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Thread: Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/14

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    Default Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/14

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, January 14

    Good Luck on day # 14 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    — Xavier 70, Butler 69— Bulldogs lost last two games, by one point each.

    — Oregon State 79, UCLA 66— Beavers start out 3-0 in Pac-12 play.

    — New England is in the AFC title game for the 8th year in a row.

    — Last five years, home team is 10-0 SU in conference title games.

    — Four highest-scoring teams in the NFL this year are the four teams left playing.

    — Underdogs are 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight #1-#2 seed matchups in conference title games.


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    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

    13) If you had your choice of any QB ever in his prime to play for your team; a real team, not a fantasy team, who would you choose?

    12) If the Cardinals decide to trade QB Josh Rosen and take Oklahoma QB Kyler Murray with the first pick in April’s NFL draft, which teams would be open to trading for Rosen?

    My guesses: Miami and Oakland, maybe Jacksonville.

    11) It must suck living in Los Angeles, never anything to do (sarcasm alert). Saturday, the Clippers played Detroit at home, the NHL’s Kings hosted Pittsburgh and the Rams played Dallas in an NFL playoff game.

    Sunday, the Lakers hosted Cleveland, and I’m leaving out all the college sports taking place in the area (Long Beach St, Fullerton and LMU were all home Saturday).

    10) Movie trivia: Do you remember the 1977 movie One on One, where Robby Benson plays a hotshot college basketball player? The actor who played Coach Smith in that movie was GD Spradlin, who also played the Tom Landry-like character in North Dallas Forty.

    Turns out that in real life, Spradlin was an oil man who managed John F Kennedy’s Presidential campaign in Oklahoma in 1960. Go figure.

    9) Stanford RB Bryce Love tore his ACL in their regular season finale, which helps explain why he sat out the Sun Bowl— the knee was operated on December 18.

    The current bowl system has a growing problem; star players who are already projected to go to the NFL will sit these games out, for this very reason.

    8) Baseball doings:
    — Mets gave 2B Jed Lowrie $20M for two years.
    — Bronx gave 2B DJ LeMahieu $24M for two years.

    7) From Josh Applebaum of Action Network:

    “Parlays provide a 30% hold for sportsbooks. Every other major sport averages a hold of 5%. They’re a massive moneymaker for the house. Nothing wrong with the occasional parlay, but individual bets are a much smarter long-term strategy”

    6) Jets are expected to hire Gregg Williams as their new DC, which is an excellent hire.

    Steve Sarkisian turned down the Arizona Cardinals and went back to Alabama to be their OC, which tells me that his ultimate goal is be a college head coach again.

    5) The CEO of Disney made $65.7M last year; that seems excessive.

    NBC told Megan Kelly to take a hike, but she gets all of her $69M contract, which has about $30M left on it. Ms Kelly’s exit was ignited last fall after she defended Halloween costumes that incorporate blackface. What a country.

    4) Thursday night, the Spurs beat Oklahoma City 154-147 in double OT:
    — It was the first 300-point NBA game since December 7, 2006
    — Spurs made 16-19 (84.2%) from the arc, an NBA record (with 15+ attempts)
    — Russell Westbrook was first player with 24+ points, 24+ assists in a game since Magic Johnson on January 9, 1990.

    3) Patriots 41, Chargers 28— Kansas City opened as a 3-point favorite in AFC title game. New England lost last three times they played AFC title game on road. Last time Patriots won an NFC title game on road was in 2004, last time they won any road playoff game was 2006.

    This will be the first time in 70 games that a Tom Brady-led team is an underdog.

    Sunday’s game was 38-7 at one point, so final score is misleading; Nantz/Romo emptied their bag of filler material, talking about everything except the PGA Tour, which might’ve been more interesting than some of the stuff they did talk about.

    2) Saints 20, Eagles 14— Philly led 14-0 early, but Saints scored on a drive extended by a fake punt, and they controlled the game from that point on. New Orleans outgained the Eagles 420-250; Philly has a very interesting offseason ahead of it. What to do about Nick Foles?

    Saints’ WR Michael Thomas is really good; he was the 6th WR taken (47th player overall) in the 2016 NFL Draft, which is why the draft is so damn interesting. Inexact science.

    1) Somewhere in this great country, there is a gambler who had Seton Hall (-4) Thursday and Maryland (-5) Friday. Both sides lost vs the spread on last-second 3-pointers; gambling is difficult, and in cases like these two games, it can be cruel.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Monday, January 14


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    BOSTON (25 - 17) at BROOKLYN (21 - 23) - 1/14/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BROOKLYN is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 82-57 ATS (+19.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 56-41 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 50-37 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 5-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 9-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MEMPHIS (19 - 23) at HOUSTON (24 - 18) - 1/14/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MEMPHIS is 53-68 ATS (-21.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 6-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CHARLOTTE (19 - 23) at SAN ANTONIO (25 - 19) - 1/14/2019, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 53-67 ATS (-20.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 51-82 ATS (-39.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 849-720 ATS (+57.0 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 94-56 ATS (+32.4 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 355-291 ATS (+34.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 148-113 ATS (+23.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 431-351 ATS (+44.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 4-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DETROIT (18 - 23) at UTAH (23 - 21) - 1/14/2019, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTAH is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 5-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    PORTLAND (26 - 18) at SACRAMENTO (22 - 21) - 1/14/2019, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SACRAMENTO is 72-53 ATS (+13.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 4-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 6-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NEW ORLEANS (20 - 23) at LA CLIPPERS (24 - 18) - 1/14/2019, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 99-71 ATS (+20.9 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.
    LA CLIPPERS are 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 73-45 ATS (+23.5 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
    NEW ORLEANS is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, January 14


    Boston lost its last two games after a 5-1 run; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six road games. 13 of their last 16 games went over total. Brooklyn won 13 of its last 17 games; Nets are 7-3 vs spread in last ten home games. Five of their last seven games went over. Celtics won their last ten games with the Nets (5-5 vs spread); Boston is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits to Brooklyn- four of those games stayed under.

    Memphis lost 14 of its last 18 games; they’re 2-8 vs spread in last ten road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Houston won eight of its last 11 games; they’re 1-4 vs spread if they played night before. Five of their last seven games went over. Rockets won/covered their last four games with Memphis; six of last nine series games stayed under the total. Grizzlies are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Houston.

    Hornets lost five of their last six games, are 1-6-1 vs spread in last eight road games. Eight of their last 11 games went over. San Antonio won/covered six of its last eight games; they covered their last seven home games. Six of their last eight games went over. Spurs won nine of last ten games with Charlotte (6-4 vs spread); Hornets covered once in their last five trips to the Alamo. Six of last nine series games stayed under.

    Pistons lost seven of their last nine games, are 2-5-1 vs spread in last eight road games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Jazz won five of their last six games; they covered their last four home games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Utah won/covered its last five games with Detroit; seven of last eight series games stayed under the total. Pistons are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Salt Lake City.

    Trailblazers won six of their last eight games- they covered their last three road games. Over is 2-0-1 in their last three games. Sacramento won three of last four games, covered four of last five; they covered their last three home games. Kings’ last four games stayed under. Portland won its last four games with the Kings (3-0-1 vs spread); they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Sacramento. Four of last six series games stayed under.

    Pelicans won four of their last six games, are 1-6-1 vs spread in last eight road games. Four of their last six games went over. Clippers lost last two games after a 7-3 run; LA is 5-3 vs spread in last eight home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Clippers lost five of last seven games with New Orleans (under 5-2); Pelicans covered two of last three series games played here.

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    NBA

    Monday, January 14


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    Trend Report
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    Boston Celtics
    Boston is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games
    Boston is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 12 games
    Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games on the road
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games
    Brooklyn is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games
    Brooklyn is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home
    Brooklyn is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
    Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
    Brooklyn is 8-15-1 ATS in its last 24 games when playing at home against Boston
    Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
    Memphis is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Memphis's last 13 games
    Memphis is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Memphis is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games on the road
    Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
    Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Houston
    Memphis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Memphis is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Memphis's last 21 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston Rockets
    Houston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
    Houston is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games
    Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Houston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
    Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
    Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Memphis
    Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
    Houston is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Houston's last 21 games when playing at home against Memphis

    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    Charlotte is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Charlotte is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Charlotte's last 11 games on the road
    Charlotte is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing San Antonio
    Charlotte is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games when playing San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Charlotte's last 25 games when playing San Antonio
    Charlotte is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
    San Antonio is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games
    San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games at home
    San Antonio is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Charlotte
    San Antonio is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of San Antonio's last 25 games when playing Charlotte
    San Antonio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Charlotte
    San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing at home against Charlotte

    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Utah
    Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games
    Detroit is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Detroit is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
    Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
    Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Utah
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
    Utah Jazz
    Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Utah's last 16 games
    Utah is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
    Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 10 games at home
    Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah's last 8 games when playing Detroit
    Utah is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

    Portland Trail Blazers
    Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Portland's last 11 games
    Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Portland is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
    Portland is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 8 games on the road
    Portland is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
    Portland is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Portland's last 16 games when playing Sacramento
    Portland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    Portland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
    Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Sacramento is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home
    Sacramento is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland
    Sacramento is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing Portland
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Sacramento's last 16 games when playing Portland
    Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Portland
    Sacramento is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Portland
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing at home against Portland

    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
    New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    New Orleans is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
    New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
    New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
    New Orleans is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing LA Clippers
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
    New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    New Orleans is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    LA Clippers is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games
    LA Clippers is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 10 games at home
    LA Clippers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
    LA Clippers is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing New Orleans
    LA Clippers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games when playing New Orleans
    LA Clippers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
    LA Clippers is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games when playing at home against New Orleans


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    Monday's Tip Sheet
    Kevin Rogers

    Game of the Night: Pelicans at Clippers – 10:35 PM EST

    Los Angeles (24-18 SU, 24-18 ATS) has been riding a roller coaster of late as the Clippers have won two straight, lost two straight, won three in a row, and have currently dropped consecutive games in this stretch since Christmas. Following a 21-point setback at Denver on Thursday, the Clippers returned home and fell to old friend Blake Griffin and the Pistons on Saturday afternoon, 109-104 as seven-point favorites. Three Clippers finished with 20 points or more, but couldn’t slow down Griffin, who torched Los Angeles for 44 points in his first road game against his former team since getting traded last season.

    The Pelicans (20-23 SU, 19-24 ATS) started their five-game road trip with a loss on Saturday at Minnesota, 110-106 as a short favorite. New Orleans was limited to 5-of-25 shooting from three-point range, while scoring only 17 points in the fourth quarter. Anthony Davis led the Pelicans with 30 points and 14 rebounds, but New Orleans fell to 1-6 in the last seven games away from Smoothie King Center.

    These two Western Conference squads have split a pair of matchups in New Orleans this season. The Pelicans held off the Clippers in the first matchup in October, 116-109, but finished UNDER the total of 237. L.A. picked up revenge in the second meeting, 129-126 as 1 ½-point underdogs in December. The Clippers shot 59% from the floor, led by 27 points from Tobias Harris, as the game eclipsed the total of 234 ½. Last season, the Pelicans captured both meetings at Staples Center, while New Orleans is 4-2 in the past six matchups since the start of the 2017-18 season.

    Unrested Rockets

    Houston (24-18 SU, 21-20-1 ATS) dropped to 3-8 ATS the last 11 games as a road favorite following Sunday’s 116-109 setback at Orlando. The Rockets squandered a 12-point lead, while getting outscored in each of the last three quarters to a Magic club that played on the second of a back-to-back after beating Boston on Saturday. James Harden scored 38 points for Houston, but somehow shot 1-of-17 from three-point range, as the Rockets converted 10-of-42 attempts from downtown.

    The Rockets seek their third home win this season with no rest, while also going for their third victory against the Grizzlies (19-23 SU, 18-24 ATS). Memphis has dropped seven of its past eight games, including Saturday’s 112-108 defeat at Miami to fall to 1-8 in the previous nine contests away from FedEx Forum. Now, the Grizzlies will be trying to break through against the Rockets for the first time this season as each of the first two meetings finished OVER the total and Houston grabbed the cover as a favorite each time.

    Monday, Monday

    For the second consecutive Monday, the Celtics and Nets are hooking up. Boston (25-17 SU, 22-20 ATS) cruised past Brooklyn (21-23 SU, 23-21 ATS) a week ago at TD Garden, 116-95 to easily cash as 10 ½-point favorites. The Celtics used balanced scoring as eight different players posted double-figures, paced by Kyrie Irving’s 17 points, while Boston put up at least 30 points in three different quarters. However, the Celtics look to finish off their three-game road trip with a win after losing in the first two stops at Miami and Orlando as a favorite.

    The Nets return to Barclays Center where they have won eight of their last nine games. Brooklyn tries to rebound after getting crushed at Toronto on Friday, 122-105 to suffer their third loss in the last month as a double-digit road underdog. The Nets have covered four of their last five as a home underdog, but Brooklyn has dropped 10 consecutive meetings with Boston since January 16, including five straight home defeats.

    Staying Golden

    The Kings (22-21 SU, 25-18 ATS) look to close out a perfect 3-0 homestand at Golden 1 Center following victories over the Pistons and Hornets. Sacramento has lost seven of its past 11 home contests to Western Conference opponents, including a 113-108 overtime setback to Portland (26-18 SU, 23-21 ATS) on New Year’s Day. The Kings are riding a four-game UNDER streak, while holding three straight foes to 102 points or fewer at home.

    The Blazers head to Sacramento with no rest after suffering a 116-113 defeat at Denver on Sunday night. That loss ended a four-game skid, although Portland cashed as 4 ½-point underdogs to improve to 6-2 ATS the past eight contests. Portland has captured four consecutive meetings with Sacramento since last season, while limiting the Kings to 38% shooting back on January 1. The Blazers have seen success with no rest this season by posting a 4-2 SU/ATS mark, but both losses came away from the Moda Center.

    Lotte of Losses

    Things have unraveled for the Hornets (19-23 SU, 20-22 ATS) on their six-game road trip as Charlotte has posted a 1-4 SU/ATS record in the first five contests. Three of the four losses have come by double-digits, while being held to 97 points or less in the last two defeats at Portland and Sacramento. Since starting the season at 2-0 on the road, the Hornets have dropped 15 of the past 18 games at Spectrum Center, while posting a 2-9 ATS mark in the last 11 on the highway.

    Charlotte travels to San Antonio to face the Spurs (25-19 SU, 26-17-1 ATS), who have won seven straight games at AT&T Center. The Spurs dropped the back-end of a home-and-home set with Oklahoma City on Saturday, 122-112, two nights after a thrilling a double-overtime win over the Thunder. San Antonio fell to 15-4 ATS the last 19 games overall, but the Spurs have covered in each of their last 15 home wins dating back to November.

    Back on Track

    The Jazz (23-21 SU, 22-21-1 ATS) have stepped up following an up and down start to the season, as Utah is 9-4 the last 13 games to pull above the .500 mark. Utah seeks a perfect 4-0 homestand after winning the first three games against the Magic, Lakers, and Bulls, while winning five of the past six at Vivint Smart Home Arena. The Jazz failed to cash in Saturday’s 110-102 victory over Chicago as 12-point favorites as Utah trailed by one point heading into the fourth quarter.

    The Pistons (18-23 SU, 18-22-1 ATS) look to capitalize off Saturday’s 109-104 victory over the Clippers as seven-point underdogs. Detroit has dropped five consecutive matchups with Utah since 2017, including a 110-105 setback at Little Caesars Arena on January 5. The Pistons blew an early 18-point lead after one quarter as Detroit fell to 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings with Utah, while they look to end a five-game losing streak off a win.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Monday, January 14



    Boston @ Brooklyn

    Game 501-502
    January 14, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    119.330
    Brooklyn
    123.242
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Brooklyn
    by 4
    220
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 3 1/2
    218 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+3 1/2); Over

    Memphis @ Houston


    Game 503-504
    January 14, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    115.653
    Houston
    123.297
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 7 1/2
    203
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 5 1/2
    207 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-5 1/2); Under

    Charlotte @ San Antonio


    Game 505-506
    January 14, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Charlotte
    110.071
    San Antonio
    122.305
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio
    by 12
    227
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Antonio
    by 8 1/2
    223
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (-8 1/2); Over

    Detroit @ Utah


    Game 507-508
    January 14, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    111.360
    Utah
    117.856
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 6 1/2
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 8 1/2
    208 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (+8 1/2); Over

    Portland @ Sacramento


    Game 509-510
    January 14, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Portland
    116.939
    Sacramento
    121.252
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Sacramento
    by 4 1/2
    221
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Sacramento
    by 2 1/2
    227 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Sacramento
    (-2 1/2); Under

    New Orleans @ LA Clippers


    Game 511-512
    January 14, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    117.874
    LA Clippers
    116.634
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 1
    227
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 2 1/2
    240 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (+2 1/2); Under

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    Hoop Trends - Monday
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Rockets are 13-0 ATS (+10.81 ppg) as a favorite off a road game in which they scored at least 25 points fewer than the game before and it is before the All-Star break.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Pistons are 0-13 ATS (-8.62 ppg) as a eight-plus dog with less than two days rest after a game in which they scored fewer than ten fast break points and it is before the All-Star break.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Rockets are 20-0 OU (+14.05 ppg) with no rest after a loss in which they led at the end of the third quarter.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Hornets are 0-15 OU (-12.53 ppg) as a road dog with rest off a loss in a road game when they are facing a team that is averaging less than six refereed turnovers per game and it is before the All-Star break.

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    Rudy Gay (sprained left wrist) is listed as 'OUT' for Monday's game at home vs. the Hornets.
    The Spurs are 1-5 ATS without Gay in the lineup this season.
    Pointspread: Spurs -9
    Total: 223


    Celtics' Kyrie Irving (quad) and Marcus Smart (illness) will not play on Monday at the Brooklyn Nets.
    The C's are 3-1 ATS without Irving in the lineup this season.
    Pointspread: Celtics -3
    Total: 218.5

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    By: Monique Vág



    In an ideal spot

    Boston's Al Horford is in an excellent spot tonight as the Celtics play against a Nets side surrendering 25.9 points on 54 percent shooting, and 18.1 rebounds a game to opposing centers. Horford’s minutes have been inconsistent this year, but when on the court he is averaging 11.6 points a game on 49.8 percent shooting. Look for Horford to take advantage of today's matchup and bet Over his total of 25.5 points, rebounds, and assists.


    Houston, we have a problem

    The Grizzlies travel to Houston to take on a Rockets team but both will be shorthanded. The Grizzlies will be without Chandler Parsons, Kyle Anderson and Dillon Brooks. Houston will once again be without Chris Paul, Eric Gordon, and now Clint Capela.

    Losing Capela is a huge blow for the Rockets and might open up the floor for some offensive rebounds. With the Rockets surrendering an average of 22.9 points on 54.2 percent shooting and 14.7 rebounds per game to opposing centers, look for Marc Gasol to take advantage of Capela's absence and back Over his rebounding total of 8.5.


    Owning the head-to-head

    The Hornets have struggled recently losing seven of their last 10 games and have posted a 5-15 away record on the season. Today they take on a Spurs team who have owned the head-to-head series posting a 9-1 record and winning 14 of the last 15 matchups.

    The Spurs have lost two of their most recent three after posting five straight victories but are in a prime position to bounce back today. Take them to cover as 8-point home favorites.


    Trending towards the Under

    Both the Pistons and Jazz rank towards the bottom half of the league in first-half points per game, with Detroit averaging 53.5 and the Jazz 53.3. The Pistons have Zaza Pachulia listed as doubtful, and Ish Smith and Blake Griffin appearing on the injury report as probable. The Jazz will be without Ricky Rubio, Dante Exum and Raul Neto.

    With the Under hitting in seven of the last eight in the head-to-head, five straight road games for the Pistons, and eight of Utah's last ten at home, look for scoring to be tough to come by. Back Under the first half total of 106.5.


    Two potent offenses

    The Pelicans and Clippers enter today with the third and fourth ranked offenses in points per game with the Pelicans averaging 116.9 on 48.2 percent shooting, and the Clippers 115.3 on 47.4 percent shooting. Defensively neither team has been good, with the Clippers allowing 114.2 points a game and the Pelicans 114.7. There should be lots of points to go around.

    In their two games against the Pelicans so far this season, the Clipper's Tobias Harris played very well. He shot 8 of 16 from the floor for 26 points in the first contest, and then went 10 of 16 for 27 points the second time around. Look for him to once again find success and back Over his point total of 20.5.

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