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Thread: Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/16

  1. #1
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    Default Wednesday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 1/16

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, January 16

    Good Luck on day # 16 of 2019!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    This is a little strange; Caesar’s Palace posted odds to win the NIT this March:

    5-1— Field

    6-1— Saint Mary’s

    12-1— Utah State

    15-1— Arizona

    16-1— San Francisco

    20-1— Alabama, ASU, Baylor, Creighton, Oregon St, Wofford

    25-1— Clemson, East Tennessee State


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……..

    13) Oklahoma QB Kyler Murray declared for the NFL Draft, which is just a procedural thing to keep his options open; the pivotal moment in his career path will be whether or not he goes to the NFL Combine in February, 11 days after the start of spring training.

    Four guys on ESPN’s NFL show Monday said they thought Murray would be a first-round draft pick in the NFL; those four guys are rarely unanimous in agreeing on anything. If he gets taken in the first round, Murray would be a damn fool to play baseball- he’ll make a lot more money as a QB than working his way up thru the minor leagues.

    12) Murray has a very interesting decision to make. Joe Mauer earned $218M in his baseball career, just in salary; Matt Holliday earned just under $160M in his. Both guys were HS quarterbacks who turned down college scholarships to become baseball players, but there also guys who tried to juggle both sports and never achieved stardom in either.

    11) Then there is Chase Daniel, who has earned $28M in his nine NFL seasons, while starting a total of four games. Playing QB in the NFL is really, really lucrative if you’re great at it. Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers and the Manning brothers have all earned $200M+ in their careers.

    Lamar Jackson got a signing bonus of more than $4.9M as the last pick of the first round last year; Murray’s signing bonus with the A’s is $4.66M, most of which he has to return if he signs with an NFL team (he’s already gotten $1.5M of it, would get to keep $200K or so).

    10) CBSSports.com posted a mock draft Tuesday, which means bupkis but it is interesting to look at, and they had the Giants taking Murray with the 6th pick.

    Oakland A’s Class A farm teams are in Beloit and Stockton; not a tough choice whether to suit up for the New Jersey Giants or the Beloit Snappers.

    9) Not sure why the Jets would want to hire a new coach, but not let the guy hire his own assistants? Apparently Baylor’s Matt Rhule and Mike McCarthy both turned the Jets down because they wanted to decide who their assistants would be, rather than be told.

    8) Not much better comedy on TV than listening to ESPN”s Jay Bilas whine about Duke’s star Zion Williamson “being officiated differently”, because he is bigger/stronger than most guys. Nothing like a TV analyst/alum toting the party line for his alma mater.

    7) Sad sign of the times: Prison guards in federal prisons are being mocked by prisoners because the guards are working, but not getting paid. Sounds like a fantastic job.

    6) Modern football: James White is a running back for the Patriots, but on Sunday against the Chargers he didn’t run the ball once— he did catch 15 passes for 97 yards.

    5) Difference between high majors and mid-majors:
    Southern Illinois-Illinois State game Tuesday: one soph, 2 juniors, 7 seniors started.

    Syracuse-Duke Monday night: 3 freshmen, 2 sophs, 4 juniors, one senior started.

    If you play for a top 20 team now and you’re a senior, its almost like you’re a suspect.

    4) TCU is 12-3, having a pretty good season, but they’ve had three players transfer out this season, which led them to giving one of their walk-ons a scholarship, and they got creative in how they told the kid.

    Players are in a meeting room, and a sheriff walks in, holding a piece of paper and looking stern. He says he is looking for someone: “Is Owen Ashieris here?” The kid gets up, walks over to the sheriff, and finds out he’s been given a college scholarship. Kind of cool.

    3) Indianapolis Colts jumped from 4-12 to 10-6 this year, and much of credit for that went to their offensive line, which protected Andrew Luck very well.

    But on Tuesday, the Colts fired OL coach Dave DeGuglielmo, who was the only offensive coach that Josh McDaniel hired during his brief dalliance Indianapolis last winter. Apparently, Reich wants his own guy, so he must have someone in mind, or why not keep DeGuglielmo?

    2) Former Notre Dame QB Brandon Wimbush will play his last year of college football at Central Florida; he went 12-3 as a starting QB for the Fighting Irish.

    1) New York Governor Andrew Cuomo got off his butt this week, wants 2019 to be the year legalized sports betting comes to New York.

    “Let’s authorize sports betting in the upstate casinos. It’s here. It’s a reality, and it will generate activity in those casinos.”

    Its about time.

  3. #3
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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, January 16


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    COLORADO (21-17-0-8, 50 pts.) at OTTAWA (17-24-0-5, 39 pts.) - 1/16/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLORADO is 11-42 ATS (+84.3 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    COLORADO is 7-14 ATS (-9.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
    OTTAWA is 4-0 ATS (+4.0 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.
    COLORADO is 91-77 ATS (+174.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
    COLORADO is 255-217 ATS (+27.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
    COLORADO is 32-21 ATS (+57.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 108-94 ATS (-12.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
    OTTAWA is 104-115 ATS (-74.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
    OTTAWA is 13-34 ATS (+57.9 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 16-28 ATS (-20.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OTTAWA is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    OTTAWA is 4-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.7 Units)

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    BOSTON (26-15-0-5, 57 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (17-23-0-6, 40 pts.) - 1/16/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 17-29 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 8-13 ATS (-5.2 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 30-48 ATS (-19.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS (-8.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more this season.
    PHILADELPHIA is 2-12 ATS (+14.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 5-2 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 5-2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

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    BUFFALO (23-17-0-6, 52 pts.) at CALGARY (30-13-0-4, 64 pts.) - 1/16/2019, 9:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CALGARY is 30-17 ATS (+56.4 Units) in all games this season.
    BUFFALO is 17-13 ATS (+33.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    BUFFALO is 242-242 ATS (+510.7 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
    BUFFALO is 220-235 ATS (+507.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
    CALGARY is 7-16 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BUFFALO is 2-3 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
    CALGARY is 3-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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    SAN JOSE (28-13-0-7, 63 pts.) at ARIZONA (20-22-0-3, 43 pts.) - 1/16/2019, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN JOSE is 163-119 ATS (+27.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
    SAN JOSE is 37-18 ATS (+10.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    ARIZONA is 1-7 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARIZONA is 5-6 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
    SAN JOSE is 6-5-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.4 Units)

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    EDMONTON (22-21-0-3, 47 pts.) at VANCOUVER (21-21-0-5, 47 pts.) - 1/16/2019, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    EDMONTON is 17-11 ATS (+28.7 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    VANCOUVER is 242-248 ATS (-152.3 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
    VANCOUVER is 137-138 ATS (-75.6 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
    VANCOUVER is 388-370 ATS (-44.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    VANCOUVER is 100-91 ATS (-66.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    VANCOUVER is 5-6 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
    EDMONTON is 6-5-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.9 Units)

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    NHL

    Wednesday, January 16


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Colorado Avalanche
    Colorado is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
    Colorado is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games
    Colorado is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Colorado is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado's last 10 games on the road
    Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Ottawa
    Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado's last 9 games when playing Ottawa
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
    Ottawa Senators
    Ottawa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Ottawa is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
    Ottawa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
    Ottawa is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing Colorado
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado

    Boston Bruins
    Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
    Boston is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
    Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Boston's last 20 games on the road
    Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
    Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    Boston is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Philadelphia Flyers
    Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
    Philadelphia is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 17 games
    Philadelphia is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games at home
    Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Philadelphia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
    Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Boston
    Philadelphia is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Boston

    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games
    Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
    Buffalo is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
    Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Buffalo is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Calgary
    Buffalo is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Buffalo's last 16 games when playing on the road against Calgary
    Calgary Flames
    Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Calgary's last 8 games
    Calgary is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games at home
    Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games at home
    Calgary is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Buffalo
    Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Buffalo
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Calgary's last 16 games when playing at home against Buffalo

    Edmonton Oilers
    Edmonton is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
    Edmonton is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
    Edmonton is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
    Edmonton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
    Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vancouver
    Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
    Edmonton is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
    Vancouver Canucks
    Vancouver is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games
    Vancouver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    Vancouver is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games at home
    Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
    Vancouver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
    Vancouver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
    Vancouver is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Edmonton

    San Jose Sharks
    San Jose is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    San Jose is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Jose's last 9 games
    San Jose is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    San Jose is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
    San Jose is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 7 games on the road
    San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
    San Jose is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Jose's last 16 games when playing Arizona
    San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose's last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona
    Arizona Coyotes
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games
    Arizona is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Arizona is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games at home
    Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
    Arizona is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Jose
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Arizona's last 16 games when playing San Jose
    Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing at home against San Jose


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-16-2019 at 12:58 PM.

  4. #4
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, January 16



    Colorado @ Ottawa

    Game 21-22
    January 16, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    9.365
    Ottawa
    11.458
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Ottawa
    by 2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado
    -170
    6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Ottawa
    (+150); Under

    Boston @ Philadelphia


    Game 23-24
    January 16, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    10.069
    Philadelphia
    11.112
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    -145
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (+125); Under

    Buffalo @ Calgary


    Game 25-26
    January 16, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Buffalo
    10.532
    Calgary
    12.151
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Calgary
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Calgary
    -220
    6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Calgary
    (-220); Over

    San Jose @ Arizona


    Game 27-28
    January 16, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Jose
    13.560
    Arizona
    10.258
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Jose
    by 3 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Jose
    -145
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Jose
    (-145); Over

    Edmonton @ Vancouver


    Game 29-30
    January 16, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Edmonton
    12.833
    Vancouver
    11.432
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Edmonton
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Vancouver
    -120
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Edmonton
    (+100); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-16-2019 at 12:59 PM.

  5. #5
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    NHL's Top Money Teams (based on $100 wager per game):

    1. Lightning (35-11) $1821
    2. Islanders (26-19) $1329
    3. Flames (30-17) $1020
    4. Jets (30-16) $825
    5. Canadiens (26-22) $692
    6. Canucks (21-26) $574


    NHL's Worst Money Teams (based on $100 wager per game):

    31. Panthers (17-24) $-1204
    30. Flyers (15-28) $-1516
    29. Kings (17-27) $-945
    28. Blackhawks (16-30) $-922
    27. Devils (16-26) $-1005
    26. Hurricanes (20-24) $-926

  6. #6
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    NHL's Top OVER Teams (based on Over %):

    1. Senators 29-14
    2. Blackhawks 27-17
    3. Panthers 25-16
    4. Sharks 27-19
    t5. Devils 25-19
    t5. Lightning 25-19
    t7. Flames 25-21
    t8. Avalanche 25-21


    NHL's Top UNDER Teams (based on Under %):

    1. Ducks 29-16
    2. Stars 27-15
    3. Bruins 27-16
    4. Islanders 26-16
    5. Kings 28-18
    6. Hurricanes 27-18
    7. Blue Jackets 24-18
    8. Canadiens 26-21

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