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Thread: NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (Thur., Dec. 6 - Mon., Dec. 10)

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    Default NFL Trends and Indexes - Week 14 (Thur., Dec. 6 - Mon., Dec. 10)



    NFL Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, December 6 - Monday. December 10

    Additional trends and information will be added as available.

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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    Opening Line Report - Week 14
    Joe Williams

    It was a strange set of games in Week 13. Underdogs were hitting all over the board, including a double-digit underdog, the Arizona Cardinals, winning outright. Joey Public got buried last Sunday, as generally they play the favorites and that wasn't the place to invest your money. The books, who were hammered a few weeks ago, certainly could use a comeback and Week 13 was it. Rarely, if ever, will books have multiple poor weeks in a season. However, there are plenty of weeks when they clean up, and if they didn't have those weeks frequently Las Vegas would like more like Fargo or Little Rock. In other words, you might beat the house here and there. You might end up ahead at times. Overall, however, the house will end up on top, and that's how Vegas was made.

    (Consensus Odds as of Tuesday)

    Thursday, Dec. 6

    Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans (-4.5, 37.5)


    The Jaguars surprised the Indianapolis Colts by a 6-0 score last Sunday in Jacksonville, the lowest-scoring game of the 2018 National Football League regular season. Vegas isn't feeling the Jags, as they're moderate 'dogs in the Music City. Westgate SuperBook opened the Titans at -5, but the public is apparently feeling the Jags, as the line is down to -4. Several other books opened the Jags at -4 1/2 and it's also down to -4, and more movement might be likely. The total is on the move, too, ever so slightly. Southpoint opened the game at 38, and it's down to 37 1/2 there and at a majority of the other shops.

    Sunday, Dec. 9

    Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs (-7, 53)


    The Ravens completely shut down the Atlanta Falcons, looking like the Ray Lewis/Ed Reed championship-type defenses. They're a dangerous team, but there are questions under center. QB Lamar Jackson left with an injury, QB Robert Griffin III entered last week and they still rolled along. However, it's uncertain who will be the starter on Sunday.

    The Chiefs had a tumultuous week with the Kareem Hunt situation, cutting last season's rushing yardage leader for off-field issues. Both teams have their issues, but people are buying the Ravens right now. The Golden Nugget opened the Chiefs at -7, dropping down to -6 1/2 within a matter of hours. Westgate SuperBook opened the game at -8 1/2 and the line tumbled two points to -6 1/2 in less than 24 hours.

    Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans (-4.5, 49)

    The Colts were blanked, but Vegas isn't buying any offensive issues and is treating it as a one-off. The total is still hovering around 49 at most shops. Southpoint dropped the line slightly from 49 1/2 to 49, while William Hill opened at 49 1/2 with a move down to 48 1/2 within a few hours.

    Carolina Panthers (-1.5, 47) at Cleveland Browns

    The Panthers are on a four-game freefall, going from 6-2 SU to 6-6 in the blink of an eye. The playoffs looked like a certainty a while ago, but they need to turn things around soon. Despite the improvement in Cleveland, Vegas is still putting belief in the Panthers. The public is feeling the visitors, too. Coasts opened the game as a pick 'em, but the Panthers are up to -1. Golden Nugget and Stratosphere had Carolina at -1, moving to -1 1/2. Not many bettors are feeling 'The Bake Show' and the Browns offense at the moment.

    Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers (-6, 48.5)

    This looked like a marquee game if you thumbed ahead through the NFL schedule a few weeks ago. The Falcons are coming off a week with less than 200 total yards last week, while the Packers will be under the tutelage of interim coach Joe Philbin after giving Mike McCarthy the shoo after Sunday's embarrassing loss.

    There hasn't been a lot of movement early on this game, although at Southpoint the line is down from -6 to -5. If you're feeling the Pack under new leadership, that might be the shop for you.

    New Orleans Saints (-8, 56) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    The Bucs surprised the Saints in the Dome in Week 1, and it appeared Tampa Bay was going to have something special while there were questions about New Orleans. Fast forward ahead 13 weeks and my how things have changed. The Saints are a Super Bowl contender, while the Bucs are in line for a Top 10 draft pick.

    Westgate opened the game at -9 1/2, and people are buying the Bucs, chopping the line down to -8 in about 24 hours. Coasts and Mirage-MGM is holding steady at -8 1/2.

    New York Jets at Buffalo Bills (-3.5, 38.5)

    The Jets blew last week's road game against the Titans. Paraphrasing head coach Todd Bowles, this is going to be one that sticks with him for the rest of his life.

    There hasn't been a lot of interest from the public on this game, with just some mild movement. Treasure Island had the game at -3 to open, and it moved to -3 1/2 in favor of the Bills, which is generally where all of the other shops weigh in. Uncertainty at the QB position for the Jets has the total OFF the board at some places.

    New England Patriots (-8, 47) at Miami Dolphins

    The Dolphins are technically still in the playoff hunt, but their chances of making the postseason are about as good as UCF's were entering last weekend's college football action.

    Teams are feeling the Dolphins at home, as CG Technology opened the Pats at -9, and the money came in on the Dolphins to move it down to -8. At the Stratosphere the line has bounced back and forth between -8 and -8 1/2.

    Los Angeles Rams (-3, 52.5) at Chicago Bears

    The Rams wrapped up the NFC West Division title last week in Detroit, now they're on Sunday Night Football against a Bears team which was stunned in overtime against the lowly New York Giants. The Rams are still playing for home-field advantage, while the Bears are still in command of the NFC North Division, but they cannot afford many more slip-ups.

    The Rams will keep their foot on the gas, but bettors are feeling the Bears. The Rams were favored by -4 at Westgate to open, but it's down to -3. At William Hill the total has been on the move, going from 51 to 53 in a matter of hours to get close to most other shops.

    New York Giants at Washington Redskins (-1.5, 41.5)

    The Redskins lost backup QB Colt McCoy (leg) to a fractured tibia on Monday, so it's time for QB Mark Sanchez to take the reins of the offense. As such, the total is OFF the board at many shops, and the game is OFF the board completely at the Strat.

    Denver Broncos (-5.5, 43.5) at San Francisco 49ers

    The Broncos have been on quite the roll lately, ticking off victories against the Chargers, Steelers and, most recently, the Bengals. The Bengals enter the game 6-1 ATS over the past seven and the 'under' is 5-0 in the past five and 9-2 over their past 11, so the line will be fun to watch closely.

    There has been a lot of activity, as Atlantis saw the Broncos open -5, go to -6 within a few hours, before slipping back to -5 1/2. Coasts opened the game at -6 1/2, sliding down to -5 1/2, which is where a majority of the shops are holding steady.

    Cincinnati Bengals at Los Angeles Chargers (-14, 48)

    The Bengals were slapped down by the Broncos at home, and they lost WR A.J. Green (toe) for the remainder of the season, taking away a major weapon for backup QB Jeff Driskel.

    The Chargers fought back from a 23-7 deficit in Pittsburgh to win 33-30 on Sunday night, and it's the kind of game which could serve as a springboard for the final month and into the playoffs. There hasn't been a lot of movement on this game yet. If you like the Bengals at 14 and a hook, Coasts is your shop. If you like the Bolts at -13 1/2, if you hurry you can still try Treasure Island.

    Detroit Lions (-2.5, 40.5) at Arizona Cardinals

    The Lions pulled an upset against the Panthers two weeks ago, and the Cardinals won on the road against the Packers last week. In other words, these non-contenders are still playing hard, so this could be a surprisingly interesting game.

    Westgate and William Hill each opened this game at -1 1/2, and it quickly moved to -2 1/2 which is in line with most other shops.

    Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (-4.5, 41.5)

    The Eagles and Cowboys battle is suddenly huge as far as the NFC East top spot is concerned. The Redskins are still in the picture, but injuries likely have killed them. The Cowboys pulled a 13-10 upset over the Saints last week on Thursday, and they have a couple of extra days to rest, while the Eagles head to Texas on a short week. BetOnline.ag opened the game at -3 1/2 and it moved up to -4. The total has held steady around 41 1/2 at BetOnline, but the total is OFF the board at most Vegas shops as of early Tuesday AM.

    Pittsburgh Steelers (-11, 51.5) at Oakland Raiders

    The Steelers will be looking to rebound after a hugely disappointing 33-30 loss against the Chargers on SNF last week. The Raiders gave the Chiefs all they could handle before finally falling apart, 40-33.

    Oakland covered a double-digit number at home, and they enter the week as 10-plus point underdogs at home in back-to-back weeks for the first time in club history. Early on people have bought the Raiders ever so slightly, moving from 11 1/2 to 11 at Mirage-MGM, Southpoint and Stations, among others.

    Monday, Dec. 10

    Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5, 45)


    The Vikings and Seahawks has turned into a marquee battle, thanks mostly in part to the resurgence of Seattle. They have rattled off three straight wins, going 3-0-1 ATS over the past four, and 6-1-1 ATS across the past eight. The 'over' has hit in four straight for Seattle, too.

    Bettors are backing the 'Hawks early, moving from -3 to -3 1/2 at Caesars/Harrah's and Golden Nugget, as well as Southpoint and Westgate SuperBook.




    Opening odds quickly tighten for Ravens-Chiefs battle in NFL Week 14
    Patrick Everson

    Cornerback Tavon Young and Baltimore hope to scoop and score an upset at Kansas City in Week 14. The SuperBook opened the Chiefs -8.5, but market moves took the line down to -7 Sunday night.

    The NFL season rumbles along to Week 14, with playoff contenders and pretenders starting to take shape. We check in on the opening lines and early action for a quartet of contests, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

    Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs (-8.5)

    Kansas City got a much-needed break with a Week 13 bye, after a fireworks-laden loss in the Week 12 Monday nighter. The Chiefs (9-2 SU, 8-2-1 ATS) put up a 50-plus burger against the Los Angeles Rams, yet fell short 54-51 to push as 3-point road underdogs.

    Baltimore followed a three-game skid with a three-game win streak to get itself back in playoff contention. In Week 13, the Ravens pulled away in the second half for a 26-16 victory over Atlanta as 2.5-point road pups.

    “That was a very impressive win for the Ravens against the Falcons, but they are stepping up in class this week going to Kansas City,” Murray said. “The Chiefs seem to hold back sometimes against weaker opponents. Don't expect that this week.”

    After this game was posted, the line made a significant move toward the Ravens, with the Chiefs at -7 Sunday night. But Murray said The SuperBook was primarily adjusting to the market, not moving because of money.

    Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears (+4)

    Los Angeles has the best record in the NFL as it continues the quest for the NFC’s top seed. The Rams (11-1 SU, 5-6-1 ATS) went to Detroit as 10.5-point favorites and left with a 30-16 win and cover.

    Chicago rode a five-game winning streak to the top of the NFC North, but couldn’t quite stretch it to six. The Bears (8-4 SU and ATS) got a last-second touchdown to tie the New York Giants at 27-27, then lost in overtime 30-27 laying 4 points on the road.

    “We opened Rams -4 after using -3 as the lookahead line,” Murray said, alluding to the line put out a week ago on this game. “The Bears are coming in off a bad loss to the Giants, and the Rams keep rolling. This will be one of the bigger handle games of the year.”

    The Rams briefly ticked up to -4.5 Sunday night at The SuperBook, before returning to the -4 opener.

    Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (-4)

    Dallas has worked its way to the top of the NFC East, after standing 3-5 SU through the first eight games. The Cowboys (7-5 SU and ATS) won and cashed their last four outings, including a 13-10 upset of New Orleans as 7.5-point home ‘dogs in the Week 13 Thursday nighter.

    Defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia is in must-win mode at this point and still has Week 13 work to do, hosting a critical NFC East game against Washington on Monday night. In Week 12, the Eagles (5-6 SU, 3-8 ATS) rallied from a 19-3 deficit to the New York Giants to post a 25-22 win laying 4.5 points at home.

    “Cowboys -4 in a game that could well decide the NFC East,” Murray said, noting rest could be an issue, as well. “A lot of extra prep time for Dallas. The Cowboys played Thursday, and the Eagles play Monday night.”

    Minnesota Vikings at Seattle Seahawks (-3)

    Minnesota is hanging on in the NFC playoff picture at this point, and the Week 14 Monday nighter will be key to staying in that photo. The Vikings (6-5-1 SU and ATS) went off as 6-point underdogs at New England in Week 13 and lost 24-10.

    Meanwhile, Seattle currently sits in the No. 5 slot in the NFC, but is surrounded by plenty of teams looking to steal that spot. The Seahawks (7-5 SU, 7-3-2 ATS) rolled over San Francisco 43-16 giving 10 points at home in Week 13.

    “This game could decide who claims an NFC wild-card berth,” Murray said. “Chicago appears to have the North won, and the Rams clinched the West today. Pivotal game for tiebreaker privileges in the NFC.”

    Although The SuperBook remained at Seattle -3 late Sunday night, the price on the Seahawks adjusted to -120.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-04-2018 at 01:13 PM.

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    Betting Recap - Week 13
    Joe Williams

    Overall Notes

    National Football League Week 13 Results

    Wager Favorites-Underdogs
    Straight Up 8-7
    Against the Spread 6-9

    Wager Home-Away
    Straight Up 9-6
    Against the Spread 9-6

    Wager Totals (O/U)
    Over-Under 5-10

    National Football League Year-to-Date Results
    Wager Favorites-Underdogs
    Straight Up 122-66-2
    Against the Spread 85-98-7

    Wager Home-Away
    Straight Up 115-74-2
    Against the Spread 92-91-7

    Wager Totals (O/U)
    Over-Under 91-99

    The largest underdogs to win straight up
    Cardinals (+13.5, ML +600) at Packers, 20-17
    Cowboys (+7.5, ML +270) vs. Saints, 13-10
    Jaguars (+4.5, ML +180) vs. Colts, 6-0

    The largest favorite to cover
    Rams (-10) at Lions, 30-16
    Seahawks (-9.5) vs. 49ers, 43-16
    Patriots (-6) vs. Vikings, 24-10

    Last Straw

    -- The Green Bay Packers suffered an embarrassing home loss to the Arizona Cardinals, 20-17, despite entering as 13 1/2-point favorites. The Pack slipped to 4-7-1 SU/ATS, and are nearly mathematically eliminated from the playoff hunt. As a result, the team decided to show head coach Mike McCarthy the door, firing him on Sunday night and naming Joe Philbin as the interim head coach. The Browns are the only team to make an in-season coaching change in 2018, and they lost the very next week back on Nov. 4, while failing to cover, too. The Pack welcome the equally unimpressive Atlanta Falcons next Sunday at Lambeau.

    Dogs Barking

    -- It all started on Thursday night when the Dallas Cowboys upended the New Orleans Saints 13-10 as 7 1/2-point underdogs, and Sunday the upsets continued in the early window. The Jacksonville Jaguars topped the Indianapolis Colts 6-0 in the lowest-scoring game of 2018 as 4 1/2-point 'dogs, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers won as 3 1/2-point underdogs in their building against the division rival Carolina Panthers, the Baltimore Ravens kept the 'dogs barking with a 26-16 win on the road against the Atlanta Falcons as they didn't need the 2 1/2 points they were catching. The New York Giants edged the Chicago Bears in overtime, as suddenly the G-Men are resembling an NFL-caliber team again. And of course, we mentioned the Pack above as near two-touchdown underdogs. The Los Angeles Chargers finished off the day with a 33-30 win against the Pittsburgh Steelers, erasing a 23-7 lead. It was the first time the Steelers blew a lead at home when leading by 14 or more points, as they entered the day 220-0-2 in such situations. Wacky.

    Total Recall

    -- The highest total on the board (54) was the Los Angeles Rams-Detroit Lions game, and it came in eight points under. The two games with a total of 53 1/2 ended up hitting the 'over'. The Chargers-Steelers and Kansas City Chiefs-Oakland Raiders games each eclipsed the over. However, the five games with totals listed over 50 ended up hitting the 'under' at a 3-2 clip. One of those games was the Panthers-Bucs. The 'under' is now 3-1 in the past four games for the Bucs after the 'over' started out 7-1 in the first eight.

    -- The lowest total on the board was the battle between the Buffalo Bills-Miami Dolphins (40) battle, and it ended up just hitting the 'under'. The New York Jets-Tennessee Titans (40.5) ended up hitting the 'over, as the Titans erased a big New York lead to come back and win 26-22. The Cards-Pack (41) also hit the 'under' in a rather low-scoring week.

    -- The 'over/under' went 1-2 last week in three primetime games in Week 12, and is 1-1 so far this week with the Washington Redskins-Philadelphia Eagles (45) game pending. Overall for the 2018 season the 'over' in primetime games is 21-18 (53.8%).

    Officially, the 'over' finished 25-23-1 (52.1%) in 49 games under the lights in 2017.

    In 2016, the 'over' in night games went (52.9%) through 51 games.

    In 2015, the over finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games.

    In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66.0%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56.0%) in 2013.

    Injury Report

    -- Bengals WR A.J. Green (foot) was carted off with a right foot injury, after just returning from a multi-week toe injury. Green was visibly upset on the cart and it could be a potentially serious injury.

    -- Panthers TE Greg Olsen (foot) left Sunday's game in Tampa with a ruptured plantar fascia and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

    -- Steelers RB James Conner (leg) was forced out of the Sunday night game late in the fourth quarter with a lower leg injury, and head coach Mike Tomlin said after the game that the back suffered a contusion.

    Looking Ahead

    -- The Jaguars travel to Nashville to battle the Titans on Thursday night. Jacksonville is 0-3-1 ATS in the past four road games, while the Titans are 12-4-1 ATS in the past 17 at home. They're also 6-2 ATS in their past eight divisional games. Jacksonville is 1-4-1 ATS in the past six meetings, with the home team 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight in this series.

    -- The Giants have posted a 3-0-1 ATS mark over their past four, and they're an impressive 5-0 ATS in the past five road contests. The Redskins are 4-1 ATS in their past five at home, though. In this series the under is 4-0 in the past four meetings, and 5-1 in the past six at FedEx Field. The underdog is 11-5 in the past 16 meetings in this series.

    -- The Saints head to Tampa with a 19-7 ATS mark in the past 26 road games, while going 15-6 ATS in the past 21 inside the division. The Bucs are 5-2 ATS in the past seven against NFC South opponents, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five home games against the Saints. The under is 8-2 in the past 10 in Tampa, and 14-6 in the past 20 meetings overall. However, the over hit in the Week 1 matchup in New Orleans.

    -- Houston has won nine in a row after opening 0-3 SU. They're 5-0 ATS in the past five against AFC contests, while going posting 5-1 ATS mark in the past six overall. The Colts are just 3-8-1 ATS in the past 12 inside the division including their ugly 6-0 loss at Jacksonville on Sunday. Indy is 4-0-1 ATS in the past five trips to Houston, and 7-3-2 ATS in the past 12 in the series.

    -- The Patriots have covered five in a row inside the division, and they're 17-6 ATS in the past 23 on the road. The Dolphins are 5-1 ATS in the past six at home, but just 4-10 ATS in the past 14 against teams with a winning overall mark. New England is just 1-5 ATS in the past six trips to South Florida.

    -- The Jets head to Western New York to battle the Bills in Week 14. New York is 1-5 ATS in the past six trips to Buffalo, and they're 3-7 ATS in the past 10 in this series. The under is 5-2 in the past seven in meetings in Buffalo, too.

    -- The Cowboys have covered four in a row after their upset against the Saints, and they're also 6-1 ATS in the past seven inside the division, too. They will face Philly on Sunday, a team who played on Monday in Week 13. Dallas had three extra days to rest after playing last Thursday. The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in the past seven trips to Dallas, however, and the road team is 11-3 ATS in the past 14 in this series.

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    NFL
    Long Sheet

    Week 14


    Thursday. December 6

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    JACKSONVILLE (4 - 8) at TENNESSEE (6 - 6) - 12/6/2018, 8:20 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TENNESSEE is 30-54 ATS (-29.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
    TENNESSEE is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
    TENNESSEE is 116-152 ATS (-51.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TENNESSEE is 4-1 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
    TENNESSEE is 4-1 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    Sunday. December 9

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    BALTIMORE (7 - 5) at KANSAS CITY (10 - 2) - 12/9/2018, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 2 seasons.
    KANSAS CITY is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    INDIANAPOLIS (6 - 6) at HOUSTON (9 - 3) - 12/9/2018, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
    HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    CAROLINA (6 - 6) at CLEVELAND (4 - 7 - 1) - 12/9/2018, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAROLINA is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    CAROLINA is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in December games since 1992.
    CAROLINA is 84-53 ATS (+25.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
    CAROLINA is 56-31 ATS (+21.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
    CAROLINA is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
    CLEVELAND is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    ATLANTA (4 - 8) at GREEN BAY (4 - 7 - 1) - 12/9/2018, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GREEN BAY is 109-80 ATS (+21.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
    GREEN BAY is 191-137 ATS (+40.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    GREEN BAY is 67-42 ATS (+20.8 Units) in December games since 1992.
    GREEN BAY is 62-39 ATS (+19.1 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 2-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
    ATLANTA is 3-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NEW ORLEANS (10 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (5 - 7) - 12/9/2018, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TAMPA BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    TAMPA BAY is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NY JETS (3 - 9) at BUFFALO (4 - 8) - 12/9/2018, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY JETS is 3-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    NY JETS is 3-2 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NEW ENGLAND (9 - 3) at MIAMI (6 - 6) - 12/9/2018, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ENGLAND is 36-14 ATS (+20.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 36-14 ATS (+20.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 35-14 ATS (+19.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 100-73 ATS (+19.7 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
    NEW ENGLAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 63-37 ATS (+22.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
    MIAMI is 74-101 ATS (-37.1 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
    MIAMI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA RAMS (11 - 1) at CHICAGO (8 - 4) - 12/9/2018, 8:20 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA RAMS is 189-237 ATS (-71.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 189-237 ATS (-71.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 135-187 ATS (-70.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 146-188 ATS (-60.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 66-100 ATS (-44.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 68-101 ATS (-43.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 41-62 ATS (-27.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
    CHICAGO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY GIANTS (4 - 8) at WASHINGTON (6 - 6) - 12/9/2018, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 63-97 ATS (-43.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 25-47 ATS (-26.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
    WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DENVER (6 - 6) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 10) - 12/9/2018, 4:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CINCINNATI (5 - 7) at LA CHARGERS (9 - 3) - 12/9/2018, 4:05 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DETROIT (4 - 8) at ARIZONA (3 - 9) - 12/9/2018, 4:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DETROIT is 140-177 ATS (-54.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    DETROIT is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in road games against NFC West division opponents since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DETROIT is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    DETROIT is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHILADELPHIA (6 - 6) at DALLAS (7 - 5) - 12/9/2018, 4:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
    DALLAS is 39-61 ATS (-28.1 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PITTSBURGH (7 - 4 - 1) at OAKLAND (2 - 10) - 12/9/2018, 4:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PITTSBURGH is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 78-108 ATS (-40.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 78-108 ATS (-40.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 144-182 ATS (-56.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 35-61 ATS (-32.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
    OAKLAND is 33-58 ATS (-30.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Monday. December 10

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MINNESOTA (6 - 5 - 1) at SEATTLE (7 - 5) - 12/10/2018, 8:15 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SEATTLE is 69-40 ATS (+25.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
    MINNESOTA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
    MINNESOTA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-04-2018 at 01:14 PM.

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
    74,716
    Credits
    202,227

    Default

    NFL

    Week 14


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Thursday. December 6

    Jacksonville Jaguars
    Jacksonville is 1-5-2 ATS in its last 8 games
    Jacksonville is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
    Jacksonville is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    Jacksonville is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
    Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing Tennessee
    Jacksonville is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
    Jacksonville is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
    Tennessee Titans
    Tennessee is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games at home
    Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
    Tennessee is 5-9-2 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Jacksonville
    Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
    Tennessee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing at home against Jacksonville


    Sunday. December 9

    Baltimore Ravens
    Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baltimore's last 10 games
    Baltimore is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
    Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
    Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
    Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
    Kansas City Chiefs
    Kansas City is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games
    Kansas City is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Kansas City is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 10 games at home
    Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
    Kansas City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
    Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore

    Indianapolis Colts
    Indianapolis is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games
    Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Indianapolis is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Indianapolis's last 20 games
    Indianapolis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indianapolis's last 10 games on the road
    Indianapolis is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
    Indianapolis is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games when playing Houston
    Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Indianapolis's last 16 games when playing Houston
    Indianapolis is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
    Houston Texans
    Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
    Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Houston is 3-7-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Indianapolis
    Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indianapolis
    Houston is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing Indianapolis
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Houston's last 16 games when playing Indianapolis
    Houston is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
    Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Indianapolis

    Atlanta Falcons
    Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
    Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games on the road
    Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
    Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
    Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against Green Bay
    Green Bay Packers
    Green Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Green Bay is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games
    Green Bay is 4-1-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    Green Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
    Green Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
    Green Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta

    New York Jets
    NY Jets is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 9 games
    NY Jets is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    NY Jets is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    NY Jets is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Buffalo
    NY Jets is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Buffalo
    NY Jets is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
    NY Jets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Jets's last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
    Buffalo Bills
    Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Buffalo's last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 16 of Buffalo's last 21 games at home
    Buffalo is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing NY Jets
    Buffalo is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing NY Jets
    Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
    Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Jets

    New York Giants
    NY Giants is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    NY Giants is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
    NY Giants is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    NY Giants is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Giants's last 9 games on the road
    NY Giants is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
    NY Giants is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Washington
    NY Giants is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing Washington
    NY Giants is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
    Washington Redskins
    Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Washington's last 16 games
    Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games at home
    Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
    Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
    Washington is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing NY Giants
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing NY Giants
    Washington is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against NY Giants
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Giants

    New Orleans Saints
    New Orleans is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
    New Orleans is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games
    New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
    New Orleans is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
    New Orleans is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of New Orleans's last 20 games when playing Tampa Bay
    New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    Tampa Bay is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
    Tampa Bay is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games
    Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
    Tampa Bay is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans
    Tampa Bay is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 20 games when playing New Orleans
    Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
    Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

    New England Patriots
    New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    New England is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
    New England is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
    New England is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 5 games on the road
    New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
    New England is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
    New England is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
    New England is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
    Miami Dolphins
    Miami is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
    Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 13 of Miami's last 19 games at home
    Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
    Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
    Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New England
    Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New England
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against New England

    Carolina Panthers
    Carolina is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games
    Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Carolina is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
    Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
    Cleveland Browns
    Cleveland is 4-20-1 SU in its last 25 games
    Cleveland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Cleveland is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 games at home
    Cleveland is 4-18-1 SU in its last 23 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Cleveland's last 19 games at home
    Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
    Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina

    Denver Broncos
    Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
    Denver is 8-15-1 ATS in its last 24 games
    Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    Denver is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
    Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Denver is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
    Denver is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games on the road
    Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
    Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
    San Francisco 49ers
    San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
    San Francisco is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    San Francisco is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
    The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Francisco's last 15 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games
    San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
    San Francisco is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games at home
    San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

    Cincinnati Bengals
    Cincinnati is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
    Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
    Cincinnati is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    Cincinnati is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games on the road
    Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Chargers
    Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
    Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
    Los Angeles Chargers
    LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    LA Chargers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 6 games
    LA Chargers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    LA Chargers is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 9 games at home
    LA Chargers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
    LA Chargers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
    LA Chargers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers's last 9 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

    Detroit Lions
    Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
    Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
    Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
    Detroit is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Detroit's last 14 games when playing Arizona
    Detroit is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
    Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
    Arizona Cardinals
    Arizona is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
    Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games at home
    Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
    Arizona is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Arizona's last 14 games when playing Detroit
    Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
    Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

    Philadelphia Eagles
    Philadelphia is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
    Philadelphia is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
    Philadelphia is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road
    Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Dallas Cowboys
    Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Dallas's last 21 games
    Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
    Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
    Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

    Pittsburgh Steelers
    Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    Pittsburgh is 10-1-1 SU in its last 12 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
    Pittsburgh is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
    Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
    Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
    Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oakland
    Oakland Raiders
    Oakland is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
    Oakland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Oakland's last 19 games
    Oakland is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
    Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oakland's last 10 games at home
    Oakland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
    Oakland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
    Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

    Los Angeles Rams
    LA Rams is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    LA Rams is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
    LA Rams is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 6 games on the road
    LA Rams is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Chicago
    LA Rams is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
    LA Rams is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    LA Rams is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
    Chicago Bears
    Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
    Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
    Chicago is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Rams
    Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Rams
    Chicago is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against LA Rams
    Chicago is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against LA Rams


    Monday. December 10

    Minnesota Vikings
    Minnesota is 5-8-2 ATS in its last 15 games
    Minnesota is 17-7-1 SU in its last 25 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
    Minnesota is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
    Minnesota is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
    Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Seattle
    Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
    Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
    Seattle Seahawks
    Seattle is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games
    Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
    Seattle is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games at home
    Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
    Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-04-2018 at 01:15 PM.

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    Posts
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    NFL
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Week 14


    Thursday
    Jaguars (4-8) @ Titans (6-6)— Tennessee won five of last six meetings, upsetting Jaguars 9-6 (+6.5) in first meeting in Week 4; yardage was 233-232 that day- Titans threw for only 83 yards. Jaguars lost their last four true road games, by 16-33-3-3 points; they snapped 7-game skid overall with 6-0 win over Indy LW. Jags are 7-5-1 in last 13 games as road underdogs, 0-1-1 this year- they went under their team total six of last eight weeks. J’ville lost its last four true road games, by 16-33-3-3 points; they’re 0-4 in games decided by 4 or fewer points. Tennessee is 5-1 when it scores 20+ points, 1-5 when it doesn’t; they’re 8-4-1 in last 13 games as home favorites, 1-1 this year. Titans won four of their five home games, with only loss 21-0 to Baltimore.

    Sunday
    Ravens (7-5) @ Chiefs (10-2)— Baltimore is 3-0 with Jackson as QB, running ball for 238 ypg; they’re 3-3 SU on road and are 5-1-1 vs spread in last seven games as road underdogs. Ravens are #6 seed in AFC right now, only half-game behind Steelers in AFC North- they held last four opponents under 6 yards/pass attempt, tough to do vs KC. Chiefs are 8-4 vs spread in last dozen games as home favorite; they’re 5-0 at home, winning by 11-16-35-7-12 points. Road team won seven of last eight series games; Ravens won last three games in Arrowhead, by 10-23-3 points, with last visit here in ’12. KC gave up 455-443 yards in its last two games. Three of Chiefs’ last four games went over; under is 7-3 in last ten Raven games.

    Colts (6-6) @ Texans (9-3)— Texans were 0-3 when they went to Indy and won 37-34 in OT in Week 4; they haven’t lost since, winning last nine games. Houston ran ball for 281/187 yards in last two games. Under O’Brien, Houston is 17-10-1 as home favorites, 3-3 this year- they covered five of last six games overall, three in row at home. In their last six games, Texans are +9 in TO’s. Colts won five of their last six games after a 1-5 start; they lost 6-0 in J’ville LW, running ball only 16 times while throwing 52 passes. Indy is 2-4 at home, 2-2 as AU; they’re 3-5-1 vs spread in last nine divisional road games. Houston won four of last six series games- teams split last eight meetings played here. Under is 2-0-1 in Indy’s last three games;

    Panthers (6-6) @ Browns (4-7-1)— Carolina lost its last four games, then fired two defensive assistants on Monday; Panthers are 1-5 on road this year, and they trailed 17-0 in 3rd quarter in the one win. Carolina has only one takeaway (-7) in its last four games; they scored 31+ points in four of their six wins. Cleveland is 3-2-1 at home this year, 3-2 vs spread as home underdogs, after going 4-14-1 as home dogs the previous three years- they split four games since changing coaches. Browns are 4-0 when allowing 20 or fewer points, 0-71 when they don’t. Carolina won four of five series games, winning two of three visits here; Browns’ only win was 24-23 in 2010. Four of last six Carolina games went over total;

    Falcons (4-8) @ Packers (4-7-1)— Two struggling outfits here. Philbin is interim coach for Packers’ offense than can’t blame McCarthy anymore. Since 2014, Green Bay is 19-11-2 as home faves, but 2-3 this year. Packers are just 8-35 on 3rd down their last three games, running ball for 48-82-98 yards; their defense has only three takeaways in their last six games (-1). Falcons lost their lost their last four games, scoring 17 ppg; they’re 0-6 this season scoring less than 20 points, 4-2 scoring more- they’re 1-4 on road, with only win 38-14 at Washington. Atlanta is 3-0 vs Green Bay last two years, scoring 33-44-34 points; all three games were in Atlanta. Home side won last five series games; Falcons lost 22-21/43-37 in last two visits here.

    Saints (10-2) @ Buccaneers (5-7)— Last four years, Saints are 14-8 vs spread coming off a loss; they’re 16-6 vs spread in last 22 road games, 5-1 this year. NO was held to 10 points in Dallas LW, after averaging 37 ppg in first 11 games- they’re +9 in turnovers their last four games. Buccaneers won last two games (+7 TO ratio) after a 4-game skid; they were -25 in previous nine games. Bucs are 6-1 in last seven games as a home underdog. Tampa Bay beat Saints 48-40 in season opener in Superdome, with both teams throwing for 400+ yards; Bucs averaged 14.9 yards/pass attempt. Tampa Bay is 4-3 in last seven series games; Saints lost 16-11/31-24 in their last two visits here. Under is 5-2 in Saints’ last seven games, 3-1 in Bucs’ last four.

    Jets (3-9) @ Bills (4-8)— Jets lost their last six games (1-5 vs spread); they were outscored 100-36 in 2nd half of those games. In their last four games, Jets’ offense has two TD’s on 44 drives- their DEFENSE has two TD’s in those games. Last three years, Gang Green is 5-11-2 vs spread as road underdogs, 2-4 this year. Bills lost five of last seven games but covered last three; Buffalo is favored for first time this year; since ’15, they’re 9-3-1 as a home favorite. Buffalo hammered Jets 41-10 in Swamp Stadium in Week 10, running for 212 yards, outgaining Jets 451-199, with a +2 TO ratio. Jets are 3-2 in last five series games, but lost four of last five visits here. Home side is 9-4 in last 13 series games. Six of Jets’ last nine games went over total.

    Patriots (9-3) @ Dolphins (6-6)— Patriots (-6.5) crushed Miami 38-7 in Week 4, outgaining Fish 449-172, but New England lost four of its last five visits to Miami; home team won 10 of last 11 series games. Patriots are running away with AFC East, can clinch it here; they’re only 3-3 on road this year- their last four wins overall were all by 14+ points. NE is 14-7 in its last 21 games as road favorites, 3-3 this year. Dolphins have six takeaways (+4) in splitting two games since Tannehill came back; they’re 5-1 at home this year, with only loss 32-21 to Detroit. In three years under Gase, Dolphins are 7-3-1 as home underdogs. Last five Patriot games stayed under total; under is 3-0-1 in last four Miami games.

    Giants (4-8) @ Redskins (6-6)— #3 QB Sanchez has short week to prepare for his first Redskin start, after McCoy broke his leg Monday. Sanchez has a 37-35 W-L record as a starter in the NFL- this is his first start since ’15 for Eagles. Washington lost four of its last five games; they are 3-3 SU at home this year, are 8-5 vs spread in last 13 gams as a home dog (2-0 this year). Giants are 3-1 since their bye (+7 in turnovers); they’re 2-4 SU on road- all six games were decided by 7 or fewer points. Big Blue is favored for only 2nd time this year (0-0-1); since 2012, they’re 6-8-1 as road faves. Last four Giants’ games, three of last four Washington games went over the total. Sanchez has been with Skins less than two weeks; how much of their playbook could he have mastered already?

    Broncos (6-6) @ 49ers (2-10)— Kyle Shanahan coaches against team his dad won two Super Bowls for. Denver is 3-0 since its bye, with wins at Chargers/Bengals; they’re 21-11-1 in last 33 games as road favorites. Broncos have nine takeaways in last three games (+8); their last seven opponents stayed under their team total. 49ers lost nine of last ten games, covering once in last six tries; they’re -8 in turnovers in their last three games. SF is 2-3 SU at home, with losses by 10-29-4 points; they’re 5-9 in last 14 games as a home underdog, 0-1 this year. Niners are 5-3 in last eight series games; this is Denver’s first trip to Santa Clara- their last visit to SF was in 2002. Last five Denver games, four of last six 49er games stayed under total.

    Bengals (5-7) @ Chargers (9-3)— Chargers won eight of last nine games, are only game behind Chiefs in AFC West- they scored 45-33 points (9 TD’s on last 19 drives) in winning last couple games. Chargers play KC next week; will they look ahead? Since moving to the soccer stadium in Carson, LA is 5-6 vs spread as a home favorite. Driskel was 25-38/236 in his first NFL start LW, a 24-10 home loss to Denver; newly acquired Savage is his backup. Cincy lost four in row, six of last seven games; four of their last five losses are by 14+ points. Bengals won four of last five series games, with the one loss a ’13 playoff game; Cincy won three of last four visits to San Diego. Four of last five Cincy games went over total; over is 7-4-1 in Charger games.

    Lions (4-8) @ Cardinals (3-9)— Wow, not much to choose from here. Detroit lost five of its last six games; they’re 1-4 SU on road, with only win 32-21 in Miami. Lions are 7-10-1 vs spread in last 18 games as road favorites, 1-0 this year. Cardinals lost three of last four games, are 6-4 vs spread in last ten; they’re 1-5 SU at home- since 2013, Redbirds are 10-5-1 as home underdogs, 3-1 this year. In their last six games, Arizona is minus-10 in turnovers. Cardinals stayed under their team total in five of their last six games. Arizona won seven of last eight series games, losing 35-23 in Detroit LY. Lions lost their last eight visits here, with last win in 1993. Five of last six Detroit games stayed under total; under is 4-2 in Arizona home games.

    Eagles (6-6) @ Cowboys (7-5)— Cowboys (+7) won first meeting 27-20 in Philly in Week 10, running for 171 yards; Eagles won four of their last five visits to Dallas. Road side won nine of last 11 series games- teams split series the last five years. Philly can tie for top spot in NFC East with win here; short week for Eagles after their Monday night home win. Iggles are 1-3 SU in true road games; under Pederson, they’re 5-6 as road underdogs, 0-1 this year. Cowboys won/covered their last four games, holding high-powered Saints to 10 points LW; Dallas is 5-1 SU at home this year, losing 28-14 to Titans; since ’16, they’re 8-7 vs spread as home favorites, 2-2 this year. Over is 3-1 in Philly’s road games this season, 4-1 in last five Dallas home games.

    Steelers (7-4-1) @ Raiders (2-10)— Pittsburgh lost last two games, blowing 23-7 halftime lead at home to Chargers LW; their lead in AFC North is down to half-game. Steelers are 4-1-1 on road this year; since ’14, Pitt is 12-12-1 as road favorites, 1-2-1 this year. In their last three games, Steelers ran ball for only 26-75-65 yards and now Conner is out for this game. Raiders lost eight of their last nine games; six of their last seven losses were by 14+ points. Oakland is 1-4 at home, with losses by 20-14-1-7 points— they’re 9-19-1 vs spread in last 29 games as a home underdog. Oakland won four of last six series games; Steelers lost last three visits here, with last one in ’13. Last three Oakland games went over total; under is 5-1 in Steeler road games.

    Rams (11-1) @ Bears (8-4)— Night game in December in Chicago? Temps expected to be in 20’s. Rams clinched NFC West LW, are still fighting for #1 seed in NFC. LA is 5-1 SU on road; under McVay, they’re 6-5 vs spread as road favorites, 3-3 this year. Bears won five of last six games, are 5-1 at home this year, with only loss 38-31 to Patriots. Chicago is 8-2-2 vs spread in its last dozen games as a home underdog. Bears split pair of games with backup QB Daniel, converting only 5-25 third down plays. Chicago won five of last six series games; teams last met in ’15. Rams lost 17-9/23-6 in last two visits here, last of which was in ’12. Three of Rams’ last four games, seven of last nine Chicago games went over the total.

    Monday
    Vikings (6-5-1) @ Seahawks (7-5)— Pivotal game in NFC playoff race. Right now, these teams would be two NFC Wild Card teams, so loser will get passed/tied for last playoff slot. Minnesota is 2-3 in its last five games; they’re 2-3-1 SU on road, 3-7 vs spread in last 10 games as road underdogs, 1-3 this year. In last three games, Vikings ran ball for 22-91-95 yards; fans are unhappy with the OC. Seahawks won their last three games, scoring 27-30-43 points; they’re 3-2 SU at home. Seattle is 3-7-1 vs spread in last 11 games as home favorite, 2-1-1 this year. Seattle won last four series games, winning last meeting 10-9 in 2015 playoff game; Vikings lost their last two visits here, 30-20/41-20. Last four Seattle games went over total.
    Last edited by Udog; 12-06-2018 at 11:26 AM.

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    NFL
    Dunkel

    Week 14



    Thursday, December 6

    Jacksonville @ Tennessee


    Game 101-102
    December 6, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Jacksonville
    129.512
    Tennessee
    128.971
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Jacksonville
    by 1
    46
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tennessee
    by 5
    37 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Jacksonville
    (+5); Over


    Sunday, December 9

    Baltimore @ Kansas City


    Game 105-106
    December 9, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Baltimore
    135.006
    Kansas City
    136.834
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kansas City
    by 2
    72
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kansas City
    by 7
    53
    Dunkel Pick:
    Baltimore
    (+7); Over

    Indianapolis @ Houston


    Game 107-108
    December 9, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Indianapolis
    131.471
    Houston
    138.477
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 7
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 4 1/2
    49 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-4 1/2); Under

    Carolina @ Cleveland


    Game 109-110
    December 9, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Carolina
    131.014
    Cleveland
    128.532
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Carolina
    by 2 1/2
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Carolina
    by 1
    46 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Carolina
    (-1); Over

    Atlanta @ Green Bay


    Game 111-112
    December 9, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    129.597
    Green Bay
    127.633
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Atlanta
    by 2
    42
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Green Bay
    by 5 1/2
    50
    Dunkel Pick:
    Atlanta
    (+5 1/2); Under

    New Orleans @ Tampa Bay


    Game 123-124
    December 9, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    139.571
    Tampa Bay
    135.046
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 4 1/2
    46
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 9
    56
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tampa Bay
    (+9); Under

    NY Jets @ Buffalo


    Game 115-116
    December 9, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Jets
    120.628
    Buffalo
    124.899
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Buffalo
    by 4 1/2
    42
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Buffalo
    by 3
    38
    Dunkel Pick:
    Buffalo
    (-3); Over

    New England @ Miami


    Game 117-118
    December 9, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New England
    138.241
    Miami
    126.620
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New England
    by 11 1/2
    42
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New England
    by 7
    47
    Dunkel Pick:
    New England
    (-7); Under

    LA Rams @ Chicago


    Game 119-120
    December 9, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Rams
    140.600
    Chicago
    135.087
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Rams
    by 5 1/2
    49
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Rams
    by 3
    54
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Rams
    (-3); Under

    NY Giants @ Washington


    Game 121-122
    December 9, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Giants
    130.134
    Washington
    124.072
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Giants
    by 6
    42
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NY Giants
    by 3 1/2
    41
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Giants
    (-3 1/2); Over

    Denver @ San Francisco


    Game 123-124
    December 9, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Denver
    136.915
    San Francisco
    118.907
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 18
    49
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 4
    44
    Dunkel Pick:
    Denver
    (-4); Over

    Cincinnati @ LA Chargers


    Game 125-126
    December 9, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cincinnati
    123.831
    LA Chargers
    141.210
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    LA Chargers
    by 17 1/2
    52
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Chargers
    by 14
    48
    Dunkel Pick:
    LA Chargers
    (-14); Over

    Detroit @ Arizona


    Game 127-128
    December 9, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Detroit
    129.420
    Arizona
    122.856
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 6 1/2
    43
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Detroit
    by 1 1/2
    41 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (-1 1/2); Over

    Philadelphia @ Dallas


    Game 129-130
    December 9, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    130.250
    Dallas
    136.141
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dallas
    by 6
    37
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Dallas
    by 3 1/2
    43 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (-3 1/2); Under

    Pittsburgh @ Oakland


    Game 131-132
    December 9, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pittsburgh
    133.336
    Oakland
    126.443
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 7
    56
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 11
    51 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oakland
    (+11); Over


    Monday, December 10

    Minnesota @ Seattle


    Game 133-134
    December 10, 2018 @ 8:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    134.362
    Seattle
    135.533
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Seattle
    by 1
    55
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Seattle
    by 3 1/2
    45
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (+3 1/2); Over
    Last edited by Udog; 12-06-2018 at 11:31 AM.

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    By: Brandon DuBreuil



    GREEN HAVING SURGERY

    Bengals receiver A.J. Green is scheduled for surgery to repair torn ligaments in his toe and will be off the field for 3-4 months. Green ultimately rushed back from the injury that cost him the three games prior to Week 13 as the Bengals faced a must-win against Denver last week. Cincy moves forward with Tyler Boyd and John Ross as its top-two wideouts — and don’t forget that backup Jeff Driskel is at quarterback. Boyd posted six receptions for 97 yards on Sunday, while Ross was held to two catches and 13 yards.

    The Bengals head to Los Angeles in Week 14 to take on the Chargers as a 14-point underdog. Cincy will, in all likelihood, be playing from behind once again, as it did for most of Sunday’s game against the Broncos. One line really stands out from Week 13’s box score and that was Giovani Bernard’s six receptions for 32 yards. Bernard played 28 snaps on Sunday, his most since Week 2, in a game when Joe Mixon had also been on the field. He also received eight targets, which is also the most he’s had in a game when not used as a lead back. Driskel clearly used Bernard as a check-down option as the Bengals played from behind and we see that happening once again this week. Take the Over on his receptions total.


    McCOY FRACTURES FIBULA

    As reported in-game during Monday Night Football, Washington quarterback Colt McCoy suffered a fractured fibula and is done for the season. Washington moves forward with its third-string quarterback, Mark Sanchez, who was signed back on Nov. 19 when Alex Smith suffered his season-ending injury.

    Sanchez was predictably awful in relief against the Eagles, going 13-of-21 for 100 yards (4.8 yards per attempt) and an interception. Sanchez handed off to Adrian Peterson for a 90-yard touchdown run on his first play and then was able to lead Washington to a 47-yard field goal before halftime, but that was the extent of his highlights. Sanchez is not an NFL quarterback and Washington is going to struggle to score with him under center. The Redskins host the Giants in Week 14 as a 1.5-point favorite at some sportsbooks at the moment, and we highly recommend jumping on the G-Men before this line swings in the other direction. If not, wait and take the Under on the Washington team total when more markets open later in the week.


    BREIDA RULED OUT

    San Francisco running back Matt Breida has been ruled out for Week 14 with the same ankle injury that cost him time earlier this season. Breida logged just 10 snaps on Sunday at Seattle after aggravating his ankle in warm-ups. Alfred Morris has been a healthy scratch for the past two games, making Jeff Wilson Jr. the new lead back in the 49ers offense. Wilson, an undrafted rookie out of North Texas, impressed in what was just the second game of his NFL career, rushing 15 times for 61 yards while adding eight receptions for 73 yards.

    Wilson will make his first NFL start on Sunday as the Niners host the Broncos as a 5.5-point underdog. It’s certainly a tough spot against a Denver defense that ranks third in DVOA. But if there’s one aspect that Denver struggles at defensively, it’s defending pass-catching backs as it ranks 21st in DVOA against the position, allowing 6.3 passes per game for 39.9 yards. As noted above, Giovani Bernard logged six catches for 32 yards against the Broncos last week. We’ll be staying away from any yardage totals for Wilson in Week 14 as the Broncos are stingy, but we do see him being involved in the passing game once again. Take the Over for his receptions total.


    DARNOLD RETURNS

    The New York Jets are expected to have Sam Darnold back under center on Sunday as they visit the Buffalo Bills. Coach Todd Bowles said that Darnold was actually healthy enough to start on Sunday at Tennessee but he was held out so he could get a few more practice reps before getting back on the field.

    The Jets cost us a pick by going Over their team total last week against the Titans but only because of an interception return for a touchdown. The Jets’ offense managed five field goals on 280 total yards, with Josh McCown going 17-of-30 for 128 yards and an interception. Talent wise, there’s no doubting that Darnold is an upgrade over McCown but his work this season tells us he just isn’t ready for the NFL yet — at least not with the lack of talent surrounding him in New York. Darnold is averaging just 214.9 passing yards per game and has a quarterback rating of 68.3. He hasn’t played in over a month and returns to a terrible spot on the road against the league’s No. 1 defense in passing DVOA.

    The Bills haven’t allowed a quarterback to pass for over 140 yards since Tom Brady did so in Week 8. Last week, they held Ryan Tannehill to 137 passing yards on Sunday and that was in the comforts of Hard Rock Stadium in Miami where it was 85 degrees and sunny. The current forecast is calling for 30 degrees in Buffalo this week. We’ll be monitoring the prop markets and looking to take the Under for the Jets’ team total and perhaps the Under for Darnold’s passing yards total if it’s set anywhere near 180 or higher.


    KIRK BREAKS FOOT

    Cardinals rookie receiver Christian Kirk is out for the season after breaking his foot in Sunday’s upset win at Green Bay. Kirk has flown under the radar but was having a nice first season, with 43 catches for 590 yards and an average of 13.7 yards per reception. Kirk leads the team in receiving yards and is second in receptions to Larry Fitzgerald, so it’s a tough break for Arizona and rookie quarterback Josh Rosen.

    The Cardinals host the Lions in Week 14 in what should be a nice matchup for Arizona’s offensive pieces as Detroit ranks 30th in DVOA. However, we can’t get behind any kind of bet involving Rosen as he hasn’t surpassed 150 passing yards in his last three games and has only broken the 200-yard passing mark in three of his nine starts.

    Instead, we’ll look to David Johnson, who consistently gets 20 touches per game. It is disappointing to see him not being used in the passing game of late, with just four catches over his last three games, but he is averaging 20.6 carries per game over the same timespan and perhaps he’ll see a few more targets with Kirk out of the lineup. Johnson has been held out of the end zone for three consecutive weeks (Chase Edmunds vultured two scores from him last week on just five carries) but that should change this week against a Lions defense that has given up multiple rushing touchdowns in back-to-back weeks. We’re backing Johnson to score a touchdown at any time.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-04-2018 at 01:16 PM.

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    2018-19 Basic NFL Betting Stats thru Week 13:

    Home Teams: 93-92-7 ATS
    Favorites: 88-97-7 ATS
    Road Favorites: 29-34-1 ATS
    Home Favorites: 59-63-6 ATS

    Over/Under: 93-98

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    NFL Top OVER Teams (based on Over %)

    t1. Bears 8-4
    t1. Bengals 8-4
    t1. Bucs 8-4
    4. Chiefs 7-4-1
    t5. Panthers 7-5
    t5. Chargers 7-5
    t5. Jets 7-5
    t6. Steelers 7-5
    t5. 49ers 7-5

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    NFL's Top UNDER Teams (based on Under %):

    1. Broncos 8-3-1
    t2. Pats 8-4
    t2. Eagles 8-4
    t4. 11 Teams Tied at 7-5 Cardinals, Ravens, Bills, Cowboys, Texans, Panthers, Dolphins, Vikings, Saints, Titans, Redskins

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    NFL's Best ATS Teams (based on cover %):

    1. Saints 9-3
    2. Chiefs 8-3-1
    t3. Pats 8-4
    t3. Bears 8-4
    5. Seahawks 7-3-2
    t6. Chargers 7-5
    t6. Cowboys 7-5
    t6. Dolphins 7-5
    t6. Redskins 7-5
    t6. Browns 7-5



    NFL's Worst ATS Teams (based on cover %):

    t31. 49ers 3-9
    t31. Falcons 3-9
    t28. Raiders 4-8
    t28. Jets 4-8
    t28. Eagles 4-8
    27. Packers 4-7-1
    26. Jaguars 4-6-2
    t23. Bills 5-7
    t23. Bengals 5-7
    t23. Panthers 5-7

  13. #13
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    Close Calls - Week 13
    Joe Nelson

    Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread and total in the fourth quarter in Week 13 of the NFL regular season.

    Miami Dolphins (-3) 21, Buffalo Bills 17 (40):
    The Dolphins led 14-6 at the half and 14-9 through three quarters on a spread that fell from -6 to just -3. After both teams had interceptions late in the third quarter, Josh Allen led a touchdown drive to put Buffalo in front at the 12-minute mark, with the two-point conversion making it a 17-14 edge. With the help of two penalties for 36 yards, Miami answered with a touchdown drive in only six plays to go in front 21-17, past the favorite spread while inching closer to the total that closed at 40.

    The Bills missed a 55-yard field goal on their next drive with back-to-back sacks making that kick much more difficult. Miami only burned a minute of clock as the Bills got the ball back with more than two minutes remaining. Buffalo reached the Miami 25-yard line but a field goal wouldn’t be enough. A third down completion to the Miami 6-yard-line was overturned on replay review and on 4th-and-11 the Miami defense held to secure the narrow win while the ‘under’ also held on.

    New York Giants (+3) 30, Chicago Bears 27 (43):
    After the Bears had a comeback win last week and the Giants had a late collapse, the same storyline looked to be unfolding in this matchup. The Giants led by 10 entering the fourth quarter and held Chicago to a field goal on an early drive to keep a seven-point edge. Chicago would get the ball back with more than two minutes remaining but fumbled immediately.

    With great field position, New York had to settle for a field goal while only trimming 30 seconds off the clock. Still it was a 10-point game when the Bears got the ball back after the two-minute warning. Chase Daniel led the Bears to a field goal in just 36 seconds. Chicago got the onside kick and Daniel delivered a few big plays to tie the game as time expired. In overtime New York went first and got a 44-yard field goal. Daniel couldn’t deliver again, struggling to hold on to the ball and eventually failing on 4th-and-8 near midfield as the underdog Giants held on this week.

    Los Angeles Rams (-10) 30, Detroit Lions 16 (53):
    Detroit wound up holding the Rams to just 344 yards and trailed by only three points well into the fourth quarter as a heavy home underdog. Matthew Stafford would have another big late game turnover, fumbling on a sack near midfield to give the Rams great field position. Three plays later, the Rams went up by 10 with fewer than seven minutes remaining in the game to match the spread. Detroit had a costly red zone holding penalty and settled for a field goal past the three-minute mark to get back within one score.

    The onside kick try was not recovered and the Rams nearly could have taken a knee with Detroit exhausting its timeouts. Instead, Todd Gurley ran into the end zone after the two-minute warning to suddenly give the Rams a 14-point edge. The Lions were a threat to get back within the number late reaching the Los Angeles 14-yard-line in the final seconds before Stafford threw an interception in the end zone to end a loss for a second straight week.

    Arizona Cardinals (+13) 20, Green Bay Packers 17 (41):
    In what turned out to be Mike McCarthy’s final game for the Packers, Green Bay never approached the heavy-favorite spread. A three-point edge at halftime was erased as Arizona scored 10 points in four minutes late in the third quarter to lead by seven. The Packers tied the game at 17-17 with five minutes to go but Arizona managed a late field goal after the two-minute warning. Those on the ‘over’ liked their chances with a late Green Bay score either clearing the number or forcing overtime. The Packers didn’t make the task easy with Aaron Rodgers unable to move further than the Arizona 31-yard-line and in windy, wet conditions Mason Crosby missed from 49 yards.

    Kansas City Chiefs (-14) 40, Oakland Raiders 33 (54):
    The Chiefs led 33-16 entering the fourth quarter to sit past a spread that climbed as high as -15 before settling right on 14. Derek Carr led two fourth quarter touchdown drives to suddenly put the Raiders within three with nearly seven minutes remaining. A big offside call converted a key third down for Kansas City and the Chiefs wound up in the end zone just after the two-minute warning to seal the win up by 10. Oakland would wind up with a late field goal but only 28 seconds were on the clock when the Raiders failed on an onside kick attempt.

    Los Angeles Chargers (+3) 33, Pittsburgh Steelers 30 (53):
    With 10 points in the final three minutes before halftime, Pittsburgh had a commanding 23-7 edge in the Sunday night game. That margin held until the final two minutes of the third quarter with the Chargers completing a 13-play, 88-yard touchdown drive and also adding the two-point conversion. Pittsburgh still led by eight but a sack and a holding call had the Steelers facing 4th-and-24 and they punted back to the Chargers who delivered a 73-yard punt return touchdown. Another successful two-point conversion tied the game at 23-23. Pittsburgh went three-and-out on offense and the Chargers turned in another touchdown drive to suddenly lead by seven at the eight-minute mark.

    Pittsburgh regrouped for a 12-play touchdown drive that included a fourth down conversion but more than four minutes remained on the clock. The Chargers methodically used up the remaining clock to line up a game-winning field goal from just 39 yards. The kick was missed but offsides was called. On the second attempt, the Steelers got the block but again offsides was called. It was called again on the third attempt but Mike Badgley was good from 29 yards as the Chargers were able to steal a huge road win in the AFC picture, with these teams now having a good chance of meeting again in the Wild Card round of the AFC playoffs.

    Philadelphia Eagles (-5) 28, Washington Redskins 13 (45):
    The Eagles led 7-3 in the second quarter Monday night when Washington had to turn to third-string quarterback Mark Sanchez after losing Colt McCoy to a broken leg a few weeks after losing Alex Smith to a broken leg. Adrian Peterson broke a long run to give Washington the lead and the Redskins then stepped up on defense with a goal line stand. Washington wasn’t able to take a lead into halftime as the Eagles found the end zone after the two-minute warning to lead by four facing a favorite spread that slipped from -7 to -5. Washington managed a field goal just before halftime to trail just 14-13.

    Josh Norman came up with an interception to keep Philadelphia points off the board in the third quarter as the underdog was still in position to cover despite Sanchez providing little for the Washington offense. Early in the fourth quarter, the Eagles finally completed a touchdown drive and went for two successfully to lead by nine. Sanchez was picked off a few plays later near midfield and Philadelphia added a field goal despite picking up only seven yards. Down 12 Washington was still a touchdown away from covering but had negative yards on its final two possessions and the Eagles added a late field goal to complete a big NFC East win. The total also stayed just barely ‘under’ with several missed scoring chances in the game.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-05-2018 at 02:35 AM.

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    Games to Watch - Week 14


    Week 13 of the NFL season finished with the Philadelphia Eagles keeping their season alive with a much-needed win over the Washington Redskins. Things look a lot bleaker for the Redskins, though, as they lost their second QB to a broken leg this season, with back-up Colt McCoy joining Alex Smith on the injury list for the rest of the season. Both teams now need to look forward to Week 14, as we are beginning to get down to the wire, with just 4 weeks left to decide who is in and who is out.

    Let’s take a quick look ahead at the best games on the calendar this week in the NFL.

    Baltimore Ravens (+7 -125) at Kansas City Chiefs (-7 +105)

    The Ravens looked to be in trouble just a few short weeks ago after falling below .500 and losing Joe Flacco to injury. 3 weeks later and the Ravens are back in the hunt after going unbeaten with rookie QB Lamar Jackson at the helm. They are now just a half game back of the Steelers at the top of the AFC North, but they have a tough one ahead of them this weekend, with a trip to KC to face the Chiefs on Sunday. This one is going to be a battler between the great defense of the Ravens and the offense of the Chiefs, with the slight edge here going to Kansas City.

    Philadelphia Eagles (+4 -110) at Dallas Cowboys (-4 -110)

    The NFC East has been turned on its head in recent weeks, with the Dallas Cowboys coming to life at the expense of the injury riddled Redskins. The Cowboys are now in control of their own destiny and they can take another huge step towards the playoffs with a win against the defending Super Bowl Champions this weekend. The Eagles kept their postseason hopes alive with a win on Monday night versus the Redskins, making for a tight race at the top. Dallas are rolling right now, and I like them to win this one, too.

    Los Angeles Rams (-3 -115) at Chicago Bears (+3 -105)

    This is one with definite playoff implications, although both of these teams do appear to be playoff bound. The Rams are definitely in, as they have already clinched the division with an 11-1 record, but they will be looking to also lock up the #1 spot in the NFC so that they can have home field advantage in the postseason. The Bears blew a big opportunity to take a real stranglehold on the NFC North by losing in OT to the Giants on Sunday, but they still control their own destiny in the divisional race. This should be a fun one to watch, but I am taking the Rams to edge it.

    Minnesota Vikings (+3 +100) at Seattle Seahawks (-3 -120)

    If the season were to end today, these would be the two teams occupying the Wild Card spots in the NFL. There are still games to be played, though, so it goes without saying that this one is crucial to both teams. The Seattle Seahawks can’t go any higher than the #5 spot that they are currently occupying, as their division has already been clinched by the Rams. The Vikings still have a shot at a division title, but they really cannot afford to drop any more games. A close one here, but I think the Seahawks win at home.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-05-2018 at 02:36 AM.

  15. #15
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    By: Brandon DuBreuil



    CONNER OUT FOR WEEK 14

    After originally announcing that running back James Conner’s injury from Sunday night was a “lower-leg contusion”, Steelers coach Mike Tomlin reversed course on Tuesday and told the media that Conner has already been ruled out for Sunday against Oakland. There are reports that it could be the dreaded high-ankle sprain, but the Steelers wouldn’t confirm.

    Rookie Jaylen Samuels moves forward as the presumed lead back, although Mike Tomlin did say the “intention” is to use a committee approach with veteran Stevan Ridley (and perhaps newly promoted Trey Edmunds). Samuels, however, has by far the most upside and is the only one worth focusing on. He has 12 carries and seven receptions and has only seen action in four games so far this season, but he’s intriguing after being used as an RB/WR/TE hybrid at NC State last season, rushing 182 times and catching 201 passes. He has huge potential, especially in a very soft spot against Oakland’s 31st-ranked defense in DVOA, but there is some risk in backing his yardage totals as Ridley could see a chunk of carries. Samuels does have two touchdowns (both receiving) already this season, however, and we see him hitting pay dirt again on Sunday. We suggest backing him to score a touchdown at any time.


    D-JAX SHUT DOWN?

    Reports out of Tampa Bay late Tuesday are that DeSean Jackson could be shut down for the remainder of the season because of his thumb injury. Jackson tried to practice last week but couldn’t catch the ball. Shutting Jackson down would make sense as he’s not expected to be part of the future in Tampa. The Bucs can opt out of Jackson’s contract at the end of this season with no dead money on the cap and they’re expected to do so, especially with the emergence of Chris Godwin.

    The second-year receiver out of Penn State looks like a star in the making with multiple big performances on the season, including last week’s line of 5-101-1 in his first start of the year. If Jackson is indeed out this week, we’ll be looking to back Godwin as he stays in the starting lineup for the league’s No. 1 passing offense. On Sunday, the Bucs host the Saints and are an eight-point underdog, so the game script should line up nicely for Tampa’s passing game as they try to chase points. It’s also much easier to pass against the Saints than it is to run, as New Orleans ranks 22nd in passing DVOA but third in rushing DVOA. Keep an eye on Covers’ Twitter feed for injury updates and take the Over on Godwin’s receiving yards total when D-Jax is officially ruled out.


    IT’S NOT ABOUT THE BENJAMINS IN BUFFALO

    Last season, the Bills sent two draft picks to Carolina for receiver Kelvin Benjamin. Yesterday, they cut him after he had just 39 catches and 571 yards in 18 games. Talk about a bust. Veteran receiver Andre Holmes was also let go on Tuesday and Buffalo moves forward with Zay Jones, Robert Foster, and Isaiah McKenzie at wideout as it hosts the Jets on Sunday as a 3.5-point favorite.

    This is hardly a downgrade for Josh Allen — in fact, it might be an upgrade as Benjamin hasn’t had more than two catches in a game since Week 9 and it will now free up snaps for players who want to be on the field. Allen is coming off one his best passing performances of the season when he went 18 of 33 for 231 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions — in a game where the Bills played catch up all day. This week, he gets the Jets and its 12th-ranked defense in passing DVOA that gave up 282 passing yards last week to Marcus Mariota — in a game where the Titans played catch up all day. The Bills are a home favorite on Sunday and likely won’t be playing from behind. Instead, Buffalo will rely heavily on the run and, for that reason, we don’t envision Allen having another above-average game by his standards. We’re taking the Under on his passing yards total.


    OLSEN OUT FOR THE SEASON

    Panthers tight end Greg Olsen is out for the season as he needs surgery for yet another foot injury. Olsen’s career could also be at stake here as he’s 33 years old and has now suffered three major foot injuries since the beginning of last season. Usually, when Olsen is out we look to Devin Funchess but his role in the Panthers’ offense is spiraling downwards. He had just one catch for 10 yards last week in his return to the lineup, though it did go for a touchdown.

    We could be witnessing a changing of the guard at the pass-catching positions in Carolina. D.J. Moore has looked like a legitimate No. 1 receiver over the past few weeks while Curtis Samuel busted out with six catches for 88 yards on 11 targets. Rookie tight end Ian Thomas also caught all five of his targets for 46 yards when stepping in for Olsen. The Panthers do have a tough spot in Week 14 as they head to Cleveland to take on a Browns defense that is ranked third in passing DVOA. The Browns do struggle against the run, however, ranking just 26th in rushing DVOA. Cleveland gave up 103 rushing yards on 19 carries to Lamar Miller last week and an additional 54 on 13 carries to Alfred Blue. We’re going to stay away from Carolina’s passing game for Week 14, but we will be taking the Over on Christian McCaffrey’s rushing yards total.


    WASHINGTON SIGNS JOSH JOHNSON

    The Washington Redskins have signed quarterback Josh Johnson to back up Mark Sanchez for the remainder of the season. Yes, that’s the same Josh Johnson who used to be with Tampa Bay and it’s the same Josh Johnson who hasn’t thrown an NFL pass since 2011. Neither Sanchez or Johnson belong in professional football and there’s an argument to be made that they currently make up the worst quarterback depth chart in the history of the NFL.

    As noted yesterday, some books opened the line for Sunday’s game against the Giants with Washington favored by 1.5. Congratulations if you were able to get a bet on that as the line has now shifted to New York -3.5. However, if you’re still looking to fade Washington, we think its team total is still set too high at 17.5 (and even 18.5 at some books). Yes, the Giants are a below-average defense, but Sanchez can’t throw the ball (4.8 yards per attempt last week) and the offensive line is a mess (Adrian Peterson ran for eight yards on eight attempts when you exclude his 90-yard run on Monday night). Grab the Under for Washington’s team total before it dips.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-06-2018 at 03:09 AM.

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