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Thread: Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/31

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/31

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, December 31

    Good Luck on day #365 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Top 6 picks for Week 17 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest:

    1) Colts, -3 (972)- W

    2) Browns, +6 (904)- W

    3) Bills, -3.5 (847)- W

    4) Eagles, -6.5 (800)- W

    5) Vikings, -4.5 (758)- L

    6) Texans, -6.5 (670)- W

    Final season record: 56-45-3


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

    Cowboys 36, Giants 35— Not sure why Dallas played QB Prescott whole game, but they did and WR Beasley made a great catch with 1:12 left to win this game. Cowboys host Seattle next week; they’re in playoffs for only third time in last nine years.

    Giants split their last eight games, scoring 27+ points in four of last five; six of those eight games were decided by four of fewer points. Big Blue lost nine of its last 11 games with Dallas.

    Ravens 26, Browns 24— Baltimore was 4-5 and everyone assumed John Harbaugh was history, but they started rookie QB Jackson after their bye week and went on a 6-1 run that won them a division title. Ravens led this game 20-7 at halftime, then hung on for dear life; Browns had ball on their 40-yard line in last 1:20, but couldn’t get in field goal range.

    Cleveland finished 7-8-1, their best record in 11 years; Mayfield is entrenched as their QB, and if you watched Hard Knocks this past summer, that probably surprises you. Good for them, but it sounds like Cleveland is going hire Mike McCarthy as head coach, instead of Gregg Williams.

    Ravens host Chargers in playoffs next week; they upset Bolts 22-10 in Carson last week.

    There was huge call in Ravens’ favor in last 2:00 of first half; Jackson fumbled near goal line, but whistle blew while Browns were running ball back for TD. That call may have kept Steelers out of the playoffs.

    Colts 33, Titans 17— Colts bounced back from 1-5 start to make playoffs for first time in four years. Indy visits Houston next week; they split a pair of 3-point decisions with the Texans this season. In second half of season, Colts were 4-0 in games decided by 3 or fewer points.

    Mariota didn’t play, Titans didn’t win; Tennessee finished 9-7 for third year in row; they fired Mike Mularkey after he made playoffs LY, but Vrabel didn’t make playoffs this year, despite winning four of last five games.

    Patriots 38, Jets 3— Bill Belichick has been the Patriots’ coach since 2000; Jets fired Todd Bowles after the game. Patriots are #2 seed in AFC; as for rest of AFC East since 2000……..

    — Buffalo coaches: Phillips, Williams, Mularkey, Jauron, Gailey, Marrone, Ryan, McDermott
    — Miami coaches: Wannstedt, Saban, Cameron, Sparano, Philbin, Gase.
    — Jets coaches: Groh, Edwards, Mangini, Ryan, Bowles.

    Eagles 24, Redskins 0— Philly outgained Redskins 360-89, held Washington to 8 first downs, 0-9 on third down plays. Eagles made playoffs when the Bears won in Minnesota; they visit Chicago in first round game next week. Foles re-injured his ribs, didn’t finish this game, but defending Super Bowl champs won five of their last six games.

    Redskins started season 5-2, but were ravaged by injuries; they scored 16 or fewer points in their last five games, starting four QB’s in their last seven games.

    Bears 24, Vikings 10— Chicago won/covered nine of last ten games; in their last four games, they allowed only two offensive TD’s on 41 drives. Bears host Philly in playoffs next week.

    Since 2004, Minnesota has had 11 different QB’s; Zimmer fired his OC during the season this year. Vikings are 47-32-1 under Zimmer, but he needs to get his offense in order next year.

    Texans 20, Jaguars 3— Houston won 11 of last 13 games; they host Colts in playoffs next week. Texans are in playoffs for fifth time in last eight years.

    Jacksonville went 10-6 LY and made playoffs for first time in decade; they lost 3-9 in last 12 games, scoring 17 or fewer points in last five games. Kyler Murray would look very good in a Jacksonville uniform next fall.

    Falcons 34, Buccaneers 32— Atlanta swept the Bucs this year, scoring 34 points in both games; Falcons showed some grit, winning last three games after a 4-9 start. Average total in last six games in this series is 59.2.

    Tampa Bay fired Dirk Koetter after the game; kind of unfair to keep the GM and fire the coach when the QB is the guy who got suspended for off-field hijinx which threw the Bucs’ offense into disarray. Buccaneers haven’t made the playoffs since 2007- they were -18 in turnovers TY.

    Bills 42, Dolphins 17— Miami went 4-9 after starting season 3-0; they lost their last seven road games, and were 2-6 as road underdogs this year. Dolphins converted 10 of last 50 plays on third down; I’m really not sure why they’re so committed to Tannehill as their QB.

    Buffalo is 8-4 in its last dozen games with Miami, winning six of last seven series games played here; they outgained Dolphins 796-400 in two meetings this season, but split the games.

    Steelers 16, Bengals 13— Pittsburgh misses playoff for first time in five years; they lost four of their last six games- four of their last five games were decided by exactly three points.

    Bengals were one of six teams not to score an offensive TD this week; Cincy lost nine of its last 11 games, missing playoffs for third year in row. Bengals haven’t won a playoff game since 1991.

    Chargers 23, Broncos 9— 12-4 Chargers didn’t win AFC West, so they’re going to Baltimore for first-round playoff game this week; they were upset 22-10 at home by Ravens in Week 16. LA won five of its last six games overall. Chargers are 7-0 outside of LA this season.

    Denver finishes with consecutive losing season for first time since 70’s; have to think they’re going to be changing head coaches this winter.

    Seahawks 27, Cardinals 24— Seahawks won six of last seven games, will visit Dallas in most interesting of the four playoff games next week; their last seven games with Arizona were all decided by 6 or fewer points. Cardinals had won their last three visits to Seattle.

    There are rumors that Arizona will fire HC Wilks after only one year; would be second year in row that the coach QB Josh Rosen played for got fired— his coach at UCLA (Jim Mora) got the boot after last season. Redbirds should hire a QB guru to tutor young Rosen.

    Arizona gets the #1 pick in drat for first time since 1958, when they were based in Chicago; that year, Redbirds took QB King Hill with first pick- he started only 29 games in 12 years, and most of those were for the Eagles.

    Rams 48, 49ers 32— 49ers turned ball over on their first three drives; on their first two drives, Rams started on SF 7 and SF 13-yard line, scoring TD’s both times. 49ers went 0-8 on road this year for first time since 1979, the year the Rams made Super Bowl for the first time.

    LA gets a first-round bye and will host a playoff game on January 12th, a Saturday night.

    Lions 31, Packers 0— Six highest-paid QB’s in the NFL missed playoffs this year:
    — Aaron Rodgers: $33.5M
    — Matt Ryan: $30M
    — Kirk Cousins: $28M
    — Jimmy Garoppolo: $27.5M
    — Matthew Stafford: $27M
    — Derek Carr: $25M

    Chiefs 35, Raiders 3— Oakland was 12-4 only two years ago, but things change quickly in the NFL- they went 10-22 the last two seasons. If I was paying a coach $100M over ten years, I’d have expected more than a 4-12 first season. Here is the draft order for April’s draft:

    1) Cardinals
    2) 49ers
    3) Jets
    4) Raiders
    5) Buccaneers
    6) Giants

    Panthers 33, Saints 14— The game meant nothing for New Orleans and it showed, since Drew Brees was in street clothes. Teddy Bridgewater is a free agent this winter, so the game meant a lot to him; have feeling he’ll be a starter somewhere in NFL next season.

    Carolina snapped a 7-game skid here; Ron Rivera will return as coach next season. Had they lost this game, Panthers would’ve been first team ever to finish season 6-10 after having been 6-2.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-31-2018 at 01:12 PM.

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    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Monday, December 31


    Hawks won four of last five games, are 4-2 vs spread in last six road games. Four of their last six games stayed under total. Indiana won 11 of its last 13 games, is 5-2 vs spread in last seven home games. Three of their last four games went over. Pacers won seven of last eight games with Atlanta (6-2 vs spread); under is 9-1 in last ten series games. Hawks are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Indiana.

    Orlando won its last two games, after a 2-7 skid; Magic is 7-2 vs spread in last nine road games. Three of their last four games went over. Hornets are 3-5 in their last eight games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine home games. Three of their last four games went over. Charlotte won its last ten games with Orlando (9-1 vs spread); three of last four series games stayed under. Magic are 0-5 vs spread in last five visits to Tobacco Road.

    Celtics won three of their last four games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven road games. Last nine Boston games went over total. San Antonio won nine of its last 12 games; they’re 8-1 vs spread in last nine home games. Five of their last seven games went over. Spurs won nine of last ten games with Boston (7-3 vs spread); last five series games went over. Celtics are 1-3 vs spread in last four trips to the Alamo.

    Grizzlies lost eight of their last 11 games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five road games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Houston won nine of its last ten games; they’re 7-0-1 vs spread in last eight home games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Rockets won five of last seven games with Memphis; six of last eight series games went under the total. Grizzlies are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Houston.

    Mavericks lost seven of last nine games, are 3-0 vs spread in last three road games. Six of their last eight games went over. Oklahoma City lost three of its last four games; they’re 4-1-1 vs spread in last six home games. Thunder’s last five games all stayed under. Dallas won four of last five games with the Thunder, beating OKC by hoop last nite; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Oklahoma. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

    Timberwolves won three of their last four games; they’re 6-4 vs spread in last ten road games. Six of their last seven games went over. New Orleans lost five of its last six games; they’re 4-5 vs spread in last nine home games. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Minnesota won/covered its last five games with the Pelicans; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five trips to Bourbon Street. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games.

    Golden State is 5-4 SU in its last nine games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Suns lost four of their last five games; they’re 3-1-1 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 12-6 in their last 18 games. Warriors won their last ten games with Phoenix, covering six of last seven; Golden State is 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to the desert. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-31-2018 at 01:13 PM.

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    NBA

    Monday, December 31


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    Trend Report
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    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Atlanta is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
    Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Atlanta is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
    Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
    Atlanta is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing Indiana
    Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Indiana is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Indiana's last 16 games
    Indiana is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
    Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 11 games when playing Atlanta
    Indiana is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
    Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

    Orlando Magic
    Orlando is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Orlando is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games
    Orlando is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Orlando is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
    Orlando is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Charlotte
    Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
    Orlando is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Charlotte's last 12 games
    Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Charlotte is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games at home
    Charlotte is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Orlando
    Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
    Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
    Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando

    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
    Memphis is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games
    Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games on the road
    Memphis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
    Memphis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Houston
    Memphis is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Memphis's last 20 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston Rockets
    Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    Houston is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Memphis
    Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Memphis
    Houston is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Houston's last 20 games when playing at home against Memphis

    Boston Celtics
    Boston is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
    Boston is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
    Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Boston is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
    Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games on the road
    Boston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing San Antonio
    Boston is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
    Boston is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    San Antonio is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Antonio's last 11 games
    San Antonio is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    San Antonio is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games at home
    San Antonio is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston
    San Antonio is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Boston
    San Antonio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
    San Antonio is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Boston
    San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Dallas is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games
    Dallas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
    Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Dallas is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Dallas is 15-7 ATS in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
    Dallas is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
    Oklahoma City is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
    Oklahoma City is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home
    Oklahoma City is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
    Oklahoma City is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing Dallas
    Oklahoma City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
    Oklahoma City is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games when playing at home against Dallas
    Oklahoma City is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

    Minnesota Timberwolves
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
    Minnesota is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Minnesota's last 16 games on the road
    Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 12 games when playing New Orleans
    Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    Minnesota is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
    New Orleans is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 11 games
    New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    New Orleans is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home
    New Orleans is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Orleans's last 12 games when playing Minnesota
    New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    New Orleans is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota

    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Golden State is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State's last 11 games
    Golden State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Golden State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Golden State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Phoenix
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing Phoenix
    Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
    Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Phoenix is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Phoenix's last 16 games at home
    Phoenix is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
    Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing Golden State
    Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-31-2018 at 01:14 PM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Monday, December 31



    Atlanta @ Indiana

    Game 561-562
    December 31, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    111.299
    Indiana
    119.132
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Indiana
    by 8
    228
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Indiana
    by 12
    220 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+12); Over

    Orlando @ Charlotte


    Game 563-564
    December 31, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Orlando
    113.937
    Charlotte
    116.210
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Charlotte
    by 2 1/2
    219
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Charlotte
    by 7 1/2
    210 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Orlando
    (+7 1/2); Over

    Boston @ San Antonio


    Game 565-566
    December 31, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    125.743
    San Antonio
    114.815
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 11
    217
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 1
    218
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-1); Under

    Memphis @ Houston


    Game 567-568
    December 31, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    117.108
    Houston
    119.576
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 2 1/2
    217
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 5
    200 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Memphis
    (+5); Over

    Dallas @ Oklahoma City


    Game 569-570
    December 31, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    112.841
    Oklahoma City
    118.409
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 5 1/2
    222
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 8
    224
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (+8); Under

    Minnesota @ New Orleans


    Game 571-572
    December 31, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    123.132
    New Orleans
    120.096
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 3
    225
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 5 1/2
    229 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (+5 1/2); Under

    Golden State @ Phoenix


    Game 573-574
    December 31, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Golden State
    131.032
    Phoenix
    102.519
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 28 1/2
    226
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 10
    227 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Golden State
    (-10); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-31-2018 at 01:14 PM.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Monday, December 31


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (11 - 24) at INDIANA (24 - 12) - 12/31/2018, 3:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 72-51 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    INDIANA is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 6-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 7-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    ORLANDO (16 - 19) at CHARLOTTE (17 - 18) - 12/31/2018, 6:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ORLANDO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHARLOTTE is 8-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    CHARLOTTE is 9-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (21 - 14) at SAN ANTONIO (20 - 17) - 12/31/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1068-934 ATS (+40.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in December games this season.
    SAN ANTONIO is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 352-291 ATS (+31.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 219-166 ATS (+36.4 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 52-38 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 66-48 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 42-28 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MEMPHIS (18 - 17) at HOUSTON (20 - 15) - 12/31/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games in December games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 5-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 5-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DALLAS (17 - 18) at OKLAHOMA CITY (22 - 13) - 12/31/2018, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
    DALLAS is 47-33 ATS (+10.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 511-433 ATS (+34.7 Units) in road games since 1996.
    DALLAS is 86-56 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
    DALLAS is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
    DALLAS is 42-23 ATS (+16.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 40-56 ATS (-21.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 7-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 5-4 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (17 - 19) at NEW ORLEANS (16 - 21) - 12/31/2018, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 5-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GOLDEN STATE (24 - 13) at PHOENIX (9 - 28) - 12/31/2018, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GOLDEN STATE is 60-77 ATS (-24.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 181-142 ATS (+24.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
    PHOENIX is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 26-41 ATS (-19.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 9-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-31-2018 at 01:15 PM.

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    Monday's Tip Sheet
    Kevin Rogers

    Game of the Night: Mavericks at Thunder – 8:05 PM EST

    The contrasting home and road records for Dallas (17-18 SU, 22-13 ATS) is astonishing through two months. The Mavericks own a terrific 15-3 record at American Airlines Center, but have lost 15 of 17 contests away from Big “D.” Two of those home victories came against Oklahoma City, including a 105-103 triumph on Sunday as 2 ½-point underdogs.

    Dallas built an 11-point lead heading into the fourth quarter, but Oklahoma City rallied back with a 24-11 run to grab a 101-95 advantage with two minutes remaining. The Thunder crashed in the final two minutes by getting outscored, 10-2, even though Dallas converted only two field goals. Russell Westbrook put together one of his worst offensive games of the season by going 4-of-22 from the floor, including failing to hit a three-pointer in eight attempts, while scoring nine points.

    The Thunder (22-13 SU, 19-16 ATS) wrapped up their three-game road swing at 1-2 SU/ATS, while falling to 4-8 ATS the past 12 opportunities in the favorite role. Oklahoma City returns home for only one game prior to a two-game road swing to face the Lakers on Wednesday and Blazers on Friday. The Mavericks embark on a four-game trip looking to extend its ATS hot streak to six games, but Dallas owns an 0-7 road record in December.

    Dialing It Up

    The Celtics and Spurs hook up for the first time this season as both squads are coming off road victories. Boston (21-14 SU, 18-17 ATS) rallied from a 17-point deficit to stun Memphis on Saturday, 112-103, as the Celtics outscored the Grizzlies, 55-37 in the second half. Kyrie Irving paced the Celtics with 26 points and 13 assists as Boston cashed the OVER for the fifth straight game and the eighth time in nine contests.

    San Antonio (20-17 SU, 21-15-1 ATS) starts a three-game homestand where the Spurs have been nearly automatic over the last month. The Spurs have won eight of their past nine games at AT&T Center, while covering 10 of their past 12 overall, including in Saturday’s 122-111 triumph over the Clippers as three-point underdogs.

    The Spurs have won six consecutive home matchups with the Celtics dating back to 2012, while two of the last three meetings in San Antonio have been decided by three points.

    Elsewhere in the Lone Star State

    Things can change quickly in a month as Memphis was sitting atop the Southwest division, while Houston was hanging out at the bottom following a slow start. The Rockets (20-15 SU, 17-17-1 ATS) are back atop the Southwest after winning nine of its past 10 games since a three-game slide, while holding off the Pelicans on Saturday, 108-104 to cash as 3 ½-point favorites. Houston looks to wrap up December with a perfect 9-0 record at Toyota Center, which includes recent victories over San Antonio, Oklahoma City, and Boston.

    The Grizzlies (18-17 SU, 17-18 ATS) have dropped eight of their last 11 contests, which includes four defeats at FedEx Forum. Memphis threw away a big lead in Saturday’s setback to Boston, but the Grizzlies eclipsed the 100-point mark for only the second time in the past 11 games. The Grizzlies have dropped three consecutive meetings with the Rockets since last season, including a 105-97 defeat to Houston at FedEx Forum in mid-December.

    Not So Easy

    Since starting 10-7, the Pelicans (16-21 SU, 15-22 ATS) own a dreadful 6-14 record in the last 20 games, while mired in a 1-6 SU/ATS slump the past seven contests. The previous three losses for New Orleans have come by five points or less, including Saturday’s four-point defeat to Houston. The Pelicans have covered once at Smoothie King Center in the favorite role since the start of December, while posting a 1-4 ATS record in the last five opportunities as home chalk.

    New Orleans welcomes in Minnesota (17-19 SU, 19-17 ATS) for the final home game of 2018, looking to avenge a 108-100 defeat at Target Center on November 14. The Wolves have rolled on the road recently by capturing three straight on the highway, including Sunday’s 113-104 triumph at Miami as four-point underdogs. Minnesota is playing with no rest for the fourth time this season, owning a 1-2 SU/ATS record in this role, while the Wolves have cashed seven consecutive OVERS since December 17.

    Strive for 25

    The Warriors (24-13 SU, 15-22 ATS) are seeking to become the first Western Conference team to reach 25 victories on the season with a win at Phoenix tonight. Golden State bounced back from an overtime loss to Portland to beat the Blazers on the second end of a back-to-back on Saturday, 115-105. The Warriors grabbed only their second cover in the last 10 games as the trio of Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, and Kevin Durant all topped the 25-point mark.

    The Suns (9-28 SU, 17-20 ATS) rallied late to pick up a miracle cover against the Nuggets on Saturday in a 122-118 defeat as 4 ½-point underdogs. In spite of the loss, Phoenix improved to 8-1 ATS the last nine games, while grabbing its fourth cover in the past five home contests. The Suns have dropped 16 consecutive meetings with the Warriors since 2015, as Golden State has cashed in six of the past seven matchups.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-31-2018 at 01:16 PM.

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    By: Monique Vág



    Playing each other two nights in a row

    The Mavericks have cooled down after their hot start, but have won two of their most recent three games. The Mavs once again play the Thunder, who have lost three of their most recent four and will be hoping to get revenge for their 105-103 loss to Dallas last night.

    Oklahoma City has only won one of its most recent five contests when playing Dallas, and has failed to cover in five straight versus the Mavs. The Mavericks have covered in 15 of the most recent 22 games in the head-to-head, and should be able to keep it close on the road. Take the 8-points and back the Mavericks to cover.


    Building off a buzzer-beater

    The Hornets have struggled defending opposing shooting guards this season allowing 23 points, 5.9 rebounds, 4.7 assists and a league high 3.4 made 3-point shots per game.
    Today Charlotte matches up with Orlando's Evan Fournier who is coming off hitting a buzzer-beating shot to secure a Magic victory last night. Back Fournier Over his points, rebounds, assists total Over 23.5.


    Taking advantage of missed shots

    The Grizzlies and Rockets matchup projects to be very low scoring with both teams allowing less than 109 points on average per game. This could lead to a lot of missed shots and opportunities for rebounding.

    The Grizzlies are allowing 53.6 rebounds per game, and surrendering an average of 16.1 to opposing centers. This is great news for Rockets center Clint Capela who has logged 19 or more rebounds in three of his team's most recent four games. Back his rebounding total Over.


    Another rebounding prop

    Another player in a favorable rebounding matchup today is Spurs big man LaMarcus Aldridge who is averaging 9.0 rebounds a game, and is facing off against a Celtics team allowing an average of 11.5 to opposing power forwards.

    Boston has posted a 0-5 record against the Spurs in their most recent five games at AT&T Center. Over their most recent 10 matchups, the Spurs have held the Celtics to 43 percent shooting. Look for good defense to be played on both ends of the court and back Aldridge Over his rebounding total of 8.5


    Loving that Cajun home cooking

    The Pelicans have lost six of their most recent seven games, but finally return home to New Orleans to host the Timberwolves. The Pels have posted a 12-6 record on their home court, while averaging 118.8 points per game on 48 percent shooting.

    The Timberwolves have struggled scoring points away from home averaging only 108.8 away on 44.1 percent shooting. They will be playing on the second night of a back-to-back and have not fared well - only winning one of three games - when playing on consecutive nights. Look for the Pelicans to pull away late as fatigue may be a factor late for the T-Wolves. Back New Orleans to cover as 5.5-point favorites.

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    Hoop Trends - Monday
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Hornets are 12-0 ATS (13.88 ppg) as a home favorite coming off a road game that had 8+ lead changes.


    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Suns are 0-9 ATS (-12.39 ppg) off a game as a dog in which they shot over 50% from the field.


    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Timberwolves are 13-0 OU (12.35 ppg) as a road dog after a game as a road dog in which they had 6+ double digit scorers.


    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Rockets are 0-9 OU (-13.00 ppg) at home with rest facing an opponent averaging less than 40 rebounds per game.

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    Games to Watch - Week 12
    YouWager

    With the 2018-19 NBA regular season set to turn the page on the 2018 calendar year, the four expert NBA picks that you’re about to get could help you cash in not once, twice or even three times, but a whopping four times in all!

    With that thought in mind, let’s get started with all the games.

    Boston Celtics (21-14) at San Antonio Spurs (20-17)
    When: Monday, December 31, 2018 at 7:00 PM ET
    Where: AT&T Center, San Antonio, Texas

    Boston has won three of four after losing their previous three games and the C’s will enter this matchup coming off a 112-103 win over Memphis on Saturday. San Antonio has won two of its last three games including a 122-111 win over the Clippers on Saturday.

    While Boston has largely underachieved after entering the 2018-19 season as the prohibitive favorites to win the Eastern Conference, the Spurs are playing right around the level of basketball we expected coming into this season

    Having said all of this, I’m going to encourage you to back the semi-desperate Celtics to win and narrowly cover the chalk as a slight road favorite. Boston has the statistical edge at both ends of the court and they’re clearly a deeper, more balanced team than San Antonio which relies on the likes of LaMarcus Aldridge and DeMar DeRozan to provide the bulk of their scoring.

    Kyrie Irving has been playing out of his mind lately and the Celtics have gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win and a bankroll-boosting 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall. While San Antonio has gone 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings, the road team in this Inter-Conference clash has gone 14-5-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings. Again, Boston is semi-desperate to start playing well and they’re the much deeper team in this contest.

    Predicted Score:
    Celtics 112 Spurs 106


    Utah Jazz (18-19) at Toronto Raptors (27-11)
    When: Tuesday, January 1, 2019 at 7:30 PM ET
    Where: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario

    Utah has won two of its last three games including an emphatic 129-97 blowout over the Knicks on Saturday. Toronto has also won two of its last three games including a 95-89 win over Chicago on Sunday night.

    For this Tuesday night matchup, I’m going to advise you to back Toronto to get the outright win by a half-dozen points. The Raptors average almost six points per game more than the Jazz while allowing just a bucket per game more defensively. Utah is an uninspiring 9-10 on the road this season while Toronto has gone an impressive 14-4 on their home floor. Toronto also spanked Utah 124-111 at home back on Nov. 5 – without superstar forward Kawhi Leonard on the floor that night.

    Utah is just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Toronto has gone a near-perfect 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings and I like them to improve on that mark by getting the win in this one.

    Predicted Score:
    Toronto 112 Utah 106


    Minnesota Timberwolves (17-19) at Boston Celtics (21-14)
    When: Wednesday, January 2, 2018 at 8:00 PM ET
    Where: TD Garden, Boston, MA

    Minnesota has won three of its last four games and heads into their Monday night matchup against New Orleans coming off a solid 113-104 win over Miami on Sunday. As I mentioned previously, Boston has won three of four heading into their Monday night matchup against San Antonio including their 112-103 win over Memphis on Saturday.

    While the Timberwolves have been playing solid basketball recently, I believe it’s mostly fool’s gold with Minnesota beating up on mediocre Chicago and Miami over their last three games.

    Minnesota is just 8-10 on the road this season while Boston has gone 11-5 at home. The Timberwolves have a pair of gifted scorers in Karl Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggins, but that’s about it as far as offensive firepower. Boston is the deeper team and they have the best coach in the league and that’s why they’ll take out underachieving Minnesota in this one.

    Predicted Score:
    Boston 114 Minnesota 105


    Oklahoma City Thunder (22-13) at Los Angeles Lakers (21-16)
    When: Wednesday, January 2, 2018 at 10:30 PM ET
    Where: Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA

    Oklahoma City has won five of their last 10 games, but fell to Dallas 105-103 on Sunday to fall to 1-3 over their last four games. Paul George scored a team-high 36 points, but Russell Westbrook was limited to a paltry nine points on a pitiful 4-of-22 shooting night.

    Los Angeles has won just four of their last 10 games, but the Lakers managed to snap a two-game skid by beating Sacramento 121-114 on Sunday night as Kentavious Caldwell-Pope scored a team-high 26 points off the bench and Josh Hart added 22 points and Brandon Ingram, 21 points.

    For this mid-week matchup, I’m going to advise you to back Oklahoma City to get the win for one huge reason. Russell Westbrook is definitely going to come out looking to dominate after his seriously sub-par performance the last time out. While Los Angeles has a slight edge in the scoring department, Oklahoma City is, by far, the better defensive team in this pairing and it’s not even close.
    The Thunder win this one by at least a half-dozen points.

    Predicted Score:
    Oklahoma City 117 LA Lakers 110

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