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Thread: Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/1

  1. #1
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    Default Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/1


    Here's wishing you a healthy and happy new year!!!

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, January 1

    Good Luck on day #1 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    NBA’s top six players in 3-point %age:

    6) Bojan Bogdanovic, Pacers 46%

    5) Derrick Rose, Wolves 46.2%

    4) Danilo Gallinari, LAC 46.4%

    3) Davis Bertans, Spurs 48%

    2) Joe Harris, Nets 48.3%

    1) Seth Curry, Trailblazers 50%


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Happy New Year, everyone!!!!

    13) This is the first NFL season ever where no team finished 8-8; NFL went to the 16-game schedule in 1978, with two seasons since then shortened by work stoppages.

    12) Eight NFL head coaches were fired Sunday/Monday, 25% of the league’s coaches.

    11) Steelers’ star WR Antonio Brown missed Sunday’s game with the Bengals, but apparently he wasn’t hurt, he was being disciplined after an incident in practice with a teammate, who was Ben Rothlisberger. Witnesses say it was a fairly ugly incident.

    Sounds like it was an unhappy year in Pittsburgh, with Le’Veon Bell’s holdout and the coach screwing up game management situations and now Brown at odds with teammates. Throw in the defensive coordinator not knowing that Bengals’ TE Tyler Eifurt was hurt back in October, and it wouldn’t be surprising if whole lot of people were let go Monday, but they weren’t.

    10) Oakland Raiders hired NFL Network analyst Mike Mayock as its GM; Mayock has been contributing to NFL Network and NFL.com since 2004, mostly in scouting, but he’s never worked in an NFL front office before.

    Raiders have three first round draft picks in April and $100M in cap room to work with.

    9) UCLA’s basketball team is 7-6 and has lost its last four games, which cost Steve Alford his job Monday. Bruins lost at home to Belmont, Liberty- those teams are both ranked in the top 80, but the coaching change was made, even before conference play begins. Our society isn’t terribly patient. Alford is a good guy; not sure why a move had to be made right now.

    Alford/UCLA never seemed like a great match; will be fascinating to see where Bruins set their sights for a new coach. Murry Bartow is the interim coach; his father Gene was the coach who replaced John Wooden at UCLA, and who later started UAB’s basketball program.

    Would Billy Donovan have any interest in the UCLA job? I’d have to ask, if I’m UCLA.

    8) Mark Richt was fired as football coach at Miami; official word was “retired”, but guys don’t quit jobs like that. Richt is 58, would be curious to hear him on TV, hopefully learn from him.

    Houston fired coach Major Applewhite; Dana Holgorsen has been mentioned as a potential target for the Cougars, but how is Houston a better job than West Virginia? Kliff Kingsbury has apparently turned down “a lucrative offer” from Houston to stay on as an assistant at USC.

    7) Manny Diaz left as DC at Miami to become head coach at Temple, but when Richt retired (or was fired), Diaz quickly bolted Temple and is now the head coach at Miami. Oy.

    6) Ole Miss signed former Michigan/Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez as its new OC, joining former Colorado coach Mike MacIntyre as its new DC, giving the Rebels an impressive staff around relatively inexperienced head coach Matt Luke.

    6) This from the Grand Forks Herald:

    Dan Shrader is a 38-year old full-time sanitation worker in the Minneapolis/St Paul area, who spends 50 hours a week driving a daily garbage route, dumping trash at the landfill and helping manage a 32-truck fleet.

    He never played in the NHL, he never played college or pro hockey, he never played organized hockey growing up, period, but he is an amateur scout for the Winnipeg Jets, in charge of watching the Minnesota region for prospects. Pretty good second job for a garbageman.

    If you like something a lot and work hard enough at it, all things are possible.

    5) Hartford 79, Boston College 78 OT— ACC teams shouldn’t lose to America East teams.

    4) City of Toronto had free bus/subway service from 7pm-7am New Year’s Eve, which is really good. More cities should do that; the less people who drive on New Year’s Eve, the better.

    3) Stanford 14, Pittsburgh 13— Condoleeza Rice was on the Stanford sidelines for this game; not sure if she was auditioning for a coaching job or not. Pitt finishes year 7-7; always wondered if kids like enjoy going to El Paso for a bowl- seems like an unusual place for a bowl.

    2) Oregon 7, Michigan State 6— In its last four games, Michigan State scored 6-6-14-6 points. That not good. Before Monday, last time they completed more than half their passes was October 27.

    Mario Cristobal gets a bowl win in his first year at Oregon; it was Ducks’ first bowl wins since 2014, in a season when they had their third HC in last three years.

    1) Hope you guys out there all have a Happy New Year; thanks for reading. I’m hoping that 2019 will be a year when we all get along better and tolerate each other’s opinions more. Our diversity is part of what makes this country unique, in a good way.

  3. #3
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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, January 1



    Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech

    Game 601-602
    January 1, 2019 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Notre Dame
    62.157
    Virginia Tech
    71.224
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Virginia Tech
    by 9
    138
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Virginia Tech
    by 11
    141
    Dunkel Pick:
    Notre Dame
    (+11); Under

    Northridge @ San Diego St


    Game 603-604
    January 1, 2019 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Northridge
    39.734
    San Diego St
    64.629
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Diego St
    by 25
    155
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Diego St
    by 15 1/2
    158
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Diego St
    (-15 1/2); Under

    Marquette @ St John's


    Game 605-606
    January 1, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Marquette
    73.741
    St John's
    63.930
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Marquette
    by 10
    170
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Marquette
    by 1
    156
    Dunkel Pick:
    Marquette
    (-1); Over

    CS-Fullerton @ Washington


    Game 607-608
    January 1, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    CS-Fullerton
    51.822
    Washington
    66.613
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 15
    132
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 12 1/2
    137 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-12 1/2); Under





    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, January 1


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NOTRE DAME (10 - 3) at VIRGINIA TECH (11 - 1) - 1/1/2019, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    VIRGINIA TECH is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NOTRE DAME is 2-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
    NOTRE DAME is 2-1 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CS-NORTHRIDGE (5 - 8) at SAN DIEGO ST (7 - 5) - 1/1/2019, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CS-NORTHRIDGE is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
    CS-NORTHRIDGE is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    CS-NORTHRIDGE is 71-99 ATS (-37.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
    CS-NORTHRIDGE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO ST is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO ST is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN DIEGO ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MARQUETTE (11 - 2) at ST JOHNS (12 - 1) - 1/1/2019, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MARQUETTE is 129-90 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road games since 1997.
    MARQUETTE is 129-90 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
    MARQUETTE is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) in January games since 1997.
    MARQUETTE is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ST JOHNS is 2-2 against the spread versus MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
    ST JOHNS is 2-2 straight up against MARQUETTE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CS-FULLERTON (4 - 9) at WASHINGTON (8 - 4) - 1/1/2019, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CS-FULLERTON is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1997.
    WASHINGTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus CS-FULLERTON over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against CS-FULLERTON over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, January 1


    Notre Dame won five of last six games with Virginia Tech, winning last two visits here, by 25-5 points. Underdogs covered three of last four series games. Tech is 11-1 this season vs schedule #319; they’re 3-1 vs top 100 teams, with wins by 9-16-12 points and 63-62 loss at Penn State. Hokies are experience team #88 that is shooting 44.4% on arc (#3), and has best eFG% in country- they force turnovers 25.1% of time (#5). ND won its last four games, is 10-3 vs schedule #318; they’re #304 experience team whose three losses are all by five or fewer points.

    Cal-Northridge won its last three games, is 5-8 vs schedule #290; Matadors are in total rebuild, are experience team #339- they’re 1-3 vs teams in top 150, with losses by 15-14-35 points, with 81-80 win over #150 Rider. CSUN his turning ball over 20.2% of time (#242); they start three freshmen, one soph, and the coach’s son. San Diego State got hammered at home by Brown in last game (were down 28 at half); Aztecs are 6-5 vs schedule #116- they’re 3-1 vs teams outside top 200, with wins by 16-39-43 points- they start Mountain West play Saturday in Boise.

    Marquette won five of last seven games with St John’s, losing last two visits to NYC by 14-8 points. Underdogs are 5-3 vs spread in last eight series games. Golden Eagles won their last eight games, are 12-2 vs schedule #210; they’re experience team #207 (#95 in MC) that shoots 38.8% on arc (#31). Marquette lost its only true road game, by 23 at Indiana Nov 14. St John’s is 12-1 (vs schedule #335) after 76-74 loss at Seton Hall Saturday; Red Storm is #152 experience team that doesn’t sub much (bench minutes #344)- they shoot 39.8% on arc (#15).

    Cal State-Fullerton is disappointing 2-9 vs schedule #11; Titans are experience team #41 that made NCAA’s LY- they’re 0-6 vs top 100 teams, with all losses by 8+ points, though loss at Arizona St was in double OT. Fullerton was #2 in country LY at getting to foul line; right now, they’re #231, so they’re not taking ball to hole as well. Washington is 8-4 vs schedule #47; Huskies are experience team #48 (#1 in MC) that is 6-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with four wins by 14+ points- they’re forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#84).




    NCAAB

    Tuesday, January 1


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Notre Dame @ Virginia Tech
    Notre Dame
    Notre Dame is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Virginia Tech
    Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Virginia Tech
    Virginia Tech
    Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    Cal State-Northridge @ San Diego State
    Cal State-Northridge
    Cal State-Northridge is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Cal State-Northridge is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
    San Diego State
    San Diego State is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home
    San Diego State is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games

    Marquette @ St. John's
    Marquette
    Marquette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Marquette is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    St. John's
    St. John's is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    St. John's is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games

    Cal State-Fullerton @ Washington
    Cal State-Fullerton
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cal State-Fullerton's last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cal State-Fullerton's last 7 games
    Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games at home


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-01-2019 at 12:39 PM.

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