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Thread: Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/29

  1. #1
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    Default Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/29

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, November 29

    Good Luck on day #333 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  2. #2
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    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    — Michigan 84, North Carolina 67— Are Wolverines best team in the country?

    — Florida State 73, Purdue 72— Seminoles led by 12 at the half, hung on.

    — Cal-Irvine 80, St Mary’s 75— Solid road win for the Anteaters.

    — Old Dominion 62, VCU 52— Monarchs were down a dozen at the half.

    — Illinois State 92, BYU 89 OT— Redbirds were down nine at the half.

    — Syracuse 72, Ohio State 62— Orangemen were 11-24 on arc; they were shooting 23.3% on arc coming into this game.


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

    13) 40 years ago this week, one of my all-time favorite TV shows made its debut on CBS.

    The White Shadow was about a retired NBA player who coached an inner-city high school team in Los Angeles- his old college friend was the school’s principal.

    The show starred Ken Howard, who was brilliant as a high school coach who bickered with the female assistant principal; the show was written by Bruce Paltrow, better known as Gwyneth Paltrow’s father.

    Now that I’ve written that, I feel old. 40 years ago. Damn

    12) This week, Major League Baseball announced a multi-year partnership with MGM Resorts that includes sponsorships and promotions across various media platforms, as legalized wagering becomes an established thing all over America. Right now, eight states have legal sports betting, with more to come, for sure.

    11) Last year, Scott Tolzien started at QB in the Colts’ season opener against the Rams in LA; Tuesday night, he was the THIRD quarterback taken by the Birmingham Fire in the new AAF, who will be coached by former Packers’ DB Tim Lewis.

    10) If you’re wondering about this new football league, the AAF that drafted its QBs Tuesday night, there will be no TV timeouts and 60% fewer commercials than NFL games.

    Other differences will include no kickoffs and instead of onside kicks, the trailing team will get the ball on their own 35-yard line facing 4th-and-10. There will also be a 30-second play clock and mandatory two-point conversion attempts after touchdowns.

    The league starts the Saturday night after the Super Bowl and has a 10-game schedule this year, with eight teams in the league, at least for the first season.

    9) USC kept head football coach Clay Helton, but four assistant coaches were told to take a hike over the weekend. In college football, the assistant coaches do the recruiting, so this is no small thing, since college football recruiting is basically a 24/7/365 pursuit.

    8) Larry Scott is the commissioner of the Pac-12 conference; he makes $3.1M a year, more money than every football coach in the Pac-12.

    Greg Sankey is the commissioner of the SEC; he makes around a million bucks a year, less than every head football coach in the SEC.

    At $3M a year, you’d think Mr Scott could find a way to get the Pac-12 Network on DirecTV.

    7) West Virginia OC/play caller Jake Spavital is the new football coach at Texas State; they must’ve been watching that 59-56 game with Oklahoma last week. Mountaineers finished in the top 10 nationally in scoring offense this year; Spavital is considered a really good recruiter, which will come in handy at Texas State, which needs a lot of players.

    6) Purdue football coach Jeff Brohm turned down Louisville’s offer, will stay as coach of the Boilermakers, which is good news for Purdue football fans.

    5) Cleveland Cavaliers traded Kyle Korver to the Utah Jazz for two future 2nd-round picks and Alec Burks,

    4) Why is ESPN running another hour-long story on Bob Knight? Hasn’t this subject been beaten to death by now? Knight won three national titles but was a creep/bully who made the game less fun for everyone around him. When winning isn’t fun, thats a problem.

    3) Vanderbilt’s star freshman guard Darius Garland is out for this season after he had meniscus surgery; big loss for the Commodores.

    2) Fact that I found weird: Eldrick Woods made his first hole-in-one in 20 years last week while playing golf with Fred Couples in La Quinta, CA. How does a guy who is that good a golfer go 20 years in between hole-in-ones?

    1) I’m guessing you do too, but I get dozens of e-mails from companies promoting their Cyber Monday or Black Friday sales. They shout out “Hurry before its too late!!!!”

    When it comes to spending your money, it is never too late. A few hours after that sale ends, another one just like it begins, and that too, according to e-mails, is too good to pass up.

    Guess it is a cheaper way of advertising, but enough already with the e-mails!!!!

  3. #3
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    NCAAB
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, November 29


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    ALABAMA (5 - 1) at UCF (5 - 1) - 11/29/2018, 7:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ALABAMA is 96-128 ATS (-44.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
    UCF is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    UCF is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
    UCF is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    UCF is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997.
    UCF is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UCF is 1-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
    UCF is 1-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    GA SOUTHERN (5 - 1) at ARIZONA (4 - 2) - 11/29/2018, 9:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ARIZONA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    MARIST (1 - 4) vs. DARTMOUTH (3 - 3) - 11/29/2018, 11:30 AM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DARTMOUTH is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MARIST is 1-0 against the spread versus DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
    MARIST is 1-0 straight up against DARTMOUTH over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    LONG ISLAND (3 - 3) vs. ALBANY (2 - 4) - 11/29/2018, 2:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    AUSTIN PEAY (2 - 4) at TROY (3 - 3) - 11/29/2018, 8:15 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    AUSTIN PEAY is 1-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
    AUSTIN PEAY is 1-0 straight up against TROY over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BELMONT (5 - 0) at SAMFORD (7 - 1) - 11/29/2018, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    SAMFORD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
    SAMFORD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
    SAMFORD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in November games this season.
    SAMFORD is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    SAMFORD is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
    BELMONT is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    N ARIZONA (2 - 2) at CAL DAVIS (1 - 6) - 11/29/2018, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAL DAVIS is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CAL DAVIS is 1-0 against the spread versus N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    CAL DAVIS is 1-0 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SACRAMENTO ST (3 - 0) at UC-SANTA BARBARA (5 - 1) - 11/29/2018, 10:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UC-SANTA BARBARA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    UC-SANTA BARBARA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    UC-SANTA BARBARA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
    UC-SANTA BARBARA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
    UC-SANTA BARBARA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    UC-SANTA BARBARA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UC-SANTA BARBARA is 1-0 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons
    UC-SANTA BARBARA is 1-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-29-2018 at 12:38 PM.

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    NCAAB
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, November 29


    Central Florida upset Alabama 65-62 in Tuscaloosa LY, despite turning ball over 20 times (-5). Knights are 5-1 vs schedule #152- their only loss was 80-79 to Florida Atlantic, a game UCF led by 20 early on. UCF is shooting only 55.8% on foul as a team (#345). Alabama is 5-1 this season vs schedule #103, with only loss to Northeastern on a neutral floor. Crimson Tide is experience team #271 that is forcing turnovers 21.2% of time- they split their two top 100 games, beating Wichita State by 4 on that same neutral floor in Charleston.

    Arizona is 4-2 after losing to couple of top 10 teams in Maui Classic; Wildcats are experience team #194 (#318 in minutes continuity)- their only top 200 win so far was 71-66 over #19 Iowa State in first round at Maui. Wildcats haven’t played a game in eight days. Georgia Southern is 5-1, losing 69-64 at home to East Tennessee State Tuesday night; no Eagles played more than 29:00 in that game. GSU is #82 experience team that is playing tempo #9- they’ve made only 25.3% of their 3’s so far. Eagles’ only top 100 game was a 80-77 win over #94 Montana.

    Marist won its last two games with Dartmouth by 6-12 points; teams didn’t play LY. Marist is 1-4 this year vs schedule #109, with only win 82-76 at home vs Columbia; Red Foxes are #120 experience team that has made 40.7% of its 3’s- they split their two games vs teams ranked outside top 100. Dartmouth is 1-3 vs D-I teams, with two non-D-I wins; Big Green has been awful on defense, allowing 85-110 points in last two games. Dartmouth did win its only game vs team outside top 100, winning by a hoop (82-80) at Loyola, Md.

    Troy lost 75-73 at Austin Peay LY, turning ball over 20 times (-4) in game they led by 10 with 13:39 left. Troy is 2-3 vs schedule #257, winning last two games while scoring 82-77 points; Trojans are experience team #101 that is playing pace #286- they must play lot of zone; 41.4% of opponents’ scoring comes on 3-pointers. Governors are 1-4 vs D-I teams with two losses in OT; Austin Peay is #97 experience team that plays tempo #106- they start three sophs, two seniors. Troy starts three seniors, two sophs.

    Belmont is 4-0 despite being #300 experience team; they’ve played schedule #226 to this point, but three of those four wins were vs top 100 teams, with 91-53 win over Kennesaw State in their only game vs a team outside top 200- they beat #92 Lipscomb 87-83 on road. Samford is 7-1 vs schedule #339; they lost 68-50 at Ohio State in only game vs team rated higher than #163. Bulldogs are #233 experience team that is turning ball over 21.8% of time, but is shooting 43.4% on the arc. Belmont is starting three frosh, two seniors, an odd combination.

    Cal-Davis is 1-6 vs schedule #100, with only win by 3 in OT over #314 Corpus Christi— Aggies are #9 experience team but they’re not playing like it, turning ball over 26.2% of time while making only 28% of their 3’s. Davis is starting four seniors and a freshman; their eFG% is #332 in country, really bad. Northern Arizona hasn’t played in 11 days after a 2-2 start that includes a road win at Omaha. Lumberjacks are #308 experience team that is playing pace #68- NAU starts two sophs, two juniors and doesn’t appear to have any seniors.

    Cal-Santa Barbara is 5-1 vs schedule #301, which includes three wins over Big Sky teams; Gauchos are #343 in MC (were #242 LY) as they’re once again cobbled together by transfers. UCSB has wins at Wyoming/Idaho; they’re playing pace #306and are #7 in country at getting to foul line, making 72.9% once they get there. Sacramento State won both its D-I games vs Big West teams, by 3-5 points; Hornets are #106 experience team that hasn’t subbed much (#332 minutes). Sac State is turning ball over 25.7% of time; this is their first true road game.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-29-2018 at 12:38 PM.

  5. #5
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    NCAAB

    Thursday, November 29


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Marist @ Dartmouth
    Marist
    Marist is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Marist's last 6 games
    Dartmouth
    Dartmouth is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games


    LIU-Brooklyn @ Albany
    LIU-Brooklyn
    No trends to report
    Albany
    No trends to report


    Sacred Heart @ Boston College
    Sacred Heart
    No trends to report
    Boston College
    Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacred Heart
    Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacred Heart


    Trinity Baptist @ Campbell
    Trinity Baptist
    No trends to report
    Campbell
    No trends to report


    Hampton @ Norfolk State
    Hampton
    No trends to report
    Norfolk State
    No trends to report


    Alabama @ Central Florida
    Alabama
    Alabama is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Alabama's last 6 games
    Central Florida
    Central Florida is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
    Central Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


    Coppin State @ James Madison
    Coppin State
    No trends to report
    James Madison
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of James Madison's last 5 games
    James Madison is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home


    Belmont @ Samford
    Belmont
    Belmont is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Samford
    Belmont is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Samford
    Samford
    Samford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Samford is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games


    Central Connecticut State @ North Carolina A&T
    Central Connecticut State
    No trends to report
    North Carolina A&T
    No trends to report


    UAB @ Alabama A&M
    UAB
    UAB is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Alabama A&M
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UAB's last 7 games on the road
    Alabama A&M
    No trends to report


    Florida A&M @ North Florida
    Florida A&M
    No trends to report
    North Florida
    No trends to report


    McNeese State @ Southern Methodist
    McNeese State
    No trends to report
    Southern Methodist
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games at home


    East-West @ Chicago State
    East-West
    No trends to report
    Chicago State
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago State's last 6 games
    Chicago State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games


    Austin Peay @ Troy
    Austin Peay
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Austin Peay's last 9 games on the road
    Austin Peay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Troy
    Troy is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


    Huston Tillotson @ Texas Southern
    Huston Tillotson
    No trends to report
    Texas Southern
    No trends to report


    San Diego Christian @ Southern Utah
    San Diego Christian
    No trends to report
    Southern Utah
    Southern Utah is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
    Southern Utah is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home


    Georgia Southern @ Arizona
    Georgia Southern
    Georgia Southern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
    Georgia Southern is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
    Arizona
    Arizona is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games at home


    West Montana @ Idaho State
    West Montana
    No trends to report
    Idaho State
    Idaho State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing West Montana
    Idaho State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against West Montana


    Jackson State @ Santa Clara
    Jackson State
    No trends to report
    Santa Clara
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Santa Clara's last 7 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Santa Clara's last 6 games at home


    Northern Arizona @ UC Davis
    Northern Arizona
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Northern Arizona's last 9 games on the road
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Arizona's last 6 games
    UC Davis
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of UC Davis's last 9 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of UC Davis's last 7 games at home


    Sacramento State @ UC-Santa Barbara
    Sacramento State
    Sacramento State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    Sacramento State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
    UC-Santa Barbara
    UC-Santa Barbara is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home
    UC-Santa Barbara is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games


    Bethesda @ Loyola Marymount
    Bethesda
    No trends to report
    Loyola Marymount
    Loyola Marymount is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Loyola Marymount is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


    Cal Baptist @ UC Riverside
    Cal Baptist
    No trends to report
    UC Riverside
    UC Riverside is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
    UC Riverside is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games




    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-29-2018 at 12:39 PM.

  6. #6
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    NCAAB
    Dunkel

    Thursday, November 29



    Alabama @ UCF

    Game 507-508
    November 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Alabama
    58.576
    UCF
    69.996
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    UCF
    by 11 1/2
    131
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    UCF
    by 6
    135
    Dunkel Pick:
    UCF
    (-6); Under

    Georgia Southern @ Arizona


    Game 509-510
    November 29, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Georgia Southern
    57.680
    Arizona
    64.479
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Arizona
    by 7
    156
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Arizona
    by 10
    152 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Georgia Southern
    (+10); Over

    Marist @ Dartmouth


    Game 511-512
    November 29, 2018 @ 11:30 am

    Dunkel Rating:
    Marist
    43.968
    Dartmouth
    45.659
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Dartmouth
    by 1 1/2
    139
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Marist
    by 2
    141 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Dartmouth
    (+2); Under

    LIU-Brooklyn @ Albany


    Game 513-514
    November 29, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LIU-Brooklyn
    46.766
    Albany
    51.330
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Albany
    by 4 1/2
    140
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Albany
    Pick
    145
    Dunkel Pick:
    Albany
    Under

    Austin Peay @ Troy


    Game 515-516
    November 29, 2018 @ 8:15 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Austin Peay
    48.345
    Troy
    50.672
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Troy
    by 2 1/2
    144
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Troy
    by 4 1/2
    148 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Austin Peay
    (+4 1/2); Under

    Belmont @ Samford


    Game 517-518
    November 29, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Belmont
    57.828
    Samford
    57.469
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Samford
    Even
    162
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Belmont
    by 8 1/2
    158
    Dunkel Pick:
    Samford
    (+8 1/2); Over

    Northern Arizona @ Cal Davis


    Game 519-520
    November 29, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Northern Arizona
    37.882
    Cal Davis
    53.769
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cal Davis
    by 16
    147
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cal Davis
    by 8
    139
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cal Davis
    (-8); Over

    Sacramento St @ Santa Barbara


    Game 521-522
    November 29, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Sacramento St
    43.399
    Santa Barbara
    60.074
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Santa Barbara
    by 16 1/2
    138
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Santa Barbara
    by 7 1/2
    140 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Santa Barbara
    (-7 1/2); Under

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