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Thread: Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/22

  1. #1
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    Default Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/22

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, February 22

    Good Luck on day # 53 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Hitters who knocked in highest %age of runners in from 3rd base LY (min, 200 PA)

    1) Lourdes Gurriel, Tor 14-21 (66.7%)

    2) Jake Lamb, 14-23 (60.9%)

    3) Yuli Gurriel, Hst 34-61 (55.7%)

    4) Andrelton Simmons, LAA 35-63 (55.6%)

    5) Matt Wieters, Wsh 15-27 (55.6%)

    6) Jedd Gyorko 21-39 (53.8%)


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

    13) Zion Williamson supposedly has a Grade 1 sprained knee; no one is saying how long he is out for. “Day-to-day” is the official word; seemed to me Wednesday that his injury wasn’t a minor thing. Hope the young man does what is best for him; he has a lot of money sitting on the table, waiting for him to grab it this spring/summer.

    Then there is the other side of the coin…….

    Kenyon Martin played college ball at Cincinnati; he was the #1 pick in the 2000 NBA draft. Martin broke his leg in the C-USA tournament his senior season, a situation not unlike Williamson’s Wednesday.

    Martin went on to earn $113,035,975 in his NBA career, so most injuries do heal.

    12) Bucks 98, Celtics 97— Is Milwaukee the quietest 44-14 team ever?

    11) Cavaliers 111, Suns 98— Phoenix and the Knicks both have 11 wins; they play each other March 6. Will either team win a game before then?

    10) Pittsburgh Steelers let star RB Le’Veon Bell walk; he will be a free agent when the new NFL year starts next month. Looks like Steelers will be without Bell and Antonio Brown, which means a much different offensive look for them next fall.

    9) Western Kentucky is getting coach Rick Stansbury back this weekend; he had back surgery last weekend and has missed the last four games.

    8) Steve Stricker will be the captain of the American team the next time they hold the Ryder Cup; he will be the first American captain ever who hasn’t won a major tournament.

    7) Upsets of the night in college hoop:
    — SIU-Edwardsville (+6.5) 85, Tennessee State 84
    — UL-Monroe (+5.5) 63, Texas State 60
    — San Francisco (+4) 77, BYU 71

    6) Saw an old film clip today of the great QB Sonny Jurgensen back when he was playing for the Eagles in the early 60’s; while being rushed, he throws a pass behind his back, and completes it to a running back in the left flat.

    Apparently it was an exhibition game in 1961 against the college all-stars; back then, the NFL champs played the college all-stars in the first exhibition game the next summer. Jurgensen was a really good QB and also a bit of a character.

    5) Statistic I never would’ve guessed; who has scored the most runs this decade? How about Ian Kinsler, with 851. I would’ve sat here for an hour and not come up with that one.

    4) Arena Football League has expanded to six teams for this season, adding Atlantic City and Columbus, OH to the league, joining Philadelphia, Washington, Baltimore and Albany.

    3) AA Eastern League is moving to a split-season format, meaning the first/second half champs will meet in the playoffs. You wonder if the major leagues will consider something like that down the road someday, to re-boot interest in losing teams during the summer.

    2) In case you were wondering, before the All-Star break, James Harden dribbled the ball 29,055 times, more than anyone else in the NBA.

    1) Every time it snows here in beautiful upstate New York, I price condos in Las Vegas, but this week, it has snowed twice in Las Vegas, with the snow Wednesday night enough that there was a chance schools would be closed on Thursday. Their last school closing for snow was in 2008.

    In case you were wondering, the city of Las Vegas owns two snow plows. Two.

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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Friday, February 22


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    COLUMBUS (33-23-0-3, 69 pts.) at OTTAWA (22-33-0-5, 49 pts.) - 2/22/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OTTAWA is 59-63 ATS (+122.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    COLUMBUS is 15-9 ATS (+24.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
    COLUMBUS is 12-5 ATS (+6.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    OTTAWA is 111-97 ATS (-12.9 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
    OTTAWA is 14-37 ATS (+62.4 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLUMBUS is 4-3-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)

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    COLORADO (25-24-0-11, 61 pts.) at CHICAGO (26-26-0-9, 61 pts.) - 2/22/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLORADO is 25-35 ATS (-15.6 Units) in all games this season.
    COLORADO is 6-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
    COLORADO is 7-17 ATS (-12.6 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
    COLORADO is 1-6 ATS (-7.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games this season.
    COLORADO is 8-12 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    CHICAGO is 8-2 ATS (+6.0 Units) in February games this season.
    CHICAGO is 10-7 ATS (+19.3 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
    COLORADO is 92-81 ATS (+180.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 59-85 ATS (+152.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 65-74 ATS (-41.0 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 370-370 ATS (-67.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    CHICAGO is 160-180 ATS (-97.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 6-5-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

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    MINNESOTA (28-27-0-6, 62 pts.) at DETROIT (23-29-0-9, 55 pts.) - 2/22/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 28-33 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all games this season.
    MINNESOTA is 2-9 ATS (-11.5 Units) in February games this season.
    MINNESOTA is 9-20 ATS (-15.5 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 9-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    MINNESOTA is 21-28 ATS (-16.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 14-16 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    MINNESOTA is 4-9 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
    DETROIT is 15-39 ATS (+63.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 21-30 ATS (+51.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 3-2 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 3-2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

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    ANAHEIM (24-27-0-9, 57 pts.) at CALGARY (37-16-0-7, 81 pts.) - 2/22/2019, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ANAHEIM is 562-459 ATS (+29.9 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
    ANAHEIM is 138-134 ATS (+290.1 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
    ANAHEIM is 276-250 ATS (+538.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
    CALGARY is 5-11 ATS (-8.2 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ANAHEIM is 11-3 (+8.5 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
    ANAHEIM is 11-3-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.1 Units)

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    WINNIPEG (36-20-0-4, 76 pts.) at VEGAS (32-25-0-5, 69 pts.) - 2/22/2019, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VEGAS is 49-35 ATS (+1.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    WINNIPEG is 17-11 ATS (+31.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    VEGAS is 32-30 ATS (+0.5 Units) in all games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VEGAS is 6-3 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    VEGAS is 6-3-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-22-2019 at 01:37 PM.

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    NHL

    Friday, February 22


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    Trend Report
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    Columbus Blue Jackets
    Columbus is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games
    Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games on the road
    Columbus is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
    Columbus is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing Ottawa
    Columbus is 4-8-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Columbus's last 7 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
    Ottawa Senators
    Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Ottawa is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
    Ottawa is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Columbus
    Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Columbus
    Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Columbus
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing at home against Columbus

    Colorado Avalanche
    Colorado is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    Colorado is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games
    Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Colorado is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Colorado's last 15 games on the road
    Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago Blackhawks
    Chicago is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games
    Chicago is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
    Chicago is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
    Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Colorado
    Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

    Minnesota Wild
    Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
    Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
    Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 13 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Detroit Red Wings
    Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 12 games
    Detroit is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games at home
    Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
    Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit's last 13 games when playing at home against Minnesota

    Anaheim Ducks
    Anaheim is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
    Anaheim is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 7 games
    Anaheim is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Anaheim is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Anaheim's last 10 games on the road
    Anaheim is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Calgary
    Anaheim is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing Calgary
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing Calgary
    Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    Anaheim is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    Calgary Flames
    Calgary is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
    Calgary is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
    The total has gone OVER in 14 of Calgary's last 17 games
    Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Calgary's last 10 games at home
    Calgary is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Anaheim
    Calgary is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games when playing Anaheim
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Anaheim
    Calgary is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim
    Calgary is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Anaheim
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against Anaheim

    Winnipeg Jets
    Winnipeg is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
    Winnipeg is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 11 games
    Winnipeg is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Winnipeg is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games on the road
    Winnipeg is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing Vegas
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
    Vegas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 7 games
    Vegas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Vegas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games at home
    Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-22-2019 at 01:38 PM.

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    Blackhawks an Over bettor's dream and this weekend's NHL odds and analysis
    Monty Andrews

    The Chicago Blackhawks have become one of the best Over bets in the NHL – and the fireworks could fly Friday night against a Colorado Avalanche team coming off a seven-goal outburst of its own. That matchup highlights an action-packed weekend on the ice, including the latest chapter in the Canadiens-Maple Leafs rivalry and the Winnipeg Jets looking to extend their dominance over Arizona. Here are the top matchups, betting tips and trends to monitor entering what should be a fun stretch of hockey.

    Beware the Blackhawks

    The Chicago Blackhawks have been the most prolific team since the end of the All-Star break but will they meet their match? That's the question bettors are asking as the Blackhawks – who have averaged 4.9 goals since returning from the break – host a Colorado Avalanche team coming off an impressive 7-1 thumping of the powerhouse Winnipeg Jets. While Colorado is 19-5-2 O/U in its past 26 road games against teams with losing home records, the Blackhawks have an even more impressive Over trend going: they're 21-5-2 O/U in their last 28 games against sub-.500 teams.

    Advantage: Maple Leafs

    There was a time when the Toronto Maple Leafs couldn't buy a win over their long-time rivals from Montreal. But lately, it's the Canadiens who are starving for success as they visit the hated Leafs in a Saturday night showdown. Toronto has won six straight meetings in the head-to-head series, limiting Montreal to just 10 goals over that span. The Canadiens had been on the other end of the ledger for a while, winning 14 consecutive meetings prior to Toronto's recent dominance. The Leafs have also outscored the Canadiens by an eye-popping 11-4 margin in the previous three games at Scotiabank Arena.

    Slumping Sabres

    The Washington Capitals might be catching the Buffalo Sabres at the right time – not that they need the help. The Capitals visit KeyBank Center having won 11 of their previous 13 trips to Buffalo dating back to the latter stages of the 2014-15 – and if that weren't enough of a concern for Buffalo fans, their team is surrendering 4.0 goals per game since the All-Star break, the most of any team in the league. Offense has also been a major issue for the Sabres against the defending Stanley Cup champions, who have limited Buffalo to two or fewer goals in seven of their previous 11 meetings.

    Jet Fuel

    Sunday marks the latest meeting between the franchise that used to be in Winnipeg and the one that's based there now. The current version of the Jets has had its way with the former iteration in a significant way. Winnipeg has reeled off 14 victories in the previous 17 meetings with the Arizona Coyotes heading into their weekend tilt at Gila River Arena. That includes a five-game winning streak during which the Jets have piled up 23 goals while conceding just 11. The teams are averaging just under 6.5 goals per game over their previous 13 head-to-head encounters.

    Goalie Profile: Ben Bishop, Dallas Stars

    The Stars are clinging to a Western Conference wild card spot as the calendar drifts toward the end of February – but unlike previous seasons, they have their goaltending to thank for even being in the playoff hunt. Bishop has been one of the most underappreciated goaltenders in the league this season, posting a 19-12-2 record with three shutouts while ranking fifth among qualified netminders in goals-against average (2.30) and tied for fifth in save percentage (.924). He's a major reason why the Stars are a respectable 17-16-3 SU in games in which they're outshot.

    Injury Update: F Nazem Kadri, Toronto Maple Leafs

    The Maple Leafs' forward depth will take a hit, at least in the short term, after Kadri suffered a concussion in Tuesday's 3-2 overtime loss to the St. Louis Blues. Kadri was ruled out for Thursday's game against the Capitals, and it isn't known whether he will be available over the weekend. The 28-year-old had been struggling of late with two goals and an assists through 10 February games, but the Maple Leafs have been solid despite his slump, having gone 6-2-2 SU for the month. That said, Toronto is an incredible 19-3-1 SU in 22 games in which Kadri has recorded at least one point this season.

    Hat Trick Trends

    The Anaheim Ducks have garnered plenty of attention for their woeful scoring and lack of defense since the break – but there's a team right on their heels in both regards. The Minnesota Wild are averaging the second-fewest goals per game in the second half (2.20), while their average goal differential of -1.50 is also second-worst in the league.

    At the other end of the spectrum, two teams have stood out as dominant forces since the unofficial start of the second half of the season. The St. Louis Blues have the strongest average goal differential in the NHL over that stretch at +2.30, while the Tampa Bay Lightning – the odds-on favorite to win the Stanley Cup – are close behind at +2.09.

    If you're looking for a sure thing on the totals side, taking the Stars to go Under on the road might be your best path to victory – at least, if past trends continue. Dallas enters the weekend having gone an incredible 5-20-5 O/U away from American Airlines Center so far this season, making it by far the most profitable road Under play in the league.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-22-2019 at 01:39 PM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Friday, February 22



    Columbus @ Ottawa

    Game 23-24
    February 22, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Columbus
    10.431
    Ottawa
    9.232
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Columbus
    by 1
    3
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Columbus
    -200
    6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Columbus
    (-200); Under

    Colorado @ Chicago


    Game 25-26
    February 22, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    12.062
    Chicago
    10.426
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado
    -115
    7
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado
    (-115); Under

    Minnesota @ Detroit


    Game 27-28
    February 22, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    10.834
    Detroit
    9.920
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    -110
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-110); Over

    Anaheim @ Calgary


    Game 29-30
    February 22, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Anaheim
    12.258
    Calgary
    11.033
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Anaheim
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Calgary
    -250
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Anaheim
    (+200); Over

    Winnipeg @ Vegas


    Game 31-32
    February 22, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Winnipeg
    8,716
    Vegas
    10.294
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Vegas
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vegas
    -155
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Vegas
    (-155); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-22-2019 at 01:39 PM.

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