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Thread: Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/21

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/21

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, January 21

    Good Luck on day # 21 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    New England in the Super Bowl under Brady/Belichick:

    2001: W20-17 (+14) vs St Louis

    2003: W32-29 (-7) vs Carolina

    2004: W24-21 (-7) vs Philadelphia

    2007: L14-17 (-12) vs NY Giants

    2011: L17-21 (-3) vs NY Giants

    2014: W28-24 (-1) vs Seattle

    2016: W34-28 OT (-3) vs Atlanta

    2017: L33-41 (-4.5) vs Philadelphia


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a frigid weekend…….

    13) My opinion is that I write better when I’m annoyed, so today’s article might be pretty terrible, because this was a great freakin’ weekend.

    — The weather here was awful all weekend, we had a foot of snow, but DirecTV never went out, except for a couple of the movie channels late Saturday night.
    — My car started in 0 degree weather Sunday night, because I got a new battery Thursday.
    — Watched a ton of basketball Saturday; seems like it was a week ago.
    — Oh yeah, the Rams are going to the Super Bowl!!! Tremendous!!!

    12) Rams 26, Saints 23 OT— Not many games where the winning team led for 0:00 the whole game, except after the last play. This game turned on a fake punt by the Rams when they trailed 13-0 with 14:23 left in 2nd quarter- they looked like a dead team until then.

    Scouting is important in football; I had never heard of Missouri Western University until the Rams drafted a kicker from Missouri Western in the 6th round of the 2012 draft. Rams were in St Louis at the time; not sure if that helped them find Greg Zuerlein, but they did, and boy did that pay off Sunday night in the Superdome.

    Greg the Leg booted a 48-yard FG to tie the game, a 57-yard FG to win it as the Rams, who did not lead at any point in regulation, won their 4th NFC title, 26-23.

    11) I mention this every so often, but the NFL is awesome because the difference between the winning and losing teams is so often EXTREMELY thin.

    Go back to 2016, the Rams were 4-5 when they decided to give Jared Goff his first NFL start; they were playing Miami at home, and led 10-0 with 5:00 left. If they win the game, they’re 5-5, everyone is happy, and they probably finish 7-9 at worst- they have said since then if they had wound up 7-9 that year, they wouldn’t have fired Jeff Fisher.

    Miami won that game 13-10, the Rams didn’t win another game that season and a coaching change was made. And what a change it has been!!!

    They wouldn’t have hired Sean McVay if they finished 7-9, so thank the good Lord they blew that 10-0 lead against the Dolphins. Or else today’s fun wouldn’t have happened.

    11) Patriots 37, Chiefs 31 OT— What a day for the NFL; two overtimes in conference title games when the weather in lot of the country was terrible. TV ratings have to be huge. Patriots head to their 11th Super Bowl.

    Tony Romo is amazingly good on TV, the best NFL TV analyst ever; he calls out plays before they happen, the way Hank Stram used to do working Monday night games on the radio.

    Tough night for the replay center; awful lot of close replay decisions in this game.

    10) SUNY-Morrisville plans to roll out a program next fall that will teach their students how to grow marijuana. Anticipation of a Cannabis Industry Minor is a result of the expectation that New York is expected to legalize recreational marijuana soon.

    9) Nick Foles came up four snaps short of a $1M bonus for playing in 33% of Philly’s snaps, but the Eagles did the right thing and gave Foles the $1M anyway.

    8) Only four of the first 29 Mountain West basketball games were decided by fewer than ten points. League has slipped a decent amount the last couple years.

    7) Providence 79, Marquette 68— Marquette retired Dwyane Wade’s #3 jersey at halftime of this game. Not sure what took them so long, but better late than never.

    6) Boston College 87, Florida State 82— Sometimes you lose a game and it comes with a hangover; Seminoles lost at home to Duke by a hoop, then went on road and lost at both Pitt and Boston College. FSU was 12-1 vs non-conference schedule #113, but is 1-4 in the ACC.

    Speaking of which……..

    5) Monmouth 83, Iona 81— Hawks are 5-2 in the MAAC, after going 1-12 in pre-conference games; Iona is 4-2 in the MAAC, after going 2-9 in pre-conference games.

    In other words, the MAAC sucks this year.

    4) Very interesting conversation during the Kansas-West Virginia game Saturday, with Fran Fraschilla giving two solid reasons why Canada is producing more and more top college hoop prospects.

    a) Vince Carter and the Toronto Raptors inspired a lot of Canadians to enjoy basketball more, hoops has become a bigger part of the culture north of the border.

    b) Canada’s more liberal immigration laws have resulted in more people from the Caribbean and Africa winding up in Canada.

    3) Timberwolves 116, Suns 114— Minnesota wins on a fadeaway jumper by Derrick Rose with 0:00.6 left; Wolves are being coached by Flip Saunders’ 32-year old son now- they’ve played lot of high-scoring games since he took over from Tom Thibodeau.

    2) Basketball player named Isaiah Stewart from Rochester chose Washington over Duke, as Mike Hopkins’ connections to central New York pay off again.

    1) Rams opened as a 1-point favorite in the Super Bowl, but professional bettors dumped a lot of money on New England, so now the Patriots are -2 as I type this late Sunday night. The total is 59. Lets hope those pros are wrong with their bets
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-21-2019 at 11:21 AM.

  3. #3
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    NHL

    Monday, January 21


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    Trend Report
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    Nashville Predators
    Nashville is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games
    Nashville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games
    Nashville is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
    Nashville is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nashville's last 8 games on the road
    Nashville is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
    Nashville is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing Colorado
    The total has gone OVER in 14 of Nashville's last 21 games when playing Colorado
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Colorado
    Nashville is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    Colorado Avalanche
    Colorado is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games
    Colorado is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 8 games
    Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Nashville
    Colorado is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games when playing Nashville
    The total has gone OVER in 14 of Colorado's last 21 games when playing Nashville
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Nashville
    Colorado is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Nashville

    St. Louis Blues
    St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 8 games
    St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
    St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Los Angeles
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 10 games when playing Los Angeles
    St. Louis is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
    Los Angeles Kings
    Los Angeles is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Los Angeles's last 12 games
    Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games at home
    Los Angeles is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 10 games when playing St. Louis
    Los Angeles is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against St. Louis

    Minnesota Wild
    Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games
    Minnesota is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
    Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Vegas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
    Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games at home

    San Jose Sharks
    San Jose is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    San Jose is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Jose's last 11 games
    San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    San Jose is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games on the road
    San Jose is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida
    San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
    Florida Panthers
    Florida is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Florida is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
    Florida is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
    Florida is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games at home
    Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
    Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-21-2019 at 11:22 AM.

  4. #4
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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Monday, January 21


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NASHVILLE (28-18-0-4, 60 pts.) at COLORADO (22-18-0-8, 52 pts.) - 1/21/2019, 3:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NASHVILLE is 11-13 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    COLORADO is 8-1 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games in January games over the last 2 seasons.
    COLORADO is 20-8 ATS (+28.3 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    NASHVILLE is 21-9 ATS (+10.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
    NASHVILLE is 279-213 ATS (+39.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
    COLORADO is 7-15 ATS (-9.9 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NASHVILLE is 14-3 (+7.4 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    NASHVILLE is 14-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    10 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.9 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ST LOUIS (21-21-0-5, 47 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (19-26-0-4, 42 pts.) - 1/21/2019, 4:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ST LOUIS is 34-25 ATS (+61.5 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    ST LOUIS is 121-100 ATS (+223.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
    ST LOUIS is 123-83 ATS (+22.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
    LOS ANGELES is 168-171 ATS (-18.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
    LOS ANGELES is 68-81 ATS (-50.3 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.
    LOS ANGELES is 46-56 ATS (-13.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ST LOUIS is 4-3 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
    ST LOUIS is 4-3-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.3 Units)

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    MINNESOTA (24-21-0-3, 51 pts.) at VEGAS (29-17-0-4, 62 pts.) - 1/21/2019, 6:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 8-17 ATS (-12.9 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 0-6 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games this season.
    VEGAS is 94-59 ATS (+26.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 3-1 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 3-1-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN JOSE (28-15-0-7, 63 pts.) at FLORIDA (19-20-0-8, 46 pts.) - 1/21/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN JOSE is 2-8 ATS (-7.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
    FLORIDA is 19-6 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    FLORIDA is 19-28 ATS (-50.0 Units) in all games this season.
    FLORIDA is 170-253 ATS (+461.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    FLORIDA is 2-2 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
    FLORIDA is 2-2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.2 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-21-2019 at 11:23 AM.

  5. #5
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, January 22



    Nashville @ Colorado

    Game 11-12
    January 21, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Nashville
    11.786
    Colorado
    10.283
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Nashville
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado
    -115
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Nashville
    (-105); Over

    St. Louis @ Los Angeles


    Game 13-14
    January 21, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    St. Louis
    8.889
    Los Angeles
    13.211
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Los Angeles
    by 4 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    St. Louis
    -125
    5
    Dunkel Pick:
    Los Angeles
    (+105); Over

    Minnesota @ Vegas


    Game 15-16
    January 21, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    12.687
    Vegas
    11.371
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 1 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vegas
    -175
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (+155); Under

    San Jose @ Florida


    Game 17-18
    January 21, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Jose
    9.214
    Florida
    8.329
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Jose
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Jose
    -125
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Jose
    (-125); Over

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