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Thread: Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/13

  1. #1
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    Default Sunday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/13

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, January 13

    Good Luck on day # 13 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    NFL head coaching records of the Bill Belichick coaching tree:

    — Bill O’Brien 42-38

    — Al Groh 9-7

    — Nick Saban 15-17

    — Josh McDaniels 11-17

    — Eric Mangini 33-47

    — Jim Schwartz 29-51

    — Matt Patricia 6-10

    — Romeo Crennel 28-55


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…..

    13) Rams 30, Dallas 22— First playoff win in 14 years; it was a happy night in Armadillo World HQ. Rams ran ball for 273 yards behind an offensive line led by 13-year vet Andrew Whitworth, who won the first playoff game of his outstanding career.

    Gurley/Anderson both ran ball for 100+ yards, first RB’s/teammates to run for 100+ in the same playoff game since the 1997 Broncos (Terrell Davis/Derek Loville)

    12) Chiefs 31, Colts 13— Terrible game; Indy went 3/out on its first four drives, running dozen plays for 21 yards on a snowy day at Arrowhead, which will now host its first AFC title game in its 47-year history. Who do you think they would rather play, Chargers or Patriots?

    Colts won 10 of their last 12 games after a 1-5 start; this was a rough end to a good season.

    11) Duke 80, Florida State 78
    — Zion Williamson got poked in the eye, sat out the entire second half.
    — If you’re FSU and can’t beat Duke at home with Williamson missing half the game, thats not a good omen for the rest of the season, especially March.
    — Reddish made game-winning 3-pointer; no one guarded him on the OB under. I mean, NO ONE guarded him.

    10) Louisville 83, North Carolina 62— Someone asked Roy Williams after this game if there was one glaring concern for his team. Williams answered, “Basketball”

    Alrighty then.

    9) Georgetown 96, Providence 90 2OT— Hoyas banked in a 3-pointer to tie game at end of regulation, then hit another 3-pointer to tie game with 0:03.4 left in OT.

    Just a thought, but maybe Providence should practice fouling in last 0:10 when they’re up by three points. Very difficult loss for the Friars, and for those who had Providence, +2.

    8) Oklahoma State’s 6-10 freshman Yor Anei has only eight fingers; he lost two fingers on his right hand in an accident with a blender when he was a little kid. TV guys were saying that it doesn’t really hamper his basketball very much.

    7) Upsets of the Day:
    — Louisville (+12) 83, North Carolina 62
    — Ohio U (+11.5) 70, Ball State 52
    — Kansas State (+10) 58, Iowa State 57
    — Youngstown St (+10) 82, IUPUI 76
    — Georgia Tech (+10) 73, Syracuse 59
    — Western Carolina (+9) 94, Citadel 82
    — Troy (+7.5) 87, Georgia Southern 85

    6) Virginia 63, Clemson 43— Cavaliers won their last 12 ACC road games, and that includes a win at Duke last season.

    5) Baylor loses 6-9 sophomore Tristan Clark for the season with an injury; he was scoring 14.6 ppg, big blow for the Bears.

    4) Texas A&M 81, Alabama 80— Rough week in Tuscaloosa ends with the Aggies’ TJ Starks going length of the court and hitting a running 3-pointer at the buzzer.

    3) Detroit 93, Milwaukee 84— Titans went 10-26 in Horizon League last two years, so they hired Mike Davis, the old Indiana coach, who brought his son Antoine with him. Detroit is 5-1 in Horizon this year, and Antoine is shooting 42.1% on the arc— he had 48 points in a game earlier this month, had 32 points in this game.

    2) Gonzaga 96, San Francisco 83— Very misleading final score; this was a close game until the last TV timeout. USF has a very good team; they’re second-best team in WCC.

    1) Tennessee 78, Florida 67— Vols had lost last three visits to Gainesville, by 26-17-13 points, so this is a very solid win for them.

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    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, January 13


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    VILLANOVA (12 - 4) at CREIGHTON (10 - 6) - 1/13/2019, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CREIGHTON is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    CREIGHTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    VILLANOVA is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    VILLANOVA is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    VILLANOVA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    VILLANOVA is 33-14 ATS (+17.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    VILLANOVA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
    VILLANOVA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CREIGHTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    VILLANOVA is 4-1 against the spread versus CREIGHTON over the last 3 seasons
    VILLANOVA is 4-1 straight up against CREIGHTON over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    BUTLER (10 - 6) at XAVIER (10 - 7) - 1/13/2019, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BUTLER is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    XAVIER is 54-30 ATS (+21.0 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.
    XAVIER is 246-195 ATS (+31.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    XAVIER is 3-2 against the spread versus BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
    XAVIER is 3-2 straight up against BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MICHIGAN ST (14 - 2) at PENN ST (7 - 9) - 1/13/2019, 4:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MICHIGAN ST is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
    PENN ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
    MICHIGAN ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 96-63 ATS (+26.7 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
    MICHIGAN ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
    MICHIGAN ST is 66-39 ATS (+23.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    PENN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
    MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MASSACHUSETTS (7 - 8) at DAYTON (10 - 5) - 1/13/2019, 3:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DAYTON is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    DAYTON is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    DAYTON is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    DAYTON is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    DAYTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    MASSACHUSETTS is 3-0 against the spread versus DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
    MASSACHUSETTS is 3-0 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    E CAROLINA (8 - 7) at UCF (12 - 2) - 1/13/2019, 4:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    E CAROLINA is 160-202 ATS (-62.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
    E CAROLINA is 152-190 ATS (-57.0 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
    E CAROLINA is 100-131 ATS (-44.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
    UCF is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    UCF is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997.
    UCF is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    UCF is 2-2 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    UCF is 4-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DRAKE (12 - 4) at N IOWA (6 - 10) - 1/13/2019, 4:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    N IOWA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
    DRAKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
    DRAKE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
    N IOWA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games this season.
    N IOWA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
    N IOWA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    N IOWA is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    N IOWA is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    N IOWA is 3-1 against the spread versus DRAKE over the last 3 seasons
    N IOWA is 3-1 straight up against DRAKE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    GEORGE MASON (8 - 8) at RHODE ISLAND (8 - 6) - 1/13/2019, 5:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GEORGE MASON is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    GEORGE MASON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    GEORGE MASON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    RHODE ISLAND is 67-100 ATS (-43.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
    RHODE ISLAND is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    RHODE ISLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGE MASON over the last 3 seasons
    RHODE ISLAND is 2-0 straight up against GEORGE MASON over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MEMPHIS (10 - 6) at TULANE (4 - 11) - 1/13/2019, 6:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TULANE is 232-283 ATS (-79.3 Units) in all games since 1997.
    TULANE is 232-283 ATS (-79.3 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
    TULANE is 94-133 ATS (-52.3 Units) in all home games since 1997.
    TULANE is 94-133 ATS (-52.3 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
    TULANE is 155-207 ATS (-72.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
    TULANE is 64-94 ATS (-39.4 Units) in January games since 1997.
    TULANE is 152-199 ATS (-66.9 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
    TULANE is 96-134 ATS (-51.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
    TULANE is 18-37 ATS (-22.7 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
    TULANE is 57-87 ATS (-38.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    TULANE is 84-112 ATS (-39.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
    TULANE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 4-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
    MEMPHIS is 4-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NORTHWESTERN (10 - 6) at MICHIGAN (16 - 0) - 1/13/2019, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MICHIGAN is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MICHIGAN is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    MICHIGAN is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    MICHIGAN is 56-30 ATS (+23.0 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.
    MICHIGAN is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
    MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points this season.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    NORTHWESTERN is 3-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    MICHIGAN is 2-2 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    USC (9 - 7) at OREGON (9 - 6) - 1/13/2019, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OREGON is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    OREGON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    OREGON is 3-2 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
    USC is 3-2 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    UCLA (10 - 6) at OREGON ST (10 - 4) - 1/13/2019, 10:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    OREGON ST is 3-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
    UCLA is 3-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MARIST (6 - 9) at ST PETERS (4 - 11) - 1/13/2019, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ST PETERS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
    ST PETERS is 75-105 ATS (-40.5 Units) in all home games since 1997.
    ST PETERS is 75-105 ATS (-40.5 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
    ST PETERS is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.
    ST PETERS is 29-55 ATS (-31.5 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    ST PETERS is 2-2 against the spread versus MARIST over the last 3 seasons
    ST PETERS is 3-1 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    RIDER (8 - 7) at NIAGARA (8 - 8) - 1/13/2019, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NIAGARA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
    RIDER is 112-83 ATS (+20.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
    RIDER is 58-30 ATS (+25.0 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
    NIAGARA is 63-90 ATS (-36.0 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
    NIAGARA is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    RIDER is 2-1 against the spread versus NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
    RIDER is 2-1 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    FAIRFIELD (5 - 11) at QUINNIPIAC (7 - 7) - 1/13/2019, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    QUINNIPIAC is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    QUINNIPIAC is 3-2 against the spread versus FAIRFIELD over the last 3 seasons
    FAIRFIELD is 3-2 straight up against QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    IONA (4 - 10) at CANISIUS (5 - 10) - 1/13/2019, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    IONA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games this season.
    IONA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
    IONA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
    IONA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games this season.
    IONA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road lined games this season.
    IONA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.
    CANISIUS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    CANISIUS is 3-1 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
    CANISIUS is 3-1 straight up against IONA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    IUPU-FT WAYNE (12 - 7) at S DAKOTA (7 - 9) - 1/13/2019, 2:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    IUPU-FT WAYNE is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    IUPU-FT WAYNE is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    S DAKOTA is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    S DAKOTA is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    S DAKOTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    S DAKOTA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    S DAKOTA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    IUPU-FT WAYNE is 76-47 ATS (+24.3 Units) as an underdog since 1997.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    S DAKOTA is 4-0 against the spread versus IUPU-FT WAYNE over the last 3 seasons
    S DAKOTA is 4-0 straight up against IUPU-FT WAYNE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MISSOURI (9 - 4) at S CAROLINA (7 - 7) - 1/13/2019, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


    Head-to-Head Series History
    MISSOURI is 2-0 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    S CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-13-2019 at 11:46 AM.

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    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Sunday, January 13


    Villanova won its last four games, winning first three Big East games by 5-6-5 points, nothing overpowering. Wildcats are 1-2 in true road games, losing at Penn/Kansas, winning 65-59 at Providence. Creighton lost its last two games, dropping 106-104 OT game last game when they screwed up game management at end. Big East foes are shooting 43% on arc against Bluejays. Villanova won seven of last eight games with Creighton, lost 89-83 in OT here LY. Wildcats are 14-14-1 in last 29 Big East road games; Creighton is 25-21 vs spread in Big East home games.

    Butler lost three of its last four games, allowing 76 ppg; Bulldogs are 0-3 in true road games, losing by 12-34-1 points. Big East foes are shooting 61% inside arc vs Butler. Xavier split its last eight games; they beat Georgetown 81-75 in last game, after trailing by 17 in first half. Xavier won seven of last nine games with Butler, winning last three by 5-7-5 points. Bulldogs lost four of last five games in Cintas Center, losing by 11-17-19-7 points. Butler is 6-8 in its last 14 games as Big East road underdog; Xavier is 11-15 in last 26 games as a home favorite.

    Michigan State won its last nine games, won/covered all five Big 14 games, with road wins by 11-9 points. Spartans are shooting 59% inside arc in league games, are rebounding 41.3% of their missed shots. Penn State lost its last three games, by 13-19-6 points; they’re 0-5 in Big 14 play, scoring 58.4 ppg. Lions are shooting 22% on arc in Big 14 games. MSU won nine of last ten games with Penn State, winning three of last four visits here. Spartans are 19-10 in last 29 games as a Big 14 road favorite, 2-0 this year; PSU is 8-6-1 in last 15 games as a home underdog.

    UMass lost its last three games, by 19-9-3 points, scoring 60-62 points in first two A-14 games; five of their last seven games were decided by 4 or fewer points. Dayton won its last five games, winning first two A-14 tilts by 24-6 points; Flyers are shooting 61.3% inside arc, #2 in country. Home side won nine of last ten UMass-Dayton games; Minutemen won here by hoop LY, ending 4-game losing skid in Dayton. Last 3+ years, UMass is 10-12 as an A-14 road underdog; Flyers are 10-5 vs spread in their last 15 games as a home favorite.

    Northern Iowa lost eight of its last ten games, losing last two by 1-7 points; Panthers are 1-9 vs teams ranked in top 200, with one win by point over ODU on Virgin Islands. Drake lost two of first three Valley games after an 11-2 pre-season slate; Bulldogs are turning ball over 21.7% of time in MVC games. UNI won seven of last eight games with Drake, which lost its last nine visits to Cedar Falls. Favorites are 5-2-1 vs spread in last eight series games. Drake is 17-28-1 vs spread in its last 46 Valley road games; UNI is 16-12 in its last 28 MVC home games.

    Rhode Island is 8-6 vs schedule #140; Rams are experience team #309 that is 4-1 at home, with loss to Stony Brook, not good. URI is shooting 27.6% on arc (#346) for season. George Mason split its last four games, with the two losses by total of six points; Patriots split their four true road games, with wins at St Joe’s, Wm & Mary. URI won its last five games with Mason; Patriots lost last three visits here, by 2-18-19 points. Mason covered eight of its last ten games as a road underdog; URI is 15-11 in its last 26 games as a home favorite.

    Northwestern is 4-5 in its last nine games, 1-4 in Big 14 games, losing road games at Indiana by 2, Michigan St by 26. Big 14 teams are shooting 55.6% inside arc against the Wildcats. Michigan is 15-0, 5-0 in conference, with home wins by 19-13-11 points. Wolverines are thin; their bench plays #348 minutes in country. Home side won last eight Northwestern-Michigan games; Wildcats lost last seven visits to Ann Arbor. Northwestern is 10-12 in last 22 games as a road underdog; Wolverines are 9-2 in last 11 games as a home favorite, 3-0 this year.

    USC was 3-0 vs Oregon LY, winning by 5-2-20 points, after Ducks had won previous 14 series games. Trojans’ win here LY was their first in last eight visits to Eugene. USC won four of its last five games, losing in OT in Corvallis Thursday; Trojans are 0-3 in true road games, with two of the losses in OT. Oregon led by 8 with 0:44 left but lost to UCLA last game; Ducks lost three of their last four games. Trojans are 4-7 in last 11 games as a Pac-12 road underdog; Oregon is 19-9 in last 28 games as a Pac-12 home favorite, but 0-2 this season.

    UCLA is 3-0 under interim coach Bartow, winning in OT at Oregon Thursday after trailing by 13 with 2:31 left. Bruins are scoring 92.3 ppg in Pac-12 games. Oregon State star Tinkle sat out last game (ankle) but Beavers beat USC; OSU won four of last five games, scoring 79-77 points in first two Pac-12 tilts. OSU’s 7-0 center Kelly has been a strong presence inside. UCLA won five of its last seven games with Oregon State, splitting last four visits to Corvallis. Bruins are 5-2 vs spread in last seven games as a road underdog; OSU is 17-10-1 in its last 28 Pac-12 home games.

    Marist coach Dunne coached at St Peter’s the last 12 years, so this is an emotional game for him and the Peacock players. St Peter’s won five of last six series games; Red Foxes lost their last six visits to Jersey City. Marist lost four of its last five games; they’re 6-9 vs schedule #323, are 2-6 in true road games, with wins at UNH/Stetson. St Peter’s is 4-11 vs schedule #283; they scored 44-57 points in losing last two games. Last five years, Marist is 28-20-1 vs spread in MAAC road games; Peacocks are 17-12 vs spread in last 30 MAAC home games.

    Rider won its last three games after a 5-7 pre-conference slate; they scored 79 ppg in winning first three MAAC games, when Broncs forced turnovers 25.5% of time. Niagara lost three of its last four games; Purple Eagles allowed 75+ points in their last five games. Niagara’s first three MAAC opponents shot 62.1% inside arc, not good. Rider won nine of last 11 games with Niagara; Broncs won five of last six visits here. Rider is 16-8 in its last 24 games as a MAAC road favorite (0-1 this year); Niagara is 11-16 in its last 27 games as a home underdog.

    Canisius split its last eight games; their last three wins were all by 4 or fewer points. Griffins are 1-4 at home, with only win over #279 Robert Morris. Iona is 4-10 vs schedule #229, but they won two of first three MAAC games, scoring 95.7 ppg. Gaels are 0-6 in true road games. with four losses by 12+ points. Canisius won its last three games with Iona, by 6-7-2 points; Gaels lost 89-83/85-78 in last two visits here. Canisius is 5-2-1 in its last eight games as a MAAC home favorite; Gaels are 6-3 in last nine games as road underdogs.

    Missouri won six of its last seven games; they’re 6-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, losing only true road game by 17 at Iowa State. South Carolina won its first two SEC games by total of seven points, both on road. Mizzou is 5-4 vs Carolina in SEC games, splitting four games in the Palmetto State; underdogs covered last four series games. Last three years, Tigers are 14-11-1 as an SEC road underdog; Gamecocks are 13-9 in last 22 games as a home favorite. This game was postponed Saturday because bad weather in Missouri prevented the Tigers from traveling.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-13-2019 at 11:47 AM.

  5. #5
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    NCAAB

    Sunday, January 13


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Butler @ Xavier
    Butler
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Butler's last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Butler's last 5 games when playing on the road against Xavier
    Xavier
    Xavier is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Butler
    Xavier is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Butler

    Villanova @ Creighton
    Villanova
    Villanova is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Creighton
    Villanova is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Creighton
    Creighton
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Creighton's last 5 games when playing at home against Villanova
    Creighton is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home

    Marist @ Saint Peter's
    Marist
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Marist's last 8 games on the road
    Marist is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Saint Peter's
    Saint Peter's
    Saint Peter's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Marist
    Saint Peter's is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Marist

    Missouri @ South Carolina
    Missouri
    Missouri is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    Missouri is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing South Carolina
    South Carolina
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Missouri
    South Carolina is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home

    Iona @ Canisius
    Iona
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iona's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iona's last 6 games when playing Canisius
    Canisius
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Canisius's last 6 games when playing Iona
    Canisius is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Iona

    Rider @ Niagara
    Rider
    Rider is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Niagara
    Rider is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Niagara
    Niagara
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Niagara's last 5 games
    Niagara is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Fairfield @ Quinnipiac
    Fairfield
    Fairfield is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Quinnipiac
    Fairfield is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Quinnipiac
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Quinnipiac's last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Quinnipiac's last 7 games

    IPFW @ South Dakota
    IPFW
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of IPFW's last 5 games on the road
    IPFW is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    South Dakota
    South Dakota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing IPFW
    South Dakota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing IPFW

    UMass @ Dayton
    UMass
    UMass is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dayton
    UMass is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dayton
    Dayton
    Dayton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dayton's last 8 games

    East Carolina @ Central Florida
    East Carolina
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of East Carolina's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of East Carolina's last 6 games on the road
    Central Florida
    Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing East Carolina
    Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    Drake @ Northern Iowa
    Drake
    Drake is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Drake is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Northern Iowa
    Northern Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Drake
    Northern Iowa is 9-0-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Drake

    Michigan State @ Penn State
    Michigan State
    Michigan State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Penn State
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Penn State's last 9 games at home

    George Mason @ Rhode Island
    George Mason
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of George Mason's last 5 games when playing Rhode Island
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of George Mason's last 7 games
    Rhode Island
    Rhode Island is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing George Mason
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rhode Island's last 5 games when playing George Mason

    Memphis @ Tulane
    Memphis
    Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tulane
    Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulane
    Tulane
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulane's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulane's last 5 games at home

    Northwestern @ Michigan
    Northwestern
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northwestern's last 6 games
    Northwestern is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Michigan
    Michigan
    Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northwestern
    Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    USC @ Oregon
    USC
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of USC's last 6 games when playing Oregon
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of USC's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oregon
    Oregon
    Oregon is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against USC
    Oregon is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home

    UCLA @ Oregon State
    UCLA
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of UCLA's last 6 games
    UCLA is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing Oregon State
    Oregon State
    Oregon State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against UCLA
    Oregon State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-13-2019 at 11:48 AM.

  6. #6
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    Nov 2004
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    Sunday's Big Ten Tips
    David Schwab

    The top two teams in the Big Ten will be in action this Sunday in a pair of featured matchups on that day’s card. Things get underway late Sunday afternoon with Michigan State going on the road to face Penn State.

    Sunday night’s three-game betting slate starts things off with Northwestern making the trip to Ann Arbor in a matchup against Michigan in the other Big Ten clash.

    No. 6 Michigan State at Penn State (CBS, 4:30 p.m. ET)

    Opening Odds: Michigan State -5, Total 141


    Betting Matchup

    Michigan may be ranked higher at the moment, but the Spartans are making a strong case as the best team in the Big Ten. This is backed by a straight-up nine-game winning streak that includes some quality wins. They have gone a profitable 8-1 against the spread over this same span, including a perfect 5-0 start both SU and ATS in conference play. Michigan State beat Ohio State 86-77 on Jan. 5 as a two-point road favorite ahead of Tuesday’s 77-59 romp over Purdue as a seven-point favorite at home. Junior guard Cassius Winston is averaging a team-high 18 points and he has now scored at least 23 points in four of his last five starts.

    The Nittany Lions continue to take it on the chin in early conference play. Thursday’s 70-64 loss to Nebraska was their fifth SU loss in five Big Ten matchups. They did cover as 10 ½-point road underdogs in that latest loss as part of a 1-4 record ATS. Penn State is 7-9 SU overall with a 6-10 record ATS. It is 2-5 against the number when closing as an underdog. The Lions are averaging 58.4 points per game against the Big Ten as opposed to an overall scoring average of 67.9 PPG. One of the lone bright spots has been the play of junior forward Lamar Stevens with a team-high 18.6 PPG. He put up 22 points in a recent loss to Wisconsin.

    Betting Trends

    -- The Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and they have gone 24-10 ATS in their last 34 games against a SU losing team. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight Sunday games.

    -- The Nittany Lions have gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a SU winning record on the road. The total has stayed UNDER in 20 of their last 28 games at home.

    -- The home team has covered in nine of the last 13 meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in five of the last seven meetings at Penn State.


    Northwestern at No. 2 Michigan (BTN, 7:30 p.m. ET)

    Opening Odds: Michigan -12.5, Total 126


    Betting Matchup

    Northwestern (10-6 SU, 8-7-1 ATS) was on the wrong end of a 73-63 loss to Iowa on Wednesday night closing as a three-point favorite at home. The total stayed UNDER 144 points in that game and it has stayed UNDER in five of its last six games. The Wildcats are 1-4 SU in the Big Ten with a 2-3 mark ATS. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 11 of their first 15 games overall. Northwestern has remained stingy on defense with a points-allowed average of 63.8 PPG, but it has failed to score more than 66 points in each of its first five conference games.

    Michigan remained perfect on the year at 16-0 with Thursday’s 79-69 road victory against Illinois. The Wolverines have been able to cover in their last three games to even their record ATS this year to 8-8. They are 4-7 ATS at home and the total has stayed UNDER in 10 of their 16 games overall. All five Michigan starters ended Thursday’s game in double figures. The Wolverines shot 45.2 percent from the field, but they struggled from three-point range going 5-for-19. On the year, their field goal percentage is 46.7 while converting on 36.4 percent of their shots from beyond the arc.

    Betting Trends

    -- The Wildcats have gone 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games.

    -- The Wolverines are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 Sunday games and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after covering in their previous outing. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their five home games.

    -- The underdog has covered in four of the last five meetings and the total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in six of the last seven meetings at Michigan.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-13-2019 at 11:50 AM.

  7. #7
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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Sunday, January 13



    Villanova @ Creighton

    Game 831-832
    January 13, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Villanova
    68.944
    Creighton
    56.717
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Villanova
    by 12
    145
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Villanova
    by 1
    150
    Dunkel Pick:
    Villanova
    (-1); Under

    Butler @ Xavier

    Game 833-834
    January 13, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Butler
    74.914
    Xavier
    60.277
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Butler
    by 14 1/2
    138
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Butler
    by 1 1/2
    141
    Dunkel Pick:
    Butler
    (-1 1/2); Under

    Missouri @ South Carolina

    Game 863-864
    January 13, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Missouri
    59.968
    South Carolina
    61.504
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    South Carolina
    by 1 1/2
    134
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    South Carolina
    by 3 1/2
    139 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Missouri
    (+3 1/2); Under

    Marist @ St Peter's

    Game 853-854
    January 13, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Marist
    46.268
    St Peter's
    41.224
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Marist
    by 5
    126
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Marist
    Pick
    127 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Marist
    Under

    IPFW @ South Dakota

    Game 861-862
    January 13, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    IPFW
    53.760
    South Dakota
    42.759
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    IPFW
    by 11
    135
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    South Dakota
    by 1
    150
    Dunkel Pick:
    IPFW
    (+1); Under

    Iona @ Canisius

    Game 859-860
    January 13, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Iona
    51.956
    Canisius
    60.415
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Canisius
    by 8 1/2
    154
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Canisius
    by 3 1/2
    165
    Dunkel Pick:
    Canisius
    (-3 1/2); Under

    Rider @ Niagara

    Game 855-856
    January 13, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Rider
    56.299
    Niagara
    44.456
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Rider
    by 12
    158
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Rider
    by 5
    160
    Dunkel Pick:
    Rider
    (-5); Under

    Fairfield @ Quinnipiac

    Game 857-858
    January 13, 2019 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Fairfield
    50.227
    Quinnipiac
    42.930
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Fairfield
    by 7 1/2
    148
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Quinnipiac
    by 3 1/2
    144 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Fairfield
    (+3 1/2); Over

    Massachusetts @ Dayton

    Game 837-838
    January 13, 2019 @ 3:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Massachusetts
    57.872
    Dayton
    62.317
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dayton
    by 4 1/2
    145
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Dayton
    by 9 1/2
    147
    Dunkel Pick:
    Massachusetts
    (+9 1/2); Under

    East Carolina @ UCF

    Game 839-840
    January 13, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    East Carolina
    53.728
    UCF
    67.207
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    UCF
    by 13 1/2
    137
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    UCF
    by 17 1/2
    134 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    East Carolina
    (+17 1/2); Over

    Drake @ Northern Iowa

    Game 841-842
    January 13, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Drake
    59.079
    Northern Iowa
    51.482
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Drake
    by 7 1/2
    142
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Northern Iowa
    by 2 1/2
    138 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Drake
    (+2 1/2); Over

    Michigan State @ Penn State

    Game 835-836
    January 13, 2019 @ 4:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Michigan State
    70.099
    Penn State
    65.072
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Michigan State
    by 5
    146
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Michigan State
    by 8 1/2
    141
    Dunkel Pick:
    Penn State
    (+8 1/2); Over

    George Mason @ Rhode Island

    Game 843-844
    January 13, 2019 @ 5:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    George Mason
    58.512
    Rhode Island
    54.604
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    George Mason
    by 4
    134
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Rhode Island
    by 5 1/2
    140
    Dunkel Pick:
    George Mason
    (+5 1/2); Under

    Memphis @ Tulane

    Game 845-846
    January 13, 2019 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    60.960
    Tulane
    52.460
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Memphis
    by 8 1/2
    162
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Memphis
    by 10 1/2
    155
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tulane
    (+10 1/2); Over

    Northwestern @ Michigan

    Game 847-848
    January 13, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Northwestern
    65.082
    Michigan
    79.287
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Michigan
    by 14
    135
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Michigan
    by 12
    127
    Dunkel Pick:
    Michigan
    (-12); Over

    USC @ Oregon

    Game 849-850
    January 13, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    USC
    62.215
    Oregon
    63.881
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oregon
    by 1 1/2
    138
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oregon
    by 5
    141
    Dunkel Pick:
    USC
    (+5); Under

    UCLA @ Oregon State

    Game 851-852
    January 13, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    UCLA
    63.954
    Oregon State
    58.033
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    UCLA
    by 6
    144
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oregon State
    by 3
    149
    Dunkel Pick:
    UCLA
    (+3); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-13-2019 at 11:51 AM.

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