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Thread: Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/21

  1. #1
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    Default Friday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/21

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, December 21

    Good Luck on day #355 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    NFL trends for Week 16:

    — Green Bay is 1-7-1 vs spread in its last nine road games.

    — Saints covered 10 of their last 11 games.

    — New England is 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine divisional home games.

    — Chargers covered seven of their last ten games.

    — Giants covered their last six road games.

    — Chicago covered seven of its last eight games.


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

    13) How about this idea for the NCAA basketball tournament?

    Committee picks the 68 teams, sets the two playoff games, and seeds the top 32 teams, but then there is a nationally-televised draft, where teams can choose who they play in the first round, essentially filing out half the first-round matchups in real time on national TV.

    12) It would work this way; the play-in games are set by the committee so those eight teams can get started on preparation, but say Kansas is the #1 national seed- they can choose any of the four #16-seeds to play in the first round.

    The #2 and #3 seeds would then choose which 16-seed they wanted to play, the #4 seed would get the last remaining #16 seed, then they move on to the #2-15 matchups. The #5-seed would have first choice of the #15 seeds to play, and so on…….

    It would create some more drama and a little transparency- I think people would watch in on TV, for sure.

    11) Duquesne +5.5 or +6 Wednesday night was one of worst beats in recent memory; with game tied and 0:05.4 left. Duquesne was called for a foul under the basket- Duquesne coach Keith Dambrot (Lebron James’ high school coach) lost his mind at the call, was given two technical fouls and Penn State made all six foul shots.

    Duquesne threw away the inbounds pass and that was that; weird thing about Dambrot going nuts was that Dukes were 29-32 on foul line for the game, Penn State 17-26, so not like he was getting the short end of the stick the whole game.

    10) Patriots’ WR Josh Gordon is stepping away from football to focus on his mental health; he had been averaging 65 receiving yards a game.

    9) Houston Rockets made 26-55 3-pointers in their 136-118 win over the Wizards Wednesday, setting an NBA record for most made 3’s in a game; they only took 30 2-point shots (19-30). James Harden scored 35 points in 34:00 for Houston, which won its fifth straight game.

    8) Carolina Panthers are shutting QB Cam Newton (shoulder) down for the last two games; Carolina lost its last six games, Taylor Heinicke is the Panthers’ new QB; he’s thrown five NFL passes in mop-up duty in six games, five this year and one for Houston LY.

    Heinicke played college ball at Old Dominion; this is his first NFL start.

    Panthers have won six divisional titles in their 24-year history, but they’ve never had two winning seasons in a row.

    7) There were 66 touchdowns scored in Week 15’s NFL games, nine less TD’s than in any other week this season.

    In weeks 1-12 this season, NFL teams averaged 23.0 ppg.
    In weeks 13-15 this year, NFL teams averaged 19.7 ppg.

    6) New Jersey Giants’ combined record the last five years: 31-48, 0-1 in playoff games; they seem intent on moving forward with QB Eli Manning, who turns 38 on January 3rd.

    Manning helped the Giants win two Super Bowls, going on 4-0 playoff runs in both ’07 and ’11, but 2011 was seven years ago; he has a career playoff record of 8-4.

    Giants have had three head coaches the last four years, but never changed QB’s; interesting decision they have here; if I was them, I’d move on to a younger QB, but thats me— this will be interesting to follow next summer/fall.

    5) Favorites won the first seven bowl games this month, going 6-1 vs spread.

    4) Dallas Cowboys have scored TD’s only 47.6% of time when they had 1st-and-goal this year, the only NFL team with a %age under 50%.

    Giants (52.4%), 49ers (54.5%) have next worst marks. Carolina (88.5%), Denver (86.4%) have the best TD percentage on 1st-and-goal series.

    3) Newly-signed Mets’ catcher, the oft-injured Wilson Ramos gets a $500,000 bonus next season if he catches 100+ games. He’s caught 100+ games in three of nine MLB seasons.

    2) Angels gave Matt Harvey $14M, Trevor Cahill $9.5M to pitch for them next season.

    1) People on Twitter are crazy; someone was bashing Drew Brees the other day; now chances are the guy lost his fantasy league playoff game or lost his bet on the Saints or the over, but bashing Brees is pretty bleepin’ stupid- his team won that game and is 13-1. Grow up!!!

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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Friday, December 21


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    BUFFALO (20-10-0-5, 45 pts.) at WASHINGTON (20-10-0-3, 43 pts.) - 12/21/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 86-54 ATS (+161.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 22-7 ATS (+12.2 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 18-5 ATS (+10.4 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 50-29 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 100-67 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
    BUFFALO is 20-15 ATS (+37.2 Units) in all games this season.
    BUFFALO is 20-15 ATS (+37.2 Units) first half of the season this season.
    BUFFALO is 15-8 ATS (+24.6 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
    BUFFALO is 6-1 ATS (+7.1 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 6-1 (+4.9 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 6-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

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    OTTAWA (15-16-0-4, 34 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (11-14-0-7, 29 pts.) - 12/21/2018, 7:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OTTAWA is 5-2 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
    OTTAWA is 5-2-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

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    CHICAGO (11-19-0-6, 28 pts.) at COLORADO (19-10-0-6, 44 pts.) - 12/21/2018, 9:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLORADO is 5-4 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    COLORADO is 5-4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.3 Units)

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  4. #4
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    NHL

    Friday, December 21


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    Trend Report
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    Ottawa Senators
    Ottawa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 15 of Ottawa's last 23 games
    Ottawa is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Ottawa is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Ottawa's last 17 games on the road
    Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Jersey
    Ottawa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Jersey
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
    Ottawa is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
    New Jersey Devils
    New Jersey is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    New Jersey is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Jersey's last 13 games
    New Jersey is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
    New Jersey is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
    New Jersey is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Ottawa
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa

    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games
    Buffalo is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games
    Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Buffalo is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
    Buffalo is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
    Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Capitals
    Washington is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
    Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games
    Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
    Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
    Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo

    Chicago Blackhawks
    Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Chicago is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
    Chicago is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
    Chicago is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
    Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
    Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
    Chicago is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Chicago's last 19 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    Colorado Avalanche
    Colorado is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games
    Colorado is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
    Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Colorado's last 19 games when playing at home against Chicago


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-21-2018 at 01:02 PM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Friday, December 21



    Buffalo @ Washington

    Game 25-26
    December 21, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Buffalo
    8.852
    Washington
    11.906
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 3
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -170
    6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-170); Under

    Ottawa @ New Jersey


    Game 27-28
    December 21, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Ottawa
    9.229
    New Jersey
    10.123
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Jersey
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Jersey
    -165
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Jersey
    (-165); Under

    Chicago @ Colorado


    Game 29-30
    December 21, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago
    9.661
    Colorado
    12.200
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado
    by 2 1/2
    4
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado
    -240
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado
    (-240); Under

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    Locked and Loaded Leafs highlight this weekend's NHL betting predictions and picks
    Monty Andrews

    It could be a big weekend for the Toronto Maple Leafs – and for Over bettors, as well. The Leafs square off against a pair of bottom-10 defenses to highlight an entertaining stretch that includes the Chicago Blackhawks looking to reverse an ugly road trend, and two struggling defenses tangling in what should be a high-scoring affair at Madison Square Garden. Here are the key matchups, trends and tips to monitor heading into a busy weekend on the ice.

    Leafs Locked and Loaded

    The Toronto Maple Leafs' goal-scoring train is chugging at full strength again – and their next two games present great opportunities for even more offensive fireworks. Fresh off a 6-1 win over the Florida Panthers in their return from a five-game road trip, Toronto carries a 9-2 O/U record over its last 11 games into a pair of encounters Saturday against the New York Rangers and Sunday vs. the Detroit Red Wings. Both teams rank in the bottom-10 in the league in goals against per game and could struggle to contain a Toronto offense that has produced 13 goals over its previous two games.

    Sending Fans Home Happy

    Saturday afternoon presents a rare marquee matchup between the Nashville Predators and the Boston Bruins – and if the all-time head-to-head record is any indication, fans at TD Garden will be doing some celebrating. The teams have split their previous 18 meetings down the middle, with the home team going an absurd 15-3 SU over that stretch. The home side has won each of the past six encounters, most recently a 1-0 Nashville victory the last time these teams met back on Nov. 4 at Bridgestone Arena. Also, worth noting: six of the previous 10 head-to-head meetings have been decided by a goal.

    Blackhawks Don't Travel Well

    The Chicago Blackhawks are trying to turn around a dismal season – and they're on the right track as they prep for a Friday night matchup with the host Colorado Avalanche. Chicago's 5-2 drubbing of the host Dallas Stars on Thursday marked just the 10th win for the Blackhawks in their last 37 road games against teams with winning home records. But the odds of a repeat performance are not in Chicago's favor; it has lost 20 of its past 27 games on the tail end of a back-to-back, while the home team has won five of the previous six meetings between the Central Division rivals.

    Red Light Bonanza?

    The Rangers-Flyers rivalry has seen better times – but fans and bettors could be in for plenty of offense as the Metropolitan Division foes renew hostilities Sunday on Broadway. The teams entered Thursday ranked second and fourth, respectively, in most goals per game allowed so far in December, with the Flyers at 4.00 and the Rangers at 3.86. And while both teams are in the middle of the pack offensively for the month at 3.00 goals per game apiece, the winning team has scored four or more times in six of the previous seven meetings. The Flyers come in having won four straight against the Rangers.

    Goalie Profile

    Adin Hill, Arizona Coyotes: When the Coyotes lost netminder Antti Raanta to an injury that might keep him out for the remainder of the season, many thought their solid defensive prowess would take a hit. But the tandem of Darcy Kuemper and Hill have kept the Coyotes competitive in most games despite the team boasting the second-worst offense in the league. Hill has been one of the biggest surprises of the season so far. A third-round pick in 2015, the 22-year-old is 5-3-0 with a 1.97 goals-against average and a .927 save percentage, though he has hit a bit of a rough patch with three or more goals allowed in each of his past four starts.

    Injury Update

    Matt Dumba, Defenseman, Minnesota Wild: Things are getting dire in Minnesota, with the Wild having lost eight of 11 games heading into the weekend. And they'll be without the services of offensively gifted defenseman Matt Dumba, who is out indefinitely with what is being categorized as a "significant" upper-body injury. Dumba leads all blue-liners in goals with 12, and averages more than 23 minutes per game on the Minnesota blue line. The Wild are 10-6-2 SU in games in which Dumba records at least one point.

    Hat Trick Trends

    Games officiated by Ghislain Hebert have been a hot ticket so far this season. The over is 23-15 in the 38 games Hebert has worked in 2018-19, while producing an average of seven goals. Peter MacDougall is second among referees who have worked a minimum of 10 games, with his matchups generating an average of 6.77 goals en route to a 9-4 O/U mark.

    The over bonanza has ended, at least temporarily. Unders have outperformed overs by an ever-so-slim 25-24 margin over the previous seven days entering Thursday, though overs are still converting at a 53.6-percent clip over the previous 30 days. Teams have made good on the over 50.4 percent of the time since the start of the season.

    Underdog bettors have seen a bump in profit over the past week, with 'dogs and faves having each won 26 times over that span. But don't expect the good times to continue: Favorites have prevailed at a 63.6 percent rate over the previous month, and is at 57.8 percent for the campaign.
    Last edited by Udog; 12-21-2018 at 01:40 PM.

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