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Thread: Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/11

  1. #1
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    Default Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/11

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, January 11

    Good Luck on day # 11 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    More early over/under baseball totals for 2019:

    — St Louis Cardinals, Washington Nationals 88.5

    — Tampa Bay Rays 85.5

    — Atlanta Braves, Minnesota Twins 84

    — Brewers, Angels, Mets 83.5

    — Oakland A’s, Philadelphia Phillies 83

    — Colorado Rockies 82


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Basketball notes from this week……

    13) Marquette 106, Creighton 104 OT— Bluejays totally butchered game management at end of regulation; they had ball out of bounds with 0:00.8 left, up 3 points- they throw the ball the length of the court, but it goes out of bounds without being touched, then Marquette drains a desperation 3-pointer at the buzzer to force OT.

    All they had to do was flip the ball to a Marquette player inside the arc and the game was over, but thats not what happened.

    Marquette’s Markus Howard scored 53 points, most ever in a Big East game; he nailed 10-14 treys, 13-15 on foul line. Horrific home loss for Creighton.

    12) Virginia Tech 52, Georgia Tech 49— Look at this score, then you remember that Markus Howard scored 53 by himself at Creighton. Different styles of play, for sure.

    11) UCLA 87, Oregon 84 OT— Staggering collapse by the Ducks, who led 76-68 with 0:44 left in regulation- it was 72-59 with 2:30 left. Bruins are 3-0 under interim coach Murry Bartow.

    10) Villanova 76, St John’s 71— Red Storm led by 13 early, by 5 with 3:48 left, but faded badly down stretch and lost for second time in four Big East games. Villanova ended the game on a decisive 14-4 run.

    Sign of times; there were 67 3-pointers taken in this game, 48 2-pointers, 30 foul shots. Red Storm basically played only six guys (a 7th guy played 5:00). 67 possessions; slow tempo, lot of jump shots late in the shot clock.

    9) Hofstra 93, William & Mary 90, 3OT—Visiting Pride led by 10 at the half, survived in triple OT— four Hofstra kids played 42:00+, with Wright-Foreman playing whole 55:00. Four guys on W&M played 44:00.

    Bad beat of the night: Northeastern (-9) won/covered 81-70 at Elon, but in OT. If you have the underdog +9 and the game goes overtime, you’re supposed to win.

    8) ESPN has obviously told his game analysts to hype up Zion Williamson at every chance, the way they did with Trey Young LY and Ben Simmons the year he was at LSU.

    Williamson doesn’t need the hype, he is really good, but ESPN has this new thing where they seem to choose one player a year and they hype him up so much that you wind up rooting against him.

    7) Warriors 122, Knicks 95— Klay Thompson scored 43 points for the Warriors Tuesday, on 29 shots. On the 29 touches where he shot, Thompson dribbled a total of four times. Four.

    6) Pitt 89, Louisville 86 OT— Panthers end a 23-game ACC regular season losing streak. Jeff Capel has Pitt heading in the right direction, and he’s done it quickly.

    5) Eastern Michigan 84, Ball State 82, 2OT— Ball’s Trey Moses had 16 points, 10 assists, but he was 4-15 on the foul line in a game the Cardinals led by 3 in the last minute of regulation. Tough way to lose; Ball State was 15-30 on foul line in a 2-point loss.

    4) Ole Miss 82, Auburn 67— Rebels outscored Auburn 27-9 on foul line, never trailed in moving to 12-2 under new coach Kermit Davis, who built a mid-major power at Middle Tennessee the last few years.

    3) Quinnipiac 89, Monmouth 83, 2OT— Bobcats led 63-49 with 1:36 to play, blew the lead, as Monmouth somehow scored 34 points in last 11:36 of this game, but still lost. Quinnipiac was -8 (22-14) in turnovers, but still got the win.

    2) Kansas State 71, West Virginia 69— Wildcats trailed 20-3 early, by 21 with 17:46 left, but rallied to hand the Mountaineers their third straight Big X loss. West Virginia is 0-3 in its conference for first time since an 0-6 start in the ’02 Big East.

    1) There were 32 games in the Las Vegas rotation Wednesday night; in 8 of the 32 games, the team that lost had a lead of 10+ points at some point in the game; five of those teams led by 14+ points at one point. Lot of runs/droughts in college games these days.

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    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, January 11


    Milwaukee won/covered seven of its last eight games; Bucks are 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games- their last three road games stayed under. Washington won four of its last six games; they covered their last three home games. Four of their last six games went over. Road team won last five Bucks-Wizards games; Milwaukee is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits to Washington. Last six series games stayed under the total.

    Hawks lost five of their last six games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Philly won four of its last five games; they’re 7-3 vs spread in last ten home games. Five of their last six games went over. 76ers won their last four games with Atlanta; Hawks are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Philly, with three of last four meetings played here staying under total.

    Pacers won seven of last nine games, are 0-5 vs spread in last five; Indiana is 0-4-1 vs spread in last five road games. Last seven pacer games went over the total. New York lost 10 of its last 11 games; they’re 0-6 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Indiana won its last four games with the Knicks (3-1 vs spread); they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Manhattan. Three of last four series games went over.

    Nets are 13-4 in their last 17 games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Four of their last six games went over. Toronto won five of its last six games; they’re 4-7 vs spread in last 11 home games. Four of their last five games went over. Raptors won nine of last ten games with Brooklyn, but Nets covered three of last four; Brooklyn is 2-2 vs spread in its last four visits to Canada. Four of last six series games stayed under.

    Cavaliers lost their last 11 games; they’re 5-6 vs spread in last 11 road games. Four of their last five games went over the total. Houston won seven of its last nine games; they’re 8-1-1 vs spread in last ten home games. Three of their last four home games went over. Rockets won three of last four games with Cleveland- Cavaliers covered their last three visits to Houston. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

    Mavericks lost 11 of their last 15 games, are 5-2 vs spread in last seven road games. Under is 7-0-1 in their last eight games. Timberwolves won/covered its last three games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven home games. Over is 10-2 in their last dozen games. Minnesota won five of last six games with Dallas, but Mavericks covered last three; Dallas is 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to the Twin Cities. Eight of last nine games stayed under the total.

    Lebron is still out for the Lakers, who lost five of last seven games. LA covered three of its last four road games. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Utah is 7-4 in its last 11 games; they’re 3-1 vs spread in last four home games. Last four Jazz games stayed under the total. Jazz won seven of last eight games with the Lakers, but LA covered six of last nine. Lakers are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Utah.

    Hornets lost six of their last nine games; they’re 1-4-1 vs spread in last six road games. Seven of their last nine games went over. Trailblazers won five of their last six games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight home games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Portland won six of last eight games with Charlotte, covered four of last five; Hornets are 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits to Oregon. Last six series games stayed under.

    Bulls lost their last four games, are 4-3 vs spread on road since changing coaches. Five of their last seven games went over. Warriors won four of their last five games, are 3-12 vs spread in last 15 home games. Three of their last four games went over. Golden State won six of last seven games with Chicago (5-2 vs spread); Bulls are 1-3 vs spread in their last four visits to Oakland. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

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    NBA

    Friday, January 11


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    Trend Report
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    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Milwaukee's last 18 games
    Milwaukee is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games on the road
    Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
    Milwaukee is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Washington
    Milwaukee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Wizards
    Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
    Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
    Washington is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
    Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
    Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Atlanta is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Philadelphia
    Atlanta is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing Philadelphia
    Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Atlanta
    Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    Philadelphia is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing Atlanta
    Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta
    Philadelphia is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta

    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games
    Brooklyn is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Toronto
    Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
    Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of Toronto's last 23 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games at home
    Toronto is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
    Toronto is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
    Indiana is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games
    Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games on the road
    Indiana is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New York
    Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing New York
    Indiana is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing on the road against New York
    New York Knicks
    New York is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games
    New York is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
    New York is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games at home
    New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 7 games when playing Indiana
    New York is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 8 games when playing at home against Indiana

    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Dallas is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
    Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Dallas is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
    Dallas is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Minnesota
    Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Minnesota
    Dallas is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Dallas is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Minnesota's last 12 games
    Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home
    Minnesota is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Dallas
    Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing Dallas
    Minnesota is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games when playing at home against Dallas
    Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
    Minnesota is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
    Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 9 games on the road
    Cleveland is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Houston
    Cleveland is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Cleveland is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cleveland's last 15 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston Rockets
    Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
    Houston is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
    Houston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Houston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
    Houston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Cleveland
    Houston is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    Houston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 15 games when playing at home against Cleveland

    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
    Charlotte is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games
    Charlotte is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
    Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
    Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Portland
    Charlotte is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Portland
    Charlotte is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing on the road against Portland
    Portland Trail Blazers
    Portland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Portland's last 9 games
    Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games at home
    Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
    Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
    Portland is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Charlotte
    Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Portland's last 11 games when playing at home against Charlotte

    Los Angeles Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
    LA Lakers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games on the road
    LA Lakers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
    LA Lakers is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Utah
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing Utah
    LA Lakers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
    Utah Jazz
    Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Utah is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Utah's last 14 games
    Utah is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Utah is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah's last 8 games at home
    Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
    Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
    Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

    Chicago Bulls
    Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Chicago is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 12 games on the road
    Chicago is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
    Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
    Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
    Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Golden State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Golden State is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games at home
    Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
    Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
    Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
    Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-11-2019 at 01:11 PM.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Friday, January 11


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    MILWAUKEE (29 - 11) at WASHINGTON (17 - 25) - 1/11/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 51-30 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 418-485 ATS (-115.5 Units) in home games since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) on Friday nights this season.
    WASHINGTON is 135-173 ATS (-55.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 28-41 ATS (-17.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 5-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    ATLANTA (12 - 29) at PHILADELPHIA (27 - 15) - 1/11/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 122-93 ATS (+19.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 53-40 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 56-37 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 5-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 4-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    INDIANA (27 - 14) at NEW YORK (10 - 31) - 1/11/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW YORK is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 72-56 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 228-170 ATS (+41.0 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
    INDIANA is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    INDIANA is 45-31 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW YORK is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 5-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 5-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    BROOKLYN (21 - 22) at TORONTO (31 - 12) - 1/11/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 69-55 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 5-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 8-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CLEVELAND (8 - 34) at HOUSTON (23 - 17) - 1/11/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 60-84 ATS (-32.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    HOUSTON is 20-41 ATS (-25.1 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 21-42 ATS (-25.2 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1996.
    HOUSTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DALLAS (19 - 22) at MINNESOTA (20 - 21) - 1/11/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MINNESOTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games in January games over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    DALLAS is 49-35 ATS (+10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 513-435 ATS (+34.5 Units) in road games since 1996.
    MINNESOTA is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 4-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 6-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA LAKERS (23 - 19) at UTAH (21 - 21) - 1/11/2019, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTAH is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA LAKERS is 5-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 7-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHARLOTTE (19 - 21) at PORTLAND (25 - 17) - 1/11/2019, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 24-47 ATS (-27.7 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 180-228 ATS (-70.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHICAGO (10 - 31) at GOLDEN STATE (27 - 14) - 1/11/2019, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 89-55 ATS (+28.5 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 62-79 ATS (-24.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-11-2019 at 01:12 PM.

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    77,996
    Credits
    241,271

    Default

    NBA
    Dunkel

    Friday, January 11



    Milwaukee @ Washington

    Game 545-546
    January 11, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    121.766
    Washington
    113.154
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 8 1/2
    228
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 5 1/2
    231
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (-5 1/2); Under

    Atlanta @ Philadelphia


    Game 547-548
    January 11, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    116.272
    Philadelphia
    126.510
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 10
    229
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 12 1/2
    232
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+12 1/2); Under

    Indiana @ New York


    Game 549-550
    January 11, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    111.474
    New York
    110.417
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 1
    222
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    by 8 1/2
    219
    Dunkel Pick:
    New York
    (+8 1/2); Over

    Brooklyn @ Toronto


    Game 551-552
    January 11, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Brooklyn
    115.564
    Toronto
    122.936
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 7 1/2
    226
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 9 1/2
    226
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+9 1/2); Over

    Cleveland @ Houston


    Game 553-554
    January 11, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    106.773
    Houston
    123.297
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 16 1/2
    214
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 14
    218
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-14); Under

    Dallas @ Minnesota


    Game 555-556
    January 11, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    112.898
    Minnesota
    120.456
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 7 1/2
    225
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 4 1/2
    222
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-4 1/2); Over

    LA Lakers @ Utah


    Game 557-558
    January 11, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Lakers
    113.752
    Utah
    124.116
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Utah
    by 10 1/2
    211
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Utah
    by 8
    217
    Dunkel Pick:
    Utah
    (-8); Under

    Charlotte @ Portland


    Game 559-560
    January 11, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Charlotte
    113.810
    Portland
    117.658
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Portland
    by 4
    219
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Portland
    by 6 1/2
    223
    Dunkel Pick:
    Charlotte
    (+6 1/2); Under

    Chicago @ Golden State


    Game 561-562
    January 11, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    116.339
    Golden State
    124.486
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 8
    235
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 15 1/2
    221 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Chicago
    (+15 1/2); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-11-2019 at 01:13 PM.

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    77,996
    Credits
    241,271

    Default

    Friday's Essentials
    Tony Mejia

    Game of the Night - Chicago at Golden State (-15.5, 221.5) at Portland, 10:35 ET

    Friday night’s card is filled with matchups where the home team is clearly favored. Of the nine contests, five hosts are laying nine or more points, requiring a double-digit win to pull off a cover. There’s only one game where the spread is inside five points, but that matchup pits last-place teams as the Timberwolves look to get back to .500 against the visiting Mavericks.

    I’ll look at all of the night’s matchups below, but wanted to touch on the game expected to be the biggest blowout just to see if there’s any value in taking 15.5 points with the visiting Bulls in their lone visit to Oakland.

    The Warriors hung 149 points in a 25-point win when these teams squared off in Chicago back on Oct. 29. Klay Thompson, who comes off a tremendous shooting game against New York, scored 52 points against the Bulls, setting an NBA record with 14 3-pointers.

    Last season’s visit to Oracle produced a 143-94 loss. When it came through in February of 2017, Chicago lost 123-92. It has lost six of seven in this series.

    Golden State was saddled with its largest spread of the NBA season on Tuesday night and covered the 17 points handily in an 122-95 victory over the Knicks. The Warriors built up a lead that got up to 33 points and won every quarter, riding a 43-point night from Thompson. Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant actually combined to shoot just 5-for-19 from 3-point range while Curry finished 5-for-19 from the field on his own, so the carnage would’ve been even worse had he shot his typical percentage. The 27-point margin of victory was the Warriors’ second-largest of the season, trailing only a 125-97 rout of Portland on Nov. 23 in terms of dominance.

    While New York has lost 15 of 17, Chicago has dropped 22 of 28, including five straight. This will be the Bulls’ 29th consecutive game as an underdog. They’re 0-11 straight up as a double-digit ‘dog and have covered only three times in those contests. Their biggest upset came in a 98-93 win in San Antonio, which closed as a 9.5-point ‘chalk’ back on Dec. 15, in a game where they ralled from a 21-point deficit by winning the second half 55-31.

    Neither leading scorer Zach LaVine nor top reserve Bobby Portis participated in that game, while Lauri Markkanen, Kris Dunn and Portis were absent in the October clash against the Warriors. Justin Holiday and Cameron Payne started in that loss but have since been moved to different teams. Holiday is now with the Grizzlies and Payne is with the Cavs.

    Dunn, the team’s customary point guard and arguably the top backcourt asset due to his effectiveness on both sides of the ball, has dished out seven assists in nine of the last 11 games and has scored in double-figures in 11 of 12 since returning from an MCL sprain that cost him nearly two months. He’ll make Curry and Thompson work far harder than they had to in Chicago. LaVine and reserve guard Antonio Blakeney each scored 21 points in the 25-point loss to the Warriors, shooting a combined 6-for-12 from 3-point range. LaVine is 'probable' after suffering an ankle sprain.

    The presence of Markkanen and Portis should afford their guards the luxury of more space to work with, so we should see improvement over the next few weeks if everyone can stay healthy. Dunn, LaVine, Markkanen, Portis and rookie Wendell Carter, Jr. have played in only four contests this season, losing them all. The Bulls are 5-12 under new head coach Jim Boylen, who replaced Fred Hoiberg in early December. Chicago’s current five-game losing streak is its second-largest of the season. The Bulls have lost seven games by at least 25 points.

    This grueling five-game Western road swing they’re embarked upon opened with a 124-112 loss in Portland on Wednesday, allowing the Blazers to shoot nearly 57 percent while being outscored off the bench 56-41. Chicago’s trip continues on Saturday night against the Jazz before continuing Tuesday against the Lakers and concluding next Thursday in Denver. The Bulls will be heavy underdogs in each of the contests, though probably not by as many points as they’re getting tonight.

    The Warriors will play seven of their next eight games after this one on the road and will visit Dallas on Sunday night. They’re expected to have one more home game before the DeMarcus Cousins experience begin since the All-Star center isn’t expected to make his debut until after Jan. 16 matchup against the Pelicans. Everyone will be asked to make some concessions to get him up to speed by the postseason, so this could be one of the final games where we’re seeing the defending champs as we know them.

    The Dubs have only won four of their last eight home games and were 1-9 against the spread at Oracle prior to Wednesday’s rout of the Knicks. Incredibly, they haven’t covered consecutive games at home since Nov. 3. They lost last year’s 42nd game in Oakland against the Clippers last season, falling to 33-9. Their 27-14 record the Warriors’ worst at the halfway point since the 2013-14 season, the team’s last with Mark Jackson at the helm. They open Friday’s action 1.5 games behind the Nuggets for the top record in the Western Conference. Chicago is tied with New York at 10-31 for the third-worst mark in the entire NBA, ranking ahead of only Cleveland (8-34) and Phoenix (10-33).

    Best of the Rest

    Milwaukee at Washington, 7:05 p.m. ET:
    The Bucks approach the halfway point of their season looking for their 30th win as they try to increase the NBA’s highest winning percentage. Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to play despite a hip issue. Milwaukee is the only team in the league with eight wins over its last 10 contests and opened a three-game road trip with an impressive victory in Houston. This will be its first meeting of the season against the Wizards, who won the last encounter between the teams last February. Washington is 4-3 since losing John Wall to heel surgery and come off an upset of the 76ers to improve to 12-7 at home. Otto Porter scored 23 points off the bench and will look to slow down Greek Freak and friends behind Trevor Ariza and Jeff Green, both of whom have played well since Markieff Morris was lost for at least six weeks due to a neck injury. The Wizards shot a season-best 48 percent (13-for-27) from 3-point range with Bradley Beal tying a season-best by shooting 6-for-11. He’s averaging 28.8 points over the last five games.

    Atlanta at Philadelphia, 7:05 p.m. ET:
    The 76ers had their four-game win streak snapped in D.C. but will look to improve on their NBA-best home record (18-3) in order to bounce back. Philadelphia has only lost back-to-back games twice this season and cruised in its first meeting with the Hawks back on Oct. 29, outrebounding them 64-47 in a 113-92 rout. Kent Bazemore led Atlanta in scoring in that game with 18 points but is out indefinitely due to an ankle injury. The 76ers have been without guard J.J. Redick due to a back injury but may get him back tonight. Rookie shooter Landry Shamet hit eight 3-pointers filling in for Redick earlier this week and is listed as probable.

    Indiana at New York, 7:35 p.m. ET, ESPN:
    The Pacers have followed up a 5-0 run against the spread with an 0-5 mark after getting blown out 135-108 in Boston on Wednesday. Indiana is looking to close out a five-game road swing with a 3-2 mark by taking care of business at Madison Square Garden. Center Myles Turner has been sidelined with a shoulder injury this week, which has really impacted the Indiana defense throughout his three-game absence. The Pacers have allowed 123.7 points, losing two of three to the Raptors and Celtics. He’s questionable to return tonight. Point guard Darren Collison has been playing though a leg injury and should continue at the controls. New York has dropped nine of 10 and list center Enes Kanter as questionable due to illness. He paced the Knicks with 20 points and 15 boards in their 110-99 Dec. 16 loss in Indiana but may be on the trade block and won’t accompany the team to Europe next week even if he is still on the roster. If he doesn’t play, center Luke Kornet should get additional playing time. The Pacers have seen their last seven games go ‘over’ the posted total.

    Brooklyn at Toronto, 7:35 p.m. ET:
    The Nets have gotten Joe Harris and DeMarre Carroll back in the lineup and may see shooting guard Allen Crabbe return soon, so they’re in good shape as they attempt to build on a stretch that has seen them win four of five outright to improve to 13-4 since Dec. 7. This run began with a 106-105 OT upset of the Raptors in Brooklyn as an 8.5-point underdog in which they held a 60-41 advantage on the glass and got 29 points from D’Angelo Russell. Kawhi Leonard and Kyle Lowry played together for the first time in 2019 in Tuesday’s 104-101 win over the Hawks that they secured due to a franchise-record 18 steals. Toronto has won six in a row at home against the Nets and prevailed in 12 of the last 13 matchups.

    Cleveland at Houston, 8:05 p.m. ET:
    The Cavs have the fewest victories in the NBA, but one of their victims were the Rockets, who they took down at the Q as a 6.5-point underdog on Nov. 24. Cleveland won 117-108 behind 29 points from rookie point guard Collin Sexton and a 20-rebound game from Tristan Thompson. James Harden scored 40 points and dished out 13 assists in the loss and will try and avoid a sweep by helping hand Cleveland its 12th consecutive defeat. Although Sexton and Thompson will be in the lineup, top reserve forward Larry Nance, Jr. (knee) remains out and wing scorer Rodney Hood (achilles) is questionable to return to the lineup. Jordan Clarkson has been the primary catalyst for the Cavs of late despite coming off the bench and is his team’s best shot at securing a cover here since the Rockets remain limited on depth. Chris Paul (hamstring) and Eric Gordon (knee) are still out. Cleveland’s last five games have all surpassed the posted total.

    Dallas at Minnesota, 8:05 p.m. ET:
    Ryan Saunders debuted as Timberwolves’ interim head coach with an upset victory over Oklahoma City. If Andrew Wiggins can continue to play well, Minnesota has a chance of overcoming all the drama caused by the now-traded Jimmy Butler and now-fired Tom Thibodeau to make consecutive playoff appearances. He scored 40 against the Thunder. Meanwhile, the 32-year-old son of late Minnesota favorite Flip Saunders will make his home debut with everyone on the roster firmly in his corner, so this could be an emotional night at Target Center. Derrick Rose is scheduled to return from an ankle injury to try and help the Timberwolves match a season-best with a fourth straight win to climb back to .500. Dallas is an NBA-worst 3-18 on the road but beat the Timberwolves140-136 back on Oct. 20 thanks to 26 points from rookie Luka Doncic. Mavs point guard Dennis Smith, Jr. has already been ruled out due to a back issue, so J.J. Barea will likely get more minutes and rookie Jalen Brunson is likely to start. The ‘over’ is on an 11-1 run in Minnesota games. Meanwhile, the under is 7-0-1 in Dallas’ last eight contests.

    L.A. Lakers at Utah, 10:05 p.m. ET, ESPN:
    LeBron James didn’t make the trip to Salt Lake City, so Kyle Kuzma will be in the spotlight as he returns to his old college stomping grounds. Jae Crowder will likely be assigned to slow down the second-year forward as he looks to follow up scoring 41 points in just three quarters to help L.A. crush the Pistons on Wednesday night. With Brandon Ingram and Lonzo Ball enjoying productive weeks, this could be a big week in the development of the Lakers’ young supporting cast. Currently, the Lakers reside in the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference, two games up on the Kings and these Jazz. Utah will be without point guards Ricky Rubio (thigh) and Dante Exum (ankle), so Brazilian Raul Neto is likely to start and play a major role alongside Donovan Mitchell, who should be the primary ball handler. After a dreadful start to his sophomore season in the pros, Mitchell is averaging 24.4 points and 4.2 assists this month and is shooting 16-for-34 from 3-point range, a marked improvement. Utah swept L.A. last season and will be looking to get back on track in the series after suffering a 90-83 loss at Staples in the only meeting of the season back on Nov. 23.

    Charlotte at Portland, 10:05 p.m. ET:
    Keep an eye on Damian Lillard's availabilty here. He was holding his elbow during a blowout win over Chicago last time out and has been diagnosed with an elbow strain that the team may choose to be cautious with since they visit Denver for a more important game on Sunday. Portland has won 10 of 14, including three straight contests and would likely rely on C.J. McCollum to serve as primary playmaker if Lillard sits. Shooters Nik Stauskas and Seth Curry would be in for a bump in playing time as well. The Hornets are on their fourth stop of a six-game roadie and haven't been good outside of Charlotte, winning just five of 18 games. The Hornets are trying to get away with playing small due to the absence of starting center Cody Zeller, which may hurt them against a surging Jusuf Nurkic. Portland has won 14 of 18 matchups between these teams since '09, including 10 in a row at home.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-11-2019 at 01:14 PM.

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