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Thread: Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/5

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    Default Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/5

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, December 5

    Good Luck on day #339 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    If the NFL Draft was today, the first six picks would be…….

    1) 49ers 2-10

    2) Raiders 2-10

    3) Jets 3-9

    4) Cardinals 3-9

    5) Lions 4-8

    6) Jets 4-8


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……

    13) Washington Nationals signed lefty pitcher Patrick Corbin to a 6-year, $140M deal Tuesday; Corbin is 56-54 in his career- he was 14-8 in 2013, then missed the next year with an injury. He was 14-13 in ’17, 11-7 LY. He’s allowed 944 hits in 945.2 IP in his career.

    Say this for Corbin; he was smart enough not to go to Philly, whose small ballpark isn’t good for a pitcher’s well-being, or his stats. Same thing for avoiding the American League and the DH.

    12) If you’re a free agent starting pitcher, why wouldn’t you sign with an NL team, so you don’t have to face the DH? Wouldn’t your stats automatically be a little better?

    Also, if you’ve got a little kid who is just starting to play ball, shouldn’t he bat lefty? You’re two steps closer to first base; there is no advantage to batting right-handed.

    11) Urban Meyer, the most humorless person in America, stepped down as Ohio State’s football coach Tuesday and was replaced by Ryan Day, who will make $4.5M a year.

    It is hard to believe that Meyer and Les Miles have the same job; both do their jobs well, but Meyer looks like he could have a stroke at any minute, while Miles can say funny things and appears to be an enjoyable person to talk to.

    10) USC named former Texas Tech coach Kliff Kingsbury as its new OC; Trojans have a long tradition of great running backs- are they going to run the Air Raid now?

    9) Seattle Mariners have traded ten guys in the last 28 days, and it sounds like that number is going to get a lot higher before spring training.

    8) Seattle’s baseball team is going in the ashcan for the next couple years, but the city was awarded an NHL expansion franchise Tuesday; the unnamed team will be the NHL’s 32nd franchise and it will begin play in 2021-22.

    You can actually wager on what the team will be called; Totems is the current favorite, followed by Emeralds, then Sockeyes, Kraken or Rainiers.

    7) Steelers’ RB James Conner’s ankle injury is worse than first thought; he won’t be in the lineup for Pittsburgh in this week’s game at Oakland.

    6) We mentioned Adrian Peterson had a 90-yard TD run Monday night, but gained only 98 rushing yards for the game; he is only 2nd RB since 1950 to do that, joining Herschel Walker.

    5) Joey Chestnut holds the world record for eating shrimp cocktails; he ate 43 of them in eight minutes last year. Not sure who decided that should become a contest, but how is that good for you? I like eating as much as anyone, but speed eating ain’t my thing.

    4) Louisville’s football team was 1-11 against the spread this year, the worst record of any team in the country; UConn, New Mexico State and Georgia State were all 2-9-1.

    3) 106 undergraduates declared for the NFL Draft last year; as recently as 2012, only 64 kids came out early. This year’s number is expected to be right around 106 again.

    2) Former Clemson QB Kelly Bryant, who bolted Clemson as soon as he got benched, transferred to Missouri, so he’ll remain a Tiger. Mizzou graduates QB Drew Lock after this season, so Bryant should step right in and start next year.

    1) Providence 100, Boston College 95 OT— This was a really fun game, and underscores the mistake BC made leaving the Big East for the ACC, though we know football was the reason that happened. Regional rivalries like this game should be played twice a year.

    This was a hard fought, foul-filled couple of hours; Eagles were 36-45 on charity stripe, Friars were 23-34. Three Providence players fouled out.

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    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, December 5


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    GOLDEN STATE (16 - 9) at CLEVELAND (5 - 18) - 12/5/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 53-72 ATS (-26.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 9-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 11-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DENVER (16 - 7) at ORLANDO (11 - 12) - 12/5/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ORLANDO is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 5-0 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 5-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    WASHINGTON (10 - 14) at ATLANTA (5 - 19) - 12/5/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 47-62 ATS (-21.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 26-41 ATS (-19.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 186-231 ATS (-68.1 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 26-41 ATS (-19.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
    ATLANTA is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 7-7 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 9-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    OKLAHOMA CITY (15 - 7) at BROOKLYN (8 - 17) - 12/5/2018, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    BROOKLYN is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BROOKLYN is 2-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CHARLOTTE (11 - 12) at MINNESOTA (12 - 12) - 12/5/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHARLOTTE is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 178-223 ATS (-67.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    CHARLOTTE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
    MINNESOTA is 54-79 ATS (-32.9 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    PHILADELPHIA (17 - 8) at TORONTO (20 - 5) - 12/5/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 113-85 ATS (+19.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 66-47 ATS (+14.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 67-45 ATS (+17.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 54-29 ATS (+22.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TORONTO is 6-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 7-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DETROIT (13 - 8) at MILWAUKEE (15 - 7) - 12/5/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 411-482 ATS (-119.2 Units) in home games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 5-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 5-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    DALLAS (11 - 10) at NEW ORLEANS (12 - 13) - 12/5/2018, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    LA CLIPPERS (16 - 7) at MEMPHIS (13 - 9) - 12/5/2018, 8:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 6-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 6-3 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    SAN ANTONIO (11 - 12) at LA LAKERS (14 - 9) - 12/5/2018, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN ANTONIO is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1058-931 ATS (+33.9 Units) in all games since 1996.
    SAN ANTONIO is 346-286 ATS (+31.4 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
    LA LAKERS are 165-211 ATS (-67.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-05-2018 at 02:08 PM.

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    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Wednesday, December 5


    Warriors won four of their last six games; they’re 3-6 vs spread as AF. Five of their last six games went over. Cavaliers lost four of last five games; they covered four of last five home games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Golden State won its last seven games with Cleveland (5-2 vs spread); they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to Ohio. Four of last six series games stayed under.

    Nuggets won/covered their last six games; they’re 2-3 as AF. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Orlando is 10-6 SU in its last 16 games, 9-1 vs spread in last 10; they covered their last five home games. Five of last seven games stayed under. Denver won eight of last ten games with Orlando, covering last five; they covered four of last five visits to Orlando. Four of last six series games went over.

    Wizards won four of their last six games; they’re 1-3 as AF. Five of their last six games stayed under. Atlanta lost 13 of its last 15 games; they’re 3-8 vs spread at home this season. Five of their last seven games went over the total. Washington won four of its last six games with the Hawks; Wizards are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Atlanta. Three of last four series games stayed under.

    Thunder won 15 of their last 18 games; they’re 7-3 vs spread on road this season. Five of their last six games stayed under. Brooklyn lost its last seven games (1-6 vs spread); they’re 3-6 as HU. Three of their last four games stayed under. Oklahoma City won three of last four games with the Nets; Thunder is 2-3 vs spread in its last five visits to Brooklyn. Over is 3-1-1 in last five series games.

    Charlotte lost four of its last six games; they’re 5-1 as AU this season. Four of their last six games stayed under. Timberwolves won/covered five of their last six games; they’re 5-4 as HF this season. 14 of their last 16 games stayed under. Hornets won seven of last nine games with Minnesota; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the Twin Cities. Three of last four series games went over.

    76ers won eight of their last nine games; they’re 3-4 as AU this season. Sixers’ last three games stayed under. Raptors won eight of their last nine games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six home games. Five of their last seven games went over. Toronto won eight of its last ten games with Philly, covering four of last five; 76ers are 1-5 vs spread in last six visits to Canada. Eight of last ten series games went over.

    Pistons won seven of their last nine games; they’re 4-1 as AU this season. Detroit’s last three games stayed under. Milwaukee is 7-8 SU in its last 15 games, 0-5 vs spread in its last five; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Five of their last six games went over. Home side won last six Detroit-Milwaukee games; Pistons are 3-1-1 vs spread in their last five trips to Wisconsin. Under is 3-0-1 in last four series games.

    Dallas won/covered nine of its last 11 games; they’re 4-3 as AU this season. Mavericks’ last three games stayed under. New Orleans lost six of its last eight games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine games as HF. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Pelicans won four of last five games with Dallas; four of last five series games went over. Mavericks are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Bourbon Street.

    Clippers won 10 of their last 13 games; they’re 3-5 as AU this season. Nine of their last 12 games went over the total. Grizzlies lost four of their last five games; they’re 6-1 vs spread as a HF this season. Four of their last six games went over. Clippers won seven of last ten games with Memphis; they’re 3-0-1 vs spread in last four trips to Tennessee. Seven of last eight series games went over.

    San Antonio is 5-11 in its last 16 games; their last three losses are all by 30+ points. Spurs are 3-5-1 as AU this season. Eight of their last nine games went over. Lakers won 10 of their last 12 games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven home games. Under is 14-2 in their last 16 games. wSpurs are 6-4 in their last ten games with the Lakers; they’re 3-3 vs spread in last six series games played here. Seven of last ten series games went over.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-05-2018 at 02:10 PM.

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    NBA

    Wednesday, December 5


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Golden State Warriors
    Golden State is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
    Golden State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
    Golden State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Golden State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 10 games on the road
    Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
    Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
    Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland

    Cleveland Cavaliers
    Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
    Cleveland is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Golden State
    Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Golden State
    Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
    Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State

    Denver Nuggets
    Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
    Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games
    Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
    Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
    Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Orlando
    Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
    Denver is 8-13-2 ATS in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Orlando
    Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
    Denver is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Orlando
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
    Orlando Magic
    Orlando is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
    Orlando is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games
    Orlando is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
    Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing Denver
    Orlando is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
    Orlando is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Denver
    Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games
    Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
    Oklahoma City is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Oklahoma City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games on the road
    Oklahoma City is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
    Oklahoma City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
    Oklahoma City is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
    Brooklyn Nets
    Brooklyn is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
    Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games
    Brooklyn is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
    Brooklyn is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

    Washington Wizards
    Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
    Washington is 4-19 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
    Washington is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games on the road
    Washington is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
    Washington is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Washington's last 18 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
    Atlanta Hawks
    Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
    Atlanta is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
    Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
    Atlanta is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Atlanta's last 18 games when playing at home against Washington

    Detroit Pistons
    Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
    Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Detroit is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
    Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
    Detroit is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Detroit is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
    Milwaukee Bucks
    Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
    Milwaukee is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
    The total has gone OVER in 16 of Milwaukee's last 23 games
    Milwaukee is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 17 of Milwaukee's last 23 games at home
    Milwaukee is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 10 games when playing Detroit
    Milwaukee is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
    Milwaukee is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit

    Charlotte Hornets
    Charlotte is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games
    Charlotte is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Charlotte is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games on the road
    Charlotte is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
    Charlotte is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota
    Charlotte is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Charlotte is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
    Minnesota Timberwolves
    Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Minnesota's last 16 games
    Minnesota is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home
    Minnesota is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games at home
    Minnesota is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Charlotte
    Minnesota is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Charlotte
    Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte
    Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte

    Los Angeles Clippers
    LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Clippers's last 12 games
    LA Clippers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    LA Clippers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games on the road
    LA Clippers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Memphis
    LA Clippers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Memphis
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 8 games when playing Memphis
    LA Clippers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
    LA Clippers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
    Memphis Grizzlies
    Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games
    Memphis is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games at home
    Memphis is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
    Memphis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
    Memphis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
    Memphis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    Memphis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

    Philadelphia 76ers
    Philadelphia is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games
    Philadelphia is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
    Philadelphia is 2-19 SU in its last 21 games when playing Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Toronto
    Philadelphia is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
    Toronto Raptors
    Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games
    Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Toronto is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Toronto's last 15 games at home
    Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
    Toronto is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
    Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

    Dallas Mavericks
    Dallas is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Dallas is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
    Dallas is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing New Orleans
    Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
    New Orleans is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
    New Orleans is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
    New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
    New Orleans is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Dallas
    New Orleans is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas
    New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas

    San Antonio Spurs
    San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    San Antonio is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Antonio's last 9 games
    San Antonio is 6-17 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
    San Antonio is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games on the road
    San Antonio is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
    San Antonio is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing LA Lakers
    San Antonio is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Antonio's last 13 games when playing LA Lakers
    San Antonio is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    San Antonio is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
    Los Angeles Lakers
    LA Lakers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
    LA Lakers is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
    LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    LA Lakers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games at home
    LA Lakers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
    LA Lakers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
    LA Lakers is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games when playing San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 13 games when playing San Antonio
    LA Lakers is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against San Antonio
    LA Lakers is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against San Antonio
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-05-2018 at 02:11 PM.

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    Wednesday's Tip Sheet
    Kevin Rogers

    Game of the Night: 76ers at Raptors – 8:05 PM EST

    The top two teams in the Atlantic division hook up in Toronto as the Raptors (20-5 SU, 12-13 ATS) had their eight-game winning streak halted by the Nuggets on Monday. Denver edged Toronto, 106-103 as seven-point underdogs, while the Raptors’ rally from a 13-point halftime deficit fell short. Kawhi Leonard led the Raptors with 27 points, but Toronto misfired on 30 three-point attempts, including a 2-of-13 effort by Leonard and Kyle Lowry from downtown.

    The 76ers (17-8 SU, 11-14 ATS) have won 13 of 14 games at Wells Fargo Center, but the team has slipped to 4-7 on the highway. Philadelphia finished off a perfect 3-0 homestand on Sunday with a 103-95 victory over Memphis to cash as 6 ˝-point favorites. The defense has yielded 98 points or less in each of the past three games, while finishing UNDER the total in all three wins. J.J. Redick and Jimmy Butler combined to score 45 points against Memphis, while Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid each recorded double-doubles.

    Toronto destroyed Philadelphia in the first matchup this season at Scotiabank Arena, 129-112 as six-point favorites on October 30. The Raptors scorched the 76ers by hitting 51% of its field goal attempts, led by Leonard’s 31 points. This contest came prior to Philadelphia’s acquistion of Butler from Minnesota, as Embiid paced the 76ers with 31 points and 11 rebounds.

    Finals Rematch

    If LeBron James was still in Cleveland, there would be plenty of intrigue regarding tonight’s matchup between the Warriors and Cavaliers. These two teams have met in the NBA Finals in each of the past four seasons, but won’t happen again with James in Los Angeles. The Cavaliers (5-18 SU, 12-11 ATS) have expectedly taken a huge step back, but gone 3-4 the last seven games since a 2-14 start, while coming off a 99-97 victory at Brooklyn on Monday.

    The Warriors (16-9 SU, 11-14 ATS) are getting healthy as Stephen Curry scored 30 points in his second game back from injury to lead Golden State to a 128-111 blowout of Atlanta as 10 ˝-point road favorites. The loss snapped a six-game road losing streak for the defending champions, but the Warriors own a 5-2 mark away from Oracle Arena with Curry in the lineup, compared to an 0-5 ledger without him in away contests.

    Cleveland has put together a nice run as an underdog at Quicken Loans Arena recently by covering in four of the last five opportunities. The Cavaliers have knocked off the Rockets and Hornets during this stretch, while hanging with the Lakers and Raptors in losses. Golden State captured all six matchups with Cleveland last season, while covering five times, as the Warriors were never listed a double-digit favorite at Quicken Loans Arena.

    Speaking of LeBron

    The Lakers (14-9 SU, 10-13 ATS) finish off their four-game homestand as they look to go 4-0 with a victory over the Spurs (11-13 SU, 11-13 ATS). Los Angeles won and covered in the first three wins over Indiana, Dallas, and Phoenix, while cashing the UNDER all three times. In Sunday’s 120-96 rout of the Suns, the Lakers erased an early 10-point deficit by blitzing Phoenix in the second quarter, 40-15, as Kyle Kuzma led L.A. with 23 points.

    The Spurs travel to Staples Center with no rest after getting blasted at Utah last night, 139-105 as eight-point underdogs. San Antonio has lost three of its past four games by insane margins (39, 31, and 34), while Gregg Popovich’s squad is currently on an 8-1 run to the OVER. The Spurs have lost seven of nine times this season in the road underdog role, but one of those victories came at Staples Center against the Lakers in overtime back in late October, 143-142.

    Back-to-Buck Losses?

    Milwaukee (15-7 SU, 11-10-1 ATS) is the only team in the NBA that has yet to drop consecutive games this season. The Bucks fell in overtime to the Knicks at Madison Square Garden on Sunday in a 136-134 thriller as eight-point favorites. Milwaukee has failed to cover five straight contests, including four of those games as a favorite of eight or more. The Bucks own a perfect 6-0 record off a defeat, but the last two wins in this situation have come by six and three points.

    The Pistons (13-8 SU, 12-9 ATS) invade Fiserv Forum for the first time as Detroit is coming off a solid 5-1 homestand, although it has was trounced in the final game, 110-83 to Oklahoma City on Monday. Out of the five wins, only two came against quality opponents (Golden State and Houston), while Detroit put together a 4-2 ATS mark. The Pistons have won three of the past four games away from Little Caesars Arena, while compiling a solid 6-1 ATS ledger in their last seven road contests. However, Detroit has dropped each of its past four meetings in Milwaukee, including a pair of four-point defeats last season.

    Best in the West?

    We all know the Warriors are still the team to beat in the Western Conference (and the NBA). However, the Clippers (16-7 SU, 15-8 ATS) are the current leaders of the Pacific division so far as Los Angeles faces another division leader tonight in Memphis. The Clippers finish a four-game road trip after holding off the Pelicans on Monday, 129-126 as Tobias Harris and Danilo Gallinari combined to score 51 points for Los Angeles.

    The Grizzlies (13-9 SU, 13-9 ATS) have stumbled of late following a solid start by losing four of the past five games after winning consecutive contests. The most recent setback came at Philadelphia on Sunday, 103-95 as 6 ˝-point underdogs, as the Grizzlies should be focused for tonight’s matchup. Memphis blew a late lead at Staples Center against the Clippers on November 23 as L.A. rallied for a 112-107 overtime triumph to barely cash as 4 ˝-point favorites and hit the OVER of 210. The Clippers dropped the first two meetings with the Grizzlies last season, but have won each of the past three matchups.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-05-2018 at 02:12 PM.

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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, December 5



    Golden State @ Atlanta

    Game 501-502
    December 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Golden State
    115.081
    Atlanta
    113.151
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Golden State
    by 2
    228
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Golden State
    by 11 1/2
    220 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+11 1/2); Over

    Denver @ Orlando


    Game 503-504
    December 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Denver
    121.078
    Orlando
    123.986
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Orlando
    by 3
    202
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 5
    207
    Dunkel Pick:
    Orlando
    (+5); Under

    Washington @ Atlanta


    Game 505-506
    December 5, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    115.786
    Atlanta
    107.281
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    by 8 1/2
    224
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    by 5
    232
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (-5); Under

    Oklahoma City @ Brooklyn


    Game 507-508
    December 5, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oklahoma City
    126.646
    Brooklyn
    111.279
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 15 1/2
    208
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oklahoma City
    by 7
    220
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oklahoma City
    (-7); Under

    Charlotte @ Minnesota


    Game 509-510
    December 5, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Charlotte
    115.706
    Minnesota
    123.127
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 7 1/2
    217
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    by 3 1/2
    220 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-3 1/2); Under

    Philadelphia @ Toronto


    Game 511-512
    December 5, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    116.472
    Toronto
    128.735
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Toronto
    by 12 1/2
    219
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Toronto
    by 6
    229 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Toronto
    (-6); Under

    Detroit @ Milwaukee


    Game 513-514
    December 5, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    118.793
    Milwaukee
    121.682
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 3
    225
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 8 1/2
    229 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (+8 1/2); Under

    Dallas @ New Orleans


    Game 515-516
    December 5, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Dallas
    122.266
    New Orleans
    118.052
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dallas
    by 4
    225
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 6 1/2
    227 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (+6 1/2); Under

    LA Clippers @ Memphis


    Game 517-518
    December 5, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Clippers
    121.083
    Memphis
    118.677
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Clippers
    by 2 1/2
    215
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Clippers
    Pick
    210 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Clippers
    Over

    San Antonio @ LA Lakers


    Game 519-520
    December 5, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Antonio
    109.575
    LA Lakers
    121.419
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 12
    233
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Lakers
    by 7
    221
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Lakers
    (-7); Over
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-05-2018 at 02:13 PM.

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    NBA's Top ATS Teams (sorted by cover%):

    1. Mavericks 15-7 ATS
    2. Clippers 15-8 ATS
    3. Thunder 14-8 ATS
    4. Magic 15-9 ATS
    t5. Nuggetsl 14-9 ATS
    t5. Kings 14-9 ATS
    t5. Hornets30 14-9 ATS
    8. Grizzlies 13-9 ATS

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    NBA's Worst ATS Teams (sorted by cover %):

    30. Suns 8-16 ATS
    29. Hawks 9-15 ATS
    28. Rockets 9-14 ATS
    27. Nets 10-15 ATS
    26. Wizards 10-14 ATS
    t23. Heat 10-13 ATS
    t23. Lakers 10-13 ATS
    r23. Celtics 10-13 ATS


    NBA's Top OVER Teams (sorted by Over %):

    t1. Raptors 16-9
    t1. Jazz 16-9
    3. Bucks 15-7
    t4. Clippers 15-8
    t4. Kings 15-8
    6. Spurs 15-8-1
    t7. 76ers 15-10
    t7. Pelicans 15-10


    NBA's Top UNDER Teams (based on Under %):

    1. Timberwolves 16-8
    2. Bulls 16-8-1
    3. Nuggets 15-7-1
    4. Lakers 15-7-1
    5. Magic 15-9
    t6. Cavaliers 14-9
    t6. Suns 14-10
    t8. Thunder 13-9



    John Wall (personal) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game @ Hawks.
    Current Pointspread: Wizards -4.5
    Current Total: 231

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    Hoop Trends - Wednesday
    Vince Akins

    ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

    -- The Grizzlies are 17-0 ATS (+13.53 ppg) when the line is within three points of pick and they are off a road loss in which they had six-plus double-digit scorers.

    ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

    -- The Warriors are 0-15 ATS (-9.70 ppg) off a road game in which they scored less than 15% of their points from free throws.

    OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Bucks are 18-0 OU (+12.64 ppg) at home off a road loss that was tied five-plus times and it is before the All-Star break.

    OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

    -- The Lakers are 0-14 OU (-13.04 ppg) after a game in which they scored more than 50 points in the paint.

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    By: Monique Vág


    Favorable matchup for DeRozan

    The Los Angeles Lakers enter tonight's game with the San Antonio Spurs as one of the worst teams in the Association at defending opposing shooting guards. The Lakers allow an average of 24.5 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 5 assists a contest to opposing two-guards.

    This is a great matchup for DeMar DeRozan, who enters today averaging 24 points a game with 5.6 rebounds, and six assists. He is at his most efficient when aggressively attacking the rim and getting to the free throw line, where he is a career 82 percent shooter. Take Over his points, rebounds, and assists total.


    Shutting down point guards

    Point guard D.J. Augustin looks to be in a difficult matchup as his Orlando Magic take on a Nuggets defense allowing opposing point guards to score only 18.2 points on 39 percent shooting. For a player attempting only 7.7 shots per game, it will be difficult to put points up versus a stingy defense.

    Last year, in the one meeting between these two where Augustin played, he shot one of six from the floor, including zero of four from beyond the arc in what ended up being a 14-point blowout. Expect similar results today and back the Under on his point total.


    Bad offense meets good defense

    The Nets enter today’s game against the Thunder ranked 26th in the Association in shooting percentage from the field. That number is even lower over their most recent three games at 40.5 percent. It will be difficult for them to put up points on a Thunder defense holding opponents to the second-best shooting percentage in the Association at 44.1. In addition, Oklahoma City is coming off a performance where it held Detroit to 33 percent shooting for the game.

    Oklahoma City has not been lighting up the scoreboard this season, averaging 111 points a game, just a shade better than Brooklyn's 108.6. The Under is a good bet in this matchup at 221.


    Lean Under

    Detroit has been on fire winning seven of their last ten games, including five of the last six. The Pistons take on a well-rested Bucks team who played their last game on December 1st.

    Detroit has historically struggled when playing Milwaukee winning only two of the last seven games, and only one of the last eight on the road versus the Bucks. Over their last three games in the head-to-head, the Pistons were held to 40.5 percent shooting. The average score between these two teams in those games was 101.6 to 96.6, for Detroit. With the Under hitting in seven of the last ten meetings in the head-to-head, take Under the total of 227.5.


    Soft inside

    The Hornets have only managed one win over their last eight road games, and head to Minnesota to take on the Timberwolves who have been great at home (10-4 SU).

    The Timberwolves' Karl Anthony Towns' should be in for a big game versus a Hornets team surrendering 23.8 points per game on 52.9 percent shooting and 16.5 rebounds to opposing centers. With the Hornets giving up 12.1 offensive rebounds on the road, Towns should capitalize on extra chance opportunities and rack up the stats on put backs. Take his Over 38.5 on points, rebounds and assists.

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