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Thread: Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/8

  1. #1
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    Default Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/8

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, February 8

    Good Luck on day # 39 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    — Washington State 91, Arizona State 70— There is no logical explanation for this score; ASU was favored by 15 points.

    — Cincinnati 69, Memphis 64— Bearcats trailed by 11 early in second half.

    — Iowa 77, Indiana 72— Hoosiers lost eight of their last nine games.

    — Wofford 78, East Tennessee State 76 OT— Terriers stay unbeaten in SoCon.

    — Western Kentucky 92, Rice 85, 2OT— Hilltoppers’ coach Rick Stansbury missed this game with back problems; he has bulging disk(s). Bad beat if you had the Owls, +5.

    — Wright State 76, Oakland 62— Grizzlies had covered nine in a row as a road underdog in Horizon League games.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…..

    13) Most guys in the NBA seem unhappy; they’re all getting paid a ton of money to play ball, but they don’t seem happy about it. It is a little sad. Hell, I’m almost 60 years old and I still shoot baskets now and then when the weather is nice.

    Just once, ONCE, I want to hear the media quiz a player on trade speculation and have a guy say, “You know what, I make 20 million bleeping dollars a year. As long as the direct deposit in my bank works, I’ll play anywhere, because this sport is making me freakin’ rich!!!”

    The honesty would be refreshing.

    12) NBA trade deadline was Thursday; biggest news was probably Memphis trading Marc Gasol to the Raptors, as Eastern Conference teams jockey for position to make the NBA Finals, so they can lose to Golden State in five or six games.

    Memphis did keep PG Mike Conley, which was a little surprising.

    11) From Ramona Shelburne of ESPN:

    “Today’s Lakers-Clippers trade is the first between the teams since 1983! Norm Nixon, Eddie Jordan and a 1986 2nd-round pick that became Jeff Hornacek went from the Lakers to the Clippers for Byron Scott, Swen Nater and a pick (Bruce Dalrymple)”

    10) Star in the making on TV: former Ole Miss coach Andy Kennedy is very good doing SEC basketball games on the ESPN family of networks. He is low-key funny, honest, knows his stuff and is humble.

    Several years ago, when I used to go to the AAU Nationals in Orlando for a couple weeks every summer and watch games for 10-12 hours a day, I spent an afternoon sitting near Kennedy and listened to him talk about ball for a few hours. He wasn’t funny that day, but he is smart and I learned some interesting stuff. Glad he is on TV now.

    9) Miami Marlins traded catcher JT Realmuto to Philadelphia for catcher Jorge Alfaro, pitching prospects Sixto Sanchez, Will Stewart, and an international bonus slot.

    Realmuto is only 27, figures to be a big upgrade for the Phillies behind the plate.

    8) Feel bad for the people who sell preseason preview magazines for baseball; with 120+ guys still unsigned, and Realmuto getting traded Thursday, the preview magazines aren’t going to be as informative as they usually are.

    7) Major League Baseball will rename the disabled list the “injured list”; it has been called the disabled list since 1966. It is a cosmetic change for now; the rules of it remain the same.

    6) Oklahoma QB Kyler Murray will leave spring training with the A’s to attend the NFL Combine at the end of March; hopefully he’ll do really well and will give up his baseball dream and the A’s can save the $4.66M they unwisely promised him last summer.

    5) St Francis, PA gets a 5pm tipoff game on ESPNU, and the team known as the Red Flash wears………black uniforms. Go figure.

    4) Harrison Barnes was sitting on the Mavericks’ bench Wednesday night when he found out he had been traded to Sacramento, which had to be at least a little awkward.

    Kind of like a few years ago when a Mets fan told Wilmer Flores he was getting traded while Flores was in the on-deck circle- when he went out in the field the next inning, he had tears on his face, he didn’t want to get traded, and it turns out, he didn’t get traded. The fan was wrong.

    3) Washington 67, Arizona 60— Wildcats lost four straight games in Pac-12 for first time in ten years; given all their off-court issues, Sean Miller’s job has to be in jeopardy.

    2) Now that the NBA trade deadline has passed, Anthony Davis will be back in the lineup for the New Orleans Pelicans. Pelicans will probably have to trade him this summer.

    1) RIP Frank Robinson 83, the great outfielder who is the only guy ever to win the MVP in both leagues, and was also the first African-American manager in the major leagues.

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    Friday's Tip Sheet
    Kevin Rogers

    Saint Louis at St. Joseph’s – 7:00 PM EST – ESPN2

    These two Atlantic 10 squads meet for the second time this season and both matchups coincidentally were scheduled on a Friday night. In the first go-around last month, Saint Louis (15-8 SU, 8-14-1 ATS) held off St. Joseph’s (10-13 SU, 8-15 ATS) as eight-point home favorites, 68-57 to improve to 9-1 SU and 10-0 ATS in the past 10 matchups since February 2010.

    The Billikens capped off a 5-0 start in A-10 play with that victory over St. Joe’s on January 18, but SLU went the wrong way over a two-week stretch by losing four consecutive games. Travis Ford’s team ended that skid in Tuesday’s 73-60 home triumph over Dayton, 73-60 to cash as two-point underdogs. The Billikens jumped out to a 12-point halftime lead, while five players scored in double-figures led by D.J. Foreman’s 18 points.

    The Hawks began A-10 action by losing four straight games, including home favorite defeats to George Mason and George Washington. The first conference win for St. Joe’s came in surprising fashion by edging Davidson, 61-60 as 4 ½-point home underdogs on January 15. The Hawks are winless on the road inside the A-10 at 0-5, but Phil Martelli’s club has won three straight at home by a combined seven points.

    Kent State at Akron – 9:00 PM EST – ESPNU

    Bowling Green (8-1 MAC) and Buffalo (7-2) are the top two teams in the Eastern division of the Mid-American Conference, as the next two teams in the standings hook up on Friday. Kent State (17-5 SU, 10-9-1 ATS) has lost at home to Bowling Green and Buffalo, but the Golden Flashes enter Friday’s action at 5-1 in the last six games. The Golden Flashes have won two of those games in overtime against Toledo and Ball State, while coming off a 70-67 home triumph over Miami (Ohio) on Tuesday as 4 ½-point favorites.

    Akron (13-9 SU, 8-12 ATS) sits one game behind Kent State for third place in the East at 5-4, but the Zips have turned into pointspread poison in MACtion. In nine conference affairs, Akron has compiled a dreadful 1-8 ATS mark with the lone cover coming in last Saturday’s 12-point win at Ohio as a two-point underdog. The Zips have won all four home conference contests, but have failed to cash in those four victories, while riding a seven-game UNDER streak overall.

    The Golden Flashes and Zips have yet to hook up this season as the home team won both matchups last season. Akron edged Kent State in the season finale, 67-65, while the UNDER hit for the sixth consecutive time in the series. The Golden Flashes own a solid 4-1-1 ATS record as a road underdog this season, which includes outright victories as a double-digit ‘dog at Vanderbilt and Oregon State.

    Ivy League Nuggets

    -- The top two teams in the Ivy meet for a showdown in New Haven as Yale hosts Princeton. The Tigers (12-5 SU, 9-6 ATS) look to remain perfect in league play after starting 4-0 for the second time in three seasons. Two of those wins came in overtime against Penn and Cornell, while holding three Ivy opponents to 55 points or less in regulation. The Bulldogs (13-4 SU, 9-7 ATS) have yet to lose a home game this season at 6-0, but only one of those victories came in league action against Brown.

    Yale has cashed in all three wins, with the lone blemish coming to rival Harvard in a 16-point road setback. Both matchups between Yale and Princeton reached overtime last season with the home team winning each time.

    -- Both Penn and Brown have slumped to 1-3 records in Ivy League action through the first two month of league play. The Quakers (13-7 SU, 11-8 ATS) lost a pair of games to Princeton to tip off Ivy play, while finally breaking through the win column in last Saturday’s 72-70 victory at Columbia as 5 ½-point favorites.

    The Bears (13-7 SU, 7-8-3 ATS) brought a six-game winning streak into conference play, but lost a home-and-home set to Yale, followed by a two-point triumph at Dartmouth. Brown was blown out the next day at Harvard, 68-47 but the Bears own a terrific 8-1 home mark this season.

    -- The bottom four teams in the Ivy own 1-3 records in the league. Penn and Brown meet on Friday, while Columbia (6-12 SU, 7-8-1 ATS) tries to move towards the top half with a win over Harvard (10-7 SU, 8-8 ATS). The Lions have been competitive so far in Ivy action in spite of only one win as Columbia has lost by one point at Cornell and by two to Penn last Saturday. Columbia has covered in four of the last five opportunities as a road underdog, while splitting two meetings with Harvard last season.

    The Crimson rebounded from an 18-point loss at Dartmouth to open Ivy play to win three straight games, all at home. Harvard failed to cover in the revenge win over Dartmouth, but the Crimson are coming off a pair of blowouts over Yale and Brown.

    -- Dartmouth felt good about itself after blasting Harvard, 81-63 as 6 ½-point home underdogs on January 12. However, three losses later and the Big Green (10-10 SU, 8-7-3 ATS) is searching for answers after falling at home to Brown and Yale last weekend. Dartmouth welcomes in Cornell (10-10 SU, 8-10 ATS), who has alternated wins and losses in a 2-2 Ivy start.

    The Big Red split a pair of close games with Columbia, followed by a nine-point triumph over Penn as 6 ½-point underdogs. However, Cornell fell short in overtime to Princeton last Saturday as the Big Red looks to continue its dominance of Dartmouth by winning the last four meetings.

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    Weekend Watch
    YouWager

    Revenge Spots Aplenty

    The month of February is a great time to be a college basketball fan/bettor, as there is a month or so of conference play already in the rear view mirror, and battles between rivals for conference supremacy really get ramped up.

    This Saturday we've got plenty of the nation's best teams looking for revenge against a conference rival, as these ranked squads look to either even up or sweep the season series with their respective foes. So let's touch on a few of these games that should see plenty of betting action come Saturday.

    No. 19 Wisconsin at No. 7 Michigan – 12:00 p.m. ET

    Michigan suffered their first loss of the year to the Badgers a few weeks back and likely haven't forgotten about it. The Wolverines closed as -3.5 favorites that day and will likely be laying a few more points than that here, and they'll need this one to try and further the distance between themselves and the rest of the Big 10. With Michigan winning the season series with trailing Purdue, and Michigan State stumbling as of late, knocking off the Badgers is a must here, as those three teams are really only the likely threats to the Wolverines going forward.

    Wisconsin will feel confident coming into this one having already beaten the Wolverines, but I doubt their defense holds them down like they did in Madison. The 54 points Michigan put up that day was their fewest points scored in any game this year, and with Michigan's offense potentially getting back on track in a 77-65 win over Rutgers earlier this week, the task is going to be tough for the Badgers on Saturday.

    Obviously, a lot depends on the point spread the oddsmakers put out here in trying to determine how many points feel like too many for Michigan to cover, but the home side is probably the only way to look here.

    No. 5 Kentucky at No. 21 Mississippi State – 1:00 p.m. ET

    Another home side looking for revenge in this spot, as the Bulldogs fell 76-55 to Kentucky on January 22nd. Similar to Michigan, the 55 points Mississippi State scored in that game was their fewest points scored all year, and with the Bulldogs averaging 85.7 points per home game this year, chances are we see a much better performance from Mississippi State on Saturday.

    The Bulldogs will need to be at or near their best, as Kentucky has won nine in a row entering this game and look the part of that blue blood program that everyone expects them to be each year. But this is the beginning of a tough stretch for the Wildcats – LSU and Tennessee on deck – and their 5-1 ATS record on the road likely has some regression waiting for it soon.

    Revenge may be tougher to come by for the home side in this game, at least in terms of the straight up outcome, but going 'over' the total could be the better place to look, especially if Mississippi State brings their A game at home with them.

    Florida at No. 11 Tennessee – 4:00 p.m. ET

    Another appearance for a SEC matchup here, although this time it's the visitors looking for redemption.

    The Florida Gators have fallen on some hard times of late having lost three of four and sitting with a losing record (4-5 SU) in conference play, but one of the lasting images of this college basketball season so far was when this Tennessee squad beat the Gators (78-67) in the Swamp, and walked off the floor mockingly doing the “Gator Chomp.” Tennessee needed a 2nd half comeback to pull out the win, and this all happened prior to the Volunteers being installed as the top team in the country.

    Without question, Tennessee will have significant chalk attached to their name for this game, and as long as it's a reasonably “fair” number, I believe you've got to take the points with the Gators. Situationally, Florida's players haven't forgotten about that disrespect they were shown, and with the struggles Florida's recently had, they may even be catching a few more points than they arguably should be in this spot.

    There will be nothing sweeter for Gators fans than to be the team that goes into Knoxville and knocks Tennessee off their #1 perch, and halting the Volunteers 17-game winning streak as well. Winning outright may be a bit of a stretch for Florida, but they'd be the only point spread side I'd look towards.

    No. 2 Duke at No. 3 Virginia – 6:00 p.m. ET

    This is the big game on the board as it's Virginia in the revenge role after losing 72-70 to Duke a few weeks back. A #2 vs #3 game is always going to get boatloads of hype and this game – like the first one – is no different. And while I do expect the Cavaliers to find themselves in the favorite role (possibly pick'em), it's not the side I'd all that anxious to get involved with; it's the total.

    The first game saw the total open up at 140/140.5 before basically a flood of early 'under' money pushed that number way down. The total spent most of the early morning that day bouncing back and forth between 137 and 139, before 'under' money continued to come in and have the total hold steady at 136 for basically the rest of the day. Just before tip, there was some late 'over' action on the 136, and thanks to a Virginia jumper with three seconds left in a four-point game, that bucket ended up cashing any and all 'over' tickets, as well as giving Virginia the cover.

    But from a game flow perspective, the 'under' was the more correct side throughout the game, as there were 17 points scored in the final 1:09 of that game, as Virginia had to resort to playing the foul game to try and catch up. Those 17 points also included four missed free throws in that span, so the result could have ended up going 'over' with a little less sweat.

    However, with the rematch coming on Virginia's floor this weekend and the Cavaliers likely being the ones able to dictate the pace more often, I do believe going low and grabbing that number early is the way to attack this game from a betting perspective.

    Virginia is 1-3 O/U in conference home games this year, and only one team – the run-and-gun Marshall Thundering Herd - has put up more than 59 points on Virginia in any home game this year. Duke may be loaded with NBA-caliber talent, but this team still can't shoot from the outside, struggles from the charity stripe, and has been a great 'under' bet as it is all year (5-15 O/U).

    If we see similar support for the 'under' like we saw in the first meeting, I believe those bettors will be able to head to the pay window this time, and it'll be one total I'm looking to jump on rather early.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-08-2019 at 02:55 PM.

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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Friday, February 8



    Kent State @ Akron

    Game 873-874
    February 8, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Kent State
    57.980
    Akron
    55.176
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kent State
    by 3
    151
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Akron
    by 4
    133
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kent State
    (+4); Over

    Georgia State @ LA-Lafayette

    Game 863-864
    February 8, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Georgia State
    49.794
    LA-Lafayette
    50.306
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA-Lafayette
    by 1
    176
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Georgia State
    by 2
    162
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA-Lafayette
    (+2); Over

    Georgia Southern @ LA-Monroe

    Game 861-862
    February 8, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Georgia Southern
    55.312
    LA-Monroe
    52.971
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Georgia Southern
    by 2 1/2
    161
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA-Monroe
    by 1
    163
    Dunkel Pick:
    Georgia Southern
    (+1); Under

    Quinnipiac @ Iona

    Game 871-872
    February 8, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Quinnipiac
    50.670
    Iona
    47.457
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Quinnipiac
    by 3
    149
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Iona
    by 3 1/2
    158
    Dunkel Pick:
    Quinnipiac
    (+3 1/2); Under

    Canisius @ Rider

    Game 869-870
    February 8, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Canisius
    41.180
    Rider
    52.689
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Rider
    by 11 1/2
    147
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Rider
    by 8
    152
    Dunkel Pick:
    Rider
    (-8); Under

    Siena @ Manhattan

    Game 867-868
    February 8, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Siena
    48.776
    Manhattan
    44.994
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Siena
    by 4
    117
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Siena
    by 2
    112 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Siena
    (-2); Over

    Niagara @ Marist

    Game 865-866
    February 8, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Niagara
    47.046
    Marist
    46.425
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Niagara
    by 1
    142
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Marist
    by 4
    147 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Niagara
    (+4); Under

    Cornell @ Dartmouth

    Game 859-860
    February 8, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cornell
    50.146
    Dartmouth
    49.486
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cornell
    by 1
    139
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Dartmouth
    by 3 1/2
    138
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cornell
    (+3 1/2); Over

    Columbia @ Harvard

    Game 857-858
    February 8, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Columbia
    48.939
    Harvard
    58.021
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Harvard
    by 9
    127
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Harvard
    by 12
    130 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Columbia
    (+12); Under

    Pennsylvania @ Brown

    Game 855-856
    February 8, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pennsylvania
    53.612
    Brown
    54.453
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Brown
    by 1
    142
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pennsylvania
    by 1
    139 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brown
    (+1); Over

    Princeton @ Yale

    Game 853-854
    February 8, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Princeton
    51.310
    Yale
    62.914
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Yale
    by 11 1/2
    137
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Yale
    by 7
    139
    Dunkel Pick:
    Yale
    (-7); Under

    St Louis @ St Joseph's

    Game 851-852
    February 8, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    St Louis
    58.032
    St Joseph's
    49.945
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    St Louis
    by 8
    139
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    St Louis
    by 2 1/2
    132 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    St Louis
    (-2 1/2); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-08-2019 at 02:56 PM.

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    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Friday, February 8


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    SAINT LOUIS (15 - 8) at ST JOSEPHS (10 - 13) - 2/8/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAINT LOUIS is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    SAINT LOUIS is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    SAINT LOUIS is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) in February games since 1997.
    SAINT LOUIS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    SAINT LOUIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
    ST JOSEPHS is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all games this season.
    ST JOSEPHS is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
    ST JOSEPHS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAINT LOUIS is 3-0 against the spread versus ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
    SAINT LOUIS is 3-0 straight up against ST JOSEPHS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    PRINCETON (12 - 5) at YALE (13 - 4) - 2/8/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PRINCETON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    YALE is 93-63 ATS (+23.7 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
    YALE is 94-63 ATS (+24.7 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
    YALE is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
    PRINCETON is 74-50 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
    PRINCETON is 82-56 ATS (+20.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    PRINCETON is 3-2 against the spread versus YALE over the last 3 seasons
    PRINCETON is 4-1 straight up against YALE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    PENNSYLVANIA (13 - 7) at BROWN (13 - 7) - 2/8/2019, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROWN is 2-2 against the spread versus PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
    PENNSYLVANIA is 3-1 straight up against BROWN over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    COLUMBIA (6 - 12) at HARVARD (10 - 7) - 2/8/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HARVARD is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    HARVARD is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    HARVARD is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    HARVARD is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
    HARVARD is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    HARVARD is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
    HARVARD is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
    COLUMBIA is 118-88 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
    COLUMBIA is 118-88 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
    COLUMBIA is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    COLUMBIA is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLUMBIA is 3-1 against the spread versus HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
    HARVARD is 2-2 straight up against COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    CORNELL (10 - 10) at DARTMOUTH (10 - 10) - 2/8/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CORNELL is 25-7 ATS (+17.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
    CORNELL is 135-98 ATS (+27.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
    CORNELL is 135-98 ATS (+27.2 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
    DARTMOUTH is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
    DARTMOUTH is 68-99 ATS (-40.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
    DARTMOUTH is 68-99 ATS (-40.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
    DARTMOUTH is 60-85 ATS (-33.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
    DARTMOUTH is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
    DARTMOUTH is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    CORNELL is 3-1 against the spread versus DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
    CORNELL is 4-0 straight up against DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    GA SOUTHERN (14 - 9) at LA-MONROE (12 - 10) - 2/8/2019, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GA SOUTHERN is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
    LA-MONROE is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
    LA-MONROE is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
    LA-MONROE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    LA-MONROE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    LA-MONROE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA-MONROE is 3-2 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
    GA SOUTHERN is 4-1 straight up against LA-MONROE over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    GEORGIA ST (16 - 7) at LA-LAFAYETTE (12 - 10) - 2/8/2019, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GEORGIA ST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    GEORGIA ST is 4-1 against the spread versus LA-LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
    GEORGIA ST is 5-0 straight up against LA-LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    NIAGARA (11 - 12) at MARIST (9 - 14) - 2/8/2019, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    NIAGARA is 3-1 against the spread versus MARIST over the last 3 seasons
    MARIST is 2-2 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    SIENA (11 - 12) at MANHATTAN (7 - 16) - 2/8/2019, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    SIENA is 3-2 against the spread versus MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
    SIENA is 3-2 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    CANISIUS (9 - 13) at RIDER (12 - 10) - 2/8/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CANISIUS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    CANISIUS is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
    RIDER is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games this season.
    RIDER is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
    RIDER is 105-138 ATS (-46.8 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
    RIDER is 86-117 ATS (-42.7 Units) in all home games since 1997.
    RIDER is 86-117 ATS (-42.7 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
    RIDER is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    RIDER is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1997.
    RIDER is 42-64 ATS (-28.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
    RIDER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games this season.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    RIDER is 2-2 against the spread versus CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
    RIDER is 3-2 straight up against CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    QUINNIPIAC (11 - 10) at IONA (7 - 14) - 2/8/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    QUINNIPIAC is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    QUINNIPIAC is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    QUINNIPIAC is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    IONA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games this season.
    IONA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
    IONA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 this season.
    IONA is 68-97 ATS (-38.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
    IONA is 58-83 ATS (-33.3 Units) in February games since 1997.
    IONA is 60-87 ATS (-35.7 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
    IONA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games this season.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    QUINNIPIAC is 2-0 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
    IONA is 2-1 straight up against QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    KENT ST (17 - 5) at AKRON (13 - 9) - 2/8/2019, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    KENT ST is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
    KENT ST is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
    KENT ST is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
    AKRON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
    AKRON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    KENT ST is 3-2 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
    KENT ST is 3-2 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-08-2019 at 02:57 PM.

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
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    Default

    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, February 8


    Akron won three of its last four games; Zips are 4-0 in MAC home games this season, with wins by 7-2-3-2 points. Akron is making only 25.6% of its 3’s in MAC games. Kent won five of its last six games, is 6-3 in MAC, 2-1 on road; they allowed 83+ points in their last four losses. Akron/Kent State split their last ten meetings; Golden Flashes lost three of last four visits to Akron, with losses by 4-14-2 points. Kent isi 5-7 vs spread in last dozen MAC road games, 2-1 this year; under Groce, Zips are 4-8-1 vs spread in MAC home games, 0-4 this year.

    Saint Louis is 1-4 since they beat St Joe’s 68-57 at home three weeks ago; Billikens won 11 of last 12 series games, winning six of last seven visits here. Last two series were both decided by one point. Billikens lost four of their last five games, losing last two road games by 4-11 points. Hawks lost eight of last 11 games, but won last three home games, by total of seven points. Saint Louis is 2-8 in its last ten games as a road favorite, 1-2 this year; Hawks are 6-4 against spread in last ten games as an A-14 home underdog, 1-0 this year.

    Princeton won its last six games, winning first four Ivy games, three of which were on road; Tigers made only 21.1% of their 3’s in Ivy games. Yale won eight of its last nine games, is 3-1 in Ivy, with loss at Harvard. Bulldogs are 11-0 this season vs teams ranked outside top 100. Princeton won five of last six games with Yale, losing 94-90 in OT here LY, but Tigers lost five of last six visits to New Haven. Princeton is 1-4-1 in its last six games as an Ivy League road underdog, 1-0 this year; Yale is 12-14-1 in last 27 games as a home favorite, 1-0 this year.

    Penn won three of last four games, with wins over Temple/St Joe’s; they also beat Villanova in December. Quakers are 6-3 in true road games, 5-5 vs teams in top 200. Brown is 1-3 in Ivy games after a 12-4 pre-conference slate; Bears are 0-5 this season vs teams ranked in top 150. Brown is turning ball over 20.5% of time in conference games. Penn won four of its last five games with Brown, winning by 24-6 points in last two visits here. Quakers are 7-16 vs spread in last 23 Ivy League road games, 0-3 this year; Brown is 4-11 in last 15 home games, 0-1 this year.

    Columbia is 4-12 vs schedule #288; they’re 1-3 in Ivy, with losses by 1-2-12 points. Lions are 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 3-11 points. Harvard won its last four games after 6-7 start; Crimson won its first three Ivy home games, by 5-16-21 points. Harvard is turning ball over 23.5% of time this season (#343). Columbia won four of last six games with Harvard, but lost eight of last nine visits here, last two by 6-19 points. Lions are 12-5 in last 17 games as an Ivy League road underdog; Harvard is 11-5 in its last 16 games as a home favorite, 2-1 this year.

    Cornell split its first four Ivy games, losing only road game at Columbia by 3; Big Red’s other Ivy loss was in OT to Princeton. Cornell is 2-7 vs teams in top 200. Dartmouth lost its last three games, by 5-2-21 points; Big Green is 7-3 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Cornell won its last four games with Dartmouth; they won last four visits here, by 9-4-4-11 points. Cornell is is 13-8 in its last 21 games as an Ivy League road underdog, 1-0 this year; Big Green is 2-5 vs spread in its last seven games as a home favorite, 1-2 this year.

    Georgia Southern came back from 14 down in 2nd half to nip UL-Monroe 79-78 Jan 10; Eagles won six of last seven series games, losing 66-64 here LY. GSU won four of last six games; they’re 4-2 on Sun Belt road. Eagles are shooting 55.2% inside arc in Sun Belt games. Monroe lost three of last four games; they’re 5-1 in Sun Belt home games, with only loss by 6 to South Alabama. Sun Belt teams are shooting 56.2% inside arc against the Warhawks. GSU is 8-4 vs spread in its last dozen Sun Belt road games; ULM is 9-5-1 in its last 15 home games, 4-1-1 this year.

    Georgia State made 13-25 on arc, whacked Louisiana 89-76 Jan 10, Panthers’ 6th straight series win. State won its last two visits to Lafayette, by 3-15 points. GSU lost three of last five games after a 14-4 start; they’re 7-3 in Sun Belt, 3-2 on road, losing at Troy/UL-Monroe. ULL lost its last three games, allowing 100.8 ppg; Cajuns are 4-6 in Sun Belt, 3-2 at home. Sun Belt teams are shooting 55.8% inside arc against them. State is 13-20 vs spread in its last 33 Sun Belt road games, 1-4 this year; ULL is 13-20 in its last 33 home games, 1-4 this year.

    Niagara is 3-2 in its last five games, 4-6 in MAAC, 1-3 on road, with only win at Quinnipiac; this is Purple Eagles’ first road game in 20 days. Marist is 4-7 in MAAC, 2-4 at home; Red Foxes are shooting 38.7% on arc in conference games. Marist/Niagara split their last ten meetings; teams also split last six meetings in Poughkeepsie. Underdogs covered seven of last nine series games. Purple Eagles are 21-17-1 in last 39 games as a MAAC road underdog, 1-2 this year; Marist is 3-9 vs spread in its last dozen games as a home favorite, 1-3 this year.

    Siena was +9 (15-6) in turnovers in 53-40 home win over Manhattan Jan 26; Saints won four of last six series games, but lost four of last five games in Draddy Gym. Siena won five of its last six games; they’re 6-4 in MAAC, 3-2 on road, losing by 5 at St Peter’s, 11 at Monmouth. Manhattan won its last three games (all at home) after a 4-16 start; Jaspers are 4-2 in MAAC home games, losing to Quinnipiac/Marist. Saints are 7-9-1 in their last 17 games as a MAAC road favorite; Manhattan is 4-6-1 in last 11 games as a home underdog 2-1-1 this year.

    Rider came back from 13 down in 2nd half to win 82-73 at Canisius Jan 11; Broncs won despite going 1-15 on arc. Rider won six of last nine series games; Griffins lost three of last four visits to Rider, losing by 13-1-11 points. Griffins won four of their last six games, is 4-1 on MAAC road, with only loss by 8 at Niagara. Rider lost its last two games after starting out 7-1 in MAAC; they’re 4-0 at home, winning by 5-13-1-8 points. Canisius covered 11 of last 12 games as a MAAC road underdog, 4-0 this year; Broncs are 0-4 vs spread this season as a home favorite.

    Quinnipiac won three of last four games, is 6-4 in MAAC, 3-2 on road, losing by 5 at Rider, by 5 at Canisius. Iona is 5-5 in MAAC after going 124-46 the previous nine years; Gaels lost last three games, with last two losses by total of six points. Iona is 2-7 in games decided by 5 or less points. Iona won seven of last eight games with Quinnipiac; Bobcats are 0-5 in MAAC games here, losing by 22-8-19-10-5 points. Under Dunleavy, Quinnipiac is 9-4 as a MAAC road underdog, 3-1 this year; Gaels are 14-23-2 in last 39 games as a home favorite, but are 3-1 this year.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-08-2019 at 02:58 PM.

  8. #8
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    NCAAB

    Friday, February 8


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Princeton @ Yale
    Princeton
    Princeton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Princeton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Yale
    Yale is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Yale is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

    Niagara @ Marist
    Niagara
    Niagara is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Marist
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Niagara's last 7 games on the road
    Marist
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Marist's last 7 games when playing at home against Niagara
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Marist's last 11 games

    Canisius @ Rider
    Canisius
    Canisius is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Canisius's last 6 games on the road
    Rider
    Rider is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games at home
    Rider is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Canisius

    Saint Louis @ Saint Joseph's
    Saint Louis
    Saint Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Saint Joseph's
    Saint Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saint Joseph's
    Saint Joseph's
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Saint Joseph's's last 8 games at home
    Saint Joseph's is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games at home

    Pennsylvania @ Brown
    Pennsylvania
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pennsylvania's last 5 games when playing Brown
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pennsylvania's last 6 games when playing on the road against Brown
    Brown
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brown's last 5 games when playing Pennsylvania
    Brown is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

    Columbia @ Harvard
    Columbia
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Columbia's last 7 games on the road
    Columbia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Harvard
    Harvard
    Harvard is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Harvard is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Columbia

    Quinnipiac @ Iona
    Quinnipiac
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Quinnipiac's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Quinnipiac's last 13 games on the road
    Iona
    Iona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Quinnipiac
    Iona is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Quinnipiac

    Siena @ Manhattan
    Siena
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Siena's last 5 games
    Siena is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Manhattan
    Manhattan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Siena
    Manhattan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Siena

    Cornell @ Dartmouth
    Cornell
    Cornell is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dartmouth
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cornell's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dartmouth
    Dartmouth
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dartmouth's last 7 games when playing at home against Cornell
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dartmouth's last 5 games at home

    Georgia Southern @ Louisiana-Monroe
    Georgia Southern
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
    Georgia Southern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
    Louisiana-Monroe
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games when playing Georgia Southern
    Louisiana-Monroe is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

    Kent State @ Akron
    Kent State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State's last 5 games when playing Akron
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Akron
    Akron
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Akron's last 5 games when playing Kent State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Akron's last 5 games when playing at home against Kent State

    Georgia State @ Louisiana-Lafayette
    Georgia State
    Georgia State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia State's last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Lafayette
    Louisiana-Lafayette
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 5 games when playing Georgia State


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 02-08-2019 at 02:58 PM.

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