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Thread: Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/4

  1. #1
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    Default Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/4

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, January 4

    Good Luck on day # 4 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    — Rockets 135, Warriors 134 OT— Harden made a contested 3-pointer with 0:01 left in OT for the win. He was double-teamed; just a really difficult shot, and he made it.

    — NC State 87, Miami 82— Wolfpack is 13-1, their best start since 1973-74.

    — Minnesota 59, Wisconsin 52— Gophers (+10) led 29-14 at halftime.

    — North Texas 63, Louisiana Tech 59— Two of better teams in Conference USA.

    — Detroit 79, Wright St 58— Titans’ Davis scored 48 points (10-15 on arc).

    — Jacksonville St 83, Belmont 73— Gamecocks’ 4th strait upset win vs Belmont.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……

    13) Manny Diaz was the defensive coordinator at Miami LY; he left couple weeks ago to be the head coach at Temple, but when Mark Richt retired/was fired last week, Diaz jumped ship with the Owls and was named HC of the Hurricanes.

    Must have been some difficult conversations this week when Diaz then fired all the offensive coaches on the Miami staff, guys he worked with the last three years. Awkward.

    12) Moving the college football national title game around the country may not be the best idea; college football is wildly popular in the south, not so much in the rest of the country. You get a Clemson-Alabama matchup in northern California and ticket demand isn’t what it would be anywhere from Texas to Georgia along the gulf coast.

    11) The starting five for the Nevada Wolf Pack, a college team, is older than the starting lineup for the Phoenix Suns, an NBA team.

    10) Phillies signed reliever David Robertson to a two-year deal worth $23M.

    9) Pelicans’ star Anthony Davis had 34 points and 26 rebounds Wednesday in a 126-121 loss to the Nets; the last NBA player to reach those numbers in a regulation loss was Charles Barkley for the Suns, way back on March 24, 1995.

    8) Saint Louis loses 6-9 freshman Carte’Are Gordon to transfer; he was scoring 8.9 ppg for the Billikens, who are 9-4 and considered a contender for the A-14 title.

    Oregon Ducks’ best player Bol Bol has a foot injury that has ended his season.

    7) Couple of big comebacks Wednesday night:
    — Bucknell beat Army 64-63 after trailing by 26 early in the 2nd half.
    — Valparaiso beat Illinois State 58-56 on a halfcourt shot at the buzzer after trailing Redbirds by 10 points with 2:07 left.

    6) Memphis Grizzlies lost 10 of their last 13 games and fell below .500 this week; after their home loss to Detroit Wednesday, teammates Garrett Temple and Omar Casspi apparently got into a scuffle in a team meeting. Grizzlies tried to keep the fracas quiet, but somebody spilled the beans to the media. Bottom line is, losing creates tension, which sometimes spills over.

    5) Eric Kahane, a gourmet food businessman from southern California, went 5-0 in Week 17 and won $1.4M in the Westgate SuperContest football handicapping contest, beating over 3,100 handicappers in the process.

    4) Jacksonville Jaguars are only NFL team without a player in the Hall of Fame.

    3) Odd Fact of the Day: In 2018, Cincinnati had 20 more inches of rain than Seattle did.

    2) Interesting sidebar to Eagles-Bears playoff game Sunday is that the two head coaches worked together for seven years under Andy Reid, in KC/Philly. Couple of QB gurus who are having lot of success this season working with very young quarterbacks.

    1) Looking at NFL Wild Card weekend, over last four years, home side won 12 of 16 games, going 6-6 vs spread as a home favorite in those games.

  3. #3
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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Friday, January 4



    SMU @ Tulane

    Game 801-802
    January 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    SMU
    55.690
    Tulane
    53.256
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    SMU
    by 2 1/2
    137
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    SMU
    by 9 1/2
    139 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tulane
    (+9 1/2); Under

    IUPUI @ Illinois-Chicago


    Game 803-804
    January 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    IUPUI
    44.512
    Illinois-Chicago
    49.578
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Illinois-Chicago
    by 5
    143
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Illinois-Chicago
    by 4
    152
    Dunkel Pick:
    Illinois-Chicago
    (-4); Under

    Ball State @ Toledo


    Game 805-806
    January 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ball State
    54.520
    Toledo
    61.930
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toledo
    by 7 1/2
    142
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toledo
    by 6
    152
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toledo
    (-6); Under

    Buffalo @ Eastern Michigan


    Game 907-908
    January 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Buffalo
    63.756
    Eastern Michigan
    50.350
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Buffalo
    by 13 1/2
    121
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Buffalo
    by 10 1/2
    145
    Dunkel Pick:
    Buffalo
    (-10 1/2); Under





    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Friday, January 4


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    SMU (9 - 4) at TULANE (4 - 9) - 1/4/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SMU is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    SMU is 110-82 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
    SMU is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
    SMU is 77-54 ATS (+17.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
    TULANE is 231-282 ATS (-79.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
    TULANE is 231-282 ATS (-79.2 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
    TULANE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    TULANE is 93-133 ATS (-53.3 Units) in all home games since 1997.
    TULANE is 93-133 ATS (-53.3 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
    TULANE is 154-206 ATS (-72.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
    TULANE is 63-93 ATS (-39.3 Units) in January games since 1997.
    TULANE is 151-198 ATS (-66.8 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
    TULANE is 95-133 ATS (-51.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
    TULANE is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
    TULANE is 17-37 ATS (-23.7 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
    TULANE is 56-87 ATS (-39.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TULANE is 3-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
    SMU is 3-1 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    IUPUI (8 - 7) at IL-CHICAGO (7 - 8) - 1/4/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    IUPUI is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    IUPUI is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in a road game where the total is 150 to 154.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    IUPUI is 33-58 ATS (-30.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
    IUPUI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
    IL-CHICAGO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    IL-CHICAGO is 121-89 ATS (+23.1 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
    IL-CHICAGO is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
    IL-CHICAGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
    IL-CHICAGO is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
    IL-CHICAGO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    IL-CHICAGO is 2-0 against the spread versus IUPUI over the last 3 seasons
    IL-CHICAGO is 2-0 straight up against IUPUI over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    BALL ST (9 - 4) at TOLEDO (12 - 1) - 1/4/2019, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BALL ST is 3-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
    BALL ST is 4-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BUFFALO (12 - 1) at E MICHIGAN (6 - 7) - 1/4/2019, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BUFFALO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
    BUFFALO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
    BUFFALO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
    BUFFALO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    BUFFALO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    E MICHIGAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games this season.
    E MICHIGAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
    E MICHIGAN is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
    E MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
    E MICHIGAN is 69-100 ATS (-41.0 Units) in January games since 1997.
    E MICHIGAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    E MICHIGAN is 119-160 ATS (-57.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BUFFALO is 2-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    BUFFALO is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, January 4


    SMU won six of its last seven games with Tulane, winning three of four visits here- they lost 73-70 here LY. Underdogs are 3-0-1 vs spread in last four series games. SMU won its last three games and seven of last eight; Mustangs won by 8 at Georgetown in their only true road game. SMU is 7-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, with all seven wins by 11+ points. Tulane lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 4-9 vs schedule #251- Green Wave is experience team #331 that is turning ball over 1-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 11 to Florida State, 32 at Cincinnati.

    Ill-Chicago swept IUPUI 70-65/71-62 LY, in Jaguars’ first year in Horizon League. UIC 5-8 vs schedule #77; they’re experience team #192 that turns ball over 20.7% of the time (#266)- they are shooting 55.4% inside arc (#46). Flames 2-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, winning by 5-6 points. IUPUI lost its last four games, is 6-7 vs schedule #205; Jaguars are experience team #89 that 1-6 in true road games, but the win was at Boston College. IUPUI is shooting only 31.3% on arc (#274)- they gave up 81.3 ppg in their last four games.

    Toledo won its last ten games, is 12-1 vs schedule #310; Rockets are experience team #82 that is making 39.8% of its 3’s (#16), shooting 78.9% on foul line (#3). Toledo beat Cal-irvine by 7 in their only top 100 game this season. Ball State won seven of its last eight games after a 1-3 start; Cardinals are experience team #55 that is 8-4 vs schedule #113- they’re shooting 38.2% on arc, 57.3% inside arc (#24). Ball won its last four games with Toledo, winning 82-74/75-63 in last two visits here. Underdogs covered five of last six series games.

    Buffalo is 12-1 vs schedule #72 that includes a trip to Ireland; Bulls won by 12 at Syracuse- they play same 2-3 zone that EMU does. Buffalo is 5-1 in true road games, with loss at Marquette- Bulls are 8-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with six wins by 12+ points. Bulls won four of last five games with Eastern Michigan; they won two of last three visits to Ypsilanti. Favorites covered four of last five series games. EMU lost its last six D-I games, with two non-D-I wins; Eagles are are 0-4 vs top 100 teams, with losses by 38-18-4-24 points.




    NCAAB

    Friday, January 4


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    IUPUI @ UIC
    IUPUI
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of IUPUI's last 7 games on the road
    IUPUI is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    UIC
    UIC is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

    Ball State @ Toledo
    Ball State
    Ball State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    Ball State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Toledo
    Toledo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    Southern Methodist @ Tulane
    Southern Methodist
    Southern Methodist is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    Southern Methodist is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tulane
    Tulane
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tulane's last 7 games when playing at home against Southern Methodist
    Tulane is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games at home

    Buffalo @ Eastern Michigan
    Buffalo
    Buffalo is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
    Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    Eastern Michigan
    Eastern Michigan is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
    Eastern Michigan is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-04-2019 at 01:46 PM.

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