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Thread: Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/7

  1. #1
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    Default Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/7

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, December 7

    Good Luck on day #341 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Paul Goldschmidt’s % of knocking in a runner from 3rd base:

    2018: 17-70, 24.3%

    2017: 27-79, 36.5%

    2016: 33-95, 34.7%

    2015: 33-74, 44.6%

    2014: 29-46, 45.7%

    2013: 34-76, 44.7%

    2012: 25-69: 36.2%

    2011: 9-31, 29.0%


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Some college knowledge……..

    Request for college basketball fans: If you know of an impact transfer who is going to become eligible this month, please e-mail his name/school to me and we’ll post it for everyone’s benefit, because not every school’s semester ends at the same time.

    I have two right now:
    Butler- Tucker
    Western Kentucky- Bearden.

    These two teams will be helped because these kids can play now. Adds some depth and increases the talent level.

    For today, I’m looking at college basketball conferences so far this season:

    13) Big X:
    — Kansas (schedule #10)/Texas Tech (schedule #339) haven’t lost yet
    — Iowa State is 7-2 but has been missing four guys for various reasons; two of those guys came back two games ago. Cyclones’ bench minutes are #345, but depth is on the way.
    — West Virginia is 5-3, has very young guards, and I’m not sure how they get a lot better, unless those young guards suddenly become good young guards.
    — Texas is 5-3, losing at home to Radford/VCU. This is Shaka Smart’s 4th year at Texas- his teams at Texas have played tempo #306-212-316-194.

    When he was at VCU, Smart’s teams played tempo #69-156-173-91-22-70. Why the difference, other than pressing/trapping is hard unless your players are better athletes than your opponents.

    12) Big 14:
    — They’re playing 20 conference games now, so teams play two games in December.
    — Five teams started conference play 2-0; five started 0-2.
    — Illinois is 2-7, the only team under .500
    — Seven Big 14 teams are in KenPom.com‘s top 30
    — Nebraska, Northwestern are two most experienced teams in league.

    11) ACC:
    — Duke is #343 in experience, which is why college hoop handicapping has become so difficult, weighing talent against experience. I want Duke to play Nevada in March.
    — Virginia is only unbeaten team in the league.
    — Pitt was 7-1 before losing at home to Niagara; whoops- they start three freshmen.
    — Louisville is 6-2 vs schedule #86 in Chris Mack’s first season; great job so far.
    — ACC has eight teams in the top 32
    — Miami lost last four games, with three losses by 4 or fewer points.

    10) SEC:
    — Auburn/Tennessee are two highest-rated teams, a change from normal.
    — Kentucky is 7-1 vs schedule #319; they lost 118-84 to Duke- best team they’ve beaten is #71 NC-Greensboro.
    — South Carolina was in Final Four two years ago; they’re 21-20 since. Not good.
    — Texas A&M is 3-4 vs schedule #204; they’re experience team #274, Could be a down year.
    — Vanderbilt lost its star freshman PG Darius Garland for the season (knee)

    9) Big East:
    — St John’s is 8-0 vs schedule #322; how good are they?
    — Georgetown is 7-1 vs schedule #304; same question.
    — Only four Big East teams are listed in the top 50.
    — Creighton has made 45.8% of its 3’s (#2) so far this season.
    — If you were wondering, Indiana State (48.8%) is #1
    — Villanova is playing 5th-slowest tempo in country so far.

    8) Pac-12:
    — Only one team ranked in top 40 and Oregon is only 4-3.
    — USC is 0-3 vs top 70 teams; their five wins are vs teams ranked #198 or lower.
    — Washington is #1 in country in minutes continuity; they’re 6-3 with two top 10 losses (Auburn/Gonzaga).
    — UCLA is 6-2 vs schedule #229; they’re #351 in experience, with two key freshmen out for year with injuries. Best team they’ve beaten so far is #122 LMU.
    — Arizona State is 7-0 vs schedule #282, but they were 12-0 in pre-conference play LY, and wound up 20-12.

    7) AAC:
    — 4 of the slowest 15 tempos in America are teams in the AAC.
    — Temple is 7-2 vs schedule #155 in Fran Dunphy’s last season as head coach.
    — Central Florida is 6-2, with two losses by total of 3 points.
    — Wichita State is 4-3 vs schedule #112; they’re a total rebuild (#343 in MC).
    — Memphis is 4-4 vs schedule #54; Tigers start two freshmen, three seniors. Better beat the Tigers now; Penny Hardaway is going to dominate recruiting in Memphis, which will put them in the top 25 sooner rather than later.

    6) WCC:
    — #8-rated conference right now; they were 14th three years ago, #12 LY.
    — Gonzaga is to the WCC what UNLV was to the Big West 30 years ago; huge fish in a small pond that carries the league’s banner on national stage.
    — San Diego beat San Diego State, USF pounded Cal Wednesday; middle of pack in this league has improved a lot, but St Mary’s is a bit down.
    — LMU is playing pack-line defense like Virginia and it is working- they’re 9-1.
    — If BYU jumps into a league for football reasons, who replaces them in WCC? Hawai’i?

    5) Mountain West:
    — Nevada is 8-0 and starts five 5th-year seniors; will the coach be back next year?
    — Wolf Pack is only team in MW in top 60; its a one-bid league, unless someone beats Nevada in the conference tournament.
    — Fresno State is #17 experience team that is probably 2nd-best team in league; they’re 6-2 and start three seniors, two juniors.
    — Boise State is 2-5, with losses to Idaho State/Drake; could be a down year, after winning 20+ games the last six years.
    — UNLV is turning the ball over 24.4% of time and shooting 27.7% on the arc, which is why they’re 4-3 vs schedule #324- their first road game is Saturday at Illinois.

    4) Atlantic 14:
    — League was #10 LY and is #10 this year, their lowest ranks since 2007.
    — A-14 is down right now: #70 Davidson is their highest-rated team.
    — Saint Louis was touted this year, but they’re turning ball over 21.7% of time and making only 29.9% of their 3’s. Despite that, they’re 6-2 vs schedule #217.
    — VCU has had six coaches since 2002, and no losing records. Big fish, smallish pond, and no football to take resources away from basketball.
    — LaSalle changed coaches but change isn’t always positive; they’re 0-9 this season, with losses to Lafayette, Bucknell, Drexel, Grand Canyon- they wouldn’t be the best team in the freakin’ Patriot League.

    3) MAC:
    — Buffalo is legitimately good; they won at West Virginia, are #42 experience team.
    — Toledo is only other MAC team in top 100, so its likely another one-bid year.
    — Rockets are 8-1 and making 41.5% of their 3’s; they’re experience team #81.
    — You look at Kent State’s 7-1 record, then you look at schedule #343- no thanks.
    — Western Michigan is 4-4 vs schedule #314; they’re turning ball over 22.9% of time and making 29.5% of their 3’s, not a good combination.
    — Bowling Green has one winning season since 2010; their coach that year was fired because of an incident in a bar, where the coach was drunk and being a jerk. That coach is now at New Mexico State and his team is 7-1- some schools would’ve built the guy his own private bar.

    2) Missouri Valley;
    — Defections have crippled this league; Wichita State-Creighton were difference-makers.
    — Loyola-Chi is their only top 90 team, and they’ve lost three of last four games.
    — Evansville’s new coach is former NBA player Walter McCarty; Purple Aces are trying to play faster- they’ll be interesting to follow the next couple years.
    — Drake is experience team #116, but #304 in MC, so they’ve been cobbled together by transfers. Bulldogs are also on their third coach in three years, which doesn’t help, but they’re 5-1 so far this season.
    — Northern Iowa won 184 games from 2009-16, but they’re 33-37 the last 2+ seasons, so the coach’s seat has to be getting a little warm.

    1) Ivy:
    — Yale won at Miami, beat Cal, lost in OT at Memphis; their eFG% is #5 in country.
    — Harvard is 4-4 vs schedule #28, but they also lost at #274 Siena.
    — Columbia is 0-6 vs D-I teams, vs schedule #329. Could be a long winter.
    — Penn Quakers are 7-2, are experience team #63- they start two juniors, two seniors.
    — Cornell is #34 experience team, lost by only 8 at Syracuse- did Boeheim take it easy on the Big Red because his son plays for Cornell? (No, he didn’t)

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Friday, December 7


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    PHILADELPHIA (17 - 9) at DETROIT (13 - 9) - 12/7/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 113-86 ATS (+18.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 54-30 ATS (+21.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    DETROIT is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 117-163 ATS (-62.3 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 6-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 6-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    INDIANA (14 - 10) at ORLANDO (12 - 13) - 12/7/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ORLANDO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    INDIANA is 224-169 ATS (+38.1 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
    ORLANDO is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 6-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 7-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DENVER (17 - 7) at CHARLOTTE (11 - 13) - 12/7/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 178-224 ATS (-68.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHARLOTTE is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    CHARLOTTE is 3-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SACRAMENTO (12 - 11) at CLEVELAND (5 - 19) - 12/7/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SACRAMENTO is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 53-73 ATS (-27.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SACRAMENTO is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 2-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    TORONTO (21 - 5) at BROOKLYN (8 - 18) - 12/7/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
    TORONTO is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 5-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 8-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MEMPHIS (14 - 9) at NEW ORLEANS (13 - 13) - 12/7/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MEMPHIS is 170-126 ATS (+31.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    OKLAHOMA CITY (16 - 7) at CHICAGO (5 - 20) - 12/7/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 36-49 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    CHICAGO is 134-178 ATS (-61.8 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    LA LAKERS (15 - 9) at SAN ANTONIO (11 - 14) - 12/7/2018, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1058-932 ATS (+32.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 840-718 ATS (+50.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 346-287 ATS (+30.3 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 300-246 ATS (+29.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 5-5 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    MIAMI (9 - 14) at PHOENIX (4 - 20) - 12/7/2018, 9:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    GOLDEN STATE (17 - 9) at MILWAUKEE (16 - 7) - 12/7/2018, 9:35 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 3-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-07-2018 at 01:53 PM.

  4. #4
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Friday, December 7



    Philadelphia @ Detroit

    Game 501-502
    December 7, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    120.598
    Detroit
    116.782
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 4
    211
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 2
    219 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (-2); Under

    Indiana @ Orlando


    Game 503-504
    December 7, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indiana
    112.547
    Orlando
    124.096
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Orlando
    by 11 1/2
    210
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Orlando
    by 2
    206 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Orlando
    (-2); Over

    Denver @ Charlotte


    Game 505-506
    December 7, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Denver
    119.968
    Charlotte
    120.748
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Charlotte
    by 1
    224
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 1 1/2
    218
    Dunkel Pick:
    Charlotte
    (+1 1/2); Over

    Sacramento @ Cleveland


    Game 507-508
    December 7, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Sacramento
    110.080
    Cleveland
    115.270
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 5
    231
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Sacramento
    by 3 1/2
    221 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (+3 1/2); Over

    Toronto @ Brooklyn


    Game 509-510
    December 7, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Toronto
    124.608
    Brooklyn
    112.615
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 12
    227
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 9
    221
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-9); Over

    Memphis @ New Orleans


    Game 511-512
    December 7, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    115.331
    New Orleans
    127.081
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 12
    234
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 4 1/2
    217
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (-4 1/2); Over

    Oklahoma City @ Chicago


    Game 513-514
    December 7, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oklahoma City
    125.310
    Chicago
    108.749
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 16 1/2
    208
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 8 1/2
    216 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oklahoma City
    (-8 1/2); Under

    LA Lakers @ San Antonio


    Game 515-516
    December 7, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Lakers
    113.966
    San Antonio
    117.528
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Antonio
    by 3 1/2
    233
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    San Antonio
    by 1
    226
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Antonio
    (-1); Over

    Miami @ Phoenix


    Game 517-518
    December 7, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    117.504
    Phoenix
    101.744
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami
    by 16
    211
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami
    by 6 1/2
    No Total
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (-6 1/2); N/A

    Golden State @ Milwaukee


    Game 519-520
    December 7, 2018 @ 9:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Golden State
    120.973
    Milwaukee
    124.693
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 3 1/2
    233
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 1
    240
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (-1); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-07-2018 at 01:54 PM.

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    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Friday, December 7


    Philly won eight of its last ten games; they’re 0-4 as AF this season. Sixers’ last four games stayed under. Pistons lost last two games by 27-23 points; they won six of last seven home games SU. Detroit’s last four games stayed under. 76ers won five of last six games with Detroit; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the Motor City. Six of last nine series stayed under.

    Indiana is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Pacers’ last four games stayed under. Magic is 3-5 in their last eight games; they’re 6-7 SU at home, 1-2 as HF. Three of their last four home games went over. Pacers won their last seven games with Orlando (6-1 vs spread); they covered their last five trips to the Magic Kingdom. Three of last four series games went over.

    Nuggets won/covered their last seven games; they won their last five road games. Six of their last eight games stayed under the total. Charlotte lost its last three games; they’re 8-5 SU at home. Three of their last four home games stayed under. Hornets won seven of last ten games with Denver (under 8-2); Nuggets are 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits to Charlotte.

    Sacramento is 4-3 in its last seven games (5-2 vs spread); they covered six of last nine road games. Eight of their last nine games went over. Cleveland lost five of its last six games; they’re 5-7 vs spread at home. Four of their last six games stayed under. Cavaliers won five of last seven games with Sacramento, but Kings covered last three; four of last six series games went over. Kings are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Cleveland.

    Raptors won nine of their last ten games; they’re 4-4-1 as AF. Toronto’s last three games stayed under the total. Brooklyn lost its last eight games (2-6 vs spread); they’re 2-5 in last seven games as HU. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 home games. Toronto won its last 10 games with the Nets (6-4 vs spread); they covered four of their last five visits to Brooklyn. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

    Grizzlies lost four of their last six games; they’re 5-4 vs spread as AU this season. Three of their last four road games went over. Pelicans lost six of their last nine games; they’re 6-6 as HF. Over is 6-1 in their last seven home games. Home side won last five Memphis-New Orleans games; four of last six series games went under. Grizzlies are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Bourbon Street.

    Oklahoma City won 16 of its last 19 games; they’re 3-2 vs spread as AF this season. Five of their last seven games stayed under the total. Chicago lost its last seven games (3-4 vs spread); they’re 5-4 as HU. Under is 7-2 in their last nine home games. Thunder/Bulls split their last eight games; OKC is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits to Chicago. Five of last six series games stayed under.

    Lakers won/covered their last four games; they won four of last six road games SU. Under is 14-3 in their last 17 games. San Antonio lost four of its last five games; they’re 5-4 as HF. Over is 11-2 in Spurs’ last 13 games. Lakers won five of last seven games with the Spurs; they beat ‘em by 8 in Staples Center couple nights ago. Four of last five series games went over. LA is 2-2 vs spread in its last four trips to the Alamo.

    Heat split its last six games (4-2 vs spread); they’re 4-6 SU on road. Seven of their last nine games stayed under the total. Suns lost their last seven games (0-7 vs spread); they’re 0-4 vs spread in last four home games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Miami won/covered nine of last ten games with Phoenix; Heat covered four of their last five visits to the desert. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games.

    Warriors won five of last seven games; they’re 2-6 SU in last eight road tilts, 1-2 as AU this year. Six of their last seven games went over. Milwaukee is 1-7 vs spread in game following its last eight wins; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight home games. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Bucks won last two games with Golden State, after losing seven of previous eight; Warriors are 2-2 vs spread in their last four visits to Milwaukee. Four of last six series games went over.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-07-2018 at 01:55 PM.

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    NBA

    Friday, December 7


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    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Denver Nuggets
    Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games
    Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 10 games on the road
    Denver is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Charlotte
    Denver is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver's last 10 games when playing Charlotte
    Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Charlotte is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    Charlotte is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Denver
    Charlotte is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 10 games when playing Denver
    Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
    Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

    Indiana Pacers
    Indiana is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
    Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Indiana is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Orlando
    Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Orlando
    Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
    Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
    Orlando Magic
    Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Orlando is 2-13 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Indiana
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing Indiana
    Orlando is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
    Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Philadelphia's last 19 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
    Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Detroit
    Philadelphia is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Philadelphia is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
    Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
    Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    Detroit is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    Detroit is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

    Sacramento Kings
    Sacramento is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Sacramento's last 9 games
    Sacramento is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Sacramento is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
    Sacramento is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
    Sacramento is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Cleveland's last 17 games
    Cleveland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Sacramento
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
    Cleveland is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Sacramento
    Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Toronto is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
    Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    Brooklyn is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
    Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
    Brooklyn is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
    Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games
    Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
    Oklahoma City is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 12 games on the road
    Oklahoma City is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing Chicago
    Oklahoma City is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Oklahoma City is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago Bulls
    Chicago is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
    Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Chicago's last 18 games
    Chicago is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Chicago is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
    Chicago is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Memphis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    Memphis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Memphis is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games on the road
    Memphis is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
    Memphis is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing New Orleans
    Memphis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
    Memphis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    Memphis is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    Memphis is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 12 games
    New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Memphis
    New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
    New Orleans is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Memphis
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Memphis
    New Orleans is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Memphis
    New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis
    New Orleans is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Memphis
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Philadelphia's last 19 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
    Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Detroit
    Philadelphia is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Philadelphia is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
    Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
    Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    Detroit is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    Detroit is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

    Los Angeles Lakers
    LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Lakers's last 9 games
    LA Lakers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games on the road
    LA Lakers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
    LA Lakers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
    LA Lakers is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
    LA Lakers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    San Antonio is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games
    San Antonio is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games at home
    San Antonio is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games at home
    San Antonio is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
    San Antonio is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing LA Lakers
    San Antonio is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
    San Antonio is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
    San Antonio is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

    Miami Heat
    Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Miami is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games
    Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Miami is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
    Miami is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Phoenix
    Miami is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Phoenix
    Miami is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Miami is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
    Phoenix Suns
    Phoenix is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
    Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games
    Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Phoenix is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
    Phoenix is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Miami
    Phoenix is 1-15 SU in its last 16 games when playing Miami
    Phoenix is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Miami
    Phoenix is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing at home against Miami

    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games
    Golden State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games
    Golden State is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State's last 11 games on the road
    Golden State is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Milwaukee
    Golden State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
    Golden State is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Golden State is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Milwaukee is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
    The total has gone OVER in 16 of Milwaukee's last 24 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
    Milwaukee is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games at home
    Milwaukee is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 17 of Milwaukee's last 24 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games at home
    Milwaukee is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Golden State
    Milwaukee is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Golden State
    Milwaukee is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Golden State
    Milwaukee is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Golden State
    Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-07-2018 at 01:56 PM.

  7. #7
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    Friday's Essentials
    Tony Mejia

    Game of the Night - Golden State at Milwaukee (PK'em, 240), ESPN, 9:35 ET

    The Warriors still won’t have Draymond Green, so we’re not going to get a chance to see MVP candidate Giannis Antetokounmpo deal with the best team in basketball’s top defender. That doesn’t mean Golden State doesn’t want this game against the Bucks (16-7 SU, 12-11 ATS) more badly than it has wanted to win any individual contest it has suited up for in this young season.

    Head coach Steve Kerr won’t have to say much as his two-time defending champions take the floor for the first time ever at Milwaukee’s Fiserv Forum, the franchise’s new downtown arena. Although the Warriors (17-9 SU, 12-14 ATS) opened a season-long five-game road trip in Toronto against the team with the NBA’s best record, Stephen Curry was held out for an extra few days of rest. That potential Finals preview will take place in Oakland next Wednesday and will likely include Green, who is nearing closer to a return from a toe injury. DeMarcus Cousins is practicing too and may make an appearance before Christmas, which would definitely be much earlier than I expected we’d see him make his Warriors debut.

    Golden State’s team is in flux but that doesn’t mean Friday night’s clash with the Bucks isn’t personal. The final leg of the road trip is the one that the group has been pointing toward, a task made easier by the fact their old friends the Cavs are in shambles.

    It’s probably killing Green not to play since regular-season games like tonight’s don’t come around often when you’ve won three titles in four years and already own the single-season wins record. However, most opponents don’t come into Oakland and figuratively throw their feet on the furniture while tagging up the walls and desecrating the locker room.

    The Bucks handed the Warriors their first home loss in their final season at Oracle Arena.

    Milwaukee now owns consecutive victories there after posting a 134-111 rout of the Warriors on Nov. 8 snapped their eight-game winning streak. The Bucks hung a 41-point third quarter on the champs, dominating the start of the second half the way Golden State typically does. Stephen Curry left with an adductor strain that would cost him weeks. Kerr said his team came out with “mindless intent,” hurting themselves with foul trouble. They were out-rebounded 46-38. The 134 points Golden State surrendered were the most the team has given up since Game 4 of the 2017 Finals.

    The Bucks had lost eight of nine against the Warriors from Jan. 2014-18 before beating them last March and this time last month and will be looking to become the second Eastern Conference team to sweep Golden State since 2014, following Indiana’s lead from last season. The Central Division leaders bounced back form a 136-134 upset loss to the Knicks over the weekend by absolutely crushing second-place Detroit 115-92 on Wednesday, but the real news out of that one is that shooting guard Khris Middleton was apparently benched.

    Middleton is having a fantastic season that will put him in the conversation for a spot as an All-Star reserve, averaging 18.5 points, 5.5 rebounds and 4 assists. He knocked down a game-winner to help close out November with a win over the Bulls but was benched due to a lack of effort and played just 19 minutes in the loss to New York.

    After a film session where Budenholzer pointed out why Middleton was banished to the pine in favor of Sterling Brown, the two had reportedly cleared the air per Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel beat writer Matt Velazquez, but Middleton sat out the Pistons win due to “personal reasons.” He’s not listed on Friday’s injury report and will presumably participate.

    Point guard Eric Bledsoe has been fantastic of late and has replaced Middleton as Antetokounmpo’s primary tag-team partner of late, so his matchup with Curry will be worth watching. Bledsoe led the Bucks with 26 points and six assists, while “Greek Freak” added 24 points. Middleton was a game-high plus-33 in that game and is invaluable in that he can defend Curry and Klay Thompson while serving as a viable threat on the other end more effectively than Malcolm Brogdon and Tony Snell. It’s important Milwaukee gets him right.

    Even with Green sitting, Golden State should be in much better shape for this rematch than it was for the first meeting since Andre Iguodala has been a fixture in the lineup and was only just returning to the fold this time last month. Shaun Livingston was out with a sore foot and is also back contributing, providing stability for the second unit. Center Damian Jones (shoulder) is expected to remain sidelined, so look for Jonas Jerebko and Kevon Looney to remain in the starting lineup and Jarrett Bell to continue as the primary big man off the bench.

    Milwaukee has rookie Dante DiVincenzo back after an injury and should have Middleton in the mix, but forward Ersan Ilyasova has been nursing a concussion, missing four of the last five. He’s questionable. Center John Henson has been out since mid-November due to wrist surgery, so the Bucks’ frontcourt depth is limited. We could very well see a lot of small ball here, but the total of 240 is certainly taking that into account. The first meeting produced the highest number of the season for Milwaukee, closing at 242. It’s Golden State’s second-largest total to date. The ‘over’ is 2-1 in Warriors games that close over 240.

    Six of Milwaukee’s last nine games have gone ‘under.’ Six of the Warriors’ last seven have gone ‘over.’ Curry is averaging 33.0 points since returning from his groin injury, shooting 18-for-33 from 3-point range.

    Best of the Rest

    Philadelphia (-2.5/219) at Detroit, 7:05 p.m. ET:
    The Pistons will look to turn around a brutal run that has seen their strong start short-circuit in lopsided losses to Oklahoma City and Milwaukee by a combined margin of 50 points. This will be the first of two games in four nights for Detroit against Philadelphia, so the potential is there for some bad blood to develop between these potential Eastern Conference playoff rivals since most of the guys up front are alphas who thrive on running their mouths. The teams have already split a pair of contentious meetings this season. Andre Drummond landed in foul trouble in the most recent meeting on Nov. 3, playing just 21 minutes. He shot 6-for-20 in an Oct. 23 home win at Little Caesar’s Arena in which Blake Griffin scored 50 points in 133-132 OT win.

    Joel Embiid comes off an awful effort in Wednesday night’s loss to Toronto and has surmised his recent form has been “trash,” so he’ll be looking to rebound and has averaged 36 points and 14 boards in the two games against the Pistons thus far. This will be Detroit’s first look at Jimmy Butler-infused Philly, so we’ll see how Griffin handles another active defender he’ll have to deal with. Starting shooting guard Rodney Bullock and backup point guard Ish Smith are considered doubtful, so Langston Galloway, Luke Kennard and veteran Jose Calderon are likely to play larger roles and starter Reggie Jackson should get a longer leash.

    Indiana at Orlando (-2/206.5), 7:05 p.m. ET:
    Pacers-Magic games got spicier last season given the presence of Frank Vogel on Orlando’s sideline and the emergence of former draft picks Victor Oladipo and Domantas Sabonis in Indiana, so it’s disappointing that this first meeting of the season will only feature one of them. Vogel reportedly turned down an assistant’s job in Houston and Oladipo is still on the mend with a sore knee, so only Sabonis’ improvement ties these teams together tonight. Both are playing reasonably well, although Indiana is relying on Darren Collison, Cory Joseph and Tyreke Evans to adequately replace Oladipo’s magic and have gotten spotty results. The Magic have seen Aaron Gordon return from injury to have a big week so far, while Nikola Vucevic and Evan Fournier have continued to produce offensively. Orlando has been vulnerable at home, winning just six of 13, while Indiana Is 7-6 on the road.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-07-2018 at 01:56 PM.

  8. #8
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    By: Monique Vág



    Dominating the glass

    The Hornets have been one of the worst teams in the Association defending the opposing center position surrendering an average of 24.6 points on 53.6 percent shooting, and 16.5 rebounds a game. This is a great spot for one of the league's best centers as Denver's Nikola Jokic comes to town. Jokic is scoring double figures in all but six games, and contributing an average of 16.5 points, 7.8 assists and 9.6 rebounds. Take Over his points, rebounds and assists total today of 36.5


    Forcing outside shooting

    The Pacers are the top ranked team in the Association in opponent points in the paint per game allowing only 41.5 with that number substantially lower at home at 36.5. Along with defending inside well, the Pacers have been able to limit opposing centers’ all season allowing an average of 19.3 points per game, and only 2.8 assists a game.

    This could be a tough matchup for Orlando's Nikola Vucevic who might struggle scoring inside. In what projects to be a low scoring game, take Under his points, rebounds and assists total of 35.5.


    Winning ten straight in the head-to-head

    The Raptors have won nine of their last 10 games overall and find themselves in a matchup they have historically dominated versus the Nets. In the head-to-head, the Raptors have won the last 10 straight meetings by an average score of 114.3-103.

    The Nets have not been able to close games out late allowing for 54.8 second half points per game. They have blown eight double digit leads, and five fourth quarter meltdowns at home since November 13th.

    Toronto enters today ranked fifth in the Association in second half points per game with 56.8 and should be able to pull away late. Take the Raptors to cover as 9-point favorites.


    Far too familiar foes

    This is the fourth meeting the Lakers and Spurs already this season, and the second in two days. The Spurs had won with first two and looked to have the third locked up when the Spurs let the game slip away late as Lebron James dominated the fourth quarter scoring 14 points in the final four and a half minutes to rally for a 121-113 victory.

    The Spurs have posted a 18-7 record over their last 25 games when playing Los Angeles and have won five of their most recent seven home meetings. The Spurs have always played their best ball at home, and today should be no different. Back San Antonio on the money line as small home favorites in what looks like it will close as a Pick.


    Expect offensive fireworks

    There is no surprise why the Warriors versus Bucks have the highest total on the card by over 15 points as the league's top offenses meet up. The Bucks enter today averaging 121.1 points per contest, and the Warriors are scoring 116.8, with that number three points higher since Curry's return.

    Milwaukee's Khris Middleton missed Wednesday's game due to personal reasons but is not listed on the injury report. Although he has been quiet recently, he is still averaging 18.5 points, 4.0 assists and 5.5 rebounds per contest. Look into taking Over his points, rebounds and assists total of 25.5.

  9. #9
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    Hoop Trends - Friday
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Pistons are 13-0 ATS (+9.96 ppg) with rest off a double-digit road loss when they are facing a team that is averaging less than ten offensive rebounds per game and it is before the All-Star break.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Warriors are 0-14 ATS (-10.00 ppg) when the line is within three of pick with less than two days rest and they are facing a team that is averaging less than ten offensive rebounds per game.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Bucks are 12-0 OU (+13.00 ppg) at home when they won two straight vs their opponent.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Magic are 0-16 OU (-13.47 ppg) at home with less than two days rest when they are facing a team that is averaging less than 20 fouls per game and it is before the All-Star break.

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