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Thread: Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/2

  1. #1
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    Default Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/2

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, January 2

    Good Luck on day #2 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    NBA’s top six players free throw shooters (min 50 att):

    6) JJ Redick, 76ers 109-120, 90.8%

    5) Kevin Durant, Warriors 269-295, 91.2%

    4) Stephen Curry, Warriors 130-142, 91.5%

    3) Lou Williams, Clippers 169-184, 91.8%

    2) Danilo Gallinari, Clippers 191-207, 92.3%

    1) Malcolm Brogdon, Bucks 56-57, 98.2%


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Wrapping up the first day of 2019

    13) Forgot to mention this Monday, but NFL gets the Week 17 thing right; every game is a divisional rivalry game, and the most meaningful games are stuffed into the 4:25 window of games, to maximize drama. Makes handicapping more difficult, but so be it.

    12) There are rumors going around Las Vegas these days that UNLV is going to have a new basketball coach next year, and that guy is coaching in Greece right now— Rick Pitino.

    11) Kentucky 27, Penn State 24— Wildcats win 10+ games in same football season for first time since 1977. Kentucky led 27-7, were outgained 407-297, but hung on for the win- they ran a punt back for a touchdown, the first punt return Penn State allowed for a TD since 2012.

    10) Houston snags football coach Dana Holgorsen away from West Virginia, giving him $20M over five years; not often a guy voluntarily leaves a Big X program for an AAC team, but money talks……

    9) Of the 12 teams who made NFL playoffs this year, Rams played most games (4-3) against them this season. Bears (2-1), Ravens (1-2) played the fewest.

    8) Jets could be a good over bet for wins next season; since 2000, here are the Jet head coaches, 1st year and then after……

    2000 Al Groh First year: 9-7 Replaced after one year
    2001 Herm Edwards: First year: 10-6 Rest of time: 29-35
    2006: Eric Mangini: First year: 10-6 Rest of time: 13-19
    2008: Rex Ryan: First year: 9-7 Rest of time: 37-43
    2015: Todd Bowles: First year: 10-6 Rest of time: 14-34

    7) Speaking of the Jets, how does the coach at Iowa Freakin’ State turn down an interview with an NFL team? Matt Campbell doesn’t want to coach in the NFL? Fine, but interviewing with an NFL team wouldn’t at least be a good experience for him? I laughed when I saw this note.

    6) Agreed that Steve Alford/UCLA was an odd fit, but here is the list of coaches who made 3+ Sweet 16’s in the last five years:
    Alford, Beilein, Calipari, Few, Huggins, Krzyzewski, Sean MIller, Self, Williams.

    Firing Alford before conference play was insulting, and probably done to placate a big-money donor. Wonder if it’ll hurt them in finding a high-profile replacement.

    5) Gambling is difficult: Monday, Weber State (-6.5) won 93-87 at Idaho. Weber was up 41-16 with 5:49 left in first half, led by 22 at the half, but didn’t cover. Idaho made 10-19 3-pointers but covered by only a half-point. Weber was the right side in the game, but not the winning side.

    4) Ohio State 28, Washington 23— I wonder if Urban Meyer will ever coach again; hopefully he will never be on TV again, just a totally humorless, serious person who was a great coach but for Pete’s sake, tell a joke or say something sarcastic now and then- its not that hard.

    3) LSU 40, Central Florida 32— Tigers’ QB Joe Burrow was 21-34 for 394 yards and four TD’s as LSU ended UCF’s 25-game winning streak. Burrow led LSU to a 10-3 record this season; he was the 3rd-string QB at Ohio State before this year. Think about that for a second.

    2) Lions fired OC Jim Bob Cooter Tuesday; officially it is a “mutual parting of ways” which is a nice way of Matt Patricia saying, “Take a hike!!!!”

    Jets/Cardinals need to look at Cooter to help develop their young QB’s.

    1) Tuesday is usually garbage day in my neighborhood, but because of New Year’s Day, it got pushed back a day this week. Lot of my neighbors didn’t get the memo and put their garbage out Monday night, and it was really windy Tuesday morning, so the neighborhood was a mess Tuesday morning, lot of stuff everywhere. Not a great way to start 2019.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, January 2



    Miami @ Cleveland

    Game 501-502
    January 2, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    125.181
    Cleveland
    110.644
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami
    by 14 1/2
    207
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami
    by 6
    205
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (-6); Over

    Atlanta @ Washington


    Game 503-504
    January 2, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    112.518
    Washington
    115.566
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 3
    211
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 5 1/2
    230
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+5 1/2); Under

    Dallas @ Charlotte


    Game 505-506
    January 2, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    120.207
    Charlotte
    116.051
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dallas
    by 4
    224
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Charlotte
    by 2 1/2
    222
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (+2); Over

    New Orleans @ Brooklyn


    Game 507-508
    January 2, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    121.117
    Brooklyn
    113.089
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 8
    220
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 1
    230 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (-1); Under

    Minnesota @ Boston


    Game 509-510
    January 2, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    117.569
    Boston
    119.669
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 2
    200
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 6
    218 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (+6); Under

    Detroit @ Memphis


    Game 511-512
    January 2, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    117.261
    Memphis
    116.918
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    Even
    208
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Memphis
    by 6
    198 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (+6); Over

    Orlando @ Chicago


    Game 513-514
    January 2, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Orlando
    115.349
    Chicago
    108.551
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Orlando
    by 7 1/2
    208
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago
    by 1 1/2
    201 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Orlando
    (+1 1/2); Over

    Philadelphia @ Phoenix


    Game 515-516
    January 2, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    116.503
    Phoenix
    106.375
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 10 1/2
    219
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 5
    228 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (-5); Under

    Oklahoma City @ LA Lakers


    Game 517-518
    January 2, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oklahoma City
    124.702
    LA Lakers
    117.285
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 7 1/2
    231
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 5
    229 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oklahoma City
    (-5); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-02-2019 at 01:50 PM.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, January 2


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    MIAMI (17 - 18) at CLEVELAND (8 - 29) - 1/2/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    MIAMI is 228-182 ATS (+27.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    MIAMI is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
    CLEVELAND is 59-80 ATS (-29.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 6-23 ATS (-19.3 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 28-41 ATS (-17.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 5-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 5-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    ATLANTA (11 - 25) at WASHINGTON (14 - 23) - 1/2/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games this season.
    WASHINGTON is 27-45 ATS (-22.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 416-485 ATS (-117.5 Units) in home games since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 188-232 ATS (-67.2 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    WASHINGTON is 77-106 ATS (-39.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 63-89 ATS (-34.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 8-8 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 10-6 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DALLAS (17 - 19) at CHARLOTTE (18 - 18) - 1/2/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 47-34 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 511-434 ATS (+33.6 Units) in road games since 1996.
    DALLAS is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 51-81 ATS (-38.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 179-225 ATS (-68.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHARLOTTE is 2-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    CHARLOTTE is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NEW ORLEANS (17 - 21) at BROOKLYN (17 - 21) - 1/2/2019, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
    BROOKLYN is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 72-43 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MINNESOTA (17 - 20) at BOSTON (21 - 15) - 1/2/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 52-39 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 40-24 ATS (+13.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 51-35 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 134-171 ATS (-54.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 5-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 5-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DETROIT (16 - 19) at MEMPHIS (18 - 18) - 1/2/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MEMPHIS is 11-30 ATS (-22.0 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    MEMPHIS is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    ORLANDO (16 - 20) at CHICAGO (10 - 27) - 1/2/2019, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ORLANDO is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 36-53 ATS (-22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHICAGO is 7-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 8-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    10 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    PHILADELPHIA (24 - 14) at PHOENIX (9 - 29) - 1/2/2019, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHOENIX is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 181-143 ATS (+23.7 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
    PHOENIX is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
    PHILADELPHIA is 120-91 ATS (+19.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 54-36 ATS (+14.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 26-42 ATS (-20.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHOENIX is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    OKLAHOMA CITY (23 - 13) at LA LAKERS (21 - 16) - 1/2/2019, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 41-56 ATS (-20.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    LA LAKERS are 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-02-2019 at 01:51 PM.

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, January 2


    Heat won six of their last eight games; they’re 10-3 vs spread in last 13 road games. Six of their last eight games went over. Cavaliers lost their last six games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Six of their last seven home games went over. Home side won nine of last ten Miami-Cleveland games; Heat is 2-2 vs spread in last four trips to Ohio. Three of last four series games stayed under.

    Hawks won five of their last seven games; they covered their last four road games. Three of their last four games went over. Washington lost nine of its last 12 games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five games as a favorite. Three of their last four games stayed under. Wizards are 5-3 in last eight games with Atlanta; four of last six games stayed under the total. Hawks covered two of last three visits to Washington.

    Dallas lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Hornets are 4-5 in their last nine games; they covered their last three home games. Four of their last five games went over. Road side won five of last six Dallas-Charlotte games; Mavericks covered for of last five visits to Tobacco Road. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

    Pelicans lost five of their last seven games; they’re 0-4-1 vs spread in last five road games. Under is 7-3-2 in their last dozen games. Brooklyn is 2-3 in its last five games, 0-3 vs spread in last three home games. Four of their last six home games went over. New Orleans won nine of last ten games with the Nets (7-3 vs spread); Pelicans covered their last four visits to Brooklyn. Eight of last ten series games went over.

    Minnesota lost eight of its last 12 games; they covered three of last four road games. Seven of their last eight games went over. Boston is 3-5 in its last eight games; they covered six of last eight home games. Celtics’ last ten games went over total. Celtics won/covered their last five games with Minnesota; six of last eight series games went over total. Timberwolves are 0-5 vs spread in their last five visits to Boston.

    Detroit lost five of its last six games; they’re 0-3-1 vs spread in last four road games. Pistons’ last three games went over total. Memphis lost seven of its last nine games; they’re 0-4 vs spread in last four home games. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Grizzlies won seven of last ten games with the Pistons; over is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Detroit is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits to Memphis.

    Magic lost five of their last seven games; they’re 0-3 vs spread in last three true road games. Four of their last five games went over the total. Chicago won three of its last four games; they are 4-2 vs spread in last six road games. under is 8-4 since their coaching change. Bulls won six of last seven games with Orlando (5-2 vs spread); last ten series games stayed under total. Magic is 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits to Chicago.

    76ers won four of their last six games; they’re 1-5 vs spread if they played night before. Four of their last six games went over the total. Phoenix lost five of its last six games; they’re 0-2-1 vs spread in last three home games. Four of their last six games went over. Philly won five of last seven games with the Suns; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to the desert. Eight of last ten series games went over.

    Oklahoma City won six of its last nine games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine road games. Under is 5-0-1 in their last six games. Lakers are 3-5 in their last eight games; they’re 6-3 vs spread in last nine home games. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Thunder won seven of last ten games with the Lakers but lost last two; OKC is 2-3 vs spread in last five series games played here. Six of last eight series games stayed under.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-02-2019 at 01:52 PM.

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    NBA

    Wednesday, January 2


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Miami Heat
    Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
    Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
    Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
    Miami is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
    Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
    Cleveland is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Miami
    Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
    Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Dallas is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games
    Dallas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
    Dallas is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Charlotte
    Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
    Dallas is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    Dallas is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 13 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
    Charlotte is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
    Charlotte is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Dallas
    Charlotte is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas
    Charlotte is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Dallas
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 13 games when playing at home against Dallas

    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    Atlanta is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
    Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Atlanta is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
    Atlanta is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Washington
    Atlanta is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Wizards
    Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
    Washington is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
    Washington is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
    Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta

    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    New Orleans is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 12 games
    New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Brooklyn
    New Orleans is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Brooklyn
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of New Orleans's last 16 games when playing Brooklyn
    New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
    Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Brooklyn is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
    Brooklyn is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
    Brooklyn is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Brooklyn's last 16 games when playing New Orleans
    Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
    Brooklyn is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

    Orlando Magic
    Orlando is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Orlando is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
    Orlando is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
    Orlando is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
    Orlando is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago Bulls
    Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Chicago is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago's last 11 games
    Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
    Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
    Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Orlando
    Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
    Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando

    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Detroit's last 17 games
    Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Detroit is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
    Detroit is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing Memphis
    Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing on the road against Memphis
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
    Memphis is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games
    Memphis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Memphis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
    Memphis is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing Detroit
    Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 10 games when playing at home against Detroit

    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
    Minnesota is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
    Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
    Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing Boston
    Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 15 games when playing on the road against Boston
    Boston Celtics
    Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    Boston is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
    Boston is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
    Boston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Boston is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
    Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 15 games when playing at home against Minnesota

    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Philadelphia is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
    Philadelphia is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Phoenix
    Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Phoenix
    Philadelphia is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Philadelphia is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
    Phoenix is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games
    Phoenix is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Phoenix is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games at home
    Phoenix is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Philadelphia
    Phoenix is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
    Phoenix is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    Phoenix is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
    Oklahoma City is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games on the road
    Oklahoma City is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing LA Lakers
    Oklahoma City is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
    Oklahoma City is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    Oklahoma City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    LA Lakers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 7 games
    LA Lakers is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    LA Lakers is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 11 games at home
    LA Lakers is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Oklahoma City
    LA Lakers is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
    LA Lakers is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
    LA Lakers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-02-2019 at 01:53 PM.

  7. #7
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    Wednesday's Tip Sheet
    Kevin Rogers

    Game of the Night: Thunder at Lakers – 10:35 PM EST

    For the first time this season, Oklahoma City and Los Angeles are hooking up. Even though LeBron James is still sidelined due to a groin strain, the Lakers (21-16 SU, 16-20-1 ATS) remain in the top eight of the Western Conference. The Lakers lost their first two games with James sidelined, but rebounded on Sunday night by rallying past the Kings, 121-114 as 1 ˝-point favorites. Los Angeles outscored Sacramento, 29-18 in the fourth quarter, while Kentavious Caldwell-Pope pumped in 26 points off the bench for the Lakers.

    The Thunder (23-13 SU, 20-16 ATS) rebounded from a two-point setback to the Mavericks on Sunday as OKC routed Dallas on the second end of a back-to-back on Monday, 122-102 as seven-point favorites. OKC jumped out to a 17-point halftime advantage, led by Russell Westbrook’s 32 points, 11 rebounds, and 11 assists on 13-of-24 shooting. Westbrook rebounded from a 4-of-22 shooting effort in Sunday’s loss to produce his 10th triple-double of the season, while the Thunder improved to 13-4 at home.

    Last season, the Lakers and Thunder split four matchups, but one win by Los Angeles came with Westbrook out of the lineup for Oklahoma City. The Lakers have dropped four consecutive games off a victory, while cashing the UNDER in nine of the past 11 games at Staples Center. The Thunder have struggled to cover numbers as a road favorite of late by compiling a 2-6 ATS mark as chalk in their last eight games away from Chesapeake Energy Arena.

    Over Easy

    The two teams that own the longest OVER streaks in the league meet up in Boston. The Timberwolves (17-20 SU, 19-18 ATS) have cashed the OVER in eight consecutive games, while the Celtics (21-15 SU, 18-18 ATS) are riding a six-game OVER streak. Boston won at Minnesota on December 1 as two-point underdogs, 118-109, while the contest easily drilled the OVER of 216 ˝ thanks to a 66-point fourth quarter.

    Minnesota has been one of the weaker road teams in the league at 5-14, but were riding a three-game away hot streak prior to Monday’s 123-114 setback at New Orleans. Granted, the Wolves were playing on a back-to-back following Sunday’s victory at Miami, but Minnesota allowed New Orleans to shoot 52% from the floor without Anthony Davis in the lineup, while the Pelicans drilled 14 three-pointers.

    Boston wrapped up a three-game road trip by falling at San Antonio on Monday, 120-111 to finish 1-2 SU/ATS. The Celtics led the Spurs by six points at halftime, but San Antonio outscored Boston, 46-30 in the third quarter to drop their seventh consecutive visit to AT&T Center. Boston has won and covered six of its past seven games in the home favorite role, while posting a 5-0 SU/ATS record in its previous five matchups with Minnesota.

    Highway to Hive

    The Mavericks (17-19 SU, 22-14 ATS) continue their four-game road trip tonight in Charlotte as Dallas tries to repair a broken 2-16 record away from American Airlines Center. The latest setback came in Monday’s 20-point defeat at Oklahoma City, as Dallas posted an 0-8 road record in December. The loss to the Thunder also snapped a five-game ATS hot streak, which included three highway covers in that stretch.

    The Hornets (18-18 SU, 19-17 ATS) have also had road issues this season (4-11), but have thrived at Spectrum Center by posting a 14-7 home ledger. Charlotte is fresh of a 125-100 blowout of Orlando on Monday, the fourth consecutive home win for the Hornets, all coming by double-digits. The Hornets have lost three of their past four home matchups with the Mavericks since 2014, as Dallas owns a perfect 4-0 ATS mark in its last four trips to North Carolina.

    End of the Road

    It’s been a rough trip for Detroit as the Pistons (16-19 SU, 16-18-1 ATS) are coming off three consecutive losses to the Pacers, Magic, and Bucks. The latest setback came in Tuesday’s 121-98 blowout defeat at Milwaukee as 10-point underdogs, marking the third loss to the Central division leaders this season. Since shocking Toronto at the buzzer in mid-November, the Pistons have compiled a dreadful 1-8 SU and 3-6 ATS mark in the last nine contests away from Little Caesars Arena.

    The final stop on this away swing takes place in Memphis to face the struggling Grizzlies (18-18 SU, 17-19 ATS). Memphis has dropped seven of its past nine games, including Monday’s 113-101 defeat at Houston after falling behind by 23 points at halftime. The Grizzlies own a miserable 2-10 ATS record in the last 12 games, including a 1-5 ATS mark in this stretch at FedEx Forum.

    Staring in a Mirror

    Both the Pelicans and Nets own identical records heading into their first contest of 2019 as the two teams hook up at Barclays Center. New Orleans (17-21 SU, 16-22 ATS) picked up only its third win in the last nine games in Monday’s 123-114 triumph over Minnesota to cash as 5 ˝-point favorites. The Pelicans won in spite of Anthony Davis not suiting up, but the All-Star is expected to play tonight in Brooklyn as New Orleans goes for the season sweep after defeating the Nets at home in late October.

    The Nets (17-21 SU, 19-19 ATS) posted an impressive eight-game ATS hot streak in December, but Brooklyn limped towards the end of 2018 by covering once in its final five games. The latest two losses came on the highway in double-digit defeats at Charlotte and Milwaukee to suffer back-to-back setbacks for the first time since early December. The Nets have had their issues against Western Conference foes at home this season by losing seven of nine times, while dropping a double-overtime thriller to the Pelicans at Barclays Center last season.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-02-2019 at 01:54 PM.

  8. #8
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    Hoop Trends - Wednesday
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Mavericks are 19-0 ATS (+10.24 ppg) when the line is within three of pick off a loss as a dog when they allowed 100+ points in each of their last two games and it is before the All-Star break.


    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Cavaliers are 0-13 ATS (-13.65 ppg) at home after they scored more than 50 points in the paint.


    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Timberwolves are 9-0 OU (+18.17 ppg) on the road with less than two days rest when they are off a loss and they lost at least three straight vs their opponent.


    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Bulls are 0-14 OU (-10.64 ppg) with rest off a loss in a road game facing an opponent making less than 16 free throws per game.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-02-2019 at 01:55 PM.

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    By: Monique Vág



    In a great spot

    Washington has struggled this season with a 14-23 record, but are 6.5-point favorites tonight as they host the 11-25 Atlanta Hawks. The Wizards have been one of the worst teams defending opposing point guards allowing an average of 25.5 points a game on 44.6 percent shooting. Opposing point guards are contributing with three 3-pointers, along with six rebounds and 8.8 assists per game.

    Atlanta Hawks point guard Trae Young is averaging 15.6 points a game, and has logged 11 games this year with 10 or more total assists. Look for him to find success and take Over his points, rebounds, assists total of 26.5.


    Shining off the bench

    Although Brooklyn guard Spencer Dinwiddie is not in the starting lineup, he is still averaging 28.9 minutes per game and has flourished in a bench role averaging 17.5 points a game. Today he is in an excellent spot as the Nets take on a Pelicans team surrendering 23.6 points, six rebounds and a league high 8.5 assists to opposing point guards.

    With Allen Crabbe and Rondae Hollis-Jefferson out today with injuries, look for Dinwiddie to take advantage of potentially some extra playing time and take Over his points, rebounds, assists total of 27.5.


    Owning the head-to-head

    The Magic travel to Chicago to take on the Bulls as 1-point underdogs. The Magic have only won four of their most recent 10 games, and take on the Bulls at United Center, a venue they have not had much luck in.

    The Bulls have dominated the head-to-head posting an 8-2 record over the last ten games with an average score of 101-88 in those contests. Orlando has lost the most recent five meetings on the road. Take Chicago on the moneyline.


    Missing key pieces

    Both the Timberwolves and Celtics will be without some key players today as they clash in Beantown. Minnesota will be without Derrick Rose, Jeff Teague, and Robert Covington, all doubtful with ankle injuries. The Celtics will be without Aron Baynes once again and most importantly Kyrie Irving.

    Navigating the court without your starting point guard is tough, especially when he is your team's leading scorer with 23.1 points a game. Get this number on the Under quickly as both teams have enough notable players sitting out that the total should continue to drop. Take Under 217.


    Pushing the pace early

    Both the Lakers and Thunder rank near the top of the Association in first half points per game with the Lakers averaging 58, and OKC 56.6. Both teams are coming off games where they entered halftime scoring at least 60.

    The pace of the game projects to be fast with lots of scoring opportunities as both teams average over 106 possessions per game. Back the first half game total Over 115.

  10. #10
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    NBA's Top ATS Teams (sorted by cover%):

    1. Mavericks 22-14
    2. Spurs 22-15-1
    3. Bucks 20-14-2
    t4. Clippers 21-16
    t4. Pacers 21-16
    t4. Kings 21-16
    7. Heat 20-15
    8. Thunder 20-16


    NBA's Worst ATS Teams (sorted by cover %):

    30. Wizards 13-24
    t28. Pelicans 16-22
    t28. Warriors 16-22
    27. Knicks 16-21-1
    26. Raptors 17-22
    t24. Lakers 16-20-1
    t24. Hawks 16-20-1
    23. Suns 17-21


    NBA's Top OVER Teams (sorted by Over %):

    1. Kings 25-12
    2. Celtics 23-13
    3. Clippers 23-14
    4. Wizards 22-15
    t5. 76ers 22-16
    t5. Knicks 22-16
    7. Raptors 22-17
    8. Spurs 21-16-1


    NBA's Top UNDER Teams (based on Under %):

    1. Bulls 24-12-1
    2. Lakers 22-14-1
    3. Pacers 22-15
    t4. Grizzlies 21-15
    t4. Magic 21-15
    6. Nuggets 20-14
    7. Suns 21-17
    8. Cavaliers 20-17

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