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Thread: Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/1

  1. #1
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    Default Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/1


    Here's wishing you a healthy and happy new year!!!

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, January 1

    Good Luck on day #1 of 2019!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    NBA’s top six players in 3-point %age:

    6) Bojan Bogdanovic, Pacers 46%

    5) Derrick Rose, Wolves 46.2%

    4) Danilo Gallinari, LAC 46.4%

    3) Davis Bertans, Spurs 48%

    2) Joe Harris, Nets 48.3%

    1) Seth Curry, Trailblazers 50%


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Happy New Year, everyone!!!!

    13) This is the first NFL season ever where no team finished 8-8; NFL went to the 16-game schedule in 1978, with two seasons since then shortened by work stoppages.

    12) Eight NFL head coaches were fired Sunday/Monday, 25% of the league’s coaches.

    11) Steelers’ star WR Antonio Brown missed Sunday’s game with the Bengals, but apparently he wasn’t hurt, he was being disciplined after an incident in practice with a teammate, who was Ben Rothlisberger. Witnesses say it was a fairly ugly incident.

    Sounds like it was an unhappy year in Pittsburgh, with Le’Veon Bell’s holdout and the coach screwing up game management situations and now Brown at odds with teammates. Throw in the defensive coordinator not knowing that Bengals’ TE Tyler Eifurt was hurt back in October, and it wouldn’t be surprising if whole lot of people were let go Monday, but they weren’t.

    10) Oakland Raiders hired NFL Network analyst Mike Mayock as its GM; Mayock has been contributing to NFL Network and NFL.com since 2004, mostly in scouting, but he’s never worked in an NFL front office before.

    Raiders have three first round draft picks in April and $100M in cap room to work with.

    9) UCLA’s basketball team is 7-6 and has lost its last four games, which cost Steve Alford his job Monday. Bruins lost at home to Belmont, Liberty- those teams are both ranked in the top 80, but the coaching change was made, even before conference play begins. Our society isn’t terribly patient. Alford is a good guy; not sure why a move had to be made right now.

    Alford/UCLA never seemed like a great match; will be fascinating to see where Bruins set their sights for a new coach. Murry Bartow is the interim coach; his father Gene was the coach who replaced John Wooden at UCLA, and who later started UAB’s basketball program.

    Would Billy Donovan have any interest in the UCLA job? I’d have to ask, if I’m UCLA.

    8) Mark Richt was fired as football coach at Miami; official word was “retired”, but guys don’t quit jobs like that. Richt is 58, would be curious to hear him on TV, hopefully learn from him.

    Houston fired coach Major Applewhite; Dana Holgorsen has been mentioned as a potential target for the Cougars, but how is Houston a better job than West Virginia? Kliff Kingsbury has apparently turned down “a lucrative offer” from Houston to stay on as an assistant at USC.

    7) Manny Diaz left as DC at Miami to become head coach at Temple, but when Richt retired (or was fired), Diaz quickly bolted Temple and is now the head coach at Miami. Oy.

    6) Ole Miss signed former Michigan/Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez as its new OC, joining former Colorado coach Mike MacIntyre as its new DC, giving the Rebels an impressive staff around relatively inexperienced head coach Matt Luke.

    6) This from the Grand Forks Herald:

    Dan Shrader is a 38-year old full-time sanitation worker in the Minneapolis/St Paul area, who spends 50 hours a week driving a daily garbage route, dumping trash at the landfill and helping manage a 32-truck fleet.

    He never played in the NHL, he never played college or pro hockey, he never played organized hockey growing up, period, but he is an amateur scout for the Winnipeg Jets, in charge of watching the Minnesota region for prospects. Pretty good second job for a garbageman.

    If you like something a lot and work hard enough at it, all things are possible.

    5) Hartford 79, Boston College 78 OT— ACC teams shouldn’t lose to America East teams.

    4) City of Toronto had free bus/subway service from 7pm-7am New Year’s Eve, which is really good. More cities should do that; the less people who drive on New Year’s Eve, the better.

    3) Stanford 14, Pittsburgh 13— Condoleeza Rice was on the Stanford sidelines for this game; not sure if she was auditioning for a coaching job or not. Pitt finishes year 7-7; always wondered if kids like enjoy going to El Paso for a bowl- seems like an unusual place for a bowl.

    2) Oregon 7, Michigan State 6— In its last four games, Michigan State scored 6-6-14-6 points. That not good. Before Monday, last time they completed more than half their passes was October 27.

    Mario Cristobal gets a bowl win in his first year at Oregon; it was Ducks’ first bowl wins since 2014, in a season when they had their third HC in last three years.

    1) Hope you guys out there all have a Happy New Year; thanks for reading. I’m hoping that 2019 will be a year when we all get along better and tolerate each other’s opinions more. Our diversity is part of what makes this country unique, in a good way.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Tuesday, January 1



    Utah @ Toronto

    Game 575-576
    January 1, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Utah
    120.742
    Toronto
    125.323
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 4 1/2
    199
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 3
    211
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-3); Under

    Detroit @ Milwaukee


    Game 577-578
    January 1, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    116.280
    Milwaukee
    121.743
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 5 1/2
    212
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 10 1/2
    218 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (+10 1/2); Under

    New York @ Denver


    Game 579-580
    January 1, 2019 @ 4:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New York
    108.032
    Denver
    128.964
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 21
    217
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 13 1/2
    218 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Denver
    (-13 1/2); Under

    Portland @ Sacramento


    Game 581-582
    January 1, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Portland
    127.733
    Sacramento
    116.991
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Portland
    by 11
    228
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Portland
    by 1 1/2
    230 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Portland
    (-1 1/2); Under

    Philadelphia @ LA Clippers


    Game 583-584
    January 1, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    118.662
    LA Clippers
    118.903
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    Even
    225
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 3
    226 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (+3); Under





    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Tuesday, January 1


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    UTAH (18 - 19) at TORONTO (27 - 11) - 1/1/2019, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 4-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (16 - 18) at MILWAUKEE (25 - 10) - 1/1/2019, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 415-484 ATS (-117.4 Units) in home games since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 141-180 ATS (-57.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 58-103 ATS (-55.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
    MILWAUKEE is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 5-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 7-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW YORK (9 - 28) at DENVER (23 - 11) - 1/1/2019, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW YORK is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW YORK is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PORTLAND (21 - 16) at SACRAMENTO (19 - 17) - 1/1/2019, 9:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SACRAMENTO is 3-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 5-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (23 - 14) at LA CLIPPERS (21 - 15) - 1/1/2019, 10:30 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 5-0 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Tuesday, January 1


    Jazz won four of its last six games; they’re 1-3-1 vs spread in last five road games. Eight of their last nine games stayed under. Toronto won four of its last six games but they’re 1-7 vs spread in last eight games, 2-6 in last eight home games. Under is 5-1 in their last six home games. Raptors won five of last six games with Utah; six of last nine series games went over. Jazz are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Canada.

    Pistons lost four of their last five games; they’re 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven road games. Under is 11-5 in their last 16 games. Milwaukee won seven of its last eight games; they’re 4-1-1 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 10-3 in their last 13 games. Bucks won seven of last nine games with Detroit; under is 5-0-1 in last six series games. Pistons are 2-2-1 vs spread in their last five visits to Milwaukee.

    New York lost its last seven games; they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Denver won six of its last eight games; they’re 7-1 vs spread in last eight home games. Four of their last five games went over. Knicks lost six of last seven games with the Nuggets; they’re 0-4 vs spread in last four visits to Denver. Last four series games went over the total.

    Trailblazers are 1-9 vs spread in game following their last 10 wins; they’re 1-9 vs spread in last ten road games. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Sacramento split its last ten games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven home games. Over is 8-1-1 in their last ten games. Portland won eight of last ten games with the Kings; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Sacramento. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

    Philly split its last dozen games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Four of their last five games went over total. Clippers won four of their last six games; they’re 3-1 vs spread in last four home games. Five of their last six games went over. 76ers won last three games with the Clippers; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five series games played here. Three of last four series games stayed under.




    NBA

    Tuesday, January 1


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Utah Jazz
    Utah is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Utah is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 9 games
    Utah is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Utah is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games on the road
    Utah is 1-9-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Toronto
    Utah is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Utah's last 14 games when playing Toronto
    Utah is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Utah is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
    Toronto is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Toronto's last 15 games
    Toronto is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 16 of Toronto's last 24 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
    Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
    Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 14 games when playing Utah
    Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
    Toronto is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Utah
    Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
    Toronto is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Utah
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Utah

    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 16 games
    Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
    Detroit is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 13 games
    Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games at home
    Milwaukee is 1-4-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
    Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Detroit
    Milwaukee is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit
    Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

    New York Knicks
    New York is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
    New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    New York is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    New York is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of New York's last 15 games on the road
    New York is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver
    New York is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Denver
    New York is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
    New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
    Denver Nuggets
    Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Denver is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
    Denver is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games at home
    Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New York
    Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New York
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing New York
    Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York
    Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York

    Portland Trail Blazers
    Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Portland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games
    Portland is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Portland is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
    Portland is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Portland's last 25 games when playing Sacramento
    Portland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    Portland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Sacramento's last 10 games
    Sacramento is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Sacramento is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home
    Sacramento is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
    Sacramento is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing Portland
    The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Sacramento's last 25 games when playing Portland
    Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
    Sacramento is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland

    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
    Philadelphia is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    Philadelphia is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing LA Clippers
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
    Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    LA Clippers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games
    LA Clippers is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games at home
    LA Clippers is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games at home
    LA Clippers is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    LA Clippers is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Philadelphia
    LA Clippers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    LA Clippers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-01-2019 at 12:51 PM.

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    Hoop Trends - Tuesday
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Kings are 14-0 ATS (+8.79 ppg) with less than two days rest when they lost at least two straight vs their opponent.


    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Bucks are 0-19 ATS (-8.24 ppg) as a 8-plus point favorite off a home game when their opponent is seeking same-season revenge for a loss at home.


    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Bucks are 14-0 OU (+12.25 ppg) as a home 8+ favorite when they won 2 straight vs current opponent.


    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Trailblazers are 0-12 OU (-16.88 ppg) as a road favorite with rest after a game in which they shot 50% or better from beyond the arc.

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