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Thread: Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/3

  1. #1
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    Default Monday's NHL Trends and Indexes - 12/3

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, December 3

    Good Luck on day #337 of 2018!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.
    Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Top 6 picks for Week 13 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

    1) Colts -4 (1,029) L

    2) Steelers -3.5 (961) L

    3) Falcons -1 (911) L

    4) Giants +5.5 (826) W

    5) Patriots -5 (776) W

    6) Seahawks -9.5 (731) W

    Season record: 40-35-3


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

    Cardinals 20, Packers 17—14-point underdog Arizona ended lot of Survivor pools with this win; they also ended Mike McCarthy’s tenure as Packers’ coach- he was fired before the 4:00 games ended. Green Bay missed a 49-yard FG at the gun, as Packers lost for 5th time in last six games. This was the Cardinals’ first win in Wisconsin since 1949- they had lost their last eight visits there.

    Green Bay has only one offensive TD in 2nd half of their last three games. Right now, the Packers would draft after Cleveland; who would’ve expected that this summer? Will be very interested to see who this team hires as their next head coach.

    Giants 30, Bears 27 OT— An unusual game:
    — Chicago gifted the Giants with a defensive TD 0:38 into the game.
    — Bears scored a TD, with a defensive lineman carrying the ball.
    — Giants ended the first half by making a 57-yard FG.
    — Giants took the lead when a WR threw a 49-yard TD pass.
    — Bears were down 10 with 1:30 left, but kicked a FG, recovered an onside kick, then tied the game on a pass by a RB at the gun.
    — Giants won in OT; they’ve won three of their last four games.
    — Seven of last nine Chicago games, last four New Jersey games went over total.

    Jaguars 6, Colts 0— Second NFL game this season without a TD scored; other one was also a Jaguar home game (9-6 win over Titans). There was another game with no offensive TD’s scored (Jets-Dolphins) but there was a defensive TD in that game.

    Loss snaps a 5-game Indy win streak, 7-game Jacksonville losing skid; Jaguar QB Kessler gets first win as an NFL starter (1-8) after losing all this starts for Cleveland in ’16.

    Buccaneers 24, Panthers 17— Carolina loses its 4th game in row; they have one takeaway in those four games. Newton threw four INTs in this game. Panthers are 1-5 on road this year, and they were down 17-0 in third quarter of that game. Carolina is still only game out of second Wild Card spot, if Redskins lose Monday night.

    First time in 10 years this season series was split; Buccaneers had 14-yard edge in field position. Bucs have only one giveaway in last two games, after 27 in previous nine games.

    Rams 30, Lions 16— Aaron Donald is freakin’ awesome; for second game in row, his strip/sack created an LA TD that put them in commanding position. Rams scored 30 points but watching the game, I felt like Detroit has a good defense; two of Rams’ three TD drives started in Detroit territory. LA beat spread for only second time in last eight games, running ball for 149 yards.

    First time since 1979 Rams won NFC West in consecutive seasons. Five of last six Detroit games stayed under the total; Lions had ball in red zone five times, scored only one TD, three FG’s- very hard to beat the Rams scoring only one TD. Rams are now 9-2-1 vs spread in their last 12 post-bye games.

    Ravens 26, Falcons 16— Whats happened to Atlanta’s offense? They gained total of only 131 yards in this game, throwing for only 97. Falcons lost last four games, scoring 16-19-17-16 points- their longest play in this game was 17 yards.

    Both teams scored one offensive TD and each team scored a defensive TD.

    At this point, Baltimore is the #6 seed in the AFC; Lamar Jackson is now 3-0 as an NFL starter; will Joe Flacco get traded this winter?

    Texans 29, Browns 13— Houston won its last nine games after starting season 0-3; they’re 17-10-1 vs spread in last 28 games as a home favorite, and covered five of last six tilts overall.

    Cleveland turned ball over four times (-4), after having four giveaways total in their previous five games. Since ’15, Cleveland is 10-19-1 as road underdogs, 2-3-1 this year. Browns outgained Houston in this game while running 22 fewer plays (74-52), but when you’re -4 in turnovers, you lose just about all the time.

    Dolphins 21, Bills 17— Buffalo outgained Dolphins 415-175 but lost; they turned ball over three times (-2). Miami is 4-0 when it allows 20 or fewer points, 1-6 when they allow more. Dolphins are still struggling on 3rd down; they’ve converted just 17 of last 63 3rd down plays.

    Dolphins are 5-1 at home this season; last two years, Fish are 3-0-2 as home favorites, 2-0-1 this season. Buffalo ran ball for 212-167-198 yards in its last three games. Under is 3-0-1 in Miami’s last four games.

    Broncos 24, Bengals 10— I’m told that quarterback is an important position, and it doesn’t look like Cincinnati has one, with Andy Dalton injured. Denver ran ball for 218 yards, had 10-yard edge in field position, sending Bengals to sixth loss in their last seven games. Last four years, Broncos are 9-4-1 as road favorites, 2-0 this year. Last five Denver games stayed under total.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-03-2018 at 01:06 PM.

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    NHL
    Dunkel

    Monday, December 3



    Tampa Bay @ New Jersey

    Game 51-52
    December 3, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tampa Bay
    11.075
    New Jersey
    9.829
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 1
    5
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -135
    6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tampa Bay
    (-135); Under

    Buffalo @ Nashville


    Game 53-54
    December 3, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Buffalo
    11.567
    Nashville
    10.372
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Buffalo
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Nashville
    -180
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Buffalo
    (+160); Over

    Edmonton @ Dallas


    Game 55-56
    December 3, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Edmonton
    11.050
    Dallas
    12.455
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dallas
    by 1 1/2
    3
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Dallas
    -135
    5 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dallas
    (-135); Under





    NHL
    Long Sheet

    Monday, December 3


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    TAMPA BAY (19-7-0-1, 39 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (9-11-0-5, 23 pts.) - 12/3/2018, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TAMPA BAY is 395-427 ATS (-131.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    TAMPA BAY is 181-213 ATS (-76.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
    NEW JERSEY is 22-15 ATS (+38.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW JERSEY is 12-5 ATS (+17.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 85-42 ATS (+22.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 47-18 ATS (+19.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    TAMPA BAY is 47-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW JERSEY is 2-10 ATS (-8.3 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    TAMPA BAY is 8-5 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
    TAMPA BAY is 8-5-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.8 Units)

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    BUFFALO (17-7-0-3, 37 pts.) at NASHVILLE (18-8-0-1, 37 pts.) - 12/3/2018, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NASHVILLE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    NASHVILLE is 14-3 ATS (+9.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
    NASHVILLE is 10-1 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    NASHVILLE is 10-1 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
    BUFFALO is 17-10 ATS (+28.8 Units) in all games this season.
    BUFFALO is 17-10 ATS (+28.8 Units) first half of the season this season.
    BUFFALO is 8-4 ATS (+13.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BUFFALO is 2-2 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
    NASHVILLE is 2-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

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    EDMONTON (13-11-0-2, 28 pts.) at DALLAS (14-10-0-3, 31 pts.) - 12/3/2018, 8:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    EDMONTON is 12-22 ATS (-14.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    EDMONTON is 1-7 ATS (-7.4 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    EDMONTON is 4-3 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    EDMONTON is 4-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.7 Units)

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    NHL

    Monday, December 3


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Tampa Bay Lightning
    Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games
    Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    Tampa Bay is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games on the road
    Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Jersey
    Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Jersey
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing New Jersey
    Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games when playing on the road against New Jersey
    New Jersey Devils
    New Jersey is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games
    New Jersey is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games at home
    New Jersey is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
    New Jersey is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Jersey's last 10 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

    Buffalo Sabres
    Buffalo is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
    Buffalo is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
    Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Buffalo is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
    Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
    Buffalo is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Nashville
    Buffalo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Nashville
    Nashville Predators
    Nashville is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
    Nashville is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games at home
    Nashville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
    Nashville is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Buffalo
    Nashville is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Buffalo

    Edmonton Oilers
    Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games
    Edmonton is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
    Edmonton is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
    Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
    Edmonton is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
    Edmonton is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing Dallas
    Edmonton is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
    Dallas Stars
    Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Dallas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games at home
    Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
    Dallas is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Edmonton
    Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Edmonton
    Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Edmonton
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton


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    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-03-2018 at 01:07 PM.

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