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Thread: Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/1

  1. #1
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    Default Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/1

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, March 1

    Good Luck on day # 60 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    — Magic 103, Warriors 96— Golden State lost four of its last six games.

    — Green Bay 70, Wright State 67— Raiders fall into a tie for first atop the Horizon.

    — Stanford 98, Washington State 50— Cardinal led 52-15 at halftime. Oy.

    — Wichita State 65, UConn 63— Shockers hit corner jumper at the buzzer.

    — 76ers 108, Thunder 104— Philly had lost 19 in a row to the Thunder.

    — UCLA 93, USC 88 OT— In their last two games, Trojans are 1-13 on the foul line. They made 19-49 on the arc on this game; those two stats do not go together.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…..

    13) Bryce Harper signs with the Phillies for 13 years, $330M, which works out to $156,695.16 per game, for every game the Phillies play thru 2031. All guaranteed money.

    Keep in mind the National League will probably have the DH starting in 2022, so as Harper gets older, he can take “days off” but still have his bat in the lineup.

    California’s state income tax, at its highest level is over 12%, Pennsylvania has a flat 3% income tax, which may help explain this decision. Giants made a 12-year, $310 million offer, which was actually a decent amount less than the Phillies’ offer, after taxes.

    12) MLB Network was showing spring training games Thursday afternoon, but the games quickly got the hook once Harper’s signing was announced. Not sure I needed to hear four hours of people discussing Harper signing his contract. I don’t give a rat’s ass about anything Bob Costas says.

    If you play fantasy baseball, not the best day to have Nick Williams on your team, like I do. The 25-year old OF loses his starting job now that Harper is in Philly.

    Funny thing, Phillies played split squad games Thursday, and Williams wasn’t in either game, which at 1pm struck me as odd. At 3:00, it made a lot more sense.

    Please trade Nick Williams!!!!! (Baltimore, Miami, Arizona???)

    11) Jason Witten came out of retirement and will play for the Cowboys again next season, which opens up a spot in ESPN’s Monday Night Football booth.

    10) Tommy John missed the 1975 season after he had the original “Tommy John surgery” on his elbow. Here are his career stats, before and after the surgery:

    Before: 12 years, 124-106. 318 starts, one All-Star Game
    After: 14 years, 164-125, 382 starts, three All-Star Games

    He pitched in the major leagues until he was 46 years old.

    9) Kyler Murray made a lot of money at the NFL Combine Thursday, when he was measured at just over 5-10, and weighed in at 207 pounds. Pretty much the same size as Russell Wilson. he is going to be a top-10 draft pick in April.

    8) Raiders are now expected to play home games in Oakland next season, with the plan being to move into their new dome in Las Vegas in 2020.

    7) Upsets of the night in college basketball:
    — California (+13.5) 76, Washington 73
    — North Dakota (+9.5) 88, Fort Wayne 82
    — Florida Atlantic (+9) 60, North Texas
    — Elon (+7.5) 73, James Madison 58
    — Marshall (+7) 90, Louisiana Tech 79
    — Xavier (+5) 84, St John’s 73

    6) If you live in the Albany area, the 3rd-oldest coin/jewelry store in America is on Wolf Road in Colonie, kind of near Ted’s Fish Fry. Ferris Coin & Jewelry is a pretty cool place; they’ve been in business since 1930. I have some old $2 bills that I thought might be valuable (they’re not), but the people in there were very nice and they answered all my questions.

    5) Actor Mahershala Ali, who won an Academy Award for the movie Green Book last weekend, played basketball in college at Saint Mary’s; he averaged 7 points a game as a senior, back when he was known as Ali Gilmore.

    4) Something to think about two weeks from now: over last four years, Kentucky is 12-0 in the SEC basketball tournament, with nine wins by 10+ points.

    In the four tournament finals, Wildcats started 19 different players. Isaiah Briscoe was only guy to start in two of them.

    3) Johnny Manziel got kicked out of the CFL; they didn’t say why. Manziel had been playing for the Montreal Alouettes, who are coached by former Packers’ coach Mike Sherman. Sherman’s son-in-law is Zac Taylor, the Cincinnati Bengals’ new coach.

    2) Kid on Xavier made a foul line jumper against St John’s last night, and it dawned on me; you almost never see that shot taken anymore. Everything is layups and 3’s; mid-range jumpers are frowned upon by the analytics people.

    1) Indiana University (PA) started the last week of the regular season ranked No. 2 in the country in Division II, but when they showed up at Edinboro State for their game Wednesday, they realized they had made the 100+-mile trip without an important thing- their uniforms.

    I put myself thru college as student manager of a D-III basketball team; I shudder to think of the grief their manager(s) took for this mistake. IUP won 87-59, much to the manager’(s) relief, but guaranteed they’ll be obsessive about not forgetting things the rest of the season.

    Indiana, PA by the way, is the Christmas Tree Capital of the World; when I was in college, we played in their Christmas tournament, the Christmas Tree Classic. Next town over from Indiana is Punxatawney, where the ground hog sees (or doesn’t see) his shadow every February 2.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Friday, March 1



    Milwaukee @ LA Lakers

    Game 553-554
    March 1, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    125.934
    LA Lakers
    112.736
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 13
    227
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 4 1/2
    236
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (-4 1/2); Under

    LA Clippers @ Sacramento


    Game 551-552
    March 1, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Clippers
    117.705
    Sacramento
    116.109
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 1 1/2
    232
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Sacramento
    by 3 1/2
    239 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Clippers
    (+3 1/2); Under

    New Orleans @ Phoenix


    Game 549-550
    March 1, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    105.758
    Phoenix
    105.174
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 1
    245
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 4 1/2
    237 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Phoenix
    (+4 1/2); Over

    Washington @ Boston


    Game 547-548
    March 1, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    115.871
    Boston
    117.981
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 2
    236
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 9
    230 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (+9); Over

    Portland @ Toronto


    Game 541-542
    March 1, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Portland
    114.157
    Toronto
    122.169
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 8
    234
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 5
    225
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-5); Over

    Charlotte @ Brooklyn


    Game 545-546
    March 1, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Charlotte
    115.350
    Brooklyn
    114.057
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Charlotte
    by 1 1/2
    226
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Brooklyn
    by 3 1/2
    228
    Dunkel Pick:
    Charlotte
    (+3 1/2); Under

    Chicago @ Atlanta


    Game 543-544
    March 1, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    108.976
    Atlanta
    113.756
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Atlanta
    by 5
    226
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Atlanta
    by 2 1/2
    230 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (-2 1/2); Under

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Friday, March 1


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    PORTLAND (38 - 23) at TORONTO (45 - 17) - 3/1/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PORTLAND is 35-26 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
    PORTLAND is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    PORTLAND is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    PORTLAND is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    PORTLAND is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 205-257 ATS (-77.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CHICAGO (17 - 45) at ATLANTA (21 - 41) - 3/1/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 5-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 5-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CHARLOTTE (28 - 33) at BROOKLYN (32 - 31) - 3/1/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 61-76 ATS (-22.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 47-67 ATS (-26.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 81-63 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    BROOKLYN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 7-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    CHARLOTTE is 6-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    WASHINGTON (25 - 36) at BOSTON (37 - 25) - 3/1/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 25-34 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in road games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    WASHINGTON is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 137-174 ATS (-54.4 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    WASHINGTON is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    WASHINGTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    WASHINGTON is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    WASHINGTON is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    WASHINGTON is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    BOSTON is 90-68 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 176-139 ATS (+23.1 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
    BOSTON is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 62-44 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 10-6 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 8-8 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    12 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NEW ORLEANS (27 - 36) at PHOENIX (12 - 50) - 3/1/2019, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) on Friday nights this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    NEW ORLEANS is 83-69 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 26-36 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all games this season.
    PHOENIX is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    PHOENIX is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
    PHOENIX is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    PHOENIX is 19-30 ATS (-14.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    PHOENIX is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    PHOENIX is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 6-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 7-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    LA CLIPPERS (34 - 29) at SACRAMENTO (31 - 30) - 3/1/2019, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA CLIPPERS are 225-285 ATS (-88.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    SACRAMENTO is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in home games this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    SACRAMENTO is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Friday nights this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 52-36 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 8-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 10-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MILWAUKEE (47 - 14) at LA LAKERS (30 - 31) - 3/1/2019, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 385-465 ATS (-126.5 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 278-334 ATS (-89.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 64-110 ATS (-57.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
    LA LAKERS are 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 57-33 ATS (+20.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
    LA LAKERS are 25-34 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games this season.
    LA LAKERS are 145-186 ATS (-59.6 Units) in March games since 1996.
    LA LAKERS are 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA LAKERS is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, March 1


    Portland won its last five games, were underdog in three of them; Blazers are 6-2 vs spread in last eight road games. Over is 8-3-1 in their last dozen games. Toronto won eight of its last nine games; they’re 4-7 vs spread in last 11 home games. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Blazers lost six of last seven games with Toronto; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Canada. Six of last eight series games went over.

    Chicago won four of its last five games; they covered six of last eight road games. Eight of their last ten games went over. Hawks split their last six games; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five home games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Bulls won five of their last six games with the Hawks; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Atlanta. Four of last five series games stayed under the total.

    Hornets lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five road games. Four of their last five games went over. Brooklyn split its last eight games; they’re 2-6-1 vs spread in last nine home games. Six of their last eight games went over. Hornets are 5-3 in their last eight games with the Nets; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Brooklyn. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

    Washington lost four of its last five games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last five road games. Wizards’ last ten games went over the total. Boston lost six of its last eight games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Road team won four of last five Wizard-Celtic games; Washington is 1-3 vs spread in its last four visits to Boston. Eight of last nine series games went over.

    Pelicans lost four of their last six games; they’re 0-3 vs spread in last three road games. Four of their last five games went over. Phoenix lost 17 of its last 18 games; they’re 1-3-1 vs spread in last five home games. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. New Orleans won its last seven games with the Suns; they covered their last four trips to the desert. Four of last six series tilts stayed under the total.

    Clippers are 4-3 in their last seven games; they’re 6-4-1 vs spread in last 11 road games. Five of their last seven games went over the total. Sacramento lost four of its last five games; they’re 11-1 vs spread in last dozen home games. Under is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Clippers won their last eight games with the Kings; they’re 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to Sacramento. Over is 5-0-1 in last six series games.

    Bucks won 12 of their last 13 games; they’re 0-2-1 vs spread in last three road games. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Lakers lost six of their last nine games; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five games at Staples. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Milwaukee won four of its last five games with the Lakers; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five series games played here. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.

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    Friday, March 1


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
    Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Charlotte is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Brooklyn
    Charlotte is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Brooklyn
    Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Charlotte is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 8 games
    Brooklyn is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Brooklyn is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
    Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Brooklyn is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Charlotte
    Brooklyn is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Charlotte
    Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
    Brooklyn is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte

    Chicago Bulls
    Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Chicago is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games
    Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Chicago is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
    Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
    Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
    Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

    Portland Trail Blazers
    Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Portland's last 13 games
    Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
    Portland is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Toronto
    Portland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games when playing Toronto
    Portland is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Portland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games
    Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Toronto is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games at home
    Toronto is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Portland
    Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Portland
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Portland
    Toronto is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Portland
    Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Portland

    Washington Wizards
    Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
    Washington is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
    Washington is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
    Washington is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Boston
    Washington is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Washington is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Boston Celtics
    Boston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
    Boston is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games at home
    Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Washington
    Boston is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Washington
    Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    New Orleans is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
    New Orleans is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games on the road
    New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
    New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
    New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Phoenix is 1-17 SU in its last 18 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games
    Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games at home
    Phoenix is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
    Phoenix is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans
    Phoenix is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans

    Los Angeles Clippers
    LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games
    LA Clippers is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
    LA Clippers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LA Clippers's last 16 games on the road
    LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
    LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
    LA Clippers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 9 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Sacramento's last 22 games
    Sacramento is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
    Sacramento is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Sacramento's last 11 games at home
    Sacramento is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
    Sacramento is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 9 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games
    Milwaukee is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Milwaukee's last 22 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Lakers
    Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
    Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    Milwaukee is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    LA Lakers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    LA Lakers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    LA Lakers is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home
    LA Lakers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
    LA Lakers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
    LA Lakers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    LA Lakers is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  7. #7
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    Friday's Essentials
    Tony Mejia

    Game of the Night - Portland at Toronto (-5, 226.5), 8:05 ET, ESPN

    The Trail Blazers are the team we choose to overlook.

    Maybe it’s because they’re tucked in the Pacific Northwest and they seemingly operate in stealth mode due to the shadow cast by the Warriors, Nuggets, Thunder and Rockets, but the five-game winning streak they’ve put together now has them even with OKC behind conference leaders Golden State and Denver. No one has a longer run going entering Friday night’s action. The five-game surge has seen them cover every game, opening with a 129-107 rout of the Warriors just before the All-Star break and featuring a perfect run on the road through Eastern Conference competition.

    Portland posted double-digit routs in Brooklyn, Philadelphia and Cleveland before compounding Boston’s misfortune with Wednesday night’s 97-92 victory. Its’ seven-game trip continues in Canada tonight before stops in Charlotte and Memphis on Sunday and Tuesday. If the Blazers handle business as an underdog for the fourth time on their current run, they’ll be favored to complete a perfect road on the run and will be the talk of the NBA entering next Thursday’s nationally-televised home date against Oklahoma City.

    The Trail Blazers are making themselves impossible to overlook.

    They should already have wanted posters splattered throughout post offices in East cities given their 18-4 record against the conference. Considering there’s more depth at the top than there’s been in years, that’s impressive. If they sweep the Atlantic Division-leading Raptors, they’ll win a sixth straight contest for the first time since capturing 13 wins in a row between Feb. 14-March 18, similarly starting the streak just before the All-Star break and coming out of it with 12 consecutive conquests. The difference is that they were at home for nine of those wins, but it is a reminder we were having conversations about how seriously to take Portland last March and it wound up swept out of the first-round by a Pelicans team they couldn’t match up with.

    The Blazers have added another quality offensive center in Enes Kanter and also just added Rodney Hood to try and strengthen the bench, but they’re largely the same group. Forward Jake Layman has taken a step forward. Moe Harkless has been an x-factor since getting healthy during this run after having knee surgery last March, coming up with a season-high 17 points and 10 boards in Wednesday’s upset in Boston. Still, this remains a team reliant on the smallish backcourt of Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum. Will there always be a ceiling?

    Another test against a quality team like the Raptors, who went 8-1 in February and own one of the league’s top frontcourts, will give us another opportunity to see how they measure up. With Harkless back and Kanter having a little more experience with this group under his belt, this is a fantastic test for those guys and mainstays Jusuf Nurkic, Al-Farouq Aminu and Evan Turner given the level of competition. The versatility provided by Kawhi Leonard, Most Improved Player lock Pascal Siakam and centers Serge Ibaka and Marc Gasol is Toronto’s biggest weapon.

    Portland won the first meeting 122-118 on Dec. 14, outrebounding the Raps 38-37 and holding on despite being outscored 72-70 in the second half. Kyle Lowry was absent for that game, so the Blazers will have to deal with Toronto’s All-Star point guard in addition to Gasol. Their bench was the difference, outscoring the Raptors’ 58-26. Zach Collins and Meyers Leonard, expected to see minutes decrease with Kanter on board and Harkless back, combined for 20 points on 8-for-10 shooting and seven boards. Nik Stauskas, who scored 13 points in that game, has since been traded to Cleveland for Hood.

    Like Portland, the Raps also come off a win over Boston, beating them at home on Tuesday as Leonard and Siakam combined for 46 points in a 118-95 rout. Toronto led by as much as 31 points after pulling away thanks to an 18-0 second-quarter run. It made 17 3-pointers, one off its career-high. Lowry looks healthy, dishing out 11 assists. Gasol looked as engaged as he has since arriving from Memphis, contributing five points, five rebounds and eight assists in just over 23 minutes. They recovered from 113-98 rout suffered on Sunday and should be well-rested since this will be only their fourth game out of the break and all have been at home. Toronto has won 15 of 17 overall at the newly renamed Scotiabank Arena, where their 26-6 mark ranks behind only Denver and Milwaukee in home winning percentage. Portland is looking to even its road mark at 15-15, which would mark the first time since November that it is back at .500 in away games.

    The Blazers had their 26-game run of scoring over 100 points snapped in Wednesday’s win over Boston. The ‘over’ has connected in nine of Portland’s last 13 contests.

    Best of the Rest

    Charlotte at Brooklyn, 7:35 p.m. ET:
    The Hornets now have company atop the Southeast Division since Orlando’s upset of Golden State got them even in the standings. Kemba Walker had a tremendous game against the Warriors earlier in the week but missed a huge shot that would’ve tied it down the stretch. He’s come up empty in defending the home floor in Charlotte against the defending champs and the Rockets, but always relishes being back in his native New York and seems to be out of a slump that sabotaged his All-Star Game experience. This is the first time since just prior to that weekend that he’ll be shooting outside Spectrum Center, looking to get even after last Friday night’s 117-115 home loss to the Nets. Walker’s 32 points were overcome by D’Angelo Russell’s 40. Brooklyn’s All-Star scored the final 12 points in tying a career-high and will have guard Spencer Dinwiddie back to lend a hand for the first time since tearing ligaments in his thumb on Jan. 23. Brooklyn’s upset win last week ended a three-game losing streak at the hands of the Hornets. The Nets have standout wing Caris LeVert back from a horrific ankle injury and have seen him show flashes of his early form despite the fact he’s coming off an 0-for-5 showing in Wednesday’s loss to Washington, the Nets’ fourth home loss in six games following a 13-1 run from Dec. 7-Jan. 29. The ‘over’ is 6-2 in Brooklyn’s last eight games and has connected in four of the last five involving Charlotte.

    Washington at Boston, 8:05 p.m. ET:
    The Celtics are on a season-long four-game losing streak and have dropped six consecutive games in which Kyrie Irving has participated in, putting a disconnect between himself and teammates on full display for anyone that hadn’t already been paying attention. The Wizards come in as a dangerous underdog despite missing John Wall and having moved on from Otto Porter and Markieff Morris. New guys like Bobby Portis and Jabari Parker know the Celtics have been public enemy No. 1 for Washington for years and like to mix it up. The Wizards are just 8-16 on the road after winning in Brooklyn, having been led by Bradley Beal’s 31 points, wrapping up a February that saw him average over 30. Wall was the driving force last time these teams played each other on Dec. 12, finishing with 34 points and 13 assists, but Irving scored 38 and the Celtics won 130-125. Maybe seeing Washington’s porous defense will help Boston get going. The Wizards have seen the ‘over’ connect in 10 straight games as they’ve averaged 120.5 points while surrendering 125.5 in that stretch. The high-side has connected in 12 of 13.

    L.A. Clippers at Sacramento, 10:05 p.m. ET:
    The Kings have dropped consecutive games and are in danger of falling back down to .500 with 20 games remaining if they fail to protect their home floor tonight. The Clippers and Spurs are even at 34-29 and take up residence in the final two playoffs pots in the Western Conference, 2.5 games up on ninth-place Sacramento and an additional game up on the Lakers (30-31). The Kings took their best shot at the Bucks in Wednesday’s 141-140 OT loss and are 1-3 since action resumed post-break, claiming only an upset in Oklahoma City. This will be their first game as a favorite, but they must overcome the absence of standout rookie forward Marvin Bagley III, who suffered a knee sprain against Milwaukee and will be out at least a week. L.A. beat Sacramento 122-108 on Jan. 27 behind 25 points from Montrezl Harrell and can sweep the season-series 4-0 with a road upset. The Clips have averaged 127.3 points per game in the three victories and the ‘over’ has gone 2-0-1. The high-side has hit in five of the last seven involving L.A. Opening at 240, this is expected to close as the largest total of the evening.

    Milwaukee at L.A. Lakers, 10:35 p.m. ET:
    The Lakers finally got on the board after the All-Star break, surviving New Orleans at Staples in part because Anthony Davis sat the last quarter-and-a-half. LeBron James sealed the win with a huge 3-pointers and finished with 33 points and 10 assists, but we’ll see how he fares against Giannis Antetokounmpo, who has been bothered by a sore right knee this week and many not play his full complement of minutes. The Bucks are exercising caution with their star, a luxury they can afford since they own the NBA’s best record. This presents L.A. with a golden opportunity to steal a game as an underdog to offset some of the bad losses they’ve suffered over the past few weeks. Considering how challenging their remaining schedule is, the Lakers will need to pull off a few upsets to avoid missing the playoffs. Lonzo Ball (ankle) remains sidelined and Lance Stephenson (toe) won’t play, while the Bucks will be without backup point guard George Hill (groin). These teams have yet to play this season and will meet again at Fiserv Forum on March 19. Eric Bledsoe comes off a triple-double in the Bucks’ OT win in Sacramento and scored a game-high 39 points in last March’s 124-122 win over the Lakers in the last meeting between these franchises. Antetokounmpo may again be kept to about 24 minutes for maintenance reasons and probably won’t play in Utah on Saturday night if he participates. The ‘under’ has delivered in five of the last seven involving the Bucks.

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    Hoop Trends - Friday
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Kings are 14-0 ATS (+9.00 ppg) as a favorite with rest.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Suns are 0-12 ATS (-8.92 ppg) as a home dog with more than two days of rest.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Wizards are 16-0 OU (+19.00 ppg) as a road dog with less than two days rest off a win in a road game.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Lakers are 0-14 OU (-11.82 ppg) at home with less than two days rest off a win in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint.

  9. #9
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    By: Monique Vág



    Home court advantage

    The Hornets travel to Brooklyn having lost five of the most recent six games but have historically done well versus the Nets winning 10 of the most recent 14 matchups in the head-to-head.

    The Hornets have surrendered an average of 118.7 points per game over their most recent three games. When these two teams met just over a week ago, it was D’Angelo Russell’s 40 points that helped the Nets secure the win. Look for Brooklyn to once again find success versus the Hornets and back them to cover as 3-point home favorites.


    Extending their winning ways

    The Blazers travel to Toronto having won five straight games but haven’t had much look versus the Raptors in the past, winning only one of the most recent seven contests.

    Toronto has been dominant at Scotiabank Arena this season posting a 26-6 record, including winning 15 of the most recent 17 games there.

    With Portland struggling to score points early on in road games, averaging only 52.1 first half points away from home, and just 48.3 in the first half of games in last three head-to-head meetings, back Toronto to find success early on and take them to cover the first half spread of 2.5-points.


    Orchestrating some offense

    New Orleans hope to make it six straight wins versus the Suns as they are 5.5-point road favorites today. Look for Pelicans’ starting point guard Elfrid Payton to once again be a factor on the scoreboard since returning from injury.

    Today, he is up against a Suns team surrendering an average of 24.2 points, 6.6 boards, and 8.5 dimes to opposing point guards. Payton has averaged 10.6 assists per game over his most recent three, and in what projects to be a high scoring game, back Over his points, rebounds, assists total of 22.5.


    There’s no place like home

    The Clippers have historically gotten the better of the Kings winning nine of the last 10 meetings overall, and five straight at the Golden 1 Center. Despite their success over the past couple of seasons, this year’s Kings team is different, and have played very well at home winning nine of their last 11 and covering the spread in 11-of-12 at home.

    Look for Sacramento to keep things close and back them to cover the spread as 3.5-point home underdogs.


    Lighting it up by halftime

    The Bucks are 4.5-point favorites as they put their six-game winning streak on the line on the road versus the Lakers. Los Angeles have struggled to put together two wins in a row, and this task will not be easy versus a Bucks team averaging 132.7 points per game over their most recent three.

    With Milwaukee averaging 68.3 first half points per game over their most recent three, and Los Angeles 58.7 throughout the most recent three game stretch, look for points to rack up early and back the first half game total Over 115.

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