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Thread: Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/17

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/17

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, December 17

    Good Luck on day #351 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Top 6 picks for Week 15 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

    1) Indianapolis Colts -3 (999) W

    2) Tennessee Titans +2.5 (911) W

    3) Seattle Seahawks -4.5 (877) L

    4) New England Patriots -2.5 (865) L

    5) Green Bay Packers +6 (743) L

    6) Cleveland Browns +3 (701) W

    Season record: 46-41-3


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……

    Colts 23, Cowboys 0— Indy won for 7th time in its last eight games; Dallas had their five-game win streak snapped. Cowboys are 2-5 on road this season; they had ball twice in red zone, turned it over both times, and had a 47-yard FG blocked on their first drive of the game.

    Colts are tied with Ravens/Titans for #6 seed in AFC with two weeks left; they ran ball for 178 yards in this game. Andrew Luck has to be Comeback Player of the Year, yes?

    Vikings 41, Dolphins 17— Minnesota went right down field first three times they had ball, scoring on TD drives of 76-60-70 yards, then Cousins threw a pick-6 on 4th drive and things got a little dicey, but Vikings pulled away late.

    Vikings had nine sacks; Miami had 12 first downs and only 37 net passing yards. Yardage in this game was 418-193. Minnesota is 5-2 as a home favorite this year, 22-7 under Zimmer. Miami is 7-14 as road underdogs under Gase- they lost their last six road games.

    Bengals 30, Raiders 16— 1:00 games were lackluster Sunday; 14 of the 18 teams stayed under their team total for the game. Bengals out rushed Oakland 171-68; two of their three TD drives were less than 50 yards (45-21 yards)- they scored 30 points but gained only 294 yards.

    Bengals snapped a 5-game losing streak with this win; they won their home finale the last seven years. Oakland heads home for what is likely their last-ever game in Oakland next Sunday. Cincy QB Driskel gets his first NFL win as a starting QB. Over is 5-2 in Bengals’ last seven games.

    Ravens 20, Buccaneers 12— Lamar Jackson is now 4-1 as a starting QB; Ravens ran ball for 242 yards, running 27 more plays (74-47) than Tampa Bay on a rainy day in Maryland. Tampa Bay went for two after its first TD and failed, then never scored another TD all day.

    Buccaneers lost their last six road games; they’re 2-4-1 as road underdogs. Ravens are 5-2 SU at home- they’re tied with Colts/Titans for last playoff spot in AFC.

    Bills 14, Lions 13— Buffalo is 3-2 in its last five games; they scored winning TD with 10:26 left and now they’re now- their win total for season is 6.5, so they’d have to win in Foxboro next week to have a shot at going over and that ain’t happening. Buffalo actually ran out of running backs in this game; all their active RB’s got hurt.

    Detroit lost six of its last eight games; they scored 15.5 ppg the last four games. How is a team that pays its QB $28M a year this bad on offense? They have same offensive coaches they had last year; was Golden Tate that important a player for them? Seven of Lions’ last eight games stayed under the total.

    Bears 24, Packers 17— Just third win in last 17 series games for Chicago, as Bears clinch the NFC North for first time since 2010, going 7-1 at home for first time since ’05. Chicago is 10-0 this year when they allow less than 24 points. Chicago had a 10-yard edge in field position.

    Packers lost six of their last eight games- they’re 0-7 on road, 1-3-1 as road underdogs. Interesting to see with Packers eliminated, if Aaron Rodgers plays the last two games.

    Titans 17, Giants 0— Tennessee ran ball for 215 yards on a rainy, dismal day in Swamp Stadium. Titans have now won three games in row; this was only second loss in last six games for Giants.

    This was the Titans’ first shutout since a Christmas Day win over Dallas in 2000. Tennessee is tied for last playoff spot; those two 1-point losses back in October have to sting now. Titns are 8-6; this was only 4th time the season they led at halftime.

    Redskins 16, Jaguars 13— Josh Johnson’s last NFL start was December 4, 2011, a 38-19 loss for Tampa Bay against the Panthers. Seven years later, he gets his first win (1-5) as an NFL starter, and the Redskins are still alive in the playoff race.- they’re half-game behind Minnesota for the #6 seed. Washington is 7-0 when they allow 17 or fewer points, 0-7 when they allow more.

    Jacksonville had 20 net passing yards in this game, averaging 0.9 yards per attempt. Jaguars lost nine of their last ten games; they’ve scored one TD on their last 30 drives, and stayed under their team total in eight of last ten games. They should draft Kyler Murray.

    Falcons 40, Cardinals 7— Atlanta took out its frustrations on the Cardinals as they snapped a 5-game losing skid; Falcons ran ball for 215 yards, outgained Arizona 435-253 and were +3 in turnovers. Atlanta also scored a defensive TD in breaking its 5-game losing streak.

    Redbirds are 5-11 in last 16 games as road underdogs, 3-4 this year; they’ve lost by 10-33 points in their two games on artificial turf this season.

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    NHL

    Monday, December 17


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    Trend Report
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    Vegas Golden Knights
    Vegas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Vegas is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Vegas's last 11 games
    Vegas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 7 games on the road
    Columbus Blue Jackets
    Columbus is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    Columbus is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games
    Columbus is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Columbus is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games at home

    Anaheim Ducks
    Anaheim is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
    Anaheim is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games
    Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games on the road
    Anaheim is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Anaheim is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
    Pittsburgh Penguins
    Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
    Pittsburgh is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Pittsburgh is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
    Pittsburgh is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Anaheim
    Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim

    Boston Bruins
    Boston is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
    Boston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Boston's last 15 games on the road
    Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Montreal
    Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Montreal
    Montreal Canadiens
    Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games
    Montreal is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
    Montreal is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Boston
    Montreal is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

    Nashville Predators
    Nashville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Nashville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    Nashville is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Nashville is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games on the road
    Nashville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
    Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 7 games when playing Ottawa
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Nashville's last 9 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
    Ottawa Senators
    Ottawa is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    Ottawa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
    Ottawa is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Nashville
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games when playing Nashville
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Ottawa's last 9 games when playing at home against Nashville

    New York Islanders
    NY Islanders is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    NY Islanders is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Islanders's last 10 games
    NY Islanders is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    NY Islanders is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 7 games when playing Colorado
    NY Islanders is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
    Colorado Avalanche
    Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
    Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing NY Islanders
    Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-17-2018 at 01:10 PM.

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    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Monday, December 17


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    VEGAS (19-14-0-2, 40 pts.) at COLUMBUS (17-12-0-3, 37 pts.) - 12/17/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLUMBUS is 46-25 ATS (+14.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    COLUMBUS is 177-163 ATS (+379.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    VEGAS is 84-54 ATS (+16.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    VEGAS is 16-5 ATS (+9.6 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
    VEGAS is 45-27 ATS (+15.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    VEGAS is 44-28 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    VEGAS is 20-11 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    COLUMBUS is 8-14 ATS (-13.8 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLUMBUS is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against the spread versus VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    COLUMBUS is 1-1-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.0 Units)

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    ANAHEIM (18-11-0-5, 41 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (15-11-0-6, 36 pts.) - 12/17/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ANAHEIM is 255-201 ATS (+37.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
    ANAHEIM is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 15-17 ATS (-3.1 Units) in all games this season.
    PITTSBURGH is 15-17 ATS (-15.0 Units) first half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ANAHEIM is 2-2 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
    PITTSBURGH is 2-2-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

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    NASHVILLE (22-10-0-1, 45 pts.) at OTTAWA (14-16-0-4, 32 pts.) - 12/17/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NASHVILLE is 2-9 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    OTTAWA is 56-56 ATS (-2.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    NASHVILLE is 82-47 ATS (+16.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NASHVILLE is 18-5 ATS (+12.0 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
    NASHVILLE is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    OTTAWA is 107-89 ATS (-7.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
    OTTAWA is 103-113 ATS (-79.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
    OTTAWA is 56-60 ATS (-27.9 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NASHVILLE is 4-1 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    NASHVILLE is 4-1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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    BOSTON (17-12-0-4, 38 pts.) at MONTREAL (17-11-0-5, 39 pts.) - 12/17/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 48-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 8-3 ATS (+4.6 Units) after a division game this season.
    MONTREAL is 46-70 ATS (-36.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 7-24 ATS (+32.2 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 21-47 ATS (+75.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    MONTREAL is 15-39 ATS (-28.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 7-3 (+3.3 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 7-3-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.6 Units)

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    NY ISLANDERS (15-12-0-4, 34 pts.) at COLORADO (18-9-0-6, 42 pts.) - 12/17/2018, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLORADO is 64-58 ATS (+132.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    COLORADO is 23-12 ATS (+38.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
    COLORADO is 29-19 ATS (+54.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    COLORADO is 2-2 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
    COLORADO is 2-2-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  5. #5
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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Monday, December 17



    Vegas @ Columbus

    Game 51-52
    December 17, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Vegas
    10.704
    Columbus
    11.764
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Columbus
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Columbus
    -135
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Columbus
    (-135); Under

    Anaheim @ Pittsburgh


    Game 53-54
    December 17, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Anaheim
    9.444
    Pittsburgh
    12.814
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 3 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    -170
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (-170); Over

    Nashville @ Ottawa


    Game 55-56
    December 17, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Nashville
    11.226
    Ottawa
    9.833
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Nashville
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Nashville
    -185
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Nashville
    (-185); Over

    Boston @ Montreal


    Game 57-58
    December 17, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    9.999
    Montreal
    11.929
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Montreal
    by 2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Montreal
    -135
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Montreal
    (-135); Over

    NY Islanders @ Colorado


    Game 59-60
    December 17, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Islanders
    8.718
    Colorado
    12.457
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado
    by 3 1/2
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado
    -170
    6
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado
    (-170); Under

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    This week's NHL betting predictions and picks: Opposite trends collide in Preds-Sens game
    Monty Andrews

    The Nashville Predators have gone 7-0 to the Under in their last seven games against Atlantic Division opponents but face an Ottawa side that has been the best Over play in the NHL.

    Competing totals trends will go head-to-head in Ottawa on Monday, as the Nashville Predators look to continue their red-hot Under streak against the top Over play in the league. That game highlights a fun early-week schedule that includes the No. 1 team in the NHL looking to extend its hot streak in Vancouver, and two of this generation's greatest players resuming their rivalry in D.C. We cover these games and much more in our NHL betting cheat sheet with need-to-know betting notes, goalie profiles and injury news to help you crack the odds for the early-week action in the NHL.

    Total Opposites

    After a brief dalliance with low-scoring games, the Ottawa Senators are back to their early-season form as they host the Nashville Predators on Monday night. The Senators have seen an average of 6.5 goals scored in their last two games after racking up three consecutive Unders. Ottawa remains the best Over play in the NHL to this point in the season, rocking a 22-9-3 O/U mark. The Predators are 15-17-1 O/U for the season but have been a solid situational Under play, having gone below the number in seven straight games vs. Atlantic Division opponents.

    Cat Scratch Fever

    The Buffalo Sabres remain one of the most pleasant surprises of the season – but there's a tricky foe awaiting them this week as they host the Florida Panthers in a Tuesday night encounter. The Panthers come into this one having lost four consecutive road games but have dominated the Sabres in recent history, having won 20 of the past 26 meetings overall. That said, this is an entirely different Sabres team than in the past, one that enters Tuesday's showdown with wins in eight of its past 10 home games.

    TB's OK in B.C.

    The Tampa Bay Lightning have been difficult to beat this season – but the Vancouver Canucks found a winning recipe back in October and will look to duplicate that success Tuesday at Rogers Arena. The Canucks used four third-period goals to steal a 4-1 win over the Lightning on Oct. 12, and will go for the sweep against a Lightning team that has won five of its previous six visits to British Columbia. It's worth noting that these teams have combined for three or more third-period goals in four straight meetings, so look at the Over on the third-period total as a strong option.

    Crosby vs. Ovechkin

    Two of the greatest players of the 2000s will tangle Wednesday as Alex Ovechkin and the defending-champion Washington Capitals host Sidney Crosby and the Pittsburgh Penguins. You certainly couldn't go wrong taking either player to record a point in this one; Crosby has amassed 66 points in 47 career games against the Capitals, while Ovechkin – who leads the NHL with 29 goals – has 58 points, including 35 goals, in 54 games vs. Pittsburgh. Also worth mentioning: The winning team has scored seven or more goals in four of the last nine meetings.

    Goalie Profile: Sergei Bobrovsky, Columbus Blue Jackets

    The Blue Jackets have fallen back to the pack in the Metropolitan Division standings, and Bobrovsky is at least partly to blame. The normally dependable netminder has gone 2-3-1 with a 3.93 goals-against average in December – the second-highest mark among any player with at least five appearances. Bobrovsky is also sporting an .863 save percentage for the month, contributing to the Blue Jackets falling six points behind division-leading Washington. But despite the slump, the Blue Jackets are -145 favorites for Monday's game against visiting Vegas (+125).

    Injury Update

    More bad news for the Chicago Blackhawks, who have lost Corey Crawford to another concussion. Crawford is expected to miss time after San Jose's Evander Kane shoved Chicago forward Dylan Strome into him during the first period of the Sharks' 7-3 triumph. Crawford had been out since just before Christmas 2017 with a concussion before returning to action in mid-October. He has struggled mightily on the ice, going 6-14-2 with a 3.28 goals-against average and a .902 save percentage. The Blackhawks are 7-2 O/U in his previous nine appearances.

    Hat Trick Trends

    Things are looking up for the Capitals, who have fashioned a five-game winning streak coming into the week. Washington is now +1,200 to repeat as Stanley Cup champion, the sixth-best odds in the league.

    The Over play has taken over as the dominant totals option yet again. After starting the season strong, the Over is making a major comeback, having cashed better than 65 percent of the time over the previous seven days.

    Don't expect to see the Los Angeles Kings take a lead into the second period this week. The Kings have been ahead through the opening 20 minutes just three times in their first 34 games this season.

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