
    (-5); Over

    Cornell @ Yale


    Game 853-854
    March 1, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cornell
    49.561
    Yale
    58.687
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Yale
    by 9
    171
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Yale
    by 12
    146
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cornell
    (+12); Over

    Kent State @ Bowling Green


    Game 871-872
    March 1, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Kent State
    54.265
    Bowling Green
    63.530
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Bowling Green
    by 8 1/2
    153
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Bowling Green
    by 5 1/2
    149
    Dunkel Pick:
    Bowling Green
    (-5 1/2); Over

    Columbia @ Brown


    Game 851-852
    March 1, 2019 @ 5:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Columbia
    49.259
    Brown
    53.419
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Brown
    by 4
    141
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Brown
    by 7 1/2
    137 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Columbia
    (+7 1/2); Over

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    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Friday, March 1


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    COLUMBIA (7 - 17) at BROWN (17 - 9) - 3/1/2019, 5:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLUMBIA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
    COLUMBIA is 120-90 ATS (+21.0 Units) in road games since 1997.
    COLUMBIA is 120-90 ATS (+21.0 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
    COLUMBIA is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    COLUMBIA is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROWN is 3-2 against the spread versus COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
    BROWN is 3-2 straight up against COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CORNELL (13 - 13) at YALE (18 - 5) - 3/1/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    YALE is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
    YALE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 3 seasons.
    YALE is 95-64 ATS (+24.6 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
    YALE is 96-64 ATS (+25.6 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
    YALE is 52-30 ATS (+19.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
    CORNELL is 137-100 ATS (+27.0 Units) in road games since 1997.
    CORNELL is 137-100 ATS (+27.0 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
    CORNELL is 76-51 ATS (+19.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    YALE is 5-0 against the spread versus CORNELL over the last 3 seasons
    YALE is 5-0 straight up against CORNELL over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    PENNSYLVANIA (16 - 10) at HARVARD (14 - 9) - 3/1/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PENNSYLVANIA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    HARVARD is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    HARVARD is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    HARVARD is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    HARVARD is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    HARVARD is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
    HARVARD is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    HARVARD is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    HARVARD is 4-1 against the spread versus PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
    HARVARD is 3-3 straight up against PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    PRINCETON (15 - 8) at DARTMOUTH (11 - 15) - 3/1/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PRINCETON is 75-52 ATS (+17.8 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
    DARTMOUTH is 69-100 ATS (-41.0 Units) in all home games since 1997.
    DARTMOUTH is 69-100 ATS (-41.0 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
    DARTMOUTH is 61-86 ATS (-33.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
    DARTMOUTH is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1997.
    DARTMOUTH is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) in home games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
    DARTMOUTH is 51-76 ATS (-32.6 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
    DARTMOUTH is 23-46 ATS (-27.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    DARTMOUTH is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    DARTMOUTH is 3-2 against the spread versus PRINCETON over the last 3 seasons
    PRINCETON is 4-1 straight up against DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    RHODE ISLAND (13 - 14) at DAYTON (19 - 9) - 3/1/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    RHODE ISLAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    RHODE ISLAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games this season.
    RHODE ISLAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games this season.
    RHODE ISLAND is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    DAYTON is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    DAYTON is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    DAYTON is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    DAYTON is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    DAYTON is 3-2 against the spread versus RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
    DAYTON is 3-2 straight up against RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    IONA (13 - 15) at RIDER (15 - 13) - 3/1/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    IONA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more this season.
    RIDER is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    RIDER is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games this season.
    RIDER is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
    RIDER is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
    RIDER is 12-33 ATS (-24.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
    RIDER is 88-119 ATS (-42.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
    RIDER is 88-119 ATS (-42.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
    RIDER is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    RIDER is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
    RIDER is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.
    RIDER is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
    RIDER is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games this season.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    IONA is 4-2 against the spread versus RIDER over the last 3 seasons
    IONA is 4-2 straight up against RIDER over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SIENA (15 - 14) at CANISIUS (13 - 16) - 3/1/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CANISIUS is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    SIENA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
    CANISIUS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all home games this season.
    CANISIUS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games this season.
    CANISIUS is 19-36 ATS (-20.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    CANISIUS is 4-1 against the spread versus SIENA over the last 3 seasons
    CANISIUS is 4-1 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MARIST (12 - 16) at FAIRFIELD (8 - 20) - 3/1/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    FAIRFIELD is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    FAIRFIELD is 4-2 against the spread versus MARIST over the last 3 seasons
    FAIRFIELD is 5-1 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    QUINNIPIAC (15 - 12) at ST PETERS (8 - 20) - 3/1/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ST PETERS is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
    QUINNIPIAC is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    QUINNIPIAC is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    QUINNIPIAC is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    QUINNIPIAC is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    QUINNIPIAC is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
    QUINNIPIAC is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    QUINNIPIAC is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
    ST PETERS is 78-108 ATS (-40.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
    ST PETERS is 78-108 ATS (-40.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
    ST PETERS is 24-49 ATS (-29.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    ST PETERS is 16-34 ATS (-21.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    ST PETERS is 3-2 against the spread versus QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons
    ST PETERS is 4-1 straight up against QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    MONMOUTH (10 - 20) at MANHATTAN (9 - 19) - 3/1/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MANHATTAN is 74-51 ATS (+17.9 Units) after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    MANHATTAN is 3-2 against the spread versus MONMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
    MONMOUTH is 4-1 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    KENT ST (20 - 8) at BOWLING GREEN (19 - 9) - 3/1/2019, 6:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    KENT ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    BOWLING GREEN is 23-48 ATS (-29.8 Units) in March games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOWLING GREEN is 4-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
    BOWLING GREEN is 3-2 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    BUFFALO (25 - 3) at MIAMI OHIO (15 - 13) - 3/1/2019, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI OHIO is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    BUFFALO is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    BUFFALO is 49-34 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI OHIO is 2-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    BUFFALO is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by Udog; 03-01-2019 at 09:39 AM.

  6. #6
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    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, March 1


    Buffalo won its last six games, is 13-2 in MAC, 5-2 on road, winning last two road games, by six points each. Miami split its last eight games; they’re 7-8 in MAC, winning four of their last five home games. Buffalo was +14 in turnovers (18-4) in its 88-64 home win over Miami Jan 12; Bulls won three of last four series games, but lost last two visits to Miami, by 1-3 points. Home side won last five series games. Buffalo is 6-8-1 in its last 15 games as a road favorite, 3-4 this year; Red Hawks are 2-4 in last six games as a home underdog, 1-1 this year.

    Kent State split its last six games; they’re 9-6 in MAC, losing three of last four road games, with losses by 19-10-23 points. Bowling Green lost last two games, giving up 82-92 points; they’re 11-4 in MAC, but they split last four home games. BG is shooting 38.8% on arc in conference games. Falcons won 86-64 at Kent Jan 5; Falcons won four of last six series games- teams split last four meetings here. Golden Flashes are 5-8 in last 13 games as a road underdog, 2-4 this year; BG is 6-5-1 in last dozen games as a home favorite, 3-2-1 this year.

    Brown outscored Columbia 22-7 on foul line in its 65-63 win at Columbia 13 days ago; Bruins won three of last four series games, but they lost last four visits to the Bronx, by 21-3-5-7 points. Columbia lost six of its last seven games; they’re 2-8 in Ivy, 1-3 on road, with lone win in OT at Penn. Brown won four of its last five games, is 5-5 in Ivy, winning last three home games, by 8-9-3 points. Under Engles, Lions are 8-5 as an Ivy road underdog, 2-2 this year; last three years, Brown is 0-5 vs spread as a home favorite, 0-1 this year.

    Cornell lost its last three games, is 5-5 in Ivy, 2-3 on road; they’re worst rebounding team in league. Yale won six of its last seven games; they’re 8-2 in Ivy, with both losses to Harvard. Bulldogs are shooting 57.3% inside arc in Ivy League games. Yale scored 1.36 ppp (very high) in its 98-92 win at Cornell 13 nights ago; Bulldogs won last dozen series games. Big Red lost their last five visits to New Haven, by 4-11-31-27-14 points. Last four years, Cornell is 15-9 as a road underdog, 3-2 this year; Yale is 4-1 vs spread this season as a home favorite.

    Harvard won 75-68 in OT at Penn Feb 16, rallying back from down 6 with 1:15 left in regulation; Crimson made 12-26 on the arc. Teams split last eight series games; Quakers lost their last six visits to Harvard, by 19-30-23-18-10-9 points. Penn is 2-3 in its last five games; three of their last four games went OT. Harvard won eight of last 10 games; they’re 7-3 in Ivy4-1 at home- this is their first home game in three weeks. Penn is 3-10 in its last 13 games as a road underdog, 0-1 this year; Crimson is 11-5 in its last 16 games as a home favorite, 2-3 this year.

    Princeton won its last three games, is 7-3 in Ivy, 3-2 on road, losing at Yale/Brown. Dartmouth lost eight of its last nine games, but four of their last five losses were by 3 or fewer points. Princeton outscored Dartmouth 12-7 over final 4:07 of its 69-68 home win over the Big Green Feb 16; Tigers won nine of last ten series games, winning three of last four visits here- they lost by 18 at Dartmouth LY. Princeton is 18-12-1 vs spread in its last 31 Ivy road games, 3-2 this year; Big Green is 7-5-1 in last 13 games as a home underdog, 1-2 this year.

    Dayton shot 68% inside arc in their 77-48 road win at Rhode Island Feb 9; Flyers won seven of last nine series games. Rams lost three of last four visits here, but won 88-74 LY. URI lost lost five of its last six games; they’re 6-9 in A-14, losing last four road games, by 7-3-15-34 points. Dayton won seven of its last nine games; they’re 11-4 in A-14, winning three of their last four home games. Dayton is 11-9-1 in its last 21 games as a home favorite, 2-4-1 this year; URI is 5-10 vs spread in its last 15 games as a road underdog, 0-3 this year.

    Iona shot 63% inside the arc in its 77-71 home win over Rider Jan 25; Gaels won 11 of last 14 series games, but they lost two of last three visits here. Favorites covered four of last five series games. Iona won its last six games, is 11-6 in MAAC, winning last three road games, by 5-4-14 points. Rider won its last three games after an 0-5 skid; they’re 10-6 in MAAC, 6-2 at home, losing to Canisius/Siena by total of three points. Iona is 8-5 in its last 13 games as a road underdog, 3-2 this year; Rider is 2-6 vs spread this season as a home favorite.

    Siena won six of its last eight games, is 10-6 in MAAC, winning its last three road games, at Iona, Manhattan, Rider. Canisius lost three of its last four games; they’re 10-7 in MAAC, losing last two home games, to Manhattan/Niagara. Canisius outscored Siena 17-5 on foul line in its 70-66 win in Albany Jan 5; Saints were 13-35 on arc that night, Canisius 3-15. Saints lost last two visits here, by 3-24 points. Siena is 4-1 vs spread this year as a MAAC road underdog; under Witherspoon, Canisius is 10-10-1 as a home favorite, 2-4 this year.

    Marist lost its last two games, scoring 59-55 points; they’re 7-9 in MAAC, but they won three of last four road games. Fairfield lost four of its last five games; they’re 5-11 in MAAC, 4-4 at home. Fairfield survived 19 turnovers (-4) in its 57-52 win at Marist Feb 2; Stags won seven of last eight series games. Red Foxes lost their last 11 visits to Fairfield, losing last three by 10-3-4 points. Marist is 10-5 in its last 15 games as a road underdog, 4-2 this year; Stags are 12-18 vs spread in their last 30 games as a home favorite, 2-4 this year.

    Quinnipiac won five of its last seven games; they’re 10-6 in MAAC, winning their last four road games. Bobcats are shooting 39% on arc in MAAC tilts. Saint Peter’s won its last two games, is 5-11 in MAAC, losing four of their last five home games. Quinnipiac thrashed Saint Peter’s 77-58 at home Jan 27, Bobcats’ first series win in last five tries. Peacocks won their last two visits here, by 31-9 points. Last five years, Quinnipiac is 0-4-1 as a MAAC road favorite, 0-0-1 this year; Peacocks are 6-5 in last 11 games as a home underdog, 2-2 this year.

    Monmouth lost its last four games, is 9-8 in MAAC, 3-5 on road; they’re shooting 45.7% inside arc in MAAC games. Manhattan lost its last two games, is 7-9 in MAAC, splitting their eight home games. Jaspers are turning ball over 24.7% of time in MAAC games. Manhattan lost 65-49 at Monmouth Jan 12; Hawks won five of last six series games, but are 1-4 in MAAC games in Draddy Gym, with lone win there two years ago. Hawks are 4-9 in last 13 games as a road dog, 3-5 this year; Manhattan is 5-2 in its last seven games as a home favorite, 1-0 this year.

  7. #7
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    NCAAB

    Friday, March 1


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Columbia @ Brown
    Columbia
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbia's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbia's last 7 games
    Brown
    Brown is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Columbia
    Brown is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

    Kent State @ Bowling Green
    Kent State
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kent State's last 8 games when playing Bowling Green
    Kent State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
    Bowling Green
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Bowling Green's last 8 games
    Bowling Green is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home

    Cornell @ Yale
    Cornell
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cornell's last 7 games when playing on the road against Yale
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cornell's last 6 games when playing Yale
    Yale
    Yale is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cornell
    Yale is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cornell

    Marist @ Fairfield
    Marist
    Marist is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marist's last 5 games when playing on the road against Fairfield
    Fairfield
    Fairfield is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Marist
    Fairfield is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Marist

    Iona @ Rider
    Iona
    Iona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Iona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Rider
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Rider's last 8 games
    Rider is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games at home

    Quinnipiac @ Saint Peter's
    Quinnipiac
    Quinnipiac is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Quinnipiac is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Saint Peter's
    Saint Peter's is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Quinnipiac
    Saint Peter's is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Quinnipiac

    Rhode Island @ Dayton
    Rhode Island
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Rhode Island's last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rhode Island's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dayton
    Dayton
    Dayton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Dayton is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

    Pennsylvania @ Harvard
    Pennsylvania
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pennsylvania's last 5 games when playing Harvard
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pennsylvania's last 10 games
    Harvard
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Harvard's last 5 games when playing Pennsylvania
    Harvard is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

    Monmouth @ Manhattan
    Monmouth
    Monmouth is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Manhattan
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Monmouth's last 7 games when playing Manhattan
    Manhattan
    Manhattan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Monmouth
    Manhattan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Monmouth

    Princeton @ Dartmouth
    Princeton
    Princeton is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Dartmouth
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Princeton's last 6 games on the road
    Dartmouth
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dartmouth's last 7 games at home
    Dartmouth is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

    Buffalo @ Miami-Ohio
    Buffalo
    Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
    Miami-Ohio
    Miami-Ohio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Miami-Ohio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Siena @ Canisius
    Siena
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Siena's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Siena's last 13 games
    Canisius
    Canisius is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Siena
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Canisius's last 6 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  8. #8
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    Default

    Columbia Lions vs Brown Bears
    Brown opened at -7.5 and the line now sit at -4 in some books.
    Columbia is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs Brown.

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