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Thread: Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/15

  1. #1
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    Default Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 2/15

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, February 15

    Good Luck on day # 46 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    — Hofstra 99, Charleston 95— Pride is 12-1, has a 2-game lead in CAA.

    — Furman 67, NC-Greensboro 57— Spartans fall two games behind Wofford in SoCon.

    — Gonzaga 73, LMU 60— Lions played well, played their hearts out, but lost by 13.

    — Utah 83, Arizona 76— Parker Van Dyke was 7-10 behind the arc.

    — Murray State 73, Austin Peay 71— Governors’ tying hoop was split-second after the buzzer.

    — Omaha 85, South Dakota State 84— Mavericks hit a contested baseline jumper at the buzzer for the win.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…..

    13) In the first 7.5 months of legalized sports gambling in New Jersey, a total of $1.63B was wagered; how much did those people also spend on restaurants/shopping while they were out gambling in the Garden State? It is time for New York State to wake up and legalize sports wagering.

    12) 76ers are a combined 1-7 against Toronto, Milwaukee and the Celtics, which doesn’t bode well for the Eastern Conference playoffs this spring.

    11) Denver Broncos’ Super Bowl odds before the Flacco trade: 60-1
    Denver Broncos’ Super Bowl odds after the Flacco trade: 60-1

    The guy who is the head of the Westgate SuperBook is a Broncos’ fan, by the way.

    10) Saw a video on Twitter the other day of a woman throwing a chair off a 45th story balcony along a busy downtown Toronto street; now that woman is facing charges, She is charged with mischief endangering life, mischief endangering property and common nuisance.

    I’m watching this video and thinking “Why would someone do this?” Luckily, no one got hurt; if there had been a car accident and someone died, thats criminally negligent homicide, right?

    9) Golfer Matt Kuchar apparently paid his caddy $5,000 during his win at the Mayakoba Classic last fall, where he won $1.3M. Thats a 0.38% tip. Not good.

    Going rate for caddies is 10% if the player wins, which obviously would be $130,000.

    The caddy is not Kuchar’s normal caddy; he offered the guy an additional $15,000 later on, which the caddy (for some reason) turned down.

    Weird story that basically makes Kuchar look like a cheap bastard.

    8) Lot of times, I rattle on in this space about things I think should happen, and it is just me typing stuff that has no chance of ever happening, but every once in a while……..

    Late last month, the San Diego Padres informed MLB that starting in 2020, they’ll have new uniforms, and those uniforms’ main colors will be brown and gold!!!!!

    This is excellent, the Padres returning to their Nate Colbert/Randy Jones roots, when they had very cool uniforms. Can’t wait to see them.

    7) Donald Trump played golf with Jack Nicklaus and Tiger Woods couple weeks ago after not having left Washington since Thanksgiving; you know he had to have been practicing golf somewhere. Least surprising news ever: There is a golf simulator in the White House, where you can play simulated “rounds” on courses all over the world.

    The new $50,000 simulator replaced an older one that President Obama used in the White House. Stressful job, the president needs an outlet to release his frustrations, and just to have fun with.

    6) San Francisco Giants signed Gerardo Parra to a minor-league deal, which could be a signal that they’re out of the Bryce Harper sweepstakes, seeing how Parra is a lefty-hitting OF, just like Harper.

    5) Oregon Ducks’ football team fired DC Jim Leavitt this week; he was making $1.75M after Willie Taggart wanted to bring him to Florida State, but Oregon boosters were mad at Taggart because he used one of their planes to fly to a job interview with FSU, so they overpaid Leavitt to prevent him from going to the Seminoles.

    4) Mississippi State DT Jeffery Simmons, projected to be a top 15-pick in the NFL Draft, suffered a knee injury during training that is thought to be a torn ACL. Simmons was already not invited to the NFL Combine; he was seen on video in 2016 striking a woman.

    3) Utah’s great point guard John Stockton missed a total of 22 games in his entire 19-year career, so I’m guessing he didn’t need “maintenance days” when the Jazz had games on consecutive nights.

    2) Unusual fact that annoys me a little; I pay for the NBA Full Court package, so I can see every NBA game live, but when games are re-broadcast late at night, those games get blacked out on the local cable channels, except for Knicks/Nets and anything on NBA TV. Since I’m paying a decent amount of money, shouldn’t I be able to watch those replays?

    I do not have the NHL package, but their late night replays aren’t blacked out, I can watch any of those games I want to- it makes no sense. Too bad I like basketball better than hockey.

    1) Last three NFL teams who appeared on HBO’s Hard Knocks went a combined 16-31-1 that season; all three of those coaches have been fired, two during the season where they were on Hard Knocks. Of course, those two coaches were also breaking in rookie QB’s that year.

    This year, looks like the final five are: Lions, Redskins, Raiders, Giants, 49ers. We’ll be seeing a lot of one of those teams next summer on HBO, and I’m guessing they’re saving the Raiders for 2020, when they move to Las Vegas.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-15-2019 at 02:03 PM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Friday, February 15



    Boston @ Anaheim

    Game 79-80
    February 15, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    12.140
    Anaheim
    8.565
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 3 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    -170
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-3 1/2); Over

    New Jersey @ Minnesota


    Game 77-78
    February 15, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Jersey
    9.376
    Minnesota
    10.785
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    -210
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-210); Over

    Edmonton @ Carolina


    Game 75-76
    February 15, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Edmonton
    11.889
    Carolina
    10.353
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Edmonton
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Carolina
    -170
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Edmonton
    (+150); Under

    NY Rangers @ Buffalo


    Game 73-74
    February 15, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Rangers
    11.446
    Buffalo
    10.556
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Rangers
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Buffalo
    -155
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Rangers
    (+135); Under





    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Friday, February 15


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    NY RANGERS (24-24-0-8, 56 pts.) at BUFFALO (28-21-0-7, 63 pts.) - 2/15/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NY RANGERS are 7-18 ATS (-11.5 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
    BUFFALO is 20-15 ATS (+37.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    NY RANGERS are 133-130 ATS (+283.2 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY RANGERS is 5-3 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    NY RANGERS is 5-3-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.3 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    EDMONTON (24-27-0-5, 53 pts.) at CAROLINA (29-22-0-6, 64 pts.) - 2/15/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    EDMONTON is 61-78 ATS (-28.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    EDMONTON is 5-14 ATS (+20.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    EDMONTON is 18-13 ATS (+32.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    CAROLINA is 65-74 ATS (+144.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 14-19 ATS (-7.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 25-31 ATS (-21.2 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 46-61 ATS (-41.9 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
    CAROLINA is 21-27 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    CAROLINA is 6-16 ATS (-22.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CAROLINA is 3-2 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
    CAROLINA is 3-2-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW JERSEY (21-28-0-8, 50 pts.) at MINNESOTA (27-25-0-5, 59 pts.) - 2/15/2019, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW JERSEY is 21-36 ATS (+61.1 Units) in all games this season.
    NEW JERSEY is 8-20 ATS (+32.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
    MINNESOTA is 27-30 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games this season.
    MINNESOTA is 1-6 ATS (-8.7 Units) in February games this season.
    MINNESOTA is 5-9 ATS (-9.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    MINNESOTA is 1-5 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW JERSEY is 3-2 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    NEW JERSEY is 3-2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (32-17-0-8, 72 pts.) at ANAHEIM (22-26-0-9, 53 pts.) - 2/15/2019, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 14-24 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
    ANAHEIM is 283-217 ATS (+38.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
    ANAHEIM is 275-249 ATS (+564.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
    BOSTON is 205-166 ATS (+372.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
    BOSTON is 20-5 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    ANAHEIM is 3-13 ATS (+24.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
    ANAHEIM is 4-10 ATS (+15.2 Units) after a division game this season.
    ANAHEIM is 5-15 ATS (-15.3 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ANAHEIM is 4-1 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    ANAHEIM is 4-1-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NHL

    Friday, February 15


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    New York Rangers
    NY Rangers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    NY Rangers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    NY Rangers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    NY Rangers is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Buffalo
    NY Rangers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 7 games when playing Buffalo
    NY Rangers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
    NY Rangers is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of NY Rangers's last 13 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Buffalo's last 14 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games at home
    Buffalo is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing NY Rangers
    Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing NY Rangers
    Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
    Buffalo is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Buffalo's last 13 games when playing at home against NY Rangers

    Edmonton Oilers
    Edmonton is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    Edmonton is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games
    Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 9 games on the road
    Edmonton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
    Edmonton is 5-10-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Carolina
    Carolina Hurricanes
    Carolina is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
    Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
    Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Carolina is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games at home
    Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
    Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton

    New Jersey Devils
    New Jersey is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
    New Jersey is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games
    New Jersey is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    New Jersey is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    New Jersey is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
    New Jersey is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Jersey's last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Minnesota Wild
    Minnesota is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
    Minnesota is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games
    Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Minnesota's last 13 games at home
    Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Jersey
    Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Jersey
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing New Jersey
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing at home against New Jersey

    Boston Bruins
    Boston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Boston is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
    Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Boston's last 23 games on the road
    Boston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Anaheim
    Boston is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Anaheim
    Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
    Anaheim Ducks
    Anaheim is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
    Anaheim is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
    Anaheim is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Anaheim is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Anaheim's last 7 games at home
    Anaheim is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
    Anaheim is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Boston
    Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-15-2019 at 02:04 PM.

  4. #4
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    Matthews heads back to the desert and this weekend's NHL odds and analysis
    Monty Andrews

    Looking for some mid-February fireworks? The Edmonton Oilers and Carolina Hurricanes might have what you need as they renew acquaintances as part of a fun-filled weekend of hockey. This weekend's docket includes Auston Matthews' return to his home state, and two Metropolitan Division rivals primed for a high-scoring affair in Pennsylvania. Here are the top games, betting trends and tips to monitor as the NHL schedule soldiers on.

    Fillin' Those Nets

    The Oilers and Hurricanes don't have much of a head-to-head history since squaring off in the 2006 Stanley Cup final, but their recent encounters have been fun for fans and bettors alike. Edmonton heads to Raleigh for a Friday night encounter with a 'Canes team that prevailed in seven games back in '06 for their one and only championship. The teams have combined for a whopping 29 goals in three meetings dating back to the start of the 2017-18 season – and with the Hurricanes still leading the NHL in shots on goal per game (35.5), there's a chance we'll see plenty of scoring in this one.

    Running Hot and Cold

    Two teams headed in completely opposite directions will face off Saturday night at the Pepsi Center as the reeling Colorado Avalanche face the red-hot St. Louis Blues. The Avalanche entered Thursday having lost eight of their past nine games – and offensive struggles are largely to blame, with Colorado averaging just over two goals per contest in that span. The Blues, on the other hand, enter Friday on an eight-game winning streak during which they outscored the opposition 33-14. St. Louis also has a significant edge in the recent head-to-head series, having won 11 of the previous 14 meetings.

    Matthews Heads Home

    Arizona's most famous hockey player returns to his roots Saturday night as Auston Matthews leads the Toronto Maple Leafs into the desert against the Coyotes. But before you throw some money on Matthews' scoring props, consider that the 2016 No. 1 pick hasn't exactly been a slam-dunk offensive option against his hometown team. Matthews has just two goals and one assist in five career games vs. the Coyotes, and was held scoreless while registering a minus-two rating in their previous encounter Jan. 20 in Toronto. Bettors might, however, want to consider John Tavares, who has nine goals in 14 games against Arizona.

    Goaltenders Beware

    Something about facing the Pittsburgh Penguins has brought out the best in the New York Rangers' offense – and the worst in its goaltending. The long-time division rivals write the next chapter of their storied feud Sunday afternoon at PPG Paints Arena, and if past history is any indication, it won't be a goalies' duel. The teams have combined for seven or more goals in each of their last five head-to-head encounters, and nine of their previous 10 overall. Sidney Crosby makes for an intriguing player prop option here, having racked up 83 points in 64 career games against the Rangers.

    Goalie Profile: Thomas Greiss, New York Islanders

    You know we love Robin Lehner in this space, as he continues his march toward an unlikely Vezina Trophy victory. But his backup is no slouch, either – particularly since the All-Star break. Greiss has been sensational in four starts, going 3-0-1 while stopping 128 of 130 shots and recording two shutouts. His resurgence comes at a great time for the Islanders, with Lehner (2-2-0, 2.51 GAA, .911 SV%) having come down to Earth a bit since his incredible start. Their play is a significant reason why New York remains the top value play in the league, having returned +14.74 units to date.
    Injury Update: David Pastrnak, Boston Bruins

    The Bruins can't seem to avoid an injury to a key player – and this one is the most bizarre of all. Pastrnak was placed on injured reserve and is expected to miss the next 2-to-3 weeks after injuring his thumb during a team dinner. Pastrnak required surgery, the latest blow for a Boston team that has already had to deal with significant absences from center Patrice Bergeron, defenseman Torey Krug and netminder Tuukka Rask. Pastrnak leads the team in goals (31) and ranks second in points (66); the Bruins are a scorching 24-9-5 SU in games in which Pastrnak hits the scoresheet.

    Hat Trick Trends

    The race to be the top value bet in the NHL is officially a two-team affair. The Islanders continue to hold a commanding lead on the field, but the Tampa Bay Lightning are also in the hunt at +12.45 units while being the most profitable home team at +5.94 units. No other team in the league has produced a profit of more than 5.51 units through Thursday's games.

    Similarly, the competition for worst value play in the league is down to a few teams. 21-28-8 New Jersey (-12.78 units) and Colorado (-12.22) bring up the rear, with the Florida Panthers next in line at -8.22. The Anaheim Ducks (-8.20) are the only other team to have lost eight or more units to date.

    The Art Ross Trophy race remains close – and oddsmakers are loathe to pick one favorite, with Tampa Bay's Nikita Kucherov and Edmonton's Connor McDavid the co-No. 1 options at +120 as of Thursday. Kucherov leads the league with 92 points, seven more than Patrick Kane of the Chicago Blackhawks and 10 clear of McDavid. Kane is the No. 3 choice at +175 as of Thursday; no other player is higher than +2,000.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-15-2019 at 02:05 PM.

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