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Thread: Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/6

  1. #1
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    Default Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/6

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, December 6

    Good Luck on day #340 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    XFL is going to be a spring football league that starts in 2020 in these cities:

    — Dallas (Globe Life Park)

    — Houston (TDECU Stadium)

    — Carson, CA (where the Chargers play now)

    — New Jersey (Met Life Stadium)

    — Seattle (Century Link Field)

    — St Louis (Edward Jones Dome)

    — Tampa (Raymond James Stadium)

    — Washington DC (Audi Field)


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

    13) Arizona Diamondbacks traded their star 1B Paul Goldschmidt to the Cardinals Wednesday for P Luke Weaver, C Carson Kelly, a minor-leaguer and a draft pick.

    12) Denver Broncos’ WR Emmanuel Sanders tore his achilles in practice Wednesday, and is obviously out for the season. Sanders caught 71 balls for 898 yards this season.

    Within two hours of Sanders going down, Denver scooped up WR Andre Holmes off waivers from Buffalo. Holmes had previously played for OC Bill Musgrave in Oakland.

    11) There are 130 I-A college football teams; 10 of them are now coached by guys who were at one time, assistant coaches at Alabama under Nick Saban. Colorado hired Mel Tucker this week, the latest former Saban aide to get his own program to run.

    10) AAF is a spring football that starts in a couple months; they have eight teams and some big name coaches.

    XFL is another spring football league that will start in 2020 and won’t be like the goofy XFL that played in 2001, for one year only. Vince McMahon still owns the XFL; they’ll have eight teams, Oliver Luck is the commissioner- they’re going to pay their QB’s around $250,000 a year.

    9) San Antonio Spurs are only the 5th team in NBA history to lose three games by 30+ points within a week and they’re the first since the 2005-06 Trail Blazers.

    8) Adam Ottavino is a relief pitcher for the Colorado Rockies; he was on MLB Network the other day and he was saying how his father is a character actor in Hollywood who has been seen on Law and Order, NYPD Blue and in the movie Presumed Innocent, among others.

    7) Washington Redskins signed QB Josh Johnson to back up Mark Sanchez; Johnson was the 5th-round draft pick by Tampa Bay in ’08- he’s played in parts of 29 NFL games, is 0-5 as an NFL starter. He hasn’t appeared in an NFL game since ’14- he hasn’t thrown a pass since ’11.

    Johnson played his college ball at the U of San Diego (not San Diego State) where his coach was current Michigan coach Jim Harbaugh.

    6) When Notre Dame basketball player Rex Pflueger was in junior high, he was the QB of his 7th grade football team; one of his teammates was Sam Darnold, who is now obviously a QB in the NFL the first-round pick of the Jets last spring.

    5) Fresno State is favored over Arizona State in the Las Vegas Bowl; it is only the 11th time in last 80 meetings between the two leagues that the Mountain West team is favored over a Pac-12 opponent.

    4) Georgia State 83, Alabama 80— This game happened Tuesday night, when the Crimson Tide led by 21 at halftime and then lost. Georgia State had lost their previous game to Liberty by 26, so this was a terrible loss for Alabama.

    3) Miami, FL was picked to finish in the middle of the pack in ACC basketball this winter, but they’ve now lost four games in a row, the last two to Ivy League teams, so it could be a long winter for the Hurricanes.

    2) ACC football teams are 2-5 vs SEC opponents this year, 0-7 vs spread.

    1) One of three.soldiers killed by an IED explosion last week in Afghanistan.was a man named Drew Ross, who was the son of former Georgia Tech/Chargers’ coach Bobby Ross. and was in his second tour of duty overseas. RIP to all three people who passed away; very sad thing.

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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Thursday, December 6



    Maryland @ Purdue

    Game 707-708
    December 6, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Maryland
    68.799
    Purdue
    71.609
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Purdue
    by 3
    143
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Purdue
    by 7
    149 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Maryland
    (+7); Under

    Charlotte @ Wake Forest


    Game 709-710
    December 6, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Charlotte
    46.377
    Wake Forest
    51.208
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Wake Forest
    by 5
    149
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Wake Forest
    by 11 1/2
    135
    Dunkel Pick:
    Charlotte
    (+11 1/2); Over

    Drake @ WI-Milwaukee


    Game 711-712
    December 6, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Drake
    53.298
    WI-Milwaukee
    50.743
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Drake
    by 2 1/2
    145
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Drake
    by 1
    149
    Dunkel Pick:
    Drake
    (-1); Under

    Iowa State @ Iowa


    Game 713-714
    December 6, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Iowa State
    70.543
    Iowa
    62.522
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Iowa State
    by 8
    153
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Iowa State
    by 1
    148
    Dunkel Pick:
    Iowa State
    (-1); Over

    Pepperdine @ Cal Riverside


    Game 715-716
    December 6, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pepperdine
    46.258
    Cal Riverside
    46.824
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cal Riverside
    by 1
    137
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pepperdine
    by 7 1/2
    147
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cal Riverside
    (+7 1/2); Under

    Oakland @ Fairfield


    Game 717-718
    December 6, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oakland
    46.532
    Fairfield
    47.065
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Fairfield
    by 1
    144
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Fairfield
    by 3 1/2
    148
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oakland
    (+3 1/2); Under
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-06-2018 at 12:49 PM.

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    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, December 6


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MARYLAND (7 - 1) at PURDUE (5 - 3) - 12/6/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PURDUE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
    PURDUE is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PURDUE is 1-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
    PURDUE is 3-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CHARLOTTE (2 - 4) at WAKE FOREST (4 - 3) - 12/6/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHARLOTTE is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
    WAKE FOREST is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    WAKE FOREST is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    WAKE FOREST is 36-59 ATS (-28.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    WAKE FOREST is 2-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DRAKE (5 - 1) at WI-MILWAUKEE (2 - 6) - 12/6/2018, 8:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    IOWA ST (7 - 1) at IOWA (6 - 2) - 12/6/2018, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    IOWA ST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
    IOWA ST is 256-201 ATS (+34.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
    IOWA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    IOWA is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
    IOWA is 1-1 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PEPPERDINE (5 - 3) at UC-RIVERSIDE (2 - 7) - 12/6/2018, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PEPPERDINE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PEPPERDINE is 1-0 against the spread versus UC-RIVERSIDE over the last 3 seasons
    PEPPERDINE is 1-0 straight up against UC-RIVERSIDE over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OAKLAND (4 - 5) at FAIRFIELD (2 - 6) - 12/6/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OAKLAND is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    FAIRFIELD is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-06-2018 at 12:51 PM.

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    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, December 6


    Purdue won its last four games with Maryland, all by 8 or fewer points; Terrapins lost last two visits here, 83-79/75-67. Boilermakers lost three of last four games after a 4-0 start; all three losses were against top 20 teams- they’ve played schedule #19. Purdue is experience team #198 that is making 38.6% on arc, and they take lot of 3’s. Maryland is 7-1 vs schedule #288; they’re experience team #350 (4th-least in country). Terps’ only loss was 76-71 at home to Virginia. Maryland is getting lot of good shots; they’re making 60.1% of their shots inside the arc.

    Wake Forest beat Charlotte last two years by 23-17 points; 49ers are experience team #336 that is 2-4 vs schedule #241- they lost both road games, by 20 at Davidson, 8 at Charleston- their best win was 66-64 at home over Oklahoma State- they were down 24 at one point. Wake Forest is 4-3 vs schedule #314; Deacons are experience team #332 that lost at home to #274 Houston Baptist- Wake’s best win was #137 Cal State-Fullerton. Deacons are doing good job at getting to foul line and are making 39.1% of their 3’s, but they don’t take that many of them.

    Drake has its third coach in three years; Bulldogs are 4-1 vs schedule #174, with only loss by 29 at #58 Colorado. Drake is experience team #116 (#340 in MC) that scored 83-95 points in last two games; Bulldogs start three seniors and a junior- they made 12-23 on arc in their last game. Milwaukee is 2-6 vs schedule #177, losing last two games by 19-15 points; Panthers’ only two wins are against teams that are ranked outside top 200. Milwaukee is in bottom 10 in country in forcing turnovers; they’re making only 30.7% on arc, they’re on 3rd coach in four years.

    Iowa State won four of last five games with Iowa; teams split last four meetings in Iowa City. Cyclones are 7-1 vs schedule #239- they got two of the four guys who were out back for last game- their bench has played #345 minutes so far. State split two top 100 games on Maui, losing to Arizona by 5, beating San Diego St by 30- their defensive eFG% is #29. Iowa lost couple of Big 14 games in last week, by 6-22 points; Hawkeyes are #247 experience team (#31 in MC); they were 12-46 in arc in last two games. Iowa’s best two wins are over Oregon, UConn.

    Pepperdine is 4-3 vs schedule #317; Waves are experience team #302 that lost at home to #322 Northridge Monday- both teams in this game have a new coach. Pepperdine starts a freshman, two sophomores; they’re forcing turnovers 22.3% of time, making 38.7% on arc while playing tempo #17. Riverside is 1-7 vs schedule #142, losing its last three games, by 12-10-9 points; Highlanders are experience team #330 that is turning ball over 21.3% of time while playing tempo #325. Big West teams are 7-3-1 vs spread this year when playing WCC teams.

    Oakland is 2-5 vs schedule #240, losing last two games by 20-10 points; Grizzlies are experience team #196 (MC #346) whose defensive eFG% is #337. Oakland usually plays fast, but so far this year, they’re playing tempo #313 while starting three juniors and a freshman. Fairfield is 2-6 vs schedule #271; Stags are experience team #303 that is shooting only 45.9% inside arc- their defensive eFG% is #289. Fairfield is 1-4 vs teams ranked outside top 200, which isn’t good. Stags lost their two home games, to LIU/Wagner, by combined total of eight points.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-06-2018 at 12:51 PM.

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    NCAAB

    Thursday, December 6


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Bob Jones University @ Gardner-Webb
    Bob Jones University
    No trends to report
    Gardner-Webb
    No trends to report

    Charlotte @ Wake Forest
    Charlotte
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games on the road
    Wake Forest
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Wake Forest's last 8 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Wake Forest's last 16 games

    Oakland @ Fairfield
    Oakland
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
    Oakland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Fairfield
    Fairfield is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Fairfield's last 11 games at home

    Warren Wilson @ Tennessee Tech
    Warren Wilson
    No trends to report
    Tennessee Tech
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tennessee Tech's last 10 games at home
    Tennessee Tech is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home

    Maryland @ Purdue
    Maryland
    Maryland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    Maryland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Purdue
    Purdue is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games

    Indiana-Kokomo @ IUPUI
    Indiana-Kokomo
    No trends to report
    IUPUI
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of IUPUI's last 6 games
    IUPUI is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Kentucky Christian @ Wofford
    Kentucky Christian
    No trends to report
    Wofford
    Wofford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Wofford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

    Fort Valley State @ Florida A&M
    Fort Valley State
    No trends to report
    Florida A&M
    No trends to report

    Voorhees @ South Carolina State
    Voorhees
    No trends to report
    South Carolina State
    No trends to report

    Drake @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee
    Drake
    Drake is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Drake is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Wisconsin-Milwaukee
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin-Milwaukee's last 6 games
    Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

    Iowa State @ Iowa
    Iowa State
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Iowa State's last 10 games when playing Iowa
    Iowa
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Iowa's last 10 games when playing Iowa State
    Iowa is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

    Oral Roberts @ Missouri State
    Oral Roberts
    No trends to report
    Missouri State
    Missouri State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Missouri State's last 5 games

    Trinity Christian @ Chicago State
    Trinity Christian
    No trends to report
    Chicago State
    Chicago State is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games at home
    Chicago State is 3-22 SU in its last 25 games

    Utah Valley @ Arizona
    Utah Valley
    Utah Valley is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Utah Valley is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Arizona
    Arizona is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games at home
    Arizona is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games

    Nebraska-Omaha @ Seattle
    Nebraska-Omaha
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nebraska-Omaha's last 6 games
    Nebraska-Omaha is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
    Seattle
    Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

    Bethune-Cookman @ San Jose State
    Bethune-Cookman
    No trends to report
    San Jose State
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose State's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose State's last 8 games at home

    Pepperdine @ UC Riverside
    Pepperdine
    Pepperdine is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pepperdine's last 11 games on the road
    UC Riverside
    UC Riverside is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
    UC Riverside is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games




    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-06-2018 at 12:52 PM.

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